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Russia’s New Ballistic Missile: The ‘Endgame Surprise’ for Ukraine | Vantage on Firstpost | 4K

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0:00The fighting in Ukraine is turning more

0:02brutal. 5 years into the war and Russia

0:04is churning out newer but more

0:06unpredictable weapons. This includes

0:09kamicazi drones and ballistic missiles.

0:11And Russian President Vladimir Putin

0:13seems to have more surprises in store.

0:16As per reports, the Kremlin has inducted

0:18a new ballistic missile, a weapon

0:20military watchers are saying is packed

0:23with surprises because it can supposedly

0:25make unpredictable shifts last minute,

0:27making it nearly impossible to stop or

0:30intercept such a weapon. How is a

0:32country hit by thousands of Western

0:35sanctions producing such weapons,

0:36though? And what is Putin's new missile

0:39that comes with endgame surprises? Our

0:42next report tells you more.

0:48Russia is building its arsenal at a

0:50record pace and it is increasingly using

0:54long range missiles and drones to strike

0:56Ukraine's capital Kev

1:00along with Ukrainian military positions

1:03and power grids. Despite being hit by

1:06nearly 24,000 Western sanctions, Moscow

1:09is pushing out weapons at a rate that

1:12hasn't been seen since the war in

1:14Ukraine started back in 2022.

1:18But the US military intelligence has

1:20raised another alarm. The Kremlin has

1:22inducted a new weapon, a long ranged

1:26ballistic missile that is packed with

1:28endgame surprises.

1:30Russia has inducted an unspecified new

1:33type of ballistic missile. NATO intel

1:36reports say the missile has a range of

1:38800 km. It can be launched from a mobile

1:42groundbased launcher. The missile has

1:44reportedly already been test fired. It

1:47has been inducted and Moscow plans on

1:50deploying it against Ukraine by year

1:52end. As per US intelligence, the missile

1:55features new flight systems, allowing

1:58the ballistic weapon to deploy a

2:00maneuverable re-entry vehicle, also

2:03called as MARV. The MARV is a type of

2:06warhead that can alter its trajectory

2:09once the missile begins its final

2:11descent towards its target.

2:13The main purpose of deploying a MAV is

2:16to evade air defense systems and destroy

2:19high value targets like command centers,

2:21headquarters, or advanced weapon

2:24systems. Here's how a MARV functions.

2:27After the missile is deployed and

2:29reaches its terminal stage, small

2:32thrusters or fins on the warhead get

2:34activated, shifting its trajectory in a

2:37controlled manner. These can easily

2:39defeat air defense systems that are

2:41meant to shoot down incoming projectiles

2:44with a fixed trajectory. But the

2:46maneuverability gives the added

2:48advantage of deploying the warhead to

2:51strike slow moving high value targets

2:53like aircraft carriers. And because such

2:56missiles can alter their course last

2:58minute, MAV weapons are often called

3:01dancing missiles.

3:05MAV technology is not new to Russia.

3:07Moscow already has missiles that can

3:10deploy such warheads. However, most of

3:13those weapons are mated to

3:15intercontinental ballistic missiles.

3:18As per open- source information, Russia

3:21currently has three primary missiles

3:23that can deploy MAR warheads. These are

3:27the URN silo based ICBM,

3:31the RS28 Sarmat liquidfueled ICBM and

3:35the RS24 YARS mobile ICBM.

3:39These are all missiles which are meant

3:41to strike thousands of kilometers away.

3:44However, Russia's immediate need is

3:47short-ranged ballistic missiles that can

3:49deploy these unpredictable warheads.

3:52That explains the new weapon.

3:56And this is concerning news for Ukraine.

3:59Despite nations trying to bring Keev and

4:01Moscow to the negotiating table, the

4:04Kremlin has pledged to carry out strikes

4:06on Ukraine even during the talks.

4:13>> We have stated repeatedly that following

4:15the collapse of the Istanbul agreements

4:17due to Western interference, we will not

4:20halt the special military operation for

4:22the duration of negotiations.

4:28The new ballistic missile with MARV

4:30capabilities is not about how fast or

4:33far it can fly. It is about what the

4:36weapon can do in the last few seconds.

4:38It won't give Ukrainian air defenses the

4:41time to understand the surprise moves,

4:43making interception a nearly impossible

4:46task. The future of missile warfare is

4:49going away from speed and range and is

4:52now becoming more about

4:53unpredictability.

4:55If Russia has mastered that capability,

4:58then the most dangerous part of this

5:00missile will not be where it starts, but

5:03where it changes its mind.

5:06>> A militia has put a kingdom on edge, and

5:08Saudi Arabia with its billions of

5:10dollars, sophisticated weapons, and

5:12powerful allies is scrambling to contain

5:15that threat. On Tuesday, the kingdom

5:18briefly issued alerts over possible

5:20attacks in Mecca,

5:22Jedha, and Tif. This was the first time

5:25Mecca received an attack alert since the

5:27latest round of hostilities with Houthis

5:30intensified. Although the missile alert

5:33was later lifted, the stakes are high

5:35because of the city's religious

5:37significance and large civilian and

5:39pilgrim presence. The missiles and

5:42drones are coming from Yemen from the

5:44Iranbacked Houthi rebels. And Saudi

5:47Arabia is now staring at a militant

5:48group that isn't just capable of

5:50attacking its territory, but is rapidly

5:53expanding the geography from which it

5:55can threaten the kingdom. On Monday,

5:58Houthi forces launched ballistic

5:59missiles and drones towards Saudi

6:01Arabia, injuring 13 people in the

6:04country's south.

6:19Now, Riyad has vowed to respond firmly

6:22and even the United Nations Security

6:24Council is set to meet today to discuss

6:26the hostilities in the region,

6:28especially since the Houthis now have

6:30strategic control of the Babal Mandab

6:32Strait. The renewed fighting has also

6:34pushed oil prices higher with experts

6:36warning that a prolonged conflict could

6:38lead to impending oil crunch. This isn't

6:41just a Yemen story anymore. It is a

6:43story about how quickly a conflict can

6:46travel. From a missile launch in Yemen

6:48to an oil terminal in Saudi Arabia, from

6:51a shipping lane in the Red Sea to fuel

6:53prices thousands of kilometers away.

6:56Andread is discovering another

6:58uncomfortable reality. Military power

7:01does not automatically guarantee

7:03military options. The United States and

7:06UK have ruled out direct strikes on the

7:08Houthis in Yemen, instead offering

7:10intelligence and advisory support.

7:13Pakistan despite its close defense

7:15relationship with Saudi Arabia and is

7:17signary to the recently agreed Mecca

7:20pact has reportedly drawn its own line

7:22here saying its forces could defend

7:24Saudi territory but not participate in

7:27combat operations on foreign soil. So

7:30Riyad has been looking elsewhere.

7:32Reports say Saudi Arabia has sought

7:34Israeli intelligence assistance with

7:36talks reportedly mediated by US Central

7:39Command. A country that does not

7:41formally recognize Israel is apparently

7:43looking towards Israel for help against

7:45a common enemy. And that tells you just

7:49how much the regional equation has

7:51changed. But perhaps the most important

7:54question is this. How did the Houthis

7:56get into a position where they can

7:58threaten Saudi Arabia, pressure global

8:01shipping and set aside one of the

8:03world's most important maritime choke

8:05points? It's a nasty piece of

8:07geopolitical geometry. And the answer is

8:09on the map. Because the Houthi advance

8:12isn't just about how much land they have

8:14taken. It is about which land they have

8:16taken. And to understand why Riyad is so

8:18nervous, we need to see exactly what has

8:21fallen into Houthi hands. Let's take a

8:24closer look.

8:35In the past few weeks, the Iranbacked

8:37Houthi rebels, which operate out of

8:39Yemen, have seized control of the

8:41country's entire Red Sea coastline.

8:45Let's begin right there at Yemen's Red

8:47Sea coastline. The Houthis have made

8:48major gains along Yemen's western coast,

8:51pushing Saudi backed government forces

8:54out. Now look at this. This is the Bab

8:56al-Mandab trade right here. The narrow

8:59gateway connecting the Red Sea to the

9:00Gulf of Aiden. This waterway handles

9:03around 10 to 12% of global trade. Riyad

9:06depends heavily on this crucial choke

9:09point for its oil trade. And the Houthis

9:11are tightening their grip. Exactly here.

9:13Sitting right inside this strategic

9:15corridor then is Mayu. also known as the

9:18Perim Island which the group has

9:20captured. The group is also seized the

9:22greater and lesser harish islands right

9:26here. These are Red Sea approaches. Now

9:28we move north along this coast. Here we

9:31have Hereda which was already a major

9:34Houthi stronghold and now they have

9:36seized a port city sitting right nearby

9:38Hereda. It is called Mocha located

9:41around 80 kilometers from the Babal

9:44Mandave Strait. Then there is Dubab

9:46located on the mainland almost directly

9:49opposite to the Mayo island. As you can

9:51see on the map here, the Houthis aren't

9:53simply expanding across Yemen. They're

9:54building a coastal ark. The Iranbacked

9:57rebels are also moving further east of

9:59Yemen in Thai and Mari. Now you have to

10:03understand that Marib is home to Yemen's

10:05oil and gas sector. Whoever controls it

10:08secures major economic gains. Control of

10:11Thai could also give the Houthis then

10:13greater leverage over roots connecting

10:16northern Yemen with the south, the Gulf

10:18of Aiden and the Red Sea coast. It's

10:20clear that the Houthis are going all in

10:22to gather leverage. And for Saudi

10:25Arabia, the Red Sea is turning red in

10:27more than one way.

10:30If you enjoyed today's show, hit the

10:31like button and subscribe so you never

10:33miss an episode. And if a story stood

10:36out to you, drop us a comment. We'd love

10:38to know what caught your attention. Tell

10:40us what matters to you and what you'd

10:42like to see us cover next. Connect with

10:44us and we'll always connect back.

10:46>> The revolution is made through human

10:48beings, but individuals must forge their

10:50revolutionary spirit day by day.

10:53>> Every revolution begins with a question.

10:57Why should the world stay the same? One

11:00voice rises, then another. An idea

11:04becomes a movement. A movement becomes

11:08history.

11:11Five revolutionaries, five stories of

11:15struggle, reform and rebellion.

11:20They faced prisons. They faced bullets.

11:25They faced empires.

11:28But they never stopped fighting. Not for

11:31power, for justice, for equality, for

11:35freedom.

11:37The revolutionary

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