Free YouTube Transcribe

Video transcript

The Man Who Owns 4% Of All Bitcoin: "I Made $15 Billion By Using ChatGPT!" | Michael Saylor

The Diary Of A CEO · 18,629 words · 85 min read

Want to search this transcript, jump the video from any line, or download it as TXT, SRT, or VTT?

Open in the transcript tool

Full transcript

Intro

0:00I used AI to make $15 billion last year.

0:02>> You did?

0:03>> I did. Because the AI gave us a solution

0:06to the problem that no one had ever

0:07encountered before in the history of the

0:08world. And so my advice is don't try to

0:11outwork the robots. What you want to do

0:13is ask the AI to do something that's

0:16never been done before. And if you want

0:18to create these incredible success

0:20things, you want to locate the magic

0:23opportunity. I know this because I'm an

0:26technology entrepreneur. And we're

0:28[music] the biggest buyer of Bitcoin in

0:29the world. So what is my mission? I'm

0:31preaching the gospel of digital

0:33empowerment [music] in Bitcoin as

0:35digital money. And it's going to be the

0:36best long-term capital asset. And you

0:39can actually own something and someone

0:41more powerful than you can't take it

0:43away from you.

0:44>> What do you mean they can't take Bitcoin

0:46from you?

0:47>> So this is a stack of currency. You walk

0:50through an airport on this, they ask you

0:52if you have cash. They just take it. So

0:53cash in a physical form is a problem. So

0:56what do you do? You put it in the bank.

0:58So the bank then decides whether you get

1:00to keep it and whether you get it back.

1:02But I could move a million dollars of

1:03Bitcoin from here to anywhere, to

1:06London, to anywhere in cyberspace in a

1:08few seconds. So the last thing in the

1:10world you want to save is money.

1:12>> So what about this? Why not just put all

1:14of my money into gold?

1:15>> Well, gold is up 12% a year, but Bitcoin

1:19is up 33.

1:20>> What about the S&P 500?

1:21>> You're going to get double the

1:23performance from BTC that you would get

1:25from like the S&P index.

1:26>> So should I buy a house?

1:27>> I will tell you why you shouldn't buy a

1:29house.

1:29>> And then you sold a bit of Bitcoin

1:30recently after telling a lot of people

1:32sell a kidney if you must but keep the

1:34Bitcoin. So why did you sell the Bitcoin

1:35instead of your kidney?

1:36>> Because

1:38>> Michael, beyond just buying Bitcoin,

1:40[music]

1:40what is a good strategy to build and

1:43become wealthy in your view? And then

1:44>> [music]

1:44>> you have 10 rules for young adults

1:46building a strong foundation for their

1:47life and career. So let's go through

1:48these.

1:49>> So first,

1:53>> This is super interesting to me. My team

1:55gave me this report to show me how many

1:56of you that watch this show subscribe

1:57and some of you have told us according

1:59to this that you are unsubscribed from

2:01the channel randomly. So, favor to ask

2:03all of you, please could you check right

2:05now if you've hit the subscribe button

2:06if you are regular viewer of the show

2:07and you like what we do here. We're

2:09approaching quite a significant landmark

2:11on this show in terms of a subscriber

2:12number. So, if there was one simple free

2:15thing that you could do to help us, my

2:16team, everyone here to keep this show

2:18free, to keep it improving

2:20year-over-year and week-over-week, it is

2:22just to hit that subscribe button and to

2:23double-check if you've hit it. Anything

2:25I'll ever ask of you.

2:26Do we have a deal? If you do it, I'll

2:28tell you what I'll do. I'll make sure

2:30every single week, every single month we

2:32fight harder and harder and harder and

2:33harder to bring you the guests and

2:34conversations that you want to hear. I

2:36stayed true to that promise since the

2:37very beginning of The Diary of a CEO and

2:38I will not let you down. Please help us.

2:41Really appreciate it. Let's get on with

2:43the show.

2:45>> [music]

Why Michael's Background Matters for Everything That Follows

2:47>> Michael, because of your success as a

2:49technology entrepreneur, you are a

2:51multi-billionaire from my

2:53math and you're heavily focused on

2:56digital currencies at the moment,

2:57specifically Bitcoin. What else do we

2:59need to know about you in terms of what

3:01you've built and accomplished outside of

3:02that?

3:03>> I always wanted to make a technical

3:04contribution. So, that the early

3:07business was business intelligence. So,

3:09how do you extract intelligence from

3:11large raw data sources and that was what

3:14MicroStrategy did. We created a global

3:16business intelligence company. And

3:18[snorts] I think in 2020, when the COVID

3:21lockdowns took place and the world

3:22turned upside down, that was when I

3:25discovered my greatest idea and it

3:27wasn't even my idea, right? It was

3:29Satoshi's idea, but I discovered Bitcoin

3:32in 2020 and the company today is

3:36$60 billion, but we peaked about 125

3:39billion. So, we got somewhere between

3:41100 and 200 times bigger since we

3:44discovered Bitcoin.

Why Bitcoin Is So Powerful Compared With Traditional Money

3:45>> And when you speak to the general public

3:46now, when you do podcasts like this,

3:48what is the the essence of the message

3:50that you're aiming to communicate to

3:51them.

3:53>> Bitcoin is is digital empowerment,

3:56digital capital. We're living through

3:59the digital transformation

4:01of assets, and this is just as profound

4:06transformation as digital intelligence.

4:09The real profound breakthrough of

4:11Bitcoin is this idea

4:14that you can take economic energy,

4:17convert to digital form, and tightly

4:19bind it to the person, the family, the

4:22company,

4:23or the country. We can talk about how we

4:25all hate countries, but you know, the

4:27history of the world is all the weak

4:29countries getting smashed by all the big

4:31countries. So, if what you're interested

4:34in in is empowerment and fairness and

4:37equity for the small company, the small

4:41family, the small person, the small

4:44country, the weak,

4:46how do you do it? Well, you basically

4:49encrypt the money, put it in cyberspace,

4:53protect it with a private key. So, like

4:56now you can actually own something and

4:58someone more powerful than you can't

5:00take it away from you.

How Digital Money Actually Works Behind the Scenes

5:02>> There's two types two types of money

5:04there in front of you. There's dollar

5:06bills, and then I've got a couple of

5:08Bitcoin on the table. What do you mean

5:10they can't take Bitcoin from you?

5:13>> Okay, so this is a stack of currency.

5:15You walk through an airport on this,

5:17they ask you if you have cash. If you

5:19do, they

5:21Cash in a in a physical form is a

5:23problem. So, what do you do? You put it

5:25in the bank.

5:27Well, the bank is is a counterparty. So,

5:29the bank then decides whether you get to

5:31keep it and whether you get it back. You

5:33go to the bank and you ask for it back,

5:34they might ask you why you asked for it

5:36back. If you ask for that much back,

5:39they file a form

5:41with the Treasury Department. You know,

5:42if you ask for too much money back too

5:44soon, right, someone comes knocking on

5:46your door. So, the challenge with this

5:48this is fiat currency

5:50and um you hold this at the pleasure of

5:53the nation-state. I mean, not just your

5:56nation-state. It's like every country on

5:57Earth gets to decide whether you get to

5:59spend this stuff, right? Which is

6:01interesting and if you want to actually

6:03transfer money to someone in another

6:05country, you need the permission of your

6:07bank, another bank, the central bank of

6:10their country, the corresponding bank.

6:12There might be seven different banks

6:13that have to decide whether the money

6:15gets from here to there. So, this is

6:17permissioned money, you know, that's uh

6:20managed by the state and with Bitcoin, I

6:23can take a million dollars. I can

6:25actually encrypt it in a chip in a

6:27physical coin, the Cascascius coin,

6:31and that's a million dollars. I slide it

6:33across and it's literally a bearer

6:35asset, you know, and so that's one

6:37manifestation of it. But, you could also

6:40put it into information form. I could

6:42transfer this to you just in the form of

6:45a private key that I wrote on a piece of

6:46paper and I gave to you.

6:49>> of letters you can give me.

6:50>> Yeah, or I could send you a message. I

6:52could send a text message. So, so, good

6:55luck getting a million dollars of gold

6:58from here to London if people don't want

7:00you to move it, but I could move a

7:03million dollars of Bitcoin from here to

7:05anywhere in a few seconds. The idea was

7:08I don't want to trust Apple or Google or

7:12Morgan Bank or a central bank or a

7:16government, right? And so, in the

7:18extreme case,

7:20you know, two people can meet in Africa

7:23and I can trade you some Bitcoin for

7:25your truck

7:26and I don't need the permission of seven

7:29banks and 16 governments and 32 other

7:33bureaucrats

7:35in order to buy that truck.

What Cash Really Is—and Why Most People Misunderstand It

7:37>> What is it that most people, the average

7:39person, doesn't understand about the

7:41nature of money as it sat in their bank,

7:44as it relates to the debasement of it or

7:47the sort of inflation of it. Because

7:49most people think if they've got, you

7:50know, $10,000 in their bank and they

7:51keep it there, and maybe getting

7:53interest on it at 4% a year, they're

7:55going to be good.

7:56>> So, this is about $10,000, I guess. Um

8:001 acre of land in Miami Beach on the

8:03water cost $10,000 about 100 years ago.

8:09I know this cuz I have a house on the

8:10water and I have the the deed of sale,

8:13and it was about on 2 acres and it was

8:16$20,000. The entire house cost $100,000.

8:19And uh it's about $20,000 worth of land.

8:22Today, uh 1 acre of land on this the

8:25same acre

8:27on the water

8:28$10 million?

8:30Maybe $20 million. So, you know

8:34what happened here, right? It's the same

8:37dollar. It works out to be a thousand X

8:41increase in price. So, when land goes

8:44from $10,000 to $10 million, that means

8:47that the currency, the dollar, the money

8:51lost about 7% of its economic value

8:55every year for 100 years running.

8:58If you lose 7% a year

9:00you know, then you get cut in half,

9:04right? 10 times.

9:06Right? So, what do most people not know

9:08about about money? What they don't

9:10realize is that the best currency,

9:13money, my money being a medium of

9:15exchange, unit of account, store of

9:16value, the dollar, the best in the 20th

9:19century and the 21st century, the US

9:21dollar

9:22lost 7% of its value every year going

9:25for 100 years. That's the best it's ever

9:26going to get.

9:28It's not that good for everybody else.

9:29If you go to most other countries, they

9:32lose 14% of their value, and so they

9:34collapse in about 30 years. So

9:37what you have is a situation where if

9:40you store your wealth and currency and

9:43and the money of the society, the

9:46question really is just are you going to

9:48lose most of your money within 10 years?

9:50That's the weak currencies in in Africa.

9:52For example, most currencies in Africa

9:55you couldn't hold you your wealth even

9:57for 10 years, maybe 5 years.

9:59Or are you going to lose all your money

10:00in 30 years? Hyperinflation happened in

10:02Brazil, happened in Argentina, you know,

10:05that's Mexico, that's most places, and

10:08that's the status quo. The average fiat

10:11currency, you know, collapses in about

10:1329 years, I think.

10:15And then the best is if you happen to be

10:17a citizen of the greatest nation in the

10:19world and you win all the wars, you're

10:21just going to lose all your money in

10:24you know, half-life is 35 years. You're

10:26going to lose your money over the course

10:28of 100 years.

Why Buying a House May Not Be the Wealth Strategy You Think

10:29>> So, should I buy a house?

10:31>> So, you get to the next interesting

10:33point which is that $100,000 in 19, uh,

10:3826

10:39in Miami Beach

10:41today would be worth $100,000, that

10:44house,

10:4550 to 100 million dollars.

10:47So, the house is better, right? In fact,

10:50if you're trying to preserve your

10:51wealth, you have to acquire scarce

10:53desirable property.

10:55So, your choice is do I buy real estate?

10:58Do I residential real estate? Do I buy

11:00commercial real estate? Do I buy a

11:02private company? Do I buy a public

11:04company? Like stocks? Do I buy

11:06collectibles?

11:07So, let me tell you why you shouldn't

11:08buy a house.

11:09Because, uh, there's a 2% property tax

11:12on houses in in Florida, which means

11:14that if you buy a house, you pay 2% of

11:16the value every year.

11:182%, you know, means that every 36 years

11:22you actually pay the cost of the house

11:24in tax to the government. Not a very

11:26good store of value because, uh, you're

11:29taking on a massive tax load

11:32and you're taking on a maintenance load.

11:34But having said it, it's still a better

11:36deal than just holding cash in a bank or

11:38holding cash in a safe. You know,

11:40commercial real estate looks a bit

11:41better, right? Because with commercial

11:43real estate, you can offset the tax, the

11:45insurance, and the maintenance cost with

11:49rents.

11:50So, what really works out with

11:51commercial real estate most of the time

11:53is you buy a million dollars commercial

11:56real estate, you have a bunch of fees,

11:58you charge rent. The rent offsets the

12:00maintenance cost. You don't really make

12:02any money on the rent, but the

12:04underlying million dollars appreciates

12:067% a year every year. And so, you

12:09actually can build wealth

12:11with commercial real estate if you can

12:12just cover the maintenance expenses.

12:15>> Most people are are told that the way to

12:18build wealth when they leave university

12:20and they get into the working world is

12:21to buy a house. So, most people that's

12:23what most most people do. They They get

12:25a job, a 9:00 to 5:00, they take the

12:27money they get from that, they go and

12:28get a mortgage, they buy a house, and

12:30they move in. That's kind of what we're

12:31all told implicitly. Is that a good

12:34strategy to build and become wealthy in

12:36your view?

12:38>> The only way that it's a good strategy

12:41is

12:43you're buying the house in a

12:46jurisdiction where the property taxes

12:49are manageable. Then yeah, you can you

12:51can generate some wealth. But if I flip

12:54that and you end up taking a 7% mortgage

12:57and you get massive tax and massive

12:59insurance expenses,

13:01then that same investment, you know,

13:03works out the other way and it it

13:05crushes you to death. So,

13:08a better idea generally is commercial

13:10real estate if you're if you actually

13:12have the, you know, the business acumen

13:15to to get into commercial real estate

13:17business cuz you can pass all the

13:19expenses through to your tenants.

13:22These things are all hard, right? Real

13:23estate business is hard, starting your

13:25own company is hard. Investing in other

13:28companies is hard. The conventional

13:31thing, the safe thing is I just put all

13:32my money in a money market and I get

13:34paid 3% and then after tax I've got 1.5%

13:38and the currency is losing 7% of its

13:41value a year and you're just losing 5 or

13:436% of your wealth every year for your

13:45life. So

13:46that's why Bitcoin is such a compelling

13:50thing. That's why people that believe in

13:51Bitcoin are passionate about it because

13:53the average person shouldn't have to be

13:55a real estate expert. They shouldn't

13:57have to be a tax expert. They shouldn't

13:59have to be capable of launching their

14:01own restaurant or bar or bakery. You

14:04shouldn't have to be a stock picker. Why

14:07shouldn't the typical person just be

14:09able to take their money, put it into an

14:12asset which appreciates in value 15% a

14:15year and they don't have to worry about

Why Stocks Still Matter in a Changing Financial World

14:17it?

14:17>> What about the S&P 500? They can just

14:19put it into the stock market, right?

14:20>> Yeah, John Bogle's real contribution and

14:23the success of the S&P 500 is this idea

14:27that

14:28currency is not a store of value.

14:31Real estate is illiquid and scary and

14:34difficult and inefficient and high

14:36maintenance. So what is the liquid

14:39capital asset that it can I can buy and

14:41it turns out to be like SPY. It's just

14:43the S&P 500 in the form of an ETF. So

14:46that has returned 15% over the past 6

14:49years.

14:50Over 100 years?

14:52Maybe 10%? Something like that?

14:54>> Every year?

14:55>> And if the US dollar is losing 7% of its

14:57value in scarce desirable terms over the

15:00course of 100 years and you're getting

15:0110%

15:02you're getting a 2 or 3% boost and

15:06in return for accepting the volatility

15:09of being invested in the stock market,

15:11but it's not a bad idea, right? If you

15:14want the conventional best idea to

15:17preserve your wealth without taking on

15:20individual, you know, corporate risk and

15:23individual real estate risk, I just buy

15:24the S&P index and wait.

Gold vs. Bitcoin vs. Stocks: Which Asset Wins?

15:26>> What about this?

15:29This is gold.

15:30>> Yep.

15:31>> Why not just put all of my money into

15:33gold?

15:34>> It's not an awful idea to buy gold. Gold

15:37is up, um,

15:3812% a year

15:41for the past 6 years. So, whereas the

15:43S&P's up 15, gold's up 12, the NASDAQ's

15:46up 18.

15:47Bitcoin is up 33.

15:50Okay, so,

15:52generally, if you look at the world and

15:54you say, "Where do you want to save your

15:55money?" You want to buy a capital asset.

15:58Gold's a winner, S&P's a winner,

16:01diversified tech stocks are a winner.

16:04Bitcoin is a winner. Now, you're going

16:06to say to me,

16:08"Well, so then, well, why Bitcoin?"

16:10Well, the answer is, if you're living in

16:12Turkey, if you're living in Argentina,

16:14if you're living in Brazil before the

16:16currency collapses, or Mexico, or

16:18Venezuela, or any country in Africa, you

16:21don't get gold, you don't get the S&P,

16:23you don't get QQQ. You can't buy

16:25diversified real estate in the US. Those

16:28options I named are a Western world

16:31conventional capital assets. So,

16:35the big mistake,

16:36don't invest in non-capital assets.

16:38Don't put all your family's money in

16:40soybeans, you know? Don't buy barrels of

16:43crude oil, don't buy cotton, don't

16:46invest in things that a factory or a

16:48robot or an AI can generate infinite of.

16:53You buy things that the robots and the

16:55AIs and the big factories cannot pump

16:58out by the million gallons. And so, what

17:01is that? It is maybe an ounce of gold,

17:04it is a share in the 500 most desirable

17:07companies in the world, it is one out of

17:1121 million Bitcoin. All of those things

17:14are things that the robots are not going

17:16to create infinite of. Those are capital

17:19assets. Which capital asset

17:22is a function of where you live

17:24and what your mindset is. If you're

17:26living in a war zone,

17:28my advice is Bitcoin because you're not

17:32carrying this through a checkpoint,

17:34right? Like, you know, if if you need to

17:36go through an airport, you want

17:38something that you get to keep and take

17:40with you.

How AI Could Transform the Economy Faster Than Expected

17:41>> You talked about the robots there.

17:43>> Yeah.

17:44>> And uh when we say the robots, I think

17:46we mean both the the surgeon robotics

17:48we're seeing, but also artificial

17:50intelligence that's going to empower

17:52them to be very, very intelligent.

17:53>> Yeah.

17:54>> How has this changed your thesis in how

17:57you view the future? Cuz it's it's a

17:58profound surprise, I think to all of us

18:00that artificial intelligence is

18:02accelerating at the rate we're seeing.

18:04>> Technology fails until it succeeds. When

18:06I was at MIT, people were trying to

18:08make, uh you know, speech recognition

18:10work. It just didn't work. For a

18:11thousand years, people wanted to fly and

18:13it didn't work. And in 1902, the New

18:15York Times declared that every learned

18:18scientist knows that you'll never be

18:19able to fly. And then in 1903, we fly.

18:22In 2023, you know, the AI started

18:26working. You can see what's happening.

18:28We've affected the digital

18:29transformation of intelligence.

18:31Cars are going to drive themselves.

18:33It's pretty clear that anything that

18:35takes massive human labor, you know,

18:38whether it's lawyering, writing a

18:39contract, or composing a poem, or

18:42composing a script, or composing

18:46It's like, you want a book?

18:47Tell the AI what kind of book you want.

18:49Here's my 10, you know, I want this. I

18:52want it to be set in London. I want this

18:54protagonist. Can you make it like that?

18:56Put some more violence in it.

18:58Uh you know, Voltaire, right, was

19:00impressive because he created, you know,

19:03this much literature. And and when he

19:05did it, it came out of the mind of one

19:07man, and that was quite amazing.

19:09And you know, I think we're always going

19:12to admire the people that did it first.

19:15Right? But, you know,

19:17the AIs will think for us.

19:20You know, put the AI into the robot.

19:22We're not that far, right? Like when I

19:24sit when I sit and I talk to my voice

19:27assistant, whether it's Chad or whether

19:29it's Grok, and it's it's like she knows

19:32everything, and she keeps getting

19:33smarter.

19:34You know, you know, every single week

19:37she gets smarter, and it's like what

19:38happens when they go into a robot? It's

19:40like

19:41Well, you can you pretty much can

19:43imagine

19:44a billion robots, and maybe we'll pay

19:46200 bucks a month for a robot, and the

19:49robot will just pretty much do

19:51everything.

19:52And so, the question is do you want

19:53someone to do everything, to cook, to

19:56clean, you know, to take out the trash?

19:59Would you like a self-driving car? Of

20:01course, you do. We're on the verge of

20:03these perfect products, right? That

20:06like we'll get to the point where we're

20:07like I I I I

20:09You used to actually have an oven that

20:11burned things?

20:13Like what?

20:14What what it was stupid? Yeah, it was

20:16too stupid to know it was going to burn

20:18the

20:19Huh? Why don't you just put intelligence

20:21into the appliance, right? What why

20:24would you ever have an unintelligent

20:25appliance, right? At this point, when it

20:28gets exponentially cheaper. We used to

20:30get in traffic accidents.

20:33Right? Like like the big reveal, right?

20:35The big the big inversions when people

20:37realize that the self-driving cars are

20:40safer than the person-driven cars,

20:43right?

20:44It's like you used to make mistakes.

20:47You know, the irony, of course, is now

20:49when you send a message to someone, if

20:50you want to prove that it came from you,

20:52you have to actually put errors in it.

20:55Right? It's like if you put errors in

20:57it, I believe you typed it. You know,

20:59the AI can draft the thing as though it

21:01had a PhD in English, and it had 20

21:03years experience as a copy editor. And

21:06so, we're reaching this point where

21:09lack of of effectiveness is just

21:13laziness, right? Like, if you wrote

21:15something which wasn't perfect,

21:19it's cuz you're lazy, not because you're

21:21not perfect. I mean, the AIs create

21:23perfect documents. They do perfect

21:25research.

21:27The robots will do any amount of work.

21:29And I I think Elon makes this point,

21:31which is we're about to trip over an age

21:33of abundance.

Is the Age of Abundance Closer Than We Think?

21:34>> Do you believe that's true?

21:36What What does that say about Bitcoin?

21:38Because I'm looking at some of the

21:39quotes here that Elon said about the age

21:40of abundance. And he says, "In the

21:41future, where anyone can have anything,

21:44you no longer need money as a database

21:46for labor allocation. If AI and robotics

21:48are big enough to satisfy all human

21:50needs, then the relevance of money

21:52declines rapidly. I'm not sure we will

21:55have it. If you are stranded on a desert

21:57island with a trillion dollars, it will

21:58be pointless because there is no labor

22:00to allocate. In a benign scenario, we

22:03will have universal high income. Much as

22:05universal basic income mean anyone can

22:07have any products or any services that

22:09they want. Universal high income via

22:12checks issued by federal governments is

22:14the best way to deal with unemployment

22:15caused by AI/robotics.

22:18Because AI and [snorts] robotics will

22:19produce goods and services far in excess

22:21of the increase in money supply, so

22:23there will be no inflation. Work will

22:25become optional, kind of like playing

22:27sports or a video game. You can go to

22:29the store and buy vegetables, or you can

22:31go and grow them in your backyard

22:32because you like growing them.

22:34That's what work will be like. AI and

22:36robotics are going to make so much stuff

22:38and provide so many services that they

22:41will actually run out of things to do

22:43for the humans. Money is fundamentally

22:45information. The true constraints of the

22:47future won't be financial. They'll be

22:50energy and mass.

22:52>> He's half right. I agree with with part

22:55of what he says. That is, consumer

22:58goods, consumables, utilitarian goods uh

23:02will become abundant. But, there are

23:04always going to be scarce desirable

23:06goods that will not become abundant. And

23:09I think he overstates the case. Money

23:11will still be valuable, wealth will

23:13still be valuable. But, I'll give you an

23:15example.

23:17Henry VIII didn't have clean water.

23:19Did not have heat, did not have cooling.

23:22These things the King of England did not

23:23have. And technology gave all these

23:26things to the middle class.

23:28And so, if you live in the middle class

23:30today, you know, you can have your

23:32appendix out, you know. But, Henry VIII

23:34didn't have dental crowns, he didn't

23:35have x-rays. So, you get modern medical

23:38care, you know, the infant mortality

23:41rate has plunged. Life is safer, clean

23:44water, clean air, right?

23:48Clean food. And technology gave them to

23:51us. We stamp out infinite Coca-Cola,

23:54infinite Hershey's bars, ice cream,

23:56right? Running water.

23:59Right? Electricity. So, all of those

24:01things have been given to the middle

24:04class, the working class in the

24:05developed world. Right? Not everywhere,

24:07but let's say in the developed world.

24:08But, everybody doesn't get a Hampton's

24:10house, everybody doesn't get their own

24:12private jet, they don't get their own

24:13private yacht. So, what happened with

24:15the explosion of affluence?

24:18Massive utilitarian entitlement, lots of

24:21cars. But, you know, okay, so everybody

24:22gets a car, but how many people get a

24:24Porsche? What happens with humanity is

24:26we always invent the luxury car.

24:29We come up with the trophy asset. And

24:32And again,

24:34>> But, but most people don't actually want

24:35that. They want to be able to like feed

24:37their family and not have to worry about

24:39the bills. So, all of those people,

24:41you're saying that those people are

24:42going to be They're going to be good.

24:43They're not going to have to work.

24:44>> I'm saying that if if your aspiration is

24:47a good life,

24:49if you want infinite food, infinite

24:52energy, infinite education, infinite

24:55entertainment,

24:58right? You're probably going to get it.

25:00My point is, in theory, right, why does

25:02money matter today?

25:04Cuz everybody, you know, has electricity

25:07and water. Because people want to buy

25:08something more than water. By the way,

25:11water is the proletarian drink.

25:14>> What does that mean?

25:15>> It means that if you go to a restaurant

25:17and you don't and you can't afford

25:18anything else, you ask for a cup of

25:19water,

25:20right?

25:21>> [clears throat]

25:21>> And then if you have some more money,

25:23you get yourself a Coca-Cola or a soft

25:25drink, and that costs five bucks. But if

25:27you have more money, you buy yourself a

25:28vodka. And then when you have more

25:30money, you want to buy yourself the

25:31specialty high-end tequila. And and

25:34eventually people find a way to spend

25:36$38 on a drink.

25:38And uh, you know, in New York City, you

25:40know, you can see that everywhere. Why

25:42do we go to restaurants and pay $300

25:45to eat at a restaurant? Because you can

25:47actually feed yourself on three bucks a

25:49day. And the answer is,

25:51there's always going to be a hierarchy

25:53of affluence, and people are going to

25:54find things to aspire to that will be

25:57more than

25:59the utilitarian mean that everybody

26:02gets. If I give you a universal health

26:04care, people want private health care.

26:06If I give everybody a house, someone's

26:08going to want a house twice as big.

26:10Everybody's always going to have a

26:12reason to want something more, you

26:15>> Because we're status orientated animals.

26:18>> That's the cynical way to look at it,

26:20but the other way to look at it is, I

26:22wanted to be sitting on a mountain peak

26:25skiing, but not that mountain peak,

26:28because the snow's not good on that

26:30mountain peak this week.

26:31>> And it's too busy on this one.

26:33>> Yeah, and that one was too crowded.

26:35You know, it's like there's always going

26:37to be

26:38some exclusivity, you know, there's

26:41going to be a quest. So I I think that

26:44money's not going away. I think it's

26:46pretty obvious if you look around you

26:49that that Uh, people still need money.

26:52It is true

26:54that the basic needs in life, basic

26:57transportation, basic energy, basic

27:00health care, all of those things can be

27:02manufactured in quantity and they'll get

27:04progressively cheaper. We'll call them

27:06consumer goods.

What Happens If AI Replaces Millions of Jobs?

27:08>> If this uh knowledge work does become

27:11I guess taken by the robots and the AIs,

27:14there's some people say there's going to

27:15be new jobs created and everyone will be

27:16fine. But it's not clear to me that

27:19there will be enough new jobs created in

27:20a period of time um to satisfy the

27:23demand of people to have something to do

27:27professionally.

27:28>> It used to be everybody was a farmer,

27:29right? And then all of a sudden in

27:31America we have new jobs like called

27:33accountants and lawyers and film

27:35producers. You're a podcaster. Your job

27:38didn't exist 20 years ago. It did you

27:40know, the job description did not exist,

27:42the business did not exist. There's a

27:44lot of things that exist today. Yeah. I

27:47There are people that make a living

27:49putting on makeup and clothes and

27:50posting on Instagram and that was not a

27:52job that existed 30 years ago.

27:55So, there'll be a lot of new jobs.

27:57There'll be dislocation. There's going

27:59to be political unrest. What do I think?

28:03I think this is the best argument in

28:05favor of encouraging a free market and

28:08allowing uh liberal

28:11uh unregulated

28:13businesses to prosper because

28:16if you have a progressive society and by

28:20the way, the United States is sort of

28:21more progressive.

28:22>> Define progressive in this context.

28:24>> You're allowed to start a business.

28:26You're allowed to sell product.

28:28It's not illegal

28:30to

28:31to create a podcast.

28:33By the way, you you can't do what you're

28:34doing in Cuba.

28:35>> Yeah.

28:36>> Right? In North Korea you couldn't do

28:38it.

28:38>> I read something crazy last night about

28:40driving autonomous cars. It said lawyers

28:42are trying to stop block EVs because

28:46these particular lawyers make a lot of

28:47money from litigating car accidents.

28:50>> We wouldn't want people to not crash.

28:52>> Yeah.

28:53>> Like Yeah, so the point is there all

28:55sorts of laws in restraint of trade.

28:57Like you can't have an Airbnb. In the

29:00face of modern technology, if you have

29:02modern technology is creating

29:04dislocation, if your goal is to

29:07embrace the technology,

29:09create maximum productivity,

29:12and then minimize the disruption and the

29:15inflammation,

29:16then the more degrees of freedom you

29:18offer,

29:20the less pain there'll be because in a

29:22more free society, you're going to have

29:2510,000 new kinds of businesses pop up or

29:28100,000 new business opportunities that

29:32no one conceptualized. And they'll be

29:34threatening to the status quo, but

29:36they'll be rational and they'll create

29:38value, and then they will create gainful

29:40employment, and they'll create wealth

29:42for all the people that are displaced

29:45right by by the technology.

Subscribe for More Conversations Like This

29:50>> Steve, what you doing?

29:51>> Uh just making myself a delicious

29:53coffee.

29:53>> From the freezer?

29:55>> From the freezer. You not heard about

29:56Cometeer?

29:57>> No.

29:58>> Oh my gosh. This is going to change your

29:59life.

30:00Couple of months ago, the founder of

30:01this business called Matt sent a big

30:03shipment of this coffee to our office in

30:06London. What most people don't know is

30:07that the processing of coffee takes out

30:09a lot of the taste. So what they do is

30:11they flash freeze it at the optimal

30:14moment when it's most tasty. And they

30:17send you in the post the coffee in these

30:19little frozen ice cubes. Now Matt sent a

30:21big shipment to my office. I moved it to

30:23the kitchen. I said to the team, knock

30:24yourselves out. And then I saw so many

30:26messages in our Slack channel of people

30:27going, "Oh my god, what the hell is

30:30that? It's so delicious." All I have to

30:32do is pop it out in the morning using

30:33the little button on the back of this

30:34thing. I pour my hot water in, and I mix

30:38it,

30:39and that is done. You can get $30 off

30:42your first order of Cometeer Coffee if

30:45you go to cometeer.com/steven.

30:48Try it and please Instagram DM me,

30:50LinkedIn me, and let me know if you love

30:52it as much as I do.

30:54One of the things you've heard me talk

30:55about quite a lot over the last couple

30:56of years, and this is something that's

30:57true in business and content, but also

30:59with everything in life, is that

31:01consistency is the thing that really,

31:03really compounds. The same is true in

31:05sales. When your team is small,

31:07consistency happens naturally. The team

31:09knows every deal, so nothing gets

31:11missed. But, as I've experienced, when

31:13you grow, this starts to break down and

31:15deals start to slip, follow-ups don't

31:17happen, leads go cold that shouldn't

31:19have. And when this happens, a lot of

31:20leaders look at it and think they have a

31:22people problem. When actually, it's a

31:23systems problem. The businesses that

31:25I've watched scale well commercially all

31:27have a system that team uses every

31:29single day. And for my team, that system

31:32has been our sponsor, Pipedrive. It's an

31:33easy-to-use intelligent CRM tool for

31:35growing sales teams that gives you

31:37visibility of every deal in your sales

31:38pipeline at every single stage. And it

31:41shows you what needs to happen for that

31:42deal to move forward, all in real time.

31:45It's what keeps our commercial operation

31:46consistent when we were a team of five

31:49or when our commercial team was a team

31:50of 50. Over 100,000 companies are

31:52already running their sales on it. So,

31:54if you'd like to join them, sign up at

31:56pipedrive.com/ceo,

31:57where you'll get an exclusive 30-day

31:59free trial instead of the usual 14 days.

32:02And there's no credit card needed at

32:04all. Head to pipedrive.com/ceo.

How AI Helped Generate $16 Billion in Value

32:09You know, earlier you were talking about

32:10how you can get AI to write a book. I

32:11was thinking as you were saying it, the

32:12interesting thing is, I now ask my AI

32:16um what book I need to read.

32:18And to make that book for me, versus

32:20being prescriptive to it and because it

32:22has what it this huge memory on me. It

32:24knows what I'm I'm dealing with. It

32:25knows the businesses I'm building, the

32:26problems I have. And so, I just say,

32:28"What What do I What's the question I

32:29should be asking you? Or what should

32:31book should I be reading?" And then,

32:33"Can you make that book for me? Make it

32:3420 pages. I like it in this particular

32:36style cuz it's my favorite style of

32:37author. And then I I want to download it

32:39as an MP3 file and listen to it on my

32:41way to work. I have 43 minutes.

32:43Could you say what should What's the

32:45question I should be asking you?

32:46>> Yeah, you're you're using You're using

32:49that as an example, but at the end of

32:51the day, you have to govern the state

32:54space. For example, anybody could say

32:57what question should I ask, but the real

32:59issue is what's the What are the input

33:00constraints? If you're a baker in

33:02Nigeria

33:04in Lagos.

33:05>> Okay, yeah.

33:06>> Right? There's a certain set of

33:07conditions that are different than if

33:09you happen to be a fireman in Los

33:11Angeles.

33:12>> Yeah.

33:12>> Right? And so

33:14what's the state space that you're

33:16exploring in order to create a

33:17contribution?

33:19And I'll give you an example like um

33:22I used AI. I used AI to make $15 billion

33:25last year.

33:27>> Is that a true story?

33:28>> This is true.

33:29>> Okay.

33:29>> You did?

33:29>> I did. Yeah.

33:31And I used an AI to make $15 billion in

33:33a way that no one would ever conceive

33:35that you could make $15 billion.

33:37>> This is a true story?

33:38>> Okay. Yeah, let let's let's go back to

33:39me in 2025.

33:41We have a company that has billions of

33:43dollars of Bitcoin. Uh $30 billion of

33:46Bitcoin. We want to actually raise

33:48capital to buy more Bitcoin. We maxed

33:51out the equity markets. Uh we became the

33:53largest issuer of convertible bonds in

33:56the in the world. And we maxed out the

33:58convertible bond market. And And uh that

34:01was our journey in the first 5 years of

34:03our Bitcoin.

34:03>> To simplify this for Jenny Davis, you

34:05borrowed as much money as you could from

34:06traditional means.

34:07>> Yes.

34:08>> Okay.

34:08>> Yeah.

34:08>> To buy Bitcoin.

34:09>> Yeah.

34:09>> Yeah.

34:10>> By the beginning of 2025, we had issued

34:12as many convertible bonds as you could

34:14issue. We were the largest issuer in the

34:16world. And it wasn't scalable. So, we

34:18needed to invent a new type of security,

34:21a new type of credit instrument that we

34:23could use to borrow money to buy more

34:25Bitcoin.

34:27So,

34:28we went to the AI. I went to the AI and

34:30I started exploring how do I design a

34:32preferred stock.

34:34And so I said, I think I want to create

34:36a security that's not a common equity

34:38and I don't want it to be a bond. I want

34:39it to be some hybrid in the middle. A

34:41preferred stock, you know, for the

34:44layman, it's it's just a security that

34:46could be anything. You can give it any

34:47terms. I can sell you a preferred stock

34:49and give you the right to put it back to

34:51me in 12 months and it looks like that.

34:53I can give you a guaranteed coupon on

34:55it. I can give you conversion rights and

34:58and make it look like equity. So, we

35:00used AI to design a convertible

35:02preferred stock called STRK. When we did

35:05it, no one had ever created a preferred

35:07stock that was backed by Bitcoin before

35:10and and we'd never issued it and so it

35:13was kind of a combination of financial

35:15engineering and digital asset

35:17engineering and legal work and

35:20securities law.

35:21So, we built it and

35:24and, you know, when we asked the lawyers

35:26and the bankers, they're like, well, no

35:27one's ever done it before.

35:29Okay. And and you know, their their

35:30their answer, by the way, is no one's

35:32ever done it before and people don't do

35:33that. So, we don't think you should do

35:35that.

35:36And we're like, well, everything else

35:38that people have done we've maxed out

35:40and so we're kind of at the point where

35:43our growth is going to stop unless we

35:45find a way out of the box. So, we're

35:47going to have to do something no one's

35:48ever done before using

35:51new technology, right? We're using

35:53digital capital. We're using uh

35:56digital intelligence and we're using a

35:59digital treasury company. So, three new

36:02forms of something in order to create

36:04value.

36:05And after we'd done three of them, we

36:07decided what we wanted to do was create

36:09a short duration credit instrument, one

36:12that would be would trade stably around

36:14$100, around par.

36:16And we're trying to figure out how do

36:17you get a preferred stock to trade at at

36:20a stable level? It's what what you would

36:22call technically short duration credit,

36:25but it's like we're trying to create a

36:26money market type instrument where

36:28people can buy it at 100, sell it at

36:29100, collect the yield, and not worry

36:32about it trading up and down or being

36:34sensitive to interest rates.

36:36Well, if you do that, you have to vary

36:38in order to get it to trade stable, if

36:40you want the price to be stable, you

36:41have to change the dividend rate.

36:43And so, we created an instrument

36:46that where we could change the dividend

36:48rate every month. Now, had anybody ever

36:50done it? No. In the history of the

36:52world, no one ever created a variable

36:54dividend rate preferred stock.

36:56Is it illegal? No.

36:58Why has no one ever done it? No one ever

37:00had a reason to do it. They never

37:01thought to do it.

37:03The lawyers, the bankers, the

37:05conventional investors, they're like,

37:06"Well, we've never seen it done before.

37:07We're not sure you can do it."

37:10We go to the AI, we said, "Well, can we

37:11do it?" They're like, "Of course you can

37:12do it. Just do this, this, and this, and

37:14this, and it Well, they said they don't

37:15like that. Well, just do this, this,

37:16this."

37:16>> Which AI?

37:18>> Chat GPT.

37:19Open AI.

37:20>> So, Chat GPT made you $15 billion?

37:23>> Yeah, because the short of it is, we

37:24brought our IPO to market, it became a

37:26$2.5 billion IPO, the biggest IPO of the

37:30year to date.

37:32And then, we put a shelf registration on

37:34it, we sold another $8 billion of it.

37:38So, we sold 10 and 1/2 billion dollars

37:39of that instrument, plus 4 billion of

37:41the other instrument. So, we basically

37:43sold $15 billion of credit, which kind

37:46of equates to the company making about

37:48$15 billion.

Can AI Really Help You Find Your Next Billion-Dollar Business?

37:50>> I'm thinking about what this means

37:51generally for the average person

37:52listening.

37:53>> Yeah.

37:54>> Because everyone's like searching for

37:55business ideas.

37:56>> Right.

37:57>> New ideas. And you're telling me that

37:58you you can use AI now to come up with

38:01novel business ideas and solutions that

38:03are outside of the box and that would

38:05generate value for people. Um you though

38:08there is it's almost like hearing that

38:10there's an arbitrage opportunity with

38:11this intelligence.

38:13Now, I was reading something the other

38:14day that said only 2% of households have

38:16a Chat GPT or AI subscription still.

38:20So, do you think there is an an an

38:21arbitrage there for people who go to AI

38:23now and and can build business ideas

38:26from it?

38:27>> If If you're an entrepreneur, right? If

38:28you If you aspire to create a business

38:31or create something of value, then it's

38:34the no-brainer is you definitely should

38:37pick one or more of these AIs and maybe

38:40you want to become adept using multiple.

38:42They're They're just different tools.

38:43It's It's kind of like saying you got to

38:45learn how to use a computer and you got

38:47to learn how to read reading, writing,

38:49arithmetic, right? Just basics.

38:52And then

38:53once you've done that, you you do need

38:56to have some domain expertise in

38:58something, right? The question is

39:01what are you going to do, right? You

39:02either want to create

39:04a new product or you want to create a

39:06new service

39:08or you want to radically transform an

39:11existing product or service using AI to

39:15be much cheaper, much better.

39:19But to my mind, you know, I would try to

39:21create something magical.

39:23Like for example can you create

39:25something that does everybody's

39:26accounting, does you know, does the work

39:28of a million accountants and sell it for

39:3010 bucks a month?

39:32Right?

39:32>> If you're 18 now, if your kids came to

39:34you and said, "Dad, what should I

39:36go and study at university? And what

39:38shouldn't I study at university?

39:40Would your answer be different now as we

39:42stand on the foothills of this new

39:43technology?"

39:44>> You want to study the new thing, right?

39:46You want to learn the new thing. And so,

39:48if you look at the history of of

39:50science, the real question is, what's on

39:52the S-curve?

39:53>> On the S-curve?

39:53>> The whole theory of the S-curve is for a

39:55thousand years we try to fly.

39:58And infinite energy makes no progress.

40:00You cannot fly. And then in 1903

40:04all of a sudden we can sort of fly.

40:06And in 66 years we go from flying 20

40:11miles an hour to flying 300 miles an

40:13hour. First a fighter jet, then a

40:15passenger jet, then we have like rockets

40:17that are unmanned. Then we have manned

40:18rockets. And then we have rockets to go

40:20to orbit. Then we have rockets to go to

40:21the moon. And so that's an example of an

40:23S curve. But then you know what happens.

40:25In the mid 70s, we designed the 737, the

40:27747.

40:29And we hit a wall. You know, and 737 is

40:33still the primary airplane for the next

40:3450 years.

40:36And if you look at the efficiency of an

40:37airplane from 1975

40:41uh to the year 2025, over 50 years,

40:44the modern airplanes are 15% more

40:47efficient.

40:48Like So, what you got was a diminishing

40:50return. And when you're on the S curve,

40:53things are doubling every 3 years.

40:55You're doubling, you're doubling, you're

40:56doubling. You're exponential growth.

40:59And then you hit diminishing returns.

41:00And then you stagnate. And then you

41:02stop. And then things are just not

41:04getting any better. So,

41:05>> Let's show an S curve on the screen. And

41:07also

41:08uh the the new S curve coming in below

41:10it.

41:11>> Like when I was at MIT, you know,

41:12everybody basically flocked to uh

41:15electrical engineering and computer

41:16science. Because that was the cool

41:18thing. And so, the mistake to make when

41:21you go to school is

41:22you get at the end of the S curve. You

41:24basically start studying something that

41:27has hit diminishing returns. And once

What Happens Next in the AI Revolution

41:29you hit that diminishing return,

41:32no material progress may take place for

41:34100 years. It might be that you just

41:37can't break through. Propulsion

41:40technology is the limiting factor. Like

41:43why don't we have planes that will fly,

41:45you know, supersonic, you know, on um

41:49you know, a tank of gas that's that's

41:51this much, right? Or fusion drives.

41:53Well, cuz we don't. Now, on the other

41:56hand,

41:57semiconductors

41:58uh started exploding. And semi And

42:00semiconductor technology has continued

42:02to advance. We haven't hit

42:04that limit yet. And that's that's why so

42:08many profound breakthroughs were made in

42:10computer science over the past 50 years.

42:13>> This is kind of hit a nice curve, hasn't

42:15it? As a form factor, my iPhone here.

42:17You know, that over since the iPhone, as

42:19you said, since the iPhone like 6,

42:22it hasn't really gotten thinner, but uh

42:24the battery hasn't really taken a leap

42:26forward as such. So, we're now looking

42:28for another form factor to interface

42:30with computers.

42:31>> Yeah, you know, the iPhone 1 didn't have

42:33cut and paste.

42:35And we didn't get cut and paste till the

42:37version 3.

42:38And so, there was a rapid improvement

42:40versions 1 through 6 or 1 through 7,

42:44call it.

42:45And at that point, you start hitting

42:48diminishing returns. And if you were to

42:49do some utility function, and you were

42:51to score on a scale of 1 to 100, you

42:54would have gone from like 5 to 70 in a

42:58hurry, and then you would have gone from

43:0170 to 90 over the next few iterations,

43:04and then that you're 91, 92.

43:07You hit that limit, and I if if you are

43:10starting a company, right? You don't

43:11create another iPhone.

43:13Right? The [clears throat] real question

43:14right now

43:15is uh

43:17can I create smart glasses where I have

43:19something that's like my Maui Jim

43:20sunglasses, I put them on, they weigh

43:22nothing, and they have the camera, and

43:24they see what I see, and they hear what

43:26I hear, and they know where I am,

43:29and plug that into AI, and in that

43:31point, I can just say, "Hey, Eve, what

43:35is that?"

43:37You know, "Where am I? And tell me about

43:39that." And and it's like

43:42"Why do I have to type anymore?"

43:44>> When I met Mark Zuckerberg, he showed me

43:46the the device that's on the way from

43:48Meta. This is not secret, cuz I know

43:50they've talked about it publicly. Which

43:51is just a it was just a plain wrist

43:53strap with no screen on it.

43:55But it linked to the glasses.

43:58And in the glasses, when I looked

44:00around, I could see all of my screens

44:01and everything like that. And I And if I

44:02just because of this wrist strap, if I

44:04just click, it clicks on all the stuff.

44:06So, I was just like, "Hey, with this

44:07little wrist strap. The wrist strap

44:08again was just like a cotton bracelet,

44:11very thin cotton bracelet. And as I just

44:13looked around, I could click on

44:14everything and open things and call

44:16people and send texts and go on YouTube,

44:17etc. And it was just up here in my

44:19peripheral. You imagine again, imagine

44:21that on an S curve. At some point it's

44:22going to be a some sort of like almost

44:24like contact lens type thing

44:26that's that I can just

44:29>> By the way, this is why you should study

44:31fantasy, right? Because they have this,

44:34right? In magic worlds, right? This is

44:36like

44:37you know, like I just wear my talisman.

44:39You know, I have a necklace. What does

44:40it do? Oh, it makes me omniscient, all

44:42powerful, immortal, indestructible. I

44:45live forever. What what what do you have

44:47to do to make the product work? Nothing.

44:50I'm wearing the wristband and I walk and

44:51every door opens to me and stuff

44:53happens. And here's where Elon gets it

44:55right. It's like the number one

44:56engineering mistake is engineers want to

44:58optimize the part that shouldn't exist.

45:00Like make the parts go away, right? We

45:03start on the topic of what should you

45:05study,

45:06right? It's It's study technologies that

45:09allow you to create magic things that

45:11your parents could never

45:13If your parents would say that's magic,

45:16you're on the right track, right? So,

45:17like how about What's better than the

45:19wristband? Just like How about you just

45:21like implant one pellet?

45:23>> Neuralink.

45:24>> Yeah. Maybe it's a Neuralink. Maybe it's

45:27Maybe it's when I'm born, there's a

45:29slight implant and now I I hear like I

45:33can talk to the AI in cyberspace

45:36forever.

45:37>> But should you go study that because

45:38conceivably the artificial intelligence

45:41and the robots are going to be the ones

45:42that create that technology. If they

45:44have a PhD in everything and that's

45:45accelerating.

45:46>> Yeah, well, I guess we're back back to

45:48the what should you study? You ought to

45:50study digital intelligence or digital

45:53assets. If you can generate,

45:56you know, generate proteins, generate

45:58generate any kind of

46:01life form or enzyme or protein or the

46:04like, maybe it's interesting.

46:06But I think with regard to AI,

46:09you don't want to learn how to do things

46:11that AI can do. What you want to do is

46:13learn how to ask the AI to do something

46:17that's never been done before. Like if I

46:19were to go back to school, 95% of what I

46:22learned, uh, probably wouldn't want to

46:24study.

46:25>> What about a surgeon? Do you think

46:26you're going to be a surgeon?

46:27>> No.

46:28>> What about a a lawyer?

46:30>> No.

46:31>> Accountant?

46:32>> No.

46:33>> Driver?

46:34>> No.

46:36At some point, what you have to do is

46:39ask

46:40the AIs aren't really answering the

46:42question yet, but you have but you have

46:43to ask whatever is the marginal question

46:45that hasn't been answered by the

46:46civilization. Maybe I'll take it I'll

46:49take that position, which is

46:51the way you create value in the world is

46:53you bring something into the world that

46:55wasn't here before.

Ads

46:58>> This is something that I've made for

47:00you. I realized that the Diary of a CEO

47:01audience are strivers, whether it's in

47:03business or health, we all have big

47:05goals that we want to accomplish. And

47:07one of the things I've learned is that

47:09when you aim at the big, big, big goal,

47:11it can feel incredibly psychologically

47:14uncomfortable because it's kind of like

47:16being stood at the foot of Mount Everest

47:17and looking upwards. The way to

47:19accomplish your goals is by breaking

47:21them down into tiny, small steps, and we

47:24call this in our team the 1%. this

47:26philosophy is highly responsible for

47:28much of our success here. So, what we've

47:31done so that you at home can accomplish

47:33any big goal that you have, is we've

47:35made these 1% diaries, and we released

47:38these last year and they all sold out.

47:40So, I asked my team over and over again

47:42to bring the diaries back, but also to

47:43introduce some new colors and to make

47:45some minor tweaks to the diary. So, now

47:47we have a better range for you. So, if

47:51you have a big goal in mind, and you

47:53need a framework and a process and some

47:55motivation, then I highly recommend you

47:57get one of these diaries before they all

47:59sell out once again. And you can get

48:01yours at the diary.com.

48:03And if you want the link, the link is in

48:04the description below.

48:06There should be a button just down below

48:08here. And if it says subscribed, you're

48:10already subscribed. If it says subscribe

48:12bar, that means you're not yet. And if

48:14you're not subscribed, please could you

48:15do us a favor and hit that button. It

48:16helps the show more than you know. And

48:18according to the algorithm, you're

48:19someone that watches our show, but you

48:21haven't yet hit that button. Thank you

48:22so much.

What Will Be the Real Moat in an AI-Driven World?

48:24Beyond just buying Bitcoin, is there any

48:26sort of actionable steps that the

48:28working class should take right now to

48:30pre- prepare for this robot transition

48:33that you're talking about?

48:35>> I mean, the actionable step is is

48:39learn

48:40>> Learn about the robots.

48:41>> digital. Right?

48:42>> Digital.

48:42>> Like understand digital. For example,

48:45how much content's available on YouTube

48:46right now? Like

48:48>> Infinite, right now.

48:49>> Right? What can you get for free on

48:51YouTube and what can you create of

48:53value, right? If you're in the business

48:55of content creation, my advice would be

48:58study digital channels. As As like,

49:02should I go and become a stage actor on

49:04Broadway?

49:06It's It's a It's a

49:09a much smaller thing. Mr. Beast can get

49:11100 million subscribers, you can get 20

49:13million subscribers. You're not getting

49:1520 million subscribers if you do the

49:18thing that your parents' parents did.

49:21So, I think that you want to look at

49:22digital platforms. There's There's

49:24digital communication like Acts or

49:26Instagram, there's YouTube and

49:29and the like, but there's also

49:32There's also digital intelligence.

49:34>> Let's just just test that first point a

49:36bit. I guess a lot of content creators

49:38are thinking at the moment now because

49:39of these frontier models that can

49:41produce video content, pictures. A kid

49:44in Mumbai or Manhattan, where we are

49:46now, can set up an agent while they're

49:48asleep and say, "Listen, just post 100

49:51videos while I'm asleep on this every

49:54single platform.

49:55I actually I'll make five agents and

49:57I'll ask all of them to post 100 videos

50:00each. So, you're going to have this you

50:01have in terms of supply and demand,

50:02presumably that's a supply shock.

50:04There's this slop tsunami coming in. And

50:06then if you look at demand of attention

50:08online, it is arguably fixed. Financial

50:10Times did a report said that young young

50:12people are actually starting to come

50:14down in terms of time spent online. Uh

50:16slightly older generations are starting

50:18from a lower base, but they're still

50:19going up, but they're starting from a

50:20lower base. So, you've got a tsunami

50:22slop of supply and fixed demand.

50:25I get this even this business feels a

50:27little bit insecure. Actually, a lot of

50:29the major podcasters are actually down

50:30on YouTube. If I look at the top who I

50:32would consider the sort of top five

50:34podcasters in my niche, um every single

50:36one of them is down at least 50% in the

50:38last 20-ish uh 12 12 24 months.

50:41>> Well, the solution is certainly not to

50:43not pay attention, right? So, for

50:45example, if you're in the business of

50:47creating content right now, you would

50:49ask the question, can I enhance the

50:51content with AI?

50:53Or can I better market or distribute the

50:55content with AI?

50:57>> What is the moat?

50:59>> The moat's going to be the most talented

51:01content cre- the person creating the

51:03best stuff that everybody wants to see.

51:05There are videos being created like,

51:07here's a walk-through of a 16th century

51:10warship.

51:11And you know, I don't know if you've

51:12seen a guy constructs the entire warship

51:15from the keel and he creates the ribs

51:17and he shows you the lower deck and the

51:18ballast and he takes you through every

51:20step and it's a three-dimensional uh

51:22video animation.

51:24Takes about an hour and it's absolutely

51:26riveting. I have no reason to care about

51:2916th century warships, but I can't take

51:31my eyes off it because it's just so

51:34fascinating to see him explain

51:35everything.

51:36>> Are you saying creativity is the moat

51:38still?

51:39Or understanding what humans want and

51:41then delivering it it which I guess is

51:43creativity.

51:44>> Let's say the Led Zeppelin example. But

51:48what what you see in human history

51:51is

51:52within 10 years of whenever there's a

51:55new technology platform, there's some

51:58geniuses. They push it to the limit and

52:01they do 95% of everything that can be

52:04done and it all happens within 10 years

52:06and they live forever. So

52:08why didn't anybody before Beethoven do

52:10stuff with the piano? Well, the piano

52:11comes out, some genius does stuff with

52:14the piano, right? And between Beethoven

52:17and Chopin and you know, and a a few

52:19players, it's like it's not clear to me

52:21if humans try for another 10,000 years,

52:23they'll do

52:24much better.

52:25So with Led Zeppelin, you had electric

52:28guitars and amplification and everything

52:30kind of clicked late 60s.

52:33Like the sound of the early 60s was not

52:35quite there and then by 1971, 72, you

52:39could do some amazing stuff. And if you

52:41think about all the classic rock between

52:431970 and 1980,

52:46you have human creativity pushing the

52:49edge of the envelope in so many

52:51directions and then you hit this

52:52diminishing return. And then along comes

52:55sampling, right? And then you get

52:57Swedish House Mafia and Avicii and

52:59that's new technology and then they push

53:01it to the extreme.

53:03And then along comes YouTube and Justin

53:06Bieber comes out of nowhere, you know,

53:09and Mr. Beast comes out of nowhere and

53:11they push it to the extreme.

53:13And what you see with every generation

53:15is

53:16I give you a new thing, whether it's a

53:18piano or electric guitar or internet.

53:22Think about Facebook and Mark Zuckerberg

53:24and what he did at just about the point

53:26when you could do that with the web and

53:28then think about the early mobile apps,

53:30you know, WhatsApp and the like and it's

53:32like

53:33what you want to do if you want to

53:34create these incredible success things

53:38is

53:39you want to locate

53:41the magic opportunity right at the right

53:45point on the S curve where it just now

53:48became commercially viable to do it and

53:51is a zero to one moment and you want to

53:54be there. You want to be the first

53:55person

53:57that applies that technology, right? To

54:01this new idea. Like what did our company

54:03do to to go from nothing to 60 billion

54:06dollars or from 1 billion to 60 billion?

54:09We were the first company to take

54:11digital capital, Bitcoin,

54:13and put it together with digital credit

54:17and a digital treasury model. So, we

54:19created a credit instrument, a security

54:21that you could never created before. You

54:23couldn't have made it 10 years ago. You

54:25couldn't build it on top of anything

54:27other than Bitcoin. So, we needed to get

54:31to the point where we had 10 or 20

54:32billion dollars of capital

54:35and then we could create this thing that

54:37was a multi-billion dollar thing and

54:39that becomes resident and that window

54:42is like 12 to 24 months. And you go

54:45through that window and you create

54:46something that might be a hundred

54:48billion dollar thing because you go

54:50through if you went through 36 months

54:52early, you smack into a wall and you

54:54fail. And if you wait,

54:56like at this point, our company is 20

54:58times bigger than the next biggest one,

55:0050 times bigger than the company doing

55:02something similar. Did we plan it? Not

55:06at all.

55:07We found some extraordinary cool thing.

55:10We committed to it with all of our heart

55:12and soul and we declared we were going

55:13to make it work come hell or high water

55:16and we got punched in the face a hundred

55:18times and every single time we ran into

55:20a problem,

55:21we stopped, we recalibrated, we went a

55:24different direction and the process of

55:26creating something beautiful,

55:28like the beautiful thing, like everyone

55:30wants a bank account that pays 10%. So,

55:32if you can figure out how to give people

55:34this thing they want with a new

55:37technology

55:39that was impossible that did not exist 5

55:42years or 3 years earlier.

55:44Then you resonate in the society, right?

55:47You would go viral. Like we were just

55:48the first ones to get there. It

55:50exploded. If you gave me a billion

55:52dollars right now and said run a

55:53marketing campaign, it wouldn't be as

55:56effective. Like you couldn't buy the

55:59success with a billion dollars of

56:00marketing. You just have to that let's

56:03up guys. They didn't spend a billion

56:04dollars marketing. You got to be in the

56:06right place, the right time,

56:09and you have to have the courage

56:11to offer people the new thing.

56:14>> I have been thinking a lot about this.

Can Anyone Still Stand Out in the Age of AI-Generated Content?

56:17This idea of you said, you know, if you

56:18spend a billion dollars you couldn't go

56:20as viral as that. And if someone came

56:21along and spent a ton of money today,

56:23they couldn't go as big as

56:24let's say Michael Jackson.

56:27When we go back through history, I was

56:28thinking about this this idea because I

56:30watched the Michael Jackson documentary

56:31recently and he was

56:33at a level of fame that is I don't think

56:36we've ever seen since. And I think part

56:38of the reason why it was because there

56:39was a constraint on the distribution

56:41channels back then. So in my house,

56:44there was 20 albums over there, books of

56:46albums, and Michael Jackson was like

56:48three of them. And then the other way

56:50that we could consume was the TV over

56:52there and there was like six channels

56:54and MTV was one of them and it was

56:56Michael Jackson all day.

56:57>> [snorts]

56:57>> In the world we live in now where

56:59there's my phone experience is a

57:01completely different phone experience to

57:03yours because of AI. AI is learning what

57:05I like and showing me my own little

57:07version of the world. I wonder [snorts]

57:09if it's possible to be

57:12as big as a

57:14Michael Jackson once was for anybody

57:16these days. And actually I even with the

57:18YouTube you mentioned earlier, I wonder

57:20now if fame or cool being a content

57:23creator or a musician once looked like

57:26this

57:27this sort of like high ceiling and then

57:32you're known for a hundred years like

57:33Michael Jackson.

57:35And now with algorithms that are

57:37personalized, does it now look like

57:38this?

57:41Shorter and shallower.

57:44>> Is it possible to get big? You could

57:46say, well, I can't get as big as Michael

57:48Jackson, but on the other hand, Elon

57:50Musk got big.

57:52Right? Like Like there are things that

57:54get big, right? Companies get big.

57:56OpenAI went from nothing to how many

57:58users in just a few months.

58:01So I I think what you could say is going

58:03viral is about hitting a resonating

58:05frequency in the civilization, whether

58:07it's an artistic frequency or it's a

58:09political frequency, or it's a it's a

58:12technical frequency. Yeah, there are

58:15some things

58:17where there's going to be a glut.

58:18There's going to be Well, let's take

58:20Instagram, right? It's like

58:23on one hand, a billion people have like

58:26bad photos posted online, but on the

58:29other hand, there are people that

58:30managed to get, you know, 8 million

58:33followers, and they, you know, are the

58:36Kard- Kardashians, you know? You have

58:39these people that get massively big, and

58:42that's the other side of the equation.

58:46So

58:46I don't really know how it all plays out

58:50except for the fact that it seems clear

58:52that there is room for human creativity

58:55and innovation.

58:57And if your goal is to make a

58:59contribution,

59:02right? If you're at the If you're in

59:03your working years where you want to

59:05upgrade the world and make a difference

59:08and be remembered for something,

59:10then a a pretty simple principle is

59:13don't keep doing the same thing over and

59:16over, working harder and harder every

59:19year, fighting against the modern

59:21automation,

59:23you know, epidemic, right? Don't try to

59:25outwork the robots. It's like you're

59:28you're lamenting, you know,

59:30how difficult it is for a content

59:32creator, but let me remind you that it

59:34used to be you would go be a college

59:36professor and teach 200 students a year

59:40for 20 years and you would feel that

59:43your life contribution was 4,000

59:46people's whose minds you touched.

59:49And now you get 4,000 people a second.

59:53Okay? So, you're charging yourself

59:55against,

59:57you know, the next thing, but if you

59:59look back in time, technology has given

1:00:02us the ability to amplify

1:00:05our intellect and amplify

1:00:08our creativity

1:00:10in a way that is

1:00:12unprecedented in human history.

1:00:14>> Yeah, I think I think in part it's I'm

1:00:15wondering now if we're kind of

1:00:17we technology said, "Okay, you can reach

1:00:19more people." TV, radio, all these

1:00:22things. And actually now with

1:00:23intelligence, it's saying, "Ooh, we can

1:00:25figure out exactly what Michael wants."

1:00:27So, we're starting to live in these

1:00:28smaller echo chambers where your

1:00:30creative idea or your creative piece of

1:00:32content reaching lots of people is going

1:00:33to become harder because the algorithms

1:00:34are now in the way and they're deciding

1:00:36who sees what.

1:00:37And they're optimizing for

1:00:39the the I guess the platform, the the

1:00:42platform's monetary desire. The other

1:00:44thing that I think is really interesting

1:00:45and I've been mulling for the last

1:00:46couple of months is that that which is

1:00:49really really hard and scarce and

1:00:50actually you could say something being

1:00:52hard and scarce are are the are the same

1:00:55cuz to create something scarce is also

1:00:57hard, like you did with that financial

1:00:58instrument. Very few people on Earth

1:01:00could have created that. We don't run

1:01:01public companies, we don't have the

1:01:03information, etc. Or even that YouTuber

1:01:05you mentioned who walks you through

1:01:06those

1:01:07the 1600s or whatever. That is very hard

1:01:10to do. I theorize that actually pursuing

1:01:12that which is hard and scarce Getting

1:01:15you to come here today is not easy. So,

1:01:17that's kind of my moat. Michelle Obama

1:01:18coming and sitting down with me here is

1:01:20still kind of my moat. Um is is is what

1:01:23we should aim at.

1:01:25What do you think of that as a theory?

1:01:27>> I agree. Let's say you have a business,

1:01:29whatever your business is,

1:01:31right now the right thing to do is to

1:01:34spend an intense time with the AI

1:01:37considering what are all the ways you

1:01:39can upgrade and improve the product or

1:01:42the service you create, right?

1:01:44Uh, for example, like the it used to be

1:01:47you do this in English and the issue is,

1:01:49well, what if What about Japanese or

1:01:50Chinese or French or whatever? And, you

1:01:54know, the hard way is you learn 20

1:01:55languages and, you know, but then how

1:01:57does your guest How do we translate it

1:01:59or you hire, you know, we used to spend

1:02:01money to hire translators, but now

1:02:04you could have the AI translate this

1:02:06into a hundred languages, right? Now,

1:02:08the question is should you

1:02:10or not? Can I enhance it?

1:02:12Right? It's interesting when someone

1:02:13describes something, but you're like,

1:02:15let's just put up a chart of the S curve

1:02:16there. And then the next step is can I

1:02:18market it better or distribute it

1:02:20better? And the next step is

1:02:23am I creating something that'll be

1:02:24valuable in a decade? Well, will it be

1:02:26valuable in a hundred years?

1:02:28>> Well, this is probably a good time to

1:02:29mention this. 24 months ago we started

1:02:31exactly that, which is

1:02:32>> They're all aliens, you just never see

1:02:33them.

1:02:38Arabic

1:02:43>> Tell me.

1:02:43>> Yeah, and and ask yourself how many

1:02:45people that do podcast interviews offer

1:02:48that level of quality of content? And

1:02:51>> I can see that

1:02:51>> I think that you're I think you're

1:02:52outstripping like I don't know that

1:02:54anybody else has done it that well.

1:02:57Right?

1:02:57>> We started almost three years ago and

1:03:00for the first 24 months it was a tragic

1:03:02failure. So, you had the data scientists

1:03:03in the corner of our office failing for

1:03:0524 months. And then about 12 months ago

1:03:08for the first time ever we saw that the

1:03:10translation technology underneath us had

1:03:12improved and that we could get the view

1:03:14duration in Spanish to be higher

1:03:17[snorts]

1:03:18than English.

1:03:19>> And how many months do you think Jimmy

1:03:20Page spent trying to master the electric

1:03:22guitar?

1:03:23More than 24 months?

1:03:24>> a lot longer.

1:03:25>> My advice to an entrepreneur is

1:03:28you focus, you commit.

1:03:31If you're successful in less than 4

1:03:33years, you got lucky. It's pro- Yeah. If

1:03:36it takes you 10 years, well, between 4

1:03:38and 10 years is is very, very normal.

1:03:42If you haven't had success by the

1:03:4410-year point, you're probably not cut

1:03:45out for the business. But, you know,

1:03:48what you're doing is it's totally

1:03:49logical. It's like, is AI going to

1:03:51remake this industry? The first issue is

1:03:54can you make the product better? And the

1:03:56second question is what's it worth?

1:03:58Right? Right? You can do that. Can you

1:04:00get paid? You know? And by the way, even

1:04:02if you didn't get paid,

1:04:04I would argue that your audience have

1:04:07limited attention span. It's like, I

1:04:08don't have time to listen to every Lex

1:04:11Fridman, every Joe Rogan, every Diary of

1:04:14the CEO, and every one of the next 20.

1:04:16And so, I'm going to become loyal. I'm

1:04:19going to become a customer and a fan of

1:04:22whoever serves me the best content. And

1:04:25certainly, if I'm a native Portuguese

1:04:27speaker

1:04:28>> [snorts]

1:04:28>> or a native Russian speaker, you all of

1:04:30a sudden just leaped, right? To the top.

1:04:33>> This gets to my point about hard and

1:04:35scarce because

1:04:36people in in Portugal maybe have never

1:04:39heard Michael Saylor before in

1:04:41Portuguese.

1:04:42So, in terms of scarce, it's actually

1:04:43the only interview now available that is

1:04:452 hours long of Michael Saylor talking

1:04:48in Cantonese with Steven, you know?

1:04:50And so, that the we then are competing.

1:04:52We have That's kind of the moat then,

1:04:53right?

1:04:54>> And that that becomes a benefit to all

1:04:55your guest. You're the distribution

1:04:57channel for me

1:04:59to send the message of digital capital,

1:05:03digital empowerment to the world. And

1:05:06then,

1:05:07your guest become your moat. I think

1:05:09that

1:05:11with every single business, it's pretty

1:05:13clear you have to ask the question, is

1:05:15technology going to cannibalize my

1:05:18business or disrupt it, and am I going

1:05:20to be the one that embraces it and

1:05:22evolves and grows with it, or am I going

1:05:25to fight it? And then of course,

1:05:27you're in a dialogue with the market.

1:05:30For example, the great thing about what

1:05:31you've done is if you've done it, you

1:05:33can look and see how it runs and how and

1:05:35whether YouTube actually expands your

1:05:37reach, and then you can look at the

1:05:38engagement and and figure out whether or

1:05:41not you're able to monetize that,

1:05:43whether you're able to

1:05:44able to convert that, and then you tweak

1:05:46it, right, and adjust, and you're

1:05:506 months or 12 months can be enough that

1:05:52you have a lasting advantage forever,

1:05:54right? If you're 12 months ahead of

1:05:55everybody else,

1:05:56>> and you're compounding in

1:05:58>> Yeah, it compounds over time, and then

1:06:00maybe they never catch you. Like it's

1:06:02That's you know, but that's the story of

1:06:04every business.

1:06:06Right, that's the that's the story of

1:06:07Ford Motor Company and Standard Oil,

1:06:09that's the story of Microsoft, it's the

1:06:11story of Facebook, it's everybody's

1:06:14story, which is

1:06:15you just have to focus, commit, and then

1:06:19if you're good enough,

1:06:21invariably what happens is is your

1:06:24customers

1:06:26will make you the winner.

1:06:28The world needs someone to do what you

1:06:30do.

1:06:31Like someone had to has to win, right?

1:06:34There needs to be a winner. The audience

1:06:36out there wants they want what you do.

1:06:39They want they they want to walk into

1:06:41the living room and figure out what

1:06:43Obama was thinking, or they want to

1:06:45hear, you know, what Mark Zuckerberg was

1:06:47thinking, and they want someone to bring

1:06:50them into that living room. They want

1:06:52you to host them in. They need someone

1:06:55to do that job. You don't

1:06:58you don't have to be

1:07:00what, perfect or better than anybody

1:07:02ever lived. You need to be better than

1:07:04the people that are currently doing it

1:07:06now, or you need to be one of

1:07:08you know, a handful of people that are

1:07:11that are doing it because at that point

1:07:14right, the audience comes to you, the

1:07:16guests come to you.

1:07:18You're making a market, right?

1:07:20You're the market maker in that

1:07:22information.

1:07:24It's just the real key is

1:07:26know what your value proposition is,

1:07:28stay in your lane.

1:07:30You know, don't don't try to compete in

1:07:33an area where you're not going to be the

1:07:35best in the world.

1:07:37But on the other hand

1:07:39right, the the one thing that's pretty

1:07:41clear is that anybody can have the best

1:07:44in the world in like 2 seconds at their

1:07:46fingertips. And so you don't want to be

1:07:49the third best. You don't want to be

1:07:51mediocre across a bunch of things. You

1:07:53want to be exceptional in one area.

1:07:56Figure out what that one area is and

1:07:58then

1:07:59maybe you have 2 million followers then

1:08:01200 million followers, right? Then

1:08:03eventually, you know, over 100 years 2

1:08:05billion. You

1:08:07You just You just have to have this

1:08:08vision.

1:08:09>> One of the things that comes with the

1:08:11pursuit of being first is you go over

1:08:14the hill, you take the arrows as the

1:08:15phrase goes. And so even in that

1:08:17experiment that I just showed you that

1:08:18we started 3 years ago, which was trying

1:08:19to figure out how we translate the

1:08:21diversity into lots of different

1:08:22languages. It sounds simple. Problem is

1:08:24you you discover you could up.

1:08:25Spanish words are longer. So the video

1:08:27in Spanish is 3 hours 10, but in English

1:08:29it's 3 hours it's just 3 hours. And then

1:08:31the video's going to be out and then

1:08:32Cantonese, how long is Cantonese words?

1:08:34And then you go, "Oh my god." You have

1:08:35to then translate all the thumbnails and

1:08:37all the titles in 20 languages at the

1:08:38same time. That's why you end up 3 years

1:08:40in when you thought it was just a 1-hour

1:08:43job. But also, if you zoom out even

1:08:45further, there's this graveyard of other

1:08:47things we tried that never worked.

1:08:49There's this the other 90% of

1:08:51experiments we ran in the corner that

1:08:53did nothing.

1:08:54And it's I I always say to the team,

1:08:56there's two things a year that define

1:08:57us.

1:08:58And of that, in our failure and an

1:09:00team, which is literally what it's

1:09:01called. We tried 60 things. Now, but

1:09:04there's this that you know, five of them

1:09:05are meh.

1:09:06Two of them

1:09:08game-changing. So, the attitude of

1:09:09dealing with failure at the very

1:09:11forefront of trying to be first, I think

1:09:14is something people don't talk about

1:09:15enough.

1:09:16>> Focus your energy.

1:09:17Guard your time.

1:09:19Just cuz you can do a thing doesn't mean

1:09:21you should do the thing.

1:09:24Right? Most of the time, the reason

1:09:26people fail is they get successful in

1:09:28their 30s and they're successful at one

1:09:30thing and it's like all of a sudden

1:09:32they've decided they're going to do 10

1:09:34other things because they're good at

1:09:36everything and they dilute their focus

1:09:38in 10 ways.

1:09:40People always underestimate the

1:09:42maintenance obligation. Like always.

1:09:45And so I the right the right solution to

1:09:48growth is

1:09:50I would like to make whatever I'm doing

1:09:52twice as good.

1:09:54And if I do 10 things to make it 10%

1:09:57better, I'm probably diluting,

1:09:58distracting the uh phenomenon that

1:10:01causes most businesses to fail.

1:10:04It's uh dilutive distractions or it's

1:10:06it's dilutive expansions. They do one

1:10:08thing, it works, and then instead of

1:10:11turning their energy in

1:10:13to make that better and better and

1:10:15better and better, they start to

1:10:17bifurcate and trifurcate and they expand

1:10:21and they overreach

1:10:23to too many areas. It's like the dude

1:10:25with the great restaurant

1:10:27and he's got the second restaurant and

1:10:28he's got a chain of 37 restaurants and

1:10:30they all suck.

1:10:32And it's like, "Yeah, I remember the guy

1:10:33used to have There's no one, by the way,

1:10:35with a failed restaurant chain that

1:10:37wasn't a successful restauranteur at

1:10:40scale one.

1:10:41>> Mhm.

1:10:41>> Right? Like, you didn't get to a failure

1:10:43of 37 or 62 or 437 until you had a good

1:10:47one, but it's very, very common that

1:10:50people think that they can just

1:10:51cookie-cutter these things out and you

1:10:54can't. And so, the conundrum that you're

1:10:57putting your finger on is

1:10:59I want to grow and progress, but I want

1:11:02to not dilute and distract. And that

1:11:06requires this maturity of saying, I

1:11:08tried it,

1:11:10had a moderate success, but it's not

1:11:12enough. Kill it, right?

1:11:14Like and and and move on because it's

1:11:17just not going to work.

1:11:18>> There's two things that came to mind

1:11:19there. The first is a lot of young

1:11:21people come up to me and they're 9

1:11:22months into their idea and they're not

1:11:24rich yet. So they're They look over

1:11:26there and they see their friend has

1:11:27started a thing with a CBD. And so

1:11:31they're like, I think I need to go into

1:11:32CBD. And so their careers kind of look

1:11:34like this sort of like swinging through

1:11:35the jungle grabbing onto the next branch

1:11:37and letting go of the last and never

1:11:39really making um

1:11:41upward motion towards any goal. And then

1:11:43the other thing I thought about as

1:11:44you're speaking is I've been mulling

1:11:46this um I've really only in the last 2

1:11:48months this idea that if you take a

1:11:51long-term approach to things, you make

1:11:54foundational decisions today

1:11:57that create huge competitive advantages.

1:12:00And the simple analogy I would give, if

1:12:03you gave me 10 seconds to make the

1:12:04highest possible tower that I can, what

1:12:07I'm going to do is I'm going to go like

1:12:08this and I'm going to go like this and

1:12:09I'm going to try and do something like

1:12:11this and just by nature of the time

1:12:13constraint,

1:12:14it's unstable. If you gave me 10 years

1:12:17and infinite blocks again, I would start

1:12:19like this. I'd do this one here. I'd put

1:12:21this one here. I'd put this one here and

1:12:23I'd build something more stable. And

1:12:25when I look at some of the great

1:12:25founders and also when I saw that you'd

1:12:27been at your you know MicroStrategy for

1:12:29more than three, almost four decades I

1:12:30think it was, I thought, oh, you're one

1:12:33of the rare long-termists in a world

1:12:36where most of my generation, we think

1:12:37about our career or what we're working

1:12:39on in like maximum 5-year periods. Then

1:12:42we'd either quit and go do something

1:12:43else.

1:12:44Startup founders, they build so they can

1:12:46sell and then they they they're sort of

1:12:47holding it together with tape as the

1:12:49acquirer comes to buy the thing. And

1:12:51they're nervous as the contract's being

1:12:52signed cuz they know if the the acquirer

1:12:54looks under the hood they're going to

Why Long-Term Thinking Creates an Unfair Business Advantage

1:12:55see some but then I look at Elon

1:12:57and I go oh gosh he went and

1:12:59rebuilt a brand new battery and then

1:13:00built the charging network and SpaceX

1:13:03took two decades. My question is about

1:13:06this long-termism and does it create a

1:13:10competitive advantage?

1:13:12>> I think Elon thinks like a

1:13:14like an engineer and uh if you if you

1:13:17look at his businesses they're all built

1:13:19upon each other. Like

1:13:21if you figure out how to launch a rocket

1:13:23and you have the

1:13:25the highest payload capacity and the the

1:13:29the cheapest cost to orbit

1:13:31then you've got an advantage. Now the

1:13:32question is what do you want to put in

1:13:33orbit? We put satellites but what

1:13:35satellite? Like Starlink satellite

1:13:38because that's the thing everybody

1:13:39wants, internet. And so all of a sudden

1:13:42he's got an advantage,

1:13:44you know, in the sky and then you build

1:13:46on that advantage and you know, with

1:13:49battery technology, right? You see that?

1:13:51>> could have gone to Russia and bought a

1:13:52rocket and just shot that up and

1:13:54that would have been the short term.

1:13:55Even with Tesla he could have bought the

1:13:56batteries off Ford or

1:13:58>> One great natural example is like a

1:14:00chambered nautilus. If you look at if

1:14:02you look at a creature and it's building

1:14:04a shell and it's spiraling out on itself

1:14:07and basically it keeps building on its

1:14:09own structure and it's nature's solution

1:14:12for growth under pressure. It's the

1:14:14Fibonacci sequence too. If you look at a

1:14:16Fibonacci sequence, if I have this and

1:14:19then the next structure is here and the

1:14:20next structure is there and the next

1:14:22structure is there

1:14:24part of my previous business is the

1:14:27foundation for my next business. And so

1:14:29if you're thinking your growth strategy

1:14:31is to build on a foundation of something

1:14:33you already had and extend its

1:14:35functionality in a natural fashion

1:14:38that's natural stable growth.

1:14:41When your second business idea is

1:14:43unrelated to your first business in any

1:14:46way other than the fact that you own

1:14:48both.

1:14:49Right? Now you're not building on a

1:14:51stable foundation.

1:14:53So, most of these businesses that work

1:14:55and and the the best ideas that they

1:14:57start with someone dominating a market.

1:15:00I'm really good at this.

1:15:01>> Sounds like a bet.

1:15:02>> Yeah, and now what is the natural thing

1:15:05that I can add

1:15:06that I can use my existing business to

1:15:09to maybe I'm marketing it. Well, you're

1:15:11Coca-Cola. Well, we deliver a pallet of

1:15:14drinks to 87,000

1:15:16restaurants in the UK every morning.

1:15:19What's the natural extension? Well, I

1:15:21can put one more type of drink on the

1:15:23pallet, right? You need to use your

1:15:26distribution strength, your market

1:15:28strength, your technical strength in

1:15:31order to lever. I think you look at all

1:15:34the great businesses

1:15:36in the history of the world. I got

1:15:37Standard Oil, Ford Motor, Boeing,

1:15:39Microsoft. The things they did that

1:15:42worked were generally building on top of

1:15:46their foundation, either loyal customers

1:15:48or distribution or some financial asset

1:15:52they already had. Another way to say it

1:15:54is

1:15:55if there's no one else in the world that

1:15:58has that is better situated to do this

1:16:01thing than you,

1:16:03then you're probably in good shape,

1:16:04right? If there are 97 other companies

1:16:07that have more assets than you in that

1:16:10space, well,

1:16:13you got to bet that all 97 of them are

1:16:15not going to react to you when you do

1:16:17it. It's a bit harder. So,

1:16:19>> And that's where the long-termism comes

1:16:20in because to build that fundamental

1:16:21advantage, it it it by definition is

1:16:24going to take time.

1:16:26>> Good example,

1:16:28uh Amazon

1:16:30Prime, right? Where Amazon started

1:16:33giving free shipping, you know, first

1:16:35free shipping or very cheap shipping and

1:16:37one day shipping and and everybody said,

1:16:39"Well, while losing money. You're losing

1:16:41money. You're losing money." And they

1:16:42lost money doing this for like a decade.

1:16:45And then they got to some point where

1:16:46like everybody in the country was a

1:16:49member of Amazon Prime and then like,

1:16:51"Okay, well, now it's 20 bucks a month

1:16:53instead of 10 bucks a month." And it's

1:16:55like an extra $10 a month times like 100

1:16:58million people. And people like, "Oh my

1:17:00god, they just made $12 billion

1:17:02in one press release per year in cash

1:17:05flow.

1:17:06And that's worth like $250 billion." And

1:17:09And you're all like, "Well,

1:17:10what were you doing?" It's like, "We

1:17:12were

1:17:13We were building the moat." That story

1:17:15is not uncommon with every other thing.

1:17:18It's like you first believe,

1:17:20you build the biggest distribution

1:17:22channel you can. People are going to

1:17:24tell you They're going to tell you, "Oh,

1:17:26there's no future to whatever the

1:17:27podcast. There's no future to

1:17:29something."

1:17:31And what'll happen is 99% of people will

1:17:34drop out because they don't believe. And

1:17:36the true believers, the ones that are

1:17:38not creative, won't adapt.

1:17:41And then there'll be some that'll say,

1:17:42"I believe, but I also know there's a

1:17:44threat, but I'm going to channel the

1:17:46technology threat, and I'm going to

1:17:48evolve, and I'm going to emerge as

1:17:50something a thousand X better

1:17:52than anybody could conceive."

1:17:54And that's a beautiful story.

1:17:57>> So, speaking of strong foundations, you

1:17:58have 10 rules for young adults building

1:18:00a strong foundation for their life and

1:18:01career. And you've talked about two of

1:18:02them here, which is focusing your energy

1:18:04and not chasing every good idea.

1:18:05>> Yeah.

1:18:06>> The second one was guard your time. The

1:18:08third one is train your mind.

1:18:12And with that, you've got train your

1:18:13body.

1:18:14>> You know, the funny story of that is I I

1:18:16was invited to a cocktail party of a

1:18:18billionaire on the French Riviera in a

1:18:20beautiful home. And I showed up, and I

Michael's Best Advice for Anyone Entering Adulthood

1:18:23walked into the party thinking I was

1:18:25going to hang out. And another

1:18:26billionaire showed up, and he said, "You

1:18:28know, Mike, I just had twins, a boy and

1:18:30a girl. And I'm walking around asking

1:18:33all of all of my friends for advice for

1:18:36them. And I want you to like write some

1:18:39advice for them that I can give to them

1:18:41on their 21st birthday.

1:18:43And he's got this book where he's

1:18:44actually collecting advice for his his

1:18:46children that to give them on their 21st

1:18:50birthday.

1:18:51As young adults. So, I sit down and I

1:18:53think think think think think and I'm

1:18:54like, focus your mind, guard your time,

1:18:58and train your mind. You got to learn

1:19:00that you got to

1:19:01learn something, right? You got to learn

1:19:03reading, writing, arithmetic. You have

1:19:05to actually develop a cultured base. So,

1:19:08I was like, get an education, and then

1:19:10train your body.

1:19:12Like, because if if you're weak, you're

1:19:14not going to make it, right? You're not

1:19:15You're not going to survive. And then,

1:19:17think for yourself. Everybody in the

1:19:19world wants to program you to believe to

1:19:22do something they want you to do.

1:19:24And you have to have the presence of

1:19:27mind to think, that's not right. Just

1:19:29because everybody that I know and

1:19:30famous, rich, and beautiful people tell

1:19:32me it's right doesn't make it right. You

1:19:34need to decide think for yourself.

1:19:37And then, curate your friends.

1:19:39Because you you know, you become who you

1:19:41surround yourself with. And if you

1:19:42surround yourself with positive uh

1:19:44inspirational, talented people,

1:19:47you'll be the best person version of

1:19:49yourself. And if you surround yourself

1:19:50with negative, cynical, failing people,

1:19:54they're going to want you to fail or

1:19:56they're not going to inspire you to

1:19:58succeed. And

1:19:59and they'll bring you down.

1:20:01And so, after curate your friends,

1:20:03curate your environment, right? Like,

1:20:06make it a happy place where you can work

1:20:08or you can live. And you know,

1:20:11the world didn't say you had to be in

1:20:13the dark and in an ugly situation. And

1:20:15And after that,

1:20:17keep your promises.

1:20:19At the end of the day, people remember

1:20:21if you didn't keep your promise. So, you

1:20:23you tell you tell someone you're going

1:20:24to do something, do it, right? If If you

1:20:27keep your promises, you'll find those

1:20:28are the people that invest in you. They

1:20:30uplift you. They make you successful.

1:20:32They may be the difference between life

1:20:34and death or the difference between

1:20:35success and failure for you and

1:20:38and ultimately, you know, we're all in

1:20:40relationships with each other, right?

1:20:42And and no one is so powerful that they

1:20:46can afford to take anybody else for

1:20:47granted.

1:20:49We all need each other and and um

1:20:52finally,

1:20:54stay cheerful and constructive. It

1:20:55doesn't matter whether bad things

1:20:57happen. The point is people want to come

1:20:59to work with someone that's cheerful and

1:21:01happy and constructive. They want to,

1:21:03you know, they want to be in a

1:21:04relationship with that person. All those

1:21:07are just basic principles to get through

1:21:10life and then the final point is upgrade

1:21:12the world. If you have a plan, if you're

1:21:14on a mission to upgrade the world,

1:21:17you're going to feel better about

1:21:18yourself. You get up every day, you have

1:21:20a mission, you have something to do.

1:21:21Like, what is my mission?

1:21:23You know, I'm preaching the gospel of

1:21:25digital empowerment, right? Satoshi

1:21:29created

1:21:30this

1:21:32economic property right. He gave

1:21:34economic empowerment to 8 billion people

1:21:36for the first time in human history.

1:21:38And we created the world's first perfect

1:21:40money. We created, you know,

1:21:43digital energy, digital matter, digital

1:21:46property, right? We can be a thousand X

1:21:50more as as humans with technology than

1:21:54we were.

1:21:55I look through all human history and I

1:21:57see it's a story of misery.

1:22:01You know, why do people die? Lack of

1:22:02clean water, lack of clean air, lack of

1:22:05clean food, lack of clean money.

1:22:08What do we want? We want to live

1:22:10forever. We want to live happily

1:22:11forever.

1:22:12>> Do you want to live forever?

1:22:14>> I want to live as long as I can live in,

1:22:16you know, constructively and make a

1:22:18contribution. If if I could be if I can

1:22:21be engaged and vital, then yeah. At the

1:22:24point that I can no longer make a

1:22:25contribution,

1:22:27uh then I will move on gracefully.

1:22:29>> But if there was a button in front of

1:22:30you now, and the button, pressing it

1:22:32guaranteed you immortality, would you

1:22:34press it?

1:22:34>> I think so. I suppose so.

1:22:36>> Why aren't you then committing more of

1:22:38your efforts to longevity? People ask

1:22:40Elon the same question.

1:22:42>> I think

1:22:44there's 8 billion people on the planet,

1:22:46and there are many people that I respect

1:22:48that are much more qualified to pursue

1:22:49that mission than me.

1:22:51>> And the thing that you've chosen to

1:22:52focus your efforts on and become the

1:22:54leading voice on, and I've watched you

1:22:55for many, many, many, many years as

1:22:56I've, you know, when Bitcoin comes down

1:22:58in price and when sometimes I need a bit

1:23:00of a therapist to

1:23:01remind me of why I've invested in

1:23:03Bitcoin, and that person has been you

1:23:04over the years.

1:23:05And then when it's up, you know, you're

1:23:07you're

1:23:08to your credit you're consistent about

1:23:09it. And that is,

1:23:11you know, I I have watched you and

1:23:13thought, I think this guy must be he's

1:23:14either like batshit crazy or a genius.

1:23:17And it's sometimes hard to tell. And it

1:23:18goes back to what you were saying

1:23:19earlier when people will say you're

1:23:20crazy at first, and and then you'll be

1:23:22proven right. Now, historically you've

1:23:24been proven right.

1:23:25>> If you if you zoom out from when you

1:23:26started advocating for Bitcoin,

1:23:28Bitcoin is down right now. So again,

1:23:30we're back into fear. People are scared

1:23:32again in that It's funny what happens

1:23:34because when it was going up a couple of

1:23:35months ago, everyone thought, "Oh my

1:23:36god, this is going to be the future of

1:23:38money." And now it's down, everyone is

1:23:40like convinced that it's it was always a

1:23:41Ponzi scheme and it's it's done. You've

1:23:44got a

1:23:45I guess trying trying to simplify this

1:23:46for average people, you've taken a lot

1:23:48of debt out to buy more and more and

1:23:50more and more and more Bitcoin.

1:23:52Is that accurate?

1:23:54>> I guess we've got about 6 and 1/2

1:23:55billion dollars of convertible debt and

1:23:5715 billion dollars of preferred stocks

1:23:59outstanding, and we're sitting on top of

1:24:01about 58 billion dollars of assets right

1:24:04now. So, we have raised

1:24:07about 65 billion dollars in capital to

1:24:09buy Bitcoin, but most of it was in debt.

1:24:11>> Okay.

1:24:12>> Of the 65 billion, for the most part

1:24:15we've raised capital with equity and

1:24:17some debt in order to buy Bitcoin, and

1:24:20we've been doing that because we wanted

1:24:22to pump 65 billion dollars of capital,

1:24:26of money, of energy into the ecosystem.

1:24:28So, we're we're powering the ecosystem

1:24:31with capital.

Michael's Bitcoin Accumulation Strategy Explained

1:24:32>> Everyone theorizes, I've seen a few

1:24:33people on my timeline that I follow

1:24:35theorize how bad it would have to get

1:24:36for Bitcoin in terms of price for you to

1:24:38be in trouble. Because you have a lot

1:24:40>> Bitcoin could fall to $5,000 a coin, we

1:24:42would still be over collateralized

1:24:44against the debt.

1:24:45>> You'd still be fine.

1:24:46>> Yeah.

1:24:47>> And the other thing people theorize a

1:24:48lot, and I again I did a comment

1:24:49analysis to figure out what people want

1:24:50to hear from you, is you sold a bit of

1:24:52Bitcoin.

1:24:53You've been asked this a few times, I

1:24:54know.

1:24:54>> Yeah.

1:24:54>> You sold a bit of Bitcoin recently after

1:24:58telling a lot of people maybe to hold on

1:24:59to their Bitcoin.

1:25:01People want to know why you sold the

1:25:02Bitcoin.

1:25:03>> Okay. Well, so let's make the first

1:25:04point.

1:25:07The only person that's never sold more

1:25:10Bitcoin than me

1:25:11>> Satoshi.

1:25:12>> is Satoshi.

1:25:13Satoshi never sold a million a million

1:25:16one Bitcoin.

1:25:18Our company has 847,000 Bitcoin. And so,

1:25:21we bought more and we're holding it more

1:25:23than anybody other than Satoshi and

1:25:25Satoshi's not active. So, we have a

1:25:27reasonable chance of of never selling

1:25:30more Bitcoin than Satoshi if we just

1:25:31keep at it for the next few years.

1:25:33Um what I've said is um

1:25:36>> So, I should probably share this. This

1:25:37is This is why there's a kidney.

1:25:39>> Yeah.

1:25:39>> Cuz you said sell the kidney if you

1:25:40must, but keep the Bitcoin.

1:25:41>> I I have I have waged a campaign

1:25:44non-stop every day for 6 years to to

1:25:48promote and advocate Bitcoin as a

1:25:51long-term store of value. Right? And and

1:25:54what I would say is if you have money

1:25:56that you don't need for the next 4 years

1:25:59and your choice is do I invest it in the

1:26:01S&P or a house or a private company or

1:26:04soybeans or money markets or debt

1:26:07instruments

1:26:09I think that Bitcoin is the best. Right?

1:26:11I think that Bitcoin is digital capital.

1:26:13It's going to be the best long-term

1:26:14capital asset.

1:26:16And uh you know

1:26:18>> So, why did you sell the Bitcoin instead

1:26:19of your kidney?

1:26:21>> Yeah. Um

1:26:23We sold some Bitcoin a few weeks ago

1:26:26because there was a narrative or a

1:26:28belief in the market that our company

1:26:31had become so systemically integrated or

1:26:33important to Bitcoin that we could never

1:26:36sell.

1:26:37And if we sold Bitcoin would go to zero

1:26:40and our stock would go to zero.

1:26:42>> Because you own 4% of the total supply

1:26:44of Bitcoin.

1:26:44>> We own 4% because we're the biggest

1:26:47buyer We're the biggest buyer of Bitcoin

1:26:49in the world. So the first sentiment was

1:26:51well Bitcoin will never succeed if they

1:26:53don't keep buying. And the second

1:26:55sentiment or belief

1:26:57uh misconception was if we sell it'll

1:27:00crash Bitcoin and it'll crash the

1:27:02company.

1:27:03And because of that short sellers and

1:27:06and certain people in the market took

1:27:08the position that the $55 billion of

1:27:11Bitcoin we own was worth nothing.

1:27:14And so what we had was this ignorant

1:27:18uh skeptical notion that all of the

1:27:21company's assets were worthless.

1:27:23And because the company's assets were

1:27:25worthless we wouldn't pay our dividends

1:27:27and because we wouldn't pay our

1:27:28dividends the credit would go to zero

1:27:30and the equity would go to zero. The

1:27:31company would fail and the coin fail.

1:27:34And we said well Bitcoin is trades $20

1:27:38billion a day or more and we've got 55

1:27:41billion of it and if we were

1:27:430.01% of the market we could still meet

1:27:45all of our obligations and it's not

1:27:47going to change the price of Bitcoin but

1:27:48no one believed us.

1:27:50So if if you want people to believe that

1:27:53you can do a thing you have to do the

1:27:55thing. If you told me you could do a

1:27:56backflip right now but I said you you

1:27:59can't at some point you have to do the

1:28:00backflip. Right? Especially if I tell

1:28:03you that I'm going to throw you in jail

1:28:05if you can't do a backflip.

1:28:07>> Who told you that?

1:28:08>> Well that's exactly what's going on in

1:28:09the market. The market's position was

1:28:11the company is worthless. the stock is

1:28:13going to zero, Bitcoin is going to zero

1:28:15because they can't sell, right?

1:28:17So, if we want to defend Bitcoin,

1:28:21like we have to prove that we can sell

1:28:24it on occasion, right? So,

1:28:26what we're doing is we're

1:28:28commercializing the market in digital

1:28:31credit. And if you have a billion

1:28:33dollars of Bitcoin and they believe it's

1:28:35worth a billion, you can sell 200

1:28:37million dollars of credit and then you

1:28:39can grow the business if they believe

1:28:41that. If they don't believe

1:28:44that the Bitcoin is worth anything, you

1:28:45can't and you sell the 200 million of

1:28:47credit, the credit's worthless and the

1:28:49company's worthless.

1:28:50And so, we were in a doom loop or the

1:28:52market was in this doom loop this this

1:28:55negative short I don't know, like a

1:28:59psychosis almost like hyperventilating

1:29:02saying that the largest buyer of Bitcoin

1:29:05can't sell it and if they do sell it,

1:29:07Bitcoin will fail. And what we needed to

1:29:10do was demonstrate that if we sold

1:29:12Bitcoin, it wouldn't fail.

1:29:13So, when we sold the Bitcoin, it was 60

1:29:1659,000 and it traded up. And so, we

1:29:18broke that misconception, we broke that

1:29:22that narrative.

1:29:23It turns out that the break-even point

1:29:25for us is about 3.2%, so if Bitcoin

1:29:28appreciates 3.2%, we can pay the

1:29:30dividends forever by just selling the

1:29:32Bitcoin.

1:29:33But you can imagine if you're a short

1:29:34seller, you say, "Well, you can't sell

1:29:36the Bitcoin, hahaha, because Bitcoin

1:29:38will fail." And so, they want to say

1:29:40that the credit is worthless because you

1:29:42won't sell the Bitcoin. So, the way to

1:29:44break that cycle is you sell the

1:29:45Bitcoin.

1:29:46Now you can illustrate that the credit

1:29:48is actually good credit, we can pay the

1:29:51dividends forever and now the credit

1:29:52investors

1:29:54>> without having to sell more Bitcoin.

1:29:55>> No, the whole point of this was

1:29:58we were selling equity in order to pay

1:30:01the dividend on the credit.

1:30:03>> Yeah.

1:30:03>> And the short sellers took the position

1:30:05that you're going to sell the equity

1:30:07until the stock goes to zero

1:30:09because you can't sell the Bitcoin.

1:30:10>> Yeah.

1:30:11>> So, how do you actually get How do you

1:30:13break that? Well, you have to say

1:30:16well, we can sell the Bitcoin.

1:30:17>> And you sold enough Bitcoin to pay the

1:30:19dividend.

1:30:19>> So, we sold enough Bitcoin to pay the

1:30:21dividend, to prove that we could fund

1:30:23the dividends with Bitcoin, which means

1:30:25we don't have to sell the equity. And if

1:30:27if we don't have to sell the equity,

1:30:28then the equity trades at a premium to

1:30:30Bitcoin, trades rationally, and then the

1:30:32credit trades rationally. So, it was a

1:30:35benefit to the equity investors and the

1:30:37credit investors to show that you can

1:30:39power the company with Bitcoin.

1:30:41>> Do you Do you intend to sell more?

1:30:44>> It's not our primary strategy. So, if

1:30:48the if the the common stock trades at a

1:30:51premium

1:30:52to the underlying assets, then probably

1:30:54we fund with the common stock. But, if

1:30:56the common stock ever sells at a

1:30:58discount or trades at a discount to the

1:31:00common to the Bitcoin assets, then you

1:31:02sell Bitcoin in order to protect the

1:31:03common stock.

1:31:04>> And what do you think Bitcoin's going in

1:31:05terms of monetary value? In terms of one

1:31:07Bitcoin. Currently, what did you say

1:31:09it's worth? 68,000 or something?

1:31:11>> I think it'll appreciate about 30% a

1:31:13year for the next 20 years.

1:31:16Right? And then it'll slow down to being

1:31:18appreciated about 20% a year. So,

1:31:21>> You think it's the best asset to put

1:31:22your money in really it really

1:31:23respective of

1:31:25who you are?

1:31:26>> Another way to say it is I think it a

1:31:27pre- I think it outperforms the S&P

1:31:29index by a factor of

1:31:331.5 to 2.

Who Shouldn't Invest in Bitcoin—and Why

1:31:34>> Who shouldn't invest in Bitcoin?

1:31:37>> The right people to invest in Bitcoin

1:31:38are long-term capital investors. So, if

1:31:40you have a certain amount of money

1:31:43and you don't need it for the next 4

1:31:45years

1:31:46and ideally 10 years, then you would

1:31:48take a portion of your capital

1:31:50investment portfolio and buy Bitcoin.

1:31:53And if you believe in it, if you're a a

1:31:55Bitcoin maxi, if you spend 100 hours

1:31:57studying it,

1:31:59uh you'd buy a lot.

1:32:00And if you're not sure, you'd probably

1:32:03diversify that portfolio across, you

1:32:06know, some real estate, some equity,

1:32:09some other long-term assets, and some

1:32:12Bitcoin.

1:32:13The people that shouldn't buy it are

1:32:14people that need the money back in 12

1:32:16weeks.

1:32:17>> What about like a regular 25-year-old?

1:32:19Um

1:32:20One of the questions that I saw emerging

1:32:22from some of the interviews you've done

1:32:23is if if a normal young person has a few

1:32:25hundred dollars to invest today,

1:32:27why should they bother with Wall Street

1:32:29products like stocks or corporate stocks

1:32:31instead of just buying a real Bitcoin

1:32:33and holding it themselves?

1:32:36>> Yeah, I think if you have money to

1:32:37invest for the long term, you're going

1:32:39to get double the performance from BTC

1:32:42that you would get from like the S&P

1:32:44index.

1:32:44>> But for that 25-year-old, would would it

1:32:46not be smarter for them to spend it on

1:32:48something that's going to help them

1:32:49train their mind, like you said?

1:32:52If you only have a hundred dollars.

1:32:53>> I wouldn't go spend five hundred

1:32:55thousand dollars on an expensive, you

1:32:57know, university education, but I would

1:32:59spend twenty bucks a month on an AI

1:33:02subscription. So So yeah, you should

1:33:04definitely spend money necessary to get

1:33:06the

1:33:07the super grok or the pro or the

1:33:10professional edition, whether it's, you

1:33:12know, twenty dollars a month or two

1:33:14hundred dollars Two hundred dollars a

1:33:15month is the most I would spend. Twenty

1:33:18dollars a month is probably the least I

1:33:20would spend. But look, we're talking

1:33:22about your Netflix subscription at that

1:33:23point. But I

1:33:25after you've done that, then you're

1:33:27talking about what you ought to be

1:33:29invested in.

1:33:30I think that the that you ought to be

1:33:32invested in digital capital cuz you can

1:33:34take it with you anywhere in the world.

1:33:37If you invest in an Airbnb or real

1:33:39estate, you know, you're you're locked

1:33:41into a certain city. You can't travel

1:33:43with it. It's high maintenance. There's

1:33:44a lot of risk. If you invest in an

1:33:47individual stock, you have a lot of

1:33:48anxiety because they come and they go,

1:33:50and you got to pick the right stock. And

1:33:52most stocks will fail, but some will

1:33:53succeed, but but it it really is much

1:33:57more challenging.

1:33:59I I think really it comes down to

1:34:02if you have a liquid portfolio,

1:34:04you know, are you going to invest in

1:34:06like the S&P index if you're a

1:34:08conventional capital investor, or you're

1:34:10going to invest in Bitcoin if you're a

1:34:11digital or a you know, a a a technology

1:34:14capital investor.

1:34:17>> Michael, we have a closing tradition

1:34:18where the last guest leaves a question

1:34:19for the next guest not knowing who

1:34:20they're leaving it for. And the question

1:34:21left for you is what is one thing you

What’s One Thing You Believe That People Don’t

1:34:24believe that maybe you haven't talked

1:34:26about enough

1:34:27that you think likely 99% of the world

1:34:30don't yet believe.

1:34:34>> If I look at my life and I think about

1:34:36something that's been that's had a real

1:34:38impact on me, it's after I got a full

1:34:41education,

1:34:42you know, uh

1:34:44from college, I

1:34:46I eventually

1:34:47went back and I studied two topics on my

1:34:50own.

1:34:51One, uh like practical applied

1:34:53statistics, all the stuff that Nicholas

1:34:55Taleb wrote, like Fooled by Randomness

1:34:57and Skin in the Game and The Black Swan.

1:35:00And uh you know, how do you know the

1:35:02difference between something that's

1:35:04meaningful and something that's just

1:35:05misleading random data. That was

1:35:07profoundly valuable to me and I would

1:35:10say, you know, anybody that hasn't read

1:35:13all of those books probably ought to go

1:35:15read those books and and obsess over

1:35:19uh applied statistics.

1:35:22That's the one thing that AI will not be

1:35:23able to do for you when you have to

1:35:25decide whether to cross the street while

1:35:26you're typing on your phone, that you

1:35:28know,

1:35:29the AI will not give you a never-ending

1:35:32real-time stream of common sense to tell

1:35:36you you should or should not do that

1:35:38thing. And so I I think that that's

1:35:40really important. And the second thing

1:35:41that I did after I left school and and

1:35:44after a a lifetime of experiences,

1:35:48like I went back and I just read uh

1:35:51The Story of Civilization by Durant.

1:35:54Every page.

1:35:5511 volumes, 14,000

1:35:58pages. Most of the history that you read

1:36:01in school, it's the CliffNotes.

1:36:03But if you go through the entire thing,

1:36:06and I recommend that one just cuz I

1:36:08think it was a pretty well-balanced

1:36:10history that covered art and culture and

1:36:12politics and technology, and

1:36:14it's not just military history, not just

1:36:17political history, but it was

1:36:19you know, all

1:36:21a very synthetic history.

1:36:23When you go back and you read it all

1:36:25as an adult,

1:36:28then it gives you such a profound

1:36:30appreciation for humanity, and it gives

1:36:33you so much wisdom. And what you'll find

1:36:35is all these things you think you're

1:36:36discovering, they got discovered in like

1:36:3915th century Russia. And then they got

1:36:41rediscovered, you know, like most of

1:36:43these things that people tell you are

1:36:46this is new and profound. Oh, it's new

1:36:48and profound 100 times in a row, or

1:36:501,000 times in a row. It's just the the

1:36:52story was told a different way each

1:36:54time.

1:36:54>> Give me an example of a a thing

1:36:56that we think is new, but history tells

1:36:58you

1:36:58>> Maybe the fact that currency started

1:37:00getting debased when Nixon went off the

1:37:02gold standard, you know, and

1:37:04what happened in 1971, or whatever. And

1:37:08the truth of the matter is that was the

1:37:10point at which the US dollar started

1:37:13weakening at a much more rapid rate.

1:37:16But it turns out that every currency

1:37:18everywhere in history has been debased.

1:37:21My point here really is uh

1:37:25I think people think that they that they

1:37:27learn stuff in college,

1:37:29but really it's not too late to go back

1:37:32and relearn math, especially applied

1:37:34statistics, and it's not too late to go

1:37:36back and relearn history. And as an

1:37:39adult,

1:37:40you always appreciate those things much

1:37:42better.

1:37:43Yeah, you almost it's like the education

1:37:46is wasted on the youth.

1:37:48You know, because you don't you don't

1:37:49have the life experiences to appreciate

1:37:52what you're reading.

1:37:54But also, you know, they're they're

1:37:57summarizing, editing, and censoring a

1:37:59lot of the stuff you read.

1:38:01And and if you just go back and say I'm

1:38:04just going to, you know, read the entire

1:38:06thing in its entirety. And

1:38:07there are a lot of other things you

1:38:08could also read, full histories of other

1:38:11things, but

1:38:12as an adult

1:38:15I think that that just makes you a

1:38:16better person and makes you a better

1:38:18business person, makes you a better

1:38:19leader. And also, it helps you overcome

1:38:22the arrogance of thinking, oh, I'm the

1:38:25first guy in human history that ever

1:38:28encountered it. And and what you'll

1:38:30realize is no, you're not. And the

1:38:33empowering part is someone else did and

1:38:35this is how they worked their way

1:38:36through the issue. And and that can be

1:38:38very inspirational for you.

1:38:41>> Michael, [snorts] thank you. Thank you

1:38:42for taking the time. Thank you for

1:38:43opening all of our eyes. And thank you

1:38:45for

1:38:46building a business which has continued

1:38:48to innovate in such a way that people

1:38:50never thought was possible. Thank you

1:38:52for introducing me to Bitcoin.

1:38:54I think you both introduced me to it,

1:38:55but also you enabled me to have a mental

1:38:58framework for not selling it. When

1:39:02if I had, I would have lost a lot of

1:39:03money. And thankfully now I don't even

1:39:05know where it is. My brother my brother

1:39:07and some of my siblings take care of it

1:39:08for me. And I don't have to experience

1:39:11the angst. And also just thank you for

1:39:13pushing for this idea of sovereignty

1:39:15because I think

1:39:16in the world of increasing censorship

1:39:18and centralization,

1:39:20sovereignty I think is a really winning

1:39:21idea. And I think that's what you're

1:39:23sort of philosophically aiming at as

1:39:24well. And um

1:39:26>> [snorts]

1:39:26>> yeah, I hope to speak to you sometime

1:39:27soon because you're a very you're an an

1:39:29individual capable of speaking about

1:39:31such a broad range of subjects that I

1:39:32care so much about.

1:39:33>> It's a pleasure to be on the journey

1:39:35together.

1:39:35>> Thank you, my friend.

1:39:36YouTube have this new crazy algorithm

1:39:38where they know exactly what video you

1:39:40would like to watch next based on AI and

1:39:43all of your viewing behavior and the

1:39:44algorithm says that this video is the

1:39:47perfect video for you. It's different

1:39:49for everybody looking right now. Check

1:39:51this video out. I bet you you might love

1:39:53it.

More from The Diary Of A CEO

Recently added transcripts

Browse the whole transcript library

This transcript was generated from the captions YouTube publishes for this video. Get the transcript of any YouTube video atfreeyoutubetranscribe.com, free, unlimited, no sign-up.