Full transcript
Can AI help heal the world?
0:01the world is facing a big medical
0:03problem
0:04a growing number of patients
0:07and not enough doctors to treat them
0:10so could artificial intelligence be the
0:12cure i feel like i'm working at the
0:14forefront of something that could
0:16potentially be revolutionary to
0:18healthcare in the future ai has the
0:20power to transform the ways patients are
0:22diagnosed and treated when we think
0:25it'll become a game changer and to make
0:27the testing of new medical procedures
0:30more efficient and effective if we can
0:32get devices that can be developed faster
0:36better
0:37and quicker
0:38then there are huge benefits
0:42[Music]
How can AI spot blindness?
0:56elaine manor is blind in one eye
1:01she is a victim of age-related macular
1:04degeneration
1:06the most common cause of blindness in
1:08the uk and us
1:11when it went to my other eye i was just
1:14terrified i was in bits i was weeping in
1:18the rain and
1:19thinking i don't want to be here
1:24[Music]
1:30for years the threat of losing her other
1:32eye has loomed large
1:34until a successful treatment enabled the
1:37thankful 75 year old to see her way to
1:40some high wire fundraising
1:42i did the high sick wire in europe
1:47i did the sky dive
1:49and then i did the the wing walk
1:53[Music]
1:58but the doctor who saved elaine's eyes
2:00says she is one of the lucky ones nearly
2:0310 of all clinic appointments in the nhs
2:05are for eyes that's nearly 10 million
2:08appointments per year so to put it
2:11brutally we're almost drowning in the
2:13number of patients we need to see
2:15and as a result of that there are some
2:16patients unfortunately who go blind
2:18because of delays in being seen and
2:20treated a pregnant mother was left
2:23almost completely blind waiting for care
2:26she has since given birth and has never
2:29seen her daughter's
2:31face dr keen
2:33believes there's an answer
2:35artificial intelligence
2:38he and his partners have developed ais
2:41which can diagnose over 50 types of eye
2:44disease just as well as a doctor
2:47but do so
2:48much much more quickly the ai system can
2:51analyze the retinal scans within seconds
2:54and it can delineate all of the
2:56different disease features on the scans
2:58a human expert would probably take hours
3:00or even days to complete the same task
3:03ai can help to address a growing global
3:06challenge
3:07in 2020
3:09an estimated 596
3:12million people had distance vision
3:14impairment worldwide
3:16of whom 43 million were blind
3:19by 2050 both these figures are set to
3:23increase by approximately 50 percent
3:26a task that can take specialist doctors
3:28hours now being done in seconds through
3:31artificial intelligence and it's not
3:33just eyesight ai's ability to mine and
3:37analyze patient data far more quickly
3:39than humans can mean diagnoses could
3:42improve in many areas of medicine we do
3:44more than a thousand scans per day in
3:47the hospital it's a challenge because
3:50where do we get the the human experts to
3:52be able to review all those scans but
3:53it's also an opportunity because that
3:55huge amount of data is the perfect
3:57substrate for the development of
3:59artificial intelligence systems
Protecting patients’ privacy
4:02but there are concerns
4:04in particular threats to the privacy of
4:07patients
4:08deepmind google's ai company and one of
4:12dr keane's partners has found itself
4:14under fire
4:16google deep mind the search giant's
4:18artificial intelligence arm may have
4:20received the personally identifying
4:22medical records of 1.6 million nhs
4:24patients here at the royal fair hospital
4:27on a legally inappropriate basis
4:30unrelated to its work with dr keane
4:32deepmind is currently facing legal
4:34action over its use of nhs data
4:38yet if data can be better protected
4:40ai has the capacity to make patient care
4:43much better
4:44and more efficient
4:46so we have a world that is essentially
4:49very much connected
4:50but yet healthcare data is siloed
4:53we can order a taxi from almost anywhere
4:56in the world using our smartphones
4:58but yet if we have a patient who comes
5:00to an eye hospital like moorefields but
5:02they're also attending a hospital
5:05because they've got cancer we often
5:06can't easily connect their data
How to share medical data safely
5:12dr keen hopes his latest collaboration
5:14with machine learning startup bitfont
5:17could not only join data dots better but
5:20also improve patient privacy with fount
5:23is is a kind of switchboard all we do is
5:26essentially pass messages between
5:28someone who wants to ask something of
5:30the data set and the owner of the data
5:33the data
5:34never never leaves its home location so
5:37if that data is held by a hospital
5:39no data ever leaves the hospital bitfont
5:41says this technology could have other
5:43benefits like approving new treatments
5:46more quickly and safely patients are
5:49losing out a lot by the fact that ideal
5:51medical treatments for them are not
5:53coming through to to market
5:55with the extra technical guarantees that
5:58privacy preserving techniques like
6:00bitfont can provide there's been a real
6:03feeling around the healthcare ecosystem
6:06that that could speed up a lot of those
6:08governance processes
Medical AI is rapidly expanding
6:12by 2027
6:14ai's value in the healthcare market is
6:16expected to be eight times bigger than
6:18in 2020 growth could also be boosted if
6:22clinicians reduce their dependence on
6:24coders and start to develop their own ai
6:27systems
6:28this is really exciting because today's
6:30retinal experts have been unable to
6:32identify gender dr kira o'bern is part
6:36of a team of clinicians who have managed
6:37to do what google brain did in 2018
6:41develop ai that can recognize gender
6:43from retinal scans
6:45something no human can do
6:47a member of our research group developed
6:49a code-free deep learning model which
6:51accurately identified gender from
6:53rational images
6:54this is incredibly exciting because by
6:56positioning clinicians
6:58to develop their own models
7:00independently it could really open the
7:02door to further discoveries in both
7:04disease patterns and disease biomarkers
7:07a new generation of doctors believe
7:09empowering clinicians in this way will
7:12bring them closer to patients
7:14generally it's the clinician that's the
7:16healthcare workers working face-to-face
7:18with the patient to understand what the
7:21patients need best
7:23so therefore i believe that if we can
7:25allow them to independently develop
7:27their own tools this will allow the
7:29patient to remain at the very forefront
7:31of everything
7:33it's the world's first hand-held
7:35battery-powered computer able to hold
7:37thousands of data points i think that
7:40we're potentially at a tipping point a
7:42little bit like the tipping point that
7:44we saw in the late 1970s in the
7:46computing industry we had the
7:48introduction of the first personal
7:49computers if you empower people with
7:52this technology even if primitive in the
7:54beginning they will come up with
7:56hundreds or even thousands of
7:57applications that the engineers would
7:59never have thought of
What do the sceptics say?
8:03but some are skeptical about pinning
8:05hopes too fast on ai
8:08the issue is that ai models are
8:09essentially black boxes and so what
8:12happens is that when they're working
8:13well they're working well and no
8:15questions are asked but what happens if
8:17a wrong decision is made what happens
8:20when something goes wrong and how do we
8:21really trace that back and ensure
8:23accountability and guarantee
8:26interpretability if we're using these
8:27black box models
8:30while it is early days for ai in
8:32medicine it could also improve the
8:34testing of new medical devices
8:36a long time ago
8:38a million years bc
8:41everything was
8:43absolutely free
8:46in 2021 former part-time singer and
8:49model patricia walker had an artificial
8:51valve inserted into her heart to save
8:54her life i needed a new valve
8:56because the one that i had wasn't
8:58working it was dripping this is why i
9:00was feeling
9:02the pain that i was getting the
9:03exhaustion and it it was getting
9:07worse
9:08although patricia's operation was a
9:10success
9:11it was not without risk and the
9:13cardiologist who inserted the valve says
9:16ai can make new technologies like this
9:19safer for patients
9:21by creating virtual trials
9:24if we can plan a procedure by simulating
9:27that procedure in an individual patient
9:30in a computer-generated model before we
9:32go to the patient then we can get a much
9:34better outcome in the patient without
9:35posing any risk to that patient at all
9:39at the university of leeds dr blackman
9:42is collaborating with professor alex
9:44frangie he is using machine learning to
9:47automate the building of
9:48three-dimensional digital replicas this
9:50is the real one
9:52and this is the fake one
9:55but it's very difficult to the naked eye
9:56to to pick that up
9:58virtual trials mean multiple variations
10:00of a proposed new procedure or
10:03technology can be tried out we can test
10:06different scenarios of treatment on the
10:08same
10:09anatomy and physiology of a given
10:12virtual individual and that's something
10:14which is not again possible to do with
10:15conventional trials
10:18we're also comparing different scenarios
10:20of hypertensive and normal tensive
10:22conditions
10:23virtual trials do not replace human
10:26trials
10:27but they do speed up the time and reduce
10:29the money required to identify the right
10:31devices and humans to test
10:35in 2021 the team at the university of
10:38leeds found their virtual trials
10:40produced the same results as three
10:42clinical trials but much more
10:44efficiently
10:46each of those studies took between six
10:48and eight years to to be undertaken and
10:51they probably cost around 20 to 30
10:53million each of them so what we showed
10:56is that in this computational study that
10:59the execution of it took about three
11:00months so
11:02that's you know less than
11:0520 grand
11:06some working in the medical world
What does the future hold for medical AI?
11:08believe a bright future lies ahead as
11:11ais become more sophisticated and more
11:14capable
11:15in other words more intelligent ai 1.0
11:19in my view is the ability to automate
11:22tasks that otherwise
11:24could be very boring or time consuming
11:26or repetitive
11:29ai 2.0
11:31is the one that actually tries to look
11:33at incorporating prior information on
11:35the physics on the physiology in a much
11:38more intimate manner with the data so
11:40it's not just data driven but it's also
11:42knowledge driven for healthcare it's
11:44hard to see a future without ai
11:47i strongly believe that one day
11:51artificial intelligence
11:54will renew this eye
12:04thanks for watching i'm tom standage
12:06deputy editor of the economist to read
12:09more of our coverage of ai please click
12:11on the link don't forget to subscribe
12:27you