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Polski Pakt Atomowy. Miliarderzy stawiają na SMR-y.

Good Times Bad Times Polska · 4,371 words · 20 min read

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0:01What do the creator of parcel lockers ,

0:03the owner of this bar , the founders of

0:04one of the most famous AI companies in

0:06the world , and the richest Pole have in

0:08common ? For several days now , one thing

0:11: a nuclear reactor . A group of Polish

0:13entrepreneurs representing

0:15approximately 6,070 billion złoty of

0:17private wealth . Including Rafał

0:19Brzoska , Krzysztof Pawiński , the

0:21creators of elevs , the owners of OSI

0:23ZPUE , and one of the founders of

0:25Virtual Poland , have decided to invest

0:28approximately half a billion złoty in

0:30the development of small-module nuclear

0:32energy . And this is only the Polish

0:34portion of a larger round of financing

0:36for Syntos Green Energy , Michał

0:38Sołow's company , which wants to

0:40develop SMRs , small modular reactors ,

0:42in Poland and other European countries .

0:46There's just one problem : this

0:47technology remains largely unproven

0:49commercially . There are only two SMR

0:52reactors currently operating in the

0:54world . And the first BWRX300 , exactly

0:56the type intended for Poland , is

0:58currently being built in Canada . Is

1:01this one of the most prominent examples

1:03of Poland catching up with the West ,

1:05where Poles aren't trying to copy

1:07solutions proven abroad but rather

1:09pioneer this still largely unproven

1:11technology ? Is nuclear Poland entering

1:13the game ? Let's find out . October is

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2:13This way , you don't have to wait for

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2:20free workshop . You choose the tires ,

2:22the service , and a convenient date , and

2:24then simply arrive for installation . So

2:26if you're planning to change your tires

2:28this fall , you don't have to wait for

2:30the first snow . Check out oponeo.pl .

2:33You'll find the link in the pinned

2:34comment . When we think of a nuclear

2:38power plant , we imagine huge cooling

2:41towers and a unit with a capacity of

2:43over 1,000 MW , built over a decade . The

2:47SMR Small Modular Reactor is an attempt

2:49to reverse this logic . Small because ,

2:52according to the International Atomic

2:54Energy Agency , its electrical capacity

2:56does not exceed 300 MW per unit . That's

2:58roughly one-third of a typical large

3:00unit . Modular because key components

3:02are to be manufactured in series in a

3:04factory and only assembled on the

3:06construction site . A classic nuclear

3:08power plant is largely a massive ,

3:10on-site construction project . In the

3:12SMR concept , most of the equipment and

3:14entire modules are to be standardized ,

3:17mass-produced in factories , transported

3:19to the site , and only then assembled .

3:21The physics themselves remain unchanged

3:23. Fission of uranium nuclei produces

3:25heat . The heat converts water into

3:27steam , and the steam turns the turbine .

3:29This is an attempt to transfer the

3:31logic known from the aviation and

3:33shipbuilding industries to nuclear

3:35energy . Fewer individual megaprojects ,

3:37more repeatable production .

3:39Theoretically , this means shorter

3:41construction times , less capital

3:43required for a single investment , and

3:45lower financial risk . However , this

3:47doesn't automatically translate into

3:49cheaper energy . A smaller reactor loses

3:51some of the economies of scale of a

3:53large power plant . The entire SMR

3:54economic model is therefore based on

3:56the assumption that mass production ,

3:59standardization , and shorter

4:00construction times will compensate for

4:02this loss . SMRs can utilize a wide

4:05variety of technologies . These include

4:08water-based , gas-based , liquid

4:10metal-cooled , and molten salt-based

4:12designs . The BWRX300 , co-developed by

4:16Syntos , belongs to the most

4:18conventional family : a boiling water

4:21reactor developed by GE Wernova Hitachi

4:23. Behind all this , then , lies great

4:26promise . Nuclear power is cheaper ,

4:29faster , and more predictable . Can it be

4:31fulfilled ? To understand the SMR craze ,

4:34we need to consider four forces driving

4:36the global energy sector today . The

4:38first is demand . After years of

4:40stagnation , the world once again needs

4:42more and more electricity . The

4:44International Energy Agency predicts

4:47that by 2030 , demand will grow by 3.6 %

4:49annually , half the rate of the previous

4:52decade . This growth was driven by

4:54industry , electric cars , air

4:56conditioning , and data centers , which ,

4:58thanks to the artificial intelligence

4:59boom , are expected to nearly double

5:01their energy consumption by the end of

5:03the decade . That's why tech giants are

5:05turning to nuclear power . Google signed

5:07a contract for energy from Chy Power

5:09reactors . Amazon invested in X Energy ,

5:13and Meta has contracted for 6.6 GW of

5:16nuclear capacity . At the same time ,

5:18countries are trying to reduce

5:20emissions and dependence on fossil

5:22fuels . Wind and photovoltaics are

5:24developing rapidly , but their

5:26production depends on weather

5:27conditions . Therefore , the value of

5:29sources capable of supplying energy

5:31regardless of the time of day is also

5:33growing . Nuclear power offers ideal

5:36low-emission and controllable

5:37production , while simultaneously

5:39limiting countries ' exposure to fossil

5:42fuel imports . The IA even speaks of the

5:44possible dawn of a new era of nuclear

5:47energy . The third , constantly growing

5:50factor is security . Russian gas and oil

5:52are largely disappearing from the

5:53market . The nuclear power plant has

5:55been blocked , and although it is slowly

5:57being reopened , it is unclear whether

5:59this will happen fully or for how long .

6:01All this accelerates the shift of

6:03countries towards renewable energy

6:05sources , but also towards energy

6:07stabilizers , for which SMRs are ideally

6:09suited . These are not only stable and

6:12nearly zero-emission , but also do not

6:14make us dependent on authoritarian

6:16states seeking to exploit dependencies

6:18for their own vested interests . The

6:21final incentive is money . Large blocks

6:24require enormous capital outlays , a

6:26lengthy investment process , and are

6:28associated with the risk of delays and

6:30cost overruns . SMR is an attempt to

6:32change this economics . The British

6:35Hinkley Point project was supposed to

6:37cost 18 billion pounds . Today , EDF

6:39estimates it at 35 billion , and the

6:42first unit won't be operational until

6:442030 at the earliest . France's

6:47Flamanville 3 was completed over 12

6:49years late , and the cost has quadrupled

6:51. A smaller unit can potentially be

6:55more easily financed , built in stages ,

6:57and additional modules added as demand

7:00grows . Standardization and a greater

7:04share of factory production are

7:05expected to shift the nuclear economy

7:08from economies of scale to economies of

7:10series , benefiting from producing

7:12successive identical reactors . Lower

7:16capacity also opens up new locations

7:18where a gigawatt reactor would be too

7:21large . Industrial plants , smaller power

7:24systems , and areas formerly slated for

7:26closure of coal-fired power plants —

7:28all of which are abundant in Poland .

7:31These locations offer relatively easy

7:33utilization of existing connections ,

7:35infrastructure , and workforce skills .

7:38Furthermore , SMRs can provide not only

7:40electricity but also industrial heat .

7:43The Nuclear Energy Agency estimates

7:45that by 2050 , as much as 450 GW of

7:47existing coal-fired capacity could be

7:50located in locations particularly

7:52promising for nuclear transition . The

7:55catch is . Most of these promises are

7:59still only on paper , as only two SMs

8:01currently deliver electricity to the

8:03grid , and neither is located in the

8:06West . The first is the Russian

8:09Lomonosov Akademi power plant , which

8:11has been powering the Arctic town of

8:14Pevek since 2020. The second is in

8:16China , where a high-temperature reactor

8:19( HTRM ) has been operating commercially

8:21since the end of 2023. Beijing is close

8:24to another success . Linglong One on

8:27Heinnan Island is expected to be the

8:29world's first commercial land-based SM ,

8:31although the deadline for the first

8:33half of 2026 has passed without a

8:35confirmed launch . In the West , the

8:38first reactor is being built in

8:40Darlington , Canada , on Lake Ontario .

8:42The first BWRX300 has been under

8:44construction since 2025. This is the

8:47same reactor that Polish Syntos Green

8:49Energy plans to build . It is scheduled

8:51to start operating in 2030. In the

8:53United States , Terra Power is building

8:55a natrium reactor in Wyoming , and at

8:57the end of September , state-owned TVA

8:59received a permit for the first

9:01American BWRX300 . In general , SMRs

9:04remain primarily a market in the

9:06transition phase from design to actual

9:08implementation , but the scale of

9:10interest is enormous . The OECD Nuclear

9:13Energy Agency's latest dashboard

9:16already tracks 156 SMR and microreactor

9:19projects , 95 of which are undergoing

9:22detailed assessments , including

9:24licensing , location , financing , supply

9:27chain , and fuel . The World Nuclear

9:31Association , in turn , counts over 70

9:33specific implementation projects and 50

9:36previous agreements and preparatory

9:38initiatives . In Europe , the game is

9:40just beginning . Ryce-Royce won tenders

9:42in the UK , the Czech Republic , and

9:44Sweden . Romania has made investment

9:46decisions for NSCALE reactors , and

9:48Estonia and Poland are preparing

9:50projects for the BWRX 300. And speaking

9:53of Poland , why do SMRs seem such an

9:55attractive destination , especially for

9:57Poland ? In Poland , the argument for

9:59SMRs overlaps with the exceptionally

10:01difficult starting point of the

10:03transition . As recently as 2025 ,

10:05approximately 52 % of electricity came

10:08from coal , with around 29 % from

10:11renewable energy sources and 13 % from

10:13gas . This is still a success , because

10:16just 10 years ago , 80 % of our

10:18electricity came from coal . At the same

10:20time , old coal-fired units will

10:22gradually be phased out of the system ,

10:24and the growing share of wind and

10:26photovoltaics increases the need for

10:27stable sources that operate regardless

10:29of the weather . A large nuclear power

10:31plant is only part of the answer . The

10:33first unit in Lubiatów Kopalino is

10:36scheduled to be operational in 2036 ,

10:38and the entire plant will cost

10:40approximately 192 billion złoty . In

10:43theory , SMRs complete this puzzle . They

10:46seem attractive due to their size and

10:48functionality , complementing the

10:49infrastructure Poland already has . A

10:51300 MW reactor could potentially be

10:53located near decommissioned power

10:55plants , utilizing existing connections ,

10:58industrial land , and , to some extent ,

11:00staff and infrastructure . Polish

11:02industry and heating also contribute to

11:04this . The reactor can produce stable

11:06electricity and heat for large plants ,

11:09limiting their exposure to gas , coal ,

11:11and CO2 prices . Therefore , in Poland ,

11:14SMRs are not intended solely as smaller

11:16nuclear power plants , but also as

11:18potential replacements for parts of the

11:20coal-fired infrastructure and a source

11:22of energy for industry . And here enters

11:24the scene Michał Sobow , born in Kielce

11:27in 1962. For years , he has been one of

11:30the richest Poles . Forbes estimates his

11:33fortune at over 27 billion złoty . He

11:35started in the 1980s with a small trade

11:38and construction company . Over time , he

11:40built one of the largest private

11:42industrial and investment groups in

11:43Poland . Echo investment Cersani de

11:46Barlinek . And in his spare time , he

11:48races . The heart of his empire , however

11:50, is chemistry . Syntos , based in

11:52Oświęcim , is one of the world's

11:54largest producers of synthetic rubber .

11:56Its raw material is used to make every

11:58fourth tire in the world , and chemistry

12:00primarily involves energy , electricity ,

12:02and steam , which for years have been

12:03generated from coal . Why did Słowo

12:06establish Syntos Green Energy in 2018 ?

12:09That same year , wholesale electricity

12:11prices in Poland jumped by 70 % . At that

12:14time , Syntos's energy sources were

12:17approximately 85 % coal-based . CO2

12:20emission allowances were becoming more

12:22expensive , and some of the plant's old

12:24energy sources had to be decommissioned

12:26in subsequent years . Sołowo stated

12:28openly that nuclear power was the only

12:30rational alternative to producing cheap

12:32energy in an ecological and safe manner

12:35. A year later , the businessman

12:37announced an agreement with Gich

12:39Hitachi regarding the BWR300 reactor ,

12:41becoming the first Polish private

12:43investor to invest in a fleet of SMRs .

12:45The calculation was simple . Whoever has

12:48their own , cheap , and emission-free

12:50energy source wins in the global market

12:52. Importantly , and as Sołowo often

12:54emphasizes , Syntost is not the only

12:56customer of Hitachi and its BWRX

12:58reactors . The company entered early and

13:01boldly enough to become a co-owner of

13:03this technology , which it co-financed

13:05and controls 17 % . The problem , however ,

13:09was that even a billionaire on a Polish

13:11scale couldn't build such a power plant

13:13alone . Sołowo sought partners . In 2021

13:16, he reached an agreement with Zygmunt

13:18Solorz and his Z Pack , and shortly

13:20thereafter with state-owned Orlen .

13:23Orlen was a natural partner for Syntos .

13:26The largest company in this part of

13:28Europe , it was also focused on energy

13:30reform . In June 2021 , the two companies

13:34signed a cooperation agreement on SMRs ,

13:36and a year later , Orlen Syntos Green

13:39Energy was established , controlled 50 %

13:42each by Orlen and Syntos Green Energy .

13:44Syntos contributed , among other things ,

13:46exclusivity for the use of the BWRX 300

13:49technology in Poland , a project

13:51development team , and previously

13:52completed technical and economic

13:54analyses . Orlen provided adequate

13:56capital . Initially , the project

13:58developed rapidly . In 2023 , OSGE

14:00identified the first locations , and the

14:03Ministry of Climate issued six

14:06decisions in principle covering a total

14:09of 24 BWRX 300 reactors . However , these

14:11decisions were made despite a negative

14:13opinion from the Internal Security

14:15Agency ( ABW ) regarding the investment's

14:17impact on the country's internal

14:18security . The details of this opinion

14:20remained confidential . Then , the

14:22government changed , and Orlen changed .

14:24The new management board , led by CEO

14:26Ireneusz Funfaro , recognized that the

14:28agreement was unfavorable for the

14:30company . The argument : Orlen brings in

14:32more money but has just as much say .

14:34Furthermore , OSGE can only build the

14:37SMyr reactors using BWRX300 technology ,

14:40and must pay the license fee to

14:42Sołowow's company . Fonfara claims that

14:44the partner should earn money with

14:46Orlen , not from Orlen . The other side

14:48counters that the state-owned company

14:50is slowing down the project . The

14:52dispute concerned the principles of

14:54control over the joint company ,

14:56decision-making methods , the financing

14:58model , and later also who would manage

15:00specific investments . The dispute over

15:02the first reactor also became symbolic .

15:05Syntos was more advanced in the Monów

15:07ponds at its Oświęcim plant . Orlen ,

15:09on the other hand , pointed to

15:11Włocławek . By August of last year , it

15:13seemed a compromise had been reached .

15:16The parties announced their first major

15:17agreement . Shareholder rights were

15:19equalized . A rotational system was

15:21introduced for OSGE's management and

15:23steering committee . The company was

15:25granted direct access to the standard

15:28BWRX300 design , and Włocławek was

15:30designated as a priority location . " We

15:33spent over a year negotiating the terms

15:36to secure Orlen's interest , " Fonfara

15:38said at the time . " However , in the

15:41following months , the dispute persisted

15:43, and OSGE briefly faced liquidity

15:45crunch until October 1 , 2026 , when

15:47Solovyov announced in an interview that

15:50he had reached an agreement with Orlen ,

15:52though he quickly added that he

15:54regretted ever starting the project

15:56with Orlen . Why did he regret it ?

15:59Because from the outset , he declared

16:01that he preferred a venture based on

16:03private capital without the state

16:05bureaucracy and changes in power . In

16:08his opinion , the entry of a state-owned

16:10company politicized the project , making

16:12it difficult to implement it as a

16:14long-term business venture . This is , of

16:16course , Solovyov's own assessment .

16:18Orlen previously argued , to the

16:20contrary , that the months-long

16:21renegotiation was necessary precisely

16:23to properly secure the company's

16:25interests . The private investor wanted

16:27momentum , and perhaps he had recently

16:30found it . " On September 30th , in an

16:32article with the telling title " Atomic

16:35Alliance of Polish Billionaires , " the X

16:37YZ news portal reported that a group of

16:39entrepreneurs behind some of the most

16:42recognizable Polish companies had

16:44decided to join Syntos Green Energy .

16:46These include Rafał Brzoska , CEO and

16:48founder of Inpost ; Krzysztof Pawiński

16:51and his family , founder of the food

16:53giant Muspex ; Mati Staniszewski and

16:55Piotr Dąbkowski of Eleven Labs ;

16:57Michał Wypychewicz of ZPUE ; Dariusz

16:59Gałęzewski and Dominik Doliński of

17:02OSI ; Michał Brański , founder of the

17:04WP group ; and Bruno Weichert of Strike

17:07Capital . The estimated value of these

17:09individuals ' assets well exceeds PLN 30

17:11billion , most of which is owed to the

17:13two from Eleven Labs , thus doubling

17:15Sławów's potential . These investors

17:18have collectively decided to contribute

17:20approximately half a billion in private

17:22capital . However , these funds are going

17:24to Synthos Green Energy , not the

17:26consortium affiliated with Orlen .

17:28Sołowow stated at the time that the

17:30best verification is not declarations ,

17:32but the decision to commit one's own

17:34capital . Moreover , this 500 million

17:37euro is only a fragment of a larger

17:39round . According to Syntos Green Energy

17:41, the company has raised around 400

17:43million euros so far , and its goal is

17:45to raise around 800 million euros by

17:47the end of this year , or around 3.5

17:49billion złoty . Among the foreign

17:51investors is G Wernova itself , which is

17:53expected to invest around 100 million

17:55euros . This money doesn't yet finance

17:57the construction of a dozen or so power

17:59plants . In any case , it primarily

18:01finances the developer in the most

18:03expensive and risky phase of project

18:05preparation , before bank financing can

18:08be secured for specific power plants .

18:10Sołowo claims that the first 800

18:12million euros is intended to give SGE

18:15only a 1.5 to 2 - year runway . Only after

18:17that will another equity round and debt

18:19financing follow . In his opinion , it's

18:22too early for debt financing , as banks

18:24don't yet have a bankable project to

18:26hedge their bets on . Further risk

18:28mitigation and CFDs are needed , among

18:30other things . SGE could debut on the

18:33stock exchange around 2028. According

18:38to Sołowo , construction of SGE's first

18:40reactor in Poland , in the Monów Ponds ,

18:43could begin then . Thirty-four years

18:45later , this one would be ready . The

18:48ambitions are enormous , described by

18:50the Kielce businessman as a project

18:52worth around $ 200 billion . Where did

18:55such abstract figures come from ? Recall

18:57that Syntos co-financed the development

18:59of the BWRX 300 and holds the rights to

19:01this technology in some Central

19:03European markets . It also holds the

19:04rights to so-called deployment in the

19:06US . Following Słobów's words , Syntos

19:09Green Energy wants to build 26 SMRs in

19:12Poland , 62 in Central Europe , and as

19:14many as 90 more broadly across Europe .

19:17Anyway , let's give the stakeholder

19:19their say . We

19:20>> can't wait either . Listen , in 2032 , the

19:23likely gap in the baseload will be 5 GW

19:26. We have to do this . This is truly

19:29everyone's business . Are you conducting

19:31this interview ? What if there was

19:32simply no power at this time ? Well ,

19:35listen , this is a real prospect . This

19:38year in Warsaw , there were five days

19:40when the system considered shutting

19:41down trams and the metro . It was very

19:44hot , people were using air conditioning

19:46, and the transmission grids were

19:47simply overheating . We have a very

19:50significant problem to solve as Poland .

19:54We have a prehistoric energy mix , we

19:56have very high energy prices , and this

19:58is our opportunity , in a sense . By

20:02changing this radically , we will become

20:04truly competitive and will remain

20:06competitive for the next 60 to 80 years

20:08. Orlen will build two SMs , perhaps if

20:12things go well , they will build six . We

20:17will build 26 in Poland , 62 in Central

20:20Europe , and 90 in Europe . That's the

20:25scale . I hope that thanks to the

20:29involvement of private capital , and

20:30also through the involvement of debt ,

20:32we will be able to radically change the

20:34energy mix without burdening the state .

20:38Furthermore , Sławowow said that within

20:41a week , Sentas Green Energy is expected

20:43to sign an agreement with an

20:44as-yet-undisclosed partner interested

20:46in building as many as six BWRX 300s on

20:48the site of the old coal-fired power

20:50plant . For SGE , something we discussed

20:54earlier means primarily reducing

20:55dependence on a single capital partner

20:57and confirming that Sołowo is trying

20:59to transform the project into a much

21:01broader investment platform . In

21:04September , SGE signed a memorandum of

21:06understanding with GE Vernova , Hitachi ,

21:08and Samsung CNT regarding the

21:10implementation of the BWR300 in Europe ,

21:12Central and Eastern Europe , and the

21:14United Kingdom . The company therefore

21:17aspires to move from being Orlen's

21:18junior capital partner to a regional

21:20technology company that sells reactors

21:22in multiple markets , although the risk

21:24remains significant . That's why Słowo

21:27is so keen to involve many renowned

21:29Polish businessmen in the project , who ,

21:31in addition to providing money , also

21:33contribute to the Polish SMs ' image ,

21:35reputation , and prestige . At the same

21:38time , this doesn't mean Orlen will be

21:39sidelined from the Polish project .

21:41Orlen Syntos Green Energy , a joint

21:43venture between Orlen and SGE , will

21:45continue to build the reactors in

21:47Poland . In February 2026 , OSGE signed

21:50an agreement with Gvernova Hitachi to

21:52develop a Polish generic BWRX 300

21:54design , a single documentation that

21:57could later be replicated at other

21:59locations . The company also applied for

22:02a contract for difference for 14

22:04reactors at three sites , the first part

22:06of a program ultimately encompassing 26

22:09units . Taken together , this is simply

22:12good news for the Polish nuclear power

22:14industry . Poland's large nuclear power

22:16plant is moving forward with state

22:18funding , because there's no other way .

22:20On September 23 , 2026 , Polish Nuclear

22:22Power Plants ( PKN ) and the Westing

22:24House Bechtel consortium agreed on the

22:26main commercial terms of the EPC

22:28contract , namely contracts for the

22:30design , supply , and construction of the

22:33power plant . Meanwhile , SMRs have

22:35previously been held hostage by

22:36private-sector bickering . Now , not only

22:39have Orlen and Syntosem reached an

22:41agreement , but the entire project has

22:43received perhaps the most promising

22:45pillar , based solely on private , and

22:47largely Polish , capital . Does this

22:49conclude the history of Polish SMRs ? In

22:51fact , it's just beginning . We're still

22:54in the very early stages and still at a

22:56high-risk stage . And that's precisely

22:59why this is one of the most intriguing

23:01things in history . We often look for

23:03places where Poland can catch up with

23:05the West . SMRs present a textbook

23:07example here , an example still under

23:10construction . This is a technology that

23:12, if successful , could give pioneers an

23:14advantage over their rivals . It's a

23:16technology tailored to current energy ,

23:18transformation , and geopolitical

23:20challenges . We have a group of

23:23entrepreneurs representing

23:24approximately 70 billion złoty of

23:26private wealth investing in Polish SMRs

23:28. After all , we have a technology

23:31partially owned by a Polish entity . And

23:35we haven't even mentioned another

23:37central problem : data centers , which

23:38are certainly on the minds of even the

23:40founders of Labs . Will it succeed ? It's

23:44unclear , but one thing is certain .

23:47Today , this project has set a new

23:49milestone . Channel partners include KFD

23:54, a Polish manufacturer of dietary

23:56supplements and functional foods , the

23:59XTB investment app , and oponeo.pl .

24:02Change your tires for better ones in 24

24:05hours . Pstryk , the cheapest electricity

24:07supplier with dynamic prices and access

24:09to the mobile app . We thank our patrons

24:13for their support . We also inform you

24:16that the first GTBT Ukraina translator ,

24:18Serchi , currently serving in the

24:20Ukrainian Air Force , has launched a

24:22fundraiser to build shelters for

24:23Ukrainian unmanned systems against

24:25Russian long-range drones . Despite our

24:29differences , the overarching goal

24:31continues to unite us : stopping Russian

24:33imperialism .

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