Free YouTube Transcribe

Video transcript

If You Don't Understand Math, You Don't Understand Marketing

Jeremy Haynes · 8,068 words · 37 min read

Want to search this transcript, jump the video from any line, or download it as TXT, SRT, or VTT?

Open in the transcript tool

Full transcript

If You Don't Understand Math You Don't Understand Marketing

0:00If you don't understand math, you

0:02definitely don't understand marketing.

0:03And if you don't understand math or know

0:05how to do marketing math, you sure as

0:07hell don't stand a chance to crack

0:08million-dollar months or that next

0:10million dollars a month that you're

0:11after. In today's video, we're going to

0:13show you three different types of

0:14marketing math. I'm going to discuss

0:15with you financial modeling, and I'll

0:17show it to you for a callunnel and for a

0:18webinar funnel. In addition to that,

0:20we're going to do what's called a

0:21bottleneck analysis. We're going to wrap

0:24it up with what we refer to as closer

0:25math, which is how you back into knowing

0:28how many closers you need at a

0:29particular time to actually hit your

0:32goals. By the end of this video, you're

0:34going to walk away with the clarity

0:35around three of the most common

0:37marketing math examples that you're

0:40realistically going to need to use in

0:41your day-to-day business operations so

0:43you can finally scale the hell out of

0:44your business. For all those unfamiliar,

0:46my name is Jeremy Haynes. All we talk

0:47about on this channel is cracking

0:48million-dollar months. Whether it's the

0:50first million a month or the next

0:51million a month, we just hand down

0:52lessons from people that have been

0:53there, done that, including myself. Of

0:55course, there's no income claims. Quick

0:57disclaimer for you. The odds of you ever

0:58cracking $10 million a year, according

1:00to research, is.1%. The odds of you ever

1:04cracking a million a month, aka $12

1:06million a year, is obviously a lower

1:08number than.1%. So, without further ado,

1:10let's get started. The first type of

1:12math that you're going to need to most

Financial Modeling Explained

1:13commonly do inside of marketing, is

1:15what's referred to as financial

1:17modeling. I'm going to bring up two

1:19different financial models for you for

1:21two of the most common funnel types,

1:23call funnels and webinars to demonstrate

1:26this point to you. But the first thing

1:28that I need you to understand is you can

1:30easily build models that are specific to

1:33the exact funnel that you're currently

1:35running, the exact steps that you

1:38specifically care about. That way you

1:40have the clarity around what each stat

1:44can be in its worstcase scenario with

1:47every other stat factored into it.

1:49You'll see as we go through this

1:51together how important this truly

1:53becomes to have worst case scenarios

1:56analyzed to determine how much you need

1:59to spend at a minimum during test phases

2:01and to also see that when you scale how

2:04much flexing each particular stat can do

2:07before your whole operation collapses

2:09and becomes unprofitable. Let's dive in

Call Funnel Financial Model Walkthrough

2:11initially with a call funnel. So this

2:15call funnel I also just want to disclose

2:17real quick. For some reason, my specific

2:21cell here, I don't know why this is a

2:22duplicate of a duplicate of a duplicate

2:24of a financial model. If you took six

2:27deals being closed times 14,000, it sure

2:30as hell doesn't come out to an odd

2:32number, but it's pretty close.

2:34Nonetheless, let me show you how this

2:36actually works. So, in a callfunnel

2:38financial model, let's just go from the

2:40top to the bottom so we can easily

2:42understand this. That way, all this

2:43doesn't confuse you. The first thing in

2:46this very first cell, A1, it represents

2:48ad spend. So, we're going to simply put

2:50how much we're going to spend over

2:52whatever period of time we want to judge

2:54it. Let's use 30 days as an example. Our

2:58next step, we ideally want to be

3:00modeling around the most conservative

3:02scenarios, aka the worst case scenarios.

3:05So, this is our cost per call. We're

3:08going to put our cost per call at $450

3:10in this example. Here you'll see that we

3:15can use this same model for either a one

3:18call close or for a two call close. In

3:22this specific example, this is a one

3:24call close. We would assume that you

3:26have a 60% show rate, which is about the

3:28average nowadays. Above average would be

3:30about 70% plus. We've seen below average

3:33be as low as about 30% by the way.

3:35Sometimes even a little bit worse than

3:36that, slipping down into the 20s. Got a

3:38lot of problems if that's the case. In

3:40this example, you'll see that both of

3:42these cells are represented at 100%. Cuz

3:44like I said, we're not doing a two call

3:46close. We're doing a one call close. If

3:48we had a two call close, we would put

3:51how many people that showed up to the

3:52first call actually booked a second call

3:55and how many people that booked a second

3:57call showed up to the second call. So

3:59again, in a one call close example,

4:01these would just be 100%. In a two call

4:03close example, they'd be at whatever

4:04stat they actually are. Then we have our

4:06close rate. The close rate is how many

4:08people that showed up actually closed.

4:11And then we have our AOV, our average

4:14order value, otherwise known as our

4:15actual cash collected per sale. Some

4:17people at this particular step start to

4:20get a little wonky on their math. So,

4:22just to give you some clarity, always

4:23operate around whatever amount you

4:25actually cash collect when you close

4:27somebody because that's how many dollars

4:29are actually going to come into the

4:30business in real time. Sometimes people

4:32will inflate this number a dramatic

4:34amount and they'll model everything

4:36around revenue rather than actual

4:40dollars that have been collected.

4:42Sometimes this is contracted dollars

4:44that people will put here. Put how much

4:46money you actually collect per sale

4:47because that'll make a huge difference

4:48to the stats. Then you start to get into

4:50the results columns. In this case, you

4:53can see based on the math, if we spent

4:5520 grand, if we had a $450 cost per

4:58call, we'd have 44 total calls

4:59generated. If 60% of those people showed

5:02up to the first call, we'd have 27 total

5:05calls that were taken. We skip down here

5:07to the close rate step. If we had 22% of

5:11those people that actually closed, we'd

5:13have six total deals. And in this

5:15example, we're cash collecting $14,000

5:18on average, which like I said gives us

5:20the amount that we actually generated.

5:23And that's a little off. You take 14K* 6

5:26and that gives you the actual number.

5:27From here we get our gross return on ad

5:30spend. So before any expenses just ad

5:33spend. This is what our rorowaz looks

5:36like in that example. Now from here in

5:38this specific model we add a few more

5:40variables because we obviously don't

5:42just want to be operating off gross

5:43return on ad spend. We want to be

5:44operating on net rorowaz. So we have any

5:47fixed costs that you can just put as a

5:49line item here. That'll be deducted

5:51against the total amount that's been

5:52generated. We have team costs if you

5:55want to separate them out by line items.

5:57We have the sales team specifically and

5:59you can put whatever commission you're

6:00going to pay your sales team in total

6:02that determines our total costs which

6:04then determines our net profit which

6:06then determines our net rorowaz. You can

6:08also put additional breakout line items

6:10below that just for the sake of clarity

6:12on what each expense was out of the

6:14total ad spend that you're going to have

6:16if you want to do that. Now, the point

6:18being in this specific math, what you

6:21can see here is we put a dollar in and

6:23we get about $4 back. We put a dollar in

6:26and we net about $2.50 back for every

6:29dollar that we spend. That's great math.

6:32Each one of these specific cells when we

6:36manipulate it in a negative direction

6:38reveals to us how bad it could be before

6:41everything starts to break. So, let me

6:42give you an example. Let's say that

6:44instead of having a 60% rorowaz, we have

6:46one of those dumpster fire show rates

6:48that some of you right now are rocking,

6:50let's say that it's only 30%. In that

6:53example, just that one statistic

6:55changing dramatically reduces our

6:58overall rorowaz. We cut our rorowaz in

7:01half in that example by cutting our show

7:04rate in half. The simplest math starts

7:07to reveal itself here for how important

7:10each specific statistic is by itself.

7:14But also, you'll start to mess around

7:15with the model and see how important

7:18each statistic is just going up or down,

7:21but having a few of those specific key

7:24stats that go up or down at the same

7:27time. Now, one other financial model

Webinar Financial Model Walkthrough

7:30that we like to look at and use very

7:32frequently, just given how common this

7:35funnel is at this point, is a webinar.

7:37Very commonly, people want to know how

7:40little can I spend when I'm testing a

7:41webinar to get it off the ground or how

7:43much can I spend on a webinar and how

7:45bad could each stat be before it no

7:48longer makes sense to run. In this

7:50specific financial model, again, we're

7:52looking at a webinar. In this case, we

7:54start off with our ad spend. So, we're

7:57assuming that we're spending $5,000 on

7:59this specific amount. We're assuming our

8:01cost per webinar registrant to get

8:03somebody to opt in is $20. We're

8:06assuming that we have a show rate in

8:08this example of 25%. We're assuming in

8:11this model that we're doing a book a

8:13call webinar. And by the way, in this

8:16same financial model, just like in the

8:18callfunnel one, instead of having two

8:21models, one for a single call close and

8:24one for a two call close, we can use the

8:26same model for a direct to checkout as

8:28well. We would have our show rate to the

8:30webinar. And then for our booked call

8:33and our booked call show rate, we would

8:34just put those at 100%. Because then

8:37that would represent that we have our

8:39close rate from everybody that we did

8:41directed checkout with. From there, we

8:42have our cash collected per sale. So

8:44again, in this specific way that the

8:45model is laid out, let's assume that

8:47we're doing a book a call call to

8:48action. So we spend 5,000. We have a $20

8:51cost per registration. We get 250 people

8:54that opt in. We have 25% of people show

8:57up. That's 63 people that show up. We

9:00manage to book an outrageous 75% of

9:04them. That statistic is normally about

9:0630%. By the way, the amount of people

9:08that show up to a call is 53% and the

9:11amount of people that close from those

9:12calls is 22%. We're cash collecting per

9:15sale $3,500 in this math. For this

9:18specific math, we turned a dollar into

9:20$3.83 for the gross revenue. And from

9:23here, we'd have to take off all the

9:25different costs to determine what the

9:27actual net rorowaz would be. For this

9:29specific model, you want to know

9:32something very important. What stats are

9:35real? and what stats are very

9:38unrealistic. You know, as an example, a

9:41$20 cost per registration for a webinar

9:43is a pretty normal range. You might

9:45assume that some people can do far

9:48better, but there's also some people

9:49that could do far worse. That's right

9:50down the middle in terms of what's

9:52considered conservative. Your show rate

9:54can be as bad as about 10 to 15%.

9:57Average is about 20. Above average is

9:59anything 30% plus. And this is assuming

10:02a cold traffic webinar, by the way. The

10:04booked call rate is an outrageous

10:06statistic at 75%. That would assume

10:09three out of four people that are

10:10sitting there watching you during your

10:11pitch are going to book a call. That's

10:13not realistic. What's actually realistic

10:15is closer to about a 30% book a call

10:18rate. That'd be considered where you

10:20want it to be. 20% is more average for

10:24most people, especially when they're

10:25first getting started. We see the book a

10:27call statistic, by the way, as worse or

10:30as low as about 10%. So, it's very

10:33similar to the show rate statistic. The

10:36booked call show rate statistic, meaning

10:38how many people book a call that

10:39actually show up. Ideally, that's 70%

10:42plus. And ideally, your close rate from

10:45all the people who book from a webinar,

10:46these are layup deals after all, would

10:48ideally be 35% plus at a minimum. From

10:51here, the cash collected per sale, that

10:55AOV number, how much you're actually

10:57putting in your pocket per deal that's

10:58closed, $3,500 for a webinar when you're

11:01booking a call would be considered very

11:03low. The higher the number is, the

11:04better. Knowing what's realistic, is

11:06very important when you're financially

11:07modeling everything out. But again, you

11:10want to have models like this for your

11:12business, for whatever funnel you are

11:14specifically running. Because the

11:16intention of doing this is before we

11:19even spend a dollar, we can see what all

11:21the different statistics need to be in a

11:23worst case scenario for each stat for us

11:26to still turn that dollar back into a

11:28dollar, if not more than that. We can

11:30also see how good everything could get

11:32if everything went right. After we

11:35actually get the reality of what our

11:36statistics actually are and we're not

11:38just doing predictions, we can plug in

11:40the real numbers to the model and we can

11:42see what our profit should look like.

11:45Very commonly, people are told by their

11:47team members that they have running

11:48their sales teams or running their

11:50marketing teams what different key

11:52statistics are in the business. When

11:54you're told those statistics, if you

11:55just turned around and plugged them into

11:57a financial model, you'd have the

11:58clarity if they're lying, manipulating

11:59the stats, or if everything aligns

12:01perfectly to reality. We had a girl one

12:03time comes in person and sits down with

12:06me for what we call a business

12:07breakdown. We put a chair here. We put a

12:10chair here. And we start the process of

12:12digging into this person's business and

12:14trying to find out the specifics about

12:17what's going on, what's holding back

12:19revenue, and what could help them scale.

The Kadisha Story - Stats That Don't Add Up

12:22One of these specific business owners

12:23that came and sat down with me, her name

12:24was Kadisha. And Kadisha was struggling

12:27with her return on ad spend. At this

12:29specific moment, she was at a very low

12:312:1 rorowass. and she was very confused

12:33as to why. I start doing something that

12:36we refer to as a bottleneck analysis,

12:38which is the thing we're going to cover

12:39next together. And as she's sitting

12:42there saying the statistics, I'm

12:43thinking to myself, these statistics

12:45sound way better than a 2:1 rorowass.

12:48Let's go plug these numbers into a

12:50financial model and see if the financial

12:51model aligns with what her numbers are

12:56because it doesn't sound like they'd be

12:57a 2:1. We go plug the exact stats that

13:00she had from a webinar funnel and from a

13:02callunnel into this exact financial

13:04model and the model said that she should

13:07have been at an 8:1 return. Now in her

13:10specific business, the reality of her

13:12business was she was at a 2:1 but the

13:15stats that she was being told by her

13:17team and that she was making decisions

13:19on showed that she should be at an 8:1.

13:23If you don't understand math, you don't

13:24understand marketing. Because in that

13:26example, if you heard what I just said,

13:28she's not making decisions in reality to

13:31improve her conditions of her business.

13:33She's making decisions in a false world.

13:36So, of course, she's not making any

13:37progress in real life. That's one way

13:40that financial models can become really

13:42valuable outside of showing you what's

13:44the minimum you need to spend in order

13:46to test what is the reality of your

13:49business. When you take the stats that

13:51you're being told and you plug them into

13:52the model, does the model align with the

13:54reality of what your rorowaz is or what

13:55your profit is? In addition to that,

13:58this can be really good for starting to

13:59project if you go to shovel a lot of

14:02spend into your ad account and you're

14:05trying to scale the hell out of your

14:06business. If each stat got a little bit

14:08worse, how bad could collectively

14:10everything be in a worst case scenario

14:12for you to still meet your desired

14:14minimum profit thresholds to scale in

14:16the first place? Financial modeling is a

14:18critical foundation of every single

14:21business that is going to market and it

14:24rolls into the second part of what we

14:25need to talk about next which is what we

14:27refer to as a bottleneck analysis. So

Bottleneck Analysis Explained

14:29just like I was talking about in the

14:31context of Kadisha her business was in a

14:34position where nothing really made

14:36sense. She wasn't where she wanted to be

14:38at from a profit perspective. And so we

14:40picked the specific funnel that she was

14:43running and we broke it down step by

14:45step. The concept of a bottleneck

14:47analysis is very simple in practice.

14:50Allow me to explain it to you from a

14:51highle perspective. First, at any point

14:54within your process that you have right

14:56now, your advertising, marketing, and

14:57sales process, there could be a

15:00constraint. Just one constraint is all

15:02it takes to hold back a tremendous

15:04amount of revenue from coming through

15:05the other side. And when you're talking

15:07in the context of million dollars a

15:08month or a couple million dollars a

15:10month, knowing exactly where a specific

15:14step in your entire sales and marketing

15:16process is contracted is where your

15:19attention flows exclusively until

15:22resolved. So in this example, just

15:25picture a nice flowing river that all of

15:28a sudden out of nowhere contracts down

15:30to a tiny little stream. There's not

15:32going to be an excess of water coming

15:34out the other side. It's just going to

15:36be a tiny little stream, a trickle of

15:37water that comes out. We have the power

15:40of an entire river to flow through there

15:42if we can open up that choke point, that

15:44bottleneck. So everything opens up and

15:47so a higher quantity of water comes out

15:49the other side. In the context of, as an

15:51example, water bottles, bottlenecks make

15:54sense because this contains all the

15:57water obviously and this prevents us

16:00from just having an aggressive amount of

16:02water come out the bottle as we drink

16:04it. We don't want our business to have a

16:06bottleneck. We want our business to

16:08maintain the same flow across the entire

16:11marketing and sales side of the

16:13equation. That way, the most money comes

16:16out the other side. That's the whole

16:18point of what we're attempting to do.

The Data Hierarchy

16:19So, as an example, I'll take those exact

16:21same two funnels and I'll break down the

16:23key steps that matter. One quick thing

16:25that I want you to be able to think with

16:26before I do is what we call the data

16:28hierarchy. So if you notice in the

16:30financial model, every statistic that we

16:32could talk about isn't here. These are

16:35the important statistics that typically

16:37make up your rorowaz. Statistics like

16:40your cost per lead, statistics like your

16:43show rate, statistics like your booked

16:45call rate, statistics like your booked

16:48call show rate, statistics like your

16:50close rate. In the context of a

16:52callunnel specifically, the callfunnel

16:55is a little bit different. The

16:57callfunnel statistics that matter are

16:59things like your cost per call, your

17:02show rate, your close rate, the cash

17:04collected per sale. But there are what

17:06we call substics that make up this

17:09number. So, as an example, the cost per

17:12call isn't just a number that randomly

17:13exists. It's created and made up of

17:16three key statistics. the CPMs, our cost

17:19to reach people, our link click-through

17:22rate, meaning how many people actually

17:23see our ads versus click the link to go

17:25to the page, and in addition to that,

17:27the page conversion rate. Let's say that

17:30you had a bad page conversion rate. You

17:32can also dig further into what

17:34statistics make up that number. But we

17:36don't want to create a model that's

17:38overly complex and has every single one

17:41of these tiny little numbers that make

17:43up the larger numbers that actually

17:45matter. Because if everything's going

17:46well, we're fine. In terms of the data

17:49hierarchy, the ones that are at the top

17:51that you want to look at first as your

17:53leading indicators are rorowaz and

17:55collected dollars per booked call. From

17:58there, we dig into what makes up those

18:00numbers. As an example, like what we've

18:03covered in these two financial models

18:04we've shown you. From there, we dig into

18:06the stats that make up those numbers,

18:09which is something that becomes very

18:10handy when we do a bottleneck analysis.

Call Funnel Benchmarks & Key Stats

18:12So let's use the example of a call

18:14funnel first and let's say that we

18:16wanted to do a bottleneck analysis for

18:18it. The first step in that process is

18:21CPMs. The second step is link

18:25click-through rate. The third step is

18:28the page conversion rate. Now one thing

18:32that's important to note inside of

18:33CallFunnels is what you are actually

18:36attempting to measure. So for the page

18:38conversion rate, we're not looking for

18:40the people that clicked and applied

18:41because that's not what we want. We want

18:43qualified booked calls. So we want to

18:45take the total qualified booked calls

18:48divided by the total link clicks. That's

18:51what we want to measure for our page

18:53conversion rate in this example. From

18:55there, let's assume that we're doing a

18:56one call close. So we have our show rate

18:59to factor in. After that, we get into

19:01the statistic of our close rate. And

19:05then from there, we have our AOV. How

19:07much money did we actually collect per

19:09sale on average? In comparison, for

19:12something like a webinar, we'd have a

19:14few more stats that we'd have to measure

19:16out, but it starts relatively the same.

19:19We have our CPMs. We have our link

19:21click-through rate. We have our opt-in

19:23rate on a webinar funnel. We then have

19:27our webinar show rate. Now, in webinars

19:32specifically, two stats matter inside of

19:34the webinar itself. what's known as the

19:37retention rate and in addition to that

19:40the booking rate or if you're doing a

19:43direct to checkout the direct to

19:45checkout rate. I assume that of course

19:47if you're sitting here watching me on

19:48this channel you have some kind of high

19:50ticket product or service based

19:51business. So there's a much higher

19:52probability you're going to tell people

19:53to book a call given the price of your

19:55offers. From there we have the call show

19:58rate

20:00and lastly we have the close rate. We

20:03follow that up with the AOV. How many

20:05dollars are we actually cash collecting

20:07per sale? Now, what you want to do when

20:09you look at these is first of all, make

20:10sure that you again, you aren't over

20:12complicating the total amount of numbers

20:14that you need to track. You specifically

20:16want to measure stats just like what

20:18we've talked about here because this

20:19gives you the reality without having to

20:21go too deep into the trenches. If any

20:22one of these specific statistics is

20:24contracted and has other stats that make

20:27it up, we can then go and look for those

20:28numbers afterwards. So, let me give you

20:30an example. I'll make up some math

20:31that's about average. So, for CPMs,

20:35we'll commonly see this somewhere

20:36between about $30 and $80. Could be

20:39anywhere in between. For a link

20:41click-through rate, ideally, you want to

20:42be at a 2% link click-through rate. Your

20:45page conversion rate on a call funnel.

20:48Again, total clicks to how many people

20:51actually book a qualified call. You

20:53ideally want to be at a 3 to 5%

20:55conversion rate of the total amount of

20:57people that click versus the total

20:59amount of people that schedule a

21:00qualified booked call. Your show rate is

21:04typically averaging about 60% nowadays.

21:0670% realistically is where you want to

21:08be, but 60% you can still be very

21:10profitable on a call funnel from cold

21:13traffic. Assuming you've got the

21:15salespeople that you need to be able to

21:17do education calls, that transition to

21:19closing calls, you're typically going to

21:21be in the range of somewhere between

21:22about the low end of 15% to the high end

21:25is usually about 30%. Most closers will

21:28average somewhere in the low to mid 20s.

21:31Then you have your AOV and obviously

21:33your AOV is completely determined by

21:34your offer and what you charge. Whether

21:36you're doing PIFFS and cash collecting

21:38every dollar that you're owed up front

21:40or whether you're doing financing or

21:41funding, whether you're doing payment

21:43plans, you need to determine what your

21:45actual AOV is, of course. But the simple

21:47answer is the higher the better. So in

21:49this example, this gives you an idea of

21:51what the key benchmarks are of the key

21:53statistics of a callunnel. you can go

21:56through and you can map your specific

21:57callfunnel statistics against these

21:59benchmarks and then if any one of these

22:02particular stats is contracted, you

22:05isolate your attention to that specific

22:08statistic. So a lot of people when they

22:10go to improve their rorowaz and get more

Play the Doubles Game

22:13money coming out the other side of their

22:15funnels, they operate off vibes, which

22:18is silly to say the least. You have to

22:22understand math to understand marketing.

22:24So, as an example, let's say that your

22:26CPMs were within range, but let's say

22:28that you had a 0.5%

22:31link click-through rate. All of your

22:33attention would go towards making better

22:35ads in that example if that is the

22:38specific statistic out of all the stats

22:40available to you that is easiest to

22:43double. What you're trying to do in a

22:44bottleneck analysis is play the doubles

22:46game out of any specific statistic,

22:49especially if multiple are messed up at

22:51the same time. Which to you is the

22:54easiest to double or in the context of

22:57CPM is the easiest to reduce in half. If

23:00I had a 0.5% link click-through rate and

23:03every other stat in my funnel was

23:05exactly where it should be compared to

23:07the benchmarks of the true and honest

23:10averages, I'd isolate all my attention

23:12to making better ads. Let's say that I

23:14had a 0.5% link click-through rate and I

23:17also had a 25% show rate. The

23:20combination of these two different

23:22statistics being bad at the same time is

23:24where I tell you you need to start

23:26determining what might be the easiest

23:28for you to influence and double. I'd

23:31also like to remind you that every

23:33statistic at the beginning of the

23:35process influences the statistics to

23:37follow. We've had people that have had

23:39great optins, great show rates, great

23:43conversion rates, but then they get to

23:45the close and the close is terrible. And

23:47you might think of that in the context

23:49of what I just said and say, "Oh, well,

23:51that'd be the salespeople's fault,

23:53right?" But what if all the leads that

23:54were showing up were terrible, genuinely

23:56unqualified, people that had no chance

23:58in hell to close. Although the close

24:00rate stat is what's contracted, you'd

24:03still likely put attention onto the

24:05advertising side of things because in

24:07that example, you likely have a

24:08messaging problem or you're not doing

24:10enough qualification in your webinar or

24:12in your call funnel. So certain stats

24:14can be contracted, but it might not be

24:16that stat specifically for where you

24:19need to put attention. You might

24:20actually need to put attention further

24:21up in the process. There's a whole bunch

24:23of if this, then that rules that these

24:26types of things start to reveal. I have

24:29plenty of great content on my channel

24:31that's dedicated to helping you improve

24:33all stages of what you're going to come

24:34across here. from advertising

24:36strategies, funnel strategies, when to

24:39do what thinking, the mindset behind all

24:42of this, very tactical entrench level

24:44information on how to improve. But of

24:46course, I just want to disclose on

24:48YouTube, I talk at about 10 to 20% of

24:51what I know. The remainder of what I

24:53actually know, where all the juicy stuff

24:55is, is inside of my paid programs that

24:57you can find links for down in the

24:59description. I'd encourage at the very

25:00least you check out my newest offer,

25:02Jeremy AI. That's an angentic AI clone

25:05of me that can literally help you do all

25:07this stuff, let alone answer all of your

25:09questions. But back to this, let's look

Webinar Benchmarks & Key Stats

25:10at the webinar bottleneck analysis as an

25:12example and give you some benchmark KPIs

25:14that you can look at for that. CPMs are

25:17about the same. You're typically

25:18somewhere between about $30 and $80 on

25:20average. Your link click-through rate

25:22should be about the same, a 2% link

25:24click-through rate. Now, I know this is

25:26a wide range, but your opt-in rate can

25:28typically vary somewhere between about

25:3020 and 50%. It depends on the traffic

25:32source. Like as an example, the

25:34difference between warm and cold

25:35audiences can wildly determine that. And

25:37it also depends on how good your

25:38messaging is. We've seen people wildly

25:41profitable with 10% opt-in rates. Just

25:43to put it in perspective, each statistic

25:46is contextual to your business for how

25:48bad it needs to be. But I want to make

25:50you aware of the benchmarks.

25:51Nonetheless, your webinar show rates

25:53will typically be somewhere between

25:56about 10 and 30% plus. 30% would be

26:00where you'd want to bias towards. The

26:02average is about 20 nowadays, but again,

26:0430% is what you want to shoot for. Now,

26:06the retention rate, let me explain the

26:08statistic. The retention rate, a lot of

26:10people measure their show rate

26:11differently. And it's important that we

26:12get clarity on that statistic, too. Show

26:15rate, let's say you use Zoom webinars.

26:17You can log into the back end of Zoom in

26:19their analytics portal for that specific

26:21webinar that you just concluded, and

26:22they'll tell you how many people clicked

26:24to join altogether. And if you

26:26determined that to be your show rate and

26:27you divided that by the total quantity

26:29of registrants, you'd have a much higher

26:31inflated show rate compared to the

26:33reality. What you'd rather measure your

26:35show rate on is what was the highest

26:37quantity of people there concurrently at

26:40one time. So Zoom's analytic might say,

26:42let's say you had a thousand

26:43registrants. Everybody that clicked to

26:45join, they might say that you had 400

26:47people. And you might say, "Oh my god, I

26:48had the greatest show rate. I had a 40%

26:50plus show rate." But let's say that you

26:52actually had 200 people there at the

26:55same time watching your webinar. That

26:57would be your real show rate, which

26:58would be 20% in that example. That's how

27:00you want to measure that. So, when it

27:02comes to the retention rate, it matters

27:04that we measure the show rate accurately

27:06because that's going to determine this

27:07statistic. Retention rate is how many

27:10people were you able to hold from the

27:12beginning of the webinar until the very

27:15start of your pitch. If you can

27:17specifically dial this in to be about

27:1980% plus, you're sitting right where you

27:21want to be. Most people who are great at

27:23the actual webinar presentation will

27:25easily be able to accomplish this. Your

27:28booking rate should ideally be 30% if

27:31not greater than that. The worst people

27:33who are usually terrible at the close,

27:36they can be as low as about 10%. People

27:38who are getting the hang of it or who

27:40stay in the close for a couple minutes

27:42and that's it, they'll be closer to like

27:44a 10 to 20% range. The people who stay

27:47in the close for as long as they should,

27:49which should be about an hour, by the

27:51way, just in the close, they'll easily

27:53be able to get that 30%. Especially if

27:56they have our flow that we encourage

27:58people to do when they're in the webinar

27:59close. But nonetheless, let me help you

28:02understand how you're measuring this

28:03statistic. So when you start your pitch,

28:06however many people are there at the

28:08start of the pitch

28:11versus how many people book or how many

28:13people buy, that's your specific booking

28:16rate, depending on whether you're doing

28:17a booking rate or direct to checkout. We

28:19want 30% of the people that are there

28:21during the time of the pitch to book a

28:24call with us. Then we have our webinar

28:26call show rate. Ideally, that should be

28:28no lower than 70%. If it's lower than

28:3170%, you have a problem, my friend, and

28:34you need to improve that statistic. Your

28:36close rate on these calls that book from

28:38a webinar should be at least 35%.

28:41Very easily achievable because every

28:44webinar call should be a layup deal.

28:46After all, you just did a webinar. And

28:48again, when it comes to your AOV, well,

28:49that's completely determined by you

28:51based on what you charge. But the higher

28:53the number, the better. I will tell you

28:54this, especially if you're doing a

28:55booked call with a webinar, you never

28:57want the AOV to be below $5,000. The

29:01higher the AOV, the better and the more

29:03profitable you're going to be. But I

29:05can't stress enough, AOVs typically

29:07below $5,000 become very problematic and

29:10you get into the territory where it

29:11might make more sense to have just done

29:13a direct to checkout. But I will say a

29:15direct to checkout requires a different

29:17set of skills compared to a book a call

29:19webinar skill set. So with these two

29:21sets of stats, what you can see in the

29:23two most common funnel types, call

29:24funnels and webinars, is what each

29:26particular statistic needs to range

29:28within. Now, when I tell you do a

29:30bottleneck analysis, this is literally

29:32what I mean to do. You want to map out

29:34each statistic of your specific process

29:37that you're putting people through right

29:38now and put a statistic to it. When you

29:40compare that statistic to the benchmarks

29:42that you just became aware of here, you

29:44want to determine which particular

29:46statistic is the most contracted

29:48compared to any other statistic. When

29:51you look at the statistic that's the

29:53most contracted, that's where you

29:55isolate your attention. The only time

29:57that you wouldn't is in the example I

29:58gave you where, let's say you had a

30:00terrible close rate. Let's say that all

30:02these statistics look exactly as they

30:04should, but when you get over here to

30:06looking at your close rate, let's say

30:08that it's terrible and in the single

30:10digits. Let's say your sales people are

30:12complaining, whining, moaning, saying,

30:14"Hey, nobody's closing because these

30:16leads are the worst ever." That might be

30:19a lead quality issue. And even though

30:21every single statistic is technically

30:23great, just because your close rates bad

30:25doesn't necessarily mean in that example

30:27that you'd isolate your attention

30:28exclusively to your sales people.

30:30absolutely demands attention, no doubt.

30:32And you want to validate if they're

30:33lying or not, or if the reality is true.

30:35Because if the reality is true, you have

30:37a messaging problem. And even though all

30:38your stats are great, well, you got the

30:40wrong people coming through. So, you

30:41don't want to do that. So, let me help

Closer Math Explained

30:43you understand one thing. Now that

30:44you've got these two different key math

30:48examples down of financial modeling and

30:51doing a bottleneck analysis, you want to

30:53wrap this all together with what we

30:55refer to as closer math. Now, closer

30:58math is really important that you

30:59understand. This is how we reverse

31:01engineer our goals and make the goal

31:04number possible. So, I'm going to give

Reverse Engineer Your Revenue Goal

31:06you an example. Let's say that I wanted

31:08to hit a million dollars a month in

31:11revenue, right? And that's cash

31:14collected that I actually want to

31:15generate for the business. I rather than

31:18starting at the beginning of all the

31:19stats, I want to start at the end. So,

31:22I'm going to pull out my handydandy

31:24calculator and I want to show you guys

31:25this as we go along. So we're all on the

31:28same page with what these numbers

31:29actually look like. Let's use the

31:30example that I start with my AOV, right?

31:34How much am I actually collecting on

31:36average per sale? And let's say that my

31:38current AOV sits at $10,000, right? If

31:42my AOV is $10,000, I want you to

31:46understand you need to close a 100red

31:48people. So I need a hundred sales. Now,

31:52to get that hundred person demographic

31:55to actually give me that $10,000 so I

31:57can get my million dollars, I then need

31:59to divide that hundred number of total

32:02closes by what my close rate is. And we

32:05do that in a decimal. So, in this

32:07example, I'd take my 100 people that I

32:09need to buy and let's use the example

32:11that I have a 20% close rate. I need 500

32:16calls to happen. So, I need 500 people

32:18to literally talk to my closers. So in

32:20this example, let's say that we have a

32:2220% close rate.

32:25I need 500 calls taken. Now again, just

32:28to keep this math simple and show you

32:30guys, if I have 500 total calls that I

32:33need taken, let's divide that by 60%.

32:36Let's say that I have a 60% show rate.

32:39Now, when you get a decimal like 833.33,

32:43like you see in that example, either

32:44round it up or rounded down based on

32:46whether it being above.5 or below.5. So

32:49again, let's say that I have a 60% show

32:51rate.

32:53That 60% show rate means I need 833

32:57calls that get booked. Now, this is

33:00where things start getting real. With

33:02833 calls that get booked, let's use the

33:06example that I have a $200 cost per

33:10call. In this example, all I got to do

33:12now is take that $833 number and I just

33:16got to multiply it times $200 cost per

33:18call. This is my ad spend. So, I need to

33:21spend $166,000

33:24in order to get that many total calls to

33:26come out the other side. So, in this

33:28example, I could go more granular per

33:32step. But what I reveal by doing this

33:35math is I start from the end of where

33:37the revenue is, and I get to back into

33:39it. So, with $166,000 in ad spend, a

33:43$200 cost per call, I'm going to get 833

33:46calls booked in total. If I get 60% of

33:49those people to show up, that's 500

33:50calls taken. And if my salespeople close

33:53at 20%, that's my 100 deals. If I get

33:56the hundred deals and they each pay me

33:5710K, I get a million dollars. If I do

34:00that within 30 days, done. Now, what I

34:02want you to also understand that closer

How Many Closers Do You Actually Need?

34:04math reveals is how much volume this

34:07actually produces. So, let me help you

34:09understand something. Let's say that our

34:12average closer

34:15can take a total of eight calls per day,

34:20right? We know that 60% of people are

34:22actually going to show up. So out of the

34:25eight different calls that can get

34:27booked per day, well that means about

34:29five, maybe six are actually going to

34:31show up per day. That gives our

34:33salespeople enough time to do all the

34:35admin work that we need them to do like

34:37following up with people, having CRM

34:39compliance, sending in end of day

34:41reports or updating whatever they need

34:43to do, all that kind of stuff. But look

34:45at these two numbers together. Now I

34:48have a total of 833 calls that I need to

34:52book into. So, if my average closer can

34:55take eight calls per day and there's a

34:57total of 833 calls that are going to be

35:00booked, I first need to ask myself,

35:03well, how many days in a month are we

35:05able to book calls? So, let's say that

35:07you have closers that work Monday

35:09through Friday. Monday through Friday

35:11means that you're not going to get to

35:13book on Saturdays and Sundays. If you

35:15take 30 days in a month and you average

35:17it out to have four weeks in the month,

35:20that's two weekends per week and we have

35:24four weeks in the month. So we'd take

35:26two days per week times four total

35:27weeks, we have eight days we're not

35:29going to take calls. That means on

35:30average out of 30 days, we would deduct

35:33eight days out of that. We'd be left

35:34with 22 days. Now out of 22 days, we get

35:37to book eight calls per closer per 22

35:41days. So, the first thing I want to do

35:43is I want to take the amount of days

35:46that I'm able to book into. So, I have

35:4822 days per month in this example that I

35:53can book calls into. I'm going to take

35:55833

35:57and I'm going to divide it by 22 total

35:59days. 833 is the total amount of calls I

36:02need to book in that example I gave you.

36:04And again, we're just dividing it by the

36:05total amount of days. Because this is

36:07above 0.5, that means I got 38 total

36:10calls that I need to book per day for

36:12those 22 days we can take calls. I've

36:14got 38

36:16total calls per day that need booked.

36:19Now, we're getting closer. Watch this.

36:21Now, we're going to again, we're going

36:22to round that up to 38. Okay, so 38

36:25total calls that have to get booked per

36:28day. Our closers can take eight calls

36:30per day. That's how many we can book

36:32into them. So, again, this is above 0.5.

36:36So that means we need five total

36:38closers. Five closers total. That's it.

36:41That's all we need. We need five closers

36:44that we can book a total of 38 calls per

36:48day into cuz each call can take each

36:50closer can take eight calls per day.

36:52That's how many we can book. We only got

36:5322 days out of the month cuz our closers

36:55ain't working weekends, dude. And if we

36:57pull that off and we have the $166,000

37:00to spend, well, boom. I can book that if

37:03I can hold that cost per call. So now

37:05you're going to start seeing all this

37:06come together. You ready? So watch this.

Tying It All Together

37:08If I go back to the original financial

37:11model, watch how seamless this all

37:13becomes. I go over here to my call

37:16funnel. I say, "Okay, I have $166,600

37:22that I need to spend. I need my cost per

37:24call to be at $200." Right? And again,

37:28if we go back to the math, our math

37:30shows us that that's the ad spend we

37:32need to be at. That's the cost per call

37:34that we have to hold but from spending

37:35that we need a 60% show rate and we need

37:39a 20% close rate. Let's see if we can

37:41pull that off in this math and achieve

37:42this same number and see if they align

37:44with one another. So now I'm going to

37:46say that my first call show rate 60% and

37:49all I need to close is 20% of those

37:51people who actually show up. From there

37:54I'm going to cash collect $10,000 per

37:57deal on average. And you can see, look

37:59at this. It comes out to exactly what it

38:01should. $166,600

38:04in spend, $200 cost per call, 60% show

38:08rate, 20% close rate, $10,000 cash

38:11collected on average. And as I

38:12mentioned, if we took a h 100red times

38:1310,000, it's a million. I don't know why

38:15it's shaving off $400. Shame on you,

38:17Google Sheets. And we get about a 6x

38:19rorowaz from that. That's awesome. So,

38:21our financial model align with the

38:24reverse engineered closer math that we

38:26get. Now, again, let me tie them all

38:28together for you. If we go back up here

38:30to our bottleneck analysis that we were

38:32doing once we actually launch right or

38:36assuming you're in motion right now, I

38:38would want to make sure that my CPM, my

38:42link click-through rate, and my page

38:43conversion rate are good enough to get a

38:46$200 booked call because these three

38:49stats make up my cost per booked call.

38:52Right? Then I got my show rate. I need

38:54that to be at 60%. Right? Then you move

38:56over here, we got the close rate that

38:58has to be at 20%. And my AOV, well, in

39:02this example, I needed to be at 10K. So,

39:05what we're starting to see is how all

39:07this ties together, right? We can start

39:10from the very beginning from any one of

39:12these angles. I like to personally start

39:15with the closer math first. I want to

39:17reverse engineer the goal because here's

39:19the other thing that I can do. Let's use

39:20the example that you're currently

39:22spending $20,000 a month on your call

39:25funnel, right? And so then this last

39:27step, this is a little bonus for you

39:29guys. This last step that you can do is

39:32is you can align your reality to all of

39:34this. So let's say your reality right

39:36now is $20,000 in ad spend that

39:39currently goes out. Let's say that your

39:41current cost per booked call is $275.

39:45Let's use the example that you're

39:47currently getting a 52% show rate and

39:51let's say your closers are closing at a

39:5417% close rate. Right? What you can

39:56start to do is you can start to say,

39:58"Well, damn, I'm not that far off. I got

40:01to improve my cost per book call a bit.

40:03I got to improve my show. I got to

40:04improve my close rate." Right? And let's

40:06also pepper in the AOV. Let's say that

40:08you're sitting at a $8,000 AOV right

40:11now. You got to get your AOV up that

40:12extra $2,000. however you going to pull

40:14that off. And then you could take these

40:16statistics, by the way, and you can

40:18divide them by the statistic that you

40:19need to be at. So, watch this. Let's

40:20take the ad spend first, right? So,

40:23let's say that I'm at $20,000 a month in

40:26total ad spend, but I need to be

40:28spending $166,600.

40:32I'm 12% to my goal. We just take that

40:35decimal, we move it two places to the

40:36right. I'm 12% of the way to my current

40:39goal. I want to reverse engineer the

40:41reality of where I'm currently at

40:44against where I need to be. Because if I

40:47do that, I'll know, okay, I'm only 12%

40:51of the way to the total spend I need to

40:54be at to achieve my million-doll month.

40:56If I look at my cost per call of where

40:58it needs to be at versus where I am, I

41:00could see how far away I am. And it

41:02makes it feel better. It gives you a

41:04measurable benchmark of your current

41:06reality against where you actually need

41:09to be. It's the best thing. It really

41:11is. So again, if you tile this together,

41:13you'll very easily understand the

41:16importance of what I'm sitting here

41:17describing to you, which is the whole

Outro

41:19point of this entire video. And it's so

41:21important that you walk away with this

41:22awareness. If you don't understand math,

41:25you don't understand marketing. You

41:27don't understand business. Right? This

41:28is just three examples. Again, something

41:31where I only talk to about 10 to 20% of

41:34what I could otherwise sit here and yap

41:36about to you. So, you actually walk away

41:38a master of this. This is 10 to 20% of

41:40what you need to know. Check out some of

41:41the other videos on my channel. Most

41:42importantly, check out those links down

41:44in the description for all the paid

41:45stuff where the real sauce is. And the

41:47most important thing that you could go

41:49do at this point is to go get richer.

41:51toxin.

More from Jeremy Haynes

Recently added transcripts

Browse the whole transcript library

This transcript was generated from the captions YouTube publishes for this video. Get the transcript of any YouTube video atfreeyoutubetranscribe.com, free, unlimited, no sign-up.