Free YouTube Transcribe

Video transcript

Bitcoin’s $82K Breakout Just Got REKT by the Fed!

Simply Bitcoin · 2,485 words · 12 min read

Want to search this transcript, jump the video from any line, or download it as TXT, SRT, or VTT?

Open in the transcript tool

Full transcript

Bitcoin's Biggest Short Squeeze Yet

0:00Breaking. Bitcoin just gave its highest

0:02daily close in nearly four months.

0:06Bitcoin surged nearly 20,000 cut bucks

0:09in the last 20 days. The move added 390

0:12billion to Bitcoin's market cap and

0:15liquidated 11.4 billion worth of

0:18leverage positions. This was the largest

0:21shorts liquidation cascade in the entire

0:24history of crypto. And would you look at

0:27that? Strategies Bitcoin portfolio is

0:29now up about 15 billion in just in the

0:32last 15 days. A thousand a day for

0:35Bitcoin is correlating to about a

0:37billion a day for Gigachad. Maybe he saw

0:40this chart and knows Bitcoin's pathway

0:43to 800k could come sooner than many

0:46expect. Bitcoin and gold were ripping.

Fed Flip, Fed Flop

0:50Then just while I was writing this show,

0:52boom, we crashed below 80k and the Fed

0:55flip-flopped.

0:57So what the is happening? Well, we

0:59definitely have some pretty strong

1:01reasons why investors are running to the

1:03exits. The flip to hold just flopped to

The Dollar Milkshake and the Debasement Trade

1:05hike and inflation is running rampant.

1:08Mohamed says the global bond sell-off

1:11likely not over yet. Well, you know what

1:13to do, Mohamed.

1:15>> Yeah. And as long as inflation as long

1:17as inflation expectations are stable,

1:20you can navigate

1:21>> buy some Bitcoin, Mohamed.

1:24Something else crazy is happening. The

1:25global currency war is accelerating

1:28while some are adopting bonds like a bad

1:31habit. It appears Dickie Dollar

1:33milkshake is in effect for others and so

1:35is the debasement trade despite the

1:38volatility. Massive show today. Stay

1:40until the finish and you'll understand

1:42why what Dave Smith just did to the fiat

1:45establishment, Bitcoin is about to do

1:48the same. And it could end with the most

1:51insane bull run of our lives and 800k

1:54Bitcoin. We will shake the bears off

1:57like please. We got a lot to get to.

2:01>> [music]

2:04>> It's a a long-term problem is the issue

2:06the Treasury faces.

2:08They are currently printing 2 trillion

2:11extra dollars and the Congressional

2:12Budget Office says that is

2:14rising

2:16you know, infinite items to 3.6 trillion

2:19in 10 years. And so if the government is

2:21printing that much money, it really it's

2:24just you know, kind of like

2:26papering over the cracks to to buy a

2:28couple billion here or there really

2:29doesn't do anything and and I think this

2:31has

2:32really ignited a rally in things like

2:34Bitcoin and other hard assets like gold

2:36because it really highlights there isn't

2:39a real way out for these

2:42uh

2:43countries like the United States. Think

2:45about it, you know, the US is the

2:46largest net debtor in the world. Like

2:48how can it pump, quote, make markets in

2:51bonds when it's the one that has to be

2:53forced selling of 2 trillion in a year.

2:56And I think that's what's driving people

2:57into crypto. You can't print There's 21

2:59million Bitcoins. You can't print more

3:01of them.

3:02Um and so all of this,

3:04you know, really is highlighting a a

3:06problem that's hard to to see where it

3:08goes. And um

3:11inflation is already

3:133.

3:154% and that debases 90% of your

3:19purchasing power over your life. So if

3:21you have the choice to own

3:24something hard like Bitcoin or a US

3:26piece of paper money, you know, Bitcoin

3:29has historically gone up about 70% a

3:31year and uh paper money is debasing at

3:343.4% a year.

3:36Um and also it does highlight the fact

3:37that the the economy is doing as well as

3:39it possibly could.

3:40Um

3:41unemployment rate is 4.1 which is you

3:43know, full employment. Uh wage inflation

3:47is 3.4%. Everything is really really

3:48strong.

3:50You know, you have to wonder what what's

3:51going to happen when something bad

3:53occurs in the economy. The the deficit

3:55will spiral spiral out of control, and

3:58we're only a year away from the US

4:00deficit

4:02going above where it was at the end of

4:04World War II. And think about that, with

4:07all that money, we defeated fascism.

4:09Like, what what's the government

4:11printing the money for now?

Bitcoin Hits $82K on Waller's Dovish Lean

4:13>> Bitcoin reached 82K after Fed Governor

4:15Waller said he may support holding rates

4:18at the next FOMC meeting. 415 million in

4:22shorts got annihilated. It was on like

4:25Donkey Kong. But then,

The Jobs Report Nobody Expected

4:28the Fed flip-flopped this morning.

4:31Flopped like LeBron when he won that

4:33Oscar. Because at 8:30 a.m., the jobs

4:36report drops, and boom, 162,000 new

4:40jobs. Listen to how insane this is.

4:42Economists expected 55,000, we got

4:44162,000. That's nearly 3x expectations.

4:49Last month was 21,000, so that's almost

4:528x last month. Private payrolls, 127,000

162,000 Jobs, Triple the Forecast

4:56versus 45,000 expected. Unemployment

4:59held at 4.1%. Even the U6 improved to

5:027.7 from 7.9. Wages hit 0.3% for the

5:06month, right on target. 3.1%

5:09year-over-year, a touch hotter than the

5:113% they wanted. Good news, right? It's

Why Good News Is Bad News Here

5:14fine, everything's great. Except in this

5:16clown economy, good news is bad news.

5:19Because a

5:20a strong jobs report removes the Fed's

5:24biggest excuse not to hike. Going into

5:27today, September hike odds were sitting

5:29around 50%. Waller literally said,

The Real Fight Is September 10th and 11th

5:33"Yeah, I lean hold, but strong data

5:35could push me to hike instead." Well,

5:37here's your strong data. And now,

5:39inflation prints hit September 10th and

5:4111th, right before the Fed meeting on

5:43the 16th. If that comes in hot, too,

5:47a September hike stops being a

5:48possibility

5:50and starts looking like the base case,

5:53allegedly. And look, I'll be honest with

The Trifecta: Sovereign Funds, Blackstone, and El-Erian

5:55you. It's not just the Fed. Same

5:58morning, Bitcoin crashes back below 80K,

6:01you get the trifecta. World's biggest

6:03sovereign wealth fund talking about

6:05cutting US Treasury holdings. Blackstone

6:08restricting withdrawals from its

6:10flagship private credit fund for the

6:12second straight quarter. They only let

6:15investors pull half of the 10% they

6:17asked for. And Mohammed El-Erian on CNBC

6:20saying the global bond sell-off is

6:22likely not over yet. Translation,

6:25wealthy investors are racing for the

6:27exits from paper promises.

6:29So, what the hell is happening? The

A System That Needs You Unemployed

6:31system appears broken. Stocks fall after

6:35we add 162,000 jobs because Wall Street

6:38needs a weak labor market to get their

6:40paws. They want your cousin to lose his

6:43job so worse will pivot. That's not a

6:46free market. That's how a centrally

6:48planned, printed fiat ponzi operates.

Waiting on Warsh's New Nickname

6:51Bitcoin didn't pump 20K in 20 days for

6:54nothing. That was the signal.

6:57And Bitcoin is going to shake these

6:58bears off like fleas. And if you've been

7:01looking at this, orange man is not

7:03happy. He appointed him. I'm just

7:05waiting for the new nickname. It's got

7:08to come soon, right? Hey, dirty Kevin.

7:11Dirty Kevin and it has been at all these

7:14little fancy Bilderberg meetings. He

7:17needs a wash. Now, back to it because uh

China's Losing Currency War

7:20the jobs number, that's just the

7:22appetizer. We're in a full-blown

7:24currency war and China just proved it.

7:28What is China doing right now? Dumping

7:30treasuries, stacking gold, trying to

7:33dedollarize, trying to build their own

7:35little lifeboat. And it still isn't

7:37working. Yuan wobbles, Europe wobbles,

7:40yen gets Godzilla margin called. And

7:42where does the money go? Right back into

7:44dollars. Slurp. Dickie dollar. And it's

7:47not like dollar strength, that's

7:50everything else just failing faster.

7:52It's musical chairs of with a fiat

7:54toilet paper, and Dickie dollar brought

7:56his own chair. This is the 1971 Ponzi

8:00doing what Ponzis do, eat everything

8:02until there's only one exit left, and

8:04that exit ain't gold you can't carry.

8:07It's Bitcoin.

Sponsor: The Bitcoin Way

8:09Now, before we reveal when Bitcoin could

8:11be arriving at 800K and what Bitcoin is

8:14about to do to the fiat system,

8:17let's take a moment to recognize our

8:18sponsors powering this show over at the

8:21Bitcoin way. Oh, and look at that.

8:24That is terrible. Look at our likes.

8:26>> I'll pump those numbers up. Those are

8:27rookie numbers in this racket.

8:29>> A lot of people who are serious about

8:31Bitcoin skip the most important part.

8:33Not NGU, holding your own keys, being

8:36your own bank. If the last few weeks

8:38taught you anything, it's that you need

8:39to be prepared. Multi-sig, running your

8:42own node, verifying your own chain

8:44instead of trusting someone else's.

8:46Bitcoin way walks you through every step

8:48until you've actually got it, not just

8:50installed it. They also cover privacy

8:52phones and plan B residency if you're

8:55thinking bigger picture. Schedule a free

8:57consultation, scan the QR or hit the

8:59link below. Do it today. I've always

9:02been a skeptical guy on the Bitcoin

9:04backed loans. Too many of these

9:05platforms turn into rug pulls wearing

9:08yield costumes. Ledn isn't that. Eight

9:10years, 10 billion in loans, zero

9:13customer Bitcoin lost, zero

9:15rehypothecated. They don't lend out your

9:17collateral, period. Auto top-up

9:20protection so you're never getting

9:21liquidated. Lowest rates in the market,

9:23no fine print.

9:25Keep your stack, get the cash, repay

9:27whenever. Zero penalties. I personally

9:29have two friends who have used the

9:30product to put down payments on their

9:32first homes. The smartest minds don't

9:35sell their assets, they borrow against

9:38them. Head over to learn.ledn.io/simply

9:42today.

9:43>> It's like, dude, you're you're like a a

9:45cartoon character of the archetype of

9:48evil. Like like Satan's spawn who

9:51mastered legalese or something like

9:53that. The guy who gets O.J. and Epstein

9:55off. You're going to sit here and

9:56morally judge me? Like I'm sorry,

9:58[clears throat] man. Like I was trying

10:00to be reasonable through this thing and

10:01go, "You know what? You're you're you're

10:02a guy we're having a sparring match. I

10:04appreciate it. You're age." But screw

10:05you, man. You're sitting here smearing

10:06me. I'm arguing against a war, dude.

10:08There's there's been seven catastrophic

10:10wars in a row, and I'm using the little

10:12bit of platform, the little bit of

10:13influence I am to say that people of

10:15your generation need to let go of the

10:17goddamn wheel. You've given us enough

10:19disasters. 40 trillion in debt, millions

10:22killed. Enough of this.

Dave Smith Demolishes the Establishment

10:24>> You got to go watch that full

10:26debate. It was incredible. I don't know

10:29of a better example

10:31of a decrepit, like the cryptkeeper,

10:34fiat system establishment

10:37than uh

10:38that guy. The Dave just pwned. Build a

10:41statue with his name. King Dave has

10:45arrived. No, really, he does this. When

10:47he's debating, he's top of his game.

10:49Kind of like when Bitcoin's being

10:51attacked, it just goes rage monster.

The Porkopolis Power Law Puts Bitcoin at $800K

10:54And let me tell you what's on the table

10:56for the rage monster. 800k in 2 years.

11:00We just went up 20k in 20 days. What's a

11:0310x in 2 years? Check it out. Porka

11:06Pollins power law trend at Q90 would put

11:10Bitcoin at 800k 2 years from today. See,

11:14500k is humble. And these guys make some

11:17good points here. Bitcoin has only been

Ripping Faces Off

11:19higher than Q90 10% of its entire

11:22existence. So, unlikely. But there's no

11:25telling what happens when Bitcoin starts

11:27ripping faces off. Speaking of, let's go

11:30ahead and remind Muhammad that inflation

11:32is well above his arbitrary 3%. Roll it.

11:37>> There's a lot of people

11:39that are nodding with you because you we

11:40can deflate our way out of some of this

11:42stuff, but the difference between 2% and

11:443% compounded for the dollar is

11:47devastating. And and I don't know, for

11:48you to just blow it off is a little

11:50weird. I mean, there's a reason they

11:51want 2%. Anyone can move goal posts. I

11:54mean, if you compound 3% that's 50%

11:58higher than 2%.

11:59>> 2% comes from?

12:01>> I don't I'm not I'm

12:02>> No, no, but 2% comes from

12:03>> 3% it would be would would make all of

12:06us feel awful in 10 years.

12:08>> from the Bank of New Zealand

12:09>> Okay.

12:10>> in the early '90s.

12:11>> It seems like a good number to me.

12:12>> It's a good number but it's an arbitrary

12:13number. What you've got to what you've

12:15got to take into

12:16>> is an arbitrary number. I mean, if you

12:18want to deflate 36 trillion, let's go to

12:2110 then.

12:21>> I don't want to pull the rug from under

12:23US economic exceptionalism. I think we

12:26are outpacing the rest of the world.

12:27>> to a 3%

12:28>> we are investing in the economies of

12:31tomorrow. If we in the growth drivers of

12:33tomorrow, if we not

12:35>> No, the private sector, everything else.

12:37If you if you push this economy in

12:39government sector

12:39>> sector is not what causes the inflation.

12:41>> Joe, if you push this economy into

12:43recession,

12:44you will not just lose current standard

12:47of livings, you will lose future

12:49standard of living. We we are in a very

12:50good position to have

12:51>> 3% loses the future standard of living.

12:53That's the problem.

12:54>> 2.5 to 3 is is is what I said. You went

12:57to immediately to three.

12:58>> Well, if you say three at the top

13:00>> And as long as inflation as long as

13:02inflation expectations are stable, you

13:05can navigate

13:06>> buy some Bitcoin, Muhammad.

13:09>> Okay, real talk for a second. Not your

13:11keys, not your coins. I've said it.

13:13You've said it. We've all said it a

13:14thousand times, but nobody really talks

13:18about the part after that. Once you got

13:20the keys, how do you not mess it up?

13:23Because I've seen people lose a seed

13:24phrase or get it replicated, forget

13:27where they hid it, spill coffee on it,

13:29all of it. One dumb mistake and your

13:31whole stack's gone. That's the actual

13:34reason I like BitKey. Instead of one

13:37seed phrase holding everything together,

13:39it splits things three ways by default.

13:42Your phone, the BitKey hardware, and a

13:44key held by Block. You only need two of

13:47three to move anything. So, if you lose

13:49one, you're not locked out and Block

13:51can't touch your Bitcoin on their own,

13:53either. Nobody's holding the keys to the

13:55kingdom but you. And here's the part I

13:57think is kind of underrated. The

13:59hardware itself shows you what you're

14:01signing. So, even if your phone or

14:03laptop somehow got compromised, you're

14:05not blindly trusting some address.

14:08You're confirming the real one on

14:09hardware no one else can reach. No seed

14:11phrase to babysit, real recovery if you

14:14lose a device, a real plan for what

14:16happens to your stack down the road.

14:18That's not theory, that's just That's

14:20how self-custody should have worked from

14:22the start. Download BitKey today, use my

14:24code sendit for 10% off, and this

14:26episode has been brought to you by

14:28BitKey. Hey, hope you guys enjoyed this

14:30one. Let us know what you think down

14:32below. Don't forget to like, subscribe,

14:33and give us a pamper by sharing the

14:35Sound Money gospel with with some

14:38poor unfortunate soul trapped in fiat

14:40purgatory. Hope you guys have a great

14:42weekend. Dominate those fantasy drafts,

14:45and I'll catch you next time. Love you

14:46guys. Peace.

14:48>> If you prefer to go down with the ship,

14:51you.

14:54>> [music]

More from Simply Bitcoin

Recently added transcripts

Browse the whole transcript library

This transcript was generated from the captions YouTube publishes for this video. Get the transcript of any YouTube video atfreeyoutubetranscribe.com, free, unlimited, no sign-up.