Full transcript
0:00In this Sunday morning NFL betting show,
0:04I'm going to go over two of my favorite
0:06NFL bets for you. Keep note that I have
0:10already put out one free play to the
0:12public, a video on my YouTube channel, a
0:15bet that I actually like in the NFL,
0:17which I'm not covering in this show. So,
0:18go watch that video before you put your
0:21NFL bets out today. I am Tokyo Brandon.
0:24I am a professional handicapper at
0:26wageralk.com.
0:28I'm going to give you my two best NFL
0:30bets besides the free play that I've
0:32already given out to the public on my
0:34YouTube channel.
0:36And I am number one in three of the last
0:39six years at Wager Talk among 33 cappers
0:42there. I have the most profit among all
0:44of them. I'm having technical
0:46difficulties, guys. I can't pull your
0:48comments up. I apologize, but I'm going
0:49to get into the chat and uh interact
0:52with you guys while I'm doing this
0:53video. Also, at the top of this hour,
0:56I'm going to do my live MLB betting show
0:58as well. So, I'm going to end this one
1:00rather quickly. Two bets for Sunday on
1:03top of the membersonly video that I gave
1:05out. Consider becoming a member to my
1:07YouTube channel because I've already
1:09given out a membersonly free play in the
1:12NFL as well. I've also given out a free
1:16college football play, which actually
1:18was for yesterday. Uh hopefully you
1:20joined me for yesterday's college
1:21football show. Uh, my college football
1:23totals are just ripping right now. So
1:26far in the NFL, I've been a little more
1:28conservative. I'm not losing, but I'm
1:30putting out much much fewer bets in the
1:32NFL, but today I have two that I really
1:35like along with the free play video that
1:37I've already put out on my YouTube
1:40channel. And I do have these handy dandy
1:42graphics. And if you looked at the
1:44thumbnail for this live show, you
1:46probably noticed that the first game is
1:48going to be the 49ers and the Cardinals.
1:52Oops. Whoa. No, no, no. What's going on?
1:56Let's do it like this. There we go.
1:58That's a little better. So, again, uh if
2:02you didn't know or if you're new to the
2:04channel, uh Tokyo Underbar Brandon is
2:07where I stream live Fridays, Saturdays,
2:10and Sundays. Uh I do Asian baseball, I
2:13do college football Saturday morning, I
2:15do NFL Sunday morning. And you can find
2:17all of those on X kick and YouTube at
2:20Tokyo Underbar Brandon. Tokyo Underbar
2:23Brandon is also my X handle. Uh on X, I
2:26put up a lot of uh player projections
2:28and things like that. Speaking of player
2:31projections, members to my YouTube
2:34channel, if you just click that join
2:36button down there, members get player
2:38projections for every NFL player every
2:40week, every game. members to my channel.
2:44If you are in the chat, let people know
2:46that the membership is valuable. It's
2:48only $9.95 a month. I am giving out free
2:52plays, at least two a week, and I'm a
2:53professional handicapper at
2:55wageralk.com, but I do not put out
2:58football and basketball at wageralk.com.
3:01I only do baseball there. So, all of my
3:03football, hockey, and basketball you
3:05will get right here on my YouTube
3:06channel. and members for $9.99 a month
3:10will get extra free plays. My premium
3:13free plays, not free, but my premium
3:16member plays. So, I do see you guys in
3:18the chat. Sorry, I can't pull your
3:20comments up. Uh, hang on. Let me get rid
3:22of these banners and we will get in what
3:26I like in this game. So, we got
3:29Cardinals and 49ers.
3:32The first play for this video is going
3:34to be the 49ers minus 8 and a half. I
3:38really like this play. Uh San
3:40Francisco's offense has been a lot more
3:42efficient through two games. They are
3:442-0 and they're averaging 31 points a
3:47game. Brock Pury is completing 80.4% of
3:50his passes and he's passing at 8.8 yards
3:53per attempt with five touchdowns. Um
3:56Arizona enters off a 31-7 loss to
3:58Seattle. Um,
4:01let's see. What else do we have here?
4:03Um, my model makes the fair spread. San
4:06Francisco minus 12 and a half. Um,
4:09that's about four points of cushion
4:11versus the minus 8 and a half. Um, I
4:15like - 8 and 1/2. I think Arizona is
4:17going to get trounced again. Arizona's
4:19secondary is a major concern here. Um
4:22Will Johnson is on injured reserve and
4:24Seattle just attacked that weekend group
4:26for 155 yards and three touchdowns. Uh
4:30Nigba by himself racked up those numbers
4:33and their secondary is just in tatters
4:36right now. San Francisco's offensive
4:38line has protected pretty extremely
4:40well. Arizona needs pressure to keep
4:42this competitive, but I don't think they
4:44can find that pressure in this game.
4:47They haven't shown it in the first two
4:50games. I don't think they're going to
4:51show it in game number three either. San
4:54Francisco can win this game without
4:56relying entirely on the passing game.
4:58Christian McCaffrey plus the secondary
5:00backs give San Francisco enough rushing
5:02balance to attack an Arizona defense
5:05that was also pushed around by Seattle.
5:08I expect more of the same here.
5:10Arizona's offense has not shown any
5:12consistency at all. I don't think
5:14they'll even be up for making a backdoor
5:17cover in this one. They scored only
5:19seven points last week. They struggled
5:21sustaining their drives once Seattle
5:24controlled the game. And I think San
5:25Francisco probably control this game
5:27rather early. San Francisco is already
5:30covered in the first two weeks of this
5:33season. They built early leads uh rather
5:36than needing late scores. I think that's
5:38what they do [music] here as well.
5:40Homefield is pretty important here
5:41because the game is at Levis's. Arizona
5:44has to deal with a healthy San Francisco
5:46pass rush, plus the crowd noise on
5:49longer yardage downs, and I expect the
5:51Cardinals to be in long yardage downs a
5:53lot in this game. [laughter] The 49ers
5:56defense has been good enough to force
5:57opponents into obvious passing
5:59situations. If Arizona falls behind 10
6:02or 14 points, Jacobe Brassette becomes
6:05much easier to defend. So, I expect San
6:08Francisco to jump out to an early lead
6:10and pretty much extend it with their
6:11power running game. So bottom line, San
6:16Francisco minus 8 is a great play in my
6:19opinion. The offensive defensive
6:21mismatch and Arizona's secondary issues.
6:24I really like San Francisco minus the 8
6:27and a half. So that is going to be the
6:28first free play for this live show.
6:31Thank you guys for being here. I really
6:33appreciate it. I can't pull your
6:34comments up, but I am interacting with
6:36you in the chat as you have seen.
6:40So, uh, become a member of my channel.
6:43As members get at least two free plays
6:47per week, and I'll probably give out
6:49more, uh, as baseball winds down. I'll
6:52be focusing on football, and we'll be
6:54giving a lot of free plays out. Uh, I
6:56already gave members two college
6:58football free plays last for yesterday's
7:01games. Uh, and I do have one NFL play up
7:05uh for the public, so go watch that one
7:08uh on my YouTube channel.
7:11Um, let's see. Let's get to the next
7:13game. Also, follow me, Tokyo Underbar
7:15Brandon. I will do Friday night live
7:19Asian baseball shows. I will do these
7:21Sunday morning NFL shows. And I will
7:24also do Saturday morning college
7:26football shows. Tokyo Underbar Brandon
7:28on X Kick and YouTube and on X. Uh
7:32follow me on X as I do give out uh stats
7:36and some funny little parodies as well.
7:38So my X is kind of a funny follow. So
7:41give me a follow there. Next game we're
7:43going to is the Titans and the Giants.
7:46Right now we're looking at the Giants
7:48minus three and we're looking at a total
7:51of 40 and a half. So how do we approach
7:55this one? Well, Giants just lost Jackson
7:58Dart, so they're going with Jame Jamus
8:00Winston. Um, Winston is a turnover
8:03machine and he's getting even older and
8:05he's turning it over even more. I like
8:08the Titans plus the three points. I
8:10might even be tempted to buy a half
8:12point and take them at three and a half.
8:14Um,
8:16Dart is set for season ending knee
8:17surgery. Jameus Winston is the Giants
8:20starter. That even makes the case even
8:22stronger. Um, I have Tennessee a slight
8:25favorite. I actually have them minus 1.8
8:27points in this game. Um, and that was
8:30even before Jameus Jameus uh Winston was
8:34the starting quarterback. So, uh, I'm
8:37getting 4.8 points of models to market
8:40separation. I like the Titans here. Um,
8:42they protected the football. Cam Ward
8:44has thrown 52 passes and he has no
8:46interceptions through two games. And
8:49that matters where the Giants will
8:51probably need short fields because their
8:53offense will be struggling to sustain
8:55drives.
8:57And the Giants pass rush has been almost
8:59non-existent through the first two games
9:01of the season. They have one sack in two
9:04games. That gives Ward a much better
9:06environment than expected for a young
9:08quarterback, and it makes Tennessee's
9:10passing game a lot more stable. New
9:12York's offense just managed six points
9:15and 182 total yards against the Rams and
9:19there was a lot of bickering on that
9:20sideline, guys. Um, that makes laying
9:22three points very difficult. Uh, they
9:24have not demonstrated a reliable scoring
9:27floor yet. Tennessee almost upset
9:29Philadelphia in week two and they
9:31covered the full touchdown spread. That
9:34suggests the 0 and2 record is worse than
9:36the actual current level of play. Tony
9:40Pard did run effectively in week two. He
9:42had 64 yards on 14 carries and a
9:45competent running game in this matchup
9:48will reduce Ward's burden. It'll give
9:50Tennessee a path to control the
9:52possession of the game. The Giants have
9:55allowed a touchdown on every red zone
9:58trip through two games for the opponent.
10:01Tennessee does not need huge yardage.
10:03They don't need to throw it all the way
10:04downfield. They just need to push it
10:05into the red zone with their running
10:08game. Uh if red zone conversion remains
10:11that poor defensively for the Giants, I
10:14expect Tennessee to be able to score
10:15quite a few points in this one. Um
10:17there's coaching familiarity in this
10:20game. Brian Dav is now Tennessee's
10:22offensive coordinator. He knows the
10:24Giants personnel and their defensive
10:26tendency. Many former Giants are also on
10:30Tennessee's roster. So be careful when
10:32that happens. usually you know the other
10:34team and uh that's not good for your
10:37prospects in this case for the Giants.
10:40Um I like plus three but I would buy a
10:43half point and take plus three and a
10:45half. It gives the most common
10:47one-scoring landing margin while uh c
10:50Tennessee is very capable of winning
10:51this outright in my opinion. I think
10:54Tennessee plus three and a half is a
10:56great bet in this one. So that's what
10:57I'm going to take. Let me summarize the
11:00show today and thank you guys for tuning
11:02in. I really do appreciate it. Um, sorry
11:05[snorts] I can't pull your comments up,
11:06but I am interacting with you. As you
11:09can see, I am multitasking today, guys.
11:11It's Sunday morning. At the top of the
11:13hour, I will be doing my MLB live show.
11:16Hopefully, I can get this glitch worked
11:18out before then. Uh, thank you guys for
11:21tuning in. Consider becoming a member of
11:23my channel as members get NFL
11:26projections for every player every game
11:28every week. The week three player
11:30projections win out before Thursday's
11:32game.
11:34Members in my chat, please let everyone
11:36know that your membership is paying off.
11:38I will be giving two or more free plays
11:42every single week for my members. I'm a
11:45professional handicapper at
11:46wageralk.com.
11:48Among 33 handicappers, I am number one
11:50in profit. three of the last six years
11:53and I have doubled the bankroll four of
11:56the last six years. So, I'm a pretty
11:57good guy to back. $9.99 is pretty cheap
12:01in my opinion. So, just click that join
12:04button and become a member of my
12:06channel. That will do it for this live.
12:08I know it's pretty short. Uh but I'm
12:10going to prepare for the baseball show.
12:12This is going to be the last baseball
12:13show of the season. I'm going to work
12:15this glitch out so I can pull your
12:17comments up for the baseball show. Guys,
12:19thank you for tuning in. and become a
12:21member. And if you don't want to become
12:22a member, hit the like and subscribe.
12:24I'm kind of a new channel, kind of
12:27starting out. So, if you would subscribe
12:28to my channel and build my
12:30subscribership, if that is a word, I
12:33would really appreciate it, guys. Thank
12:35you for your support. Thank you for
12:37always being there. Catch my baseball
12:39show at the top of the hour. I'll be
12:41right back. Thanks for watching, and I
12:43will be back with more. Let's cash some