Full transcript
Bitcoin Price Analysis!
0:00Welcome back to the Good Wealth channel,
0:01everyone. My name is Josh, and right now
0:02Bitcoin is still playing out this
0:03shorter-term warning signal, simply
0:06cooling off in the short term in the
0:07price, while we are seeing new liquidity
0:10building just below the price of Bitcoin
0:13in the Bitcoin liquidation heat map in
0:14the imminent short term, which is
0:16something that we need to pay attention
0:18to. So, I'll be talking about that in
0:19just a moment, alongside other important
0:22Bitcoin signals, while we are seeing
0:24Ethereum continue to struggle around
0:26this important resistance here, but not
0:28necessarily see a harsh rejection, still
0:31hanging close to the resistance, while
0:32the price of Chainlink is also now
0:34cooling off a little bit in the shorter
0:36term after the latest breakout towards
0:38the upside, but technically still
0:40maintaining the bullish price structure.
0:42So, I'll be talking about all of that
0:44and more later in the video, so
0:45definitely watch till the end.
0:48First of all, starting off on the weekly
0:49Bitcoin price chart, and as I've been
0:51talking about in my last video here on
0:53the channel, the Supertrend indicator
0:54just officially confirmed a flip back
0:57into green, so back into bullish
0:59direction for the first time, basically
1:01from red to green. This is the first
1:03time that this has happened since almost
1:064 years ago, the end of the 2022 bear
1:08market, beginning of 2023. So, in
1:11basically around 3 months from now, that
1:13will have been 4 years ago, so over 3
1:16and 1/2 years ago, almost 4 years ago is
1:18when we saw this signal right here
1:21confirm last time, and of course, that
1:23basically signaled a larger bullish
1:25trend or bull market to come over a
1:28longer-term time period for the price of
1:30Bitcoin. But, as I also made clear in my
1:32last video and many videos here on the
1:34channel, of course, if you're looking at
1:36the weekly timeframe, this is talking
1:37about longer-term moves, talking about
1:39potentially months or years for the
1:42price of Bitcoin, and it's not a
1:43short-term signal. So, of course, we can
1:45still see short-term pullbacks,
1:47short-term cool-offs here and there on
1:49smaller timeframes as we're playing out
1:52the much larger bullish trend, just like
1:54how during, of course, a larger bearish
1:56trend or bear market, we can see some
1:58decent bounces back towards the upside
1:59in the shorter term along the way
2:01towards the downside in the larger
2:03trend. And so, that is still the
2:05situation on the weekly time frame, and
2:07if we're taking a look at this weekly
2:08Bitcoin price chart, we still have a
2:10massive bullish divergence technically
2:12still confirmed, as I've been saying
2:13every day for months now on the channel,
2:15for over 2 months at this stage, since
2:17around end of June basically, this has
2:21been confirmed, as I've been saying
2:22every day since back then. And of
2:24course, the last time we saw a signal
2:26like this on the weekly Bitcoin price
2:28chart, a significant bullish divergence,
2:29was the end of the 2022 bear market, one
2:33of the generational buying opportunities
2:35in recent Bitcoin history for especially
2:37long-term spot holders of Bitcoin. And
2:40so, once again, as always, no
2:41guarantees, not financial advice, but
2:43typically for long-term holders, this
2:45tends to be a decent signal to watch out
2:48for for the price of Bitcoin, especially
2:50now that not only do we have the
2:51significant bullish divergence actively
2:53playing out, we also have this bullish
2:55flip in the Supertrend indicator. The
2:57last time these two signals happened
2:59together marked the beginning of the
3:01next multi-year bull market. That was
3:03the last time these two signals happened
3:06at the same time, which is what is
3:07happening right now. So, just be aware
3:09of that. And if we're taking a look at
3:10the 3-day Bitcoin price chart, of
3:12course, looking at the somewhat shorter
3:14term here, we're still struggling around
3:16this exact area of resistance in between
3:19$80,000 to $82,000. So, once again, the
3:22price is not going to move in a straight
3:24line. We're going to see likely
3:26struggles and possible rejections from
3:28around points of resistance along the
3:30way towards the upside. And so, this is
3:32simply another one of those short-term
3:34obstacles for the price of Bitcoin, an
3:36area of resistance to watch out for
3:37where the price will likely struggle
3:39from or possibly reject from. And once
3:41again, that's in between $80,000 to
3:44$82,000, the same area that I've been
3:46warning about since basically before we
3:48perfectly started the struggle in that
3:50area. And as for support, I would expect
3:52a lot of support down here if the price
3:55were to get back down there, which is
3:56sitting in between around 73,000 to
3:5975,000. And if we're taking a look at
4:01the daily Bitcoin price chart, of
4:02course, another reason as to why we're
4:04seeing a bit of a short-term cool-off on
4:06top of the fact that we're running into
4:08my exact area of resistance here is also
4:11due to the fact that we're actively
4:12playing out a somewhat shorter-term
4:15bearish divergence. Obviously, it's not
4:16as significant as the bullish divergence
4:19on the weekly time frame. Once again,
4:20understand between the different time
4:22frames. This larger bullish divergence
4:24on the weekly time frame is a
4:26longer-term signal talking about
4:27potentially months or years, whereas
4:29this somewhat shorter-term bearish
4:31divergence on the daily time frame is
4:33talking about over days or weeks. Likely
4:36going to be a bit more of a cool-off,
4:38play out a bit more of a cool-off,
4:39either a slight pullback or some choppy
4:41sideways price action in the coming days
4:43or possibly maybe one or two weeks, that
4:45sort of time frame. And once again, this
4:47is exactly what I've already been saying
4:49over the last multiple days here. Even
4:51though it yes, we're seeing some bullish
4:52signals flipping and confirming here on
4:54the weekly time frame, we still have to
4:56be aware of short-term cool-offs and
4:57short-term pullbacks along the way,
4:59especially as we run into important
5:01resistance, and especially if that's
5:03happening while we're basically hitting
5:05overbought or flashing a bearish
5:06divergence. These are the signals to
5:08watch out for to help to predict or
5:10potentially influence a cool-off coming
5:13soon. And so, that is simply the
5:15situation right now. And if we're
5:17zooming further into the shorter term,
5:18we could see that short-term cool-off
5:20very nicely here. Obviously, we hit
5:22overbought with a very small short
5:23squeeze right here, roughly just close
5:26to a week ago, half a week ago to almost
5:281 week ago now as we can see. And then
5:30ever since then, obviously, we've just
5:31been cooling off as expected. Obviously,
5:34my expectation every single day since
5:36then was a bit of a short-term cool-off,
5:38and that's still my expectation right
5:40now, at least over the next 1 or 2 days.
5:42It could possibly continue into the
5:44week, further into the week, so perhaps
5:46over the next week or so, we could see a
5:48bit more of a cool off, but at least
5:50over the next few days, I expect either
5:52a slight pullback in the price or
5:54potentially just a bit of choppy
5:55sideways price action. Overall, not
5:57necessarily a huge crash back down like
5:59this, but just a bit of short-term
6:01weakness lacking bullish momentum at
6:04least for the next couple of days or so
6:05is very, very likely. And if we're
6:07taking a look at the Bitcoin liquidation
6:09heat map, looking at the last 1 week
6:11worth of price action, first of all,
6:13getting the upside liquidity out of the
6:15way, we do have a small amount at around
6:1780.6k
6:19and a small amount at around 82.3 to
6:2182.5k,
6:23but really the main levels of liquidity
6:25are actually below the price of Bitcoin
6:27here in the shorter term. So, first of
6:28all, we have a significant level of
6:30liquidity down here at around 76.1k
6:34and right now we have a new level of
6:35liquidity forming right here at around
6:3978.3k.
6:41And so, this chart basically tells us
6:43the high probability target targets for
6:45the price of Bitcoin, especially where
6:47there is significant liquidity. Usually,
6:50not always, but usually the price of
6:52Bitcoin tends to take out these
6:53significant levels of liquidity,
6:55especially if they're relatively close
6:57to the current price of Bitcoin, and
6:58especially if they're in the direction
7:00that the price is already heading in,
7:02which the shorter term, talking about
7:04days or maybe a week, that sort of time
7:06frame is technically more bearish than
7:08bullish. Once again, not extremely
7:10bearish, not a huge crash, but just
7:11cooling off in the shorter term at least
7:13for the coming days, still quite likely.
7:15So, we have to watch out for the
7:16downside liquidity in the coming days.
7:18Once again, the immediate target is now
7:2078.3k,
7:22but if we break below that level right
7:24there, then the next target to watch out
7:26for will be sitting at around 76.1k,
7:30which is basically just below this local
7:33low here. So, be aware of that. That's a
7:35possible short-term risk, just a slight
7:37cool off or slight pullback continuing
7:39in the coming days, but remember that
7:42can occur during a much larger bullish
7:45trend on the much larger time frames,
7:47talking about months or years to come.
7:49And so, those are my expectations and
7:51predictions in the short-term, mid-term,
7:52and longer-term. And of course, the key
7:54signals, price targets, and patterns to
7:56watch out for for the price of Bitcoin
7:58right now. And of course, if you want to
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9:12taking a quick look at the Bitcoin
Bitcoin Dominance!
9:14dominance chart on the 3-day time frame.
9:16And right now, the Bitcoin dominance is
9:18still having just a slight rejection, a
9:20slight short-term pullback from very
9:22close to this resistance here. But
9:24overall, we're still in a significant
9:26sideways price range that we've been in
9:28for almost a year as we can see since
9:30basically October last year, we've been
9:33in this same sideways price range
9:34bouncing between support and resistance.
9:37And so, overall, we're not really seeing
9:39a significant Bitcoin season or a
9:41significant altcoin season. We're just
9:43seeing shorter-term movements here and
9:45there where sometimes Bitcoin slightly
9:47outperforms and then sometimes altcoins
9:49slightly outperform. And right now in
9:51the shorter term, and especially over
9:52the last couple of days, altcoins have
9:55been slightly outperforming with the
9:57slight drop here in the Bitcoin
9:59dominance. So, if that continues a
10:00little longer in the shorter term, it
10:02just means some altcoins out there could
10:04hold up or likely going to hold up a
10:06little bit better than what Bitcoin is
10:08doing. So, as Bitcoin continues a slight
10:10cool off, some altcoins might just go
10:11sideways, maybe even have a slight
10:14little bounce if we see a further
10:16pullback here in the Bitcoin dominance.
Ethereum Price Analysis!
10:18And if we're taking a look at Ethereum
10:19on the 3-day time frame, technically,
10:21despite the slowdown in the shorter
10:23term, the cool off, which is to be
10:25expected, of course, with this
10:26overbought signal alongside Bitcoin also
10:28cooling off, but despite that happening
10:30right now for Ethereum in the shorter
10:32term, technically, this bullish breakout
10:34and the bullish price structure is still
10:37active here on the 3-day Ethereum price
10:39chart. And so, perhaps after a little
10:41more of a short-term cool off, either
10:43some choppy sideways price action or
10:44very slight pullback within the coming
10:46days or possibly 1 to maybe 2 weeks,
10:49that sort of time frame, but at least
10:50the next few days continuing a slight
10:52little cool off here, but for as long as
10:54we're holding above this area in between
10:56ideally around 2.3k to 2.4k, for as long
10:59as we're holding above that area, in
11:01that situation, of course, this bullish
11:02breakout remains active, technically
11:04speaking, with the next significant
11:06target or point of resistance to watch
11:08out for in between around 2750 to 2.8k.
11:12And if we're zooming into the 12-hour
11:13Ethereum price chart, we have a clear
11:16horizontal level of resistance here
11:18where we've seen multiple almost perfect
11:20rejections from this exact level here,
11:23and that's sitting at just above 2 and
11:241/2 thousand, so around 2520 to 2530,
11:28give or take. We have a lot of
11:30resistance around there, as we can see.
11:32But, the good news is so far as we're
11:35testing this resistance, we're not
11:36really seeing any significant rejections
11:38or major crashes back to the downside
11:41from this significant resistance here in
11:43the shorter term. So far, we're just
11:44seeing slight rejections, obviously more
11:47struggle, but just slight rejections
11:49from this resistance before ultimately
11:50coming back up for another test of the
11:52resistance, which is some good news
11:54because usually the further the price or
11:57the more the price tests a point of
11:59resistance, the weaker that resistance
12:02gets. And the fundamentals behind that
12:04is you can think of resistance is
12:05basically a bunch of sell orders, a
12:07bunch of traders out there placing sell
12:09orders at a particular level on the
12:11price chart, which makes it difficult
12:13for the price to push above that because
12:15we basically need a bunch of buyers to
12:16buy up all of the sell orders. But, if
12:19the price is continuing to test that
12:21resistance, what that fundamentally is,
12:23it's basically buyers continuing to buy
12:26up all of the sell orders at that level,
12:28and eventually we can dry up or use up
12:30all of those sell orders once there's
12:32enough buyers ultimately testing this
12:33resistance, and then we can see a break
12:35through that resistance. That's what the
12:37fundamentals are when it comes to
12:39testing the resistance multiple times,
12:41which can weaken the resistance,
12:43increasing the probability of a
12:44breakout. But, while Bitcoin is having a
12:46slight cool off here, potentially in the
12:48next 1 to 2 days continuing here, we
12:50could likely see a bit more struggle for
12:53Ethereum just in the very short term
12:54here, and then eventually break out
12:56perhaps in a couple of days from now.
12:58For example, if Bitcoin can have a
13:00slight little bounce, that can help
13:01Ethereum and other altcoins also
13:03potentially break out or have a slight
13:05bounce here in the shorter term. But, we
13:06also have a possible warning signal to
13:08watch out for, as I mentioned in my last
13:10video, if Ethereum eventually breaks out
13:12here above this resistance at around
13:142520, 2530, in that situation, even
13:17though yes, that would be technically a
13:19bullish signal if we're looking at the
13:20price action alone, of course, that
13:22would likely form a bearish divergence
13:25between the price and the RSI because we
13:27could obviously very easily form higher
13:29highs in the price, meanwhile it's
13:31extremely likely that the RSI will still
13:34be forming lower highs, sitting in lower
13:36highs compared to this previous high
13:37that we saw around the 21st of August.
13:40And so basically expect a little more
13:42struggle in the shorter term and then
13:43likely at some stage perhaps in the
13:46coming days and maybe two or three days,
13:48at some stage an attempted breakout
13:49here, but then it possibly forming a
13:51bearish divergence within the next one
13:53to two weeks here on the 12-hour and the
13:55daily Ethereum price chart. So those are
13:57my exact predictions across the
13:59different time frames, short-term,
14:00mid-term and longer term and of course
14:02the much larger price structure still
14:04remaining bullish despite what happens
14:05in the shorter term moves here. And if
XRP Price Analysis!
14:07we're taking a look at XRP on the weekly
14:09time frame, right now XRP is still
14:11holding this important area of support
14:13here in between around $1.30 to $1.40,
14:16especially that $1.30 level. That is a
14:18key level of support to watch out for
14:20and if we're taking a look at the daily
14:22XRP price chart, obviously while Bitcoin
14:24is just having a slight cool off, XRP is
14:26simply just bouncing around sideways at
14:29least here in the short term, which is
14:30likely going to continue a little longer
14:32considering obviously what I said for
14:34Bitcoin, likely going to continue a
14:36little more of a cool off and also
14:38considering the slight pullback here in
14:40the short term in the Bitcoin dominance,
14:41meaning some all coins like XRP for
14:44example can hold up just a little bit
14:46better than what Bitcoin is doing. So as
14:47Bitcoin is having a slight pullback, XRP
14:50could likely just bounce around sideways
14:53rather than necessarily pulling back.
14:55And as for support and resistance, we
14:57still have a lot of support around here
14:59just above $1.30, especially around
15:01$1.34. We have a key level of support
15:04there and as for resistance, we have a
15:06lot of resistance around $1.47
15:09and $1.52.
Solana Price Analysis!
15:11And if we're taking a look at Solana on
15:13the 3-day time frame, right now Solana
15:15technically around a day ago as I talked
15:17about in my last video, we just
15:19confirmed one 3-day candle close
15:21slightly above that $105 resistance
15:24level, but so far we're seeing a test
15:27back into that area of resistance, the
15:28previous resistance here, and ideally we
15:31need to hold at this area as support.
15:33If, for example, the price starts
15:34breaking back below, especially $95, in
15:37that situation, if we see especially
15:39daily candle closes or three-day candle
15:41closes back below 95, of course that
15:43would be a decent bearish signal to
15:45watch out for in the shorter term, but
15:47right now that has simply not happened.
15:49The larger structure is still
15:51technically bullish despite seeing
15:52short-term cool-offs resetting from
15:54overbought, etc. Obviously, we're still
15:57playing out the larger bullish
15:58divergence on the three-day Solana price
16:00chart. We're still seeing significant
16:01higher lows and significant higher highs
16:04despite any short-term cool-off that we
16:06might see along the way. And as for
16:08short-term support to watch out for, now
16:10that we're seeing a little more of a
16:11cool-off, if this slight pullback
16:13continues, I'd expect a lot of support
16:15in this area in between $96 to $99 based
16:20on previous significant resistance,
16:21which has already confirmed a flip back
16:24into support. And so, considering my
16:26prediction for Bitcoin being a little
16:28more of a cool-off, but also with the
16:29Bitcoin dominance having a slight
16:30pullback, it means Solana and likely
16:33many other major altcoins out there on
16:34average will likely play out potentially
16:37just some choppy sideways price action
16:38as we're still cooling off, lacking
16:40bullish momentum in the shorter term,
16:42but in the case of Solana here, likely
16:44still holding above this area of support
16:46at least over the coming days. And if
16:48we're taking a look at the price of
Chainlink Price Analysis!
16:50Chainlink on the three-day time frame,
16:51it's a similar situation for Chainlink.
16:53Obviously, we still have larger bullish
16:55price structure, higher lows, higher
16:57highs, breaking out above previous
16:59significant resistance levels. So,
17:01overall, the much larger trend, the
17:02larger momentum, the larger price
17:04structure still clearly bullish, but of
17:06course, it's not a straight line. We can
17:08see little pullbacks and short-term
17:10cool-offs along the way, and that's
17:12simply what we're seeing right now. We
17:13hit further into overbought on the
17:16three-day Chainlink RSI, as we can see.
17:19And so, this is a signal by itself
17:21telling us that we've kind of just gone
17:22too far to the upside too quickly in the
17:24shorter term, and we need some time in
17:26the coming days just to cool off and
17:28reset in the shorter term. But, also
17:30when you combine that overbought signal
17:32again for Chainlink with what my
17:34expectations are for Bitcoin and other
17:36altcoins just cooling off a little bit
17:37in the shorter term, it's no surprise
17:39that we're going to see just a slight
17:41cool off in the shorter term for
17:42Chainlink. Remember, I'm not saying a
17:44huge crash, but maybe just a slight
17:46pullback or some choppy sideways price
17:47action, potentially retest of this
17:49previous resistance here, which was also
17:51support all the way back here. That's in
17:53between around 1180 to 1230, and I would
17:56now expect support in that area once
17:58again in between 1180 to 1230. So, I'd
18:01give or take $12. That is a key level
18:04for the price of Chainlink to hold in
18:05order to ideally remain bullish here in
18:08terms of the larger trend. And the next
18:10significant point of resistance to the
18:11upside is sitting at around 1410 to 1430
18:16based on previous significant
18:18resistance, likely still acting as
18:19strong resistance for the price of
18:21Chainlink. So, overall, those my
18:23expectations in the shorter term, the
18:24mid-term, and the longer term. And of
18:26course, the key signals, levels, and
18:28price targets to watch out for moving
18:29forward for all of these crypto assets.
18:31And remember, if you want to trade any
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19:07But, anyway, that is everything that I
19:08have to say for today. I really hope you
19:10enjoyed, and I'll see you all in the
19:11next video.