Full transcript
0:03Okay, welcome in. It is Wednesday. It is
0:06time for Total Bases and we've got a
0:08full slate today. All four series are in
0:11action. Didn't know if that would be the
0:13case until late last night, but the
0:15Padres's found a way to get it done and
0:17give us a game four, which means all
0:20eight teams remaining will play today.
0:22And we'll see uh how many of them are
0:24still around after today. A couple of
0:26these series could finish. Uh, I know in
0:29Brian's case he hopes uh the first one
0:31doesn't because that's his guardians um
0:33facing elimination. But first, let's go
0:35around the horn. Tokyo Brandon, I'll
0:36come to you first. How was your Tuesday?
0:40>> Yeah, sorry I wasn't on the show
0:42yesterday. I I wrote you guys about an
0:44hour before and said I'm not I was
0:45having a little too much fun and lost
0:48track of the time. So, my apologies
0:50there. Um, I went 2 and 0 on my $5
0:54plays, so I was pretty happy about that.
0:57uh plus 146 units on the year. Number
1:00one, I took over the number one spot
1:03from Hakee, so I'm happy about that as
1:04well. I have um one play in MLB today,
1:09so feeling good. Feeling good.
1:13>> Yeah, I also slept uh swept $5 Tuesday,
1:16although one was this morning. Uh I had
1:18the Dodgers in Major League Baseball and
1:20I had the LG Twins this morning. So, uh
1:22both players were up for five bucks and
1:25um both plays won. I will say this, I
1:27have a 5% play in Major League Baseball
1:29today. Uh, no, you will not figure out
1:31what it is uh by listening to this show.
1:33I'll make sure of that. Uh, though I
1:35will be still talking about all four of
1:38these games in detail. Listen, I'm 5-0
1:40in the Major League Baseball playoffs
1:42right now. Perfect. So far in the year,
1:44the last two years, I've only had three
1:475% plays in the playoffs. Those are
1:49three and 0 plus 15 units. So, uh, I've
1:52taken a big shot today. Uh, I think I've
1:55sort of put myself in a position to do
1:56so. Uh, so I do have a 5% play in Major
1:59League Baseball today. It will likely be
2:01uh the only one of the playoffs because
2:02Brian, as you know, um, finding edges in
2:05the postseason that you're willing to go
2:075% on is is difficult. Uh, but I think
2:10I've got one today. Brian, how did
2:12Tuesday go for you? Um, anything on the
2:13ice? Anything in bases?
2:15>> Yeah, I in bases I had the Dodgers minus
2:18one and a half and a real nice plus plus
2:21number. thought I was I was definitely
2:23sweating that one out when they got a
2:25double start off the inning, but uh it
2:28won and uh yeah, on big underdogs, you
2:30sweat a lot more, it seems to be. And
2:32then in hockey, I had uh the New York
2:34Rangers under three and a half goals and
2:38uh with like a minute and a half to go,
2:41I was winning and they ended up giving
2:42up five goals. So I ended up losing my
2:44hockey hockey play. So now 12 and three,
2:48is it 11? Yeah, 11 and three. 12 and
2:50three or whatever in the uh hockey start
2:52of the season. But uh I'm glad you've
2:55got a game you like on today's card
2:57because I'm finding the lines pretty
3:00tight at least from the way I handicap.
3:02So hopefully you could talk me into a
3:05play today. One of you guys.
3:07Yeah, that's the that's the goal. Uh
3:09we're the chat is starting to populate.
3:12I should probably re, you know, retweet
3:14the show out, but it looks like we're
3:15getting uh enough people in here. So
3:17let's get it started. Brian, I'm going
3:19to let you start this off uh because it
3:21is your Guardians in the early game that
3:24face elimination out in Chicago this
3:26afternoon. Um the the playoffs have gone
3:30as good as they possibly can to this
3:32point for the White Socks. It just feels
3:34like they haven't really been punched in
3:36the mouth yet. Uh they're just sort of
3:38rolling right along. Everything's
3:40falling into place. Um and that brings
3:42us to game three. Now, of course, the
3:45Guardians having to go not win not one,
3:47but two on the road to keep it uh to
3:49keep it going. So, we've got an
3:51interesting sort of pitching setup here.
3:54I kind of have a good idea of what I
3:56think the White Socks are going to do.
3:57I'm hoping you could talk to me about
3:59how the Guardians might play the
4:01pitching for game three.
4:03>> Yeah, we got Espino and Nukem. Nukem's a
4:05lefty. Uh he's about a 120 favorite
4:08right now. Total eight to the under. I
4:12was hoping to get some decent prices on
4:15seven and a halfs and I was thinking
4:16about playing this game over. I expect
4:19both both openers to go maybe an inning.
4:22Uh Nukem pitched pretty heavily a couple
4:25days ago, so he's not going to go a
4:26little more than a little over an inning
4:28if he can. And Espino's been good at the
4:30short times. But, uh, Cleveland's
4:32probably going to go with, uh,
4:36with Foster Griffin here. And, uh, he
4:40will be facing off, uh, likely against,
4:44uh, the the majority of the, of the game
4:46for the White Sox are going to go with,
4:49uh, Davis Martin, I believe. So,
4:54I'm neither one of these guys are coming
4:57in um or the ace type starters. Uh so, I
5:02I would expect more runs in this game.
5:06Um like I said, I was I prefer the seven
5:09and a half over the eight, but I'm not I
5:11don't want to lay the 120 one, you know,
5:13125 out there right now on the over. Um,
5:16Cleveland just hasn't hit in in Chicago
5:19as you mentioned, everything that they
5:21have done is worked out. You even the
5:23other day when they brought in their
5:25best pitcher and had him pitch late, we
5:27both I texted you and I said, "Oh,
5:28what's going on here?" Uh, he didn't
5:30have to pitch a lot, throw a lot of
5:32pitches, but it worked out for him. Um,
5:35but Cleveland's problem has been, and I
5:37read an article on this,
5:40they're when they get down, like the
5:41first six innings are very competitive
5:43at bats, but it so far in this series in
5:45the seventh, eth, and ninth inning,
5:47they're swinging early.
5:49And they're not making the opposition
5:52work. And if you're swinging early, you
5:54don't get as many chances to see, you
5:56know, the opposition screw up when on
5:58one of those pitches. And they they had
6:00the batting averages earlier in the
6:02game. And you know your statistics early
6:04in the game and compared to late and
6:05they're all swinging they're taking like
6:07two pitches to get them out. That was
6:10not a good sign when you're going up
6:12against these really two good uh
6:14relievers for the White Socks. You got
6:16to make those guys work. You you got if
6:19they're playing one game, you got to
6:20make sure that they're not coming back
6:21for the next one. And Cleveland has not
6:23done that. Uh that said, if I'm playing
6:26this game, I I think it's priced
6:29correctly. Um in the 120 range, slightly
6:33to the over. Uh hopefully uh some people
6:36may bet the under here, but slightly to
6:38the over. And that's about all I have on
6:39this one.
6:41>> TB Guardians White Sox, you had a nice
6:43winner the other day with the White
6:44Socks scoring some runs in this uh
6:47series in game two. Uh do you think the
6:49White Sox back to get it going at home
6:51in game three?
6:53Yeah. Uh, quick promo chance here. Uh,
6:57because I took over the number one spot,
6:59Wager Talk put together a promo for me.
7:01My KBO, Japanese baseball, MLB rest of
7:05all three seasons for $99. You can get
7:07that at my page at wagertalk.com.
7:10Um, we don't have the double play to
7:12promote anymore. I'm sad. But, uh, so
7:14you guys can promote whatever you got
7:16going because I know both of you are
7:18redhot doing football. So, and Brian 12
7:21and three in hockey is not too shabby
7:23either. Um, in this game, uh, I'll be
7:28flat up honest with you. I really don't
7:30know how to bet this to be honest.
7:32Foster Griffin, Davis Martin, they're
7:34both pretty reliable guys, but, uh,
7:36they're expected numbers are below
7:38average for both of them. Uh, both
7:41lineups hitting pretty well. Um,
7:45yeah, I think the Guardians have a
7:48bullpen advantage, but uh the White Sox
7:51are coming on with that bullpen and they
7:53didn't use some of their leverage arms.
7:55So, White Sox's very dangerous team here
7:58today. Um,
8:01I would think the Guardians are not
8:03going to uh go down that easy, but I
8:06could be wrong. I mean, the White Sox
8:08are playing better baseball to be
8:10honest, but I don't know. Davis Martin
8:14had a great start to the season and he
8:15tailed off at the end. Actually, both of
8:17these pitchers had a great start to the
8:19season and tailed off towards the end.
8:21Uh, might see some runs here. I don't
8:23know how to bet it to be honest, so I'm
8:25going to stay off this one.
8:28>> Yeah, I'm glad you brought up Davis
8:29Martin. um reason I don't think you've
8:31seen him yet in the playoffs and and the
8:34reason that they're kind of I think
8:35hesitant to put him out there is he had
8:37a a calf injury late in the season. Um
8:40didn't get a ton of publicity but like
8:44it's definitely something I read that he
8:45is is still potentially dealing with. So
8:49I think that's why you you haven't
8:50you've seen them hesitant to go to him
8:53so far in the postseason. Um it's going
8:55to be here's the thing. It's going to be
8:57really interesting to to see how the
8:59White Socks manage this game and how
9:02this game is going to go. Like the
9:03reason Tokyo Brandon, I think I I am
9:06agreeing with you, it's really difficult
9:07to bet this series in this White Socks
9:09Guardians game is because Will Venal is
9:12literally just managing inning by
9:14inning. Like the plan changes very
9:16quickly. Brian and I texted on um
9:19Tuesday during that game. Listen,
9:21sometimes you make a bad decision that
9:23that works out. putting Grant Taylor in
9:26to the end of that game on on Tuesday
9:29was not a great decision. Um he gave up
9:32two balls that were about a foot away
9:34from going over the wall. And if either
9:36of those balls leaves the ballpark,
9:39suddenly everyone's like that was a
9:41terrible decision, right? Like putting
9:43Grant Taylor in after, you know,
9:44throwing four innings, uh it was clear
9:47in the eighth inning uh that his, you
9:50know, his stuff wasn't super sharp and
9:52he he kind of just got away with it at
9:54the end of the game. um how I think the
9:56white if you're the White Sox and you're
9:58venomable, you absolutely cannot mess up
10:03having Hagen Smith and Grant Taylor for
10:06game four in my opinion. Like that is
10:09your best chance to win a game, one of
10:12these three games the rest of the way is
10:15to be able to have Hagen Smith and Grant
10:16Taylor go as many innings as possible in
10:19the same game. I think Grant Taylor's
10:22unavailable today. I I I know again I
10:24didn't think he was going to be
10:25available in game two, but after
10:27throwing in game two and after Adele and
10:30um I forget who else it was took, you
10:32know, hit the ball basically about an
10:34inch away from going out of the
10:35ballpark. I think you you shelf Taylor
10:37till game four because if you lose
10:40today, not a big deal. You still have
10:42two cracks to win it. Here is how I see
10:44the pitching going for the White Socks.
10:46You're going to get Nukem to open and
10:49then Venible is going to just try to buy
10:51himself time to see what is going on in
10:54the game. Meaning, do I have a lead? Am
10:56I behind? I think if it's still tied
10:58after Nukem, he goes to another guy to
11:02to basically see what's going on.
11:03Whether it's Davis Martin, it could be
11:05Eric Fetty, uh he could go uh Noah
11:08Schultz, Sandlin, you know, like he's
11:12not going to you and because I saw like
11:14Hagen Smith balk innings. I don't think
11:16you're gonna see Hagen Smith early in
11:17this game because I I just don't think
11:20it's in his best interest to burn him
11:23unless he thinks Hagen Smith is g is
11:25gonna go in and close it out for the
11:26win. So, if the White Socks get to like
11:29the seventh inning or so with a lead, I
11:31think you see Hagen Smith come in and
11:33try to finish the game and they'll go
11:34for the win today. I So, I'm I'm I'm
11:37guessing Hagen Smith has been told
11:39you're either going to be ready to close
11:40this game or open tomorrow. that that's
11:44how I think that they're going to play
11:45it. So, what that means is tied or
11:49behind, I think you're going to see the
11:50guys you really haven't seen yet this
11:52series. Fetty for a couple, maybe Davis
11:55Martin if he's healthy, um some of the
11:57bullpen guys because the White Socks
11:59absolutely cannot mess up the Hagen
12:02Smith, Grant Taylor for like six innings
12:04in game four to win this series. If
12:07that's is that enough to put you on the
12:09Guardians,
12:10maybe. I mean, if you know, like, let's
12:13say, you know, Brian, that you don't
12:15have to see Smith or or Taylor here.
12:18Guardians at a plus price kind of makes
12:21a little bit of sense, but man, like the
12:24White Socks, they've just been going for
12:25the jugular jugular all series. And if
12:28they get that lead, like rest assured,
12:30he's going to try to win the game today.
12:31That's why this makes that's why this is
12:33such a difficult handicap.
12:36Maybe uh with the information the way
12:39it's playing out in your mind uh gives
12:41us a little bit more support on the
12:43over. I think because you are I think
12:44you'll get lesser pitchers in the game.
12:46Uh he they don't need to win. They've
12:48proven they can win in Cleveland. Um
12:51obviously they do want to win but it's
12:53not a priority. Uh while it's a priority
12:56for Cleveland.
12:57>> Yeah. Like there's a there's a scenario
12:59where the the Guardians have a a lead in
13:02this game and they just let Eric Fetty
13:04go out there and pitch the last five
13:06innings or or something like that where
13:08it's like, you know, he he needs
13:10innings. He hasn't really pitched he
13:11hasn't pitched all playoffs, I don't
13:13think. Uh maybe he appeared in the
13:14Astros series at one point, but I think
13:16you could see something like that where
13:18if the Guardians take an early lead,
13:20they just hand the ball to one of the
13:22starters that they haven't been using as
13:23a starter and say, "Go finish this
13:25game." And uh yeah, if that's the case
13:27and you're seeing someone like a Fetti
13:29or a Davis Martin the second time
13:31through the order, I think you may have
13:33some chances for for some runs in that
13:35scenario. So yeah, that's a good that's
13:36a good uh good point.
13:40All right, let's move on. Tokyo Brandon,
13:42I'll let you kick this one off. Uh
13:44Yamamoto was incredible last night.
13:45Brian and I talked about that game
13:48yesterday. I had a feeling that uh it
13:50was a little mispriced with Yamamoto
13:52against Sale. I have Yamamoto being the
13:54better starter. I think Yav I think the
13:56Dodgers are I would say slightly a
13:58better team. Uh and they got the job
14:00done. That being said, game four much
14:03more interesting to me. Um I think this
14:05is a much uh more com like sort of
14:08competitive matchup both ways, but
14:10surprisingly the books are telling you
14:12that this is the the the more
14:14advantageous spot for the Dodgers with
14:16how they're pricing this game. So
14:17Dodgers Braves game four, Tokyo Brandon,
14:20kick us off.
14:22Yeah, Tyler Molly going and uh Glassnau.
14:27Um
14:28Tyler versus Tyler. So, uh Molly's not a
14:32guy who I've liked a lot when he was in
14:36San Francisco. Uh but my numbers like
14:39him a lot. Um he's been pitching well in
14:42the playoffs. Uh and
14:45his numbers against the Dodgers really
14:47good actually. 208 average against and a
14:50580 OPS against and that's in 130 at
14:53bats against. So both of these pitchers
14:55actually have a good history against the
14:57guys they're facing. Tyler Molli's only
14:59walking 24% of the guys that he's
15:01striking out. Those are dead even
15:03numbers with Tyler Glass now. So he's
15:06getting slighted in as far as I'm
15:08concerned here. I think the Braves plus
15:10one and a half will be pretty good play
15:12here. Um,
15:15unfortunately for the Braves, Tanner
15:16Scott won't be pitching today to uh barf
15:20on the mound again because he appeared
15:21last night and almost barfed on the
15:24mound. So, uh, that's a disadvantage for
15:27them. But, uh, aside from Tanner Scott
15:30and Diaz, the two guys they used
15:32yesterday, their bullpen's been really
15:34good. Um, so I expect a lowscoring game
15:38because both pitchers have pitched well
15:40against the lineups that they're facing.
15:42I would go either first five under or uh
15:45take Atlanta with the plus one and a
15:48half runs. Uh it's probably not a great
15:51number. Uh let's see. Minus 144. Not too
15:55bad. Uh that's how I would go. One of
15:58those two directions.
16:01>> Brian, I thought Tanner Scott was fine
16:02last night. He worked around a walk. It
16:04was a pretty clean inning. and Edwin
16:06Diaz, other than that leadoff double,
16:08buckled in and thankfully that fly ball
16:11didn't go far enough to uh test the
16:13there's no reason to tag and go home
16:14when you're down two, which preserved
16:16your nice plus money winner on the
16:18Dodgers. Um so Dodgers Braves I guess I
16:21can't get over the fact here that it's
16:22like
16:25why why are the Braves I'm sorry. Why
16:27are the Dodgers am I like h how are they
16:30bigger favorites here than they were
16:31yesterday is I guess what I I I'm not
16:34really you know sort of trying to trying
16:36to wrap my head around. Uh Tyler Molly
16:38>> don't like Molly.
16:40>> Yeah. Well, see the thing is like Mal Mi
16:42I think the books were were a little bit
16:43concerned with the abdominal injury that
16:45that he reported before game one. He
16:48said he hasn't felt it since and he went
16:50out and pitched seven innings. So that
16:52so if that quote unquote tweak occurred
16:55prior to game uh two in the wild card
16:59series, he went out and threw seven
17:00innings and says he hasn't field it felt
17:02it since. Sounds like a non-issue to me,
17:05Brian. What do you see uh Braves
17:07Dodgers?
17:08>> Well, two things. Um they seem to
17:09overpriced glass now every game. Uh he's
17:12a big strikeout pitcher. He's a
17:13well-known pitcher. Um and he's good
17:17pitcher. Uh Molly, that was that was my
17:20thought process was the if he if he does
17:24he goes out and pitches and it does come
17:27back again, it's going to shorten his uh
17:30his start. So they're thinking they
17:33could probably get five, six innings out
17:35of glass now and you may only get three
17:36or four innings out of Molly. That's the
17:38only way he's not re I reason I could
17:40see it. Uh I'm I'm in agreement. Uh the
17:43line's too high here on the Dodgers uh
17:46after I played them yesterday. Uh but um
17:52I I'm not finding a whole lot in this
17:55game uh to play it in the situation as
17:58TB pointed out. Maybe the one one and a
18:00half with uh with Atlanta. It's a
18:03lowscoring game. Seven and a half. Let
18:05me see what uh what the spread is here.
18:08You can get Atlanta plus the one and a
18:10half in the 145 range. That's that's not
18:14too bad. Um, but I think the Dodgers a
18:17little bit over overpriced here, but I
18:20don't know if there's enough for me to
18:23get involved at this point. If I knew
18:24Molly would go five uh five really good
18:27innings, I would be on Atlanta here. The
18:29question is
18:31I I there's less of a chance for him to
18:34go five than it is for Glass now. And
18:36then you got to get into the bullpens.
18:37And um both very good bullpens, but
18:41we'll see how that happens. But uh I
18:43don't see enough to get into get
18:44involved in this one.
18:47>> Let let me ask you this though, Brian.
18:48Why does why does Mi need to pitch deep
18:50in this game for you to to for you to
18:52like the Braves? I mean, the bullpen
18:53game worked so good in game two. Why
18:55can't that work again here? It could,
18:57but when you're using the bullpen guys
18:59more often than you want to, and Molly's
19:02a guy, as TB pointed out, he's had
19:04really good numbers against this team,
19:06and he's had he's been on a really nice
19:07role. So, I I would want to get at least
19:10five out of Molly here. Um, I don't want
19:13to put too much pressure on the best
19:15Atlanta relievers because those guys
19:17have carried them all season long and
19:20the less innings. I even talked about
19:22that, you know, with Sale yesterday.
19:25Yeah, he's been there before the whole
19:26thing, but you know, he's got up there
19:28in in pitch in uh innings pitched on the
19:31season and eventually, you know, good
19:34teams are going to hit you and that's
19:36what the Dodgers got a little bit of him
19:38yesterday.
19:40>> Yeah, I mean, um I I still
19:44I guess I it's it's funny because
19:45Dodgers got the win. I bet the Dodgers
19:47yesterday. Um, but I came away with from
19:50that game like less impressed with the
19:53Dodgers than the Braves, if that makes
19:55sense. Like they still didn't really
19:57hit. Um, I mean Kik Hernandez, you know,
20:01gets the two-run bomb and and that sort
20:03of set the tone. I kind of felt like
20:05they would like back their way into
20:08three runs and it was all Yamamoto would
20:10need.
20:10>> I kind of feel like they need a they're
20:12going to need more than three to win
20:14this game. um with with glass now and
20:16then you know the the whoever the
20:18Dodgers decide to go to out of the
20:19bullpen. Um so yeah, I mean I think I
20:22agree with TB um Braves plus one and a
20:25half if if it comes into range. That's
20:28the one thing with the Dodgers. They do
20:30tend to take money on a regular basis.
20:32Now they didn't really yesterday which
20:34was surprising to me. That was kind of
20:36the one game uh game one Dodgers took
20:39some money. Game two, Dodgers took a
20:42boatload of money. huge move in the
20:44money line from like where it opened to
20:46where it went off in game two yesterday.
20:49The Dodgers money wasn't really there.
20:50So, I I wonder if it comes back here. If
20:52it does, I think I'd be willing to play
20:54back against that uh if that plus one
20:56and a half with the Braves drops like 10
20:58to 15 cents, which is very possible it
21:01could. Go ahead, Brian.
21:02>> Yeah, I talked about this yesterday that
21:04they were talking about uh dropping
21:06Otani because he's really struggling. I
21:08read another article and they said they
21:09will. They don't know how far down
21:11they're going to move him, but it's a
21:13little bit of a change since something
21:14they've had all season long. Sometimes
21:16that sparks the team sometimes, yeah,
21:18>> just the opposite. So, we'll have to
21:20see, but he has not been prime time
21:24Otani, and that's one of the reasons why
21:26this offense has struggled. Uh Tucker's
21:29coming along a little bit lately uh in
21:31the last couple of months, but overall,
21:33yeah, the team's been a little bit
21:35disappointing. And uh yeah, Andy Pas
21:40hasn't done nearly as much since he came
21:42back from the injury. So uh they're not
21:44don't look to be a team hitting on all
21:47cylinders offensively.
21:49>> Yeah. And I guess like the the
21:51counterargument when it comes to the
21:52Dodgers is
21:54>> it, and this is something we've talked
21:56about all season, they have so many good
21:57players, they're so deep that it's like,
22:01>> oh, okay, so Otani is not hitting. Um,
22:04let's put Kik Hernandez in the lineup
22:06who's just really good against
22:07left-handed uh pitching, two-run homer,
22:10like they they have so many guys that
22:12could could step up um that it's it's
22:15still like they're one team that, you
22:17know, like just give you a comparison.
22:20If Tatis and Machado and Merryill are
22:23doing nothing for the Padres's, they
22:25don't win, right? Typically, they they
22:27they they're not going to win games. But
22:29like if if Otani is not do you know if
22:31Otani and bets are cold it's probably
22:33Freeman it's probably Will Smith it's
22:35probably Tucker maybe it's Pas that is
22:38TB I I feel like you want to agree with
22:40that they have so many
22:42>> Yeah I mean yeah this is the difference
22:44between elite teams and average to
22:47mediocre teams is like you know the
22:49Orioles if their best hitters are not
22:52hitting the seven eight nine guys are
22:54not going to win the game for you but
22:55the team like the Dodgers the Braves Uh
22:59even the Brewers, although the Brewers
23:00are not exactly a powerhitting team, but
23:03they're six through nine guys, can get
23:05singles just like the one through five
23:07guys. So, uh but the Dodgers just do it
23:09with home runs rather than singles like
23:11the Brewers. But you're right, this is
23:13what separates elite teams, you know, uh
23:16Freeman could step up. Uh Edmund could
23:19step up. They got Tucker could step up
23:21and and the these guys are hitting
23:22seven, eight, nine. So, that's the
23:25difference between a really good team
23:26and and a SOS so team. Yeah, like Brian
23:29even point Brian hat I know he's Dodgers
23:31fan like no one even knows about
23:33Depollin yet. He he he might end up
23:35being the best of all of them when it
23:37when it's all you know at some point in
23:38time um insane upside there and and you
23:42know you could see what happens when he
23:43comes into the game and Atlanta's really
23:45not sure how to pitch him because
23:46they've never seen him before. I mean
23:48that the the options are endless for the
23:50Dodgers. Uh it's why I think they
23:52ultimately probably win this series, but
23:55it's I I think I don't think it's just
23:56going to be a walk in the park uh in
23:58Atlanta today.
24:01>> Um let's go to the chat.
24:03>> Wants Dodgers.
24:05>> Yeah, I I don't know if I I think I
24:08don't I don't buy into that. NFL wants
24:10so team to go to the Super Bowl. MLB
24:12wants so team. They're going to make
24:14their money no matter who's in the World
24:15Series. They don't give a rip. They
24:19don't want the Kings going to the uh
24:22>> Yeah, right.
24:23>> That was the only time in the past that
24:24I can actually say that Yeah. something
24:26was up.
24:28>> The NBA is not going to fold though.
24:30>> You know, if the Kings go and you know
24:34>> that that was one of the great alltime
24:36robberies. Um that that team absolutely
24:38deserved to be
24:39>> playing for a championship. I love Jason
24:42Williams when I was a kid. I actually
24:43had Sacramento Kings gear just because
24:45of him because they were just so cool.
24:47um when I was uh when I was a kid.
24:50>> Um Adam Pudbiter says, "Uh good morning
24:53guys. Hey Brian, is that oddslogic code
24:55still available?"
24:56>> I believe it is. It's wt.
25:01Leonardo lic.
25:08>> Go grab it.
25:09>> And is that they just uh upgraded, by
25:12the way, just yesterday. I haven't had a
25:14chance to look at it. So they it's even
25:15better than it was last week. So, yeah.
25:18>> So, so if you go to wt.buzzleonardo,
25:22it takes you
25:23>> it takes you that's the short that's the
25:25shortcut to get there. Yeah.
25:27>> All right. That's awesome. Yeah, that's
25:28a must. That that's a mustave. Um if if
25:31you're trying to do this and do this on
25:34your own and and win, you need a good
25:36odds screen. And uh Oddslogic for for
25:39the money is is and the layout, you
25:42know, it's as good as of a product as
25:44you're going to find out there for sure.
25:48Shout out to my guy, Alex Ran. First,
25:50uh, thank you for the donation. Uh,
25:52appreciate, uh, you know, appreciate the
25:54donations when, you know, you're going
25:55to get all the games. Um, but he comes
25:57in and says, "This is why I listen to
25:59you three. You can't get uh this type of
26:02in-depth breakdown on YouTube with
26:03pitching, bullpen, manager thinking,
26:05etc." Yeah. I mean, listen, we do this
26:07every day, uh, six days a week, all
26:10season long. I like to think it puts us
26:12in a uh pretty good position to to
26:14thoroughly break these games down when
26:16the playoffs come around. Go ahead,
26:18Brian.
26:18>> Yeah, there's somebody in one of the
26:20chats the other day that mentioned that,
26:22oh, I hear too many ums or a what? I
26:25said, we're not professionals. I said,
26:27if you want to listen to professional
26:29talking heads, turn on ESPN. I says, if
26:31you want to win money,
26:33>> they're not giving you anything there
26:34that can make you win money. So it, you
26:37know, we're we're
26:38>> yeah,
26:39>> I'm not I don't believe, you know,
26:41>> I have no problem with that. I listen to
26:43people to try to tell you that I don't
26:45know.
26:45>> If you're paying attention to what
26:47someone looks like or how someone talks
26:49instead of the betting information,
26:51you're never going to win anyway. You're
26:52going to be a losing better for the rest
26:53of your life. So give me a break.
26:55>> Yeah. Well, and we come in and do this
26:57show off the dome. Like I mean, granted,
26:59like we know what we're going to talk
27:01about a little bit, but
27:03>> no no script here. No teleprompter.
27:05>> Yeah,
27:06>> I'm looking at my dog right now. I don't
27:08have a teleprompter. It's all I got.
27:10He's not giving me any information.
27:11>> He's giving you any winners.
27:13>> He doesn't give winners. No, he just
27:16takes.
27:17>> He He only takes
27:20>> He only takes. Yeah, he he's
27:22>> My attire is not is not sending him into
27:25a barking frenzy. Not yet.
27:28>> Some giant bananas coming into the room.
27:30>> If you were out front if you were out
27:31front, he could see you out the window.
27:33He'd be bark. And that's for for
27:35absolute certainty. But um but yeah,
27:37let's uh uh but yeah, let's let's move
27:39on.
27:39>> I was out front. Your your your
27:42significant other would be calling the
27:43police. I think
27:45>> that's
27:48Yeah,
27:49>> I'm in the wrong part of town.
27:50>> You You would look out of place in
27:52Onida, New York. That is for
27:55Yeah.
27:57>> Um probably not New York City, though.
27:59You fit right in in New York City where
28:01the next
28:01>> fit in. Absolutely. with with with with
28:04a hoe on each arm. Absolutely.
28:07>> Uh listen, I think the Yankees are
28:09probably thrilled uh that this game is
28:11back in the Bronx because the trap
28:14turning into a little bit of a house of
28:15horrors for them. Um they did not play
28:18very good in the in the first two games
28:20of the series. They have not played
28:22great at the trap. You know, and again,
28:24I'm going off of of memory a little bit
28:26here, but like I don't know. I just feel
28:28like the Yankees don't play particularly
28:30well in that building. Uh, now they get
28:32to come back home.
28:35Brian, it's really tough for me to see
28:36the Yankees getting swept here in this
28:38series. I thought they'd win this series
28:40going in, but I also thought that they'd
28:43find a way to get one of those games in
28:45in in Tampa, and now they come back down
28:48two nothing, but they have a a
28:50considerable, I would say, advantage in
28:52game three with Freed over Nick Martinez
28:55and this game being at home. Question
28:57is, do you want to take a stab at them
28:59at that price? Yankees raised game
29:00three. How you seeing this one?
29:02>> Yeah, Martinez against Freed. Freed the
29:03lefty. We're looking at about a 160
29:07price on the Yankees. Seven to the over,
29:09seven and a half to the under. A little
29:11bit more. So,
29:14uh yeah, I had the same agreement. I I I
29:17thought that the Yankees uh would take
29:20some money here. It's not. It's It's
29:24about where it opened up, so it hasn't
29:26been much action on it, but I'd rather
29:28have Free Martinez. Mine has had a great
29:31season, but I'd also rather have the
29:34more consistent team that doesn't have
29:35to depend on home runs, and that's Tampa
29:37Bay. Um, the Yankees really have not
29:41been a very good hitting team this year.
29:43I know I know their best players been
29:45out all year, and uh that's going to
29:47affect anybody. Uh, but overall, are
29:51they the better hitting team than Tampa
29:53Bay? I don't know. Uh, it's the spot
29:56screams the Yankees. If they're going to
29:58win any game, this would be give them
30:00the best chance of winning. And I do
30:02think they're going to win. But do I
30:03really want to lay this number? Uh Tampa
30:06Bay is a young, hungry team that has
30:08been knocked out of the playoffs many
30:09times. Are they satisfied with having a
30:12two nothing lead? I don't think so. I
30:13think they want to go out and win here.
30:16And they played very well against the
30:17Yankees. Even in the regular season,
30:19Tampa Bay was a good tough matchup for
30:22the Yankees.
30:24I think the Yankees going to win. I
30:26can't get to the point of laying this
30:28kind of number. Um, that's the way I'm
30:30looking at it. Tampa Bay is too well of
30:33a coach, too such a great organization
30:36that they're never a dead team when it
30:39comes to a spot. There's there's never a
30:40spot out there. It's like Milwaukee
30:42where you could say, "Oh, this is
30:44probably not a good spot." Both of these
30:46teams have proven to me all season long
30:48that, you know, you a lot of teams you
30:50can handicap the spots and say, "This is
30:52clearly a spot that it's not important."
30:55They they have enough depth on these on
30:57Milwaukee and uh in Tampa Bay to be able
30:59to win these type of games. So like the
31:01Yankees can't lay that number.
31:04>> Tokyo Brandon Yankees raised in the
31:06Bronx. How do you see this one?
31:08>> You guys in the chat are probably right.
31:10I need a feather for this hat. That
31:12would just top it off. Uh and I would
31:15set myself apart from Curious George's
31:18friend. So yeah, I might get a feather
31:21for it for the next for the next time. I
31:23I have about 50 hats in my closet. So,
31:25anyways, I might get a feather. That's a
31:27good idea, you guys. I like that. Um,
31:30here's how I see this guy. Look, the the
31:32Rays should not be m minus what what are
31:35they? M Nobody should be minus 166
31:38against the Rays. Uh, Rays are too good.
31:41I don't care who's pitching. Uh, so
31:46here's how I see this coming out. Freed
31:48has amazing numbers against these guys.
31:50So runs are going to be hard to come by.
31:52But Nick Martinez,
31:54even if I put his expected numbers in,
31:56he's he's a slightly better than
31:58mediocre. And his numbers against the
32:01Yankees are mediocre as well. So can the
32:04Yankees score two or three runs on him?
32:07If they can,
32:09and if they can not drop the ball three
32:14times, I think they can win the game.
32:16But they play like the bad news bears.
32:18So, uh, you know, it's it's it's swing
32:22for the fences and and drop the ball. I
32:25mean, they honestly look like a high
32:26school team. It's really embarrassing
32:28watching this team play defense, but if
32:31they can if they can if they can cobble
32:34cobble together three runs, I think they
32:37can win this game. Actually, I expect
32:38this to be extremely lowcoring. Freed
32:41Frerieded will hold the Rays down. Uh,
32:43they're not scoring four runs against
32:45Max Freed. Um, I don't think I could be
32:49wrong, but uh I see this like a two
32:52nothing game after five innings and then
32:54if the Yankees can avoid uh dropping the
32:57ball three times, yeah, I think they
32:59might be able to hold on. The Rays have
33:01a better bullpen, but like I've said
33:02before, the bullpen only matters if
33:04you're winning or if it's a close game.
33:09>> Yeah, I I wouldn't be I wouldn't be that
33:11surprised if the Yankees blew up Nick
33:13Martinez. Like it it's that that's where
33:16now if Martinez can be good and get the
33:20ball to some of the Rays better
33:21relievers like don't count the Rays out
33:24in like a like a close game where they
33:26can get the ball to their sort of like
33:27leverage bullpen arms and try to go go
33:30because I do think the Rays will go for
33:32it here. I don't I don't think if you if
33:34I think the Rays I think Kevin Cash have
33:37been been around long enough where it's
33:38like don't let the Yankees get one,
33:41right? you let the Yankees get one and
33:43suddenly now game four is at the in the
33:45Bronx and then they've got momentum and
33:47and before you before you blink you're
33:50in a winner take all series in game
33:51five. So I don't think the Rays are
33:53going to like take the foot off the gas
33:55here at all. My my concern in this one
33:58is Nick Martinez this year has a a
34:02bottom 5% in Major League Baseball
34:05strikeout rate. He doesn't strike guys
34:06out. He doesn't get a ton of swing and
34:08miss. um he he lives in the zone. He's
34:11not gonna he's not gonna put guys on.
34:13He's not gonna walk anyone. But the way
34:15that the Yankees set up, especially with
34:17some of these uh I I've said all year
34:19they set up better against right-handed
34:21pitching. Um especially with the current
34:24lineup, right? So where where they where
34:27Aaron Judge being out really hurts this
34:30team is against lefties. Uh because the
34:32Yankees are already not going to have
34:34their optimal lineup against left-handed
34:36pitching. against the right-handed
34:38pitcher, you've got Luis Garcia in
34:40there. Cody Bellinger has been really
34:42good since coming off the IIL. Ben Rice
34:44is better against right-handed pitching.
34:47And and you know, if you look at this
34:49team where it's like, okay, well, they
34:50need to rely on the long ball a little
34:52bit. I I kind of think Nick Martinez is
34:55a guy he can take deep a couple of
34:56times, especially in this ballpark. We
34:59know Nick Martinez, some of his success
35:01this year has come from the fact that he
35:03plays at Tropicana Field. It's not a
35:05It's not a great ballpark for for
35:07hitters. The ball doesn't carry inside
35:10that dome like it does at some of the
35:12other stadiums. It tends to be a pretty
35:14good pitcher park. Whereas like Yankee
35:16Stadium I I think is a little bit better
35:19for for the hitters at least over the
35:21course of the season. Now I I don't know
35:24uh Brian's our weather guy. I don't know
35:26how some of the temperatures are are
35:27going to affect the way the ball travels
35:29here, so on and so forth, but it just
35:31seems like the Yankees could take him
35:33deep a couple of times and like put
35:35themselves in pretty good position to
35:36win game three. So, I I do lean toward
35:38the Yankees here, but that price still
35:41puts me off because you're still you're
35:42still going against the Rays who I think
35:45you can make a case for the better team
35:47all around here. Um, and giving them a
35:49pretty good plus price, but but my gut
35:51says this one is where I I think the
35:53Yankees get one. I don't know. I just
35:55don't see them getting swept. Uh but
35:57yeah, I'm kind of coming around to maybe
35:59the Rays V and the better of these two
36:00teams.
36:02>> Game opened at minus 145. So if you
36:04could have grabbed that number, I might
36:06have been a little more agreeable
36:08because Freed has just been amazing
36:10against these guys, but minus 165. The
36:14raise should not be minus 165 dogs to
36:17anybody in my
36:20>> Yeah, so it did jump. Um that that's a
36:22good point. I I had minus 145 jotted
36:24down here. It seems like it's jumped
36:26from the open. I guess not surprising. I
36:29I guess the common um I think most
36:32people will look at this and say the
36:34Yankees are going to get one in the
36:35Bronx. And I I may be most people in
36:38that one. I kind of think they get one
36:40in the Bronx here. So, uh
36:42>> could be tight though. Could be tight.
36:44If Martinez is on, it'll be a tight
36:47game. But like you said, he he could get
36:49blown up as well. We'll see because some
36:51of the Yankees bats have been cold. Not
36:53only have they been dropping the ball,
36:54but uh it's about time for someone to
36:57catch fire in that lineup. I think maybe
36:59Ben Rice. So, we'll see.
37:04All right, let's head to the late game.
37:06Uh Brewers Padres's definitely has been
37:09the I think kind of the craziest series
37:12so far. Um, I think if you look at the
37:1427 innings these two teams have played,
37:18I mean, it's been it's been pretty much
37:20neck and neck. I think you could make
37:22case that the Padres's have have been
37:23the better team over the 27 innings, but
37:26you know, the Brewers end up losing last
37:27night despite out hitting the Padres's
37:2911 to6. I think it's just been a really,
37:31really good competitive series. Uh, and
37:34now we go to a game four that looks like
37:36it's going to be another really, really
37:37good competitive game. Uh, Brian, we've
37:40got I'll let you kick this one off. I
37:42guess we have some question marks with
37:43the pitching,
37:45>> but I kind kind of feel like I know what
37:46I'm gonna get from both of these teams.
37:48Uh, so where are you going with Brewers
37:50Padres's?
37:51>> Yeah, right now it's undecided for
37:53Milwaukee against Beller. Uh, we're
37:55looking at uh basically San Diego's
37:57about a 112 favorite, seven and a half
37:59to the under. Um, I've I have an idea
38:03that Gasser will get uh the majority of
38:06the innings for Milwaukee. uh they have
38:10three or four guys that have pitched in
38:12their starting rotation so far this
38:13season, I would expect them to use a
38:16couple of those guys. So, uh even though
38:18they had like a bullpen game, um they're
38:22they're going to be in pretty good
38:23shape. They they've got a very deep
38:24pitching staff for Milwaukee and so I
38:27would prefer any of those guys over
38:29Buler right now. So, it's a slight lean
38:30there for Milwaukee. Um
38:34you we've got Mason Miller on the
38:37paternity list. I haven't heard that his
38:39wife has popped yet. So, don't know if
38:41he will be in the game or not. It it
38:44really didn't matter last game because I
38:47don't think they were going to use him
38:48anyway. So, I think it was like they go,
38:51"Hey, you know, we're going to give him
38:52the time off to spend time with his
38:53wife." And and everybody go, "Well,
38:55should he go? Should I don't think he
38:57was going to pitch anyway, so it didn't
38:58matter." Um, I will say it was from a
39:02comedy standpoint, I thought it was kind
39:04of funny. Somebody on Twitter had
39:06pointed out when they were playing in
39:07Milwaukee that Booking.com was one of
39:10their major, you know, major promoters
39:13and they had their had it right behind
39:15the batter and Michael King was on the
39:18mound for San Diego. And so it basically
39:21said booking.com
39:24and uh somebody pointed that out. I
39:25thought that was funny and that was kind
39:27of clever. Says it's bad enough pitch
39:28there. Now they want you to boo their
39:30starting pitcher. So uh but that was
39:32kind of cool. But, uh, if I'm playing
39:34this one, I'm thinking for a way to play
39:36the Brewers. Um, yes, the two teams have
39:39been right there the whole time. I just
39:42I was I was a Buer fan earlier in the
39:45season. He has not done much for me now.
39:47And I think that uh the Milwaukee
39:49Brewers have a better pitching lineup in
39:52this game to go than San Diego. So,
39:55slight slight edge with Milwaukee right
39:57now. It's the best number I've seen out
39:59there is like plus 100. If I get maybe
40:02plus 108, I may be on the walker.
40:06>> Yeah, Tokyo Brandon. I I haven't been a
40:08huge fan of Walker Beller, but I am kind
40:11of fan a fan of playoff Walker Beller,
40:13who always seems to reserve his best
40:16efforts of the season for the playoffs.
40:18Um, in his uh career, 19 appearances, 18
40:23starts in the playoffs, 3.04 RA, 114
40:28strikeouts. So, I I mean, I don't I
40:31don't know what there is to that, but at
40:33at the very least, he seems to show up
40:36when the lights are the brightest. The
40:37question is, can he show up to keep the
40:39Padres season going here? Padres's
40:41Brewers, how do you see this one?
40:44>> Jack Faulk with the very cute little
40:46doggy boots on the ground at the White
40:48Socks game. Enjoy that, my friend. Uh,
40:51should be a pretty good game. Should see
40:53some runs in there, so enjoy that game.
40:55Freeird is also in the house. Uh, number
40:59one, all sports in 2026, you can get the
41:02rest of my KBO, Japanese, and MLB for
41:05$99. So, that's my special. You guys
41:07need to tell them what your specials are
41:09before we close the show out. Um, I
41:12would promote all of us, but our double
41:14play is not there anymore. So, um, uh, I
41:17don't know why the Brewers are underdogs
41:19here. Makes no sense to me. They're 10
41:21times better team in my opinion. And
41:24Robert Gasser, look, look at his last
41:26starts. five innings, seven innings, six
41:28inning. He's given up two earned runs in
41:30three starts. Uh he's a much better
41:33pitcher than Walker Beller. And the
41:34Brewers are a much better I don't know
41:36why they're underdogs here. I think
41:37they're going to destroy the Padres's
41:39today. Maybe I'm high. Well, I probably
41:42am, but I don't see I don't see
41:45>> I'm sure you didn't make the show.
41:48>> I was something.
41:51But uh I don't see why the Brewers are
41:52underdogs. And I think they I think they
41:55take the Padres's to the woodshed here.
41:57I like Gasser much better than Buer. So
42:00that's my take on the game.
42:03>> So
42:04some interesting stuff in in play here.
42:06So first of all, someone in the chat
42:08said, "You don't take criticism." Well,
42:10you guys are not very professional. No,
42:12like listen, we're just uh we're we're
42:14professional betterers. They just threw
42:16a camera in front of us. Like I'm
42:18actually we've gotten a lot more
42:21professional on the show. We we were
42:22doing the show five years ago. It would
42:24have I think we've all gotten better on
42:26camera. Um the problem is if you go get
42:29a nice like uh communications degree,
42:33you're probably not a degenerate
42:35gambler. So you you can't learn the only
42:37way to learn this stuff and be able to
42:38articulate in a betting format, you got
42:40to do it for a very long time. So uh you
42:43know, we are professionals, but we're
42:44professional betterers. Um, not like to,
42:47you know, like like the guy said, we're
42:49we we we're just coming in here to talk
42:51about the games. Um, real quick before I
42:53get back to the game track, man, what's
42:55the sharpest sports book odds on odds
42:57logic? Uh, I would say Pinnacle is
42:59pretty sharp. Brian, do you do you have
43:01any other books that you look at that
43:02are sharper just for a baseline to
43:05starting point on odds logic?
43:08>> Yeah, I' I've got obviously the the
43:11markets, you know, the cali the poly
43:13market and that kind of stuff. I believe
43:16um Pinnacle they have it as primary
43:18market. I also like Betwar
43:23Heritage. I've I've always had problems
43:25beating Heritage so I have to respect
43:28them.
43:28>> Uh Circa in Las Vegas, South Point in
43:31Las Vegas. Those are the ones that I
43:32have at the front. Then at the back end
43:34I have the DraftKings, the FanDuels, the
43:37Fanatics, Hard Rock, all that kind of
43:38thing. So, I've got my sharp books on
43:41the left, I've got my public books on
43:44the right, and when I can uh take what
43:47the sharp guys are telling me on those
43:48books and bet a decent number at the
43:51other, and that's how you make money.
43:53>> Yeah. And and that's right. Like that's
43:55the reason you want to know which books
43:57are sharper than the others is typically
44:00they're they're going to move a line or
44:02or put a line in a position that that
44:04every everyone else is going to end up
44:06coming toward them at some point. So,
44:08Right. Right. Would you say that that's
44:09kind of like it's a good way to like
44:12secure value?
44:13>> Yeah. Anybody who is a good better is
44:17already blocked out of all, you know,
44:18the DraftKings, the FanDuels, and all
44:20those. So, all they're taking in is
44:22public money, people playing parlays,
44:24that kind of thing. If you've got an
44:25account there, don't blow it because
44:27they've got good numbers.
44:28>> Yeah.
44:29>> But, um, so you want to see what they're
44:32betting in in the really good books or
44:33smart books and go over and play it at
44:36the other place.
44:38Uh just to get back to the game for a
44:40second. Um one thing I want to point
44:41out, the Brewers have now lost 12
44:43straight road playoff games.
44:45>> Yes.
44:47>> Uh stuff like that. I'm not a I'm not a
44:49huge fan of like trends and stuff like
44:51that. Listen, this Brewers team was not
44:54the team that lost all those playoff
44:56games. I think some of that is like, you
44:58know, gets it is a little overblown.
45:01Like this team, this Brewers team has
45:04only lost one road playoff game. They
45:06didn't lose the previous 12. So, it's
45:09like, you know, but what what I will say
45:11about them being on the road here and
45:13and and maybe the pricing of this of
45:16this game, I think like yesterday the
45:19Padres's I think were minus 130 minus
45:21135 and they won the game and like I I
45:26thought the matchup was similar to the
45:28matchup today yet now they're only minus
45:31110, right? It's - 110 both ways. I
45:34think what's being priced in here is a
45:37little uncertainty. Uh I think the books
45:39are waiting for Milwaukee to name a
45:41starter and they want to make sure that
45:44that starter's name is not Jacob
45:45Miseroski because they would get
45:47slaughtered on where they would have to
45:48move the number. Now I don't think
45:50there's a chance that you see Miz in
45:52this game. Reason being Tokyo Brandon
45:55shaking his head. Yeah. He's he's talked
45:57about not liking P, you know, he he's
45:59talked about the mound the oppo like the
46:01mound at at Miller Park or American
46:03Family, whatever field is is he he's
46:06more comfortable on it than some of the
46:07visitors mounds. He he would be coming
46:09in off short rest. It just doesn't make
46:12sense for the Brewers to to do something
46:14out of pocket like that because they've
46:17been so good at home and even if they
46:19were to go out and lose 15 to nothing
46:20here, they still have game five at home.
46:23So, I don't think you're going to see
46:24the Brewers do anything crazy. I think
46:27you're going to probably see some sort
46:28of combination of Robert Gasser and Chad
46:31Patrick and we'll and we'll see if we
46:32can get to the ball at the bullpens and
46:34bullpen guys and see if they can close
46:36out the game. What I will say though is
46:38and I'll come to you Tokyo Brandon. I do
46:39think Mason Miller will be available. I
46:42think he'll be in the bullpen here. I
46:43think the reason part of the reason he
46:45was probably okay with missing last
46:48night's game um other than the birth of
46:50his child I think is a is a reason. But
46:52I think part of the reason he was okay
46:54like just leaving his team hanging right
46:56there is he probably wasn't pitching
46:57anyway. He threw 40 pitches in game two
47:01I think 40 something pitches in game
47:02two. I think that was an easy decision
47:05where he probably wasn't going to go
47:07anyway. Um Adrien [ __ ] [ __ ] is is out.
47:11So he but he looked awful in game one.
47:13He looked like there was something not
47:15right in game one. Uh nearly gave up the
47:17lead in that game. I think he actually
47:19did give up the lead in that game. Ended
47:20three to2. Um so he's out. But I do
47:24think you'll see Mason Miller at the end
47:25of this game with the season online for
47:27the Padres's. TV. Go ahead.
47:30>> There's no reason for the Brewers to
47:31force Misowski to start here. um that I
47:36mean what's all the hate against Gasser?
47:3819 innings he's given up two earned
47:40runs. He's the better pitcher anyways.
47:43So there's no reason to force Miserowski
47:45to to start this game. They're probably
47:47going to win it with Gasser. Gasser is
47:49better than Beller. So I don't get I
47:52don't get
47:53>> counterargument. I'll go to Brian here.
47:56I I I don't know if I'm willing to just
47:58say like Robert Gasser at this point is
48:00a better pitcher than Walker Buer even.
48:02But like maybe this year I guess you I I
48:04think his stuff has more upside than
48:06Ber. I think he has had a better season
48:08than Ber. Are you telling me you'd
48:10rather have Robert Gasser on the road at
48:13Petco Park in a playoff game or would
48:15you have rather have Walker Beller at
48:17home? I I think there's an argument to
48:18be made there. Brian, go ahead.
48:22>> I'm between both of you. Buer stats were
48:25when he was younger and healthier than
48:27than they are now. So um I
48:32Yeah, I I if you would ask me coming in
48:34the season, who do I want? I probably
48:36don't want either one of them in my
48:37starting rotation to be honest with you.
48:39Uh they're probably number six starters
48:41if you ask me. But um yeah, we'll see. I
48:44understand both sides.
48:46>> Starting rotation in a playoff game
48:48though, like once you once either one of
48:51these guys get in trouble, the hook is
48:53going to be this short. They're going to
48:54get jerked out of that game so quick.
48:57Either one of these guys.
48:59>> Yeah. So, I don't expect five innings
49:01from anyone here.
49:02>> Yeah, I definitely think like the the
49:05Padres's will be be quicker to make the
49:07move. I think the Brewers probably have
49:09a little bit more of a a plan in place
49:12where they're going to make sure that
49:14they've like no matter what, they're
49:16going to make sure that they have the
49:18exact lineup that they want to go with
49:20for game five. So, it's going to be
49:22Miseroski to the guy they want to the
49:24guy they want, whereas the Padres's, I
49:26think, would would move on from Beller
49:28quicker. Um, Buer, his most recent
49:30postseason was 2024. Um, 360 erra in
49:35three starts. So, again, I I I don't
49:37know if there's anything to that, but
49:39he's a veteran guy that has has seemed
49:41to pitch better in the playoffs, I
49:43guess, is the point I'm trying to make.
49:47>> Fair enough.
49:47>> Okay,
49:49we have
49:50>> you guys promos. Uh, do you have
49:51football promos? Hockey promos?
49:53>> Well, listen, I
49:55>> Oh, sorry, Adam. What do you got? I'm
49:57just going to tell you, listen, I I I
49:58only come on here and really like hammer
50:00the promo home when when it's like I I I
50:03I I don't typically just like sit here
50:06and try to shove it down your throats,
50:08but I have a 5enter in Major League
50:10Baseball today. I'm 5-0 in the playoffs.
50:12So far this year, I've made three 5% MLB
50:16plays in like the last four years. Um I
50:19didn't have one in 23. I didn't have one
50:22in 22. I I had two in 2024 and one in
50:262025. All three of those 5% plays have
50:29won. I've got a 5enter on this slate. I
50:32feel like if there's one play that you
50:33buy from me, the rest of the playoffs,
50:35it should be today. Uh that's my promo.
50:37It's up on the site now. Um and it will
50:39have full breakdown as always. So, uh
50:42yeah, that's all I've got. Brian, go
50:43ahead.
50:44>> Yeah, by Adams by Adams 5%. Um pretty
50:48much I think we can all agree on that.
50:50Uh they just come up with a pro uh a
50:52little special for me going the rest of
50:54this year. Uh last 14 months number one
50:58handicapper way to talk all sports. Uh
51:00they had me as the last 12 months 124
51:03units uh profit. I think I'm higher than
51:05that. Could go back 14. But uh I also al
51:09also made the uh the um situation where
51:14uh they they've got everything. It's
51:16over 80 days of action for $479.
51:20That's from now through the end of the
51:21season. That takes you through all the
51:23sports. NBA is about to start. College
51:25basketball is about to start. We're
51:26getting into football season to a great
51:29football year. I'm 11 and three in in
51:32hockey. So, if anybody wants to save
51:33some money, you can get close to three
51:36months worth of service for only $479.
51:39Uh, and if you're interested in how to
51:40do that, just go to my page on Wager
51:43Talk. And uh that's what wt.bus/bl
51:48and you can uh get my selections.
51:51>> So if you need to find any of us, go to
51:53wageralk.com and just click experts and
51:56you'll see Adam's name, my name, and
51:58Brian's name there. And you'll see all
51:59of our specials on our page. So that's
52:02how you find it.
52:04All right, Brian Hat, I guess one more
52:07for for old time's sake because we've
52:09got four games today. He says, "How
52:10about a parlay? Let let's throw a show
52:13show parlay together here. Uh Tokyo
52:15Brandon, I'll let you go first, then
52:17we'll go to Brian, then we'll go to me.
52:18Uh let's try to put one together. See if
52:20we can finish the year with a win on one
52:23of these. Um because that's probably our
52:24last chance to do so.
52:26>> Sure. Brewers money line. That's easy.
52:30>> Brewers money line for Tokyo Brandon.
52:33Brian Leonard. Give me a uh parlay
52:36>> record in MLB two years in a row. I'll
52:39take them as underdogs. Absolutely. I
52:41will go with the Cleveland team total
52:44over. Uh we're looking at 3 and a half
52:47minus 120. Uh as we talked, uh Chicago
52:51with a two nothing lead. They've got
52:53plenty of time to set up a game with all
52:55their best pitchers. Uh I don't think
52:57this is the game and uh we're going to
53:00get the best effort out of Cleveland.
53:01I'm not a big fan of the Cleveland
53:02offense, but uh I think they can score
53:06four runs against this Chicago team.
53:10Yeah, I I actually have I could end up
53:12with more than one play today. I I
53:14actually have have pretty strong
53:16opinions in in some way, shape, or form
53:18in every game. Um the one I'll I'll go
53:21with for the parlay is the one I
53:23probably won't play because of price,
53:25and that's the Yankees. Uh I feel like
53:27I'm kind of priced out of the Yankees,
53:29but I I really like them to win. I just
53:31I I just think they hold serve at home
53:35and uh at least get this to game four.
53:38uh freed on the mound. I think the
53:40Yankees are in really good position to
53:41to score some runs off Nick Martinez. I
53:44think he's the type of pitcher that they
53:46kind of need to see to get going right
53:48now. Someone that's not going to strike
53:49them out and uh is going to, you know,
53:51kind of allow them to put the ball in
53:53play. I think some of those lefty bats
53:55put balls into the right field seats and
53:57I think the Yankees at least get this uh
54:00to a game four. Um so yeah, that'll be
54:02my leg of the parlay is is Yankees.
54:04Brian, what am I looking at for a Yankee
54:06money line here?
54:08>> Yankee money line right now is
54:11about 165.
54:14>> Yeah, like I said, probably priced out
54:15from a play there. Um, I think Tokyo
54:17Brandon nailed it. You kind of needed to
54:19get that early uh when it was minus 145,
54:22but I guess it could come back. You may
54:24you may have some someone up decide, you
54:26know, some group decide that that price
54:28is too high on the raise and knock it
54:30back down. But yeah, I think the Yankees
54:31find a way today.
54:34All right, we have reached the end of
54:35the show. Um, the three of us will be
54:38back tomorrow. Uh, no matter what. I do
54:40believe there's there's going to be
54:42games no matter what tomorrow. I I think
54:45um because Yeah, there's at least I
54:47think there's at least the going to be
54:49one game tomorrow.
54:51>> I don't know.
54:52>> Well, I guess I guess theoretically
54:54every series could end today, right?
54:56Like there is a potential for every
54:58series to end today if if every team
55:00that's won two games wins. Um, but
55:03hopefully we're here tomorrow because
55:04you know we want to have a show for you.
55:06If not, we'll see you when the next game
55:08is. Um, but yeah, let's have a great day
55:10today. Again, check out the site for
55:12specialists. Tokyo Brandon, a big uh
55:14rest of playoff special. I've got the 5%
55:16play in MLB today and Brian's got
55:19specials on his site uh for hockey and
55:21and whatever else he has going on. Uh,
55:24so have a great day, guys. We'll see you
55:25in the morning.