Full transcript
If You Don't Understand Math You Don't Understand Marketing
0:00If you don't understand math, you
0:02definitely don't understand marketing.
0:03And if you don't understand math or know
0:05how to do marketing math, you sure as
0:07hell don't stand a chance to crack
0:08million-dollar months or that next
0:10million dollars a month that you're
0:11after. In today's video, we're going to
0:13show you three different types of
0:14marketing math. I'm going to discuss
0:15with you financial modeling, and I'll
0:17show it to you for a callunnel and for a
0:18webinar funnel. In addition to that,
0:20we're going to do what's called a
0:21bottleneck analysis. We're going to wrap
0:24it up with what we refer to as closer
0:25math, which is how you back into knowing
0:28how many closers you need at a
0:29particular time to actually hit your
0:32goals. By the end of this video, you're
0:34going to walk away with the clarity
0:35around three of the most common
0:37marketing math examples that you're
0:40realistically going to need to use in
0:41your day-to-day business operations so
0:43you can finally scale the hell out of
0:44your business. For all those unfamiliar,
0:46my name is Jeremy Haynes. All we talk
0:47about on this channel is cracking
0:48million-dollar months. Whether it's the
0:50first million a month or the next
0:51million a month, we just hand down
0:52lessons from people that have been
0:53there, done that, including myself. Of
0:55course, there's no income claims. Quick
0:57disclaimer for you. The odds of you ever
0:58cracking $10 million a year, according
1:00to research, is.1%. The odds of you ever
1:04cracking a million a month, aka $12
1:06million a year, is obviously a lower
1:08number than.1%. So, without further ado,
1:10let's get started. The first type of
1:12math that you're going to need to most
Financial Modeling Explained
1:13commonly do inside of marketing, is
1:15what's referred to as financial
1:17modeling. I'm going to bring up two
1:19different financial models for you for
1:21two of the most common funnel types,
1:23call funnels and webinars to demonstrate
1:26this point to you. But the first thing
1:28that I need you to understand is you can
1:30easily build models that are specific to
1:33the exact funnel that you're currently
1:35running, the exact steps that you
1:38specifically care about. That way you
1:40have the clarity around what each stat
1:44can be in its worstcase scenario with
1:47every other stat factored into it.
1:49You'll see as we go through this
1:51together how important this truly
1:53becomes to have worst case scenarios
1:56analyzed to determine how much you need
1:59to spend at a minimum during test phases
2:01and to also see that when you scale how
2:04much flexing each particular stat can do
2:07before your whole operation collapses
2:09and becomes unprofitable. Let's dive in
Call Funnel Financial Model Walkthrough
2:11initially with a call funnel. So this
2:15call funnel I also just want to disclose
2:17real quick. For some reason, my specific
2:21cell here, I don't know why this is a
2:22duplicate of a duplicate of a duplicate
2:24of a financial model. If you took six
2:27deals being closed times 14,000, it sure
2:30as hell doesn't come out to an odd
2:32number, but it's pretty close.
2:34Nonetheless, let me show you how this
2:36actually works. So, in a callfunnel
2:38financial model, let's just go from the
2:40top to the bottom so we can easily
2:42understand this. That way, all this
2:43doesn't confuse you. The first thing in
2:46this very first cell, A1, it represents
2:48ad spend. So, we're going to simply put
2:50how much we're going to spend over
2:52whatever period of time we want to judge
2:54it. Let's use 30 days as an example. Our
2:58next step, we ideally want to be
3:00modeling around the most conservative
3:02scenarios, aka the worst case scenarios.
3:05So, this is our cost per call. We're
3:08going to put our cost per call at $450
3:10in this example. Here you'll see that we
3:15can use this same model for either a one
3:18call close or for a two call close. In
3:22this specific example, this is a one
3:24call close. We would assume that you
3:26have a 60% show rate, which is about the
3:28average nowadays. Above average would be
3:30about 70% plus. We've seen below average
3:33be as low as about 30% by the way.
3:35Sometimes even a little bit worse than
3:36that, slipping down into the 20s. Got a
3:38lot of problems if that's the case. In
3:40this example, you'll see that both of
3:42these cells are represented at 100%. Cuz
3:44like I said, we're not doing a two call
3:46close. We're doing a one call close. If
3:48we had a two call close, we would put
3:51how many people that showed up to the
3:52first call actually booked a second call
3:55and how many people that booked a second
3:57call showed up to the second call. So
3:59again, in a one call close example,
4:01these would just be 100%. In a two call
4:03close example, they'd be at whatever
4:04stat they actually are. Then we have our
4:06close rate. The close rate is how many
4:08people that showed up actually closed.
4:11And then we have our AOV, our average
4:14order value, otherwise known as our
4:15actual cash collected per sale. Some
4:17people at this particular step start to
4:20get a little wonky on their math. So,
4:22just to give you some clarity, always
4:23operate around whatever amount you
4:25actually cash collect when you close
4:27somebody because that's how many dollars
4:29are actually going to come into the
4:30business in real time. Sometimes people
4:32will inflate this number a dramatic
4:34amount and they'll model everything
4:36around revenue rather than actual
4:40dollars that have been collected.
4:42Sometimes this is contracted dollars
4:44that people will put here. Put how much
4:46money you actually collect per sale
4:47because that'll make a huge difference
4:48to the stats. Then you start to get into
4:50the results columns. In this case, you
4:53can see based on the math, if we spent
4:5520 grand, if we had a $450 cost per
4:58call, we'd have 44 total calls
4:59generated. If 60% of those people showed
5:02up to the first call, we'd have 27 total
5:05calls that were taken. We skip down here
5:07to the close rate step. If we had 22% of
5:11those people that actually closed, we'd
5:13have six total deals. And in this
5:15example, we're cash collecting $14,000
5:18on average, which like I said gives us
5:20the amount that we actually generated.
5:23And that's a little off. You take 14K* 6
5:26and that gives you the actual number.
5:27From here we get our gross return on ad
5:30spend. So before any expenses just ad
5:33spend. This is what our rorowaz looks
5:36like in that example. Now from here in
5:38this specific model we add a few more
5:40variables because we obviously don't
5:42just want to be operating off gross
5:43return on ad spend. We want to be
5:44operating on net rorowaz. So we have any
5:47fixed costs that you can just put as a
5:49line item here. That'll be deducted
5:51against the total amount that's been
5:52generated. We have team costs if you
5:55want to separate them out by line items.
5:57We have the sales team specifically and
5:59you can put whatever commission you're
6:00going to pay your sales team in total
6:02that determines our total costs which
6:04then determines our net profit which
6:06then determines our net rorowaz. You can
6:08also put additional breakout line items
6:10below that just for the sake of clarity
6:12on what each expense was out of the
6:14total ad spend that you're going to have
6:16if you want to do that. Now, the point
6:18being in this specific math, what you
6:21can see here is we put a dollar in and
6:23we get about $4 back. We put a dollar in
6:26and we net about $2.50 back for every
6:29dollar that we spend. That's great math.
6:32Each one of these specific cells when we
6:36manipulate it in a negative direction
6:38reveals to us how bad it could be before
6:41everything starts to break. So, let me
6:42give you an example. Let's say that
6:44instead of having a 60% rorowaz, we have
6:46one of those dumpster fire show rates
6:48that some of you right now are rocking,
6:50let's say that it's only 30%. In that
6:53example, just that one statistic
6:55changing dramatically reduces our
6:58overall rorowaz. We cut our rorowaz in
7:01half in that example by cutting our show
7:04rate in half. The simplest math starts
7:07to reveal itself here for how important
7:10each specific statistic is by itself.
7:14But also, you'll start to mess around
7:15with the model and see how important
7:18each statistic is just going up or down,
7:21but having a few of those specific key
7:24stats that go up or down at the same
7:27time. Now, one other financial model
Webinar Financial Model Walkthrough
7:30that we like to look at and use very
7:32frequently, just given how common this
7:35funnel is at this point, is a webinar.
7:37Very commonly, people want to know how
7:40little can I spend when I'm testing a
7:41webinar to get it off the ground or how
7:43much can I spend on a webinar and how
7:45bad could each stat be before it no
7:48longer makes sense to run. In this
7:50specific financial model, again, we're
7:52looking at a webinar. In this case, we
7:54start off with our ad spend. So, we're
7:57assuming that we're spending $5,000 on
7:59this specific amount. We're assuming our
8:01cost per webinar registrant to get
8:03somebody to opt in is $20. We're
8:06assuming that we have a show rate in
8:08this example of 25%. We're assuming in
8:11this model that we're doing a book a
8:13call webinar. And by the way, in this
8:16same financial model, just like in the
8:18callfunnel one, instead of having two
8:21models, one for a single call close and
8:24one for a two call close, we can use the
8:26same model for a direct to checkout as
8:28well. We would have our show rate to the
8:30webinar. And then for our booked call
8:33and our booked call show rate, we would
8:34just put those at 100%. Because then
8:37that would represent that we have our
8:39close rate from everybody that we did
8:41directed checkout with. From there, we
8:42have our cash collected per sale. So
8:44again, in this specific way that the
8:45model is laid out, let's assume that
8:47we're doing a book a call call to
8:48action. So we spend 5,000. We have a $20
8:51cost per registration. We get 250 people
8:54that opt in. We have 25% of people show
8:57up. That's 63 people that show up. We
9:00manage to book an outrageous 75% of
9:04them. That statistic is normally about
9:0630%. By the way, the amount of people
9:08that show up to a call is 53% and the
9:11amount of people that close from those
9:12calls is 22%. We're cash collecting per
9:15sale $3,500 in this math. For this
9:18specific math, we turned a dollar into
9:20$3.83 for the gross revenue. And from
9:23here, we'd have to take off all the
9:25different costs to determine what the
9:27actual net rorowaz would be. For this
9:29specific model, you want to know
9:32something very important. What stats are
9:35real? and what stats are very
9:38unrealistic. You know, as an example, a
9:41$20 cost per registration for a webinar
9:43is a pretty normal range. You might
9:45assume that some people can do far
9:48better, but there's also some people
9:49that could do far worse. That's right
9:50down the middle in terms of what's
9:52considered conservative. Your show rate
9:54can be as bad as about 10 to 15%.
9:57Average is about 20. Above average is
9:59anything 30% plus. And this is assuming
10:02a cold traffic webinar, by the way. The
10:04booked call rate is an outrageous
10:06statistic at 75%. That would assume
10:09three out of four people that are
10:10sitting there watching you during your
10:11pitch are going to book a call. That's
10:13not realistic. What's actually realistic
10:15is closer to about a 30% book a call
10:18rate. That'd be considered where you
10:20want it to be. 20% is more average for
10:24most people, especially when they're
10:25first getting started. We see the book a
10:27call statistic, by the way, as worse or
10:30as low as about 10%. So, it's very
10:33similar to the show rate statistic. The
10:36booked call show rate statistic, meaning
10:38how many people book a call that
10:39actually show up. Ideally, that's 70%
10:42plus. And ideally, your close rate from
10:45all the people who book from a webinar,
10:46these are layup deals after all, would
10:48ideally be 35% plus at a minimum. From
10:51here, the cash collected per sale, that
10:55AOV number, how much you're actually
10:57putting in your pocket per deal that's
10:58closed, $3,500 for a webinar when you're
11:01booking a call would be considered very
11:03low. The higher the number is, the
11:04better. Knowing what's realistic, is
11:06very important when you're financially
11:07modeling everything out. But again, you
11:10want to have models like this for your
11:12business, for whatever funnel you are
11:14specifically running. Because the
11:16intention of doing this is before we
11:19even spend a dollar, we can see what all
11:21the different statistics need to be in a
11:23worst case scenario for each stat for us
11:26to still turn that dollar back into a
11:28dollar, if not more than that. We can
11:30also see how good everything could get
11:32if everything went right. After we
11:35actually get the reality of what our
11:36statistics actually are and we're not
11:38just doing predictions, we can plug in
11:40the real numbers to the model and we can
11:42see what our profit should look like.
11:45Very commonly, people are told by their
11:47team members that they have running
11:48their sales teams or running their
11:50marketing teams what different key
11:52statistics are in the business. When
11:54you're told those statistics, if you
11:55just turned around and plugged them into
11:57a financial model, you'd have the
11:58clarity if they're lying, manipulating
11:59the stats, or if everything aligns
12:01perfectly to reality. We had a girl one
12:03time comes in person and sits down with
12:06me for what we call a business
12:07breakdown. We put a chair here. We put a
12:10chair here. And we start the process of
12:12digging into this person's business and
12:14trying to find out the specifics about
12:17what's going on, what's holding back
12:19revenue, and what could help them scale.
The Kadisha Story - Stats That Don't Add Up
12:22One of these specific business owners
12:23that came and sat down with me, her name
12:24was Kadisha. And Kadisha was struggling
12:27with her return on ad spend. At this
12:29specific moment, she was at a very low
12:312:1 rorowass. and she was very confused
12:33as to why. I start doing something that
12:36we refer to as a bottleneck analysis,
12:38which is the thing we're going to cover
12:39next together. And as she's sitting
12:42there saying the statistics, I'm
12:43thinking to myself, these statistics
12:45sound way better than a 2:1 rorowass.
12:48Let's go plug these numbers into a
12:50financial model and see if the financial
12:51model aligns with what her numbers are
12:56because it doesn't sound like they'd be
12:57a 2:1. We go plug the exact stats that
13:00she had from a webinar funnel and from a
13:02callunnel into this exact financial
13:04model and the model said that she should
13:07have been at an 8:1 return. Now in her
13:10specific business, the reality of her
13:12business was she was at a 2:1 but the
13:15stats that she was being told by her
13:17team and that she was making decisions
13:19on showed that she should be at an 8:1.
13:23If you don't understand math, you don't
13:24understand marketing. Because in that
13:26example, if you heard what I just said,
13:28she's not making decisions in reality to
13:31improve her conditions of her business.
13:33She's making decisions in a false world.
13:36So, of course, she's not making any
13:37progress in real life. That's one way
13:40that financial models can become really
13:42valuable outside of showing you what's
13:44the minimum you need to spend in order
13:46to test what is the reality of your
13:49business. When you take the stats that
13:51you're being told and you plug them into
13:52the model, does the model align with the
13:54reality of what your rorowaz is or what
13:55your profit is? In addition to that,
13:58this can be really good for starting to
13:59project if you go to shovel a lot of
14:02spend into your ad account and you're
14:05trying to scale the hell out of your
14:06business. If each stat got a little bit
14:08worse, how bad could collectively
14:10everything be in a worst case scenario
14:12for you to still meet your desired
14:14minimum profit thresholds to scale in
14:16the first place? Financial modeling is a
14:18critical foundation of every single
14:21business that is going to market and it
14:24rolls into the second part of what we
14:25need to talk about next which is what we
14:27refer to as a bottleneck analysis. So
Bottleneck Analysis Explained
14:29just like I was talking about in the
14:31context of Kadisha her business was in a
14:34position where nothing really made
14:36sense. She wasn't where she wanted to be
14:38at from a profit perspective. And so we
14:40picked the specific funnel that she was
14:43running and we broke it down step by
14:45step. The concept of a bottleneck
14:47analysis is very simple in practice.
14:50Allow me to explain it to you from a
14:51highle perspective. First, at any point
14:54within your process that you have right
14:56now, your advertising, marketing, and
14:57sales process, there could be a
15:00constraint. Just one constraint is all
15:02it takes to hold back a tremendous
15:04amount of revenue from coming through
15:05the other side. And when you're talking
15:07in the context of million dollars a
15:08month or a couple million dollars a
15:10month, knowing exactly where a specific
15:14step in your entire sales and marketing
15:16process is contracted is where your
15:19attention flows exclusively until
15:22resolved. So in this example, just
15:25picture a nice flowing river that all of
15:28a sudden out of nowhere contracts down
15:30to a tiny little stream. There's not
15:32going to be an excess of water coming
15:34out the other side. It's just going to
15:36be a tiny little stream, a trickle of
15:37water that comes out. We have the power
15:40of an entire river to flow through there
15:42if we can open up that choke point, that
15:44bottleneck. So everything opens up and
15:47so a higher quantity of water comes out
15:49the other side. In the context of, as an
15:51example, water bottles, bottlenecks make
15:54sense because this contains all the
15:57water obviously and this prevents us
16:00from just having an aggressive amount of
16:02water come out the bottle as we drink
16:04it. We don't want our business to have a
16:06bottleneck. We want our business to
16:08maintain the same flow across the entire
16:11marketing and sales side of the
16:13equation. That way, the most money comes
16:16out the other side. That's the whole
16:18point of what we're attempting to do.
The Data Hierarchy
16:19So, as an example, I'll take those exact
16:21same two funnels and I'll break down the
16:23key steps that matter. One quick thing
16:25that I want you to be able to think with
16:26before I do is what we call the data
16:28hierarchy. So if you notice in the
16:30financial model, every statistic that we
16:32could talk about isn't here. These are
16:35the important statistics that typically
16:37make up your rorowaz. Statistics like
16:40your cost per lead, statistics like your
16:43show rate, statistics like your booked
16:45call rate, statistics like your booked
16:48call show rate, statistics like your
16:50close rate. In the context of a
16:52callunnel specifically, the callfunnel
16:55is a little bit different. The
16:57callfunnel statistics that matter are
16:59things like your cost per call, your
17:02show rate, your close rate, the cash
17:04collected per sale. But there are what
17:06we call substics that make up this
17:09number. So, as an example, the cost per
17:12call isn't just a number that randomly
17:13exists. It's created and made up of
17:16three key statistics. the CPMs, our cost
17:19to reach people, our link click-through
17:22rate, meaning how many people actually
17:23see our ads versus click the link to go
17:25to the page, and in addition to that,
17:27the page conversion rate. Let's say that
17:30you had a bad page conversion rate. You
17:32can also dig further into what
17:34statistics make up that number. But we
17:36don't want to create a model that's
17:38overly complex and has every single one
17:41of these tiny little numbers that make
17:43up the larger numbers that actually
17:45matter. Because if everything's going
17:46well, we're fine. In terms of the data
17:49hierarchy, the ones that are at the top
17:51that you want to look at first as your
17:53leading indicators are rorowaz and
17:55collected dollars per booked call. From
17:58there, we dig into what makes up those
18:00numbers. As an example, like what we've
18:03covered in these two financial models
18:04we've shown you. From there, we dig into
18:06the stats that make up those numbers,
18:09which is something that becomes very
18:10handy when we do a bottleneck analysis.
Call Funnel Benchmarks & Key Stats
18:12So let's use the example of a call
18:14funnel first and let's say that we
18:16wanted to do a bottleneck analysis for
18:18it. The first step in that process is
18:21CPMs. The second step is link
18:25click-through rate. The third step is
18:28the page conversion rate. Now one thing
18:32that's important to note inside of
18:33CallFunnels is what you are actually
18:36attempting to measure. So for the page
18:38conversion rate, we're not looking for
18:40the people that clicked and applied
18:41because that's not what we want. We want
18:43qualified booked calls. So we want to
18:45take the total qualified booked calls
18:48divided by the total link clicks. That's
18:51what we want to measure for our page
18:53conversion rate in this example. From
18:55there, let's assume that we're doing a
18:56one call close. So we have our show rate
18:59to factor in. After that, we get into
19:01the statistic of our close rate. And
19:05then from there, we have our AOV. How
19:07much money did we actually collect per
19:09sale on average? In comparison, for
19:12something like a webinar, we'd have a
19:14few more stats that we'd have to measure
19:16out, but it starts relatively the same.
19:19We have our CPMs. We have our link
19:21click-through rate. We have our opt-in
19:23rate on a webinar funnel. We then have
19:27our webinar show rate. Now, in webinars
19:32specifically, two stats matter inside of
19:34the webinar itself. what's known as the
19:37retention rate and in addition to that
19:40the booking rate or if you're doing a
19:43direct to checkout the direct to
19:45checkout rate. I assume that of course
19:47if you're sitting here watching me on
19:48this channel you have some kind of high
19:50ticket product or service based
19:51business. So there's a much higher
19:52probability you're going to tell people
19:53to book a call given the price of your
19:55offers. From there we have the call show
19:58rate
20:00and lastly we have the close rate. We
20:03follow that up with the AOV. How many
20:05dollars are we actually cash collecting
20:07per sale? Now, what you want to do when
20:09you look at these is first of all, make
20:10sure that you again, you aren't over
20:12complicating the total amount of numbers
20:14that you need to track. You specifically
20:16want to measure stats just like what
20:18we've talked about here because this
20:19gives you the reality without having to
20:21go too deep into the trenches. If any
20:22one of these specific statistics is
20:24contracted and has other stats that make
20:27it up, we can then go and look for those
20:28numbers afterwards. So, let me give you
20:30an example. I'll make up some math
20:31that's about average. So, for CPMs,
20:35we'll commonly see this somewhere
20:36between about $30 and $80. Could be
20:39anywhere in between. For a link
20:41click-through rate, ideally, you want to
20:42be at a 2% link click-through rate. Your
20:45page conversion rate on a call funnel.
20:48Again, total clicks to how many people
20:51actually book a qualified call. You
20:53ideally want to be at a 3 to 5%
20:55conversion rate of the total amount of
20:57people that click versus the total
20:59amount of people that schedule a
21:00qualified booked call. Your show rate is
21:04typically averaging about 60% nowadays.
21:0670% realistically is where you want to
21:08be, but 60% you can still be very
21:10profitable on a call funnel from cold
21:13traffic. Assuming you've got the
21:15salespeople that you need to be able to
21:17do education calls, that transition to
21:19closing calls, you're typically going to
21:21be in the range of somewhere between
21:22about the low end of 15% to the high end
21:25is usually about 30%. Most closers will
21:28average somewhere in the low to mid 20s.
21:31Then you have your AOV and obviously
21:33your AOV is completely determined by
21:34your offer and what you charge. Whether
21:36you're doing PIFFS and cash collecting
21:38every dollar that you're owed up front
21:40or whether you're doing financing or
21:41funding, whether you're doing payment
21:43plans, you need to determine what your
21:45actual AOV is, of course. But the simple
21:47answer is the higher the better. So in
21:49this example, this gives you an idea of
21:51what the key benchmarks are of the key
21:53statistics of a callunnel. you can go
21:56through and you can map your specific
21:57callfunnel statistics against these
21:59benchmarks and then if any one of these
22:02particular stats is contracted, you
22:05isolate your attention to that specific
22:08statistic. So a lot of people when they
22:10go to improve their rorowaz and get more
Play the Doubles Game
22:13money coming out the other side of their
22:15funnels, they operate off vibes, which
22:18is silly to say the least. You have to
22:22understand math to understand marketing.
22:24So, as an example, let's say that your
22:26CPMs were within range, but let's say
22:28that you had a 0.5%
22:31link click-through rate. All of your
22:33attention would go towards making better
22:35ads in that example if that is the
22:38specific statistic out of all the stats
22:40available to you that is easiest to
22:43double. What you're trying to do in a
22:44bottleneck analysis is play the doubles
22:46game out of any specific statistic,
22:49especially if multiple are messed up at
22:51the same time. Which to you is the
22:54easiest to double or in the context of
22:57CPM is the easiest to reduce in half. If
23:00I had a 0.5% link click-through rate and
23:03every other stat in my funnel was
23:05exactly where it should be compared to
23:07the benchmarks of the true and honest
23:10averages, I'd isolate all my attention
23:12to making better ads. Let's say that I
23:14had a 0.5% link click-through rate and I
23:17also had a 25% show rate. The
23:20combination of these two different
23:22statistics being bad at the same time is
23:24where I tell you you need to start
23:26determining what might be the easiest
23:28for you to influence and double. I'd
23:31also like to remind you that every
23:33statistic at the beginning of the
23:35process influences the statistics to
23:37follow. We've had people that have had
23:39great optins, great show rates, great
23:43conversion rates, but then they get to
23:45the close and the close is terrible. And
23:47you might think of that in the context
23:49of what I just said and say, "Oh, well,
23:51that'd be the salespeople's fault,
23:53right?" But what if all the leads that
23:54were showing up were terrible, genuinely
23:56unqualified, people that had no chance
23:58in hell to close. Although the close
24:00rate stat is what's contracted, you'd
24:03still likely put attention onto the
24:05advertising side of things because in
24:07that example, you likely have a
24:08messaging problem or you're not doing
24:10enough qualification in your webinar or
24:12in your call funnel. So certain stats
24:14can be contracted, but it might not be
24:16that stat specifically for where you
24:19need to put attention. You might
24:20actually need to put attention further
24:21up in the process. There's a whole bunch
24:23of if this, then that rules that these
24:26types of things start to reveal. I have
24:29plenty of great content on my channel
24:31that's dedicated to helping you improve
24:33all stages of what you're going to come
24:34across here. from advertising
24:36strategies, funnel strategies, when to
24:39do what thinking, the mindset behind all
24:42of this, very tactical entrench level
24:44information on how to improve. But of
24:46course, I just want to disclose on
24:48YouTube, I talk at about 10 to 20% of
24:51what I know. The remainder of what I
24:53actually know, where all the juicy stuff
24:55is, is inside of my paid programs that
24:57you can find links for down in the
24:59description. I'd encourage at the very
25:00least you check out my newest offer,
25:02Jeremy AI. That's an angentic AI clone
25:05of me that can literally help you do all
25:07this stuff, let alone answer all of your
25:09questions. But back to this, let's look
Webinar Benchmarks & Key Stats
25:10at the webinar bottleneck analysis as an
25:12example and give you some benchmark KPIs
25:14that you can look at for that. CPMs are
25:17about the same. You're typically
25:18somewhere between about $30 and $80 on
25:20average. Your link click-through rate
25:22should be about the same, a 2% link
25:24click-through rate. Now, I know this is
25:26a wide range, but your opt-in rate can
25:28typically vary somewhere between about
25:3020 and 50%. It depends on the traffic
25:32source. Like as an example, the
25:34difference between warm and cold
25:35audiences can wildly determine that. And
25:37it also depends on how good your
25:38messaging is. We've seen people wildly
25:41profitable with 10% opt-in rates. Just
25:43to put it in perspective, each statistic
25:46is contextual to your business for how
25:48bad it needs to be. But I want to make
25:50you aware of the benchmarks.
25:51Nonetheless, your webinar show rates
25:53will typically be somewhere between
25:56about 10 and 30% plus. 30% would be
26:00where you'd want to bias towards. The
26:02average is about 20 nowadays, but again,
26:0430% is what you want to shoot for. Now,
26:06the retention rate, let me explain the
26:08statistic. The retention rate, a lot of
26:10people measure their show rate
26:11differently. And it's important that we
26:12get clarity on that statistic, too. Show
26:15rate, let's say you use Zoom webinars.
26:17You can log into the back end of Zoom in
26:19their analytics portal for that specific
26:21webinar that you just concluded, and
26:22they'll tell you how many people clicked
26:24to join altogether. And if you
26:26determined that to be your show rate and
26:27you divided that by the total quantity
26:29of registrants, you'd have a much higher
26:31inflated show rate compared to the
26:33reality. What you'd rather measure your
26:35show rate on is what was the highest
26:37quantity of people there concurrently at
26:40one time. So Zoom's analytic might say,
26:42let's say you had a thousand
26:43registrants. Everybody that clicked to
26:45join, they might say that you had 400
26:47people. And you might say, "Oh my god, I
26:48had the greatest show rate. I had a 40%
26:50plus show rate." But let's say that you
26:52actually had 200 people there at the
26:55same time watching your webinar. That
26:57would be your real show rate, which
26:58would be 20% in that example. That's how
27:00you want to measure that. So, when it
27:02comes to the retention rate, it matters
27:04that we measure the show rate accurately
27:06because that's going to determine this
27:07statistic. Retention rate is how many
27:10people were you able to hold from the
27:12beginning of the webinar until the very
27:15start of your pitch. If you can
27:17specifically dial this in to be about
27:1980% plus, you're sitting right where you
27:21want to be. Most people who are great at
27:23the actual webinar presentation will
27:25easily be able to accomplish this. Your
27:28booking rate should ideally be 30% if
27:31not greater than that. The worst people
27:33who are usually terrible at the close,
27:36they can be as low as about 10%. People
27:38who are getting the hang of it or who
27:40stay in the close for a couple minutes
27:42and that's it, they'll be closer to like
27:44a 10 to 20% range. The people who stay
27:47in the close for as long as they should,
27:49which should be about an hour, by the
27:51way, just in the close, they'll easily
27:53be able to get that 30%. Especially if
27:56they have our flow that we encourage
27:58people to do when they're in the webinar
27:59close. But nonetheless, let me help you
28:02understand how you're measuring this
28:03statistic. So when you start your pitch,
28:06however many people are there at the
28:08start of the pitch
28:11versus how many people book or how many
28:13people buy, that's your specific booking
28:16rate, depending on whether you're doing
28:17a booking rate or direct to checkout. We
28:19want 30% of the people that are there
28:21during the time of the pitch to book a
28:24call with us. Then we have our webinar
28:26call show rate. Ideally, that should be
28:28no lower than 70%. If it's lower than
28:3170%, you have a problem, my friend, and
28:34you need to improve that statistic. Your
28:36close rate on these calls that book from
28:38a webinar should be at least 35%.
28:41Very easily achievable because every
28:44webinar call should be a layup deal.
28:46After all, you just did a webinar. And
28:48again, when it comes to your AOV, well,
28:49that's completely determined by you
28:51based on what you charge. But the higher
28:53the number, the better. I will tell you
28:54this, especially if you're doing a
28:55booked call with a webinar, you never
28:57want the AOV to be below $5,000. The
29:01higher the AOV, the better and the more
29:03profitable you're going to be. But I
29:05can't stress enough, AOVs typically
29:07below $5,000 become very problematic and
29:10you get into the territory where it
29:11might make more sense to have just done
29:13a direct to checkout. But I will say a
29:15direct to checkout requires a different
29:17set of skills compared to a book a call
29:19webinar skill set. So with these two
29:21sets of stats, what you can see in the
29:23two most common funnel types, call
29:24funnels and webinars, is what each
29:26particular statistic needs to range
29:28within. Now, when I tell you do a
29:30bottleneck analysis, this is literally
29:32what I mean to do. You want to map out
29:34each statistic of your specific process
29:37that you're putting people through right
29:38now and put a statistic to it. When you
29:40compare that statistic to the benchmarks
29:42that you just became aware of here, you
29:44want to determine which particular
29:46statistic is the most contracted
29:48compared to any other statistic. When
29:51you look at the statistic that's the
29:53most contracted, that's where you
29:55isolate your attention. The only time
29:57that you wouldn't is in the example I
29:58gave you where, let's say you had a
30:00terrible close rate. Let's say that all
30:02these statistics look exactly as they
30:04should, but when you get over here to
30:06looking at your close rate, let's say
30:08that it's terrible and in the single
30:10digits. Let's say your sales people are
30:12complaining, whining, moaning, saying,
30:14"Hey, nobody's closing because these
30:16leads are the worst ever." That might be
30:19a lead quality issue. And even though
30:21every single statistic is technically
30:23great, just because your close rates bad
30:25doesn't necessarily mean in that example
30:27that you'd isolate your attention
30:28exclusively to your sales people.
30:30absolutely demands attention, no doubt.
30:32And you want to validate if they're
30:33lying or not, or if the reality is true.
30:35Because if the reality is true, you have
30:37a messaging problem. And even though all
30:38your stats are great, well, you got the
30:40wrong people coming through. So, you
30:41don't want to do that. So, let me help
Closer Math Explained
30:43you understand one thing. Now that
30:44you've got these two different key math
30:48examples down of financial modeling and
30:51doing a bottleneck analysis, you want to
30:53wrap this all together with what we
30:55refer to as closer math. Now, closer
30:58math is really important that you
30:59understand. This is how we reverse
31:01engineer our goals and make the goal
31:04number possible. So, I'm going to give
Reverse Engineer Your Revenue Goal
31:06you an example. Let's say that I wanted
31:08to hit a million dollars a month in
31:11revenue, right? And that's cash
31:14collected that I actually want to
31:15generate for the business. I rather than
31:18starting at the beginning of all the
31:19stats, I want to start at the end. So,
31:22I'm going to pull out my handydandy
31:24calculator and I want to show you guys
31:25this as we go along. So we're all on the
31:28same page with what these numbers
31:29actually look like. Let's use the
31:30example that I start with my AOV, right?
31:34How much am I actually collecting on
31:36average per sale? And let's say that my
31:38current AOV sits at $10,000, right? If
31:42my AOV is $10,000, I want you to
31:46understand you need to close a 100red
31:48people. So I need a hundred sales. Now,
31:52to get that hundred person demographic
31:55to actually give me that $10,000 so I
31:57can get my million dollars, I then need
31:59to divide that hundred number of total
32:02closes by what my close rate is. And we
32:05do that in a decimal. So, in this
32:07example, I'd take my 100 people that I
32:09need to buy and let's use the example
32:11that I have a 20% close rate. I need 500
32:16calls to happen. So, I need 500 people
32:18to literally talk to my closers. So in
32:20this example, let's say that we have a
32:2220% close rate.
32:25I need 500 calls taken. Now again, just
32:28to keep this math simple and show you
32:30guys, if I have 500 total calls that I
32:33need taken, let's divide that by 60%.
32:36Let's say that I have a 60% show rate.
32:39Now, when you get a decimal like 833.33,
32:43like you see in that example, either
32:44round it up or rounded down based on
32:46whether it being above.5 or below.5. So
32:49again, let's say that I have a 60% show
32:51rate.
32:53That 60% show rate means I need 833
32:57calls that get booked. Now, this is
33:00where things start getting real. With
33:02833 calls that get booked, let's use the
33:06example that I have a $200 cost per
33:10call. In this example, all I got to do
33:12now is take that $833 number and I just
33:16got to multiply it times $200 cost per
33:18call. This is my ad spend. So, I need to
33:21spend $166,000
33:24in order to get that many total calls to
33:26come out the other side. So, in this
33:28example, I could go more granular per
33:32step. But what I reveal by doing this
33:35math is I start from the end of where
33:37the revenue is, and I get to back into
33:39it. So, with $166,000 in ad spend, a
33:43$200 cost per call, I'm going to get 833
33:46calls booked in total. If I get 60% of
33:49those people to show up, that's 500
33:50calls taken. And if my salespeople close
33:53at 20%, that's my 100 deals. If I get
33:56the hundred deals and they each pay me
33:5710K, I get a million dollars. If I do
34:00that within 30 days, done. Now, what I
34:02want you to also understand that closer
How Many Closers Do You Actually Need?
34:04math reveals is how much volume this
34:07actually produces. So, let me help you
34:09understand something. Let's say that our
34:12average closer
34:15can take a total of eight calls per day,
34:20right? We know that 60% of people are
34:22actually going to show up. So out of the
34:25eight different calls that can get
34:27booked per day, well that means about
34:29five, maybe six are actually going to
34:31show up per day. That gives our
34:33salespeople enough time to do all the
34:35admin work that we need them to do like
34:37following up with people, having CRM
34:39compliance, sending in end of day
34:41reports or updating whatever they need
34:43to do, all that kind of stuff. But look
34:45at these two numbers together. Now I
34:48have a total of 833 calls that I need to
34:52book into. So, if my average closer can
34:55take eight calls per day and there's a
34:57total of 833 calls that are going to be
35:00booked, I first need to ask myself,
35:03well, how many days in a month are we
35:05able to book calls? So, let's say that
35:07you have closers that work Monday
35:09through Friday. Monday through Friday
35:11means that you're not going to get to
35:13book on Saturdays and Sundays. If you
35:15take 30 days in a month and you average
35:17it out to have four weeks in the month,
35:20that's two weekends per week and we have
35:24four weeks in the month. So we'd take
35:26two days per week times four total
35:27weeks, we have eight days we're not
35:29going to take calls. That means on
35:30average out of 30 days, we would deduct
35:33eight days out of that. We'd be left
35:34with 22 days. Now out of 22 days, we get
35:37to book eight calls per closer per 22
35:41days. So, the first thing I want to do
35:43is I want to take the amount of days
35:46that I'm able to book into. So, I have
35:4822 days per month in this example that I
35:53can book calls into. I'm going to take
35:55833
35:57and I'm going to divide it by 22 total
35:59days. 833 is the total amount of calls I
36:02need to book in that example I gave you.
36:04And again, we're just dividing it by the
36:05total amount of days. Because this is
36:07above 0.5, that means I got 38 total
36:10calls that I need to book per day for
36:12those 22 days we can take calls. I've
36:14got 38
36:16total calls per day that need booked.
36:19Now, we're getting closer. Watch this.
36:21Now, we're going to again, we're going
36:22to round that up to 38. Okay, so 38
36:25total calls that have to get booked per
36:28day. Our closers can take eight calls
36:30per day. That's how many we can book
36:32into them. So, again, this is above 0.5.
36:36So that means we need five total
36:38closers. Five closers total. That's it.
36:41That's all we need. We need five closers
36:44that we can book a total of 38 calls per
36:48day into cuz each call can take each
36:50closer can take eight calls per day.
36:52That's how many we can book. We only got
36:5322 days out of the month cuz our closers
36:55ain't working weekends, dude. And if we
36:57pull that off and we have the $166,000
37:00to spend, well, boom. I can book that if
37:03I can hold that cost per call. So now
37:05you're going to start seeing all this
37:06come together. You ready? So watch this.
Tying It All Together
37:08If I go back to the original financial
37:11model, watch how seamless this all
37:13becomes. I go over here to my call
37:16funnel. I say, "Okay, I have $166,600
37:22that I need to spend. I need my cost per
37:24call to be at $200." Right? And again,
37:28if we go back to the math, our math
37:30shows us that that's the ad spend we
37:32need to be at. That's the cost per call
37:34that we have to hold but from spending
37:35that we need a 60% show rate and we need
37:39a 20% close rate. Let's see if we can
37:41pull that off in this math and achieve
37:42this same number and see if they align
37:44with one another. So now I'm going to
37:46say that my first call show rate 60% and
37:49all I need to close is 20% of those
37:51people who actually show up. From there
37:54I'm going to cash collect $10,000 per
37:57deal on average. And you can see, look
37:59at this. It comes out to exactly what it
38:01should. $166,600
38:04in spend, $200 cost per call, 60% show
38:08rate, 20% close rate, $10,000 cash
38:11collected on average. And as I
38:12mentioned, if we took a h 100red times
38:1310,000, it's a million. I don't know why
38:15it's shaving off $400. Shame on you,
38:17Google Sheets. And we get about a 6x
38:19rorowaz from that. That's awesome. So,
38:21our financial model align with the
38:24reverse engineered closer math that we
38:26get. Now, again, let me tie them all
38:28together for you. If we go back up here
38:30to our bottleneck analysis that we were
38:32doing once we actually launch right or
38:36assuming you're in motion right now, I
38:38would want to make sure that my CPM, my
38:42link click-through rate, and my page
38:43conversion rate are good enough to get a
38:46$200 booked call because these three
38:49stats make up my cost per booked call.
38:52Right? Then I got my show rate. I need
38:54that to be at 60%. Right? Then you move
38:56over here, we got the close rate that
38:58has to be at 20%. And my AOV, well, in
39:02this example, I needed to be at 10K. So,
39:05what we're starting to see is how all
39:07this ties together, right? We can start
39:10from the very beginning from any one of
39:12these angles. I like to personally start
39:15with the closer math first. I want to
39:17reverse engineer the goal because here's
39:19the other thing that I can do. Let's use
39:20the example that you're currently
39:22spending $20,000 a month on your call
39:25funnel, right? And so then this last
39:27step, this is a little bonus for you
39:29guys. This last step that you can do is
39:32is you can align your reality to all of
39:34this. So let's say your reality right
39:36now is $20,000 in ad spend that
39:39currently goes out. Let's say that your
39:41current cost per booked call is $275.
39:45Let's use the example that you're
39:47currently getting a 52% show rate and
39:51let's say your closers are closing at a
39:5417% close rate. Right? What you can
39:56start to do is you can start to say,
39:58"Well, damn, I'm not that far off. I got
40:01to improve my cost per book call a bit.
40:03I got to improve my show. I got to
40:04improve my close rate." Right? And let's
40:06also pepper in the AOV. Let's say that
40:08you're sitting at a $8,000 AOV right
40:11now. You got to get your AOV up that
40:12extra $2,000. however you going to pull
40:14that off. And then you could take these
40:16statistics, by the way, and you can
40:18divide them by the statistic that you
40:19need to be at. So, watch this. Let's
40:20take the ad spend first, right? So,
40:23let's say that I'm at $20,000 a month in
40:26total ad spend, but I need to be
40:28spending $166,600.
40:32I'm 12% to my goal. We just take that
40:35decimal, we move it two places to the
40:36right. I'm 12% of the way to my current
40:39goal. I want to reverse engineer the
40:41reality of where I'm currently at
40:44against where I need to be. Because if I
40:47do that, I'll know, okay, I'm only 12%
40:51of the way to the total spend I need to
40:54be at to achieve my million-doll month.
40:56If I look at my cost per call of where
40:58it needs to be at versus where I am, I
41:00could see how far away I am. And it
41:02makes it feel better. It gives you a
41:04measurable benchmark of your current
41:06reality against where you actually need
41:09to be. It's the best thing. It really
41:11is. So again, if you tile this together,
41:13you'll very easily understand the
41:16importance of what I'm sitting here
41:17describing to you, which is the whole
Outro
41:19point of this entire video. And it's so
41:21important that you walk away with this
41:22awareness. If you don't understand math,
41:25you don't understand marketing. You
41:27don't understand business. Right? This
41:28is just three examples. Again, something
41:31where I only talk to about 10 to 20% of
41:34what I could otherwise sit here and yap
41:36about to you. So, you actually walk away
41:38a master of this. This is 10 to 20% of
41:40what you need to know. Check out some of
41:41the other videos on my channel. Most
41:42importantly, check out those links down
41:44in the description for all the paid
41:45stuff where the real sauce is. And the
41:47most important thing that you could go
41:49do at this point is to go get richer.
41:51toxin.