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How Nukes Spread To Dictators

OBF · 3,258 words · 15 min read

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0:00There are nine nuclear powers in the

0:02world. Most of them are democracies.

0:04Three of them are authoritarian. Between

0:07these three, they control thousands of

0:09nuclear warheads, enough to devastate

0:11human civilization in a single

0:13afternoon. And the list could get longer

0:16because right now, underneath [music] a

0:18mountain in Iran, there is a stockpile

0:20of uranium. Or at least there was.

0:23Before the war in June 2025,

0:25international inspectors had counted

0:27more than 440 kg of uranium enriched to

0:3160%. Enough if enriched further for

0:34roughly nine nuclear weapons. In June

0:372025, the United States tried to destroy

0:40Iran's nuclear program. American bombers

0:42dropped the largest bunker busting

0:44weapons in the entire arsenal straight

0:46through the rock above it. The sights

0:48were badly damaged, but there was one

0:51problem. The uranium itself was never

0:53accounted for. And more than a year

0:55later, the international inspectors,

0:57whose entire job it is to track that

0:59material, still cannot verify exactly

1:02where it is. I'll get back to this

1:04hidden uranium later in the video

1:06because we need to first figure out how

1:07we even got to this point. I mean, how

1:09does the most dangerous weapon ever

1:12built keep ending up in the hands of the

1:14world's most dangerous regimes? The

1:16answer starts 80 years ago with the

1:18Manhattan Project and the men who built

1:20the very first bomb in a desert in New

1:23Mexico. This laboratory was called Los

1:25Alamos and in the summer of 1945 they

1:28believed they were completely alone and

1:31their main adversary, the Soviet Union,

1:33was years behind. They were wrong

1:36because Los Alamos was full of spies.

1:38The most important one was a German

1:40physicist named Klaus Fuks. He had fled

1:43the Nazis, ended up in Britain and was

1:45sent to work on the American bomb as

1:47part of the British team. He was

1:49brilliant and trusted. So he sat in the

1:52meetings where they cracked the hardest

1:53problem of them all. How to build an

1:56impossion bomb. The principle of which

1:58is pretty simple to understand. Surround

2:00a bowl of plutonium with explosives and

2:02detonate them all at once, crushing the

2:05core from every side until it ignites.

2:08The tricky part here is precision.

2:10because if the squeeze is even slightly

2:12uneven, the whole thing fails.

2:14Eventually, they figured it out and Fuks

2:17handed all of this information to the

2:19Soviet Union. Now, why would he do this?

2:22Well, not for money. Fuks was a

2:24communist and had been since he was a

2:25student in Germany, which was the real

2:27reason the Nazis wanted him gone in the

2:29first place. He believed it was wrong

2:31for one single country to hold the

2:33ultimate weapon alone. Therefore,

2:35handing the design to the Soviet Union

2:37was, at least, according to him,

2:38creating balance. He stayed a loyal

2:41communist until the day he died. And

2:44folks was not the only leak. The two

2:46others were Julius and Ethl Rosenberg,

2:49who were arrested, tried, and sent to

2:51the electric chair in 1953 for stealing

2:54the secret of the atomic bomb. This is

2:57quite well known amongst the public. But

2:58the thing is, while Julius Rosenberg was

3:01a real spy, he was a minor one in this.

3:04The actual material came from Eel's

3:06brother, David Greenlas, a [music]

3:08machinist at Los Alamos, and his

3:10sketches were basic at best. Ethl's

3:13exact role remains disputed, and she was

3:15very likely executed to pressure her

3:17husband into naming names, but it didn't

3:21work, and the intelligence that mattered

3:22had already come from Fuks. So, did all

3:25this theft and spying actually buy

3:27stalling nuclear weapons of his own?

3:29Well, mostly yes. When the Soviet Union

3:31tested its first bomb on the 29th of

3:33August, 1949, it was almost an exact

3:36copy of the American bomb dropped on

3:37Nagasaki. This marked an important point

3:40in history because the world now

3:41understood the inner workings of the

3:43bomb could leak. And if it could leak,

3:46it could spread. So, it did. Bringing us

3:49to the second authoritarian state to get

3:51the bomb, China. And this time, it

3:54wasn't stolen. The Soviet Union

3:56literally offered to help. In the 1950s,

3:59China and the Soviet Union were

4:01communist allies, and Moscow agreed it

4:03would help China build the bomb. It sent

4:05advisors, technology, and even promised

4:07to hand over a working prototype weapon.

4:10But that handover never happened. In

4:121959, Soviet leader Nikita Kruev

4:15cancelled the deal. The following year,

4:17he pulled every Soviet specialist out of

4:19the country, and the promised prototype

4:21never arrived. Maadong's response was to

4:24keep going out of [music] spite. China

4:26renamed the program project 596 after

4:29June 1959, the month the Soviets walked

4:32away. And Mao reportedly said China

4:34would build the bomb even if the people

4:37had to pawn their pants to do it. It

4:39worked. On the 16th of October 1964,

4:42China detonated its first nuclear weapon

4:44on a 100 meter tower in the desert at

4:47Lnure. Now, this was just a fision bomb.

4:50The next leap was a thermonuclear or

4:53hydrogen bomb. hundreds of times more

4:55powerful and a far harder machine to

4:57build. It took the United States 7 years

5:00to go from the fishing bomb to the

5:01hydrogen bomb. But China did it in just

5:0432 months. The fastest anyone has ever

5:06made that leap. And a huge part of that

5:08speed came down to one physicist, Yumin.

5:12In the mid 1960s, Yumin cracked the core

5:15theoretical problem of a staged [music]

5:17thermonuclear weapon. The physics that

5:19made the whole thing work. And here is

5:21the strange part. Unlike almost every

5:23other senior nuclear scientist alive,

5:26Yumin was largely self-taught. In June

5:291967, China tested its first hydrogen

5:32bomb, mostly due to this man. But a

5:35powerful bomb is useless if you cannot

5:37deliver it onto a target. And for that,

5:40China received an extraordinary gift

5:42from the United States, believe it or

5:44not, by accident. This man's name was

5:47Kan Jizen. He was one of the most gifted

5:50rocket scientists alive and he built his

5:52career in America. He helped found the

5:55Jet Propulsion Laboratory. He held a top

5:58security clearance and worked on

5:59classified American missile programs.

6:02Then in the 1950s, during the

6:03anti-communist panic, the American

6:06government decided he might be a

6:08communist. So they stripped his

6:10clearance, detained him, and kept him

6:11under surveillance for 5 years. Then in

6:141955, they deported him to China. Kan

6:17then went on to become the father of the

6:19entire Chinese missile program. The

6:21rockets that carry China's nuclear wars

6:23today and the rockets that put China in

6:25space traced directly back to Kan. But

6:28if we now go to the other side of the

6:30world, we'll find our next stop on our

6:32authoritarian list of nuclear powers,

6:36Israel. Now, Israel has never officially

6:38admitted it has nuclear weapons, but it

6:41does. And the country that gave Israel

6:43much of what it needed to build them was

6:46France. [music]

6:47See, in the late 1950s, France secretly

6:50helped Israel construct a nuclear

6:52reactor in the desert near a town called

6:55Deona. France also helped build a secret

6:58plutonium reprocessing plant alongside

7:00[music] it. And according to its own

7:02former atomic chief, France handed

7:04Israel weapon design information, too.

7:07The reason France wanted to help Israel

7:09was because they shared a common enemy,

7:11the leader of Egypt, Gamal Abdel Nazar.

7:14He was an enemy to Israel because he was

7:17the most powerful Arab leader on its

7:19border and openly hostile to Israel. For

7:22France, he was arming and funding the

7:24rebels who were trying to drive France

7:26out of its colony in Algeria. Now, the

7:28reason we can be sure Israel has nuclear

7:31weapons is because of one of its own

7:33technicians who decided the world

7:35deserve to know the truth. His name was

7:37Modai Banuno. He had worked inside Deona

7:40for years and in 1986 he walked out with

7:42around 60 photographs and told a British

7:45newspaper what was going on. It turned

7:47out Israel had secretly built an

7:49arsenal. While the newspaper was in the

7:51midst of verifying everything, Israeli

7:53intelligence found Banuno. A female

7:56Mossad agent chatted him up in London

7:58and lured him to Rome with a promise of

8:00a holiday. In Rome, he was drugged, tied

8:03up, and shipped back to Israel in

8:05secret. But Israel tried him behind

8:07closed [music] doors and sentenced him

8:09to 18 years for treason and espionage. A

8:12pretty wild story. But here's the thing.

8:14Everything so far has involved

8:17governments, state laboratories, and

8:19intelligence agencies. The next man I'm

8:22about to introduce you to changed that.

8:24The man was Abdul Kadia Khan. In the

8:27early 1970s, he was a metologist with a

8:30doctorate working a quite technical job

8:32in the Netherlands. And the company he

8:34worked for just so happened to be

8:36connected to the most sensitive secret

8:38[music] in the entire nuclear supply

8:39chain. See, to build a bomb, you need

8:42one of two materials. Plutonium, which

8:45you make in a reactor, or highly

8:47enriched uranium. And to enrich uranium,

8:49you need centrifuges, tall, delicate

8:51machines that spin at incredible speed

8:54to separate out the tiny fraction of

8:56uranium that can go into a weapon. The

8:58West had spent decades and fortunes

9:00perfecting those centrifuge designs.

9:03They were among the most closely guarded

9:05blueprints on Earth. Khan worked for a

9:07subcontractor to the European group that

9:10built them. What's interesting is that

9:12he wasn't even supposed to have those

9:14blueprints. But at one point, he was

9:16asked to help translate the classified

9:18documents for the most advanced machines

9:20they had. And for 16 days, he had

9:22unsupervised access to those designs. So

9:24when he left the Netherlands in December

9:26of 1975 to go home to Pakistan, he took

9:29copies of the centrifuge blueprints and

9:31a list of the roughly 100 companies that

9:34supplied the parts to build them. This

9:36seems like a major oversight, but Dutch

9:39intelligence had been watching him for a

9:41while. They were quite suspicious, of

9:43course, but Khan was never arrested.

9:46Years later, a former Dutch prime

9:48minister or Lubers claimed the CIA had

9:50asked the Dutch to leave him alone

9:52because they wanted to follow him and

9:54see where the trail led. How much the

9:56CIA really knew and when is still

9:58disputed. But where Khan went was

10:01Pakistan. And Pakistan wanted a bomb

10:03badly. See, in 1971, Pakistan had lost a

10:07war to India and lost half of its own

10:09country in the process when East

10:11Pakistan broke away to become

10:12Bangladesh. Then in 1974, India tested a

10:16nuclear bomb. Pakistan's leaders now had

10:19an existential crisis on their hands. So

10:21their prime minister made a promise. He

10:23said his people would eat grass. They

10:25would go hungry, but they would build a

10:27bomb of their own. Khan gave them the

10:29way to do it and China helped them

10:32finish it. Khan built a secret

10:34enrichment complex at a place called

10:36Kahuta, spending uranium on centrifuges

10:38that were direct copies of the ones he

10:40had left behind in Europe. Where China

10:42comes into the picture is the most

10:44controversial part. According to

10:46accounts, a Pakistani military plane

10:48flew out of western China carrying

10:50enough weaponsgrade uranium for two

10:52bombs and along with it a tested Chinese

10:55bomb design. A literal blueprint for a

10:58working warhead small enough to fit on a

11:00missile. By the late 1990s, Pakistan was

11:03ready. And in 1998, its neighbors gave

11:06it the perfect excuse. In May, India

11:08tested five nuclear weapons in two days.

11:11It took just 17 days before Pakistan

11:13designated five nuclear devices at once

11:16underground in the mountains of

11:17Baluchistan. 2 days later, it tested

11:19[music] another. Pakistan was now

11:22officially a nuclear power, the seventh

11:25in the world. Abdul Karia Khan was now a

11:27national hero, the father of the Islamic

11:30bomb. And he could have stopped there.

11:33He didn't. And what he did next did more

11:35to spread the bomb across the planet

11:37than any spy or war did before because

11:41Khan realized he could sell everything

11:43he knew to others, seeing as he knew the

11:45entire supply chain. So he did. The

11:48investigators who later took the network

11:50apart described it as a nuclear Walmart.

11:54Khan had a menu. At the cheap end,

11:56individual centrifuge components at a

11:58higher price bracket, complete machines,

12:00and at the top, something close to a

12:02full starter kit for a bomb program with

12:04the designs to go with it. The

12:06manufacturing was spread across the

12:08world to stay hidden. Centrifuge parts

12:10were made in Malaysia. Other components

12:12came through workshops in Turkey and

12:14suppliers in Europe. Everything funneled

12:16through the port of Dubai where it was

12:18relabeled and shipped on. His customers

12:20were exactly the kind of regimes the

12:22whole system had been built to stop. The

12:24first was Iran in the late 1980s buying

12:27the centrifuge technology that sits at

12:29the center of the Iranian nuclear crisis

12:31to this day. [music] Then North Korea.

12:33North Korea had missiles that Pakistan

12:35wanted. Pakistan through Khan had

12:37enrichment technology that North Korea

12:38wanted. So they traded missiles for

12:41centrifuges. And in 2003, North Korea

12:44walked out of the non-prololiferation

12:45treaty [music] entirely. The only

12:47country ever to do so. And it started

12:50building openly. Its first nuclear test

12:52in 2006 was so weak it may have partly

12:55failed. But they kept going. By 2017, it

12:58tested what it claimed was a

13:00thermonuclear weapon with a force that

13:02at the high end of the estimates was

13:04more than 10 times the size of the bomb

13:06that destroyed Hiroshima. So that's

13:08North Korea. But Khan wasn't done

13:10because there was one customer that

13:12eventually led to Khan being caught. And

13:14that customer was Libya. See, Libya's

13:17dictator Muhammad Gaddafi wanted the

13:20bomb, and he had plenty of oil money to

13:22pay for it. So, he bought deep into

13:24Khan's network. We're talking

13:25centrifuges, components, as well as a

13:27copy of that Chinese bomb design. China

13:30had given Pakistan back in 1982. The

13:32only problem, however, was that Libya

13:34didn't really have the scientists to

13:36make any of this work, giving Western

13:38intelligence time to infiltrate the

13:41network by reading its mail. In October

13:432003, it was finally time to make their

13:46move. a cargo ship called the BBC China

13:48was sailing from Dubai toward Libya.

13:50Intelligence agencies had diverted to a

13:52port in Italy where they opened it up

13:54inside where the five shipping

13:56containers with what was supposed to be

13:58used machine parts. They were however

14:00full of centrifuge components made in

14:02Malaysia bound for Gaddafi's bomb. This

14:05was the turning point. Faced with the

14:07evidence and with the recording of an

14:09intercepted phone call from inside his

14:11own program that Western agents played

14:13for his own officials, Gaddafi folded.

14:16And in December 2003, Libya announced it

14:19was giving up its entire weapons program

14:21and handed everything over, including

14:23the bomb design, which is how the world

14:25finally saw exactly what Khan had been

14:27selling. Now, while this was a major

14:29success, it still left one problem. Khan

14:33and Pakistan. The world knew Pakistan

14:36had been a play with Khan at the front

14:37line which wasn't a good look for

14:39Pakistan. So on the 4th of February

14:412004, Abdul Khadia Khan appeared on

14:43Pakistani national television and

14:45confessed. He said he felt the deepest

14:48sorrow and regret and took the whole

14:50blame. Almost no expert believes he

14:52hacked alone though. Running a nuclear

14:55smuggling operation for over a decade,

14:57shipping centrifuges out of a military

14:59guarded facility without the army or the

15:01intelligence service knowing is not

15:03something serious people find credible.

15:05How much senior Pakistani officials

15:07really knew remains disputed. But it

15:10didn't matter because the very next day

15:12the president of Pakistan pardoned him.

15:15He was placed under house arrest,

15:17treated gently, and Pakistan never once

15:19allowed the international inspectors or

15:21American investigators to question him

15:23directly. He was quietly released a few

15:26years later. So, was one man really

15:28responsible for arming multiple

15:30dictatorships? Well, not

15:32single-handedly. North Korea had its own

15:34reactor. Iran and Libya still needed

15:36their own scientists and their own

15:38decisions. And Khan almost certainly had

15:40his own government standing behind him.

15:43But no single person in history did more

15:45to spread the ability to build a nuclear

15:47weapon than him. And this is the moment

15:49the story changes because when a nation

15:51acquires a nuclear bomb, it is very

15:54unlikely to just give it up. Gaddafi

15:56surrendered his program and died.

15:58Ukraine surrendered its warheads and was

16:00invaded by one of the countries that

16:02promised to protect it. North Korea kept

16:05building and no foreign army has ever

16:07tried to remove its government. That

16:09does not prove nuclear weapons keep you

16:11safe, but it creates an extraordinary

16:13powerful reason to believe they do. With

16:15this lesson in mind, we can now look to

16:16the future and investigate those who are

16:18looking to acquire a nuclear weapon.

16:21Next, starting with Iran. Iran has spent

16:24decades and enormous sums building up

16:26the exact technology Khan sold.

16:28Basically, centrifuges used to enrich

16:31uranium. And it has enriched that

16:32uranium to 60% which is far beyond what

16:35any civilian power reactor needs. 60% is

16:38still below the roughly 90% you need for

16:40a weapon. But by the time you reach 60,

16:43most of the hard enrichment work is

16:45already done. And Iran is the only

16:47country in the world without nuclear

16:49weapons that has stockpiled uranium

16:51enriched to that level on this scale. By

16:53the middle of 2025, according to the

16:55national inspectors, Iran had built up a

16:57stockpile of around 440 kg of that

17:00material. In June 2025, Israel and the

17:03United States tried to end the program

17:05by force. American bombers hit Iran's

17:07main nuclear sites, including Fordo,

17:09deep under its mountain with the largest

17:12bunker busting bombs in the arsenal. The

17:14strikes did enormous damage, but

17:16destroying centrifuges and buildings is

17:18not the same as destroying the uranium.

17:20And that brings us right back to the

17:22mystery from the start of this video,

17:24because the inspectors have not been

17:25able to verify the size, the makeup, or

17:27the location of Iran's enriched uranium

17:30since the war. Maybe some was destroyed

17:33or buried under the wreckage, but we

17:35believe it was mostly moved before the

17:37bombs fell. Now, if Iran achieves

17:40nuclear capability, it could open

17:42Pandora's box because one of its biggest

17:45regional rivals is Saudi Arabia. And the

17:48Saudis may have a shortcut of a bomb of

17:51their own. For years, there have been

17:52reports that Saudi Arabia helped fund

17:54Pakistan's bomb with an understanding

17:56that if the day ever came, Pakistan

17:58would owe them a favor. essentially a

18:01ready-made bomb. Those reports have

18:03never been proven, but the two countries

18:05are unusually close. And in 2025, Saudi

18:08Arabia and nuclear armed Pakistan signed

18:11a mutual defense pact, agreeing that an

18:13attack on one would be treated as an

18:15attack on both. And this is where the

18:17whole 80year story becomes rather

18:19uncomfortable. In 1945, one country knew

18:23how to build the bomb. Four years later,

18:25there were two. then Britain, France,

18:27China, Israel, India, Pakistan, and

18:30North Korea. And almost every single

18:32time, one country getting the bomb

18:34became the reason the next one wanted

18:36it. The only question left is who is

18:39next. But that's it for this video.

18:40Thanks so much for watching and I'll see

18:42you in the next

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