Full transcript
Advanced Price Action Trading FREE Masterclass
0:00The first question is : Price Action ,
0:02Smart Money Concepts , and you used
0:04another term , ICT .
0:05What exactly is the difference between
0:07the three ? No matter how much you learn
0:09, how many books you read , or what you
0:11write down , can you execute it when
0:13you're in the market ? If you can't ,
0:14then you have 100 orders within you . At
0:16the end of the day , none of this is
0:18going to work . The crowd — crowd buying
0:20— where does the crowd come in ? The
0:22crowd comes in at the tops and the
0:23bottoms , correct ?
0:24Right , at the bottom , things start
0:25looking cheap to them , and at the top ,
0:27things start looking expensive , so they
0:30either play reversals or buy more out
0:32of greed , so they always take action
0:33there and get trapped . That is exactly
0:36what they identify and where they
0:37initiate . That is why they are called
0:39smart — Smart Money . See , the job of
0:42Smart Money is to fleece the common
0:44person . And to gain fills . That is the
0:47main matter . This happens in Price
0:49Action too . But here , more importance
0:51is given to how institutions , who have
0:53more money , will work compared to a
0:55normal retail trader . So their job is :
0:57when will the big money come in ? Hi
Intro and Topics
1:06friends , welcome to Dhan . Friends , we
1:08recently held a masterclass on Price
1:10Action with Mukul Sir . We received many
1:12comments on that masterclass asking for
1:14an advanced version , and that was a
1:16Price Action masterclass . Friends , in
1:18today's masterclass , we have taken time
1:20again from Mukul Sir , and in today's
1:22discussion , we are going to talk about
1:24Price Action . Rather , I would say ,
1:26about advanced Price Action . If a
1:28beginner or any trader knows Price
1:30Action , how do they move to the
1:33advanced level ? What are the topics
1:35involved ? What are the new levels of
1:36problems ? What problems occur in
1:38scaling ? We are going to discuss all
1:40these things here today . And most
1:41importantly , we are going to talk about
1:44SMC concepts today . How do Smart Money
1:46Concepts work ? What are the pros and
1:48what are the cons ? We will demystify it
1:50. We are going to have all these
1:52discussions today here with Mukul
1:53Chaudhary Sir . So I welcome you , Mukul
1:55Sir . Thank you so much for giving us
1:58your precious time again , and I welcome
2:00you to this masterclass .
2:01Thank you .
2:02Thank you , Himanshu Ji , and thank you ,
2:03Dhan , for inviting me .
2:04Yes . So today , we are going to talk
2:07about price action .
2:08Yes . Beyond just basic price action ,
2:11since people loved your previous price
2:15action masterclass and many requested
2:18an advanced version , we’ve taken your
Advanced Price Action Trading
2:22time for this .
2:24So today , let's demystify price action
2:26here . You have always been very honest
2:28about the pros and cons of anything .
2:31How risk is more inherent compared to
2:32reward and how one should think about
2:34it . Hmm .
2:36Price action , advanced price action ,
2:38and we were talking off-camera that if
2:39you could also discuss SMC concepts ,
2:41that would be generous of you .
2:44Okay , see , if you study the history of
2:47price , you will learn about Dow , Dow
2:50Theory .
2:52Then you will learn about Wyckoff , how
2:55he gradually mixed volume and price ,
2:58and then his students took it further ,
3:01and then it started combining in Forex ,
3:03leading to Smart Money Concepts . ICT
3:06started appearing , and so on . All these
3:09things started emerging . But the main
3:10objective of mentioning this is that
3:12unless you keep things simple , if you
3:14start memorizing things , If you start
3:16mugging them up , then you will bring
3:18that CBSE mindset everywhere , thinking
3:20you can just memorize and enter the
3:22market to repeat the same things . It
3:24doesn't work like that . It is very
3:26important to read the price , to
3:27understand what the price is trying to
3:28tell you at that moment . What is the
3:30price trying to identify ? If you do
3:33that and you see some sort of traps , or
3:35if you see an opposite opportunity
3:37available there , then you can play it .
3:41And indicators and such things always
3:43just supplement price action . Price
3:45action is supreme .
3:46If you don't know how to read it , no
3:49type of indicator will help you . Right ?
3:51No matter how good a strategy you
3:53create . If you cannot read the price ,
3:55you will have problems . First question :
3:57Price action and Smart Money Concepts .
Smart Money and ICT
4:00And you used another word , ICT .
4:02What is the exact difference between
4:03the three ? Or are they all three
4:04branches of the same tree ? How do you
4:06see all these things ? So price action ,
4:08ICT , Smart Money are all the same .
4:11There have just been a few tweaks . ICT
4:13focuses mainly on Forex .
4:16So , within that , we have our forex
4:18sessions .
4:18We
4:19Like the Asia session , London session ,
4:21New York session . Inside these , there
4:24are kill zones . Kill means when Asia
4:26and London meet , like Asia closes at
4:292:30 .
4:30London opens around 1:30 . 1:30 . So the
4:32gap in between , in the Asia close and
4:34London , they call those kill zones . At
4:37this time , the market does liquidity
4:39sweeps . Meaning it makes the price
4:42change . Right ? And there is a liquidity
4:45gap there . Liquidity sweeps happen .
4:48This means the market always tries to
4:49take liquidity . Where does it get the
4:52best fills ? Where the easiest prices
4:55are available . So price always goes
4:57there . So it goes into these zones . And
4:59that's why ICT became famous .
5:01Right ? Because they are talking
5:02specifically about forex .
5:04Alright .
5:05The concept is price action only .
5:06It’s just what they did is ... They
5:07added the concept of order blocks to it
5:09. Like we talk about smart money . Order
5:11blocks . Fair Value Gaps , or FVG . Fair
5:14Value Gaps . Right ? And then you have
5:16order blocks .
5:17Okay ? Change of character . What is
5:19change of character ? For example , if we
5:22talk about Dow theory , higher high ,
5:24higher low , higher high , higher low is
5:26being formed , it means the market is
5:28going up , correct ?
5:29Now if a lower high is formed here
5:30suddenly ,
5:31Or a lower low is formed , then the
5:32character that the market had until now
5:34has changed .
5:35What was going on has changed .
5:36So that is that scene .
5:37The CHOCh place .
5:37Yes , right , so that became CHOCh , what
5:40we call " CHoCH " .
5:41Break of structure , what is that ? Like
5:44generally , the market is making a
5:46higher high and higher low ; now it has
5:48made a high here and a low here . Now ,
5:51as soon as it breaks this high , a break
5:52of structure is happening . The market
5:54is going straight . Now if it reverses
5:55from here , it becomes CHOCh , which is
5:57what I told you .
5:58So the concept is the same . It is just
6:00a play on words . Right ? So if you think
6:02that by learning smart money you will
6:04become profitable . Price action is old .
6:06It doesn't work , or let's say ICT works
6:09. Then that is a very common thought .
6:10In today’s date , all the people who
6:12are trading , especially those who
6:14entered the market after 2020
6:16Those who have been around for a while
6:17have been following price action .
6:18But since 2020 , these two terms have
6:20become famous , and because of this ,
6:22many people feel that if they learn SMC
6:23, they will become very profitable .
6:25Price action is perhaps not as
6:26profitable .
6:27For that matter , ICT , what are your
6:29thoughts on this ?
6:29I feel that with ICT , you just sound
6:32more educated . It makes it seem like
6:35you know more .
6:36But at the end of the day , execution
6:38matters .
6:38Okay ?
6:39No matter how much you learn , how many
6:41books you read , or what you write down ,
6:43when you go into the market , can you
6:44execute ?
6:45If you can’t , you have a hundred
6:46fears within you .
6:48So , at the end of the day , none of this
6:49is going to help .
6:50There are many native traders in India
6:53who have been working on stocks for 20
6:55years , locked in a room .
6:57There are many such people . Right ? Are
6:59they profitable ?
6:59Yes , they are profitable and make a lot
7:01of money . Even when my CA introduced me
7:05to an uncle , he was 50 plus years old .
7:09He was working in MCX . Not
7:10international gold , in MCX . Right ? He
7:13was working in that . He works in gold
7:14and crude oil .
7:15He easily earns over 30 – 40 crore a
7:18year .
7:19Big , big , big man . Right ? It’s not a
7:21small thing . And the guy is using
7:23indicators . He uses indicators heavily .
7:24So where is the difference ? Who is the
7:25alpha ? He is the alpha himself because
7:27his execution is on the next level . I
7:28saw his charts , and I didn't understand
7:30them .
7:30The guy had applied eight indicators .
7:32Everything was applied , and he was
7:33using some old software . Amibroker ,
7:35MetaStock , he was using all of that .
7:38Nothing like today’s latest
7:39TradingView was visible on his screen .
7:41So , the point is that it depends on
7:44what works . Our objective today is to
7:46read the price so our reading is good ,
7:48so we can then go to the execution part
7:50and improve our execution . So you can
7:52do anything . So , price action , SMC , ICT
7:54, broadly all three are similar .
7:56They are similar . It’s similar , just
7:58some minor tweaks here and there .
7:59Right ? They have explained support and
8:01resistance a bit more broadly in
8:03something . Like order blocks , for
8:04instance . Right ? That two or three
8:06range candles are forming or something
8:08is happening , or for example , the
8:09market is falling continuously . Right ?
8:11Now a green candle has formed . So the
8:13last red candle , right ? If we mark its
8:15high and low , then an order block is
8:17formed there . Right ? When the market
8:19breaks it . So concepts have been
8:20created like this . Okay ? So that is the
8:23thing . So can you shed some light on
8:25some of the concepts that you feel are
8:27the most important in SMC and are very
8:29good from a beginner's point of view ?
8:31Yes , look , I will tell you . First of
8:33all , if we talk about SMC concepts . The
8:36main concept of smart money is where
8:38smart money comes in . We leave out
8:39operators and all those things . We
8:41don't know who the operator is .
8:42Operators are people with thousands of
8:43crores . They won't call you to inform
8:45you . And they don't know how much
8:47capital you have , whether it's Ramesh
8:49or whoever , that he has this much
8:51capital , he is going to buy here , and
8:53we will hunt his stop loss and then we
8:56will grab it . It won't happen like that
8:58, you are trading in two , four , or five
8:59lots , right ?
9:00Those people are trading in thousands
9:02of lots .
9:03So it doesn't matter to them , and the
9:06retail volume is hardly 5-10 % .
9:09Right ? It doesn't even matter that much
9:10.
9:10But where is the game ? The game is , uh ,
9:14the herd , the crowd , the crowd buying .
9:18Where does the crowd come in ? The crowd
9:19comes in at tops and bottoms .
9:20Correct .
9:21Right ? At the bottom , things start
9:22looking cheap to them . At the top ,
9:23things start looking expensive to them .
9:25So they either play reversals or buy
9:27more out of greed . So they always take
9:29action there .
9:30And that is where they get trapped .
9:32This is exactly what they identify .
9:33Right ? And they initiate there . That's
9:36why they are called smart . Smart money ,
9:38I gave you a small example . Smart money
9:40works on the basic concept that they
9:43use the crowd's fear to execute their
9:46trades .
9:46So this is your smart money .
9:48Okay ? Any terms that a beginner must
Trading Basics
9:51know for smart money ?
9:52So there are three terms : previous day
9:54high , previous day low , and previous
9:56day close . The entire market runs on
9:58these three terms for intraday trading .
10:01Increase the time frame a little bit .
10:02So , previous week high , previous week
10:04low , previous week close . If you want
10:07to increase it further . Previous month
10:08high , previous month low , meaning month
10:10high , month low , month close . As you
10:12keep increasing the time frame , keep
10:14changing the time frames around these
10:17three areas . This is exactly where the
10:19most liquidity is available . You mean
10:21to say the most action happens here .
10:22Yes . For example , if today there is a
10:26laptop . A MacBook . Let's say it was
10:28launched at 90,000 . Demand suddenly
10:30increased a lot . Supply decreased , so
10:32the value suddenly went to 1,19,000 .
10:34Right ? A little more of the same
10:35happened . It went to 1,20,000 . Now , the
10:38potential buyers who wanted to buy it
10:40but had less money . What did they do ? "
10:42Let's buy it later . " " No worries . " So ,
10:44slowly , what does the price do ? It
10:47comes back down to take liquidity .
10:48So , suppose the price became 83,000 on
10:51a Flipkart sale .
10:52Now , even the one who didn't have money
10:54at that time knows that the item worth
10:561,19,000 is available for 83,000 . There
10:58is no better value than this . He starts
10:59seeing the value . So , he comes there .
11:02So , these are value zones . Liquidity
11:04where price comes to check the value .
11:07Where maybe stop losses are present .
11:09Okay ?
11:09Stop losses are below these areas .
11:11Where there is a lot of liquidity . For
11:12example , we are currently trading in 10
11:15lots , 20 lots , 50 lots .
11:17Those people are trading in thousands
11:19of lots .
11:20They need fills . And if I need a fill ,
11:22if today in the market I want to buy
11:2410,000 MacBooks .
11:26I won't get them all at once .
11:27Correct .
11:28I will have to place a large order . I
11:29need liquidity , meaning you know , it
11:31needs liquidity .
11:32So , what will I have to do for this
11:34large order ? I will do some research ,
11:36and when they find out that someone
11:37wants to buy such a large lot , they
11:39will try to give me better prices . They
11:41might even match internet prices for me
11:43, seeing that it's a good order , a cash
11:45order . There is nothing better than
11:46this . So , they will entertain it . So ,
11:48in the market as well , be it wicks or
11:51tops , there is liquidity where stop
11:54losses are placed . When the price
11:56reaches those levels , it triggers stop
11:59losses , large orders get filled , and
12:01the price moves sharply .
12:03So , these are your liquidity sweeps and
12:05gaps . These are very common concepts ,
12:08because see , the goal of smart money is
12:10to trap the average person .
12:12And to gain fills . This is the main
12:14matter . It happens in price action too .
12:16But here , more emphasis is placed on
12:19how institutions with large capital
12:21operate compared to a normal retail
12:23trader .
12:24Hmm .
12:25Right ? So their job is to figure out
12:26when the big money will come in . Big
12:27money will come in at better fill
12:29prices . It won't chase .
12:30Because they know their average would
12:33go up , and if it does , even if they end
12:35up slightly underwater , the losses
12:37would be massive .
12:38And anyway , their own buying would
12:40automatically push the prices up . That
12:42too , they would have large positions .
12:44But the issue is also that if they fill
12:46everything at once , other major
12:48institutions tracking them would know .
12:51Because always keep in mind , all large
12:53institutions always check the tape .
12:56These are their strategies . Like , if
12:58someone needs to take 10,000 in
12:59quantity . For example .
13:01They never put it all at once . If they
13:03do , they will appear on the ticker .
13:04Once on the ticker , other institutions
13:06playing the opposite side will find out
13:07. Now , suppose there are 50 big hedge
13:09funds and institutions like Bank of
13:11America and Goldman Sachs . Not everyone
13:14will be buying . Some will buy , some
13:16will sell , some are rivals , so they
13:18track each other's positions . So they
13:20never put it all at once . That is why
13:22they wait for liquidity . On liquidity ,
13:24they get good fills . Like people
13:25generally say , you get the best entries
13:27below the VWAP . You get them because
13:29you are trading below the average price
13:32.
13:32So you don't attract much attention .
13:33You attract attention at the top .
13:35Right ? That is why they do not chase .
13:37They always wait for the average . You
13:39used two terms : liquidity sweep and
13:41liquidity gap .
13:42What is the difference between the two ?
13:43Look , you don't give much importance to
13:45a gap sweep . We consider it like this .
13:47For example , there is a price . The
13:49price went up and got rejected . Okay ?
13:52Made a wick , made something , it got
13:54rejected . There will be stops above
13:57that rejection . Because someone bought
14:00at that top . The market cut them off .
14:02Now that the market has come down ,
14:03there are stop losses above that top .
14:05Hmm .
14:06The market triggers those stop losses
14:08sooner or later .
14:09Okay ?
14:10Right ? So , liquidity is available above
14:12. Liquidity is always available at such
14:14extreme ends . Or it is found at the
14:15previous day high , previous day low ,
14:17and previous day close . So these are
14:20relevant , like I told you about the
14:22previous month , week , and day . You will
14:25find liquidity above and below all
14:27three of these . Okay .
14:28These are the relevant zones . So , if
14:30you ever in the market , like you draw
14:33trend lines . You drew a trend line . The
14:35market is giving a breakout above the
14:36trend line . So , what have we read in
14:38books until now ? That we buy above the
14:40trend line .
14:40Right ? You must have seen many times
14:41that after buying at the trend line ,
14:43the market suddenly comes down .
14:44Correct .
14:44It has come to grab liquidity . Because
14:46whoever bought , their stop loss would
14:48be just below the trend line . So , many
14:50times the market grabs liquidity below
14:52this trend line and then moves up . That
14:53is why what have I always told you ?
14:54Pullback . The objective of pullback
14:57trading is that we get liquidity and we
14:59enter when an average retail trader's
15:01stop loss is hit , and then we plan our
15:03entry . When they are scared , they won't
15:05enter now .
15:06When will they enter ? When we exit ,
15:08when a big candle forms ; so our
15:10objective is that where they were
15:12planning to enter , they shouldn't . And
15:14where they enter , we should exit . So ,
15:16just like how institutions work . We try
15:18to follow their footprints . Like this
15:21is also called footprint charting . Like
15:24you have read candles , Heikin Ashi .
15:26There are footprint charts like that
15:27too . In that , orders come in all the
15:29time . It shows you how many orders are
15:31on the bid . How many orders are on the
15:32ask . How much is being filled on the
15:33bid . How much is being filled on the
15:35ask . How many stacked orders are there .
15:37Meaning , how many people sold at once
15:40at the top . So , stacking happens . So ,
15:42through all this , you start to realize
15:43that smart money is coming in somewhere
15:45. That is the best way to watch smart
15:47money . But if we talk in normal
15:49candlestick terms , then these are all
15:50the terms I just mentioned to you .
15:53Order blocks , FVG , fair value gaps .
15:56What is their main objective ? To find
15:58imbalances . For example , if a large
16:00candle appears suddenly , what does that
16:01mean ? An imbalance has occurred . What
16:03does imbalance mean ? That there are no
16:04sellers , only buyers .
16:05Right ? So it means there is some trap
16:07on the upside . Where would the best
16:09order be ? If it comes near the 50 % level
16:11of the market , we could find value
16:12there . So , these become fair value gaps
16:14. Where a gap is left behind , the
16:16market comes back to test it . So , these
16:19are the concepts we form which we use
16:21for trading , and through them , we start
16:24to better understand price feel and
16:26things .
16:28So , if a beginner wants to master one
16:31thing :
16:32Price action , SMC , or ICT ?
16:34Although you said all three are broadly
16:36the same .
16:37But if I want to start doing something
16:38in this . If I want to start studying .
Beginner Roadmap
16:41If I have to study in any way . Whether
16:42by watching videos or reading books .
16:44What should be focused on first ?
16:46Decision points .
16:47Which I just told you about : previous
16:49day high , previous day low , previous
16:50day close . Along with this , there are
16:52big round numbers . Like in Nifty , it
16:54could be 28,000 , 27,000 , 26,000 , or
16:5825,500 .
16:59When you go to these 500 or 5500 levels
17:02, these are the major big round numbers
17:04. Although 28,100 is also a big round
17:07number , and 280 , 300 , 400 are as well ,
17:09including anything in terms of 100s or
17:121000s . But the most value is given to
17:14the 500 and 1000 levels . So you
17:16understand , like 9,000 , 9,500 , 10,000 ,
17:1910,500 and so on . But since prices have
17:21increased , there is some movement at
17:22the 10,000 mark as well .
17:23Right ?
17:24So you can define them in these terms .
17:26We call these decision points when we
17:28combine them all .
17:28Okay ? So those are the previous month's
17:31high , low , and close , plus previous
17:32week's , previous day's , and along with
17:34these , the big round numbers . Depending
17:36on which time frame you are working on .
17:38If you are doing intraday trading , then
17:39the previous day's [ levels ] .
17:40The previous day's will work , plus
17:42these 100 ones will work .
17:43Yes . Yes . Yes . Now , for instance , if
17:46you do swing trading ,
17:47then what can you do for swing trading ?
17:49You can plan for the month . For example
17:52, we are looking at the VCP pattern ,
17:54the Volatility Contraction Pattern . We
17:57are seeing that the market broke down
17:58and now the volume is gradually
17:59decreasing . Now it has started moving
18:01upward .
18:01So , what did we do ? We marked the
18:03levels of the previous month . Who knows
18:04, maybe all this is happening near
18:06those levels .
18:07And the market is grabbing liquidity
18:09there and then trying to go up , or
18:11sweeping and then trying to go up . If
18:13the market is doing something like that
18:15,
18:15then what will we do ? We will start
18:16planning our buying there . So , these
18:18all make it easier for us to take
18:20decisions ,
18:21that something is happening here . It is
18:22an important area . So , what do you
18:23generally say ? There is a saying , you
18:25must know , " Let the trade come to you . "
18:27Hmm .
18:28Let the trade come to these points .
18:30Correct .
18:30So , that is what happens . So , you get
18:32liquidity here , and even if the stop
18:33loss hits , it will be small . So , you
18:35remain comparatively safe when you work
18:38this way , and you are not chasing . That
18:40is the most important thing . So Mukul
18:42ji , let's look at a strategy , and along
18:44with the strategy , if you could show
Smart Money Strategy
18:46these things to me and our viewers on
18:48the charts — how these things are
18:50tested , viewed , or studied — we would
18:52all get a broader idea . Okay , let's go
18:55to the charts .
18:56Okay , right now you can see the Bajaj
18:59Finance chart in front of you . Now ,
19:01this is the Bajaj Finance chart . Now , I
19:02need to know two or three things here .
19:03Whenever , for example , I have to take a
19:05decision on this day . This is one way .
19:07Okay ? This is a method . Now , if I have
19:09to take a decision , what will I do ? I
19:11will go to the chart of September 30th
19:12and there I will first mark three
19:14important things . First of all , I am
19:16talking about day trading . If I am
19:17planning day trading .
19:18Correct .
19:19So I marked the previous day's high .
19:21You can see , above this high is the
19:22previous day's high . I marked the
19:25previous day's low and I marked the
19:27previous day's close . Okay ? Is it clear
19:30? Now , I had mentioned another term to
19:33you here : Big Round Number .
19:34Right ?
19:35What are we doing right now ? We are
19:36using Bajaj Finance . So , Bajaj Finance
19:39is hardly trading near 1000 . So , 1000
19:42is a big , big round number , yeah .
19:43Is that okay ? Now , what will the next
19:45round number be ? 1000 , 2000 will be
19:47very big round numbers . I mean , you
19:50understand that the resistance there is
19:52going to be very high . And at 1500 , 500
19:54, 500 , there will be a lot of
19:55resistance . The ones in between are
19:57also important , but not as important as
19:591000 is .
20:00So , these big numbers will also be very
20:02helpful and work for swing trading .
20:03Just note this on TV sometime ; if , for
20:06example , the price closes at 995 ,
20:09then they always use terms like , " The
20:11price closed a tad below 1000. "
20:13Right ?
20:14Or , " a little above 1000. "
20:16Right .
20:16So , when the price comes around , these
20:18round numbers have a great value .
20:21Okay .
20:22So , we need to take advantage of them ;
20:25we will mark a big round number here ,
20:28so you can see I have marked these
20:30areas , I will mark 1000 . Okay , I have
20:37marked it . Now , you note one thing .
20:42Whenever these three come together ,
20:44meaning any three come together —
20:46Previous Day High , Big Round Number ,
20:48and Previous Day Close . They form a set
20:52.
20:52They form a set . A set . So , whenever
20:54these three come together and are close
20:56by , not too far . Like you see , 998 ,
20:591000 are all nearby . Hardly within four
21:02points , the whole level is covered .
21:04Now , we call this combination of three
21:06a " Barbed Wire . " You've seen barbed
21:08wire , right , used for fencing ?
21:09Right ?
21:10What is its purpose ? So that no one can
21:11cross it .
21:12Correct .
21:12So what did you get ? You got a
21:15resistance .
21:16So , this is a smart money concept . Now ,
21:18why did this become your resistance ?
21:20Now , we have done the marking .
21:21If the market opened above this , it
21:22would have acted as support from here .
21:24Yes , it would act as support .
21:25Okay .
21:25Alright ? Now , if you look here , see
21:28what the price did near this zone ; the
21:30market went up and immediately came
21:32down , you can see it's a big candle ,
21:34this is a big candle , and after that ,
21:36see , the market didn't have the courage
21:38to go above it ; it went up but then
21:40failed .
21:40Correct .
21:41Why , because three numbers are together
21:43now . These three zones are together .
21:45Until the price crosses above this zone
21:46, we are not going anywhere .
21:47So , as long as the price stays below
21:50this , it's a sell-on-rise game .
21:51Whenever you get a chance , plan a
21:53sell-on-rise .
21:54Okay ? Now , what is this number at the
21:56bottom ? This bottom one is the previous
21:57day's low . We have marked this as well .
21:59Now , the market hasn't opened here .
22:01Where did the market open ? You can
22:03figure it out . The market tried to hit
22:05a high inside the zone here , but it
22:06came down completely .
22:07Hmm .
22:08Okay ? Now , this stop loss will
22:09obviously become large for us . If you
22:11look , six or seven points are nothing
22:13in this . You can trade by reducing your
22:14quantity .
22:15But we want it even smaller . So , you
22:16can see what the price is doing . When
22:18the price is going down , you can plan a
22:19trade here . And where will you take the
22:21stop loss ? You can take the stop loss
22:22here .
22:23Correct . Okay ? And you can plan your
22:25trade using ATR in this . For example ,
22:28if ATR — like I give an example — many
22:31people ask how much stop loss to put ?
22:34What to do ? So , just look at the ATR .
22:36If you look at the ATR here , it is two
22:38or 2.5 . Keep the ATR at three . So , your
22:41stop loss will be of three to four
22:42points . Okay ? Your target will be three
22:44to four points .
22:45Okay ?
22:45Minimum 1 : 1 , after that you can trail .
22:48Totally up to you .
22:48Right ? So , our strategy that you
22:50discussed with us in the Advanced
22:51Scalping Masterclass will also work
22:53here . You can do that in this . You can
22:55do that too . Basically , it's that in
22:57any strategy , if I apply a moving
22:59average here . If I apply , for example ,
23:01a 10-20 moving average here . Look , the
23:03moving average is also working here now
23:05. A crossover is happening .
23:06We were talking about price action .
23:09We have marked the area . We found a
23:11resistance area . Where barbed wire has
23:13been formed . Meaning , a fencing has
23:14been created . The price will not go
23:15above that . As long as the price
23:16doesn't go above it , what will we do ?
23:17We will sit quietly . Right ? We will
23:19only plan for shorts . That's it .
23:20Whenever we get the opportunity . So now
23:22you can see here as long as the price
23:23stays below , what is the price doing ?
23:25The price kept revolving right here .
23:26The price has stayed below the previous
23:27day's low the whole day .
23:28Right ?
23:29Okay ? Now , like , I’ll remove all of
23:31this now .
23:32It cannot be a coincidence .
23:34Yes . Right ? Now look at the price here .
23:39Now you will mark this . What is this
23:42for the price ? Previous day's low . That
23:45became the previous day's high . And
23:471000 is also right here .
23:50Okay ? You can see that 1000 is also
23:51there . It also became the previous
23:53day's high . And
23:54Here is the previous day's close . Now
23:56there is no barbed wire .
23:57Because there are only two wires here .
23:59For a barbed wire , three things are
24:00needed . One needs a background number
24:02and two any decision points . Sometimes
24:04they will form below , sometimes above .
24:06And if the price opens around them , for
24:08example , let me give you a small
24:09example .
24:11Like this price here . Okay ? Now , before
24:15the market opens , we marked it . We see
24:17the barbed wire is forming here with
24:19three , and the price opens right here .
24:22This area will act as support .
24:24Right ?
24:24Chances are that initially , this area
24:26will not break .
24:27When these three align , the area
24:29doesn't break .
24:30Okay ?
24:31Right ? The market bounces from here .
24:33And then what will the market do ? It
24:35goes to the next decision point .
24:37To check if there is acceptance there
24:40or not . As you can see in the previous
24:42day , the market was rejected from here
24:44and where did it go ? It went to this
24:46decision point .
24:47Right ?
24:48It will always do that because look at
24:50what happens in the market ? A high is
24:53set , a low is set , and a close is set .
24:54What is a close ? Buyers and sellers
24:56shake hands . Saying , " Let's end today's
24:58fight here . " " We will talk tomorrow . "
24:59Now , when we talk tomorrow , when will
25:01we talk ? " Hey , you took it up to the
25:03high . " " You took it down to the low . " So
25:05you expanded it . Today , I will try to
25:07go there and fight . I lost in the
25:08middle here . Today the buyer lost . The
25:10seller won . So I will take it lower and
25:12higher . I will challenge him there . And
25:14I will put him in an uncomfortable
25:15position . That is its job . That is why
25:17highs and lows are important . And that
25:19is where you find the most liquidity .
25:21What do people do ? As soon as it
25:23crosses the high , people start buying .
25:24Hmm .
25:25A trap forms there , so the market
25:27reverses , and if a ' bar wire ' forms ,
25:29it's even better . So , this small smart
25:32money concept will help you a lot , and
25:34we have the ATR enabled . This way , you
25:37will know your stop loss . Whatever you
25:38need to use , and ATR has some default
25:40settings . You don't need to change any
25:42separate settings at all . It is a
25:43setting of 14 . I think default .
25:45Yes , yes .
25:4514 , no need to do anything . Just leave
25:48it , it will keep running on its own .
25:50Because all the hedge funds and people
25:52who test strategies , they all use 14
25:54there . No 7 , 6 , 5 , nothing ; 14 is the
25:57default , so it's the best and works
25:58well . So that's the thing . This is how
26:00you will find out . These are the
26:02concepts of advanced price action . Yes .
26:04And what else can you add to this ? You
26:06can add ' break of structure ' into this .
26:08Right ? Now , for example , what can you
26:10do with a break of structure ? Like ,
26:12look at what the price is doing here .
26:14Let me clear all of this once . So , look
26:17, I'll show you one thing here . What
26:19will we do now ? Like , we have marked
26:21the previous day's close here . Okay ?
26:24And I mark this level . Marked the
26:27previous day's low . And I have marked
26:29previous day's high . We have marked
26:31this . Now let's look at this day . On
26:33this day , you can see what the price
26:35did in the morning . The price has given
26:38a decent move . I mean , you are seeing a
26:41Doji . It's a strong Doji . There is
26:42rejection . Everything is happening .
26:43Yes .
26:44Now I want a direction . I need
26:45something so the market gives me a
26:47direction where I can trade . I look for
26:49a trap , or do something . So , I see one
26:51thing here , if I mark 50 % of this zone ,
26:55one second . So , 50 % comes somewhere
26:59around here . Hmm .
27:01Okay ? If I just mark ... you see this
27:03wick . If I mark 50 % of this wick , it
27:05comes here . So we do 50 % of the wick . 50
27:08% of the entire candle ?
27:08No , no , I am doing the wick because
27:09there is a rejection on the wick . I am
27:11just counting the rejection . I need to
27:12count the rejection for the morning . I
27:14just need to know which zone I can use
27:16if I have to short or do something .
27:18I need to know this . Okay ? Now , if you
27:20look here , what is the price doing ? The
27:22price is getting rejected right from
27:23here .
27:23Hmm .
27:24All the big round numbers are above
27:26this . So there is no other decision
27:29point nearby . Therefore , no boundary is
27:31being created right now . Okay ?
27:32Everything is working individually . Now
27:34, if I take an example , there was a
27:36rejection from here . Look here , a
27:38pretty decent one has formed . A bearish
27:40engulfing has formed . But I cannot take
27:41a short trade here . The reason being ,
27:42this black line is coming . What is this
27:44black line ? This black line is our
27:45previous day's low . Low . So , near the
27:47previous day's low , I will wait for it
27:49to break before taking a trade there . I
27:51won't take it before that . There's no
27:52point . And if you look here , if you see
27:55here , what has the price done here ? It
27:57has formed a wick here too . And it had
27:59formed a wick in the morning as well .
28:01Do you see the second one I am marking ?
28:03This means that rejections are
28:05happening here . And what is the price
28:07doing ? Look , the price has taken a
28:09bounce from here again . Now , what am I
28:11noting here ? I am observing this . Hit a
28:14low here . Look at this zone here . The
28:18price has hit a low here . It has hit a
28:21higher low here . Do you see a lower
28:23high here ? This is a high . This is a
28:25lower high . It is hitting a higher low .
28:27And it is making a higher low here .
28:29Okay ? Slowly , the price is trying to
28:31give a sign that something opposite
28:33might happen . Okay ? Look here , what is
28:36the price doing here ? The price hit a
28:39lower high again here . Then the price
28:42hit a higher low here . As soon as this
28:44breaks , what happens ? Change of
28:46character . The price suddenly broke the
28:49nearest high , the lower high that was
28:52forming . So now , what can you do here ?
28:54You can plan your buy . And where is
28:56this zone forming ? Near the previous
28:58day's close . So now , how have we
29:01involved it with decision points and
29:03created an area where we are buying ?
29:07Don't you think that because of the
29:09prices we see on the right side , they
29:11might be biasing us ? I mean , in real
29:13life , we must be seeing many such
29:14things . Whenever you plan , you will do
29:16it near the previous day high , previous
29:18day low , or previous day close with a
29:21small stop loss , okay ? And I will give
29:23you a simple trick that whenever you
29:26plan , what should your list be ? I mean ,
29:29I will give you a list of how you
29:31should do it whenever you plan a trade .
29:33Let me remove all this once , okay ? Then
29:36it will be easier for you . Let's write
29:39it here . See , whenever you are planning
29:42a trade , your first step is to mark the
29:45decision points . Okay ? You marked these
29:50. After that , your change of character ,
29:58CHoCH . Near the decision point . If you
30:05get this , you are basically getting a
30:07reversal .
30:08Okay ?
30:08Right ? This means a reversal . You are
30:12getting a reversal . Whenever this
30:13happens from here , you can check it
30:15anytime . Whenever you get a change of
30:17character near the previous day low ,
30:20you will get a reversal . Previous day
30:22high , or once you get a buyer as we
30:24discussed , you will get a reversal . An
30:26M pattern is formed . A W pattern is
30:28formed . All this will be formed . Will
30:29the change of character only happen
30:31when higher highs and higher lows are
30:32formed , or as you said , it kept making
30:34lower lows and lower highs ? It kept
30:35making higher lows continuously . So , if
30:37it forms continuously , should we expect
30:39a change of character , or can we expect
30:40a CHoCH even if just one is formed ?
30:42It happens on the very first one .
30:43Okay ?
30:44Look , the market is going down from the
30:46top . The market is going up from the
30:47bottom . What is being formed ? A
30:49triangle pattern .
30:49Whenever a breakout happens , what
30:51occurs ? The character changes .
30:52Okay ?
30:53Right ? This is what it means . Now ,
30:54where are we sitting ? Near the previous
30:56day low .
30:57We
30:57So here , the chances of a pullback are
30:59low .
30:59Okay ? Because we are already at the
31:01bottom . So here , and the trade that is
31:03coming is also coming after a pullback .
31:06The one we were just talking about is
31:07coming after a pullback . So we can plan
31:10here . We don't have any problem here .
31:12Because we will get a small stop loss
31:14here . We won't get a big stop loss . We
31:15are not chasing . We are not buying at
31:17the top . We are planning after a
31:19pullback at the low .
31:20We can guess any day using the replay
31:22function . It doesn't matter if the
31:24trade is right or wrong .
Chart Backtesting
31:26But how a trader should think is what
31:27matters . If we hide some data and look
31:30at it
31:30Yes , let's try it .
31:31Should we do it once ?
31:32Okay .
31:33So , what should we do with this one ? We
31:36will check the 25th from here .
31:38Currently , we are on the 24th .
31:40So , we have turned on the replay
31:41function around 3:00 PM on September
31:4324th .
31:43Yes . Now we won't see the future part .
31:45We don't know .
31:46Right ?
31:46So , what is most probable ? The previous
31:48day high has already formed here . Right
31:50? The previous day high has formed here
31:52. Okay ? The previous day low has also
31:56formed . We will check the previous day
31:57close as soon as it closes . We are
31:59doing this in Bajaj Finance .
32:00Right ?
32:00And there is no big round number nearby
32:03. Neither 1100 nor 1000 .
32:05Right ? So we are not going to get any
32:08big barrier here .
32:09We will only get different zones . So ,
32:11what could the price probably do ? The
32:12price could do two or three things .
32:14Either the price will bounce from here
32:15and go down ,
32:17or it will drop from right here , or it
32:19will gap down and move up from here .
32:22Right ? These are the possible concepts
32:24that I see . Why ? Because what has the
32:26price done on this day ? It went up ,
32:28came down , then went up , and now it is
32:29moving around here . So there are
32:30chances that it might go up and down
32:32for another day because there is no
32:33trend .
32:33Exactly . Right ?
32:35So , because we always have to look to
32:36the left . If there is a trend , then
32:38there's a chance I will plan to buy on
32:39the first dip .
32:40If it's a downtrend , I will plan to
32:42sell on the first pullback .
32:43This will be my main objective . Right ?
32:46So now , what will we do ? We will turn
32:48on the market replay here . Right ? Now ,
32:53what happened here ? The next day has
32:55opened . A big candle has opened here .
32:57Okay ? So , we clearly have three levels
32:59now . Correct . Right ? Now , two things
33:01will happen . Either price will hover
33:05here like this and then break structure
33:08, then we will plan buying and keep a
33:10target up to here . Okay ? What will be
33:13the second thing ? We will plan price ,
33:15we will plan selling . Whatever the plan
33:16is . Buying or selling .
33:17Right now , I am telling you about
33:18selling . When will we plan selling ?
33:20What will the price do ? If it forms an
33:21M-pattern from here , then we will sell
33:23because it is failing at the top .
33:25Failing above what ? It is failing above
33:27the previous day's close .
33:28Correct .
33:28Where both buyers and sellers shook
33:30hands , saying , okay , let's end today's
33:31battle here . Now , from here the next
33:33day , the seller dominated again .
33:34Hmm .
33:35So , it means the buyer has no strength
33:36today .
33:36So , the buyer is losing today . So ,
33:38there are chances that the market might
33:39test the previous day's low again . Okay
33:41?
33:42So , what will we do ? We will mark this
33:45as okay done . Okay ? Now , the first
33:47candle has arrived here . Okay ? Okay ?
33:49The first candle has arrived . A
33:50rejection has come . Now , what will we
33:52do ? We will keep an eye on this zone .
33:55There has been a rejection near this
33:56zone . If we get a second attempt and
33:59the price moves down again , we can plan
34:01a sell . We can do it here too . We can
34:03also plan a sell with half the quantity
34:04here . Right ? But I would say wait for a
34:07dip . Wait for a rise , because the
34:09market is still open , so you will have
34:10a little more assurance . Well , Mukul ji
34:12, don't you feel like doing it here ?
34:13For example , you are looking at a 5 -
34:15minute chart .
34:15Hmm .
34:16And here you saw a rejection came .
34:17Don't you feel like going to the 1 -
34:19minute chart to check the change of
34:21character and short sell there ?
34:22Because I have seen this problem in
34:24many people .
34:25That monkey mindset of jumping from one
34:27time frame to another , has this never
34:29happened to you ?
34:31It happens to everyone in the initial
34:32period . It's normal . Right ? They are
34:34not wrong in that because they want to
34:37take a trade .
34:38They are not wrong around here . But yes
34:40, even if you are doing it on a 1 -
34:41minute timeframe , you have to keep one
34:44thing in mind . The high that has been
34:45formed , what can you do ? I will give
1 Minute Scalping
34:47you an example . Like the Power Scalper .
34:50Okay ? Put Bajaj Finance here . Set it up
34:52right here . Let's say you set a 5 -
34:54minute timeframe here . Sorry , set a 5 -
34:58minute timeframe here . Okay ? Now , if
35:00you want to trade , for example , if your
35:02trade is forming anywhere . You have to
35:03plan your trade . Okay ? What can you do
35:05near this zone ? You can pull up a 1 -
35:07minute options chart . If you trade in
35:09options for this . Or you can set a 1 -
35:12minute option chart here for that . What
35:15do you call it ? For the index , for the
35:17index . Okay ? If you want to set it , or
35:19you can even set up both call and put .
35:20So you will know live what is happening
35:22. The main objective here is that , as
35:25you just mentioned , if we go to 1
35:26minute and find an M pattern or
35:28something , we should take a trade on
35:30that . You can do that too . There is
35:31nothing wrong with that .
35:32But our main objective is that if we
35:34don't understand the price action on
35:35the 5 - minute chart , we won't be able to
35:36do it on the 1 - minute chart .
35:38Right ? Now , as I told you here , this
35:41zone , here is the resistance . Okay ? And
35:45this is definitely there . If the price
35:48cannot cross this in the second attempt
35:50, then what will we do ?
35:51And 126 If it comes below it .
35:54Yes , so we can plan a short sell there .
35:55We can short sell .
35:56Right ?
35:57So we can plan here as well . We can
35:59enter here too because whenever this
36:00type of pattern forms in the morning ,
36:01there are generally chances that the
36:02market will reject here . So what can we
36:04do ? Let's say we have to work with four
36:06lots .
36:07So what will we do here ? Let's say we
36:09work with two lots here . We sell 50 % of
36:12the quantity here . Okay ? We sold it
36:15here . Now , for the rest , we will wait a
36:16little to see if we get an opportunity ,
36:18then we will work on it . Oh , sorry .
36:22Okay ? What happened now ? What has
36:26formed here ? An M pattern has formed .
36:27Right ?
36:28Okay ? So , what can we do ? We can sell
36:31two more here . Now , our stop loss will
36:35be , let's say , above this .
36:39Above this rectangle .
36:40Yes , above the rectangle . We will
36:41always keep a buffer just above it .
36:43Never exactly at the level . Suppose the
36:45top of the rectangle is , let's say , 36 .
36:47You take 37 or 37.5 , always keep a
36:49little extra , maybe a rupee or so .
36:51Sometimes the market goes there to
36:53check and then comes back down .
36:54Okay , I have a question here .
36:55Hmm .
36:56My stop loss is forming at 1039 .
36:59Hmm .
36:59And my stop loss is forming at 1099 .
37:04Or let's assume my exact stop loss is ,
37:06say . It comes out to be 1098 .
37:08Right ? Now , adding the buffer , it
37:10becomes 1099 or 1099.50 .
37:12Now , there is also an important level
37:14of 1100 , a round number , right there .
37:16So , should I keep the stop loss at 1100
37:17point something ? Because then I would
37:19be moving very far from my actual stop
37:21loss .
37:21See , if there is a bar wire there .
37:23Hmm .
37:24If it's just two-three points , try to
37:26keep it above the bar wire .
37:27Right ?
37:28The stop loss . Right now , there is
37:29nothing here .
37:30Here , there are only the levels we have
37:31marked . But if there were a round
37:32number here , then ?
37:33If there were a round number , then
37:34above the round number .
37:35Above it . Reduce the quantity , since
37:37the stop loss would be very far away .
37:39No , if there was a round number nearby ,
37:41for example , suppose we aren't near
37:421030 , but near 1099.5 . Around there .
37:47Yes , something like that , or if we were
37:49near 95 .
37:49Right ? Then what would we do ? We would
37:51place our stop loss above 1100 .
37:54But we would reduce the quantity .
37:55We would lower the quantity .
37:56Right ? For example , the wick is coming
37:58up to , say , 1098 .
37:59Right ? 1100 is above , background is
38:021100.50 , 1100 ... yes , keep it one rupee
38:04above that , put it at 1101 or whatever
38:06it is , and you're sorted . So that's how
38:08it works , right ? Now , if you look here ,
38:10what will we do ? We will leave it for
38:12now . Right , the price will keep moving
38:14back and forth because it's an
38:16important level ; the price won't easily
38:17break through it .
38:18Right , it will either go down or keep
38:20hovering right here , and our important
38:22target now will be this decision point .
38:23The decision point below .
38:24You can target one decision point from
38:27another , right ?
38:28So , I’ve gained around ₹ 6 , yes .
38:30Now , what can you do here ? You can cut
38:32half . You should cut half here . Leave
38:34the other half . For example , now you
38:36can move your stop loss to cost-to-cost
38:38. You feel it might go down further .
38:40Let it go . So , this way , you are
38:43learning to trail as well .
38:45And you are also booking profit and
38:46taking it home . It is just a small ,
38:48simple strategy . In this same thing , I
38:49just explained the change of character
38:50to you . I explained the break of
38:52structure . In this , you can add FVG . In
38:55this , you can add order blocks , which
38:56are support and resistance . So , that is
38:58how your Smart Money Concept is formed .
39:00And as we talked about candles last
39:02time . We talked about the 50 % of the
39:04candle . So , like this candle here , this
39:08big candle , if we mark it here . Right ?
39:13Its 50 % comes to around here . Right ? So ,
39:18you can consider that this area , this
39:22specific area , is now your decision
39:26point here , and that 50 % of the first
39:29big candle is also here . Right ?
39:33Now , if the price cannot sustain near
39:34this zone .
39:35Right ? Then it will act as resistance
39:37and the price will go lower , and if it
39:38sustains here , it will act as support
39:40and the price will move up .
39:41It will move towards the upper decision
39:42point . Yes , that is how it’s going to
39:43be . But we cannot trade there right now
39:45because we have already taken the trade
39:46.
39:46And this is not an important decision
39:48point . It is the 50 % of the candle ,
39:51which we can add like a stop loss or if
39:55we need to make changes to our position
39:58. Like we just exited two lots . Why did
Risk Management
40:00we exit ? Because we saw this area .
40:01Right ? So we closed the deal . We closed
40:03half of the position . Half is still
40:05kept . Right ? So , let's see further .
40:07What does it do next ? So , if we move it
40:10forward . Right ? This is very important
40:15because from this we will know . Like if
40:16you look here , what is the price doing ?
40:18The price has formed higher highs and
40:19higher lows here . Meaning it gave a
40:21positive change of character once .
40:22It did this , did this , and what is the
40:24price doing here ? It is doing some sort
40:27of character change .
40:28Right ?
40:28Fair enough ? So there's a chance that
40:30our stop loss placed here will get hit .
40:32If we have booked partial profit so far
40:34and left the rest .
40:35Yes , left the rest .
40:37Now why can't we buy here ? Because this
40:39is where the resistance is .
40:40Yeah .
40:41Okay ? So if we want to buy , let the
40:43price go here , wait , and then go up
40:45because this area is also resistance .
40:48So this entire area is going to provide
40:50resistance , so we can't buy , we'll get
40:52stuck badly . And now if you look from
40:54here , how many points ? 1023 to 1027 ,
40:56hardly four points , there's no room . So
40:58when there's no room , why should we
41:00trade here ?
41:00Understand ? So we'll skip this , we
41:03won't trade . Okay , so we'll continue
41:05with what we have . These decision
41:07points are what you have to decide on
41:10at that moment .
41:11In the middle of the market , that , hey ,
41:12I've exited two . Two are still running .
41:14I have moved my stop loss to cost . What
41:16should be the next step now ? A change
41:17of character is happening , but there
41:19are decision points above . These will
41:21cause trouble . They won't let the price
41:23go up . So let's do one thing , let's
41:24skip it . Let what's running , continue .
41:26Let the SL get hit . We won't reverse
41:28right now .
41:29But at such a time , if the market goes
41:31back up , if it goes there .
41:32Can I short again after booking profit
41:34in the short position ? Can I short
41:36again above ?
41:37Yes , you can short again above . What do
41:38I need to look for if there is a
41:39rejection again ? Should we move forward
41:41?
41:41Yes , let's see .
41:49Okay ? Price came back down .
41:51So I'll book my full profit here . Yes ,
41:53book the full profit . Why ? Because it
41:55has reached the day low .
41:56Fair enough ? You can book out here . If
41:58not , then you can bring your stop loss
42:01to the important area at 1022 . Trail it
42:04. If you feel , as it's 12:15 now .
42:07Yeah .
42:07You think , no , it can fall further .
42:09Then I'll do one thing . I'll bring the
42:10stop loss here . I'll bring it to 1022 .
42:12I'll keep trailing it . Until the price
42:14does something . Right ? As soon as it
42:17reaches this upper level , I will cut it
42:18.
42:19But Mughal ji , the problem is exactly
42:21what you said , that if we feel
42:22something here —
42:24Well , we can feel anything . How do you
42:26manage this ?
42:27You cut half , right ?
42:28Okay .
42:29We are doing this half for the " feeling
42:30" part .
42:31I see . Because look , sir , when you are
42:34in the market , as you said , thoughts do
42:36come up .
42:37Hmm .
42:38Think of it like , I need to book half
42:40because I have to pay my office rent .
42:43Like , look at this area where your
42:44arrow is , where you covered half your
42:46position again .
42:48From then until approximately 12:15 or
42:5012:30 , when the actual big fall of the
42:52day happened in two candles —
42:54In between , I could have felt many
42:56things .
42:56Yes .
42:57In such cases , a beginner is very
42:59likely to get trapped here because they
43:01see a change of character . They might
43:03even buy here . Hmm .
43:04They might feel it could go up from
43:06here , so maybe I should book the
43:07remaining position . I could have booked
43:09that too .
43:09Apart from this , there is that one
43:11candle where the spike went up to the
43:13higher level . I could have re-initiated
43:16there .
43:16How do you manage all these thoughts ?
43:18You have to create your own playbook .
43:20What is a playbook ? You have to give
43:21priority to things . Who am I going to
43:23prioritize first ? For example , first I
43:25have to prioritize the decision points .
43:26I have marked them . If the decision
43:28point is right above and the change of
43:30character is happening below it , then
43:31do nothing . Let it cross the decision
43:34point , then I will plan . And there
43:36should be space above the decision
43:38point for it to move . It shouldn't be
43:39that there is resistance sitting right
43:40above . Then there is no point . Like
43:42today , there is resistance sitting
43:43above the decision point . So here , I
43:44only see a short opportunity . Even if
43:46it goes up , I will short it again . And
43:48if it's 2:00 PM already , then there's
43:49no point in trading . After that , the
43:51game is off for me .
43:52Right ? That's what it means . Now , here ,
43:55for Bajaj Finance ... Should I short sell
44:01Bajaj Finance in cash , or in options —
44:03as in buy a put , sell a call , or short
44:06the futures ? What should I do ?
44:08You can do anything in this , whatever
44:10you like , as much as your pocket allows
44:11, you can do that . The same thing , if
44:13you want to do it on a larger time
44:16frame , let's say a daily time frame or
44:18an hourly time frame , you can do that
44:20too in futures , options , and now
44:22there's even a facility in cash , which
44:25you would be better at explaining . Yes ,
44:27I think , should I , let me just ask you
44:29a question regarding that .
44:31Another thought that is coming to my
44:33mind is that
44:34you are doing this on a 5 - minute chart .
44:35But I noticed you saying that you
44:37mentioned that monthly charts and
44:39weekly charts also have their decision
44:41points . Hmm .
44:41So , by looking at that , can I also
44:43short sell for the long term in this ?
44:44Can I buy for the long term as well ?
44:45Yes , you can .
44:46Can we see an example of that ?
44:47Uh , it won't show up in the replay
44:49function . Let's open a normal chart .
44:51Yes , please . Okay . So , we do this work
44:53on a normal chart . Let's open a
44:54one-hour chart . Alright ? One-hour chart
44:57.
44:57Good , before we move on to the swing
44:59part of it . We can use this same price
Strike Selection
45:01action for swing trading . But before
45:03that , if you had worked in options for
45:04intraday , then which option would you
45:06have traded ?
45:07In-the-money .
45:08How much in-the-money ?
45:09I mean , if it's at 1000 ,
45:12then I think you could get 990 in this .
45:14990 or 950 .
45:15I mean , what delta should we keep
45:16approximately ?
45:160.55 to 0.6 . That much you get .
45:18Around 0.5 to 0.6 , slightly
45:20in-the-money . At-the-money to
45:21in-the-money . Close-to-money kind of
45:24options .
45:24Yes , yes , exactly . Okay , okay .
45:26We should always work in-the-money for
45:29options . It depends on you . If you want
45:31deep in-the-money , there's no real
45:33benefit to that . Just doing it slightly
45:35in-the-money is enough .
45:36What is the reason for that ?
45:37The reason being , sometimes the pricing
45:39of an option is very high .
45:41So , there's no point in that . If you
45:44take an option that is 500 points
45:45in-the-money , where you could get an
45:47option for 200 rupees , you would be
45:48paying 800 or 600 rupees for the same
45:50thing . So , your margin is getting
45:51blocked .
45:52Right ?
45:52So , there's nothing like that . Even
45:53with the 200 one , yours shouldn't break
45:55. Yours shouldn't decay . It won't
45:57happen with the 800 one either . So it's
45:58not worth it because the money you are
46:01investing should give you some sort of
46:03return , and you should benefit from it .
46:05Correct , correct .
46:06So that's the thing .
46:07Perfect . Let's look at it for a swing
46:08trade once .
46:09Okay ? For example , if I show you here ,
46:14if we talk about the weekly . Right ?
46:18Like , let's talk about the weekly . So I
46:20will say I'll have to show you on old
46:24charts now . Like if we talk about Feb
46:273rd , Feb 3rd , 2025 . Okay ? So what do I
46:31do on Feb 3rd ? I mark the high here .
46:35Right ? Its low and close . Okay ? I have
46:40marked this .
46:41Okay ?
46:42Now notice one thing . Is there anything
46:45here ? It's way over there . It’s quite
46:51far . Very far .
46:51So it’s not there , and is there
46:52anything on the downside ?
46:53But there is 800 below , right ? We have
46:55800 .
46:56Here it is .
46:58Okay , so there are no three wires . Yes ,
47:00a triple wire didn't form anywhere ,
47:02it's only two every time , right ? So
47:03there is no resistance available right
47:05now . This means the market could give a
47:07good move . So now , if we go to Feb 3rd
47:11and come to the 1 - hour chart , and let's
47:14do one thing , what we do is , we are
47:17here on the 25th .
47:20February 2025 , yes , we come here . So
47:24you can see that around Feb 3rd , we had
47:27marked all these areas . Let me check
47:31once .
47:32Yes , we had marked these areas ahead .
47:34From Feb 3rd , it's the 3rd .
47:36It must have been the 7th Feb candle ,
47:37right ? Three , four , from Feb 3rd .
47:39To the 7th .
47:41Yes . These must be the candles up to
47:43here .
47:43Let me move this down a bit .
47:46Okay ? So you can see we have marked all
47:48these areas .
47:49Correct . Now what do we need to note ?
47:52For example , if I feel like I want to
47:55short sell or do something like that .
47:58Okay ? I feel like the market might
47:59break or something could happen . Then
48:01you can see here . What is the price
48:03doing here ? It's forming an M pattern .
48:06I'd like to take a minute here to talk
48:08to my viewers ; Mr. Mogul is explaining
Short Selling
48:10that if you want to do short selling .
48:13But a question might come to many of
48:15our minds : can't we only short sell
48:16stocks for intraday ? So let me tell you
48:18, no . Now you can also short sell
48:21stocks for multiple days . There is a
48:23unique feature on Dhan which is SLBM ,
48:25Securities Lending and Borrowing
48:27Mechanism . Through this , you can borrow
48:30shares . You can borrow shares , sell
48:32them , and we will pre-define the period
48:34for as long as you want . We decide how
48:36many days we are borrowing the shares
48:38for . So you can keep your shares
48:39short-sold for as many days as you like
48:40. For example , if we are talking about
48:42Bajaj Finance here . Bajaj Finance has
48:44futures available . But let's assume you
48:46are talking about a smaller company .
48:47Let's say AJ Logistics or any such
48:49company that doesn't have F & O . Now , if
48:51you are expecting a downside in such a
48:53stock and you feel it could go down by
48:5610 , 15 , or 20 % hypothetically , you can
48:58go to your Dhan web . You will see the '
49:01Rent Stocks ' option . From there , you
49:03can not only rent out your shares . You
49:05can also borrow them and sell them
49:07there . For the next month , 15 days , or
49:1020 days , you have to pay a nominal
49:12interest cost to the lender , which is a
49:14very small amount , and then your share
49:16will continue to go down . You can book
49:20your profit after 10 , 15 , or 20 days
49:22and exit from there . So that was the
49:23story of short selling . Now , if you
49:26want to increase your returns on the
49:27buy side , MTF is another wonderful
49:29feature through which , if you
49:30understand your risk appetite and know
49:32how to manage risk , you can hold shares
49:34for multiple days by paying a nominal
49:36cost through the Margin Trading
49:38Facility . Where you only have to pay 1 /
49:414th or 1 / 3rd or some such amount . And
49:44the rest of the money will be funded by
49:46Dhan . And then you can hold this share
49:48for as long as you want . Interest is
49:49charged on a per-day basis . However ,
49:51the annualized rates will be visible on
49:53your screen now . So , by paying this
49:55interest , you can hold it for as long
49:57as you wish . Now let's move forward
49:59from here . Sorry for taking your time ,
50:00Mukul ji . So please tell me how to
50:03short sell this .
50:04Yes . So you can see here , what is the
50:06price doing ? The price gave a breakout .
50:08Which we talked about .
50:09Around the 3rd of Feb , which we marked .
Double Top Bottom
50:11The price broke out above this zone and
50:13then the price came down here . Right ?
50:16An M-pattern has formed here . So , what
50:18can we do ? We can plan a short around
50:21this zone . Right ? I am noticing one
50:25thing that you are very small
50:26M-patterns and N-patterns
50:28are able to notice . Hmm .
50:30This is a very important thing for a
50:31beginner .
50:32Very much .
50:32You must know these two patterns .
50:35Double top , double bottom .
50:38Okay .
50:39Right ? And there is a hybrid pattern
50:41between them which we call the
50:42N-pattern . Which means the price went
50:44up . Gave a pullback , then back up .
50:46So you can buy at its top . Here you can
50:48sell on this side and in this W-pattern
50:51, you can also buy here . Now , there are
50:53many variants in this W-pattern too .
50:55Smart money talks about it . In this , a
50:58W-pattern is formed like this in which
51:00the previous low is swept and the price
51:03then goes up .
51:04And the same happens in the M-pattern .
51:06M-pattern formed , price went up , a
51:08sweep happened , and then what does the
51:10price do ? It goes down .
51:12Right ? So the M-pattern's higher low
51:15that was broken , we short sell below
51:17that .
51:18Yes , short sell .
51:19So in this way , if you look here , the
51:21price went up and came down . A proper
51:23M-pattern is forming here .
51:24Right ? Sell here , stop loss above this
51:27high .
51:28And what will your targets generally be
51:30? This range , because we are inside a
51:31range . Either the range low or you can
51:33keep it here too . So if you look from
51:35here , you got a target from 866 to
51:38almost 847 . If you hold a little longer
51:40, you got a target up to 830 . Correct .
51:42So this is one way . So we can use
51:44decision points like this .
51:46So this is a proper area where you can
51:49plan your short selling or longs , or
51:51whatever it is . You can add your
51:53systems to this . For example , you can
51:55add moving averages , or if you want to
51:57know whether a stock is trending or not
51:59, you can add moving averages . Right ?
52:02Now , you can also plan your trades
52:03based on moving averages . If you feel
52:05like you want to trade , like over here .
52:07If you feel that the price is trending
52:09here , near this zone , then if you want
52:12to plan it here , you can plan it . Look
52:14at it by applying decision points here .
52:16What is happening at the weekly highs
52:17and lows at that time ? If you find some
52:19support nearby , or a big round number ,
52:21or something , then it becomes like a
52:23cherry on the cake .
52:24So , should I use the weekly chart to
52:26trade on the hourly chart ?
52:27Yes .
52:27And by using the monthly chart , should
52:28I go for daily ...
52:29No , you can even do it on a 15 - minute
52:30chart .
52:3115 minutes , yes , or even on 5 minutes .
52:33But I want us to , if we are short
52:34selling and planning for two to four
52:35days . For example , if we stay on a
52:38higher timeframe , it would be better ,
52:40our viewpoint will be clearer , that's
52:42all . So , should a beginner start with
52:45the monthly , weekly , or daily ? Start
52:47with the daily , because on the daily
52:48you will be able to easily mark the
52:49candles every day . You will have to
52:52work a bit harder on the weekly , then
52:53switch to weekly , then monthly , because
52:55if you ever notice , if you mark on
52:56weekly or monthly for investing , you
52:58get very good fills .
53:00So that is something very , very good
53:03that can give you very good fills . Is
53:07there anything else important that you
53:09think a beginner ... Honestly speaking ,
53:10the strategy you have explained is very
53:12...
53:14It's not that a beginner will have a
53:15lot of trouble understanding it . I
53:16think they will be able to understand
53:18it very easily .
53:18Where can we go wrong ?
53:20We can go wrong when you look for
53:21trades everywhere . Let's talk about
53:22this . Let's talk about November 20th .
53:25For example , you can see here what the
53:27price is doing . The price is trending .
53:29So if you notice one thing here , what
53:31did the price do ? The price made a high
53:35. Right ? The price made a low . And what
53:39did the price do ? The price gave a loss
53:42here . Right ? Is there any big round
53:44number near it ? No , there isn't . There
53:46is no big round number . Then ,
53:47eventually , the background number comes
53:48down again . Around here , somewhere , it
53:50will appear . Right ? So , it's not
53:51showing up anywhere nearby . Okay ? So ,
53:53now I want to know this . Like , the next
53:56day , this day became a trend day . Right
53:58? Now , what mistake do people make ?
54:00They learn all these concepts , yet they
54:02still do BTST or something else . So ,
54:04don't do these things . Stay consistent
54:06with one concept . Until something
54:08changes . Until something is different .
54:10Don't trade . Like , if you look here ,
54:12what did the price do ? The price made
54:15some sort of wick again here . You can
54:18see it . Right ? This is 50 % . As long as
54:20the price stays below this , the market
54:22will remain down . What happened here ?
54:25As soon as the price gave this move ,
54:27you plan a short here .
54:28Place your stop-loss just above it .
54:31That's it . Because this area is
54:32resistance , but it's way too high . So ,
54:34we don't need to go above that . We can
54:36just place our stop-loss near the wick
54:37or at the top of the wick . And we will
54:39get our simple target . And the mistakes
54:42people are making , which I notice in
54:43price action , what do they do ? They
54:46start mixing things up . They feel
54:48support and resistance mean nothing .
54:49Order blocks are everything .
54:51Hmm .
54:51So , if you do that , it's not going to
54:53work . There are some minor differences .
54:56But first , master support and
54:57resistance . On that basis , look at the
55:00change of character and these higher
55:02highs and higher lows ; the whole game
55:03is about higher highs and higher lows .
55:05Pick anything you want . You want to
55:07pick ICT . SMC . Price action . Do
55:10whatever you want . Your game changes at
55:12higher highs and higher lows . These are
55:14just variants within that . Change of
55:15character , this and that , these are all
55:17variants . Right ? So , they are nothing
55:19different . They repeat again and again ,
55:21they keep going . So , don't think that
55:23what you are doing is useless , and what
55:26is being taught in SMC , ICT , or similar
55:28copied concepts is something else . Okay
55:30? Is this something different ? There is
55:31nothing different like that . It’s all
55:33price reading . You have to understand
55:34the price . So , add a decision point to
55:36it so that at least you understand the
55:38boundaries , that these are the trade's
55:40boundaries .
55:41If you have losses for two or three
55:43days in a row ,
55:44then that must be emotionally draining
Handling Losses
55:45for you as well . Yes .
55:47Because you put in effort all day , you
55:48derive prices .
55:49You must also be marking these
55:51important decision points in at least
55:5250 to 100 stocks .
55:54How do you manage this period ? I stop
55:57trading .
55:58Okay .
55:59Generally , whenever I have such losses
56:00or something happens , I stop trading .
56:02And what do I do ? I don't trade for two
56:04or three days . Then I do a little
56:05research . I look at what mistake I made
56:07. It is very important to know if it
56:08was a mistake or if they were genuine
56:09losses . But the problem in the meantime
56:11is that the good days when I wasn't
56:13trading passed by . But they will come
56:15back again . I have seen that the market
56:17repeats itself . Your capital will not
56:18come back . That is the problem .
56:20So it is better to let it go . You
56:23should come back after taking a little
56:25pullback , you know ?
56:27Hmm .
56:28Right ? Then you will do better . If you
56:30keep chasing things , your money will
56:32also be gone . Your mental peace will
56:34also be gone . There is no benefit to
56:35that . So it is better that we avoid it .
56:37Leave it be .
56:38Have you ever noticed ? If you remember
56:41your journey , how did you infuse
56:43capital ? I am asking because we have a
56:45new trader .
56:46How much capital should they bring ,
56:48when should they increase it , when
56:50should they decrease it , or should they
56:51even do it at all ?
56:53How much income should they expect , if
56:55you can shed some light on this based
56:56on your experience ?
56:57Okay , if we are talking specifically
56:59about this strategy , if we are talking
57:02about price action related things on
57:04how to go about it , I would say don't
57:06do this in Nifty or Bank Nifty right
57:08now ; because there are lot sizes ,
57:10Futures and Options , decay , and many
57:12things . Take four or five stocks and
57:13move forward . Today , in the entire
57:14class , we only focused on Bajaj Finance
57:15.
57:16We can also do it on Reliance . We can
57:17also do it on HDFC . We can do it on
57:19whichever stock you name . We can also
57:21do it on the index . We can also do this
57:23in MCX . By the way , how many stocks do
57:24you track in a day ?
57:25I mainly work in Nifty only . My main
57:28work is in Nifty .
57:29So that is like 90 % of my work .
57:31And if I have to trade in stocks , I
57:33keep doing research a day in advance .
Sector Rotation
57:36And I keep marking the stocks . I always
57:37keep watching which sector is rotating .
57:39Rotation is very important for me .
57:41Which sector is the money flowing into
57:42at this time ? Like recently , money was
57:45flowing into all the , uh , rail-related
57:47stocks , right , all the railway stocks
57:49were seeing money flow .
57:51Because the budget is coming up now .
57:52Then that stopped for a bit , and now it
57:54will start going into sugar stocks .
57:55It had started flowing into IT , right ?
57:59So , you will start seeing this rotation
58:00, so you must always keep in mind that
58:02if you are buying , you should buy in
58:03those stocks where the rotation is
58:05happening or going on , basically .
58:07Do you trade in the leaders in this , or
58:09the laggards ?
58:10No , always the leaders , because
58:12that’s not your job . You are not
58:14doing 10 - year investing .
58:16But if the leaders started moving , they
58:18have already gone out of my reach .
58:19Pullback .
58:20Okay .
58:21That’s the best because the leader
58:22will run . The leader has to lead . Now ,
58:26the simple thing is that I cannot
58:28expect Coforge to do the job of TCS or
58:32Infosys .
58:33Or I cannot expect Titan to do the work
58:36of Reliance .
58:37Right ? So , when the leaders lead , they
58:40also give the best money on pullbacks .
58:43All the others act as supplements , if
58:45you are holding them , but you have to
58:47be in the leaders . And the problem with
58:50laggards is that if you keep thinking
58:51it will run now , it will run now , then
58:53you are just hoping .
58:55So we don't have to do that . We must
58:58always ensure that we work only within
58:59the leaders , and you can use the small
59:01patterns I told you ; you can apply
59:03order blocks in it , or if you want to
59:05apply FVG , apply FVG , that is totally
59:06up to you .
59:08One last question : What are the common
59:10price traps that a retail trader might
59:12face ? I mean , what are those price
59:13traps ? Price action traps .
59:15Okay ?
59:16For those following price action , where
Trap Identification
59:18are the places they could get trapped ?
59:21Even for someone who knows price action
59:22. For example , someone like you .
59:23Okay ? I would say market regime , this
59:26is the word : market regime . It means
59:29that the market that was there in 2022 .
59:31Hmm .
59:32That market is not for 2025 . Now , for
59:34instance , if you check historically ,
59:382017 , 2013 , 2015 , 2019 — like 2019 was
59:41a very bad market for the auto sector .
59:45Sales were not happening at that time .
59:46Hmm .
59:47Right , I even got discounts on my car
59:48at that time , but if I go today , no one
59:50will offer me a discount .
59:51Because today it's trending ; take Tata ,
59:53take Mahindra , take whatever you want .
59:55Everything is selling today , selling
59:57very well ; even Skoda and others are
59:58selling well , so the point is that you
1:00:00need to understand which phase you are
1:00:01in . Like 2021 was a trending phase . I
1:00:05mean , 2020 was a trending phase because
1:00:07the market was going up from the bottom
1:00:08. Now you can't have the same
1:00:09expectations that 2025 will give you
1:00:11that too .
1:00:11Correct .
1:00:12Right ? And 2024 happened . Our elections
1:00:15.
1:00:15Right ? There was a rally before the
1:00:16elections and after the elections .
1:00:18There was a drop on election day , and
1:00:19then a rally took off from there . After
1:00:21that , in 2023 , Modi ji spoke about
1:00:23Public Sector Enterprises and the
1:00:25defense sectors . So all those stocks
1:00:29went up .
1:00:30So a momentum came , because when a
1:00:31leader speaks , it creates trust , so
1:00:33people start buying . So a flow , a money
1:00:35flow , starts to come in . Now you cannot
1:00:37expect that same flow anymore .
1:00:38So you have to understand that price
1:00:40action is all well and good . But if you
1:00:42are in the wrong place . If you are
1:00:44doing price action in , let's say , some
1:00:46JP Associate .
1:00:47It will not work . There is no point at
1:00:49all . If there is no story behind it ,
1:00:50what is the benefit ? Why struggle so
1:00:52much then ? Can we say that in places
1:00:53where there are institutional
1:00:55footprints , this price action and SMC
1:00:57will work better ?
1:00:58Yes .
1:00:59Because they go where there is
1:01:00stability .
1:01:01Hmm .
1:01:01At one time , interest rates were very
1:01:03high in Argentina .
1:01:04Hmm .
1:01:05They were over 20-30 % .
1:01:06But was a common man going there to
1:01:09invest money ? No.
1:01:11When Argentina needed vaccines , the US
1:01:13even said that you would have to lease
1:01:16us some of your defense equipment or
1:01:18locations in exchange for medicines .
1:01:21And all these things . Why ? Because
1:01:22there was no stability in that country .
1:01:25And in countries where there is
1:01:27stability , FD returns are hardly 0.5 ,
1:01:291.2 , 1.5 , 1.6 , etc. So all these things
1:01:32also matter a lot .
1:01:34Perfect . So it was actually a very
Closing Notes
1:01:37enlightening session , Mukul ji . I have
1:01:39learned a lot of things . There are many
1:01:42things beyond price action . We used
1:01:44both SMC and price action together . It
1:01:46was wonderful ; the way you explained it
1:01:48was a very interesting concept . And
1:01:50here I would like to tell my viewers
1:01:52that personally speaking , I have asked
1:01:54all the questions that were in my mind ,
1:01:56and I have also asked everything that
1:01:58could possibly be asked on your behalf .
1:02:01But if you have any questions in your
1:02:03mind regarding this entire strategy ,
1:02:05SMC , or ICT , or if you want a proper
1:02:07masterclass on SMC , ICT , or another
1:02:09advanced price action masterclass , then
1:02:12do write it in the comments , and on
1:02:14your behalf , I will request Mukul ji to
1:02:16sit with us again and discuss all these
1:02:18concepts with us once more . Whether it
1:02:22is SMC concepts or ICT . Today , Mukul
1:02:25sir has given us a small idea , but I am
1:02:27very , very sure that there is a lot
1:02:29more treasure in his vault . So , Mukul
1:02:30ji ! I hope we get a chance to take your
1:02:33time again , and it depends on how our
1:02:34viewers ' comments turn out on this
1:02:36video . And please make sure , friends ,
1:02:38to like this video before leaving , and
1:02:40if you haven't subscribed to the
1:02:41channel , do it right now . And download
1:02:43the Dhan app right now ! See you in the
1:02:44next video . Bye-bye , take care of
1:02:46yourself .
1:02:47Investments in the securities market
1:02:49are subject to market risks . Read all
1:02:51the related documents carefully before
1:02:53investing .