Full transcript
0:00Hey guys, welcome to a new video. So,
0:02the market was pretty uneventful
0:05yesterday. Got hacky up a little bit.
0:07It's kind of the hedge on everything
0:08else. Um, everything else fairly flat.
0:11Not too much going on. What was down?
0:13Blocks LFGY. So, some of the
0:15cryptoreated ETFs, Dreamy, a bit of
0:17memory down it seems. And then you've
0:20got in the single stocks, Amazon was up
0:22a little bit, which is nice. We're
0:24actually going to talk about Amazon in
0:25this video. uh Google, AMD, so some of
0:28the kind of MAG 10 related stocks up a
0:30bit. What was down? MRNY, Hood, Walmart.
0:34I'm going to talk about that a little
0:35bit as well. Metals down again. They've
0:37been getting crushed recently. So, in
0:40this video, what I'm going to talk about
0:41is the opportunity score for the single
0:44stock ETFs and also eight ETFs that I
0:48think are really good buying
0:49opportunities at the moment. I have
0:52already been buying into some of these
0:53ETFs and some are on my watch list. I'm
0:56waiting them to go a bit lower, but all
0:58are kind of in that buy zone area and
1:01I'm keeping very close eye on them. So,
1:03I'm going to go over those eight ETFs,
1:05go over the uh opportunity score for the
1:07single stocks. But, of course, before we
1:09go into all of that, this video is not
1:11financial advice. This channel is purely
1:12based on my thoughts as I navigate my
1:14own personal investment journey. Please,
1:16please, please always do your own
1:18research, of course. Now, before we get
1:21into it, Micron just had earnings,
1:23didn't it? And they absolutely crushed
1:26their earnings as says this bloke She uh
1:30revenue up for 54 billion versus 51.5
1:35billion, almost three billion above in
1:38revenue. Earnings per share 33 uh 42
1:42versus 31. Net income more, gross margin
1:46more. They raised their guidance 62
1:48billion versus 58 billion. These are
1:51like amazing figures. And what has the
1:54market done? Doesn't care. Just doesn't
1:57not even battled. It's it was basically
1:59flat. And then after hours it's up 1%.
2:02But that's not much. So if you bought
2:05MUI or um MUY, I've got it here on here
2:09somewhere now. I'll just change this to
2:12uh thing so we can see. Yeah, it was
2:14basically flat down minus 0.06 and after
2:18hours actually after hours it's saying
2:20plus 3.21% but I think there's a low
2:22liquidity and as Micron's only up 1% I
2:26would say that that's probably wrong.
2:28Anyway, uh blocks was down. Oh wait,
2:32what were we doing? Uh change. Yeah, we
2:34kind of went through these a little bit.
2:35So let's just get straight into the um
2:39opportunity score, shall we? and see
2:41what's happening with the single stocks
2:43where the opportunities are because as
2:45you know we're in fear we are close to
2:47extreme fear we're at 31 so this implies
2:50as I talked about with the sector ETFs
2:52in the last video as I talked about in
2:54the kind of core basket uh income ETFs
2:57there are some opportunities and it's
2:58just about digging a bit deeper uh using
3:01the opportunity score using some other
3:05um research and metrics and tools that
3:08are available to us to find what those
3:10opportunities are and That's why I like
3:11the opportunity scores. Okay, so let's
3:14just get [laughter]
3:16showed you that already. Uh let's just
3:17get straight into the single stock
3:19opportunity score. So I ran this and uh
3:22I think it's got to be for like the
3:23third or fourth week in a row. Netflix
3:25is at the top. It is just beaten down.
3:28So these are of course not quality
3:29scores. This is basically an
3:32opportunity, a potential opportunity in
3:35terms of a buying I guess opportunity.
3:38Um and it's based on the formula that I
3:41use which is draw down or relative draw
3:44down uh potential recovery RSI and
3:48overall market sentiment. So what the
3:50overall fear and greed index is
3:52essentially is overlaid on top as part
3:54of the formula. So we got NFLW number
3:57one score of 92. That's very big. If we
4:00go to Netflix, let's just have a look.
4:02Then
4:04we'll do uh you where are you NFL? Yeah.
4:08And you'll see that over the last what
4:11is this year it's just you know we're at
4:13alltime lows. The underlying hasn't been
4:16doing well. Netflix is down incredibly.
4:19And so this is potentially if you think
4:21that Netflix is going to do I think that
4:23this is a good opportunity but as I've
4:25mentioned in previous videos I'm not I
4:27haven't bought into NLW. I want Netflix
4:30to come down even more because I'm not
4:31completely confident in Netflix as a
4:33business. I think there's more
4:34competition.
4:36I don't know if people are watching it
4:38as much as they used to. So, I'm a
4:40little bit hesitant, but I am still
4:42eyeing it up quite strongly. AMZW, this
4:44has jumped up a lot. I was surprised
4:46that this got into second place at 84,
4:50so for Amazon, which is um pretty
4:53impressive. So if we go to AMZW actually
4:56Amazon was up a touch yesterday and I
4:59actually oh sorry in the previous
5:01session and I pulled these scores just
5:02before yesterday's session because I did
5:04it last night my time. Anyway, even with
5:07that it is a good opportunity. Look at
5:09this. So obviously this is AMZW. This
5:12isn't the underlying but we we're almost
5:14uh you know we're just a touch off
5:16alltime lows. And then what I would say
5:18here is if you didn't already have some
5:20exposure to Amazon this is a good entry.
5:22I already have um own M AMZW. I have
5:26exposure to Amazon quite a lot of it.
5:28So, I'm probably not going to buy here.
5:30But if it got down to 332, I'd be
5:33pulling the trigger. Why? Because Amazon
5:35is one of the most bullish stocks that I
5:39um that I'm bullish on. I'm most conf
5:42I'm very confident in Amazon long-term.
5:45Three, four, five, 10 years, whatever.
5:47I'm happy to hold Amazon. It's probably
5:49the the the stock that I am most bullish
5:51on in the whole market potentially.
5:54Amazon, Google. I think Meta is a bit
5:56more volatile. Um
5:58yeah, I think it's just solid. So solid.
6:01So um I think it's a good opportunity
6:04here for me personally. I already hold
6:06it, so I'm just going to wait until it
6:07gets down to 332. If it doesn't hit
6:09those levels, that's fine. I'll be
6:10patient. I'll wait. And if it rides back
6:12up, great. I've still got exposure to
6:14it. Ride it back up to the upside. Okay.
6:17And then UNHW. So, United Health, this
6:20also came up in the previous one. This
6:22is down because the actual underlying,
6:25this won't show it because we had there
6:27was a huge actually United Health was up
6:30massively. It came down, it rallied back
6:32up, and it's down again. So, it's a big
6:34dip potential buying opportunity for
6:36United Health if you're bullish on that.
6:39What else we got? Uber. This is one of
6:42my favorites. So, uh Uber I think is
6:44massively undervalued, I think. um the
6:47market's kind of mispriced it because of
6:51the disruption that AI is going to play
6:53to it. But I just think Uber's network
6:55is huge. Its cash, its revenue will be
6:58big. It will be strong. Um
7:02and I think the market's got it kind of
7:03got it slightly wrong. So I'm very
7:05bullish on Uber. So I've this is one
7:07that I've been buying into. Um I haven't
7:10bought this week, but where is Uber
7:12right now? Let's have a look, shall we?
7:15Ubu, mate, it's it's at lows. If you
7:20don't have uh a position in Uber, this
7:22is one that I would potentially be very
7:25keen to have further look into. Of
7:27course, do your own research, but I
7:29think Uber is going to I think Uber is
7:32very well priced for a good rally to the
7:34upside, shall we say? But not financial
7:36advice. Do your own research, of course.
7:38And these single stocks, as I've talked
7:40about before, are more risky. like I'm
7:43trying to stay more away from single
7:45stocks than I used to. I used to get
7:47more, you know, buy this, buy that, buy
7:49this. And now I'm trying to be a bit
7:52more measured. And that's why I have the
7:53fear and yield uh system, buying system
7:57where I'm buying more, you know, you got
7:58your core, your tier one ETFs like your
8:01TDAC, your GPIQ, your TAX, even you got
8:05your tier 2, and then so so that you
8:07have your main portion of that. And
8:08these are just kind of more satellite
8:10positions, smaller amounts going into
8:12these guys, but there are lots of
8:13opportunities at the moment. So SMCY 77,
8:18that's surprising that it's above
8:19Broadcom because I I really like SMCI is
8:23very risky stock anyway. And to then
8:25have it within the YMAX space. This is a
8:27YMax ETF. Um, I don't know about that
8:31one. I would probably be very hesitant
8:33to get into uh SMCY at this point. AVGW.
8:37I really like this Broadcom. I've been
8:39buying into this over the last few weeks
8:40as I've talked about in previous videos
8:42and I think now at 73. Where is AVGW
8:47now?
8:4932. Yeah, I bought it in this dip here
8:51around 31 3150 I think it was. And it's
8:54still it's back. It's 32 38. Very good.
8:57If you don't have exposure to it and
8:58you're looking at potentially Broadcom
9:00or wanting to get into one of these
9:02roundhill weekly pay single stock ETFs,
9:04Broadcom would be high up on my list in
9:07my opinion.
9:08Excuse me. All right, then you got
9:10Tesla. Google's kind of back up a bit.
9:13And then what's bottom of the list?
9:14Meta. Because Meta's had a big rally.
9:16Meta's up like 20 or 30% in the last 3
9:18months. So if you're holding Met uh W,
9:21which I am, then you're probably sitting
9:22quite pretty. Um, I think my position is
9:25in almost 20% total return, total
9:28profit, uh, as we speak. AMDW, we know
9:31that's been that's above $600, the
9:33underlying. My position on that is like
9:36300% total profit. So, I'm not really
9:38buying into these two, and that's why
9:39they score much lower down the list, but
9:42I think Walmart could potentially be
9:44high. That's surprising. That's so low
9:45because that is beating down stock. Um,
9:49okay. So then let's move into the eight
9:52ETFs in my buy zone. What are they?
9:55Well, we did the opportunity score in
9:57the last um uh video for the State
10:01Street for the sector income ETFs. And
10:03what placed highly was XLUI, XLY, XLI,
10:07XL I. So this is utilities, uh consumer
10:11discretionary, real estate, industrials,
10:14consumer staples. And what I've actually
10:17done is I went for XLSI instead of XLY,
10:21but I I think utilities you can't
10:23ignore. I think it's such a good
10:24opportunity right now. Um, if we go to
10:27the chart again, I know we've already
10:29looked at it, but I just think so beaten
10:31down. Um, and someone mentioned the
10:35other day that can I in one of the
10:38comments, can I um compare this to the
10:41underlying so XLU ETF? And I can do that
10:44in Trading View actually. So I'll show
10:47you how I'm going to do that. I'll just
10:48do it to show you what it looks like. So
10:51this is
10:53XLU, the underlying ETF. So this is the
10:55utilities ETF, the growth ETF if you
10:58like from State Street for utilities.
11:00You can see it price action looks quite
11:02different,
11:03but you can see that there's a lot of
11:05potential to go up and then we're having
11:07this huge correction. It seems like a
11:09huge correction. like we're at 52- week
11:11lows and then some, right? And then what
11:14we do is we want to add XL UI so we can
11:16see how it compares to XLU to the
11:19underlying. So add XL UI to compare here
11:22in Trading View. And we'll do that.
11:24Okay. Now, what we want to do is go down
11:26here and press this because this is
11:28adjust data for dividends because I want
11:30to look at total returns. I don't want
11:31to look at price change because this is
11:32an income ETF, right? So we adjust this
11:35for dividends
11:37and then hopefully [clears throat] oh
11:40yeah you can see how this marries up and
11:42what's interesting here oh this is
11:45really interesting is that XLUI over the
11:48same time period this is the same time
11:50period has outperformed
11:53in total returns uh XLU the underlying
11:56wow that's actually surprising um so
11:59XLUI is down 3.76% this is total returns
12:03including distributions, price change in
12:05distrib distributions. XLU down 8.75%.
12:10So if we move this along, let's see if
12:12it's still the same from that down
12:13period. Yeah, it's just outperforming
12:15it. That is very impressive. This is
12:17total returns. Of course, this wouldn't
12:19be just price change. If I uncclick
12:21this, it's price change.
12:23Excuse me.
12:25Price change is not too far off. XLU
12:28XLUI down 11.24%.
12:30So that's pretty impressive for an
12:33income ETF. That's very impressive. So
12:35I'm very impressed with how these um
12:37State Street income ETFs are doing now.
12:40So that's my top one. XLUI. Now put in
12:43XLSI. I could have gone with XL YI or
12:46XLSI. So either consumer discretionary,
12:49very good opportunity, or consumer
12:50staples. The reason I went for consumer
12:52staples is because it had a really rough
12:55day. I'm just going to take this off.
12:57Sorry, it's getting a bit confusing.
12:59And um you can see we're down at 52-
13:02week lows again. XLSI it was down
13:04another 1.14%.
13:06Um and this has got uh holdings like
13:09Walmart, like Costco. Um, and I just
13:12think it's a great opportunity XLSI to
13:15get into some of those stocks to get
13:18some broad exposure to some of those
13:20kind of I would call them maybe slightly
13:22more defensive stocks, but in the
13:24consumer staples sector that we probably
13:26don't go for usually in, you know, like
13:29in tech or in the single stock space. We
13:31usually wouldn't be buying into a Costco
13:33or I don't know, maybe you are, but I
13:35don't. a little bit boring, but I think
13:37it's nice to be able to get into XLSI
13:40when this sector seems quite beaten
13:42down. So, that's why I've gone for that
13:43one. And you can see there's massive
13:46potential here for runup. Look, it went
13:48from 23 to 2550. So, there's opportunity
13:51here and it's definitely being down as
13:53per the opportunity score of 76, but
13:56that would be up. I did this what a day
13:58ago, two days ago, and it's gone down
14:00since then. So, those are my two from
14:02the sectors. I would also go Ubu, AVGW,
14:06and AMZW from the single stock um space.
14:10Now, why these ones? I don't go for
14:13Netflix as because I've mentioned that
14:15before. I'm not I'm not as confident in
14:18Netflix as I am in Uber. I'm just more
14:20bullish on Uber based on the research
14:21that I've done. I'm more bullish on
14:23Broadcom than Netflix and I'm way more
14:25bullish on Amazon than pretty much any
14:27stock. So, I'm happy to buy at these
14:28levels. Okay, so that's kind of the
14:30reason why why I've went for them. If we
14:33look at the analyst scores, the analyst
14:35forecast for like Uber, like Uber's down
14:38under 70, it's just crazy to me. And you
14:41know, it's got projections or forecasts
14:43of almost 50% as a base case from here.
14:46So over $100 a share. Um bull case 120%
14:50return from here or upside.
14:53So very impressive at least from the
14:55analysts. And you know, yacht 42
14:57analysts saying strong buy, four saying
14:59buy, eight saying hold, one saying
15:00strong sell. Now, what was the other one
15:02that I really like? Broadcom. Love it.
15:04Right. I've been buying AVGW.
15:06Um, we go to forecasts here.
15:09[clears throat] Excuse me.
15:11And we're down at the minimum um
15:13forecast. So we're down basically we're
15:15trading at the exact minimum $350 a
15:18share upside here potential 52% base
15:21case from these analyst forecasts and
15:24over 100% in a in a bull case in a in a
15:27kind of bull runs scenario bull market I
15:29guess you call it um but um yeah strong
15:33buy 42 eight buys three holds zero sells
15:37in Broadcom I just see Broadcom as a as
15:39a much kind of safer cleaner play than
15:42Netflix like Broadcom's revenue is just
15:45going to be I'm excited for Broadcom's
15:48earnings uh next quarter was it whenever
15:50it's going to be cuz I think that could
15:53be the catalyst to change things around
15:54because I think it's unfairly priced
15:57shall we say at the moment and that's
15:59why I've got it as my uh number yeah one
16:03of my single stock ones so Uber Broadcom
16:05and Amazon let's see what Sorry I keep
16:07going to that uh Amazon what's going on
16:12with Amazon on
16:14forecasts. So, we're trading at 331.
16:17Yeah, we're down near the minimum. So,
16:18we're trading at two, sorry, we're
16:20trading at 249
16:22and the minimum forecast is 230. So,
16:25we're just above that. We got potential
16:27base case upside from here, 32% and
16:31bullcase scenario up 62%. So, it's not
16:34going to have, you know, the huge upside
16:36of like a Robin Hood or even a Broadcom
16:39or an Uber. It's not beating down that
16:41much. It's a safer play. There's less
16:43risk involved with Amazon, right? Like
16:45it's a Mag 7 stock. It's incredible
16:48company. Multiple revenue streams.
16:51Absolutely raking in cash. So
16:54that's and that's one of the reasons why
16:56I think it's a good buy, why you can
16:57can't really go wrong with Amazon. Um I
16:59think pretty much any dip is a buy. Um
17:02but yeah, I've got the distribution
17:04rates on here as well. You can see um
17:06the utilities the sector income ETFs
17:09they range between 12 and 19% depending
17:11on which sector you go for. So XLUI
17:13utilities is 14.8% distribution rate for
17:16XLSI is 12.5%. Then you got the single
17:20stock ETFs from Round the weekly pair
17:22ETFs they're ranging from between 30 and
17:2540%. Obviously, when you get to like the
17:28more volatile ETFs, they have high
17:30distribution rates. Like Micro Strategy
17:32is sometimes around 80%. You know, it's
17:34crazy. Coinbase same, Robin Hood, same.
17:37So, but these ones um like Broadcom,
17:39Amazon, they're usually a bit lower
17:41around 30 40%. But they do change week
17:43to week. So, that's something to keep in
17:45mind. Don't take this as like this is
17:47what it's going to be every week because
17:48it does fluctuate quite quite a lot with
17:50the Roundhill weekly pay ETFs. All
17:54right, so that's those three. And then
17:56the last three I've gone for from the
17:58core kind of basket income ETFs are
18:00KGLD, Nuke X, and MLPI. They all scored
18:03really highly on the opportunity score.
18:06So 91 for KGLD, 89 for nuclear. I think
18:10nuclear energy is so beaten down right
18:12now. Like you should look at some of the
18:14stocks with the are within the UNEX's
18:16holdings. Like I'm not going to go
18:17through them now because there's a lot
18:19um but they're se severely beaten down.
18:21the whole sector, the whole nuclear
18:23energy space is being down quite a lot.
18:26But I personally am still quite bullish
18:28on it. And it depends on your thesis as
18:30to whether if you believe it that
18:32nuclear energy is going to play a big
18:34part in our future in the next three,
18:36four, five, 10 years, whatever it's
18:37going to be. Um you as and if if you
18:40think it's a good opportunity to get
18:41into otherwise, you know, gold is
18:43probably a safer play than nuclear. uh
18:46and you got energy uh MLPS and energy
18:49infrastructure in the in the in the
18:51sense of MLPI and MLPI we talked about
18:54this in the other video it's looking
18:55very attractive right now let's go to um
19:00let's go to these guys MLPI
19:03see how that B correction see where that
19:06runup is almost down to where we were so
19:09that potentially and I would for me it's
19:11like I talked about this in my last
19:13video but it's it's an ETF that I'd be
19:15happy to hold long term like MLP energy
19:18infrastructure is something that I would
19:19have in a long-term portfolio. It's not
19:22huge distribution rates. It's around
19:2414%.
19:25[clears throat] What is it? Yeah, 14.2%.
19:29So, it's got good growth as well as
19:30income. Um, so it's just one that I
19:34think is,
19:36you know, not something you're going to
19:38have to actively manage too much. I
19:40would just it's something that I'd be
19:41happy to kind of more DCA into
19:43especially at these kind of levels where
19:45it's had quite a big pullback. So I
19:47think that's a very good opportunity.
19:49That's why I've included it there. Nuke
19:50X is going to be more volatile. It's
19:53definitely I mean look at it since it
19:54came out. It went down, it went up
19:56massively, you know, like it went down.
19:58Look at these spikes quite volatile and
20:01now it's down. It's beaten down quite a
20:03bit. But for me, I think it's a good
20:06opportunity um as I've talked about
20:08before. But let me know your thoughts on
20:11Nukx because I don't see a lot of people
20:13getting into it or talking about it. But
20:14for me, I really like the underlying
20:16stocks from the research that I've done.
20:19And I like X funds and the distribution
20:21rate is not high. Like it's 12%. Which
20:23is very low. Um but what that means is
20:27that you're going to be able to capture
20:28a lot of upside. There's not going to be
20:30there's not as much nav erosion
20:32susceptibility or risk of nav erosion.
20:35Uh okay. If the sector does badly, which
20:37it has been, then you're going to your
20:39capital is at risk. But if you get good
20:42entries, then potentially and you're
20:44willing to wait it out for longer term.
20:46Potentially a very good opportunity in
20:48my opinion. And then KGLD, well, we know
20:50what gold and silver have been doing. I
20:52went for gold just because I
20:54[clears throat] just it's a little bit
20:56safer than silver. Sometimes I struggle
20:58with silver in how I can foresee its
21:02price action. So, I'm a little bit I'm
21:05always a little bit more hesitant with
21:07it, but silver is potentially the better
21:09opportunity right now. I mean, look,
21:12silver is down almost 2%. It's much more
21:14volatile as well. Um, but KGLD, look,
21:17we're down at 52- week lows again. Um,
21:21gold's obviously down massively.
21:23Silver's down. Look at after these huge
21:24rallies that we had at the end of 2025
21:27or the start of 2026,
21:29look at how far we've come down. and
21:32silver yet. We're literally on this kind
21:34of line of support here for KSLV,
21:38you know, like silver. Yeah, I think
21:41it's a good opportunity. Would I go for
21:43I'd probably go for KGLD and wait for
21:46see what happens to silver, but um yeah,
21:52it's a tricky one. That's why I've gone
21:53for KGLD, but I could be could be wrong
21:55on that. I'm not I'm not huge on metals.
21:58I do want some I would love some gold
22:01exposure. So I'm I'm definitely keep but
22:03I haven't pulled the trigger on this. So
22:05out of transparency I hold this one,
22:07this one, this one, this one, this one.
22:10I don't own any own any KGLD yet. I do
22:13hold NX and I don't hold any MPI. This
22:17is probably the one I'm looking at the
22:18most and KGLD because I don't have
22:20exposure to those two. whereas I have
22:23positions in these other six already,
22:24but I haven't pulled the trigger in in I
22:27haven't actually bought anything this
22:28week. I've been trying to build up my
22:31cash reserve, some dry powder um for
22:34potentially if we get more into extreme
22:36fear, but excuse me. It seems like there
22:39are a lot of opportunities in the
22:40market. So,
22:42very tempted with a lot of all eight of
22:44these I'm very tempted with. But anyway,
22:47I'll leave it there. Let me know your
22:48thoughts on this. Do you agree with
22:50these eight? Which ones are you high on
22:52your watch list? What are you buying? If
22:54you're buying anything at all, are you
22:55just holding, you know, uh, protecting
22:58your cash and holding dry powder for
23:01more fearful times, maybe? I would love
23:03to hear your thoughts in the comments.
23:05Otherwise, guys, I'll leave it there and
23:06I'll see you in the next one. Cheers.