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Lecture 04 - Climate Risk

IIT Roorkee July 2018 · 4,929 words · 23 min read

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0:00foreign

0:09[Music]

0:25good morning

0:26welcome to the lecture 4 of this ongoing

0:28course on understanding and reducing

0:30greenhouse gas emissions with a focus on

0:32scope 1 and 2 emission reduction through

0:34building design and construction I'm

0:37your instructor professor of lokita

0:39agrawal associate professor at the

0:41department of architecture and planning

0:43IIT roorkee in the previous three

0:46lectures of this first week where we are

0:48kind of trying to understand what this

0:51whole discussion is and why at all are

0:54we talking about greenhouse gas

0:55emissions in the first place we are

0:58going over the history which we've seen

1:00in the previous two lectures and in the

1:04third lecture we talked about what

1:06climate change is how do we know that

1:08climate change is for real and then we

1:11also saw that historically how have we

1:14started to discuss about climate change

1:16and what we are where we are today and

1:20then we also saw the goal 13 on climate

1:23action of sdg and also the progress on

1:26this particular goal and the alarming

1:28thing was that we are nowhere near to

1:31the Target set in goal number 13 on

1:35climate action rather we are moving away

1:38so we increase the total greenhouse gas

1:41production by six percent

1:43by 2021 from setting the sdg goal 13. so

1:48which is

1:49really

1:50disheartening and also requires for an

1:53urgent action in this lecture we are

1:57quickly talking about introduction to

1:59climate risk types of climate risk and

2:02some examples of climate risk now why

2:05are we talking about climate risk and

2:08after talking about climate change so

2:11some of you might argue that okay

2:13climate change is happening so what I am

2:16staying comfortably inside my homes and

2:20I am having enough supply of food and

2:23everything now we might be experiencing

2:26that because we are not part of the

2:28vulnerable group of people of

2:31communities we might be in a country

2:34where we are protected and safe from a

2:37lot of these impacts because of climate

2:40change and that is important for us and

2:44for everybody and think of it we are

2:46sitting in India and we are not a

2:49developed country as of now like Europe

2:51and America now somebody who is staying

2:54in Europe and America needs to

2:56understand the repercussion the impact

2:59of his or her actions on the people

3:02Elsewhere on planet and that's what we

3:04were talking about when we were talking

3:06about sustainable development it is not

3:09Place bound it is not time-bound it is

3:13very large on timeline it is

3:16geographically it covers the entire

3:18planet and not just that Beyond Planet

3:20also the impact of our risks is what we

3:24were talking about in sustainable

3:25development now here we have to very

3:27clearly understand that our actions

3:30and the impact of that in the form of

3:33climate change has an impact on

3:36vulnerable population it is risky and

3:39not just vulnerable population at

3:41certain point of time it becomes a risk

3:43for everybody when it it is a severe

3:47climate Hazard for example hurricane or

3:49Cyclone or a typhoon it doesn't

3:52discriminate between vulnerable people

3:55and not vulnerable people people who are

3:57who are better off so it doesn't the

4:00nature doesn't discriminate and that is

4:01why we have to clearly understand that

4:03what are the climate risks that we might

4:06be subjected to so quickly what is a

4:09climate risk climate risk is the

4:11potential for climate change to create

4:13adverse consequences for human or

4:17ecological systems and this includes

4:20impacts on lives

4:22livelihoods health and well-being

4:25economic social and cultural assets and

4:29Investments infrastructure Services

4:32provision ecosystems and species

4:36so we are literally covering everything

4:39we are talking about ecosystems we are

4:42talking about species species who cannot

4:44talk for themselves who cannot fight for

4:46themselves like plants the trees the

4:49Flora the animals a lot of animal

4:52species we are talking about livelihoods

4:55a lot of people they lose their

4:57livelihood think about them being

5:00surviving without a livelihood how would

5:02one be able to feed for their family to

5:06support their families in the absence of

5:08livelihoods a lot of you know depletion

5:12of Social and cultural assets so

5:15earthquakes raising the entire historic

5:19towns is a depletion of cultural asset

5:23social assets and similar to that so

5:26literally everything can come under the

5:29umbrella of climate risk and here if you

5:32you can see if you can look at this

5:34particular graphic we are talking about

5:36the spectrum of this climate risk and it

5:39it covers issues wide-ranging issues

5:43from environment to social social

5:45cultural to economic literally

5:48everything so we're talking about

5:50the climate events extreme climate even

5:54such as cyclone and storms we're talking

5:56about extreme rainfall Heat Wave

5:59temperatures acidification of oceans

6:01Glacier Retreats sea level rise

6:04desertification we're talking about land

6:07and Forest degradation we're talking

6:08about salinization and then even such as

6:11drought flooding

6:13eventually leading to loss of

6:16biodiversity now this is largely the

6:20environment related events that we are

6:22talking about further taking two

6:25socio-cultural and economic aspect now

6:27what does ipcc say on inflammatory risk

6:31it says that one of the primary goals of

6:33the ipcc that was created by the unep

6:37United Nations environment program and

6:39wmo World Meteorological organization

6:42is to evaluate climate risks and explore

6:46strategies for their prevention and

6:49publish this knowledge each year in a

6:52series of comprehensive reports so two

6:55very clear tasks one is to evaluate the

6:58risks that are there due to climate

7:01climate change the climate risks that

7:03we're talking about and then strategies

7:06for their prevention how these risks can

7:09be prevented and mitigated is what we

7:12have to talk about now if we talk about

7:15this this particular framework of ipcc

7:19we are talking about the interaction of

7:24Hazard vulnerability and exposure to

7:27assess the climate risk in general for

7:30any risk assessment this is what we do

7:33we evaluate the hazards the

7:36vulnerability of the people and the

7:39exposure of the populations to this

7:41Hazard together this defines how severe

7:44is the risk and that's what we are doing

7:46in climate risk too now we are talking

7:49about majorly five risks here under the

7:53ipcc umbrella we are talking about risk

7:56to unique and threatened systems

7:58we are talking about the extreme weather

8:00events distribution of these impacts

8:04that how they are distributed these

8:07impacts so they might be focused one

8:09type of risk might be focused in certain

8:11area while some might be commonly spread

8:15for example increasing of temperatures

8:17and the risks Associated due to heating

8:19they might be globally spread almost

8:23equally while certain events for example

8:26the Cyclones they might be in certain

8:29specific parts of the world so

8:31distribution of these impacts Global

8:33aggregation of the impacts and

8:35large-scale singular events for example

8:38a massive tsunami is a large scale

8:41singular event which might be triggered

8:44and which might be a climate related

8:46phenomena it is One Singular event but

8:49it has catastrophic

8:51implications so this is what ipcc says

8:55about identifying and analyzing climate

8:58risk so when we talk about analyzing

9:00this this risk climate risk we are

9:03talking about Hazard vulnerability and

9:06exposure what does hazard mean acute and

9:10chronic weather climate events so the

9:12severity of the hazard is what we are

9:16talking about here for example there is

9:18flooding how severe is the flooding is

9:21what will be measured as the hazard risk

9:25Hazard of the risk then we are talking

9:27about exposure so across all scales and

9:30systems for example number of people in

9:32the floodplain so we are already talking

9:34about the severity of the flood then we

9:37are talking about exposure how many

9:38people are exposed to the floods for

9:41example in India we have kosi river

9:44which floods almost every year but then

9:47we know that this is the area in which

9:50the Cosi River will shift its ah course

9:53of flow so we already are prepared we

9:56alarm people and while the flood is

9:59severe

10:00there are less people who are exposed to

10:02to that flood because we are better

10:04prepared we move the people in right

10:06time and so the exposure level is

10:08reduced so the hazard severity of the

10:11hazard is high but the exposure is low

10:15while in certain areas in certain cases

10:18it might be that the severity is low but

10:20the exposure is very high so people were

10:22not prepared and they caught unaware

10:24they were caught unaware and a lot of

10:26people got exposed to it the third is

10:28vulnerability how vulnerable is somebody

10:31for example

10:33in the same flood plain if somebody has

10:35a pakka house and a two-storied house so

10:38the flood due to the flooding the area

10:41might be inundated by around 1.5 meters

10:43for somebody living in a kacha house in

10:47a single storied kacha house the house

10:49might totally get shattered and the

10:51person might be in a neck deep water

10:54that population is more vulnerable

10:57compared to a person a family living in

10:59a Paka house where they can go from

11:02ground floor to the first floor or

11:04second floor and still remain at least

11:06protected from the flood water even if

11:09there is a loss of belongings the there

11:11is less of Life risk so that is the

11:15vulnerability that we are talking about

11:17and usually people belonging to lower

11:20income groups so they do not have

11:22adequate shelter they do not have

11:24adequate resources and whatever minimal

11:27resources that they've been able to

11:28accumulate is the oil that they have so

11:32they are more more vulnerable to a risk

11:35together all these three when we we

11:39bring together that will give us the

11:42severity of the risk how impacting the

11:46risk would be now here we are talking

11:48about if you're talking about exposure

11:50and vulnerability what we can do and if

11:52you remember sdg goal number 13 it

11:55talked about two parts one is the

11:58resilience building strengthening the

12:00communities adaptation so as I said that

12:03we already are prepared that kosi will

12:05flood every year so we move the people

12:08that is adaptation and resilience we

12:10know how it is going to behave and so we

12:13are better prepared for example the

12:16disaster relief organization the force

12:19that we have prepared so in India almost

12:23in every city we have this disaster

12:26relief force and they will take care of

12:29the exposed and vulnerable population so

12:32this is resilience this is adaptation so

12:36one side of climate change climate

12:39action for climate change requires

12:42building on adaptation and resilience

12:44that will look at that will respond to

12:47the exposure and vulnerability part

12:49on the third side which is the hazard

12:52side severity of the hazard side we have

12:54to talk about mitigation how do we

12:57reduce flooding now we have developed

13:00our cities in such a manner that we have

13:03constructed in the extreme low-lying

13:07areas which was supposed to be left

13:08awakened now if you're talking about and

13:11then we've cut down all the forests so

13:13the water which was supposed to get

13:15absorbed into the ground due to the

13:18plants and fallow land being there

13:21jungles being there and then the

13:23remaining water which was running off

13:25was allowed to accumulate in certain

13:27water bodies in certain low-lying areas

13:29now what we have actually done is we

13:32have developed we have cut all our

13:33jungles and we've developed all that

13:35area so that is more likely to flood

13:39every year because there will be more

13:40surface runoff more runoff of the water

13:43and that water will eventually get come

13:45and get collected in the in the slow

13:47lying area which is now part of the city

13:49city which is now developed so we are

13:52talking about policies here we are

13:54talking about gag reductions here so why

13:57would flooding take place now flooding

13:59we are taking as only one example now

14:01here we are literally looking at all the

14:04events wildfires hurricanes Cyclones

14:08flooding flash flooding we are talking

14:12about incessant rains we are talking

14:14about droughts all these are climate

14:17change induced events that are taking

14:20place and they can be mitigated just

14:23like we totally went back we totally

14:26reversed the ozone depletion and we

14:29could cover it up in similar way we can

14:32reverse climate change as well and that

14:35requires adopting mitigation measures

14:38such as reducing greenhouse gas

14:41emissions and one is produced less and

14:45two is absorbed more by planting more

14:47and more trees make Planet greener so

14:50that is what we are talking about in the

14:51in the hazard part

14:53if you look at the world uh this is just

14:57a graphic for 2017 just for one year and

15:01you can look at the number of events

15:04that have happened so we're talking

15:06about exceptionally heavy rains

15:08contributing to deadly landslides we are

15:12talking about 80 percent of foods

15:14insecure people living in Hazard prone

15:17areas major bleaching in the Great

15:19Barrier Reef extreme heat waves floods

15:23major destructions due to successive

15:26hurricanes we are talking about drought

15:28and food security related internal

15:32displacements and we are talking about

15:34destructive wildfires across the world

15:37so not no specific area but I think a

15:40lot of areas across the world are

15:42witnessing such such events so this is

15:45just one year a summary of events in one

15:48year and continuing with that we are

15:51also identifying noticing that that

15:54ocean acidification is continuing sea

15:57ice is well below average sea rise

16:00continues warmest Five Years on record

16:03greenhouse gas concentrations continue

16:05to rise warmest year

16:07ocean heat content at record high levels

16:12so just as we concluded in the previous

16:14lecture the climate change is not

16:17slowing down at all in fact the graph is

16:21only going up and this the slope is

16:23becoming steeper unfortunately despite

16:26having so much of discussion so much of

16:28halagula about climate change and

16:31everything we are still on the same path

16:34and that is the most unfortunate aspect

16:37of it we are having successful treaties

16:39successful conventions protocols and

16:42Frameworks where ah majority of the

16:45world is coming together and yet on

16:47ground action is probably in negative

16:50it's it's not even zero it's a negative

16:54and that's why we're seeing this thing

16:56ok now we come to the different types of

16:59climate risk and here very quickly we

17:01will go over the the different types of

17:04climate risks that people can be exposed

17:08to now here what we've generally

17:10understood is that this is the risk

17:13because of the climate hazards these

17:16severe events that we are looking at for

17:20example people might be exposed to

17:22extreme heat because of the increased

17:24temperature or extreme weather events or

17:27crop failures there could be sometimes

17:29bumper crops also because there is so

17:32much of uncertainty in uh in weather

17:34that there could be bumper crops but at

17:36the same time A lot of times we would

17:38see crop failures because the the

17:40temperature is the the weather changes

17:43there happen happening polar cap melting

17:47changes towards ecosystem epidemics

17:49disruption to the North Atlantic current

17:52so all of these impacts are expected but

17:56the types of risk if we classify them

17:58they are Way Beyond what we think

18:01climate risks are first which we clearly

18:04understand which all of these which I

18:06just talked about can be categorized

18:08into is the physical risk so physically

18:11tangible which we can understand oh

18:13there is so much of heat there is a heat

18:15wave going flooding is happening drought

18:18is there uh there is a stress for crops

18:21there is there is a reduction in the

18:24duration in which the crops would grow

18:26and all of that these are all physical

18:28risks we understand in fact we are

18:32largely talking about these physical

18:34risks but there are some more severe and

18:40important risks which are transition

18:41risks now as we are talking about

18:43climate change and the risks because of

18:46climate change we are also realizing

18:48that we need to mitigate them how do we

18:51mitigate them we will have to adopt

18:54measures for mitigation for example we

18:57have to move from conventional sources

19:00of fuel for generating electricity to

19:03more and more alternative fuels for

19:05example solar Parks now there is a

19:08thermal power plant which is already

19:10functioning in a in an area in a

19:13geographic area in some country and that

19:16that must have required a lot of capital

19:19cost to to set up a thermal power plant

19:21but now due to this climate risk due to

19:26this climate change and requirement to

19:29reduce greenhouse gas emissions what we

19:31need to do we need to abandon the

19:34thermal power plant and we need to move

19:36to solar power

19:38which requires setting up of large solar

19:41Farms

19:43funding for that now that is a risk in

19:47transition will that function

19:49it requires a lot of so there is an

19:51economic cost for it whether there will

19:54be now in in this period so the finance

19:59the capital from one particular category

20:03will have to be shifted and this entire

20:05shift in funding will have to be only

20:08for uh mitigating the climate risk for

20:12reducing the climate change and that is

20:15what we are talking about we will have

20:17reduced capacity of coal plants because

20:20we are wanting to reduce them the

20:22electricity prices might soar because we

20:25want to make it pricier the fuel price

20:27prices will have to grow so we are

20:29seeing in our own country here that the

20:31fuel prices have been increasing it's

20:33not just because the world has a lower

20:35you know Barrel price it is because we

20:38we want to encourage people to reduce

20:40their dependence on conventional Fuel

20:43and transportation use more and more of

20:45public transportation and things like

20:46that so all these are the risk risks in

20:49transition when we are talking about

20:51these risks we also have to understand

20:53that greater responsibility has to lie

20:56with the developed countries because

20:59they have and it has been an agreed

21:02concept that ah whoever eats more pays

21:07more so whoever has consumed the

21:10resources more

21:11also has to pay for the price now at one

21:15point of time the developed countries

21:17the the industrialized economies the

21:19ones which got industrialized earlier

21:22they were able to consume more resources

21:26because of the industrialized the

21:28machines that they that they had the

21:30rest of the underdeveloped or developing

21:33world was still still not consuming

21:35resources at that pace now this under

21:38developed or developing world has come

21:41to a level where they can consume

21:43resources but now two things one

21:45sometimes the resources are not

21:46available two even when they can they

21:50are being asked not to do so because the

21:53world is already facing severe climate

21:55change we don't want to go for the

21:57consumption of alternative fuels what

22:00should what should be done so that is

22:02where the higher cost has been put on

22:04developed countries and that is also a

22:07transition risk that is also an economic

22:09risk so if you look at the climately in

22:12total there are physical risks and there

22:14are transitional risks within that we

22:16can classify them physical risks can be

22:19classified between acute risks for

22:22example floods droughts storms or they

22:24can be chronic risks so acute risks are

22:27single event maybe not just single but

22:31individually each event is the risk that

22:34we are talking about but chronic risks

22:36are the generic risk for example

22:38increase of average temperatures now

22:40that is a chronic risk it's continuously

22:42going up and up and it has severe

22:45impacts so precipitation changes sea

22:48level increase these are the chronic

22:50risk if we talk about transitional risk

22:52these are resulting from economic

22:53transformation or any change that

22:55requires the DraStic reduction or

22:58elimination of greenhouse gases to

23:00achieve a net zero scenario

23:02so this is the transition risk that we

23:05are talking about there can be political

23:07regulatory risks for example the price

23:11of carbon the regulation for Energy

23:13Efficiency finds litigations so all of

23:17that is in political and Regulatory

23:19risks technological risk renewable

23:22technology price will decrease so

23:25earlier the solar panel which would come

23:27for Price X is now coming at 0.5 x so

23:31there is a risk for the price reduction

23:34we are talking about reputational risks

23:36and clients pressure so there could be a

23:38pressure from clients so a lot of

23:41companies today

23:42are moving towards becoming Greener

23:45Greener companies Greener corporates now

23:48that is a client pressure so a lot of

23:51times there has been there will be a lot

23:54of pressure from the clients from public

23:56from suppliers even from employees

23:58within the company to reduce the the

24:02footprint the carbon footprint to reduce

24:05the greenhouse gas emissions from the

24:07overall functioning there could be

24:09market and other risk for example

24:10connected with a wide spectrum of

24:12potential benefits in the value chain

24:14and so you need to do all these are

24:17transitional risks when we decide to

24:19move to a net zero scenario now this is

24:23largely happening in case more acutely

24:27in case of developed countries and

24:28companies which are bigger multinational

24:30companies for smaller underdeveloped

24:33countries there are more of physical

24:35risks and slightly less of trans

24:38transitional risks that we are looking

24:40at so we are talking about transitional

24:43risks resulting or leading to economic

24:46risks besides these direct physical

24:50climatrists there are also a lot of

24:52indirect risks for example regulation

24:54and litigation risks which we talked as

24:56part of the transitional risk there are

24:59competitive risks for example the

25:01companies which will not adopt the

25:05environment friendly measures or who do

25:09not portray their image or work on

25:12reducing their carbon footprint they

25:14will be competitively disadvantaged

25:16because there is a growing consensus in

25:18the world over which company is greener

25:21and to buy products and to adopt their

25:24services

25:25then we may also have the production

25:28risks because of the direct physical

25:32risks that the lands may be the

25:36resources may be damaged and the

25:38production may be halted or it could

25:40also be that the the price for the

25:44resources will increase significantly

25:46for example the price for Energy might

25:48increase significantly and then we have

25:51reputational risks which we have just

25:52covered in the transitional risks

25:54now I will quickly take you through some

25:57examples of the climate risk so one is

26:00This Global temperature we have totally

26:03departed from the 1981 to 1910 average

26:07which was closer to zero in 1900 around

26:111925 and we've we are constantly moving

26:16uh higher so in

26:182021 we are talking about plus 1.2

26:22degree centigrade is what we are talking

26:25about this is the overall Global

26:28temperature rise resulting in rise in

26:32sea level so sea level as is anticipated

26:35Will Rise by one feet between one feet

26:38to eight feet by two thousand one

26:41hundred which is a terrifying number

26:45again I say that these are all model

26:48predictions

26:49how much of the temperature Global

26:52temperature will affect the glacier

26:54melting the ice melting and how much of

26:56that water is going to reach the sea how

26:58the evaporation levels will be affected

27:00how the rains precipitation levels will

27:02be affected all of that together will

27:05give us the exact number but it is

27:07anticipated as on date through various

27:10models that the sea level may rise

27:12between one to eight feet the global sea

27:17level has increased we saw in the

27:20previous lecture also by around 0.2

27:22meters

27:24and this is significant we might be

27:27thinking that oh it's just 0.2 meters

27:30how much how much is it it is not much

27:33but the for coastal areas it is a

27:37significant rise

27:39some

27:40hundreds of square kilometers rather

27:42thousands of square kilometers of

27:45coastal lands has already gotten

27:48submerged and people cannot live there

27:50houses have gotten submerged the waves

27:53are reaching deeper into the mainland

27:55and that is what sea level rise is uh

27:59pushing people to then there is

28:01shrinking snow caps almost all mountains

28:04earlier which had snow at the tops that

28:08cap is significantly reducing and this

28:13is one of the evident risks and then it

28:16it risks the entire ecosystem that is

28:18around it we are talking about a long

28:22list of extreme weather events this is

28:24just in 2022 we are talking about

28:27wildfires we are talking about famines

28:30floods

28:31unprecedented burning of forests

28:34wildfires that I just said there are

28:37there is extreme heat wave across the

28:41world specifically in areas which

28:43otherwise remain cooler so since 2015 I

28:47think there has been a lot of discussion

28:49around

28:49deaths due to heat wave in Europe Europe

28:53the northern part of Europe too which

28:55was significantly cooler and people were

28:58not used to bearing heat they were not

29:01adapted to bearing heat are now being

29:04forced to witness to withstand the Heat

29:08Wave and that is causing deaths it is

29:11affecting people severely so all these

29:15are what we are talking about as series

29:17of extreme weather events again just for

29:20one year I am presenting here but this

29:22is like an ongoing thing every year we

29:25have series of such events hurricanes

29:28Cyclones typhoons all of that

29:30storms severe devastating storms across

29:36bringing incess and rains flooding

29:39certain areas uprooting trees uprooting

29:42houses Vehicles resources assets it is

29:47devastating

29:48we are talking about Cyclones not just

29:51these are this is just one event that

29:52I'm mentioning here but it is happening

29:55across the globe Cyclones the severity

29:58is increasing the frequency is

30:00increasing so for all these events

30:02floods very recently we've seen such

30:06devastating deadly floods in Pakistan

30:08and it has literally displaced more than

30:1233 million people

30:14floods displacing 33 million people in a

30:18small country is a very large number and

30:21out of that the vulnerable population is

30:25the most it is the worst affected

30:27population and that's what we saw when

30:30we were looking at the climate risk the

30:32three parameters together

30:34and not just you know underdeveloped

30:36countries so nature doesn't discriminate

30:38as I said flooding in Australia a large

30:41part of the country got flooded then

30:45there are even such as Lightning Strikes

30:47the number the severity as well as the

30:50number is increasing we witnessed a lot

30:52of lightning strike events in India in

30:572022 and there were several deaths due

31:02to the lightning uh

31:05strikes here

31:07wildfires are increasing Europe

31:09witnessed

31:11several wildfires in the mid-august the

31:15Wildfire was almost the size of

31:18Azerbaijan an entire country look at the

31:22amount of precious resource that has

31:25been burnt down along with it so much of

31:29gases so much of carbon dioxide and all

31:33other greenhouse gases that have been

31:35released so much of land that has been

31:38turned into fallow so much of Flora and

31:42Fauna that that is that has been put on

31:45the verge of Extinction we are talking

31:47about such events as risks here heat

31:51waves we just talked about heat waves in

31:53Europe U.S particularly the areas which

31:56were used to remaining colder typhoons

32:00severe typhoons powerful typhoons and

32:04preparedness is something that will so

32:07adaptation and resilience is the part

32:10where we will reduce the number of

32:12deaths number of lives lost human lives

32:15lost but we are surely going to lose a

32:20lot of assets and a lot of resources to

32:23all these events then hurricanes which

32:26have become more common every now and

32:28then we read about news of hurricanes

32:31different hurricanes stores snowstorms

32:34hail storms incessant flash rains

32:38and drafts so on one side in certain

32:40parts of the world there is Extreme

32:42flooding and on certain other parts of

32:44the world there is there are droughts

32:47and for mines so these are the climate

32:50risks that the climate change is going

32:53to put us to

32:54and depending upon how well prepared we

32:58are how vulnerable we are we will be

33:01exposed and we will be treated because

33:04of these risks the need is to mitigate

33:08these this climate change by first

33:12making policies and then implementing

33:15them and two is strengthening

33:17communities adapting and becoming more

33:20and more more resilient now after

33:22understanding all these risks we will

33:25quickly see in the next lecture what is

33:28the impact of development we are talking

33:30about climate change happening and we

33:32will see some more instances of impact

33:35on the environment on nature

33:38human health economies due to the

33:42so-called development we say it is human

33:44development but the picture and the

33:48impact on nature our own health and

33:51well-being doesn't really give us that

33:53clear uh an idea that we are really

33:56developing

33:57so we will quickly look at that and then

34:00we will move on because we have now

34:02established that greenhouse gases are

34:04the ones which need to be significantly

34:07reduced we have to reduce the production

34:09of greenhouse gases and so we will move

34:11on to see

34:13how the world has come together how the

34:16protocols and others how they promote

34:19the implementation of actions to reduce

34:22greenhouse gases and specifically seeing

34:25the mitigating actions so thank you very

34:28much for joining me in this lecture for

34:31this week tomorrow we will be

34:34seeing you will be with me for the last

34:36lecture of this week one of this ongoing

34:39course on greenhouse gas emissions

34:41understanding them so thank you very

34:43much for joining me see you tomorrow

34:46[Music]

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