💥 ALL Is Exploding: Q4 Run Early? Rektember Just… Didn’t

0:06Hello everybody. Let's get ready for 21

0:09charts and find out what's going on in

0:10the markets. And it's been a bizarre

0:13September. We're going to dig into

0:15exactly why that is

0:18the appearance. Uh oh, I threw it too

0:21far. There goes the dog. Anyway, uh this

0:24is every Wednesday we get our little

0:27doggy and she's off. She's very camera

0:30shy, but that doesn't matter. Let's

0:32focus on the charts here, my friends.

0:34And that is the most important thing.

0:36This one's called Blastoff because we

0:39didn't get a rectimber. And this is not

0:42financial advice. And the September

0:44curse never arrived. Just just over the

0:47last week. Bitcoin up 12% and it's down

0:49today as well. Uh Salana up 19%,

0:54ETH 11.5%.

0:57Uh, Hyperliquid up as well 20%. Things

1:00are very very strong. Same thing with

1:02stocks as well. Um, Nvidia 5%,

1:07AMD 19%,

1:10Micron 14%. I'll talk about my my my

1:14good calls and my misses. I missed

1:16Broadcom by a hair. Uh, I thought AMD

1:20was going to stay in the box. It didn't.

1:21It flew out of the box. Tesla up 6%. and

1:25we'll talk about all the 21 big charts

1:27and we'll take some live questions as

1:29well. And my quick scorecard for the

1:31week. I nailed a lot of calls. AB,

1:34Google, Marvel, Nvidia, Palunteer,

1:36Tesla, SpaceX, Bitcoin, Salana, ETH,

1:40Credo, STRC, Macro, but I missed these

1:44two. And I'm very fair with my

1:46scorecards. I missed AMD. I said it's

1:48not going anywhere. I was wrong. It

1:49broke out. and uh broadcast uh Broadcom

1:53AVgo. Uh I missed that too. It did shoot

1:56up a bit. So let's get into the actual

1:59charts and we'll remove this and we'll

2:02pop this up. Now the very first question

2:06and by the way, thank you to the

2:07moderators in the chat. Hey Sean D, he's

2:09here. Kate is here too. We'll take some

2:11questions as well. And a huge thank you

2:13and cipher sniper. Thank you for

2:15joining. And we have Buckhorn as well.

2:17Thank you Mr. Buckhorn for being here.

2:19Let's go. Now, the big question is why

2:22are the markets why did Bitcoin fall all

2:24of a sudden? Well, part of it is this.

2:27This is the US government 10-year yield.

2:29It's spiking. I mean, since March, this

2:32is a crazy move for long-term rates.

2:36Literally, it's rare you see them go up

2:3930%.

2:4130% since March. Basically,

2:45that puts a lot of stress on the system,

2:47especially a country that has as much

2:48debt, $40.1 trillion in debt and over

2:52120 trillion in

2:55future debt. The other thing that's

2:57crushing many traditional assets is oil.

3:00And this is Brent. This is for our

3:02friends in the UK. This for you Sha D.

3:04Brent crude oil is gone up too. From

3:06July, it was 70 bucks. Now it's 103

3:09again. It doesn't It falls fell below

3:11100 briefly. Yeah, I was quite excited,

3:13but it just rebounded up. Everybody

3:16knows like there's places running out of

3:18diesel all over the world. Ships can't

3:21run without diesel and oil in many parts

3:23of the world, too. It's a real calamity

3:25and it needs to end soon. That's putting

3:27pressure on markets. But you know what?

3:29AI and crypto do not give a toss, which

3:32is fascinating. So, we'll get into a

3:34whole bunch of charts and try to figure

3:35out what's going on. QQQ. Boom.

3:39Unbelievable strength here on the

3:41NASDAQ. Still going up. All driven by

3:45AI. Like I said last week, S&P 500.

3:50Here we go. Still very close to breaking

3:53a new alltime high. It's in within 1% of

3:56a new all-time high. Still strong. Trend

3:58is up. In fact,

4:01uh by the way, ATO need to update this

4:04to the latest version and this too. By

4:07the way, you when this is the desktop

4:09version of Trading View and each chart

4:12is a separate chart with its own

4:14settings, its own whatever time frames,

4:18lines, indicators, etc. But again,

4:21we have the bond rates going to the

4:24moon. We have oil going to the moon. And

4:28the indexes don't care because there's

4:30so much money being printed. Uh

4:32volatility, the VIX index. I did say

4:34we'd mean revert down from 18 last week.

4:36We did. Now we're back down to 15. And

4:38that's just what happens. Anytime it

4:40spikes above that red line there, which

4:41is a 200 day, think about putting in a

4:44VIX short if you play that game. I know

4:46some people do. Let's talk about

4:48Bitcoin. I'm going to share a couple of

4:50things first. First of all, the tabby

4:51model here, new format is still in the

4:54light blue teley zone. Every time you

4:55see dark blue here, that's deep value.

4:58If you see that showing up on the top

5:00and bottom indicator, you just buy with

5:02both hands. H that's what I do. like

5:0564K, etc. But now we're a lot higher.

5:08I'm going to make this picture a little

5:11bit better. In fact, I'm going to delete

5:12this and we're going to look at Bitcoin.

5:14Right. Last week I did say, you know, we

5:16had to break 82K, that resistance, and

5:19we smashed it. And then it was off to

5:21the races straight to 90K nearly. We

5:24didn't quite get there yet. I did make a

5:26video 3 weeks ago that we would hit 90K

5:28in October if the ETFs played nice. And

5:31the ETFs are playing nice. The ETFs have

5:34pulled in $2.7 billion in the last four

5:36days. Every if they pull in $5 billion

5:41um between the last four days and the

5:43end of October, we're going to 90,000.

5:46That is my Bitcoin ETF math model. Very

5:50crude, but extremely precise. Again, I

5:53can explain 80% of the Bitcoin moves now

5:56with the ETF flows. So, we're currently

5:59853. People are panicking, you know. Oh

6:02my god, what happened? We were doing so

6:04well and we dipped. It's a dip for what

6:07do they call it? Let me turn this off

6:09and get a better view. Let's zoom into

6:11five days and look at the little move.

6:14This is called a dip for ants. Yes, we

6:17had we struggling right up here at this

6:19level. Let me pull in a quick line.

6:23Do a little horizontal

6:25line. Pop this here to here. And you

6:28see, boom. This is the resistance. It's

6:31hitting 873 give or take 50 bucks.

6:34Bitcoin doesn't want to go above this

6:35level. However, there's a lot of buying

6:38happening and a lot of people have FOMO

6:40and a lot of people are chasing the

6:42trade. So, will we go down to 82K again?

6:46I don't know. Typically, when we look at

6:49the multi-year chart of this thing, 82K

6:52is that big yellow line there and that's

6:54the long-term support.

6:57Now that we're through it, it was

7:00resistance for a long time. It could now

7:02become support. So, if you don't have

7:04any Bitcoin and you see 82K, it could be

7:06a good time to bag a little bit or just

7:09chase. That's Bitcoin. Now, Bitcoin

7:12versus gold. I was very brokenhearted.

7:15It was for probably what, a month ago

7:18when we completely

7:20broke away from my green lines, which

7:22they never move. You can check them

7:24every single week, every single month.

7:26They don't move. But this is my expected

7:29trajectory on the right here of the

7:31Bitcoin gold chart. And I said I believe

7:34Bitcoin was going to smoke gold over the

7:37next 12 to 24 months and it went

7:40sideways down to about 15th of August

7:43and then it shot up the last month and

7:45we're nearly back in line with my

7:47trajectory. We'll see if we get there.

7:48You know, this is always an approximate.

7:50I can follow it closely or I can deviate

7:52from it a little bit but as long as it

7:53comes back it's great. So, just adding

7:56the little arrow here. Do a little curl

7:58to the edge.

8:00That is where we are. And back on track.

8:04So, very happy to see that. Shout out to

8:06the gold bugs. ETH. We had that

8:08beautiful $1,500 killbox. Hard to

8:10believe it's now nearly $2,700.

8:12$1,500 killbox was end of June.

8:16And you'll see I have it written in here

8:18somewhere. There's the $1,500 killbox in

8:21my notes. Um, we did get a sell flag,

8:24but it's still running strong.

8:27So, crypto, you know, ETH typically

8:30follows Bitcoin. When Bitcoin goes on a

8:32rampage, it follows it and sometimes not

8:34as fast. And we look at Saul. ETH. Saul

8:38is smoking ETH. Everybody's now

8:40beginning to chatter about ETH really.

8:43Um, I made some detailed posts about it

8:46on Patreon and stuff. Uh, Vitalic has a

8:49new plan for finality to take it down

8:51from 17 minutes to 32 seconds in the

8:54next 5 years.

8:56That's not going to fly, my friends.

8:58That plan is not going to fly. Uh, so

9:00people are beginning to wake up to the

9:02chain that does 70% of all transactions

9:05on blockchains and that's Salana. So

9:07watch this carefully. Salana itself did

9:09shoot to nearly 120. Now we have that

9:11big I said last week we got that 112 to

9:14119 resistance. We hit 119 and fell back

9:18down. Now it's currently 114. So we're

9:21struggling at this level. By the way,

9:23level two is that 112. We got above

9:26that, which is great news. This would be

9:29very similar to the Bitcoin 82K support.

9:32Once we put that behind us, which is

9:34level two on the HR, we'll eventually go

9:37to level three, which is 148 bucks.

9:39That's going to take a month or two to

9:41get there. We'll see. There is a Salana

9:44trade show coming. And in the old days,

9:47uh, Salana used to rally because there'd

9:49be big releases and announcements. We're

9:51getting Alpon Glow and other stuff. So,

9:53we'll see. But the world has be to wake

9:55up to the thing I've been talking till

9:56I'm blue in the face now for nearly six

9:58years. It's incredible how fast time

10:01goes, by the way. It is scary. Micro

10:04Strategy,

10:05interesting thing. I said, watch it. I

10:07said Sailor's not ATMing. He did an ATM

10:10last week. He did an ATM this week,

10:11which is great news. Um but watch

10:14Bitcoin. Now there is something

10:15concerning here

10:17because this is a proxy and the markets

10:19are closed from Bitcoin's on a rampage

10:21and that was on a rampage Sunday night.

10:23We have a gap. This is the gap here. Now

10:26typically nonproxies gaps tend to fill.

10:30So we have that gap here of about 10

10:32bucks between 153 and 164 10 or $11.

10:38Will that fill again? I don't know. I

10:39don't think so. Maybe if Bitcoin goes

10:42back down to 82K, yes, it will fill. But

10:45we don't know if Bitcoin's going to do

10:46that. But either way, this has been very

10:48very strong. It's so funny when when

10:51Micro Strategy was down here at 80

10:52bucks, people were call writing it off,

10:54calling it dead, and that didn't happen.

10:57STRC, uh I check last time I checked

10:59this, it was back at 99. It fell off a

11:02little bit, but it was at 99 for a good

11:04part of the day. Um

11:07and it's back up there.

11:10We'll see. I don't know if they're going

11:12to be able to reclaim a 100 like in the

11:13old days, but I think confidence will

11:15come back. As Bitcoin continues to rise,

11:17confidence in STRC will begin to rise as

11:19well. But I tell you, I would be not

11:22telling the truth if I wasn't nervous as

11:24hell when it fell to 74. And all the

11:26bears and the sailor haters were

11:28rejoicing dancing on the rooftops. Clean

11:31Spark. This came up last week.

11:34Uh there was a question on it and I

11:36said, "Should I do a minor video?"

11:38People said yes. So I'm working on that.

11:40It's been a while since I've done one,

11:41but Clean Spark I said it will sell into

11:43pumps at level 4, which is around 1530

11:48and right now it's about

11:501480 1530 would be sell zone. But it has

11:54come up quite a bit. If you look at the

11:55last month, it has moved a lot because a

11:59little bit too much noise here. We have

12:01a sell signal. The trend is turning

12:03down. But the miners have that energy

12:07and the miners are pivoting to HPC and

12:09because of that they're making different

12:10revenue and they're not selling as much

12:12Bitcoin. So this is all good for the

12:13space. We love the miners even though

12:16you know CleanSpark is great when you're

12:18buying it at two bucks but when it

12:19doesn't really go anywhere for years it

12:20gets a bit frustrating. I get that.

12:23Tesla

12:24I spoke about Tesla and this channel up

12:27from the bottom here. Let me try draw

12:29this channel in a crude way. Boop, boop,

12:32boom.

12:34With my little arrows.

12:37This is the channel I've been talking

12:38about, the channel to $400 that's going

12:41to happen. There's nothing but catalysts

12:44and tailwinds coming into Q4 for this

12:48company. Also, it's the strongest season

12:50for Tesla and cars are sold out. Mega

12:53packs are selling like hot cakes. They

12:55got into bed with Nvidia. One company

12:57just ordered, I don't know, two and a

12:58half thousand semi-truckss. I mean, it's

13:00insane

13:02what's going on here. But this channel

13:04continues. Now, we do have a problem

13:05with this 380 level where that was the

13:08support for a lot of the year and a

13:11great buying opportunity, especially

13:12around 350, 380, sub 380. Then we had

13:16that killer buying opportunity down here

13:18at low 300s, which I I I couldn't

13:21believe. I mean, it fell so low. But

13:24we're above 380 now. That's the key

13:26level because that's level five in the

13:27ATR.

13:29We need need to get that behind us so we

13:31can roll higher. And there is still a

13:33little resistance there. There's some

13:35cell walls hit at this level. So, we're

13:37struggling a little bit. SpaceX has an

13:39unlock happening tomorrow.

13:42Um, sometimes the unlock it doesn't

13:45care. But a couple of things about this

13:47one is I did say last week, you know, go

13:50to 149,

13:52good time to buy a low 140s. 155 is

13:55resistance. The ceiling we actually I

13:58got that ceiling slightly wrong. We went

14:00to 158. So my ceiling was off by three

14:03bucks. But still, every time it goes up

14:06between 135 and 155, it sells off at 155

14:10like clockwork. Now with an unlock

14:12tomorrow, we could go a little bit

14:14lower, maybe down to 145, maybe a little

14:16below that. Currently 148. Um but that's

14:20just the nature of the beast and this is

14:22a good stacking opportunity. So watch

14:24this carefully. and the pair chart for

14:26the pair traders. And we have lots of

14:28them. Blue by Tesla. We're in the blue

14:30trend up now. Tesla's outperforming

14:32SpaceX bigly because of the unlock. I

14:35also have my little blue box here. This

14:37is the range that I believe we're going

14:39to float in. We'll float up and down in

14:42this little box here like this and then

14:46down maybe over time like this. But both

14:50assets I expect to go up in Q4. but

14:53they're going to go up at varying speeds

14:55depending on things like unlocks,

14:58earnings, news releases, starship

15:00flying, whether that's a success or not,

15:02and so much more. But again, both are

15:05fantastic. Uh, let's talk about Nvidia.

15:08Last week I said 231 and be toppy. Boom.

15:12Absolutely nailed that. Uh, and here we

15:16are. We're down at 225. So, every time

15:19it hits this green line, this is now the

15:20new resistance. big blue bar saying

15:23resistance. I don't know if we're going

15:25to break through it. A lot of negative

15:27chatter about Nvidia right now. People

15:29saying, "Oh, the insiders are selling."

15:30Yeah, one of the board members, he sold

15:32like half a percent of the stock and

15:34people are freaking out. But people have

15:35to pay taxes and people also have to

15:38enjoy some lifestyle chips. A lot of

15:40these people on the board,

15:42they are, you know, when you're say my

15:46age or in your 60s or whatever,

15:50you get more bills and you want to start

15:52building some memories and that takes

15:54some money. Anyway, good news. Buy

15:56signal here. Trend is up. Hit that

15:58resistance heading off a little bit. I

16:01think there will be constant

16:02accumulation here as you

16:06um as we bounce up and down. The range

16:09should get tighter and then eventually a

16:12big breakout through that 230 level and

16:15then off to a new alltime high 240 250

16:17plus. That's Nvidia. Um SKHix. This one

16:21is a beast. I was very bullish on this

16:23last week. I did say wait for level

16:26three to add. We didn't get near that

16:28because the blue trend is still up. We

16:30now have a buy signal here which fired

16:33at around 1.86 million1.

16:38Uh the stock itself is still super cheap

16:40trading at a PE of four. Uh we're going

16:42back to a new all-time high. So the

16:44upside for SK highix from here is

16:4960% and we'll probably get there by the

16:52end of the year or Q1 at the latest. So

16:55watch this one. Memory has been on fire

16:57too. The other one I got wrong. Okay, my

17:01second maya.

17:03Uh, we broke out. I said, "This thing

17:06struggles at a,69."

17:09This yellow box here, the range. Well,

17:11we popped above that, too. Everything is

17:13blasting off. Okay, it's blasting off

17:16faster than I expected. I thought the

17:18blast off would happen in October in Q4,

17:21but a lot of the Q4 blastoff is

17:23happening early. Everything has been

17:25front run. you know the duration of the

17:27bare market of Bitcoin front run L1's

17:30everybody's talking about AI agents

17:32driving a huge amount of narrative there

17:34too and then this we just popped off

17:38broke through so I got that wrong broke

17:40the ceiling I still longterm I believe

17:42we're going back to 1500500 to600 as

17:45well

17:47alltime high is 1250 and we are very

17:51close to that again memory is cheap they

17:54have infinite demand for what They do.

17:56AAB the gift that keeps on giving.

17:59Absolutely smashed this one as well.

18:01Last week I've been telling you all buy

18:04at 249. It's going to go back up. You

18:07have the chance to buy at 249 in July.

18:09You will buy closer maybe September 26th

18:13and then uh no sorry 17th of September

18:17and 3rd of September. And now we're

18:20heading up to level five. We might hit

18:21some resistance here around 381. stock

18:24now is 360.

18:26Again, this thing adds so fast. It falls

18:29fast. We hedged up here at like 500. It

18:31tanked all the way down to 250 and just

18:34in a matter of days, just to show you

18:36how fast these things go, which are

18:38fantastic. The volatility to play. I

18:40mean, this added nearly 50% in a week.

18:4350% in a week is nuts. But it might be

18:47soon out of juice. We'll see. Again, AAP

18:50have lots of good stuff coming, but it

18:52might be overrunning. It is however

18:54lagging the revenue growth which is an

18:56important chart I think I shared on

18:58Patreon last night if I'm not mistaken.

19:00Marvel marvelous Marvel same thing

19:03similar pattern to ALAB but moving to

19:06higher highs. Buy signal here. Trend is

19:08up smashed through level five which is

19:11good. Let's see if there's any after

19:12hours action. Marvel uh 40 cents

19:15nothing. Um but looking strong.

19:19This one is a trillion dollar company in

19:21the making. And just for perspective,

19:23let's check in on the current market cap

19:25right now.

19:28228. So you have a 4.5x to come on this

19:32stock. And that's big. That's coming

19:35within a year or two. So again, don't

19:38get too cute trading around these

19:40things. Build your I13 bag of these key

19:43winners and wait, wait, wait, wait,

19:45wait. Be patient. Uh, you don't want to

19:48be not on the train when it runs because

19:50these things run fast. AMD, the second

19:53one I got wrong, the blew out of the box

19:56as well, just like Micron. Um, got this

20:00wrong. AMD smashed out of my range. This

20:02was my range rider box here. Limit of

20:05580 and it shot up to 614. So, not not a

20:09huge percentage out of the box. And that

20:12is basically brand new alltime high 6%.

20:16And it looks like it's getting a little

20:18toppy. Let's turn on to pull out some of

20:21the noise.

20:23Hashi Haken actually looks fine. Let's

20:25go to the 4our.

20:28I have By the way, all these positions I

20:30talk about I own. They're part of AI13.

20:33But here on the 4 hour, you can see it

20:35looks like it's rolling over. Okay.

20:37Okay. What I mean by rolling over, see

20:39if I can

20:41Yeah, I need Jacob's skills here with

20:42the pencil. Hang on. Arrow highlighter.

20:46Let me try this. Oh crap. I just can't I

20:49can't draw for with I can't draw

20:52with these things. I need to get one of

20:53those little pens where I can draw. Let

20:55me figure that out. Anyway, it did break

20:57out of this range above my box level and

21:00AMD is a beast. So, got that wrong. But

21:03still, again, don't be too cute trading

21:05around these things. Now, Google, we did

21:07nail the bottom at 325. Uh, two weeks

21:10ago, it ran hit a sell signal and

21:13heading down again. A lot of people now

21:14are worried that Google's leaving the

21:16frontier model race and just focusing on

21:19compute, which is probably what they

21:21should do. They're too big and stodgy to

21:23be able to be dynamic to catch up with

21:25the others. Anyway, long-term still

21:27going to 400 bucks, but selling back

21:30down here. If you don't have any Google

21:31and you see it back down at 325, it

21:34might be worth a little a little nibble.

21:36325 to 400 isn't a huge gainer. Let's

21:40see.

21:44Back to 400 23%. Not not too exciting,

21:49but again, it's a good safe position to

21:51have. Palunteer this one. And I was very

21:55concerned about this for a long time

21:57because I said it was supposed to sell

21:59off of this blue line again. My box 168

22:02170. I was hedged up to 171.

22:07It did come down below the 171 level a

22:10few times and then it just went on a

22:13rampage. So I covered my head yesterday

22:15because I saw it running and boy did it

22:18run today as well. Now we're at 192.

22:21This thing just has no quit. And I'll

22:24tell you, it must be very vexing for

22:27people like Michael Bur who just tripled

22:30down on this Palunteer hedge yesterday

22:31as well. But he doesn't understand how

22:34this thing can have a price to earnings

22:36ratio of 157.

22:38But when you look at the growth, that's

22:40where it gets interesting.

22:42So if you look at uh earnings growth

22:44here, boom, very fast. So Q3 2025,

22:49they're earning

22:51So, you know, 21 cents a share and today

22:54they're earning 41 cents. They've

22:56doubled their earnings in just a year

22:58and they're going even higher next time

22:59around too. Very fast growth, very

23:02interesting play. And sovereign AI is a

23:04huge deal and that's what is carrying

23:07this one as well. How high are we going?

23:09Probably back up to alltime highs, which

23:11is circa

23:15back 207. 207. Yep.

23:20You can also see the alltime high here.

23:21I forgot the little Chico. There's your

23:23207.52 alltime high down here. So that's

23:27Palanteer. Another beast Broadcom. This

23:30one got this right. I said this is the

23:32kill zone. Um down at I think it was 336

23:38337. We got a signal that the signal

23:41wasn't showing up, but now it does show

23:43up. The buy signal is heading back up to

23:46level five. It did fall below my little

23:48range box here a little bit. Um, but

23:51that's because of the AI pause. Freaked

23:54a lot of the AI companies out. Broadcom

23:57is changing the way they do stuff. Their

23:59financials weren't the strongest. It's

24:00probably my smallest of all my i13

24:03positions. It is the smallest of all my

24:05i13 positions, but it is an interesting

24:07company as well. Um, I should pull up.

24:10Hang on a second. Let me try to get the

24:12one-year target for Broadcom

24:16just so we have it so we know where

24:17we're going. And I'll add it to this,

24:19too.

24:21Um,

24:23I should have it in my head, but I can't

24:24remember all the numbers.

24:27Okay, we have

24:30target. Our target's not that high, by

24:32the way. So,

24:34the one-year target is

24:38520.

24:40All right. So to go to that one-year

24:42target from where we are today,

24:4846%. So if you're trading things like

24:50leaps, that's a good return. And adding

24:54165 bucks. So I'd look at the $300

24:57strike, 310, 320 strike, leap year,

24:59always buy some intrinsic value and then

25:02run with it. Good buy zone for Broadcom.

25:06Nothing but goodness in the future for

25:07those guys. Uh, I forgot to talk about

25:10copper last week, but it's kind of

25:12boring because I keep on saying this

25:13thing just makes new all-time highs. And

25:15here we are, another new all-time high.

25:18I have leaps on this that I bought, I

25:21think, last year. Uh, it makes up nearly

25:251% of my portfolio,

25:27which is bigger. My copper position is

25:29actually a lot bigger than my broad

25:31composition for perspective. Um, but

25:34here we are. Copper continues to crush.

25:37It continues to move up. And of course,

25:40the model needs to be uploaded because I

25:42didn't have this up.

25:44Let's go. Let's turn on. That's okay.

25:50There's probably never going to be a

25:51good buying opportunity for copper. If

25:53you look at just to draw a little line,

25:56you know, a little channel down here all

25:58the way down. Like if you see, so this

26:01thing will just be under constant

26:02accumulation and it's running out.

26:05Anytime you see copper hit this line

26:07like six bucks 50 or whatever and you

26:09don't have any currently it's seven

26:11bucks is nearly the alltime high check

26:15um it's worth getting a bit 6.94 cents

26:18six bucks 94 and uh had to replace some

26:22copper pipes in a property a few months

26:25ago and literally the guys had $35,000

26:31worth of copper pipes in the back of the

26:33truck and it was like I said, "You got

26:37to be careful with that. Don't park that

26:38anywhere if you're going to lunch or

26:39something cuz it'll be stolen." It's

26:41like carrying gold bars in the back of a

26:42pickup truck these days. And I remember

26:44how much copper you could buy for $1,000

26:4710 years ago. And believe me, it was

26:49about the same amount. So, nearly 4x in

26:52copper in 10 years. Okay, let's do some

26:54questions. Um, pilot, can you please

26:57look at GME? That's GameStop.

26:59Uh, I have had a lot of fun this year

27:02shorting Avis, by the way. That was a

27:03fun one. Let's check out GME. They have

27:06a little bit of a Bitcoin bag, but

27:08remember, you're playing with fire if

27:09you're playing with this thing. It is on

27:11the move. It's interesting. And hold on.

27:17Game up. Pop it in here.

27:20Some type of squeeze is happening.

27:23Uh, and yeah, I remember trading this

27:26back in the day.

27:30Interesting.

27:32What would I do here? It's telling you

27:33that it's running out of steam and it's

27:36doing it exactly at level two on the HR,

27:39which is $24.78.

27:41Would I buy here? No. Would I

27:43potentially short here? Maybe. I

27:45definitely would think about shorting if

27:46it got up to level three, which is 32

27:49bucks. So, that's GameStop. But be

27:51careful with that stuff. You're throwing

27:52money away. There's no point in

27:53investing in garbage companies. I tell

27:56you why I think it's a garbage company

27:58because the financials probably suck.

28:01They used to suck,

28:03but they probably still do. See, nothing

28:07but down, down, down, revenue down,

28:10revenue misses.

28:12Uh, well, they're profitable. That's

28:16interesting.

28:17Anyway,

28:19PE is 16. They must be making money

28:22somewhere now. It's interesting. So,

28:25yeah, maybe it's completely I remember

28:26this thing used to lose a fortune. Now,

28:29it's making money. So we'll see. Uh

28:32Anthony Australia, which indicator do

28:34you utilize doing these TAs on Trading

28:36View? So I use a bunch. It depends on

28:39the asset and the asset depends on the

28:41time frame. So and I use different lines

28:43and candles. Some respond better to than

28:46others. So if you take for example

28:48Bitcoin,

28:50I use optimized trend. That's kind of

28:53magical. H if I talk about Tesla, I am

28:57on optimized trend as well. I've got the

28:59ATR model running. Now, I show the ATR

29:03model because that makes it easier for

29:06people to understand the macro view of

29:07the actual asset. But when I'm trading,

29:11I go to the 4our and I use I turn this

29:16off and I open up the confluence model

29:20and the mean reversion model. So this is

29:25these these are my Bibles. And then they

29:27all have back tests which are extremely

29:30important. Show back test. True. Make

29:32sure the settings are here. That should

29:34be 60. LIFO 60. So I'm in LIFO zone.

29:40And then you can tell how much things

29:42are overbought or oversold. And even you

29:45have the same buy signal here firing on

29:47the 4hour and confluence. That's your

29:50gold. So when you turn on things like

29:53your back test. It's on bullish because

29:55I'm in a bullish zone right now.

29:57Actually, I should turn it on neutral.

30:02Now, it's a problem here. So, this

30:04because I haven't configured this for

30:05this one. Uh so, when you don't have the

30:09your back test settings in, you got to

30:11plug it in. Now, it should remember 60.

30:15Okay.

30:17and then

30:19do get some history to get some buys in.

30:24I should calculate something is

30:27not faring here. Hold on

30:30there. H that's better. Um so yeah, it

30:34depends. And then after you find a macro

30:38buy signal or you see something is

30:39oversold,

30:41you go from the 4 hour to the 1 hour and

30:42then I go to the five minute. And if you

30:44go to the five minute on something like

30:46SpaceX,

30:48it becomes very noisy but also very fun.

30:51But that's when you determine your

30:52striking point. So again, turn this off,

30:55turn this on, turn this on. This needs

31:00to be updated. We had a lot of updates.

31:03So right now, if you look at this five

31:05minute chart, this would tell me that

31:07SpaceX is very close to a buy here at

31:10148

31:11and we just came off 158. So it's full

31:14in $10. So that's what I do. I zoom ATR

31:18on the daily or the 12 hour to find out

31:20what's happening with an asset. Then I

31:22turn on IDs which is confluence immune

31:25reversion on the 4 hour and then I zoom

31:26into the 1 hour and then the 5 minute.

31:28That's my process. Anthony, hope that

31:30helps. Ala, what's the latest on LRCX?

31:33Yeah, this this one annoys me. I made a

31:36post on Patreon one night and I said

31:39lamb research is looking very

31:41interesting for me. and digging into it,

31:43it looks positive. Literally

31:46the next morning in pre-market, it

31:47started firing and I don't know who the

31:49hell is listening to what I'm saying,

31:51but it's really annoying. Um because it

31:55was down here and I said, "Well, I'm

31:56going to buy a single lamb research at

31:58260 and I think I'm going to get some."

32:01And it shot right up to 307 within a

32:03week. So, Lamb Research looking strong,

32:07but would I chase here? No. So, I'll

32:09wait and wait for it to come back down.

32:12But yeah, uh somehow you guys all front

32:14run me or somebody did. Somebody with

32:17big money saw it or maybe they saw the

32:19same charts I'm looking at. I don't

32:20know. It was very bizarre. Uh thoughts

32:23on Neptune Digital Assets. Neptune

32:25digital assets. Let me pull up my

32:30I've got an ARB calculator for it.

32:33I got to pull up my It's NDA in Canada,

32:36but I use the ticker MPPPTF.

32:38MPPPTF.

32:43And I got to check the NF premium,

32:46right? Wow. Oh my Whoa. That's

32:48interesting. It's literally trading at

32:535.97% under their asset value. They have

32:56420 Bitcoin. They have about 163,000

33:00shares of SpaceX. They have Salana,

33:0337,000 Salana. This This is interesting.

33:07SpaceX makes up 37% of their bag, which

33:10is funny. 37,000 Salana and SpaceX is

33:1237% of their bag. Let's look at the

33:14chart for Neptune. And I still have a

33:17Neptune position somewhere lying around.

33:20Uh, now I lost my mouse. There we go.

33:22Come back.

33:24So then we go into the top 200 and I go

33:31sort of go

33:35there you are Neptune. Yeah, this is

33:37falling out of grace big time.

33:41Fit it to the state of the screen.

33:45And if we look at five years, we had a

33:47great pop when we discovered it was a

33:50cool um proxy for both like literally

33:53Bitcoin, Salana, SpaceX.

33:57What else do they have in there?

34:00I think that's pretty much it. The old

34:01pieces that matter. Um there's 0.6% ETH,

34:05I think. But mo it's all Saul, SpaceX,

34:08and Bitcoin. But now the NAV premium is

34:11gone. It's now at a discount, which is

34:14crazy. So, this one is uh probably worth

34:17a flutter here. What you'd also do with

34:20this uh the majority of the bag is

34:22Bitcoin. They are 54% Bitcoin.

34:26So, if Bitcoin continues to rally,

34:28that's probably why I came off the

34:29bottom here 28 to 46 because Bitcoin

34:32rallied, they could do well. Or if

34:35SpaceX runs back to 200 plus, this will

34:38do well. It's a nice like I would much

34:41rather buy Neptune Digital over an ETF

34:45or a Socks index or something because it

34:48has three of my favorite things, SpaceX,

34:50Bitcoin, and Salana in one bag. Let me

34:54try pull up the uh my ARB model so you

34:57can see it too.

34:59Bear with me one second.

35:02Pull this over.

35:05Hang on a second.

35:11image file.

35:19All right, hold on.

35:26Takes a while.

35:32There it is. There's Neptune. And you

35:34can see the credit it's trading at.

35:36That's what it's made up of. Anyway,

35:39back to this. Neptune's good. Um, Fred

35:43Metal, ESLX is 50% down. It looks cheap.

35:47Remember, cheap isn't good. I have no

35:49idea what ESLX is, but we'll have a

35:51look. ESLX.

35:57What the hell is mild setex?

36:02ESLX.

36:04What is ESLX?

36:10I have no idea what it is.

36:14And they say

36:16eyewear giant. I don't do eyewear. I

36:19don't do retail. Cheap. Red flag.

36:24Let's see if we

36:27pa.

36:30It doesn't even show up in trading view.

36:32So, I don't know what it is. Uh, can we

36:35hear about Oracle, please? Oracle.

36:38Oracle I was very afraid of for a long

36:40time because I thought they were going

36:41to blow themselves up. If OpenAI went

36:44down, they take them with them. So,

36:47it's Where's my Oracle?

36:52Oracle is not in the top 200.

36:55Oracle, this could be the final one. We

36:58do.

37:00Um, one of my biggest regrets, and I

37:03said on Patreon I was going to short it

37:05way back here, I think, when they spiked

37:08up to 330. I was ready to short, but I

37:11was afraid of the AI revolution that I

37:14continue going. That was a huge mistake

37:15because it was the tearest short of my

37:17life and I missed it. I didn't do it. I

37:19was afraid. Uh, right now it's just I

37:23don't know. I worry about their debt.

37:26Very worried about their debt load. Um,

37:29always financials first. They are

37:31growing. They're making more margin on

37:34their compute. It's 97% utilized, but

37:39they got a lot of offbalance sheet

37:40financing, growing like a weed.

37:44Um,

37:46valuation cheap,

37:48but this is the problem. 169 billion in

37:51debt.

37:52Not good.

37:54So they do a lot more debt than they do

37:56revenue, which is always scary for me.

37:59You know, why why mess about with Oracle

38:01when you can just buy Micron or Marvel

38:04or SKHEX or ALAB or Tesla or SpaceX,

38:09etc. So K Coyote, skip it. There's so

38:13many good companies out there right now.

38:16Shoot anything here on this list. All

38:18right,

38:20that's some pairs in here too as well.

38:22circle. I did mention Circle Jerk in my

38:25little uh video yesterday. I said uh

38:28it's going to 130. Let's see what I was

38:31saying is circle's already in the list.

38:33Where is it?

38:38Circle, circle, circle. There it is.

38:42Week to day. But let's turn on the daily

38:46time frame.

38:48Get a macro feel for the asset. Turn on

38:51the ATR model.

38:55Turn on the back test. Very important.

38:58Always look at the back test. Back test.

39:00I spent my whole 1990s back testing

39:05trading models uh for ages. So, what I'm

39:08looking at here circle couple of things.

39:11One buy signal down here around 80 84

39:14bucks. Good time to buy under that level

39:16four level. I think it's easily going to

39:18level five to 107. And then after that

39:21130 up here. So I might as well draw

39:23that in because that is what I think

39:25we'll be at in a year.

39:29Okay. My one-ear target. Doom.

39:33I got to draw in some text too. So if we

39:35ever come back to it, we'll remember one

39:37year target circa

39:42September 2027 or earlier.

39:46Now, the reason I say that is they print

39:48money. Literally, they mint USDC and

39:50it's all minted on Salana

39:53and they will be making a lot of profits

39:55very soon. So, I think Circle's good.

39:58So, with that, my friends, I think we're

40:01at a wrap time. Thank you all for

40:03coming. I hope I hope I got everybody.

40:06Um, and a huge shout out to Buckhorn,

40:08Drock, Piper, Hale, Kayla. Appreciate

40:11you guys. And of course, Cypress,

40:12Sniper, Shundy, Teeny Tesla, Kate. Thank

40:15you all for coming. I hope you enjoyed

40:16the show and I hope you learned lots. So

40:19remember

40:20FA fundamental analysis is for for what

40:24but TA times your trades times when you

40:27enter what you enter at the layers you

40:29add and of course when you take profits

40:33I would be living in a box in the street

40:36if it wasn't for technical analysis.

40:38That's a fact. Thank you all. Bye-bye.