Full transcript
The Battle to Win the Future
0:00- The world's largest machine is so big,
0:03it can be seen from space.
0:06In fact, it covers huge areas
0:09of the Earth's... surface.
0:11Oh wait, sorry. Hold on. Gimme the other side.
0:16There we go.
0:19- Our lives depend on electricity,
0:22if you haven't noticed already,
0:24and all of that electricity in almost all parts
0:26of the world is delivered to you by the grid.
0:30The world's biggest, most complicated machine ever built.
0:34And if you start to notice the grid,
0:36you'll see it everywhere.
0:38But it is so everywhere that people just kind of forget it.
0:44- For a long time, rich countries haven't had
0:46to think about their grids all that much.
0:48Their electricity demand has been pretty much flat
0:51since the 2000s.
0:53But times are changing.
0:55- The explosive growth of AI...
0:58- The rapid build out of data centers...
1:00- They're consuming enormous amounts of energy.
1:02- You have four companies now that are intending
1:05to spend over $300 billion this year.
1:08- With industries like AI and EVs growing fast,
1:11the world has predicted to use twice
1:13as much electricity by 2050.
1:16That's roughly a whole new USA's worth
1:18of electricity every five years.
1:21To make all that power
1:22and get it to where it needs to go,
1:24the world's grids need to evolve.
1:27All that new infrastructure will cost billions of dollars,
1:30but so did broadband internet,
1:32and that's ended up creating trillions of dollars of value.
1:36And some countries' grids are evolving faster than others.
1:40- In China, power generation has gone up
1:43seven times since 2000.
1:44The battle to build the best grid
1:46is a battle to win the future.
1:48- And with more power comes more opportunities.
1:51New ideas and technologies are in the works
1:54to massively upgrade the world's wiring.
1:56- It's spinning round at 1500 rpm.
1:59- Can it all happen fast enough to power the future?
2:02The answer is going to get a bit nerdy and technical.
2:06But we are all nerds here, right?
2:09Okay, good.
How The Grid Works
2:20Right. The show's called "Primer."
2:21So here's a quick primer on the grid.
2:26- So a typical grid structure looks like a large power plant
2:30somewhere typically far away from where you are.
2:33That is generating power.
2:34Could be nuclear, could be gas, could be hydro,
2:37could be solar these days.
2:39And then a long series of transmission lines,
2:44a substation that makes sure that the electricity
2:47is distributed to you in just the exact form as you need it.
2:51And then it is consumed as charging a laptop
2:54or running a motor inside a factory.
2:58- These days, the grid is pretty much everywhere,
3:01string out all the world's transmission cables end to end,
3:04and they'd stretch 42 million miles.
3:08That's almost halfway to the sun.
3:10And all the parts of this massive system have
3:13to work together in perfect harmony.
3:15A sudden imbalance,
3:17say a large power plant switching off without warning
3:20can easily throw the whole system outta whack.
3:22Or even...
3:27Well more on that later.
3:30But most of the time the grid works just fine
3:33powering our lives and helping our economies grow.
3:37- So there is a direct relationship between
3:39how much energy an economy consumes
3:42and how much economic output results.
3:45The richer you are, the more electricity you consume,
3:47the bigger your grid
3:49and the bigger your grid,
3:50the more electricity you consume, the richer you become.
History of The Economy and The Grid
3:54- That feedback loop has been going strong since the
3:57early 20th century.
3:58When electricity started to become a major energy source.
4:02Suddenly all you needed to bring energy into your home
4:05or business was a wire.
4:07In 1910, just 14% of US homes had electricity.
4:11By 1930, it was 70%.
4:14Companies like GE sold millions of fridges and TVs
4:18and the grid grew fast.
4:20But things started to change in the 1970s when,
4:25thanks to the oil crisis,
4:26energy started getting more expensive.
4:29- So that's when the first big movements
4:31in energy efficiency began
4:33with major energy efficiency programmes run
4:36by electric utilities.
4:38- That's Rich Miller, a former VP of Con Edison.
4:40New York City's power company,
4:42- Con Edison changed its slogan as a company in the 1970s
4:46from "Dig, We Must" to "Save a Watt."
4:48So you know a great example of how everything changed during
4:53that time period.
4:54- At the same time, rich countries started doing less
4:57manufacturing and more office work, which used less energy.
5:01- By the early 2000s, we really began
5:05to see some flattening of electric growth.
5:09- In fact, in western economies for the last two decades,
5:13electricity demand was either flat or declining.
5:17- So the grid, which had been growing nonstop
5:19for a hundred years, suddenly didn't have to grow anymore.
5:23And that was kind of nice while it lasted.
5:25GDP kept growing while we used the same
5:27amount of electricity.
The New Power Boom
5:30But lately, energy demand isn't looking so flat anymore.
5:34- Now we're actually beginning to see a growth in demand
5:38and consumption again.
5:40It really is a three-part contributor.
5:44- It's moving from gasoline cars to electric cars,
5:48moving from oil furnaces and gas boilers to heat pumps,
5:52and of course the growth of artificial intelligence,
5:55which is powered by data centers
5:57that consume a lot of electricity.
6:00- Those industries could add a lot of economic growth,
6:04but they absolutely guzzle electricity.
6:07According to one estimate, AI could boost the global economy
6:10as much as 15% over the next decade,
6:13but it could also use as much power as the entire country
6:16of Japan by 2030.
6:19- So meeting all that new electricity demand requires the
6:22entire grid to become bigger.
6:24And because it is the first time it's happening in three
6:27decades, the industry has been caught...
6:31I don't want to say it with its pants down.
6:34- If an industry doesn't build something for a while,
6:37it tends to have a hard time starting up again.
6:39Supply chains, atrophy, infrastructure becomes outdated
6:43and run down and workforces dwindle
6:46and age out, that's what's happening
6:48with electric grids in many Western countries.
China’s Grid Advantage
6:52But elsewhere in the world,
6:53some countries have their pants very much on.
6:58- China's been building its grid in real time.
7:00It's basically gone nonstop since the 1990s.
7:03So they still have a a heavily, you know,
7:05employed skilled labour pool that they can pull from.
7:09And they have a supply chain that's mature
7:11and ready to grow as the needs are growing.
7:15- All that's been happening because it's had to.
7:18China does a lot of the manufacturing
7:21that western countries mostly stop doing,
7:23and the grid has had to keep up.
7:26- In China, you still have pretty rapid economic growth.
7:29A bad year here is 5% growth, which is, you know,
7:32much higher than you normally see
7:33in developed economies like in the U.S. and Europe.
7:36And so whereas, you know, the U.S. has barely seen
7:39an uptick in power generation in China,
7:41power generation has gone up seven times since 2000.
7:46I moved to China 29 years ago.
7:48And the difference between now and then is just palpable.
7:51You know, I used to drive on my way to school
7:53and we'd pass, you know, people living in huts and hovels.
7:57Now, you know, in a city like Shanghai
7:59or Beijing, there's brightly lit skyscrapers.
8:03- Energy is destiny.
8:05It decides whether your country has enough capability
8:10to do the things it wants.
8:12- And the countries that can't power new industries like AI
8:15and EVs just won't have as much of those new industries.
8:20- And so if as a country you're not able
8:23to build out the grid,
8:25you lose out on being a competitive economy in
8:28the 21st century.
8:30- For the rest of the world, keeping pace
8:32with China's fast growing grid isn't going to be easy,
8:36but the grid of the future isn't necessarily going
8:38to look like the grid of the past.
Veir’s Superconducting Cables
8:41A new technologies to move electricity could be the key
8:45to getting ahead, especially for CEOs
8:49who can nail the photo shoot.
8:52- All right, gimme a real casual lean. Gimme the elbow lean.
8:56Nice.
8:57- My name is Tim Heidel.
8:58I'm the chief executive officer at Veir.
9:04Veir's building a new generation
9:06of superconducting power delivery hardware.
9:10- Here at Veir, liquid nitrogen is steaming,
9:14machinists are machining,
9:15and a whole new way
9:17of moving electrons is being commercialized.
9:20- Expanding the grid is far too slow to meet the challenge
9:23that we're gonna see in the decades that come.
9:25We need new technologies and new approaches.
9:29We think superconducting transmission lines can
9:30play an enormous role.
9:32We can build lines that have a lot more capacity than
9:35what you've been able to build in the past.
9:38- So what is a superconducting cable?
9:42See, your typical power cable is made of a good conductor.
9:45A material that electric current can pass
9:47through without a lot of resistance.
9:49The more resistance,
9:50the more energy gets lost along the way.
9:53Plastic has a lot of resistance, making it a bad conductor.
9:58That's why it's used for insulation.
10:00Copper and aluminium have low resistance,
10:03making them pretty good conductors.
10:05So we use them for most power cables today.
10:09Veir's cables on the other hand, are made of this stuff.
10:12- So I'm holding here a sample
10:14of the superconducting material.
10:16It's a really special class of materials
10:18that in certain operating conditions,
10:21no longer have resistance.
10:24So when you can operate a material
10:26that doesn't have resistance,
10:27we can carry a lot more power in a very, very compact space.
10:32- Cables that can carry more power could be a big upgrade
10:35for the grid, helping move a lot of electricity
10:38to the data centers, homes and EV chargers that need it.
10:42They could also mean we don't have to build
10:44as much new infrastructure since one superconducting cable
10:48could carry as much power as several conventional cables.
10:52But first Veir needs to figure some things out,
10:56like how to keep its cables extremely cold.
10:59- Yeah, so the cable, we have it in this
11:03test bed full of liquid nitrogen.
11:05The liquid nitrogen is like 77 kelvin,
11:08which is very cold.
11:12- In fact, it's somewhere between the temperature of space
11:14and the dark side of the moon.
11:16The cables got to be that cold
11:18to get into its superconducting state,
11:21so it can carry insane amounts of power.
11:24- Essentially, we use these large power supplies to put
11:26a lot of current into our superconducting cables.
11:29We're in like a pretty large building
11:30and that draws almost all the power from the building.
11:33We have to like watch that the machine shop
11:35isn't using something powerful at the same time,
11:37so we don't overload the grid.
11:41Yeah.
11:43- When we visited Veir in 2025, the company was starting
11:46to produce 10-meter long sections
11:48of its cables on this assembly line.
11:51Uh, is this thing on?
11:54- We're going extremely slow.
11:56Typically takes about two weeks to make a cable.
11:58In normal cable manufacturing,
12:00you can't even see the the real spinning.
12:02It's spinning so fast.
12:03A lot of the manual things we're doing right now
12:07are gonna be automated
12:08and yeah, it'll be a much faster process.
12:11- Do you think about a future
12:13of these cables stretching across America,
12:15stretching across the world?
12:18- Um, I hope so. I really hope so.
12:22- Veir has raised a little over a hundred million dollars
12:24so far from investors, including Microsoft,
12:27and it says it aims to have its first cables
12:30on the grid within a couple of years.
12:33But none of this is easy or cheap.
12:36The system needs vacuum tubes
12:38and a continuous supply of liquid nitrogen,
12:40which could add a price premium over conventional cables.
12:44And there's another issue, Veir's potential customers,
12:47electric utilities, aren't known
12:49for their high-tech risk-taking
12:52- It just can't be denied that
12:54utilities are conservative businesses.
12:58When you're worried about providing power a hundred percent
13:01of the time, you're gonna be very cautious about trying
13:04something new.
13:06- I don't know we'll ever seesuperconductors be the only
13:09choice in this field,
13:11but I expect that the power density that they can achieve
13:14will allow them to increasingly dominate conversations
13:17around future transmission systems.
13:21- So will better cables moving more energy be
13:24enough to power the future?
13:27Well, even with better hardware, we still have
Spain’s Blackout & a Spinning Solution
13:30to keep the grid stable.
13:32And lately that's been getting harder.
13:51- Large parts of Spain
13:53and Portugal have been hit by a power outage.
13:56Tens of millions of people now
13:58who are experiencing a total blackout.
14:12- It was the worst blackout in Europe's modern history,
14:15and it left millions of people in the dark.
14:19There were hundreds of people stuck in metros in trains,
14:23shops, and supermarkets couldn't operate
14:25because payment systems were down.
14:28Spain's largest bank La Caixa, calculated
14:31that 400 million euros were wiped out of the Spanish economy
14:37- For most life without electricity was merely inconvenient
14:41or an excuse to party.
14:45And within about 18 hours, the power was back.
14:51But a blackout of this scale usually points
14:54to a larger problem.
14:56And this one has raised concerns about the very
14:58structure of the modern grid.
15:01- For now, what we know is
15:03that there was instability coming from some solar farms
15:06in southern Spain.
15:09- Spain has added a lot of solar power in recent years
15:12because, well, solar has a lot of advantages for a grid.
15:16It's clean, cheap, and versatile,
15:18and as a result, it's growing exponentially,
15:21helping grids to keep up with rising power demand.
15:24But solar does seem
15:26to have played some role in the Spanish blackout.
15:30Not the sheep, though. The sheep are innocent.
15:34- A lot of people blamed renewables
15:35for the Spanish situation,
15:37but renewables did exactly what they were told to do,
15:40exactly what it said on the tin.
15:42You know, when you look back, it was a perfectly
15:44foreseeable car crash.
15:46- Guy Nicholson works for European power company, Statkraft
15:50and inside this building, guy's got a machine
15:53that he says could help prevent Spain-style blackouts.
15:57- So this is a synchronous compensator.
16:00- Sorry, sinuous coffee maker?
16:02- Synchronous compensator.
16:04- What was it?
16:05Syllabus commentator?
16:06- A synchronous compensator, an electrical machine.
16:09It weighs a hundred tons.
16:12It's spinning round at 1500 rpm as you can see.
16:17- To understand why renewables can make problems
16:20for the grid and how this big spinny thing can
16:23help solve them, we need to dive a little deeper
16:26into the grid's, inner workings.
16:29For the grid to work properly,
16:31it has to be in perfect balance.
16:33The amount of electricity being made has
16:35to match the amount being consumed second by second.
16:39If so, the voltage remains stable and everybody's happy.
16:43If not, the voltage can spike
16:45and the different parts of the grid start
16:46to disconnect to avoid being damaged.
16:49- It starts with something falling over
16:51that causes the next thing
16:52to fall over that causes the next thing.
16:54And you get this kind of domino effect
16:55where the whole grid goes down.
16:58- Now, if the system failed every time there was a slightest
17:01imbalance, but have blackouts every day.
17:04Fortunately the grid has a saving grace: inertia.
17:09- And goes right the way back to Isaac Newton
17:12and the first laws of motion.
17:15A thing that is in motion,
17:17will remain in motion
17:18unless there is a force that acts against it.
17:22That property, which I am sure even if you've forgotten you
17:26all studied in high school, is called inertia.
17:30So when you have an object like a hundred tons spinning
17:33turbine, it'll continue spinning at
17:36that same rotation regardless
17:38of what's happening on the grid.
17:40- And these spinning devices can be found
17:43in any traditional power plant.
17:44They're the machines that actually make the electricity.
17:48- Coal, gas, nuclear, hydro,
17:51all these have big spinning rotating generators,
17:54and those machines have a lot of inertia, a lot
17:56of spinning mass.
17:58- That inertia is like a little extra energy
18:01that the grid can tap in case of emergency.
18:04- So say suddenly a power plant goes down
18:07so you don't have supply and demand imbalance.
18:11The spinning device notices
18:12that something's gone wrong on the grid
18:15and uses the inertia that's been built up
18:18to inject just the right amount of power
18:20to keep the grid stable.
18:22In that instant, it loses a little bit
18:25of its rotational speed
18:26and turns that energy into the
18:29electricity that the grid needs.
18:31And for most of the grid's history, this worked just fine.
18:35- But what's happening now on the modern grid is
18:37that you're adding things like solar
18:40that have no spinning devices in them.
18:43- Solar panels convert sunlight directly into electricity,
18:47meaning no spinning generator and no inertia.
18:51- And in the past five years, Spain has tripled the amount
18:54of solar it has added on the grid.
18:56- So when a couple of solar plants suddenly went offline,
18:59there wasn't enough inertia to restore the balance and...
19:05lights out.
19:09- As we get more renewables on the grid,
19:10we are gonna need inertia.
19:13We at Statkraft, were
19:15very much thinking about this problem.
19:18- Which brings us back to this silly mush cogitater.
19:21Synchronous compensator.
19:22- Sorry, synchronous compensator.
19:25It's just like a spinning device you'd find in a coal
19:28or gas plant, but without the coal
19:30or gas, add enough of these
19:32and your grid will have all the inertia it needs.
19:35Even with no fossil fuel power.
19:38- It's providing inertia to the grid, enabling the grid
19:41to run with more renewables.
19:44While we hear on the grapevine is Spain is possibly
19:46gonna do similar things.
19:48- Almost immediately
19:50after the blackout happened,
19:51the Parliament passed regulations that would allow
19:55for more types of devices like synchronous compensators
19:59to participate in stabilising the grid,
20:01- Making the necessary upgrades won't be cheap for Spain,
20:06but they'll probably result in more reliable
20:08and abundant electricity.
20:10Exactly what rich countries need to keep up
20:13with rising demand.
Mini-Grids in Nigeria
20:17But of course, not all countries have the money
20:20to make these kinds of investments,
20:22and as a result, their grids have lagged behind.
20:26Sub-Saharan Africa has more people without electricity than
20:29any other region on earth, about 565 million.
20:33Grids are often limited
20:36to urban areas leaving large rural areas in the dark.
20:41But grids are growing here too.
20:43Just a different kind of grid.
20:46- It's just cheaper these days
20:47to build out a local mini grid.
20:51They're called mini because they are really much smaller
20:54than what typical grids are.
20:57- Where a traditional grid can cover
20:58thousands of square miles.
21:00A mini grid typically serves a much smaller area like a
21:03small island or a village.
21:06This Nigerian village is beyond the reach of the main grid,
21:09creating an opportunity for private companies
21:12to bring electricity piecemeal.
21:15- Averagely mini grid serves about 400 community members.
21:20- Husk Power has installed dozens
21:23of solar mini grid across Nigeria.
21:26- Our mini grids runs for 24 hours as
21:29who use our electricity to power up their appliances.
21:32like fans, TVs.
21:36Children cannot come back home
21:38and do their homework at night.
21:42- Electricity helps local businesses too
21:45by powering all manner of machines
21:47that help residents earn more income.
21:49Like this rice milling machine.
21:52Alright, it might be a far cry from a multi-billion dollar
21:54data center but every grid has
21:57to start somewhere.
22:02In the U.S. in the 1930s,
22:04the government spent billions electrifying rural areas
22:07extending the grid across the continent
22:09and helping the U.S. to become the richest country on earth.
22:13In Africa, a similar project is starting a programme called
22:17Mission 300, backed by the World Bank aims
22:19to invest billions of dollars to get electricity
22:22to 300 million Africans by 2030.
22:26If all goes to plan in a few decades,
22:28Africa's grids might not be so mini anymore.
22:32- So you may start with a bunch
22:34of mini grids in Nigerian villages,
22:37which are then slowly interconnected into a grid.
22:41- If every citizen has access to electricity, right,
22:46businesses will prosper, the unemployment rate in the
22:49nation will reduce.
22:51People will come up and do things for themselves,
22:54and life as a whole will be better.
Conclusion
22:59- As technologies change
23:01and economies grow,
23:02the world's grids are evolving in different ways
23:05and it's not yet clear which approach will lead
23:07to the greatest returns.
23:09But there's little question that the grid will keep growing,
23:12empowering modern life for a long time to come.
23:16- It's always hard to tell
23:17and predict what those next big steps are going to be,
23:22but the grid is never gonna go away.
23:26- The world has clearly hit an inflexion
23:28point when it comes to energy.
23:30All these new demand sources are gonna require
23:33more and more power.
23:35- The grid isn't particularly glamorous
23:37and it's a big job keeping it going,
23:39but where there's grid, there's often growth.
23:42And that's a pretty good incentive to make the
23:45of the future the best that it can be.