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Friday's BEST MLB Picks ⚾ Daily MLB Odds & Predictions | Total Bases 9/25/26

WagerTalk TV: Sports Picks and Betting Tips · 11,513 words · 53 min read

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Cubs/Red Sox (Double Header)

0:04All right, welcome in. We are live. It

0:06is Friday morning. We have hit the home

0:08stretch of the Major League Baseball

0:11regular season. One more weekend of

0:13games. Uh the last couple shows of the

0:16regular season will be today and

0:18tomorrow. But don't worry, the three of

0:19us will be with you uh for the entire

0:22playoffs. So, we're not going anywhere.

0:24Still plenty of baseball left. Uh, but

0:28we've got a full slate, a really full

0:30slate today. We'll talk about that in a

0:31minute. Uh, before we get into it, Tokyo

0:33Brandon, I'll start with you. How was

0:35your Thursday?

0:37>> I went 4 and one. So, pretty happy about

0:40that. Not happy. I just lost a game that

0:42ended about an hour ago. Uh, but yeah,

0:46um 24 and five run right now. So,

0:50feeling pretty good. Got one play out in

0:52Major League Baseball today.

0:55>> Very nice. Yeah, I had a great Thursday.

0:58Uh, three and 0 sweep. I hit my 5% play

1:01in the NFL with the Falcons. Brian was

1:03on it, too. That was as easy as it gets.

1:06I have yet to lose a NFL play in the

1:09regular season. I'm now 5-0 and I'm

1:11running it back with another 5enter on

1:13Sunday. So, go grab that. You can

1:16actually I'm going to also release my

1:17It's already up my first 4% college

1:19football play of the season. Pretty low

1:21volume there. I've only made three

1:23plays. I'm two and one. Um, there's a

1:25great football special that is on the

1:27specials tab, that is up till the end of

1:29September and then it's gone. We're not

1:30going to do that special the rest of the

1:32year. So, if you want my NFL and you

1:34want to get the college football free,

1:36check that out. Uh, but yeah, three and

1:380 day for me. I had the White Socks and

1:39gave it out on this show, um, I had the

1:42Falcons and then I added a winner uh

1:44with the Oklahoma City Comets to pretty

1:46much wrap up the AAA season. Even though

1:49right before we were getting on the

1:50show, I'm trying to get Brian out to the

1:52game on Saturday night that's in Vegas

1:54because it's going to be a really good

1:55one. The Triple A Championship game

1:57between Oklahoma City and Rochester on

1:59Saturday night in Vegas. Brian, I know

2:01you had the Falcons as well. Uh how was

2:04the rest of your Thursday?

2:05>> Yeah, it was a winning day. Uh gave out

2:07the Brewers here on the show and I did

2:11add

2:12I added that Chicago game under two days

2:15in a row. I added K Chicago under and

2:18lost them both by a small amount. Uh

2:20they

2:22played under N. It got to nine. I go I I

2:24got to play the under. And then of

2:25course they end up with 10 runs or

2:27something in the game. But overall

2:29cannot complain. Um did you happen to

2:31see if you're still number I'm assuming

2:33you're number one still overall in in

2:35football and I'm assuming I'm number

2:37two. Uh I do have a a play today in

2:40college football going and I will be

2:42putting out my weekend plays. So, make

2:44sure if you're a football fan, you grab

2:46that all access package for the weekend.

2:48The uh what do they call that again? The

2:50uh weekend warrior.

2:51>> Weekend warrior.

2:52>> Yeah.

2:54>> Yeah. The weekend warrior is a great

2:56special if you're into football and

2:57you've got a handicapper that's doing um

3:00NFL and college. Uh it gets you the

3:02entire weekend. So, all the plays on

3:04Saturday, all the plays on Sunday. Yeah,

3:06it's a good point, Brian. Another great

3:08way uh to secure the entire weekend of

3:11football picks. But we're here to talk

3:12some bases. So, uh, we're going to get

3:14into it. This is So, somehow we now have

3:1817 games on the slate today. Uh, if you

3:21have not been following along, the

3:23reason for that is potential weather.

3:25Uh, so we've got some potential weather

3:28about to hit the East Coast and that

3:30could create some situations for teams

3:34that need to finish the season. Now, if

3:36it's a team that doesn't have any real

3:38implications of of, you know, finishing

3:41the season or seating, they'll probably

3:43just rain out or cancel the games. But

3:45in the case of the Cubs and the Red Sox,

3:48uh the Cubs specifically need to finish

3:52162 because it's going to decide who's

3:54home. Um you know, what what the seating

3:56is going to be in the NL playoffs. So,

3:59what they've decided to do is play a

4:02double header today and hope that I

4:04guess they're going to hope that they

4:06can get the series in and finish it

4:08tomorrow because if they don't, they may

4:10have to look for a neutral sight to play

4:12the game. So, kind of a crazy scenario

4:14there. All we're concerned with today is

4:17the games that are going today, but it's

4:19given us a double header at Fenway Park.

4:21It's given us a standalone nationally

4:24televised game this afternoon. Um, so

4:26Brian, I'm gonna come to you first and

4:28I'll set the table real quick. The Red

4:30Sox are locked in to their seed. They

4:33cannot improve. They cannot be hot by

4:36the White Sox. They swept the White

4:37Socks in the season series. So, the

4:39White the Red Sox are they're they're

4:42locked in. They don't have anything to

4:44play for um other than just trying to

4:47finish the season strong. The Cubs have

4:49a lot to play for because that one that

4:52getting the top wild card seat is very,

4:54very important. It means you get to host

4:56a three-game series with your season on

4:59the line. If you don't get that top

5:01seed, you head on the road for three

5:03games. So, I would argue the Cubs have

5:05quite a bit to still play for here

5:07today. And um yeah, it's going to be a

5:09double header. So, let's go. Any

5:12thoughts on the double header, game one,

5:13game two, are you trying to attack this

5:15one uh one way or the other?

5:17>> Yeah, we always talk about how bright

5:20and how smart our listeners are and

5:22viewers of the show. Somebody went into

5:24the uh comments the other day on the

5:26YouTube and they mentioned this series

5:28and I it it I don't think that far ahead

5:30obviously we got a lot going on football

5:32and hockey coming up and they he he said

5:36I'm assuming it was a he I can't

5:37remember I apologize for not knowing

5:39exactly what what his handle was but he

5:41said what's going to happen with this

5:43storm coming in here are they going to

5:46make a team play on Monday and I said

5:49well I can't believe that they would

5:50make make a team play on Monday and uh I

5:55I really wasn't aware of it and then

5:57they decided to change this to a double

5:59header but that still means they need to

6:01get one game in the next two days and

6:04you are right they may have to go to

6:06like a dome stadium or or another

6:08another park. So that that's an

6:10interesting way to end it and it's

6:12probably if that happens it's a negative

6:15for both both the teams because they're

6:18h they have to make that travel that

6:20travel. So, um, yeah, a lot going on

6:23here. I will point out also that we had

6:26some teams clinched last night, uh,

6:28clinched playoff spots. We still have,

6:31uh, the American League Central still up

6:33for grabs and that's also very

6:34important. Uh, because if you get, um,

6:37you get the buy in the first round. So,

6:40yeah, meaningful baseball continues even

6:42though we've had a couple of teams

6:43celebrating yesterday. Uh the first game

6:45of the double header looks like it's

6:47going to be Holmes against Gamboa uh

6:50lefty for Boston. I'm assuming that's

6:52going to be um more of a bullpen game.

6:55We're looking at uh Chicago at about a

6:58120 with a total of six and a half to

7:00the under. Game two will be Peterson the

7:03lefty against Brian Beao. And that's 115

7:08and also a six and a half. And the

7:11reason why six and a halfs and there's

7:13actually a couple of sixes over 20 in

7:15that game is if you've watched the games

7:18in this Cleveland series, the last two

7:20games were one to nothing finals. Um the

7:24announcers talked about fly balls. They

7:26Cleveland won on a on a home run

7:28yesterday. That was the only run scored

7:29in the game. And uh they had said that

7:32with the wind blowing in like this, they

7:35were lucky to get the one home run

7:36because it's just knocking down all all

7:38the balls. So, uh, that's why you're

7:40seeing such low totals here. Um, as you

7:44mentioned, Boston is pretty much stuck

7:46where they're at. They did bring back,

7:48um, the center fielder who looked like

7:51he pulled a hamstring the day before,

7:53uh, Raphael. And, uh, I I was surprised

7:57that they brought him back that so soon.

7:58So, they've only got a certain amount of

8:00players in the locker room. It's not

8:02like it used to be years ago when you

8:05could bring up as many minor leaguers as

8:06you wanted. These guys are still going

8:09to have to play and they may not play a

8:11full game. They may get a day off once

8:13in a while, but you're still getting

8:15quality major leaguers playing in these

8:17games late. So even though we're seeing

8:19a lot of lowcoring um totals out there,

8:22the wind isn't blowing in quite as much

8:24as it had been the last couple of days.

8:26I know at Yankee Stadium is blowing in

8:28pretty heavily today, but um keep that

8:31in mind. There was a lot of lowscoring

8:33games yesterday and I would expect more.

8:35But when when you got games at six six

8:38and a half runs at in in Boston, uh

8:42you've got to have some ace pitchers on

8:44the mountain. I'm not even sure they

8:46have that in in these games today. So,

8:49uh even though the line the the numbers

8:51are coming in or the uh winds coming in

8:53a little bit, I'm trying to find a way

8:55to play an over in one of these. Maybe

8:57it'll be an in, you know, ingame type of

8:59thing, but that's the way I'm going to

9:01look at it.

9:02So, Tokyo Brandon, we we they will get

9:05these game the Friday games in. There's

9:07no rain in the forecast until later

9:09tonight. The the issue with rain will be

9:12tomorrow. Uh but the wind is going to be

9:14pretty aggressive. It looks like

9:15starting around noon. There's wind gusts

9:17up to 25 miles an hour. Now, where where

9:20it's gusting, who knows? Uh but it it is

9:23definitely going to be windy during this

9:25double header. It is probably going to

9:27be in the 50s. So, I mean, outside of

9:30the wind, it's not like it this isn't

9:31like April where it's like 35 degrees

9:34you're trying to play baseball. Um, but

9:36but it's certainly like food for thought

9:38right there. So, Red Sox Cubbies to you.

9:40Are you able to find a play in this uh

9:42in this double header?

9:45>> Yeah. So, Boston, like you guys said,

9:49they have nothing to play for. By the

9:50way, I'm doing my Asian baseball show

9:52tonight on my channel, so go catch that.

9:55My Asian baseball is redot. I think I'm

9:58what what what time am I doing that?

10:009:00 p.m. Eastern. Uh or I'm sorry.

10:03Yeah, 9:00 p.m. Eastern. So, anyways, um

10:07Boston is locked in the five seed. Uh

10:09they technically could slip to six, but

10:12doesn't really matter. The Cubs are one

10:15game behind San Diego uh for the number

10:18four home field. So, they're going to

10:20play hard. And I mean, everyone plays

10:23hard when they're out there, but uh you

10:26know, there is a let down when you

10:28celebrate uh you know, ring ceremonies,

10:31something about these things. They just

10:33they just are what they are. Um I like

10:36Holmes better than Gamboa. I like the

10:38Cubs lineup better than the Red Sox. Uh

10:41and both bullpens are pretty equal as

10:44far as I can see. I don't think Boston's

10:46going to be straining their arms too

10:48much. Uh just basically getting guys

10:51keeping guys fresh, keeping their swings

10:55warm for the playoffs. Uh I think the

10:58Cubs are going to win both of these

11:00games. Uh depending on the lines you get

11:03or group them together, but uh I can't

11:06see I I can't see the Cubs losing these

11:09games that they really need against a

11:11team that just celebrated yes or that's

11:14locked into their uh playoff spot. So

11:18yeah, give me the Cubs in both games. I

11:20I especially like him in the second one

11:22because I don't like Brian Baleo, but uh

11:24yeah, give me the Cubs in both games.

11:28>> Talking Brandon, I'm I'm 100% with you.

11:30I will look for a way to play the Cubs

11:33in this double header. Whether it's game

11:35one or game two or both, I'm not sure.

11:37But like who who deals with wind all the

11:40time? Wind is nothing new to the Cubs.

11:42The Cubs play windaffected games. half

11:46of the season is affected by wind for

11:48the Cubs. So, the fact that there's 25

11:50miles hour mph winds regardless of where

11:53it's blowing. The Cubs are better

11:55equipped to play in that than the Red

11:57Sox are. And you know, the Cubs the last

11:59three days um not great. They did not

12:03play well in that series against the

12:05Marlins at all. Uh they were fortunate

12:07to to even get one. They they end up

12:09winning the finale which does put them

12:12in the playoffs. So, that did clinch

12:13their playoff spot. But, you know, this

12:15is a team that I feel like was trending

12:18toward easily locking down the top spot

12:21at one point in the wild card race and

12:24now they are they need help uh to get

12:27that top spot. So, yeah, I I'm with you.

12:29I think the Cubs have incentive to play

12:31well here for a couple of reasons. Not

12:33only do they need to win to get the top

12:35spot, but they played poorly against the

12:37Marlins, and I just think they have some

12:39incentive to come out, take these games

12:41seriously, and um try to win baseball

12:43games. So, yeah, I'm with you on the

12:44Cubs, Brian. Go ahead.

12:46>> Yeah, a couple things. First off, I

12:47checked the weather the wind. It's it's

12:49actually blowing directly in. It's not

12:52the the wind gusts are going to be the

12:53problem. It's not that it's blowing in

12:54very extremely hard. It's just the wind

12:56gusts. And uh if you bet football, you

12:59know how wind gusts and and the wind

13:02affects that. Uh as for Boston, the

13:05Tokyo Brandon was saying that uh they

13:08could could drop. I don't know. the the

13:10only way if Boston gets swept in the

13:12series and Cleveland and Chicago both

13:15sweep their series the Chicago will have

13:19the same record as Boston but I off the

13:22top of my head I don't know who wins the

13:24tiebreaker there so

13:25>> I do the the Red Sox can't lose a

13:27tiebreaker to the White Socks they've

13:28they are locked in

13:31>> okay okay

13:35>> yeah and you know what I mean I'm just

13:37going to do this now I'll I'll make Cubs

13:39game one my leg of the parlay. Um that

13:43and only reason I'm going to make game

13:44one my leg of the parlay is I can't bet

13:47a game two until I see what happens in

13:49game one. But in game one we're going to

13:51get Holmes. Uh Holmes is as extreme of a

13:54ground ball pitcher as you will find in

13:56Major League Baseball. He is in the top

13:581% ground ball rate. He he gets more

14:02ground balls than anyone in in the game.

14:05uh he is if he's not number one, he's

14:07like two um in terms of ground ball rate

Rangers/Twins

14:10that you you gotta like that when you're

14:12dealing with wind. Now, you could say

14:13the wind blowing in whatever, but you

14:16know what? Yeah. Yeah. I when when it's

14:18gusting wind, you don't really want that

14:20ball in the air regardless because even

14:22if it's I mean th those are the types of

14:24games where popups could go anywhere.

14:26So, I like a guy that keeps a ball on

14:29the ground when you're dealing with wind

14:30gusts of 20 plus miles an hour. So,

14:32yeah, give me the Cubs in game one of

14:34the double header. Uh, I think Holmes is

14:36the better pitching option and he's an

14:38extreme ground ball pitcher. Brian, what

14:40am I looking at for a money line on Cubs

14:43game one?

14:44>> Yeah, you're looking at about minus 120.

14:46I was looking at it a little bit

14:47differently. I I would prefer a ground

14:50ball pitcher in an area where the wind's

14:53blowing out. But um yeah, with the

14:55pop-ups that that was a great point you

14:57made uh because yeah, you see that all

14:59the time a lot of a lot of balls fall

15:02because on on pop-ups that should be

15:04easy outs because it's just so hard to

15:06judge those. So that was a great point

15:08in that regard. But minus 120 is what

15:10I'm saying.

15:11>> Yep. I'll I'll take that for my parlay

15:13league. Um we did hit the parlay

15:14yesterday. uh first one in a very very

15:18long time. Uh so shout out to us.

15:20>> Yeah, it was that for in the two years

15:22we've been doing the parlays with the

15:24show. That was the that was the longest

15:25drought we've had. So

15:27>> we're still chasing like 16 units. But

15:30you know what? We got a whole month of

15:31playoffs. Don't don't let us get hot.

15:33That's what I said in the chat. Don't

15:35let the parlay get hot. Uh you know that

15:37that's that's directed toward the

15:39haters. Tokyo Brandon uh who who were

15:41bashing the parlay. said all it t like

15:44we hit three of them, you know, a couple

15:46more and all of a sudden we're up again

15:48now. Now, you know, now where we at,

15:50right? So, uh

15:51>> we're we're so sorry for coming out here

15:53and doing the show for free, you guys.

15:55We we apologize.

15:58>> I understand them. There's a lot of

15:59people that can't afford to buy picks

16:01and you know, we're winning that. Great.

16:02But yeah, we try to win as many plays as

16:05we can. It's just it's gambling and that

16:07and it happens a lot of times. I

16:10mentioned yesterday the luck factor.

16:12Yeah. A lot of times you get the best

16:14better team, you should have won. You

16:15don't win. It's just the way it that's

16:17that's gambling. You if you if you you

16:20know I I I feel for everybody because we

16:23haven't been winning the parlays, but if

16:25you're freaking out over that, you

16:27probably shouldn't be gambling. And

16:29because it's it's hard it's hard to win

16:31this sports, you know, that's why, you

16:34know, I've been around 45 years. We've

16:36got a few other guys that have been

16:37around that long. There's a lot of guys

16:39who quit their jobs to think they can

16:41make money and especially now with um

16:44with the way it's taken over in the

16:46United States now. All these college

16:48kids are going to college. Oh, I'm I'm

16:50I'll drop out of college and I'm going

16:51to bet for a living. No, it's not easy.

16:53This is not easy to do. And we do this

16:56full time. So,

16:58>> yeah, it's it's not only is it not easy

17:00to do, but like also it is it is it

17:04consumes your life. It's like the only

17:06like forget having like it listen here

17:09here's a here's again I'll I'll say this

17:11again if if you see someone and they and

17:14they've got a like a lot going on

17:17outside of just this probably not the

17:19guy you should buy picks from. Um you

17:22see the three of us we're like we're

17:23here every day and then we go watch

17:25games and we're back here every day and

17:27then we go watch games. It's like you

17:29know

17:29>> we're kind of dorks actually.

17:31>> Yeah, pretty much. Yeah. Yeah. So

17:36compensated for this leave the house,

17:37you know,

17:38>> I I pimp on the side, but besides that,

17:41>> listen, we do get compensated though. We

17:43get compensated by you guys coming to

17:45Wager Talk and and buying the picks. We

17:46very much appreciate it. Uh the money

17:48that gets donated to the show, it goes

17:50to a charity of our home office's

17:52choosing and we've done a tremendous job

17:54at running it up on this show this year.

17:56So, thank you guys so much for that.

17:58Rustin Romero just throwing a a9.99

18:01donation to us. um didn't ask for a

18:04game. So, just shout out to you. We

18:05appreciate the donation. And I'm gonna

18:08go on to Alex Ran who also again appre

18:11he's in here every day. So, shout out to

18:14>> Alex Ran. Um he says, "Morning fellas.

18:16Can we talk Rangers and Twins? Rangers

18:19want to finish 500 so bad." Yeah. I um

18:22listen about a month and a half ago, I

18:24said, "This is a 500 baseball team." I

18:26was like, "They're they're not going

18:27anywhere. They will be lucky to to break

18:30500." And now Brian Leonard, it looks

18:32like they might not even break 500. And

18:35they they may have played their way out

18:36of the playoffs the last three days.

18:38Obviously, there's still some games to

18:41decide that, but man, the Rangers not

18:44looking great down the stretch. That

18:46being said, they get a a reasonable

18:48opponent here to finish off the uh the

18:50season. Do you think the Rangers, who

18:53did win yesterday, keep it going and win

18:56tonight? Rangers twins to you.

18:58>> Yeah, took ground against Ryan. Uh this

19:00would have been early of the season

19:02would be a premier matchup. Uh Texas was

19:06expected to do pretty well and uh

19:08Minnesota

19:10uh hats off to you Trig. They had a

19:11better season than what I thought. Um

19:14Brian's had to deal with some injuries.

19:15Dro always has to deal with some

19:18injuries, but he's been pretty healthy

19:20the last couple years. Uh we're looking

19:22at basically a 115 favorite for Texas

19:24here with a total between seven and

19:26seven and a half. Um, Deg Gro has been

19:29very good. Texas had a lot of success on

19:31the road when Deg Gro pitches. Um, I

19:34believe Ryan, if I off the top of my

19:37head, I think he's lost his like

19:38Minnesota's lost his last six starts,

19:40something like that. Uh, he's still a

19:42very good pitcher, extremely good

19:43pitcher, but right now, um, Texas would

19:46be the side I like in this game. Deg

19:48Grom is been really good on the road.

19:52He's he's uh he got the surprise start

19:55what, last week, two weeks ago or

19:57whatever. I didn't expect him to come in

19:58and he's he's been great again. So, if

20:00I'm playing this one, I'm laying um

20:03don't know if it'll make my card, but

20:04slight lean to Texas here. They're about

20:06a one, you know, 115 110 to 15 favorite.

20:10Um if I'm getting involved, I'm I'm

20:12probably playing Texas a little bit

20:14here. Although, they have to be a little

20:16bit disappointed that, you know, they've

20:18gotten to this point where at one they

20:20look like they were a really good shot

20:21to win the division. Um but they're

20:24still continue to go out and play. So

20:26yeah, it's slightly lane to Texas here.

20:29>> Yeah, Tokyo Brandon, they still have

20:30everything to play for. They are tied

20:32coming into play today. Um I don't think

20:34it'll happen cuz I do think one of these

20:37two team I think it's going to take two

20:38of three um to to win this division. Um

20:42which would mean at least you finish

20:45with a 500 record. I don't think we've

20:47ever had a team make the Major League

20:48Baseball playoffs with a sub 500 record.

20:51I think you know certainly not a

20:53division winner. I don't believe we've

20:54had a division winner, at least not one

20:56that I can remember, that finished under

20:58500. Um, and I I don't think it's going

21:01to be the case this year because you

21:02have two teams. If one of one of them is

21:05probably going to take two out of three

21:07and at least finish 81 and 81. The

21:09question is, who will it be, the Astros

21:12or the Rangers? They both come into play

21:14today, 79 and 80. So, everything to play

21:16here for the Rangers. Tokyo Brandon,

21:18what are you seeing in Rangers twins? Do

21:20you think the Rangers get it done? So

21:23Wager Talks headquarters just extended

21:26the double play deal till October 4th.

21:29So you can get two of us three and we're

21:31all winning right now. We're all on fire

21:33right now. Two of us three for three

21:36days all access baseball. Grab a double

21:38play at wageralk.com.

21:41Currently I'm on a 25 and four run. So

21:43I'm pretty happy with my baseball right

21:46now. Um both of these guys are on fire

21:49too. So, uh, two of us three for three

21:51days baseball all access. Wagazert

21:53talk.com find the double play. Um, I

21:56called this game yesterday. I actually

21:58picked or it wasn't this exact matchup,

22:00but yeah, I backed Kumar Rocker

22:02yesterday and won. But, you know, it's

22:04really hard to sweep a team. So, now

22:07currently what we have the Rangers um,

22:10their season's on the line. They're tied

22:12with Houston. Uh, but Houston has a

22:14tiebreaker. So, Texas basically has to

22:16win outright. And so they're highly

22:19motivated. Deg Grom has excellent

22:21numbers against these batters in his

22:23career. 47 at bats against minuscule

22:26OPS. But the problem is Joe Ryan also

22:28has really good numbers against these

22:29batters. But uh the Twins are going to

22:32be making business decisions here

22:34because uh they're playing for next

22:36year. They're completely out of it. Um

22:38they're playing for pride and you know

22:41whatever else is there. But um you know

22:44like we've said in previous shows, these

22:46guys are warriors. they're they're

22:47professionals and uh you know when

22:52they're swinging at a baseball they're

22:54not thinking about whether they're

22:55making the playoffs or not. They're

22:56trying to hit the ball. Uh the the

22:59difference is how the teams are managed.

23:01And uh if if Joe Ryan gets into any kind

23:04of trouble, they're they're going to

23:05take him out and they'll put some schle

23:08in there. You know, that's how they're

23:11going to manage this. It's a spring

23:12training game for the Minnesota Twins

23:14and uh it's uh it's everything on the

23:17line for the Rangers. So, I like the

23:19Rangers here. I like Deg Grom. Uh Deg

23:22Grom's an awesome pitcher. He he had a

23:24rough spot this season which surprised

23:26me. He had a really rough spot. He

23:28actually had one game where it was

23:29difficult to watch. I think he gave up

23:31eight runs and he came out in the second

23:33inning or something. Tough game, but

23:35that was his only real bad game. He's a

23:38Warrior. He's one of those nononsense

23:40guys. He's kind of like Max Scherzer. Uh

23:43I like the Rangers here. Uh should be

23:45tight in the first five, but I think the

23:47Rangers have uh the better bullpen for

23:50sure, especially in current form. And I

23:53think in the end, the Rangers take it.

23:58>> Yeah. Listen, Deg Grom is going to he's

24:00going to empty the clip here. He's been

24:01talking about

24:02>> Oh, yeah.

24:03>> being ready to pitch in September for

24:06multiple seasons now. Like since he got

24:08to Texas. his whole thing last year was

24:10I I just need to take care of myself

24:12during the regular season so I I'm at my

24:15best come September and in the playoffs

24:16and then the Rangers just kind of fell

24:18apart last year. They never got there.

24:20The same thing kind of happened this

24:22year except the they get a reprieve from

24:24the fact that everyone else has been so

24:25bad. Um so to answer the question in the

24:29chat, no, in a 162 game season, there

24:32has never been a team that's made the

24:34playoffs with a losing record. The only

Diamondbacks/Padres

24:36time it's ever happened was in a strike

24:38shortened season in 1981 when the Royals

24:41did it and then in the 2020 COVID year

24:44because there was 60 games and they let

24:45everyone in the playoffs. So, there was

24:47a couple teams with a losing record that

24:49year. The person in the chat that

24:51remembered the Padres's uh remembered

24:53the 2005 Padres's who got there winning

24:56the NL West with an 82 and 80 record.

24:59So, we may have a we're likely to have

25:02our first team win a division and get to

25:03the playoffs that that finishes 500

25:06here. Um, but yeah, Brian, I'll come to

25:08you. I one thing I know about this game

25:12is you're probably going to get Deg

25:13Grom's all out best effort here.

25:16>> Will it be good enough to win Rangers

25:18Twins to you?

25:19>> Yeah, you mentioned 81. I believe that

25:21was the year of the Montreal Expose. The

25:24Montreal Expose, one of my favorite

25:25teams of all time. uh were blowing

25:28everybody away and then the strike cost

25:30them the championship. Uh still breaks

25:32my heart for the people of Montreal who

25:34have lost their team. Uh I will point

25:36out from an injury standpoint, Minnesota

25:39right now is out for the season. Uh Co

25:41Pepper who's been phenomenal for them

25:43since being brought up. Byron Buckston

25:45their best player and Trevor Lash one of

25:47the most consistent players. When you

25:49take a look at Texas, uh you always got

25:51to worry about the Texas um players that

25:54are playing because they're so

25:55injuryprone. right now. How often do we

25:58get uh Wyatt Langford, Cory Siger, Josh

26:01Young, and Jake Burgerer all in the

26:04lineup at the same time? Doesn't happen

26:06very often. So, yeah, if if you're going

26:08to play this game, I think Texas is

26:10probably the way to go.

26:13>> Yeah. And you could listen, Joe Ryan,

26:15you could always run into Joe Ryan on

26:17when he's on and then you got to I mean,

26:20he might throw seven scoreless in your

26:22face, but it's like he Tokyo Brandon

26:24made a good point. He hasn't thrown more

26:26than five innings in a while and this

26:29might be just get out there,

26:31>> cruise through five or so and then call

26:33it a day. Like there's

26:35>> he's been injury prone as well this

26:37year. So there's kind of no reason to

26:39push him. But I I do it's going to be

26:41one of those things where if he's

26:42feeling good and he's pitching well,

26:44he's going to be like, "Yeah, I'm going

26:45to stay in the game." And who are the

26:46Twins? I mean, this is this will be the

26:48last game he pitches this year. So who

26:50are who are the twins to tell him, "No,

26:52you're coming out." I think it's uh

26:54makes for an interesting game, but yeah,

26:56Rangers have to have an edge here for

26:58sure.

27:00>> All right, let's go to the chat. Let's

27:01see what else we've got. Um, let's see.

27:08>> Yeah, we we'll we'll we'll go to the

27:09Padres's game. By the way, a couple

27:11people ask Expos have the best logo in

27:13the history of sports. The Expos, the

27:16the Hartford Whalers, and the Quebec

27:18Nordics. I love those logos.

27:19>> I'm with you. I I love all those. Yeah.

27:21Yeah.

27:23Yeah, let's

27:24>> all teams that don't exist anymore.

27:26>> Throw the Buffalo Braves in there.

27:28growing up in the Albany, New York area,

27:30like the the plus EV play to go to Major

27:34League Baseball games was going to

27:35Montreal because it was especially when

27:37I was a kid, we were I was getting

27:39toward the end of the, you know, the

27:41stadium was starting to get old and it

27:43was starting to get empty and well, I

27:45remember going up in the late 90s and

27:48getting to pick my seat to watch the

27:50Braves play with like Maddox and Glavin

27:52and Smoltz because, you know, you could

27:55go to Montreal and Canadian Holler was,

27:58you know, you got it was great. People

28:00always, all my friends, Yankee fans, Red

28:02Sox fans, they always wanted to go to

28:04Yankee Stadium, but it was like, hey,

28:06you can go up to Montreal and see a game

28:08for cheap and see all those great Braves

28:10teams. Yeah, that was the sharp play

28:12right there late 90s. And it was the

28:15same same amount of time from where I

28:18live to get to Montreal as it was to the

28:19city. So that was the uh

28:21>> Yeah, that that's what we used to do. I

28:23miss I miss those expos. It was sad when

28:25they left. Um, okay. Let's go to the

28:28Padres's game. Playoff implications here

28:30as well. Uh, we already talked about it

28:32when we we on the open. Uh, the Cubs

28:35still having something to play for. It

28:37means the Padres's, it's now theirs to

28:39lose. Uh, so Petco Park for three games

28:42next week in a playoff series is now the

28:45Padres's to lose. Uh, if they win out

28:47this weekend, they secure that home

28:49series in the playoffs. If they lose,

28:52someone's probably going to Wrigley

28:53Field and they're probably on the road.

28:55But Tokyo Brandon not going to come easy

28:57for them because the team they're up

28:59against here has not been eliminated

29:00yet. You were all over the Diamondbacks

29:02yesterday. That was a great call. They

29:04came out right off the bat and took care

29:06of business as you said they would. So

29:09now to you, can the Diamondbacks get it

29:11done in San Diego tonight? This is

29:14probably the most impactful game on the

29:16slate today.

29:18>> Yeah, both teams motivated here. Um,

29:20Diamondbacks playing for postseason

29:22survival. They're two games behind the

29:25Phillies with three remaining. Their

29:27elimination number is two. They need a

29:30huge weekend here. And the Padres's,

29:32they're one game ahead of the Cubs for

29:33the number four seed in home field

29:36advantage. And Chicago has a tiebreaker.

29:38So the Padres's really need to win here.

29:40So both teams motivated. So we're going

29:42to get a good game, I think, from both

29:44teams here. Thought having a great

29:47season. Uh but he's fallen a little bit

29:50lately. Uh I got him ranked 14 out of 30

29:53uh on the curve of 30 and I got Mai's

29:56right around the same a little bit below

29:58that. Both bullpens great. Uh the big

30:00difference here though is Padres's are

30:02hitting number one in MLB right now in

30:04current form and the Diamondbacks are

30:07hitting 11. So not bad for either side.

30:10Uh pitchers mediocre, bullpen's

30:12mediocre, great hitting. I like an over

30:15in this one. I think both teams are

30:16going to come out and uh club the ball

30:19pretty good. Uh so I would be looking to

30:22an over here. Just two lineups that are

30:24just hitting the ball really well right

30:26now and pitchers whose names are kind of

30:29better than their stats right now.

30:32>> Seven.

30:33>> Brian,

30:34>> seven.

30:35>> Give me the over.

30:37>> Seven and a half. Uh

30:40>> yeah, it's uh we're looking at Mai is

30:43about a 135 favorite. Total of seven and

30:45a half here against FO. How

30:49demoralizing would it be if Arizona

30:51sweeps this series and the Phillies get

30:53swept and the Phillies don't make the

30:54playoffs. Um it's been one of those kind

30:57of seasons in Philadelphia. One minute

30:59you think this is the greatest team in

31:01sliced bread or whatever they whatever

31:03that saying is. Uh and another is they

31:06might not even make the playoffs. Um, we

31:08did have uh San Diego clinch the playoff

31:10spot yesterday. Uh, we saw Cleveland,

31:13Chicago White Sox, and San Diego all

31:15celebrating. Uh, but I'm not really big

31:18on celebrating making the playoffs when

31:22your season's not done yet. Um, you're

31:25the the job isn't done yet. Uh, you

31:27don't see the Dodgers halfway through

31:28the season celebrating it because they

31:31uh they had such a big lead in the

31:33division. Uh, that kind of bothers me on

31:35the game following that. I I if I was a

31:37coach, I think I would limit that. But

31:40hey, it's they're kids. You know, even

31:42though some of these guys are 40 years

31:43old, hey, they're still kids. So anyway,

31:45that's just my opinion. Um but yeah, San

31:48Diego right now playing very good ball.

31:50Arizona's still playing with a lot of

31:52heart. And uh yeah, seven and a half is

31:55is kind of low if if you take a look at

Cardinals/Brewers

31:58it with these two with these two

32:00offenses that uh is have come alive as a

32:03bit a bit as of late. So yeah, I'm I'm

32:06with uh TB a little bit. Mai has pitched

32:08very well when he's not playing uh

32:12people that know him very well. So uh

32:14yeah, we'll see. We'll see what what

32:15happens here, but uh I got I got nothing

32:19against the over. Although it is seven

32:21and a half.

32:23>> And you can even buy the half run and

32:24make it seven. I mean,

32:26>> four to three games.

32:27>> Usually not worth it when you're when

32:29you're buying buying runs like that. But

32:33seven seven's a key number, too, though.

32:34It's an odd number and we talked about

32:35that in the past. The odd numbers mean

32:37more than the even numbers do. So yeah,

32:42>> you know, I I think my gut says the

32:45Padres's take care of business here. I

32:47don't know if we'll have a play in this

32:48game, but like they're at home. They

32:51they they've they've played the best of

32:54any of those wild card teams down the

32:56stretch, right? You Brian just talked

32:57about it. the Phillies inexplicably are

33:01like the fact that we're talking about

33:02the Phillies maybe not making the

33:04playoffs is wild considering where they

33:08were a month ago. Um it's crazy to think

33:11that there's even a scenario where they

33:13might not make the playoffs. The Cubs,

33:16you know, they had that great run. Um

33:18I'll go back to the series against the

33:20Brewers, that first one that kind of

33:21took them out of the out of the

33:23division. And I kind of feel like the

33:24Cubs have been on cruise control.

33:26they've just been like kind of, you

33:28know, playing that playing their way out

33:30to the end. Of course, unexpected to get

33:32dealt the blow of Alec Alec Bregman, you

33:35know, having a a facial fracture injury.

33:37Certainly not something they they could

33:39have anticipated. So, you know, the Cubs

33:41are kind of just, you know, backing, you

33:44know, they may back in um you know, and

33:46not get the one seed, but the Padres's,

33:49they have played the best baseball for

33:51the last month. Uh, if you remember at

33:54the All-Star break, we talked about this

33:56team setting up for potentially a big

33:59second half. Seeing all those guys like

34:01Fernando Tatis, Manny Machado, um, uh,

34:05Jackson Merrill, like guys that are all

34:08star with like 700 or lower OPS's and it

34:12was just like th this can't possibly

34:14continue. And then you call up a guy

34:16like Ethan Solace who's been great and

34:18that's been a little bit unexpected. So,

34:20I think all of this kind of happening at

34:22once where they found, you know, a

34:25couple of of younger guys, Jace Bowen

34:27has made good contributions over the

34:29last couple months to provide a spark

34:31and then you just get guys like Tatis

34:33and Machado starting to just like trend

34:36toward what they're supposed to be. It's

34:39kind of not surprising in my opinion

34:40that the Padres's have played as well as

34:42they have. And you know, Brian, this is

34:46ballpark I've never been to, but I know

34:47you've been out to to San Diego before.

34:49Like, for this is huge for them. For the

34:52Padres's to lock down three home games

34:54at Petco as opposed to having to road is

34:58massive.

34:59>> I I you know, it's nice that the

35:01Diamondbacks are still in it, but they

35:02really haven't played great ball for a

35:04while now. Yes, I guess congrats for

35:06slapping around the Rockies for three

35:07days and like hanging around in this

35:09race, but in my opinion, Arizona hasn't

35:12been good. hasn't been really good for

35:14like a month. Brandon F is is just ever

35:17so slightly starting to to tail off a

35:20little bit. I think people I think

35:22people have figured out that he's going

35:25to throw three different variations of a

35:26fast ball and they can hunt it a little

35:28bit. The Rangers blew him up big time

35:30the other day and he pitched well

35:33against the Yankees but didn't get out

35:34of the fifth inning. I think the

35:35Padres's, they just saw him on August

35:373rd, didn't hit the ball particularly

35:39well, but didn't strike out. They were

35:41putting the ball in play. They just

35:43didn't get many hits out of it. I like

35:45the Padres's to get them the second time

35:47around. And I think the Padres's put

35:50Arizona out of their misery this

35:51weekend. So, I even if the Phillies play

35:53poorly, I think they're going to back in

35:54because I think the Padres's have a good

35:56series here.

35:59All right, let's go back to the chat. We

36:00got our guy Freeird in here. He says,

36:03"Happy Friday." He says, "Brewers today

36:05with a question mark. Gasser good form

36:08last five games." So, Brian, uh, the

36:11Brewers, you got it done for us

36:13yesterday. They flipped around their

36:14pitching a little bit, but it didn't

36:16matter. They went out and, uh, pieced it

36:18together in a very impressive and very

36:20convincing win. So, now the Brewers are

36:23going to Excuse me here. I got to go

36:25back to my I got to go back to my sheet.

36:29Oh, they're playing at home against the

36:31Cardinals. That's right. Uh, the

36:32Cardinals have been one of the worst

36:34teams in the second half. And it looks

36:36like it's going to be Mike McGrevy for

36:37the visitors. Robert Gasser for the home

36:39team. So, Cardinals, Brewers to you. How

36:41are you seeing this one?

36:43>> Yeah, Gastra the lefty, McGrevy the

36:45righty. Uh, we're looking at Milwaukee

36:47at home about a 185 favorite here. Total

36:50eight to the under a little bit. Um,

36:53this is the kind of game that you

36:55handicap totally differently now than

36:57what you did, you know, just just a few

36:59years ago when you when you could call

37:01up all your minor leaguers. Uh,

37:03Milwaukee did what they had to do. They

37:05won. Uh, the Dodgers lost. Milwaukeee's

37:08got the 100 victories and they've got uh

37:12home all the way through. I believe

37:14Tampa Bay is still trying to reach that

37:17also. But there the main thing is

37:20they've got the home field over the

37:21Dodgers in the playoffs. Um normally

37:24this is a game where I would be looking

37:26to fade Milwaukee, but as I said

37:29recently, um they only brought up two

37:32extra guys from the miners now as

37:33opposed to before you can bring up as

37:35many guys as you wanted. So, they're

37:37still, no matter what the lineup is,

37:39they're still putting out guys that have

37:41been major league players, and uh, you

37:43know, Milwaukeee's got all these great

37:45minor leaguers, and we've seen a lot of

37:47them this year. Um, they're they're uh

37:50they're a team that's got a great

37:52future, great management, great coach,

37:55but, um, normally it's a go against

37:58because, you know, they they say, "Okay,

38:00well, now we got everything done." Well,

38:01they're still going to have to go out

38:02and play these last three games. and uh

38:05they're the guys they're going to throw

38:06out there are probably better than what

38:08St. Louis has. Uh Gasser is not a guy

38:11that is going to blow you away. Uh but

38:14as you mentioned, St. Louis is really

38:16struggled uh down the stretch and we

38:19knew it was going to be eventually be

38:20that way. Hats off to them for being in

38:23the um in the discussion being very

38:26competitive all season long. But now the

38:29depth on that team is starting to come

38:31around and you have a few injuries then

38:34you know then they're what they expected

38:35to be. So um prefer Milwaukee in this

38:39game. Think they're going to win very

38:41similar to the game that TB had

38:43yesterday with Arizona. Uh I have a hard

38:45time laying big numbers but uh from a

38:49talent standpoint Milwaukee's should win

38:52this game.

38:54>> TB Brewers Cardinals. How you seeing

38:56this one?

38:58>> Yeah. Uh I do have one MLB play out

39:01today and I'll probably be adding maybe

39:03two more because I'm really liking what

39:06I'm seeing and there's a lot to select.

39:08Um neither one of these teams have

39:10anything to play for. Uh Brewers number

39:13one seed locked. MLB's best record, home

39:16field advantage, everything is locked up

39:18for these guys. Uh and the Cardinals are

39:21eliminated. So, uh, but even then, uh,

39:25the Brewers are just a lot more

39:26talented. Uh, they might sit some

39:30people, but, you know, uh, Cardinals are

39:33just there playing the season out. Um,

39:36Gasser, McGrevy, I don't have a huge

39:40difference between them, but Gasser

39:41slightly higher ranked. Bullpen wise,

Rockies/White Sox

39:44the Brewers are a lot better, 10 points

39:46higher. And hitting wise, uh, the

39:49Brewers are about 17 points higher. So,

39:52if they play their starters, and that's

39:53a big if, uh, what I would do if I were

39:56a manager at this point, if I were

39:58managing the Brewers or another team

40:00like the Red Sox who have basically

40:01their playoff position locked in, I

40:03would basically play my starters for

40:05three or four innings and just play my

40:07backups the rest of the game just to

40:08give them some uh, real baseball

40:11experience. And we might see that. So,

40:14even then though, I think the Brewers

40:15are a better team.

40:17>> Yeah, I I think I think you'll see the

40:19Brewers spread the innings around. I

40:21think everyone will play this weekend.

40:22Um, I think everyone will pitch this

40:25weekend. And you know what? The Brewers,

40:28>> they're so deep. Who cares who's in

40:30there? Like, it doesn't even matter.

40:32Like, they're they're such a deep

40:34talented team. I just don't think

40:35there's a huge drop off if you've got a

40:38couple of quote unquote bench guys for

40:40the Brewers. Now, you're still you're

40:42still betting you're still paying a

40:43pretty big premium here, minus 175,

40:46minus 180 range. But I I mean that the

40:49Cardinals have been a bad baseball team

40:51for two three months now. So even even

40:55though you know they it's tough because

40:57I'm not really trying to lay - 175 - 180

41:00in a game that means nothing. But the

41:02Cardinals I want no part of them either.

41:05They're just not a good they're on the

41:07road. They're just not a good baseball

41:08team. And I wouldn't be surprised that

41:09the Brewers could sweep this weekend. It

41:11wouldn't surprise me one bit, Brian, if

41:13they come out and just steamroll.

41:16>> Yeah. I I just wanted to correct myself

41:17on one thing I said. I I talked about

41:19Tampa Bay. Uh Tampa Bay blew that game

41:22last night. So, they blew the chance on

41:24um matching Milwaukee um for the World

41:28if they happen to get to the World

41:29Series. So, yeah, Milwaukee is going to

41:31have home field home field all the way

41:33through as far as they can take it. And

41:36uh to be honest with you, I'm roo even

41:39though I'm from Cleveland, I'm rooting

41:41for Milwaukee. Uh this is a team that

41:43deserves to go deep in the playoffs. and

41:44the way they got knocked out

41:46>> last and they run their organization

41:48better than anybody.

41:50>> Those kinds of teams, they and Tampa are

41:52teams that I'm really hoping go go go

41:54far in the playoffs this year.

41:55>> Brian, I'm staying with you here, but I

41:57want to just read this uh uh Hatchet Jr.

42:01He just says, "Hey, thanks for thanks

42:03for carrying us through the dog days of

42:04summer and making money. Love the show."

42:07Yeah, we're just Listen, it'll be more

42:09fun next week at this time when we're

42:12when it's big games and it's the

42:13playoffs, but

42:15>> we're we're here to finish the job. We

42:17still have three days of the regular

42:18season left. I haven't put anything up

42:20for sale on the basis yet today. I got

42:22to see some lineups today. I don't know

42:24how you're betting today without looking

42:26at lineups. Uh because it you could have

42:29teams that just run out, you know, a

42:32rotated lineup. I'd want to at least

42:34know that. Um, but yeah, that's I I

42:36intend to be betting at some point. Uh,

42:38but I'm gonna wait until a little bit

42:40closer to game time for my Major League

42:42Baseball. Brian, we do need best bets

42:45for the parlay. Uh, do you know where

42:47you want to go with yours?

42:48>> Yeah, I do. And, uh, other than these

42:50makeup games in the day, everything else

42:53is at night. So, uh, we do have a lot of

42:55time to look at, uh, the lineups, and

42:58I'm in agreement with you. I'm probably

42:59going to put up stuff a little bit later

43:01today.

43:02Um,

43:04I'm going to go back to a game we've

43:06already talked about. Uh, I talked

43:07myself into the Texas Rangers. I've got

43:10an angle 29 and five on Deg Grom and,

43:13um, I mentioned them with all the their

43:17key hitters. I didn't even mention

43:18Brandon NMO. He's a guy who's dealt with

43:21injuries, too. So, they've got their

43:23full slate of hitters in the lineup

43:24tonight. And, uh, to get them in this

43:27price range in a game that they need.

43:29Yeah. Give me Texas. Uh let me check the

43:31updated line on that. We're looking at

43:35I'm seeing 110s 115. Let's go minus 112

43:39as uh the average on this one. So Texas

43:42minus 112 G and Ryan.

43:45>> All right. We already talked about that

43:46game. So I'm going to go to RJ and then

43:48TB we'll get your parlay league after.

43:49I'm going to go to R.J. He says, "I

43:51doubt if the White Sox will be ready to

43:52play today. Looked like one heck of a

43:54party yesterday." So yes, Will Venibal

43:57talked about this. Um he addressed this

43:59on he addressed this before the game. So

44:02he actually addressed this before the

44:04game yesterday that they won and he said

44:06if we clinch the playoffs today, we're

44:09celebrating. He said these these guys

44:12deserve it. You know, they they have

44:14they lost 100 games three straight years

44:16in a row, right? It's a massive

44:18accomplishment for them to get to the

44:19playoffs. He said, "We're going to

44:21celebrate if we win." And he said, "We

44:23will be ready to play tomorrow." He

44:24said, "We're going to celebrate. We're

44:25going to have a great time. these guys

44:27deserve it and we're he goes rest

44:29assured we will be locked back in ready

44:31to go tomorrow night at home. So he got

44:34out in front of it and he was like no

44:36we're doing this because these guys

44:38deserve it and we we are going to show

44:41up ready to play tomorrow night. So you

44:44know yeah it it looked it looked great.

44:46It looked like a fun time. The good part

44:48about that I guess for the White Sox was

44:50that was a day game. So that celebration

44:52occurred at like 4:30 in the afternoon.

44:55Um, you know, probably dumped some

44:57champagne, had a good time, got on the

45:00flight back home. I think the White

45:02Socks are going to be ready to play

45:03tonight. Tokyo Brandon, they it's all

45:06right there for them. The Guardians are

45:07the ones that have to go on the road

45:08this weekend and win baseball games. The

45:10White Socks have three home games

45:13against the Rockies. And if the earlier

45:16part of this week is any indication of

45:17what the Rockies are are doing right now

45:20and how serious they're taking games, um

45:23this this the White Sox could easily

45:25sweep this weekend at home and steal the

45:27division from the Guardians. So White

45:28Sox Rockies to you, do you see the the

45:30White Socks coming in locked in to take

45:33care of business at home tonight?

45:35>> Yeah, motivationwise,

45:38uh AL Central title is and a first round

45:41buy is on the line here. They're one

45:43game behind Cleveland and they own the

45:45tiebreaker. So, yeah, this is going to

45:47come down to the wire. They do have a

45:49reason to play, but be very careful

45:52betting the White Socks in this

45:54particular game. Um, I got a lot of red

45:58flags. Uh, looking at the White Socks

46:00here, number one, Shawn Burke walks 71%

46:03of the guys he's striking out. Is a

46:05terrible rate. Yes, Sugano is one of the

46:08worst pitchers in all of Major League

46:09Baseball, but he's not walking anyone.

46:11and he's only walking like 40%. So, uh,

46:15walk the walk advantage goes to Sigano

46:18here. Hitting

46:21Colorado is ranked higher than the White

46:22Socks in hitting and Colorado's bullpen

46:25is ranked higher than the White Sox

46:26bullpen currently in current form. I

46:28know that the White Socks are bringing

46:30guys in that they can use in long relief

46:32and we talked about it yesterday and

46:34these numbers might not reflect that

46:36fully. So, I know Adam that you

46:38particularly like the White Sox bullpen.

46:41Um, but I just have a lot of red flags

46:43here. Uh, so this particular game I

46:47would definitely stay away from if it's

46:49me. You do what you like.

46:52Brian, roll the L screen out. Roll the L

46:56screen out for Sugano because he's just

46:58throwing batting practice again tonight.

46:59That is that is all he's good for at

47:01this point. Um, the the White Socks

47:04probably score 10 runs if they really

47:06want to. I mean, if they come in locked

47:08in, I could see a crooked number. If

47:10they don't, I'll tell you what, Shawn

47:12Burke is going to have about as big of a

47:13leash as my dog does when I walk him

47:15around the neighborhood. It's not that

47:17big. Uh if that's what you because he'll

47:19he goes nuts. You hear him on the

47:21broadcast. Shawn Burke isn't in this

47:22game. If he if he the second he is not

47:26sharp, see you. He's out of this game.

47:29Venable will lean. Uh Grant Taylor still

47:31hasn't pitched in now like four days.

47:34But the there's a reason for that

47:36because they've been blowing te they

47:38they blew out the Royals twice. They

47:40didn't need uh any of their relievers or

47:42they other than Hagen Smith. They didn't

47:43they never got to the Grant Taylor spot

47:45in that series because it was blowout

47:47win tie game that the Royals got a big

47:50hit in and put them behind and and they

47:52never got to the ninth inning tied. And

47:53then yesterday it was blowout win again.

47:55So they've been sitting on Grant Taylor

47:57for four days. If if it comes to it,

48:00let's say the sixth inning rolls around,

48:01you get to the seventh inning and the

48:03White Sox have a a one run or two-run

48:06lead here, that ball's going right to

48:08Grant Taylor for three innings and he's

48:09going to get you the win. Um because

48:11again, he is yet he has not pitched in a

48:13while. And I think Venibal will use him

48:15like that. I think he'll say, "Okay, we

48:17need we'll we'll go out and get us this

48:20win and then we'll lean on the other

48:23guys because we're going to want you in

48:25some capacity in game one of whatever

48:27series we're playing in. So, I think

48:29this is a great spot for the White

48:30Socks. I don't love the price here. I

48:32mean, they're a $2 favorite. Thought,

48:36Brian, I'd go White Socks minus one and

48:37a half for I don't love that for a home

48:39team, but like again, I just I the the

48:42Rockies now go on the road where they've

48:44been miserable. They just they couldn't

48:46have played a worse series against the

48:48Diamondbacks. Like I see crooked numbers

48:51all weekend from the White Socks. I I

48:53don't think this is going to be a very

48:54competitive series.

48:55>> I

48:57I can't agree more with TB. Um the

Astros/A’s

49:01Venable is a young guy. He just got his

49:03first job. He's they brought him in. Uh

49:06as I mentioned, um I was hoping he would

49:08get the Cleveland job. Vote Votes done a

49:10nice job. No doubt about it. But um he's

49:13a young guy and that's what he would

49:16want cuz because he's he's he's only a

49:19few years out of playing himself. So um

49:22and that's a big celebration for the

49:25White Sox. The White Sox, as you

49:26mentioned, have been so bad lately. They

49:29deserve to celebrate. But the Padres's

49:32and the Guardians have are veterans have

49:34gone to the playoffs. So yeah, their

49:36celebration is not going to be nearly as

49:38much as Chicago White Sox is. Um, and

49:41yes, there's a good thing that they're

49:43home against the team with the worst

49:45record in baseball, the team that's had

49:47the worst road team in baseball the last

49:50decade at least. Um, that's the

49:53advantage they have. But I'm not laying

49:56230 on the with the White Socks here

49:59because this is baseball. Anything can

50:02happen. Uh, I do believe there'll be

50:05some runs scored in here. I'm surprised

50:07to see a run a line of eight. So I if

50:10I'm playing I'm playing the over, but I

50:14can't lay this number with the White

50:15Socks. These are young kids. Uh they're,

50:19you know, they had the big party tonight

50:21and there's the job isn't completely

50:23done yet. So um yeah, I I'm I'm with TB

50:26if I I would lay off the side in this

50:28game, but I do think they're going to be

50:29some run.

50:32Uh, Tommo Sigano,

50:34worst expected Erra RA in the league,

50:36worst expected batting average in the

50:38league, highest exit velocity in the

50:40league. Um, worst strikeout rate in the

50:43league, worst barrel rate in the league.

50:45Uh, if you can isolate that, maybe go

50:48with a White Socks first five minus the

50:51half a run if you're really worried

50:52about the uh the juice. This is a like I

50:55don't like laying one and a half with

50:57the home team.

50:59I I I mean minus 110 if you lay the one

51:01and a half with the home team. I I think

51:03this is like another huge blowout White

51:05Sox win. That's just me. Go ahead,

51:07Brian.

51:08>> According to Fan Graphs, they had Jose

51:11Quintana is the guy that was his

51:13scheduled spot and they moved up Sagano

51:16who was supposed to pitch tomorrow. Uh

51:19do we know a reason for that or they

51:21just skip Quintana or what what's going

51:23on? So, yeah. So, so Contana is now

51:26listed as the starter for tomorrow. They

51:29actually had him he was supposed to

51:32pitch in the Dback series at some point

51:34and they pushed him off. I don't know

51:36what the deal I mean he's obviously

51:37coming back from injury, but like he is

51:39now listed as tomorrow's starter. So, I

51:41don't think you're going to see him

51:42here. Um, but that is a good put. That's

51:45a much tougher matchup in my opinion for

51:47the White Socks than Sugano. So, yeah.

51:50But Kintana's already been announced as

51:52tomorrow's starter. So, this is it's

51:54going to be Sugano followed by the

51:55Rockies awful bullpen arms is what I

51:58think you're going to see today. Um,

52:02Tokyo Brandon, where are you where are

52:03you looking for the parlay? Is it a game

52:05that we have not talked about this to

52:07this point?

52:07>> It is a game we have not talked about.

52:09Before I do that, let's let's do some

Parlay of the Day

52:11promoting. Uh, I'm doing my Asian

52:14baseball show tonight at 900 p.m.

52:16Eastern on my YouTube channel. You can

52:18get a double play until October 4th. You

52:20can also get a triple play. What is a

52:22double play? It's two of us, three 3

52:24days baseball all access. A triple play

52:26is one of us, 6 days for the price of

52:29three. So go to wageralk.com and you'll

52:32see those deals under our capper pages.

52:35Uh just go to experts and find us.

52:37You'll see us there. Adam's redhot in

52:39NFL. Brian's redhot the last 13 months.

52:43So you can't really go wrong. Brian, go

52:45ahead. Yeah, I just want to point out uh

52:46the si you buy three get three deal. Uh

52:50Monday, unless it's one of the things in

52:52case get canceled or whatever, Monday is

52:54going to be an off day. They will not

52:56charge you for the baseball. So that'll

52:58get you'll get an extra day on if you

53:00decide to buy that.

53:01>> Correct. You can put a pass in. So you

53:03won't lose the day. So don't worry about

53:06don't worry about that. Wagazer talks

53:07customer service bar none is the best

53:10I've ever seen in this industry. They

53:12are stellar. If you ever write uh

53:15info@wagertalk.com

53:17or or missywagertalk.com, they will take

53:19care of you to the tea. It's like

53:22getting a suit customized. Anyways,

53:23let's get to the game. Uh I'm going to

53:25go to Oakland here. I love the Astros.

53:28Motivation up the yin-yang, the AL West

53:30title, postseason birth. Everything is

53:32on the line for the Astros here. Uh

53:35they're tied with Texas, but they own

53:36the tiebreaker, so every game is huge.

53:39They're probably the most motivated team

53:41in Major League Baseball. They got

53:42Hunter Brown who's an absolute stud. Uh

53:46hitting they're kind of lacking a little

53:48bit. Uh you could see in yesterday's

53:49game they kept giving the lead away,

53:51coming back, giving it away, coming

53:52back. So I don't really like how they're

53:54playing. Uh but I love them in this

53:57game. Hunter Brown light years better

53:59than Jacob Lopez, who I think is the

54:02Oakland starter. Yeah. Uh and bullpens

54:05are negligible. I'm not crazy about

54:07Houston's bullpen, but with the

54:09motivation, the hitting, uh, the better

54:12coaching, and I love Hunter Brown. Give

54:14me the Astros here for my parlay leg.

54:17>> Brian, A's, Astros. Anything for you in

54:19this one?

54:20>> No. Uh, but the A's continue to play

54:23hard. Give them got give them a lot of

54:25credit for being uh out of the playoffs

54:26for this long.

54:28>> Yeah, the A Tokyo Brandon's right. I

54:31mean, the Astros have have everything to

54:32play for here. Um, I I'll have to go

54:35back and and see who's got the

54:36tiebreaker. I feel like the Astros maybe

54:38have the tiebreaker between these two

54:41teams.

54:42>> So, but still they need to at least hold

54:44surf. They need to match the Rangers.

54:46Um, so yeah, huge game for them. Uh,

54:49Brian's right. The A's have really been

54:51scrappy uh for the final month or so.

54:54probably not

54:56>> they're hitting

54:57>> like not the team that um that the that

55:00the Astros probably want to see in this

55:02spot having to go on the road to play

55:03them at Sutter Health Park where they've

55:05been pretty good the last month. So

55:09yeah, nothing for me there either, but

55:10uh we will be rooting for your Astros

55:13pick. I'll be rooting for your Astros

55:14pick because I need them to win this

55:15division uh to to get out of the futures

55:19that I fired. If the Rangers win this

55:21division, your boy's losing a few

55:23dollars. So, good thing things are going

55:24so well. Uh, because the future not so

55:27well.

55:28>> Sorry. I believe it's minus 180 for the

55:30tiebreaker or for the parlay

55:33>> for the parlay. And Colin, Astros fan, I

55:35knew he'd be all over it. Uh, he says

55:37yes, the Astros do have the tiebreaker

55:40with the Rangers. Brian, what is our

55:42Astros money line that's fair to give

55:44out to the people?

55:45>> I would say 175. So, it's not quite as

55:47bad. Um I've seen them 182 out there,

55:51but uh yeah, most of them are 175 range.

55:54>> I had them yesterday minus one for a 4%

55:56play.

55:57>> Uh and they kept they kept giving runs

56:00away at the end though. Their bullpen is

56:02not exactly the most reliable, but

56:04neither is is Oakland's. And uh Jacob

56:07Lopez not a guy I like to back. So

56:11>> yeah, I mean he's been better, but like

56:13you just Astros have to lock in. It's

56:16this a game they have to have and I I I

56:19could see them finding a way here. Um so

56:21yeah, we we'll we'll see if we can uh we

56:24we'll see if we can make it a second

56:25parlay. We hit it yesterday. Uh we've

56:27got it locked in for today. Once again,

56:30we've just got three sides. I'm going to

56:31go with the Cubs on the money line in

56:33game one of the double header. That is

56:35the 100 p.m. Eastern game this

56:37afternoon. Brian's going Rangers minus

56:40115 and Tokyo Brandon is going Astros

56:43minus 175. So, three full game money

56:46lines. It's Cubs game one, Rangers minus

56:49115, Astros minus 175. I got the 5enter

56:53up in NFL for Sunday. Haven't put

56:56anything up for yet for today. Anyone

56:58have anything to promote for tonight?

57:00>> I've got the uh one playing college

57:03football today. I really like easy

57:04winner yesterday as we've talked about.

57:07Uh we didn't talk about the Cleveland

57:08Kansas City game. I'm excited to watch

57:10that one. One of the best pitching

57:11matches of the season. I believe

57:13Cleveland can't hit lefties and they're

57:15going up against the hottest lefty in

57:16baseball right now. So, should be an

57:18exciting game uh with playoff

57:20implications.

57:21>> Mac, I'll read it one more time and then

57:23I'll let Tokyo Brandon close out the

57:25show. I used Cubs minus 120 in game one

57:29of the double header as my parlay

57:30league. Brian Leonard is going Rangers

57:33minus 115. Tokyo Brandon is going Astros

57:36minus 175. TB, tell the people about

57:40your run and what you have up and we'll

57:41then we'll get out of here.

57:43>> 25 and four run right now. I'm number

57:45one in the last three days, number one

57:47in the last seven days among 33 cappers.

57:50Brian's number one the last 13 months, I

57:52believe. Adam's number one at NFL. We're

57:54all hot. Get a double play. Two of us

57:58for three days baseball all access.

58:00Catch my Asian baseball show. I do have

58:02an MLB play up tonight. Uh, and I also

58:05ha will have an Asian baseball play out,

58:08but I'm going to cover every Asian

58:10baseball KBO and Japanese baseball

58:12tonight, 900 PM on my channel. So, catch

58:15that as well.

58:17>> 900 PM on Tokyo Brandon's channel doing

58:19a live Asian baseball show. Absolutely

58:21love that. The three of us will be back

58:23tomorrow morning, 9:00 a.m. Eastern, uh,

58:25for the final total bases of the regular

58:27season. Obviously, we don't do the show

58:29on Sunday, but then we'll be right back

58:31to kick off the playoffs with you guys.

58:33So, we will see you tomorrow morning and

58:35uh good luck. Cash all the tickets and

58:38uh yeah, have a great Friday. We'll see

58:39you in the morning.

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