Full transcript
0:00Hello everybody and welcome back to the
0:02overlap breakdown channel. Today we are
0:04here to cover the Manchester derby which
0:05has been lost by Manchester United one
0:07gold to nil at Old Trafford to
0:09Manchester City. Uh I'm absolutely
0:11fuming. My head is kettled. Um yeah,
0:14been a bad morning, bad 24 hours. Thank
0:17you for everyone before we get in before
0:18we get into what happened last night. Uh
0:20thank you for everyone who g me loads of
0:22love, appreciation, support off the back
0:24of the preview piece that we did on the
0:26overlap and obviously the preview piece
0:27that we did on this. it all got scrapped
0:29and put in the bin because folding
0:31kicked someone. Uh, and it changed the
0:33entire game and we're going to explain
0:35to you how that was the case and why it
0:38actually made it a harder game for
0:40Manchester United playing against 10.
0:42Um, so yeah, if you do enjoy the pieces,
0:43please do not forget to like, comment,
0:44and subscribe. I know this is going to
0:45be a rough record for the United fans
0:47who are watching this, but uh just stay
0:49with me. I'll try and uh try and go
0:51through some things, but you won't feel
0:52better after this. I'm not going to lie
0:53to you. [laughter] So yeah. Um, so just
0:58to take it on to the game, I mean, I've
0:59said this a couple of times already in
1:01the previews and stuff, but I did not
1:03think he was going to start Benjamin
1:04Cesco in this game, and he didn't start
1:06Benjamin Cesco in this game. And what
1:08they were actually trying to do,
1:09Manchester United, in the first bits of
1:10the game was to play this box midfield
1:12with two more mobile nines drifting in
1:14here to overload, as we said in the
1:16preview piece, this threeman of
1:18Manchester City in here. And if I just
1:20push this up onto um onto Manchester
1:23United shape, I've got some screenshots
1:25to show you later um of what Manchester
1:27United were trying to do. Uh from this
1:30position, they were actually using um
1:32inbuilo to come and stand a little bit
1:34more narrow to bring Josco Gavardio in.
1:36That meant Ruben Diaz had to push up and
1:38it just created a little bit more
1:39balance or unbalance in Manchester
1:41City's back line. Dalow was actually
1:43being the one who was pushing all the
1:45way down the right hand side and bloody
1:47hell, that didn't work. Um, so was then
1:50coming down and playing pretty much as a
1:52left back to cover that overload and it
1:53meant we just had a lot of space here.
1:55There's a lot of nice chances where we
1:56combined through the middle. Uh, and in
1:58the first 20 minutes, Manchester United
1:59were pretty decent. I've got a graphic
2:01on your screen that just shows um sort
2:04of the stats through the game through
2:06the 0 to 23 minutes. So just uh before
2:09fold and dread card, we can see we're
2:10tied on expected goals. We have more
2:12shots shot on target compared to City's
2:14none. We had three to five in terms of
2:16touchs in the opposition's box. Uh
2:18passing accuracy was decent. Successful
2:19passes pretty much on the same passes
2:21played into the box pretty much the same
2:22as City. Jewels won five to City 13.
2:25Pretty even game. I think what you saw
2:28in them first moments were Manchester
2:30United actually looking like, you know,
2:32they were going to do this thing where
2:33they dropped someone off the center
2:34line, try and play through the middle,
2:35and use the counterattacks from the
2:37wingers uh to come in behind. And I'm
2:39not really going to spend too much time
2:41talking about them first 23 minutes
2:43because it it was all irrelevant. Um, we
2:46genuinely I thought we were in the game.
2:47I thought we were in the game. The game
2:48was playing out as exactly I was
2:50expecting it to with the with the two
2:52more mobile nines uh combining. I've got
2:54an example on your screen just to show
2:56you what that um what these what we were
2:58actually trying to do and why it was
3:00working up until the red card in my
3:02opinion. So when the ball goes back to
3:04Martinez in the build, we can see it
3:06right here. We can see that Manchester
3:07City are pressing in that 442. Now you
3:09can see the question that is being asked
3:12of Marcus Rashford and Ruben Diaz here.
3:14We're talking about that more mobile
3:16nine stepping off the line. Ruben Diaz
3:17has to go into midfield. It's a lot
3:19harder for Ruben Diaz to jump out that
3:21back line if he's got Brian and Bumo
3:23spinning in behind. And you can see that
3:24on this picture right here. It's a
3:26really, in my opinion, sensible setup
3:28from Michael Carrick in the first, you
3:30know, 15 20 minutes of the game. Plays
3:32on and then when it plays on, you can
3:34see that box in midfield that we've got
3:35right there. Uh Sami Sammy Lemons goes
3:38along to Marcus Rashford. Marcus
3:39Rashford then wins this duel against
3:41Ruben Diaz getting that man-to-man.
3:43Flicks it on to Brian Inbumo. And then
3:44we run down the pitch and this is where
3:46Marcus Rashford's fouled on five minutes
3:48for the free kick that Manchester United
3:49had. And this was one of, you know, a
3:51few moments that Manchester United had
3:54in the game that were were decent. I
3:55mean, I've got this example here.
3:57Manchester City playing in that 3-16 as
3:59we uh analyzed it in the preview. The
4:01ball loss comes from Phil Foden. We also
4:03said he was pressable in the preview.
4:04Manchester United counterattack through
4:06the uh through the space right here. And
4:08then Ka takes the most stupid shot from
4:11this angle on your screen right now as
4:12you can see. And you'll you'll realize
4:14that a lot of the attacking decision-
4:16making in this game throughout all these
4:17pictures that we're going to go on to
4:18speak about were awful. Like the the
4:21attacking decisions from the fullbacks
4:22and the the 10s, everyone was just so
4:25poor. Like unbelievably poor. And this
4:28was one of very many of them from
4:30Matteas Ka. Um, so yeah, I just thought
4:33in general, decent start to the game.
4:35Let's see how we get on. Few missed
4:37chances. Maybe it'll scrub out. Maybe
4:38United, maybe United will get up for it.
4:41Then, um, Phil Foden got sent off. And
4:43to be honest, um, you could actually
4:46come away from this match saying that
4:47Phil Foden was Manchester City's best
4:49player because what he did was
4:50completely change how the game was
4:52played out. I mean, Moresca said it
4:54himself. Moresca said, "Phil Foden's red
4:56card didn't just change the game for us,
4:58but it also changed it for Man United
4:59because they are very good in transition
5:01and attacking space in behind. The game
5:03became more difficult for them." When I
5:05say Foden was Manchester City's best
5:07player, like I'm not joking. I've got a
5:08stat on your screen right now.
5:10Manchester United when they have had 55%
5:12or more of the ball since the start of
5:14the last season. We have played 20
5:17games. We have won seven, drawn seven,
5:21and lost six. where Man United have had
5:2440% or less possession, they have played
5:2710 and won every single one of them
5:30games.
5:32That is ridiculous. Like honestly, when
5:34I looked at this, that is a joke. So
5:36that's that's from August 2025.
5:39Like that is a joke. Um
5:43like I really don't know what to say
5:44about that. And that therefore changed
5:46the game. I think Man United finished
5:47the game on 54% possession. So, they're
5:50actually in between them two um them two
5:52parameters. But that just shows you what
5:54Manchester United had to try and do.
5:56Come out and play with the ball. And
5:58then when Foden got sent off, and I'll
5:59just show you what it looks like when
6:01Manchester City had to, you know, sit in
6:02a little bit more. And I'm not going to
6:04lie, Manchester United did not control
6:05the game. I mean, I'm talking about him
6:07having uh 44% possession. That's not
6:09really controlling the game. Let's be
6:11honest, it's not controlling the game.
6:13But I often made this point under Ruben
6:15Amarin that Manchester United can't hold
6:17the ball. And it was because of the
6:19platforming of the fullbacks, the wing
6:21backs, because what you end up is in the
6:23final third, you end up with Dallow
6:25holding the width on the right and Daru
6:26holding the width on the left. And they
6:28are not good width holders. I've said
6:29this a lot. Daru maybe if he's playing
6:31left back, yes, with maybe someone
6:33tucked inside, but in this game, we
6:35played that mobile front three that we
6:38were all talking about. The difference
6:39is the lineup that was put out by
6:42Michael Carrick was to take advantage of
6:44what Manchester City were trying to do
6:45against us at 11 v11. When the game
6:48state changed when it went down to 10
6:51men for Manchester City, what did they
6:53do at Halime? They reacted. They took
6:56Churkey off putting GI on who was a
6:58harder worker off the ball and a better
7:00transitional threat. and Moresca reacted
7:03to the game and it was a difference in
7:05class for me that Michael Carrick took
7:07till the 68th minute to sub Benjamin
7:09Cesco on after Manchester United went 1
7:11nil down as soon as City got the red
7:14card we had 15 to 20 minutes after the
7:16red card where we were sat around the
7:18box Daloo on the right side on the left
7:20side everyone else in the middle trying
7:22to lob balls in behind to Dowo was
7:24running in the box and Bumo running in
7:26the box but everyone else is just sat on
7:27the end so when it pushed up into the
7:29final third you had This inbumo inside
7:32Dalow outside mobile 9 ka there not
7:36really penetrating the box Bruno
7:38somewhere in there Rashford somewhere in
7:40there dog on the outside you had
7:42Tielemans Kobby Maguire Landro Martinez
7:47and it looked like this I've got a
7:49picture on your screen to show you
7:51exactly what it looked like. So right
7:53you can see there on your screen right
7:54now this is what it looks like. This is
7:56how it changed so much for Manchester
7:58United. You can see in this picture, for
8:00some reason, Rashford's on the right
8:02side and Dalow's now inside the pitch.
8:05So, it's just awkward structural, you
8:06know, changes. And you can see we've
8:08only got two center halfs, two sitting
8:10midfielders in front of it. I mean, we
8:12get a decent chance from this. I mean,
8:13but it's Marcus Rashford who plays it
8:15down to down to Dallow. But if you just
8:17look at the pitch that we're playing out
8:18right now, the ball's coming inside from
8:20Marcus Rashford. It's going to be an in
8:22an an outswinging ball, sorry, from the
8:23right hand side right foot. Someone's
8:26making a run across the face of the
8:27defender, but we've got no focal point
8:28in the box. And to be honest, the lack
8:32of changes was massive in this game. I
8:34mean, Benjamin Cesco was the most
8:37obvious sub at Halime you could have
8:38made. Matteas Kuna, Brian Bumo, Marcus
8:41Rashford, Bruno Fernandez as a front
8:43four aren't good against a deeper
8:45sitting defense. And they did that. They
8:48sat off against us. And if I just show
8:50you sort of um even though even though
8:52Manchester City went down to uh 10 men,
8:55we still had counterattacks. Believe it
8:57or not, in this game, Manchester City
8:58still held a decent amount of the ball.
9:00I said to be I said before uh uh 54%
9:03possession Man United had. So it wasn't
9:05all Man United with, you know, with
9:07small space always. Maybe towards the
9:09end of the game, it was. But look at
9:11this on your screen. This is 38 minutes
9:13in against Manchester City. They've got
9:15the red card. They're bringing the ball
9:16out the back. Manchester United somehow
9:18get played through, but then we win the
9:20ball in defense and you think we're
9:21going to transition. We transition and
9:24it's 5v4 in this example on your screen.
9:27It's 5v4. What does Bruno Fernandez do?
9:30We're talking about attacking decision-
9:31making. He puts one in rose head from a
9:33from a crossing position and it's just
9:36mindbogglingly bad what was going on and
9:38the decision- making. And before I've
9:40not even mentioned this, we all know we
9:42got the fastest PGM L apology of all
9:45time. We all know it was a dislow goal,
9:47right? And I'm not I'm not excusing. I'm
9:49not running over that. I've said this
9:50multiple times. The decision cost us a
9:52point. The performance cost us three
9:54points. That is the reality of the
9:56situation last night. We did not play
9:58well enough to win the game. But if they
10:00take the goal off momentum, whatever. If
10:02you if you take the goal off, we
10:04probably get a point in the game. Still
10:05wasn't good enough. And to be honest, it
10:07is gutting that they took three and they
10:09got all the they got all the praise for
10:10it and stuff like that. And we do know
10:12it wasn't. We know factually it was a
10:14wrongly given goal. We know that. But
10:17the reality of the situation is we
10:18didn't do enough to win the game. We
10:20didn't do enough to force the game, you
10:22know. So yeah, it's really really poor.
10:26But I've got to show you the bitter city
10:29praise. Believe me, this is hard for me
10:31to do. Um why Mesca changed Turkey and
10:35why this effectively won them the game.
10:37So this is at 31 minutes. On your screen
10:39right now, you can see the structure
10:41that Manchester United have now moved
10:42into. We mentioned it before. We've got
10:44the two center halfs, two sitting
10:45midfielders in front, fullbacks holding
10:47the width, and you can see that when the
10:48ball is worked out to the right hand
10:50side. This is a chance that actually
10:51Marcus Rashford had. Bruno Fernandez
10:53receives it in this little left pocket
10:55here. So, if you can imagine that Marcus
10:56Rashford's trying to make a little run
10:58in behind. Churkeyy's come all the way
11:00back, but the press from Churkey is way
11:03too delayed. He's not intense enough off
11:05the ball. And this is 31 minutes with 10
11:07men. Bruno Fernandez smashes a right
11:10good ball into Marcus Rashford. Marcus
11:12Rashford touched just a little bit too
11:13loose. Donor Roma comes out and gets the
11:15ball. But you can see it on the picture
11:16right now. Turkeykey's nowhere near
11:18Bruno Fernandez in this move. And
11:20because of that intensity, Enzo Moresco
11:23reacted. He took him off and then Injai
11:26come on. And Inai was incredible for
11:28Manchester City. Off the ball, on the
11:30ball, winning fouls, being scrappy.
11:32That's what you get when you play for
11:33Everton. And you know, you you work hard
11:35as a natural wide player.
11:37it. You can just and it's really painful
11:39because you watch City's rebuild and
11:41what they've done. They sold Seeho who
11:44who missed that edge to his game that
11:46cutting edge off the ball on the ball
11:48and they brought him on and it was a
11:50completely different type of you know
11:51dynamic on the wide on the wide area of
11:53the pitch but they bought him and they
11:55know that we were getting and and he and
11:56it works so well for Manchester City and
11:58this is why it's so painful. [snorts]
12:00But the one thing that when I watched
12:02the game back on Hawkeye and yes I
12:03actually have watched the game back.
12:04It's Jesus. Um, one thing I did realize
12:07when watching the game back on Hawkeye
12:10was the work ethic. It was so bad. And
12:13I'm not going to sit here and I'm not
12:15going to batter the players, you know,
12:16it's not my it's not my type of thing
12:18that I do on here. And I try and
12:19understand tactically what's going on in
12:21the game, but for me, when you're up
12:23against 10 men, you're at Old Trafford
12:26and at one point we were 1 nil down. I
12:29mean, this comes at 1 nil down. This is
12:31actually just after Manchester City's
12:33goal. It's on 65 minutes. So it makes it
12:35even worse. Um, so we can see Manchester
12:39United on your screen right now playing
12:41around the box. Ball comes in. There's a
12:44loose dropping ball on the edge of the
12:45box. Daru gets the ball pinched off him.
12:48And if I just fast forward it like 20
12:50seconds on this move. Look at this
12:52picture on your screen. Like I cannot
12:54believe this picture. This is on 6530.
12:57Du Ka Marcus Rashford are behind
13:01Manchester City's backline. They're
13:03behind it like running back to try and
13:05like what I mean I mean if I show you
13:08right now the go back to the first
13:10picture Elliot Anderson is stood next to
13:13Matteas Ka when the ball loss happens.
13:16Elliot Anderson's playing for Manchester
13:17City away at Old Trafford. He's
13:19shuttling the midfield. He's covering
13:21all the blades of grass because they've
13:22got 10 men. Look at where he is when
13:25Manchester United's three attacking
13:27players in the sequence are behind
13:29Manchester City's back line. He picks up
13:31the ball ahead [clears throat] of him by
13:33about 10 meters ahead of him. He picks
13:35up the ball and then starts playing
13:37whilst Marcus Rashford, Kanye were all
13:39behind him and he settles them down and
13:41then he gets them going. That is
13:43ridiculous. That that's the team with 10
13:45men that have come to our place and
13:47we've got three players behind their
13:48back line. I mean when I watched it back
13:51it was an absolute disgrace. I mean look
13:53at this final picture here. I mean look
13:56at that. What are we doing? Look at the
13:58gap on the right hand side.
14:00just what is going on there? And I mean,
14:03we all know that Michael Carrick likes
14:04to gamble on and off the ball with the
14:06attacking players staying forward, but
14:07tracking back in this instance right
14:09here, one nil down, you've just conceded
14:10Manchester derby against 10 men. It's a
14:13disgrace that there that that's not
14:15being tracked back and I mean, I watched
14:17it. I watched all I watched all of this
14:19clip. They stay that high. They stay
14:21that high and it's honestly it was
14:23absolutely ridiculous. And yeah, it's
14:26going to be it's going to be one of them
14:28weeks. I mean, I'll just show you right
14:29now before we wrap up the difference in
14:30Manchester cities and Man United's
14:32average um positions graph. So, you can
14:36see by this what Enzo Mesa and I and
14:39myself are talking about where
14:40Manchester United struggle to attack
14:42deeper sitting blocks. I mean, you can
14:44see on your screen right now first 23
14:46minutes. Look how deep Martinez,
14:48Tielemans, Maguire, Dowo, look how deep
14:50they are. That's where you want them.
14:52Look at how much space in theory on this
14:54graph that Ka's got to attack into on
14:57the opposition's half. Look at I mean
14:58look at it there. Dogu the same. Fast
15:00forward it from 23 on to 96. You can see
15:03just how higher Manchester United have
15:05to push up against Manchester City. The
15:07space reduces and the the glaring
15:09weaknesses within players like Inbumo Ka
15:12show Daru weak first touch in small
15:15spaces. Can't get the ball between the
15:17lines consistently aren't clean enough
15:18in their actions. They they need bigger
15:20space for it to look better. That is the
15:23reality. Diego Dalo, Patrick Daru cannot
15:26be your team's wide creators against 10
15:28men. That is the Ruben Amarin model.
15:31We've seen that it can't work
15:33consistently against deeper sitting
15:35defenses. But as much as it is a
15:37platforming issue from Michael Carrick
15:39to, you know, work with these players,
15:42he didn't buy any of them them
15:43attackers. He didn't buy any of them.
15:45They've built that squad and we've we
15:48lack true width now. We've got such a
15:50narrow attack. You know, we signed Ka to
15:53play that left 10. We signed Ibumo to
15:56play right 10. We signed wing backs to
15:58play wing back. And we're not doing any
15:59of that anymore. So, just as much as it
16:01is a platforming issue for Michael
16:02Carrick and stuff like that. Sometimes
16:04his hands are tied. You know, we don't
16:07have the squad. Again, the squad
16:09building weaknesses are just shocking,
16:11glaringly obvious. And I mean, I'll show
16:13you exactly just be literally last one
16:15just before we wrap up. On your screen
16:16right now, I've got the OPA shot map.
16:20Look at Manchester United shot position
16:22shooting positions here. I mean, what is
16:24that? 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 shots of Man
16:29United 16 outside the box. That is
16:32shocking. Three shots on target in
16:35comparison to Manchester City's two.
16:36Manchester City had more expected goals
16:38than Manchester United in this game.
16:40They played with 10 men for 75 minutes.
16:44I just can't I just can't excuse it. And
16:46that is what you get when you have a
16:48squad that is more tentative to big
16:50space who make poor decisions in small
16:52spaces. And as much as Michael Carrick's
16:55substitutions and lack of in-game
16:57adaptability in comparison to Morescus
16:59has to pay and has to, you know, take
17:00criticism, the players in the final
17:03third technically and just in terms of
17:05their decision-m were so far off the
17:08pace. so far off the pace. Um, I just
17:12couldn't believe what I was watching at
17:13times. And it's really gutting because
17:15it does feel like a one of them big
17:18blows to the stomach. And I'm not just
17:19I'm not just, you know, bigging it up
17:21like to for the YouTube, for the for the
17:24media, for the for all that stuff. This
17:26is a bad bad one. Like a really bad one.
17:28And we have to react against Brighton
17:30and we have to go again after that and
17:32go to Fulham and we have to react there.
17:33We come back after the international
17:35break. We've got Spurs, we've got
17:36Atletico away, we've got Leads away.
17:38some really difficult fixtures coming
17:40up. Como way after that, Bournemouth,
17:42Chelsea. They're not It's not going to
17:45get any easier this. So,
17:48yeah, I really I really I'm
17:51Yeah, it's like a bullet bullet to
17:52bullet to the chest this one. Really
17:54tough to take and I've not really done
17:56that many records for the breakdown
17:58where I've actually come in and my
17:59head's this hot before. I mean, I did it
18:01a lot under Ruben Ammer. There was like
18:03three or four, but this one was just
18:05like, wow. Manchester derby can't even
18:08score at home against 10 me five
18:09minutes. That's ridiculous. But yeah,
18:12thank you very very much for watching
18:13the overlap breakdown. I hope you did
18:16enjoy some elements of this piece and I
18:18hope I got some bits off of both of our
18:20chests. So yeah, if you did enjoy,
18:22please do not forget to like, comment,
18:23and subscribe to the Overlap Breakdown
18:24channel and we'll bring you more
18:25analysis this week. Thank you very much
18:27for watching. Bye.
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18:31production.
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