Full transcript
Introduction & The AI Promise
0:00CORY DOCTOROW: The people who oppose Donald Trump's agenda
0:02in both parties have completely failed to speak to the things
0:06that people need and that people want,
0:08and to show them that there is the possibility
0:10of an alternative.
0:11So one of the things I've been trying
0:13to work into this conversation here
0:16is how we ended up in this situation, just in respect
0:19to privacy. JON STEWART: OK.
0:21CORY DOCTOROW: When I testified that the Consumer Finance
0:22Protection Bureau in the last couple of days of the Biden
0:25admin when they were banning data brokers,
0:27which Trump unbanned, and the speaker before me was speaker
0:30from the American Association of Retired People who wanted
0:33the committee to know that the ad broker
0:35industry would sell you ad targeting
0:37to people with dementia.
0:39And then the person after me was from the Pentagon, who
0:42wanted them to know that you can buy as an ad targeting
0:45group military personnel on base
0:47who have gambling problems.
0:48JON STEWART: Oh, Jesus Christ.
0:50CORY DOCTOROW: So, like, this-- so
0:51how do we end up in this horrible place with privacy?
0:54Well, here it is.
0:55The last time Congress passed a federal consumer
0:57privacy law was in 1988.
1:00And that was a law that makes it
1:01illegal for video store clerks to disclose
1:03your VHS rental history.
1:05[JON LAUGHING] Right?
1:07And every other form of privacy invasion is legal in America.
1:12They spy on you because they can.
1:15[MUSIC PLAYING]
1:18JON STEWART: Hey, everybody.
1:19Welcome to The Weekly Show podcast.
1:21My name is Jon Stewart.
1:23My name is Jon Stewart, and I will be
1:26your host for today's program.
1:27It's Tuesday, July 28.
1:30We're all recovering from the bombing raid
1:33that the President of the United States
1:35pulled on the White House Correspondents Dinner.
1:37Not so fucking easy, is it, buddy boy?
1:44As a comedian, when you watch somebody bombing like that,
1:48the traditional thing to say is, "hey,
1:50don't quit your day job."
1:52But, I think in the President's case,
1:53I think we would all make an exception.
1:56And if he would like to quit his day job
1:58and pursue full time--
1:59I think he can improve.
2:00I think he's got some timing.
2:01The weave didn't quite work with some
2:03of the more concise roasts.
2:04And, once again, in the battle between Kaitlan Collins and
2:10Donald Trump-- point Collins.
2:13I believe the score now somewhere around 328 to 0.
2:21Her sophistication, focus in class
2:24is just wiping the floor with that dude.
2:27But, moving on from those events,
2:30I have been in a bit of a doomer spiral
2:33concerning AI and its effects on how it will be changing,
2:38the way we work, the way we interact with each other,
2:40and all those things.
2:41And I recently read a book that changed
2:44my perspective slightly.
2:46I don't want to tell you it gave me a tinge of optimism.
2:49But, in fact-- and it was a feeling
2:52I'm not so comfortable with.
2:53But I thought, well, geez, let me talk to this just incredibly
2:58wonderful and prolific author who wrote this book
3:02that I'm talking about.
3:03The book is actually called The Reverse Centaur's Guide to Life
3:06After AI--
3:07How to Think About Artificial Intelligence Before It's
3:09Too Late.
3:10So let's get to him.
3:12Let's bring on in our guest for today, Cory Doctorow.
3:16[MUSIC PLAYING]
Cory Doctorow Joins
3:19Ladies and gentlemen, we are delighted and honored to have
3:22with us today maybe one of the most prolific writers
3:26that I know.
3:27And his work is just phenomenal.
3:29You know him from Enshittification.
3:31The new book is The Reverse Centaur's Guide to Life
3:34After AI.
3:35Science fiction writer, activist,
3:37journalist, author-- for God's sakes, Cory Doctorow.
3:39Thanks for joining us.
3:41CORY DOCTOROW: Oh, what a pleasure.
3:42Thank you very much for having me on, Jon.
3:43This is a real bucket list.
3:45JON STEWART: I'm delighted and just an enormous fan
3:47of your work and your writing-- disturbed at how much of it
3:50you're able to do in how many different genres,
3:53but we're putting that aside for the moment.
3:58I am an AI--
3:59I'm a doomer.
4:01I believe I am a doomer.
4:02And, reading your book, you are far less pessimistic, not just
4:10about its ability to destroy our civilization as we know it,
4:14the existential threat, but even the promise of it as a job
4:20destroying cyclops that comes in and gathers
4:25up all of our productivity and puts
4:28us all on Elon Musk's dole.
4:31So let's go through--
Defining "Enshittification" & Platform Decay
4:34talk me out of a tree, Cory.
4:37CORY DOCTOROW: Yeah.
4:38So I'm really indebted to this STS, society and technology
4:42studies, scholar at Virginia Tech, a guy called
4:44Lee Vinsel, coined this very useful term,
4:47which is criti-hype.
4:49This is when you repeat the hype of the tech industry.
4:53And then at the end of it, you put in brackets,
4:54"and that's bad."
4:56And the thing is, you're repeating the hype.
4:58You're just helping them sell it.
5:00So Mark Zuckerberg shows up one day and says,
5:02hey, everyone, I don't know if you know,
5:03but I'm, like, Cyber Rasputin.
5:05I'm a dopamine hacking wizard.
5:08Where Mesmer failed, and MKUltra, and pickup artists,
5:11and neurolinguistic programming weirdos failed,
5:13I have succeeded.
5:14I built the mind control ray out of big data.
5:16And then his critics go around and go like, Cyber Rasputin--
5:19The reason Grampy is a QAnon is Cyber
5:22Rasputin made him a QAnon.
5:23It's not because, like, Grampy was always racist,
5:25and Mark Zuckerberg introduced him to a lot of other racists
5:28so they could just do racist shit all day.
5:30It's because he was brainwashed by Mark Zuckerberg.
5:33And then Mark Zuckerberg's sales guys go out,
5:35and they're like, you asking me why you should spend 40%
5:39more to advertise on Facebook?
5:40Well, I don't know, but my critics will tell you
5:43my boss is an evil, dopamine hacking wizard,
5:45and he can sell anything to anyone.
5:47So you just don't want to do the work for them, right?
5:50JON STEWART: Right.
5:51But is that any of that hype-- so when you talk about that,
5:55is the algorithm not designed-- isn't it designed purely to do
6:01exactly what you're saying?
6:03He might not be the wizard, but in the same way that--
6:06I've talked about this a little bit--
6:08in the same way that Doritos are not food.
6:13They're designed in a lab to get past your body's
6:19ability to say, two bags?
6:21That's not enough at all.
6:23I need three.
6:24Aren't they doing that to us?
6:26CORY DOCTOROW: So, yeah.
6:27I mean, this idea of palatability, which is, like,
6:30a problem with highly processed food,
6:32I see where you're coming from when we talk
6:34about social media algorithms.
6:36But I think that, like, this idea of Occam's razor--
6:40finding the more parsimonious explanation-- yeah, sure.
6:43Like, things that are entertaining are entertaining
6:45and you'll watch them, right?
6:47But also, it's really hard to get the people you love to act
6:53in a coordinated fashion.
6:55Economists have a term for this.
6:56They call it the collective action problem.
6:59You love your besties, but, like, the six people
7:01in your group chat, can't agree on where
7:02to go for beers on Friday.
7:04So, there's 200 of you on Facebook.
7:06And some of you are there because, like, you
7:08share a rare disease with a community there.
7:09And some of you are there because you,
7:11like, moved from another country
7:12and that's where everyone is.
7:13Some of you are there because that's
7:14how you're organizing the carpool
7:15for your kid's Little League.
7:16And some of you are there because like your customers,
7:18your audience are there.
7:20And Mark Zuckerberg, he kind of understands
7:22that if you love your friends more than you hate him,
7:24you'll probably stick around.
7:25And so he can turn the screws.
7:27And so you have this thing that's
7:28like, why am I on Facebook all the time when I hate it?
7:31Well, because your friends are there.
7:33And you can say, well, my friends are there because they
7:36are also brainwashed.
7:38Or you can say, my friends are there
7:39because it's just really hard to coordinate our departure.
7:42Now, I have a personal example of this,
7:44which is that my grandmother was a Soviet refugee.
7:46And she had been a child soldier
7:48in the siege of Leningrad.
7:49So from, like, 12 to 15 was, like, hauling bodies.
7:52And then she gets evacuated across the winter ice,
7:54ends up in Siberia, gets knocked up by my grandfather.
7:57They desert, they go to Azerbaijan.
7:59My dad is born.
8:00And then, they go all the way to Canada, you know?
8:03And, like all the best Americans, I'm Canadian, right?
8:06JON STEWART: Fair enough.
8:07CORY DOCTOROW: So they go all the way to Canada.
8:08No one else leaves Leningrad.
8:09They're all there.
8:10Because what had happened with my grandmother is she'd had,
8:13like, some important bonds shattered-- like,
8:16this bond where she was in this relationship, where she was
8:19taking care of the older people,
8:20they were taking care of her, and so on.
8:22The people who stayed behind, that's not what happened.
8:24They all stayed.
8:25And there has not been a moment since
8:27that their lives weren't worse than my branch
8:29of the family's life.
8:30And now, we get on these Zoom calls with my Russian family
8:33and, like, all the men are worried about getting
8:34drafted and sent to Ukraine.
8:36And it's just awful, right?
8:38So, like, why didn't they leave?
8:39It's not because they were brainwashed by Stalin.
8:43They didn't leave because, like, they
8:45wanted to be with each other.
8:47And, as much as they loved each other--
8:48Sartre was an optimist, hell is other people-- you can't get
8:51anyone to do anything ever.
8:53And so you're all just stuck there.
8:55JON STEWART: It's nothing more than a body at rest,
8:58tends to stay at rest, and a body in motion
9:01tends to stay in motion.
9:02Because it does-- and I certainly
9:05can't quote studies on this--
9:07but it feels like if it doesn't rewire the mind,
9:13it has added in an accelerant into maybe some
9:19of our lesser impulses as--
9:22CORY DOCTOROW: Sure.
9:23Yeah-- six of one, half dozen of the other.
9:26I mean, we have this problem all the time
9:27because, like, people exist in a society, right?
9:29So, like-- JON STEWART: Right.
9:31CORY DOCTOROW: --yeah, we go for a junk food
9:33social interactions instead of the meaningful ones.
9:35But also, like, my mom's dad, who's the oldest of 10
9:40and dropped out of school at 13 to take
9:42care of his brothers and sisters when his dad died--
9:44by the time my mom came around and her two siblings, he was,
9:48like, a 35-year-old door-to-door insurance salesman
9:51who owned his own home, played bowling on the weekend,
9:54also golfed, also was, like, in a fraternal organization.
9:58They went to picnics.
9:59And they took six weeks off on one income, right?
10:02Like, I don't know anyone who's not working, like, five jobs.
10:06So, yeah, why do we squeeze in all of our social interactions
10:09around the edges?
10:10Well, maybe because, like, getting a whole evening
10:12free to go bowling and then, like, also
10:15being a member of, like, your local Kiwanis
10:17and whatever requires that you not be, like,
10:20stuck in the gig economy working every hour
10:22that God sends to pay for a house
10:23that doesn't cost 20% of your income, but 60% of your income.
10:27And, sure, like, all this stuff might be bad for you.
10:28It might be hyper-palatable.
10:30You might be getting sucked into it.
10:31But, like, let's not give Mark Zuckerberg credit
10:34that we don't know he deserves, especially
10:36when it helps him sell ads.
10:38JON STEWART: In other words, intentionality is not
10:40necessarily what he's doing.
10:41It may just be a byproduct.
10:44And that if you hype them, that helps them.
10:47And that gets us to AI.
10:49CORY DOCTOROW: Yes.
10:50JON STEWART: Which you have-- the idea is AI
10:56is going into that same model.
10:58The feeling that you have is we are hyping it as a planet
11:03killer, as a Death Star, and that is helping
11:06them in terms of valuation?
11:09Is that the mistake we're making by over-blessing them?
11:15CORY DOCTOROW: Yeah.
11:16I mean, there's lots of different stories
11:17that AI tells that are quite outlandish.
11:19So there are ways in which AI is a planet killer, right?
11:22The carbon emissions are definitely not
11:24doing the planet any favors.
11:25JON STEWART: An actual planet killer.
11:26Yes.
11:27CORY DOCTOROW: Right.
11:28But this idea that, like, oh, my god, what
11:29if we teach the word guessing program too many words,
11:32and it wakes up, and turns into God
11:34and makes us into paperclips, right?
11:36Like, that is--
11:37[JON LAUGHING]
11:39It's like, what if we breed these horses
11:41to run so fast that one of the mares
11:43gives birth to a locomotive?
11:45Like, it's just not--
11:47JON STEWART: By the way, favorite sentence in the book,
11:52The Reverse Centaurs Guide to Life
11:54After AI, you're talking about how they talk about AI is--
11:57the long mission truckers.
12:02CORY DOCTOROW: Oh, long haul truckers.
12:03JON STEWART: Long haul truckers--
12:04that the AI is going to turn them into autonomous long
12:08haul truckers.
12:09And that's going to disrupt the largest industry
12:13in America, which is trucking.
12:15And you break it down very nicely that there's only
12:18like 25,000 of them.
12:21But you say, first of all, congratulations.
12:24You've just invented a shitty version of a train.
12:27CORY DOCTOROW: Yeah.
12:28Yeah.
12:29A bunch of large vehicles following
12:31each other at a constant distance in a dedicated lane.
12:34I mean--
12:35[JON LAUGHING]
12:36You know, great.
12:38Great. That's awesome.
12:39JON STEWART: But that's one of the greatest
12:41sort of puncturing of the bubble of its importance.
12:48And is that something we need to continue to do?
12:50CORY DOCTOROW: Yeah.
12:51So this is another one of the stories that they tell.
12:54So there's one story that they tell--
12:55and they're all interrelated.
12:56But there's one story they tell-- the AI is just going
12:59to keep getting better, and eventually
13:00it's going to be caught.
13:01And it'll either solve all of our problems
13:02or use us as fuel, right?
13:04And then there's the other story,
13:06which is that the AI can do so many jobs
13:11that have such high wages--
13:14that the fact that right now, like,
13:16the sector is making $50 billion a year.
13:19They claim it's $60 billion a year. $10 billion of that
13:22is, like, money that Microsoft gave to OpenAI,
13:25and OpenAI gave back to Microsoft--
13:26JON STEWART: They're just passing back and forth.
13:28CORY DOCTOROW: Yeah.
13:29Look, I write thrillers about forensic accounting.
13:32And in my considered professional opinion,
13:34to call that an accounting trick
13:35is to do violence to the noble accounting trick.
13:38[JON LAUGHING]
13:39Like--
13:40JON STEWART: The CPAs of America salute you, sir.
13:43CORY DOCTOROW: Yeah.
13:44So, like, $50 billion a year-- when
13:45I wrote the book, the total capital expenditure to date
13:49was $700 billion.
13:50They've added at least another $1 trillion since.
13:53And if you believe--
13:54JON STEWART: Added $1 trillion?
13:56CORY DOCTOROW: In the last year.
13:57And if you believe Gartner, who, admittedly, did
14:00say that by now we'd all be spending six hours a day
14:02in the metaverse-- but if you believe Gartner,
14:05it's going to be $2.5 trillion in total
14:07by the end of the year, right?
14:08So on $50 billion revenue.
14:11And they have to keep spending it,
14:13because the data centers, the GPUs, they're, like, replacing
14:17them every two to five years.
14:19So, like, this expenditure just recurs.
14:21It's not like you train the model
14:22and then you're like, well, we got the model now.
14:25I guess it's all set, right?
14:26JON STEWART: We can sit back.
14:27CORY DOCTOROW: It's new model, new model, new model.
14:29And so you have these ongoing operational expenditures.
14:32You have these ongoing capital expenditures.
14:33And their answer to, how do you turn $50 billion of revenue
14:36into profit when you're spending $1 trillion a year
14:39to make it-- like, look, if you want $50 billion revenue
14:42and you've got $1 trillion, I can do it for you.
14:45I'll give you $100 billion back.
14:47JON STEWART: It's called just put it all in an index fund,
14:49and you should be OK.
14:51CORY DOCTOROW: I'll put it under the mattress,
14:52and give you $100 billion back, and we'll call it a day.
14:55JON STEWART: It'll be fine.
14:57CORY DOCTOROW: Like, Sam Altman's out there running
14:59the money-losingest venture in the history of the human race,
15:01and his story about how it stops losing money
15:04is eventually you displace enough wages
15:06that bosses split the savings with Sam Altman,
15:10and he comes out ahead.
15:11[JON LAUGHING]
15:12Right?
15:14[MUSIC PLAYING]
15:15JON STEWART: Are you at work right now?
15:17Are you the boss?
15:18Are you the boss.
15:19And you're listening to the podcast
15:21to taunt the other workers that you
15:23domineer over because you're a terrible boss?
15:28My point is simply this--
15:31this is an intervention.
15:32Stop being a control freak and doing
15:35everything yourself at work.
15:37You're busy.
15:38You're multitasking.
15:39You're value-- hire experts.
15:42Upwork makes it easy to hire freelance expert specialists
15:49to get the jobs done that maybe you don't want to do
15:53or don't have the expertise to do,
15:54but don't want to admit you don't have the expertise to do
15:56it, or don't have the time to do,
15:58or you want to focus on other parts of the business.
16:00Upwork is a one-stop platform.
16:03You find, hire, and pay expert freelancers
16:07across web and software development,
16:09data and analytics, marketing, more.
16:12Do you want to do the marketing?
16:14Do you have time to do the marketing?
16:15Do you even know how to do the marketing?
16:17What, are you going to stand on a corner and pass out flyers?
16:19No, you're a busy person.
16:23That's why you're using Upwork.
16:24And then you browse profiles, review past work,
16:27hire, get started quickly.
16:29I'm telling you, man, Upwork takes
16:31care of all the stuff you don't feel like doing
16:33and you need experts to do.
16:35And they'll handle contracts, payments.
16:38It's free to sign up, so visit Upwork.com/TWS right now.
16:42Post your job for free.
16:45It's Upwork.com/TWS to connect with top talent, ready
16:49to help your business grow.
16:50That's U-P-W-O-R-K, Upwork.com/TWS.
16:55Do it now, unless you're uh-scared.
The "Reverse Centaur" & Workforce Automation
17:01Cory, let me ask you--
17:02CORY DOCTOROW: Yeah.
17:03JON STEWART: --what is that, when you say it generates
17:05$50 billion in revenue, and then you
17:08say they've added another $10 billion,
17:09but that's really just an accounting
17:11gimmick, what is the way that AI returns that investment?
17:15What is that $50 billion?
17:17Is it user fees?
17:18CORY DOCTOROW: People buying subscriptions.
17:20JON STEWART: That's all it is? CORY DOCTOROW: Yeah.
17:21It's subscriptions. Yeah.
17:23It's enterprise licenses and subscriptions.
17:25JON STEWART: Government contracts and things like that.
17:27CORY DOCTOROW: Government contracts.
17:28Yeah. All that stuff.
17:29It sums up to $50 billion.
17:31Now, there'll be new numbers and then whatever.
17:33And you may have noticed that Anthropic just said that they
17:35were profitable, but not using generally
17:36accepted accounting practices, which is just awesome.
17:39It's like we are profitable, but the math is so cool that we
17:43can't even describe it to you.
17:45If you use regular math, it's not going
17:47to look like we're profitable.
17:48We've got this new math.
17:49And the same week they had this other announcement,
17:51which is we have this tool, Mythos, that's
17:53such a cool security tool that we can't show you how it works.
17:57But it's really good.
17:58JON STEWART: It's too dangerous.
18:00It's too dangerous.
18:01CORY DOCTOROW: It's too dangerous.
18:02The fact that our IPO, that we're trying to get, like,
18:05this IPO in shape-- like, nothing to do with it.
18:10Don't look under the blanket.
18:11What's under the blanket's amazing.
18:12It's definitely worth buying into the IPO at, like,
18:14$150 odd.
18:15But don't look under the blanket.
18:17You look under the blanket, you're
18:18going to turn into a pillar of salt. And then, you know,
18:21it'll be on your head.
18:23And also, don't ask us to explain the math
18:25by which we're profitable.
18:27And also, we've been selling $100 bills for $1 each.
18:30And, like, when we started down this IPO road,
18:32we were like, why don't we start charging
18:33$5 for these $100 bills?
18:34JON STEWART: Oh, god.
18:35CORY DOCTOROW: And every CEO who's been buying $100 bills
18:38was like, I'm sorry.
18:39At $5, these $100 bills are not worth it.
18:42JON STEWART: So does this, then, reframe,
18:44is the threat of AI not that it will turn us into paperclips
18:48or that it will replace all of our high paying jobs,
18:51but that, because it is a three card Monte,
18:55it will utterly shatter our economy?
18:59I mean, the Mag Seven-- most of the growth
19:02in the American economy is driven by this AI
19:05promise, right?
19:07I mean, we went through this in the internet boom.
19:09And the internet, I think, has become standardized
19:11and is a valuable part of the economy.
19:15So is this truly a Potemkin village?
19:19What are we dealing with?
19:20CORY DOCTOROW: So let me give you some--
19:22because that often comes up, right?
19:23This is like the web.
19:24The web lost money.
19:25AI lost money. JON STEWART: Right.
19:26CORY DOCTOROW: That's like this food is delicious,
19:28that food is delicious.
19:29Therefore, they're the same food.
19:30Like, the fact that they share this one trait
19:32doesn't make them the same thing.
19:34JON STEWART: They both go in your mouth.
19:35CORY DOCTOROW: They both go in your mouth.
19:37JON STEWART: Yes.
19:38CORY DOCTOROW: Yeah.
19:39There's some Monty Python bits about this.
19:40JON STEWART: I'm sure there is.
19:42CORY DOCTOROW: If it floats, it's a duck.
19:43It's a witch. Yeah, yeah.
19:44So here's the thing--
19:46the web had very good unit economics.
19:48Like, no one should do--
19:49JON STEWART: What is unit economics?
19:50What is that? CORY DOCTOROW: Yeah.
19:51So I was just going to say no one should
19:52do an economics degree because you'll end
19:54up with a neurological injury.
19:55But learning something about economics is useful.
19:57And so learning, like, what unit
19:59economics are-- super useful.
20:00Unit economics are what happens to your business
20:02when you get a new customer or make a new sale, right?
20:04JON STEWART: OK.
20:05CORY DOCTOROW: Like, how much money do you make.
20:07Like, per unit, how does your business do?
20:09So in the web, like, yeah, they were losing money.
20:11But every new customer made them more profitable.
20:14Every use by a new customer made the web
20:17as a sector more profitable.
20:18And also, every generation of the web
20:19is more profitable than the previous one.
20:21Compare that to AI.
20:23Every new AI customer costs the company
20:26that just acquired them money.
20:27The more that AI customer uses their products,
20:29the more money they lose.
20:31And every generation of AI has lost more
20:33money than the previous one.
20:36JON STEWART: Ta, ta, ta, ta, ta, ta.
20:37CORY DOCTOROW: Ta, ta, ta, ta.
20:38JON STEWART: Tease that out.
20:39Because we talked a little bit about Zuckerberg
20:41and the evil genius.
20:42Clearly, the incentives on social media
20:45were an attention incentive.
20:48The more they can keep you on social media, the more money
20:51they can make, because I guess the more ads they can sell
20:54and that type of thing.
20:56Is AI, the incentives are inverse to that?
21:00So the more you use their AI, how does that cost them more?
21:05CORY DOCTOROW: Oh, well, because every time you use AI,
21:07it costs them money to run the inference.
21:11Can I sidebar here just a little on inference?
21:13JON STEWART: Man, anytime you want, Cory Doctorow.
21:15CORY DOCTOROW: OK.
21:16JON STEWART: Sidebar away.
21:17CORY DOCTOROW: Because I want to mention one of the very best
21:20researchers on AI economics, which is this guy
21:22called Ed Zitron, who you should have on.
21:24JON STEWART: Eddie Zitron.
21:26Big Z.
21:27CORY DOCTOROW: Amazing guy. Zed.
21:29He's British.
21:30JON STEWART: Zed. All right.
21:32CORY DOCTOROW: So, Ed, someone leaked
21:33OpenAI's finances to him, right, their balance sheet.
21:36Because it's all private.
21:38So he gets a look at it, and it really looks
21:41like their inference costs.
21:42So inference is like you type in, "draw me Sonic
21:45the Hedgehog with big boobs."
21:47And then it makes Sonic--
21:48that step is the inference.
21:51JON STEWART: Have you been reading my diary, Doctorow?
21:53Where did you--
21:54CORY DOCTOROW: They leak your queries.
21:56JON STEWART: Oh, son of a bitch.
21:57CORY DOCTOROW: So, yeah, you asked that,
22:00and that's the inference step.
22:01That's using it part.
22:02In economics speak, that would be the operating expense of AI.
22:06So, like, it looks like their opex is going down,
22:09which is like, OK, that's all right.
22:11Because if they can just do the capex once, make the model,
22:13and then they just start making money from the opex,
22:16then you can make money from it-- just like you build
22:18a railroad, and then you sweat the asset by running
22:20rail cars up and down it.
22:21But here's the thing--
22:23their marketing budget is as big as Coca-Cola's.
22:25JON STEWART: What?
22:26CORY DOCTOROW: Now, Coca-Cola has,
22:28like, three full time ad agencies,
22:31right, and ads everywhere.
22:33So where's the OpenAI, like, army of marketers?
22:39So here's Ed's theory, and I think he's right-- what they're
22:41doing is they're saying when we sell you that $100 bill for $1
22:45and let you do $100 worth of inference
22:47for $1, that's not inference.
22:49That's marketing.
22:51So we're just putting it somewhere else
22:52on the balance sheet.
22:53JON STEWART: But even--
22:55Cory, let's say it's a loss leader.
22:58Let's say-- they used to do that in the mall.
23:01Somebody would stand out there with a little plate
23:03with little cheese cubes, and you'd walk by
23:05and go, oh, this is delicious.
23:06We'll come into Hickory Farms, and they figure you'll buy--
23:09the loss leader is take this cheese,
23:12and you'll buy $100 worth of Vienna sausages
23:15or whatever else is in there.
23:17But if the money that they are spending
23:21to bring in new people, but each new person who's using it
23:26costs them more money than they're making,
23:29well, that's the shittiest business model--
23:31I've never even heard of anything like that.
23:34CORY DOCTOROW: So there's two poles of finance wisdom
23:38that I turn to in these moments, right?
23:40One is this thing called Stein's
23:42Law, which is anything that can't go on forever
23:44eventually stops.
23:46The other, Jon Kenneth Galbraith--
23:50the market can remain irrational longer
23:52than you can remain solvent.
23:54JON STEWART: Bars.
23:55CORY DOCTOROW: So you're spending more than you're
23:57making, you're eventually going to have a reckoning
23:59of some kind, right?
24:01But when does that reckoning come?
24:03Well, like, if you're Elon Musk,
24:06you take your money furnace, which is called Grok,
24:08and you stuff it inside your, like, Beltway bandit rocketry
24:12company that builds uncle sucker billions of dollars
24:15for rockets that is profitable, and then you IPO it,
24:18and you get a special deal from NASDAQ
24:21so that it IPOs in the NASDAQ 100
24:23instead of having to wait a couple of quarters the way
24:25it normally would, which means that every fund manager who's
24:28managing a NASDAQ index fund has to go out and buy
24:32SpaceX at whatever price.
24:33They're, like, legally obliged.
24:35That's what it means to run an index fund.
24:37And you list very few shares when you go public.
24:41Instead, what you do is you get another exemption--
24:44again, from the feds--
24:46that let insiders unload without the normal
24:49lockout period.
24:51And so now, you have these fund managers who need to buy SpaceX
24:53at any price, which is just a way to offload
24:56GrokX in the money furnace.
24:57They need to buy it at any price.
24:59And there's no shares available from SpaceX, which
25:02means that the Emiratis and the billionaire Silicon Valley
25:05guys who backed him when he bought Twitter for $40 billion,
25:09who backed him when he built the money furnace for GrokX,
25:13now, they get to be made whole by your pension fund,
25:19which you stuck in an index.
25:22JON STEWART: Oh, my god.
25:23CORY DOCTOROW: Which, like, was just
25:25supposed to be, like, the thing-- remember Warren
25:27Buffett, like, three pieces of investing advice,
25:30fits on the back of a postcard, this
25:31is what I told my wife to do with my money when I die?
25:34Just put it in an index fund and forget it.
25:36JON STEWART: That's right.
25:37CORY DOCTOROW: If you did that, Elon Musk just unloaded on you.
25:41You're his liquidity.
25:42Now, they were supposed to also do it with the S&P 500.
25:45And, to their credit, not a thing I would often say about
25:47Standard and Poor's-- but, to their credit,
25:49S&P said no at the last minute after a lot of public pressure.
25:53And S&P is like--
25:56it's got a lot more old money.
25:57I think there was some millionaire on billionaire
25:59violence there.
26:00I think there were, like, a lot of rich people
26:01who were like, don't do this to the S&P. Do it to NASDAQ.
26:05NASDAQ's the Bernie Madoff exchange.
26:07JON STEWART: That's a UFC fight that you've
26:09got nobody to cheer for. That's just--
26:10CORY DOCTOROW: Yeah, yeah. Exactly.
26:11JON STEWART: There's nowhere to go there.
26:13Let them fight.
26:14But, Cory, what you're describing
26:17is a time bomb that's going to make mortgage backed securities
26:21look like a lemonade stand.
Space Colonization Myths & Billionaire Escapism
26:24Because, I mean, is that why all these guys
26:26are trying to get to Mars?
26:28Like, they figure when this thing--
26:30CORY DOCTOROW: Oh, sidebar.
26:31Adam Becker, astrophysicist, you should have him on someday,
26:35wrote an amazing book about this.
26:37He points out that if you detonated every nuke on Earth
26:41at the same moment as the meteor that killed
26:44the dinosaurs struck us again, Earth would still
26:47be more habitable than Mars could ever be because it would
26:50still have water, oxygen, gravity, a magnetosphere,
26:53and a troposphere.
26:54Like, we're not going to Mars.
26:56We should send robots to Mars.
26:58Maybe we'll send a person someday.
26:59We're not going to go live on Mars.
27:01That's just nuts.
27:02JON STEWART: It's not happening.
27:03CORY DOCTOROW: Yeah.
27:04JON STEWART: The whole idea of this bubble
27:05is they've sold us a future that is not actionable
27:11because the technology that they've created
27:15isn't the job killing wonder, isn't
27:20the intelligence, the sentient creature
27:24that they're telling us.
27:25And they're using it as a way to amass assets as a growth
27:33story for their valuations.
27:36Would this be a way of--
27:37CORY DOCTOROW: Yeah. Yeah.
27:39JON STEWART: --reframing this?
27:40CORY DOCTOROW: That's right. Yeah.
27:41Yeah.
27:42So, you know, like, here's the paradox of a growing company.
27:44The market loves a growing company.
27:46JON STEWART: Of course.
27:47CORY DOCTOROW: It's called the price to earnings ratio, right?
27:49Like, just how much money your company is worth based
27:52on how much money it earns--
27:53goes up if you're growing for, like, the obvious reason
27:56that a share is a claim on the future revenue of the company.
28:00Like, a company that's made a million this year, but we think
28:02is going to make $2 million next year,
28:04it's worth more than a company that made $1 million this year
28:06and is going to make $1 million next year.
28:07JON STEWART: It's a growth story.
28:08CORY DOCTOROW: What happens when you have
28:09grown to the maximum size?
28:12What happens when you're Google,
28:13and you have a 90% market share?
28:15Well, suddenly, you're overvalued.
28:17Like, where are you going to grow
28:18if you've got 90% of the market searching with Google?
28:21You can raise a billion humans to maturity in the hopes
28:23that they become your customers.
28:25That product is called Google Classroom, right?
28:27But Google Classroom is going to take a decade to pay off.
28:30Wall Street wants growth now.
28:31And so you've got to have some other story.
28:33And, first, we had these stories that
28:36were sort of plausible, right?
28:37Google's like, oh, we're going to be Facebook
28:38because we got Google Plus.
28:40And Facebook was like, oh, we're
28:41going to be YouTube because we're pivoting to video.
28:43The problem with that is, like, well,
28:44Facebook has got ideas about why Google can't be Facebook.
28:47And Google's got ideas about why Facebook can be YouTube.
28:49You get these arguments, right?
28:50So then it's like, oh, no, we're
28:51actually going to grow into a sector that doesn't exist.
28:54And while, like, it doesn't exist,
28:55which means it's hard to know how much it's worth,
28:57who's to say it's not worth infinity
28:59since I just made it up?
29:00I'm the expert-- Blockchain, Web3, Metaverse,
29:03blah, blah, blah, blah, blah.
29:04Right?
29:05And, like, they're just guys running
29:06across the river in the back of an alligator
29:08without losing their legs, right?
29:09They just got to keep going.
29:10Like, as soon as your belief collapses in DAOs and NFTs,
29:15they've got to have Web3 in the chute for you.
29:18And now, we get to AI.
29:19And AI is different.
29:20It's different because, like, from a computer science
29:22perspective, AI is real.
29:23JON STEWART: There is a value to it.
29:25CORY DOCTOROW: Yeah, yeah.
29:26JON STEWART: And there is an actionable-- look,
29:28there's not a person that I know that has not availed
29:31themselves of the cogent organizational abilities
29:36of ChatGPT, or Claude, or whatever they're getting--
29:39or even the agentic abilities.
29:40CORY DOCTOROW: Yeah.
29:41I have a local model on my laptop
29:43that I downloaded with Ollama, which is, like, some software
29:46that Meta released, and it's just an open source
29:48model that runs locally.
29:49It doesn't talk to the internet.
29:50And I use it to find typos.
29:52And it finds a bunch of typos that, like,
29:54my spell checker misses.
29:56JON STEWART: So this is going to destroy our world,
29:58and you're just grammar policing.
30:00You're just going through--
30:01CORY DOCTOROW: Yeah.
30:02I'm sure you've encountered this--
30:04my readers are very invested in my knowing
30:05when I've made a typo.
30:07And so if I publish a typo, I'm going to hear about it.
30:10And I actually have this weird thing
30:12where I don't want to get locked into the platforms
30:13because I've seen how they go.
30:15So I publish everywhere at once all at once.
30:17It's called POSSE-- post, own, site, share, everywhere--
30:19which means that I'm just, like,
30:21manually turning everything into, like,
30:22threads on Bluesky and Mastodon and putting it on Tumblr--
30:25I still use Tumblr, Medium, email, RSS, like, all of it.
30:29And then I make a typo, and, like,
30:30I have to change it in all of those places, which
30:32is, like, 20 minutes work.
30:33Sucks.
30:34So it finds typos for me.
30:35And, like every spell checker I've ever used,
30:38it flags a bunch of things that aren't typos.
30:40So here's one absolute rock solid truth about AI
30:44is unless you know your subject,
30:48AI is not going to be a consistent help
30:51for you in using it.
30:53I have discernment.
30:54JON STEWART: You already have to be versed.
30:56CORY DOCTOROW: Yeah.
30:57Yeah, yeah.
30:58So, look, I've written more than 30 books.
31:01I've been telling copy editors and publishers,
31:02lawyers that they're wrong for 25 years.
31:05I've been telling spell checkers
31:07to go to hell for 40 years.
31:08Now, when I look at the suggestions that come back,
31:12like, I have collaborators who are, like, institutionally
31:15using Microsoft Office 365, which has all this incredibly
31:19intrusive AI suggestion stuff built in,
31:21and so we're working on a document together,
31:23and I'm like, this is the worst advice I've ever seen.
31:26And if you don't know what you're doing
31:28and you take that advice, your writing's going to suck.
31:30But it's true in different ways for other spell checkers.
31:34JON STEWART: And there is an uncanny--
31:35there's an uncanny valley to what
31:38is brought out by those chatbots
31:40and those other things.
31:41And when you read it, it's pretty clear,
31:44as much as it flatters you with,
31:46wow, that's a great idea that you just came up with,
31:48and then it creates it-- there's definitely, as you read
31:51it, you think to yourself, there's
31:52something not quite right here, whether it's
31:55soul, or art, or anything.
31:57CORY DOCTOROW: And you've just reminded me of something.
31:59So this flattery-- earlier, you talked about AI
32:03as a job killing technology.
32:04Is it or isn't it?
32:05I think it is, but not the way that the AI guys say it is.
32:08JON STEWART: OK.
32:09CORY DOCTOROW: Right?
32:10The AI guys say this can do your job.
32:12And getting back to criti-hype-- we
32:14should distinguish between this can do your job
32:16and an AI salesman can convince your boss
32:18to fire you and replace you with this, even
32:20though it can't do your job.
32:22Because your boss is a credulous dolt
32:26who is infinitely horny for replacing
32:28workers with chatbots.
32:30[JON LAUGHING]
32:32I was out on the picket line during the writers strike.
32:35JON STEWART: Yeah.
32:36CORY DOCTOROW: And I'm a member of an affiliated union.
32:39I'm in the animators guild and the writers union.
32:41So I was out there carrying a sign.
32:42It was around the corner from my place in Burbank.
32:45And a writer told me something really important.
32:47He said, you give shitty notes to a writer's
32:50room the same way you prompt a chatbot, right?
32:52JON STEWART: Oh, that's so smart.
32:55CORY DOCTOROW: Like, give me ET, but it's about a dog.
32:59Put a love interest in it and, like, a car chase.
33:02And, admittedly, that's just Air Bud.
33:04But you tell that to a writers' room,
33:10and either explicitly or implicitly, they're
33:11going to go, like, why don't you fuck off
33:13and make a spreadsheet?
33:14We're writing a movie here.
33:16[JON LAUGHING]
33:17Whereas you say it to a chatbot,
33:19and it just shits out the script,
33:20and you go off to the steakhouse, and you come back,
33:23and the movie's made.
33:25Now, the fact that it's, like, unproducible, I think,
33:29may not matter as much as we think it would when that's
33:33weighed against the ego shattering confrontation
33:35with people who know how to do things,
33:37and who roll their eyes, and tell you
33:38that your brilliant idea is stupid, illegal, or will
33:41kill people-- or impossible.
33:43JON STEWART: Right.
33:44CORY DOCTOROW: Right?
33:45Because you're the boss, right?
33:47You tell yourself you're in the driver's seat.
33:49But you know if you don't show up for work,
33:50everything is fine.
33:51And if they don't show up for work, nothing happens.
33:54You're in the back seat with a Fisher-Price steering wheel,
33:56and AI might wire that toy steering wheel
33:58directly into the drivetrain.
34:00So you can be sold that technology.
34:05JON STEWART: Oh, you know I like to sleep because I'm old.
34:12That's a new song I've been working on.
34:14You know I'm in a band.
34:16We do original songs.
34:19I have not presented this song yet to the band to see what
34:22they think of it, but I might.
34:24It's called "I Like to Sleep Because I'm Old."
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35:37[MUSIC PLAYING]
35:41This is where your book is really-- what you're talking
35:44about is who's zooming who.
35:46So are we in control of a tool, or is a tool
35:50and a story in control of us?
35:52And that's where you get into your story of centaurs.
35:55CORY DOCTOROW: Yeah.
35:57JON STEWART: So how do you become its master blaster?
36:02Are you the little guy sitting on top of the big guy,
36:05or are you the big guy and the little guy's
36:07sitting on top of you?
36:09CORY DOCTOROW: Or are you Tina Turner in just
36:10the best fit you've ever seen?
36:12JON STEWART: Or are you Tina Turner-- you
36:13look so good in Thunderdome.
36:15CORY DOCTOROW: God damn.
36:17Yeah.
36:18JON STEWART: But, like are we master or are we blaster?
36:20CORY DOCTOROW: Or Mel Lastman hunting the last Jew
36:22across the wasteland.
36:23JON STEWART: Yes.
36:24What are we?
36:25CORY DOCTOROW: Not Mel Lastman--
36:27Mel Gibson. JON STEWART: Mel Gibson.
36:29CORY DOCTOROW: Mel Lastman was the terrible mayor of Toronto.
36:31He wasn't an anti-Semite as far as I know.
36:32He was Jewish.
36:33JON STEWART: Mel Lastman was the mayor of Toronto?
36:35Was there an era before the Fords?
36:37I thought the Fords had always run Toronto.
36:39CORY DOCTOROW: Oh, yeah. No, no, no.
36:41Yeah.
36:42He walked so Rob Ford could run.
36:44JON STEWART: Oh, beautiful. Somebody had to.
36:46CORY DOCTOROW: He was a buffoon.
36:47Yeah, he was a--
36:48and also, he had a secret family.
36:50It was awesome.
36:51A small plug here--
36:52"No Gods, No Mayors," a podcast about buffoonish mayors.
36:56My favorite podcast in the world right now.
36:58JON STEWART: Oh, my god. That's hilarious.
37:00CORY DOCTOROW: Oh, my god. It's so good.
37:01So, yeah, centaurs, reverse centaurs.
37:06It won't surprise you to know that this
37:07isn't the first time that labor and automation came
37:09into conflict.
37:10So there is a literature.
37:11We know, like, how this works.
37:13And, broadly, when labor drives automation,
37:16it's in service to quality.
37:18And when capital drives automation,
37:20it's in service to throughput-- to quantity.
37:22And that's because, like, if you buy a subscription,
37:25you want to get maximum value out of it.
37:27Or if you acquire an asset and it's depreciating,
37:29you want to use it before it depreciates off the
37:31books, right?
37:32So this is why, especially when you have a market dominated
37:37by, like, cartels, and monopolies, and duopolies,
37:39automation often makes things worse but more plentiful,
37:43because-- remember Lily Tomlin doing the phone operator
37:47on Saturday Night Live?
37:48JON STEWART: One ringy dingy, two ringy dingy.
37:49CORY DOCTOROW: Yeah, yeah.
37:50We don't care.
37:51We don't have to.
37:52We're the phone company.
37:54When you're the only game in town,
37:56you can make things worse.
37:57And if you can make them cheaper and worse, well.
37:59So, in automation theory, we call a person assisted
38:03by a machine a centaur.
38:05And the analogy here is you've got the human head.
38:07It's got all the judgment.
38:08It's got the discernment.
38:09It's got the intellect.
38:11And it is on the body of a horse.
38:12And the horse is strong. It's tireless.
38:14It's dexterous.
38:15It's fast.
38:16And the horse takes orders from the person, Master Blaster.
38:19So when you're riding a bicycle,
38:21you're kind of a centaur.
38:22You even look like a centaur.
38:23But, like, when you're using a spell checker,
38:25you're a centaur, too-- or a calculator.
38:27A reverse centaur is the reverse.
38:29It is the horse's head on the human body.
38:31It's the machine giving orders to the person.
38:34And so that is because there's a part of the job
38:37the machine can't do.
38:39So think here of, like, Lucy and Ethel
38:41at the end of the conveyor belt putting the chocolates
38:43in the chocolate box.
38:45The conveyor belt can do everything except
38:47get the chocolates in the box.
38:48JON STEWART: Right.
38:49CORY DOCTOROW: Why is the conveyor belt running so fast?
38:51Because if you automate the chocolate factory,
38:54you're not going to run the conveyor
38:55belt more slowly than the workers at the end of it.
38:57You're going to run it at the limit
38:59of their speed and endurance.
39:00JON STEWART: Right.
39:01Productivity, I believe they call it.
39:03CORY DOCTOROW: Yeah. Yeah, yeah.
39:04And this is why Amazon warehouses are the most
39:06automated warehouses the human race has ever
39:08seen and have triple the injury rate of other warehouses
39:10in the sector.
39:11That's not a coincidence.
39:12It is the consequence.
39:14When you spend seven figures to automate a warehouse,
39:16you're not going to run it slower than you need to.
39:19And so if you're a human and you're the peripheral
39:22for the machine, right, doing the part of the job
39:25at the perimeter that the machine can't do,
39:28and you're working at the absolute limit
39:30of your endurance, you're working at the absolute limit
39:32of your dexterity and the absolute limit
39:34of your strength over long periods,
39:36you will eventually make a mistake.
39:38And in a warehouse, you get impaled on a forklift
39:40when that happens.
39:41And so that's the difference between a centaur
39:43and reverse centaur.
39:44As you mentioned at the start of this,
39:46I'm a science fiction novelist.
39:47And a good science fiction is not about what gadgets do.
39:51It's about who the gadget does it for
39:53and who the gadget does it to.
39:54It's about the social arrangements of our technology.
39:57Because while objects do have politics,
40:00those politics are still contingent on the society
40:03that they're based on and the way they come into being.
Corporate Overreliance on AI & The Real-World Backlash
40:06And if you finance an AI bubble by raising $1 trillion a year
40:10on the promise of firing workers, a lot of workers
40:12are going to get fired, even if the AI can't do the job.
40:15And when you run out of money and those chatbots get shut
40:17off, you end up with this circumstance-- we take people
40:20who do a job that needs doing.
40:21We replace them with chatbots that do that job badly.
40:24And then the chatbots go away.
40:26You can't find those workers again, right?
40:27They've retired, they've become discouraged, they've retrained,
40:30they've exited the workforce.
40:31All the process knowledge they had about,
40:33like, how things work and where things are
40:35stashed, that's gone forever.
40:37It's vaporized, incinerated.
40:40And then you spend generations rebuilding it.
40:43This is asbestos in the walls of the
40:44technological civilization.
40:46And that's not because it's AI.
40:48It's because the force of the AI bubble is fire workers
40:52and replace them with automation.
40:54JON STEWART: Because that's the dream.
40:56The dream is this is-- and I've heard them say it-- not to us,
40:59but to each other-- which is AI is a way for people who run
41:03companies to get more productivity without the tax of
41:08labor-- they refer to labor.
41:09So it almost feels like this AI bubble
41:13is kind of the final boss battle
41:16between capital and labor.
41:20It's this idea-- yeah, go ahead.
41:21CORY DOCTOROW: Yeah.
41:22Never say "final," right? Who knows?
41:24JON STEWART: The second to last battle.
41:25CORY DOCTOROW: What's the Albert Einstein quote?
41:26I don't know what World War 3 will be fought with,
41:28but World War 4 will be fought with sticks and stones.
41:30JON STEWART: Sticks and stones.
41:31Yes, yes.
41:32CORY DOCTOROW: So maybe that's the final battle, right?
41:34But you mentioned the Magnificent Seven.
41:3835% of the S&P 500 is seven companies.
41:42Six of them are losing money on AI,
41:43and the seventh one is the one they're losing the money to.
41:45They're all passing around the same $100 billion
41:48IOU really fast and pretending it's in all of their bank
41:50accounts at once.
41:52Someday, because anything that can't go on forever
41:55eventually stops-- someday, they will implode.
41:59And, look, we don't have to greet environmental calamity
42:04with austerity.
42:05Even, like, Trump during the pandemic,
42:08like, figured out that stimulus is
42:09what you do when the private sector
42:11is no longer employing people.
42:12JON STEWART: Jon Maynard Keynes, baby.
42:14Everybody forgets about Jon Maynard Keynes.
42:16Bring him home.
42:17CORY DOCTOROW: Yeah.
42:18Yeah.
42:19So we don't have to do that.
42:21But if we fall into the pattern we've done for the last 25
42:24years, our response to vaporizing
42:26a third of the economy is going to be more austerity.
42:29And, like, again, like, the jury is no longer out on this.
42:32When you do austerity, you make people into fascists.
42:34JON STEWART: That's right.
42:35CORY DOCTOROW: There was just a study--
42:37I live in the UK now.
42:38My wife quit her job in Hollywood,
42:40and I followed her to London to work at the BBC.
42:43And there was just a study here about what
42:47happens to your voting when your doctor's office closes.
42:50Because, remember, we have socialized
42:52medicine here with the NHS.
42:53And they've been doing austerity for 15 years.
42:56JON STEWART: How are you not all dead?
42:58I don't understand.
42:59We've been told if that happens, everyone is dead.
43:02CORY DOCTOROW: Yeah.
43:03Well, I've got to go see the death panel later.
43:04I'll let you know how that works out.
43:05JON STEWART: Thank you.
43:07I'd love to know what they decide.
43:08CORY DOCTOROW: Yeah, yeah.
43:09So when your NHS doctor's office, what's
43:13called the surgery-- that's what they call a doctor's
43:14office-- when your primary care physician
43:16surgery shuts down, in the next election,
43:18you vote for the Fascist Party.
43:20You just become a sucker for people who show up and say
43:23undeserving others are the reason
43:25you don't have what you need.
43:27And not everyone falls for that.
43:30JON STEWART: Good thing that could
43:31never happen here in America.
43:33CORY DOCTOROW: Yeah, right?
43:35So this is what I'm afraid of.
43:36I'm not afraid that AI is going to turn us into paper clips.
43:39I'm not afraid that AI can do your job right.
43:41I am afraid that you might get fired and replaced with AI
43:43that can't do your job.
43:44And I like the job you do.
43:46And I like the job lots of people do.
43:48And I don't want them fired.
43:49I like benefiting from their careful and
43:52conscientious labor.
43:54And I'm worried that the economy is going to collapse.
43:56JON STEWART: The real threat is the economic disruption.
44:01This takes me back to a more analog time of the world
44:05before all this, but I remember AOL.
44:08AOL came out, and it was this revolutionary community.
44:13And you could go on, and there were message boards,
44:15and there were little--
44:16it was sort of a mini Facebook and Twitter--
44:20it was before the social media companies specialized.
44:25And it looked monopolistic.
44:27And it looked inevitable.
44:29And their market cap, in the same way that we're
44:33talking now, soared.
44:35And it was the future.
44:37And they bought Time Warner.
44:41AOL came in and went, we're the future.
44:45There's this other company, sort of a sustainable
44:48analog growth company-- yeah, they make money every year,
44:52shit tons of it.
44:54We're going to absorb them.
44:55And then the bottom fell out.
44:58CORY DOCTOROW: Yeah.
44:59JON STEWART: Now, there was enough around it
45:01to absorb some of that damage.
45:03And we went through a recession during that time.
45:05Are we in a position now where we can't even
45:07absorb-- there's too big to fail,
45:11and then there's too big to recover from.
45:13CORY DOCTOROW: Well, look, people have dug themselves
45:15out of bigger holes, right?
45:16And I always say this when we talk about monopolies more
45:19broadly, because Enshittification, you mentioned
45:21this other book I wrote, it's really
45:23a story about monopolies.
45:24It's a story about what Lina Khan calls too big to care.
45:27JON STEWART: And the cycle of how these companies bring
45:31you in and then abuse you.
45:33CORY DOCTOROW: Yeah.
45:34And the businesses that they bring
45:36in because you're stuck there.
45:37So people say if you're not paying for the product,
45:39you're the product.
45:40Ask a Facebook advertiser what kind of deal
45:42they're getting from Facebook, right?
45:43Everybody gets screwed.
45:44It doesn't matter if you're paying for the product or not.
45:47Productization is a function of capability,
45:50not, like, a customer loyalty perk
45:52for giving them enough money.
45:53JON STEWART: Right.
45:54CORY DOCTOROW: So I often talk to people about monopolization,
45:59as you'd expect.
46:00And people get very discouraged.
46:02They're like, well, what hope do we have of breaking
46:05up these giant monopolies?
46:07And I'm like, guys, the anti-monopoly laws that we
46:11stopped enforcing 45 years ago, they weren't passed because it
46:14seemed like a good idea in case a monopoly
46:17emerges in the future.
46:18They were passed because people were being crushed
46:21by rapacious monopolists.
46:24And we figured out how to shatter their power.
46:28And we didn't have the internet we could
46:30use to coordinate ourselves.
46:31They were running different scams in different countries,
46:33so enforcers didn't really have any common cause.
46:35If you hated John D. Rockefeller in Germany,
46:37it was because he was screwing up your ports.
46:39If you hated him in Pennsylvania,
46:40it was because he was screwing up your refineries.
46:42Even if US enforcers and German enforcers
46:45were, like, firing a Zeppelin across the ocean every day
46:47full of files, it's not like they had the same case.
46:49Google?
46:50Google does the same thing in every country.
46:52JON STEWART: But even back then,
46:53when they would do that, at least
46:55they would build you a fucking park.
46:58Like, at least those guys--
47:00CORY DOCTOROW: Oh, no, that came later.
47:01That came later.
47:03You need-- yeah, no, no, that was
47:04when they started to clean--
47:05that's when they got worried about guillotines
47:08on their lawns.
47:09No, no, no.
47:10They weren't building parks.
47:11They were hiring Pinkertons to beat your brains out.
47:14JON STEWART: Right.
47:15CORY DOCTOROW: So here's the thing.
47:16Here's the point I'm making, though, is, like,
47:18what these people did is not the lost art of a stolen
47:21of a fallen civilization.
47:23When I say we need to break up monopolies,
47:25I'm not asking you to figure out how to embalm a pharaoh
47:27or, like, build a pyramid without power tools.
47:31There are people alive today who
47:32learned their trust busting from the people who
47:34broke up Rockefeller's empire.
47:37Like, this is-- like, they did it.
47:39We can do it.
47:40They weren't smarter than us.
47:41JON STEWART: We did it with Ma Bell.
47:42We did it-- and guess what?
47:44People still use phones.
47:45CORY DOCTOROW: Yeah.
47:46JON STEWART: And the other thing
47:47that drives me nuts, and you brought it up earlier,
47:49which is the thing you worry about in all this,
47:52is in the inevitable hollowing out of this, what that
47:56does to a society that's going to move
47:58towards authoritarianism.
48:00And we're living through another Red Scare moment.
48:02But they always say the biggest threat to this country
48:04is communism or socialism.
48:07And my view is the biggest threat to this country
48:10is the inability to positively reform the kind of capitalism
48:15we practice now, which will lead
48:18to the kind of social unrest that
48:21allows demagogues and authoritarians to take over.
48:25That's the real issue.
48:27CORY DOCTOROW: You, and FDR, and Henry Ford all agree.
48:30Like--
48:31JON STEWART: It's the only thing the three of us agree on.
48:33CORY DOCTOROW: Yeah, yeah.
48:34Henry Ford does not agree about Jews in any way.
48:36Let's make that very clear.
48:37JON STEWART: No, he's not--
48:38Henry Ford, not a big fan of me being
48:40allowed to speak like this.
48:42CORY DOCTOROW: Yeah.
48:43But, no, I mean, look, there's been lots
48:44of people who recognize this.
48:46That, like, to put this in economics terms,
48:49there is an equilibrium between the cost of stopping people
48:53from building guillotines on your lawn
48:54by hiring chuds in, like, body armor,
48:58and the cost of, like, building hospitals and roads
49:00so that no one wants to build a guillotine on your lawn.
49:02JON STEWART: That's right-- of a social safety
49:04net that makes sense. CORY DOCTOROW: Yeah.
49:05JON STEWART: Right.
49:06CORY DOCTOROW: And since the Snowden
49:07days, one of the questions I've asked
49:09myself, because I should say--
49:11I should have said this before--
49:12I work for the Electronic Frontier Foundation.
49:14You just talked to my old boss, Cindy Cohen, about her--
49:16JON STEWART: Cindy Cohen.
49:17She's fantastic-- a fantastic woman.
49:19CORY DOCTOROW: Amazing.
49:20I've been there 25 years.
49:21Not as long as Cindy, but I've been there for 25 years.
49:25And so I've worked on all these issues.
49:26And, like, back to object permanence.
49:28Like, I saw the policies that we made
49:30that led to this happening.
49:31And I know that when those policies
49:33were coming in, we said, hey, this is going to happen.
49:35And then it happened.
49:36And, like, one of the things I'm on a mission to do
49:39is to make people understand this isn't the weather.
49:41It's not the great forces of history.
49:43It's not the iron laws of economics.
49:44It's just these assholes who did
49:46things that they were warned would fuck shit up and did it.
49:50And then, like, if we call it the weather,
49:52right, then we don't know how to fix it.
49:54Like, what do you-- everybody complains about the weather.
49:56No one does anything about it.
49:57If you actually know that there's some space lasers out
49:59there-- thank you, Marjorie Taylor Greene--
50:01then you can get to the guys with the space lasers, right?
50:03So these guys, they did this to us.
50:06They stopped enforcing anti-monopoly law.
50:09They allowed a string of mergers.
50:11When Google bought Waze--
50:14Tim Wu tells the story, it's great.
50:15When Google bought Waze, Tim Wu was at the Federal
50:17Trade Commission.
50:18He's like, why are we letting the company
50:19that owns Google Maps by the maps company everyone
50:22started to use?
50:23And they said, oh, well, we figured that Google Maps is how
50:26you know where you are, and Waze is how
50:29you find out how to get there.
50:30[JON LAUGHING]
50:31That's, like, the stupidest thing I've ever heard.
50:34JON STEWART: Waze is how you find out
50:36that there might be a car abandoned
50:38on the side of the route.
50:39CORY DOCTOROW: Like, what the hell?
50:41JON STEWART: So are they falling for this?
50:44Or are they enabling this?
50:46Because there's a distinction between are they being fooled,
50:50or are they enabling the scam?
50:54I understand if the rubes--
50:56I'll fall for it.
50:57I'll download the ChatGPT and go buh buh buh.
51:00CORY DOCTOROW: Right.
51:01JON STEWART: But how is it that the experts, the investors,
51:05the economists, the banks-- how the fuck
51:08did they not understand this?
51:11CORY DOCTOROW: Well, let's start with the top
51:12layer, right?
51:13Let's start with the capital allocators, the billionaires.
51:15So to be a billionaire, I think, like, a lot of them
51:17are basically solipsists.
51:19You can't really think other people are
51:21real if you inflict the kind of pain that you have to inflict.
51:24JON STEWART: We're all NPCs in their game.
51:26CORY DOCTOROW: This is what Elon Musk says.
51:27Everyone's an NPC.
51:30And they are surrounded by sycophants.
51:32And so they're already living, like, the AI future where
51:34no one's real, and everyone tells you you're great,
51:36and just glazes you all day.
51:38So those people, I think they're, like,
51:40kind of primed to believe we can
51:41replace humans with chatbots.
51:43But there's also, I think, a cohort of cynics.
51:46So, like, imagine-- think about,
51:47like, all the vast panoply of chuds
51:50we've met thanks to Trumpland.
51:52JON STEWART: By the way, if Vast Panoply of Chuds
51:55is not the name of your next book,
51:57I don't know what we're doing here.
51:59CORY DOCTOROW: It'll be a chapter.
52:01It'll be a chapter.
52:02I just started work on the next book.
52:03It's a novel.
52:04It's called Once is Enemy Action.
52:07It's a James Bond quote--
52:08James Bond reference.
52:09Anyway, that might be a chapter.
52:11So this vast panoply of chuds.
52:12And some of these guys, they're like RFK, right?
52:15They really believe-- like, there is no peptide that guy
52:18hasn't met that he won't, like stick under his eyelids,
52:20like Jimi Hendrix doing acid.
52:22JON STEWART: But vaccines are the problem.
52:24Peptides are safe.
52:26They haven't been tested.
52:27Nobody knows what they do.
52:28But put as many of them as you can into your body.
52:30CORY DOCTOROW: Yeah.
52:31But there's a ton more who are, like, I
52:33don't know if this shit works, but Andrew Tate can sell it.
52:37Joe Rogan can sell it.
52:38I don't have to believe it works to do it.
52:40You don't have to believe that putting a Jade
52:42egg in your vagina is good for you
52:44to believe that Gwyneth Paltrow can sell a lot of vagina rocks.
52:48JON STEWART: Right, right, right.
52:49CORY DOCTOROW: So I think at the top,
52:50you've got these two groups, right?
52:53And they're kind of a toxic mix.
52:56Because, like, the true believers and the cynics--
52:58where one says, well, maybe that's
53:00not the right thing, that's where
53:01the other group is actually, like, in their sweet spot.
53:04And so there's a bit of acceleration there.
53:05And then I just think that, like, to ask,
53:07like, how can the banks put this money
53:09into is to invite the question, where were you in 2007?
53:13JON STEWART: Oh.
53:15But that's my point.
53:17Are learning curves for losers?
53:20Like, are we ever going to understand that inflating
53:25these kinds of bubbles with the sorts of futurist,
53:29utopian nonsense is going to come
53:33back and create giant craters?
53:37CORY DOCTOROW: This time, it's different, supposedly.
53:39It's always different.
53:41And, like, I just think that we have really fallen prey
53:49to this story about the efficient market,
53:52despite all of the times that the market has been inefficient
53:56and grossly inefficient.
53:58JON STEWART: Or the fact that we've manipulated it to--
54:00the other story we tell ourselves is there
54:02is a free market.
54:03And that somehow, the government hasn't been picking
54:06winners and losers forever.
54:08And that the free money that they give to corporations
54:10in terms of subsidies and not taxing capital in the same way
54:14that labor is taxed is somehow not them making a choice.
54:19There is no free.
54:20CORY DOCTOROW: Sure.
54:21And, like, look, I think there's, like, two ways
54:24to think about regulatory capture.
54:25If you ask the Chicago school people,
54:27they'll tell you regulatory capture
54:29is as soon as you have a business that's
54:31going to try and capture the state, therefore,
54:33you can't have a state.
54:34Which is just, like-- we have to get rid of the regulators.
54:37JON STEWART: That's the libertarian.
54:38That's all the Hayek and everybody else.
54:41As long as the government's not involved in anything,
54:43they can't be corrupt. OK.
54:44CORY DOCTOROW: Sure.
54:45But, like, I always tell my friends, like, the libertarians
54:48I know, like, even if you're so, like, Musk addled that you
54:51can't even open your copy of Atlas Shrugged
54:53because the pages are all stuck together,
54:55and you think the only reason we should have a government
54:58is to, like, enforce contracts, you still
55:02want-- you still want the people who are, like, making
55:05the contracts to be held to account by the person
55:07who's enforcing the contract.
55:08They have to be more powerful.
55:09The referee has to be more powerful than the players
55:11on the field.
55:12Which means that the largest government-- or the smallest
55:15government you can have is determined
55:16by the largest corporation you're willing to tolerate.
55:19So the decision 40 years ago to allow runaway mergers, right,
55:22this kind of orgy of consolidation--
55:25and, like, now we have these cartels that are so inbred,
55:27they have corporate Habsburg jaws, right?
55:29And they just, like, they can't do anything.
55:32They're completely unintelligible.
55:34[JON LAUGHING]
55:35And, like, this decision has produced the circumstances
55:40for regulatory capture.
55:42So, like, people-- like, a lot of the bad stuff that we worry
55:46about with AI, I should say, is actually
55:48just worrying about privacy.
55:50Same with algorithms.
55:51It's just worrying about privacy.
55:52JON STEWART: Well, they're data Hoovers,
55:54and they're bringing it up-- CORY DOCTOROW: Yeah.
55:55JON STEWART: And, by the way, you do make the point
55:57in the book that I think the way that it's generally
55:59utilized is not efficiency.
56:02It's surveillance state.
56:03It's basically your boss can now learn a lot more about,
56:07you are now very much an NPC in a game
56:11that they are moving around on.
56:13And they're watching you.
56:14And what they're using the technology for
56:16is not what they've promised it for everybody else, which
56:19is doing these great jobs.
56:20It's finding ways to make sure that you are more
56:26controlled by your bosses.
56:29CORY DOCTOROW: Sure.
Market Concentration, Regulation & Accountable Systems
56:30Well, and let me ground that in,
56:31like, something material and not, like, mind control race.
56:35So one thing that, like, AI is genuinely good at,
56:38and it's actually quite exciting,
56:39is multivariate statistical analysis.
56:41That's, like, a kind of--
56:42JON STEWART: Nothing more exciting than that.
56:44CORY DOCTOROW: It is if you want to do cancer research.
56:47It is if you want to, like, find out about, like,
56:49what's going to happen with rising seas.
56:52You're got, like, a whole bunch of variables--
56:53JON STEWART: Crunching numbers.
56:54CORY DOCTOROW: --and you're trying to like make
56:56statistical analyses of them.
56:58So one of the things that you can do with AI
57:01is surveillance pricing and algorithmic
57:03wage discrimination.
57:05So surveillance pricing, your rabbi on this
57:07is a woman called Lindsey Owens, who's got a book
57:09coming out called Gouged.
57:11JON STEWART: She's the best.
57:12CORY DOCTOROW: She's amazing.
57:13And then algorithm wage discrimination,
57:15Veena Dubal is a lawyer and a scholar has written about this.
57:18And they're both the same thing.
57:19It's when you use an algorithm to segment
57:24an audience based on behavioral surveillance data--
57:26I've seen what you do.
57:27I've followed you around and your use of a service.
57:30And then you start running experiments on the segments
57:33to see what the highest price they'll accept
57:35or the lowest wage they'll accept.
57:36So on the wage side, this started with Uber,
57:38where drivers who accepted lowball offers-- and, remember,
57:41when you're an Uber driver, you have
57:4220 seconds to decide whether the offer is good or
57:44bad, right?
57:45So you're, like, looking at the mileage.
57:46You're looking at the time. You're driving in traffic.
57:48You have 20 seconds to go yes or no.
57:49JON STEWART: Oh, wow. OK.
57:51CORY DOCTOROW: So if you accept a lowball offer,
57:52your next offer is lower.
57:54And it keeps pushing you down.
57:56Now, if you're picky, it's higher.
58:00And then if you start taking the lowball
58:02offers they sneak into there, they push it down again.
58:04So whatever it is that's your side
58:05hustle that lets you be picky, eventually, you lose it.
58:08JON STEWART: Wait, that's the Uber algorithm
58:11doing that to its own drivers?
58:13CORY DOCTOROW: To drivers. Yeah.
58:14JON STEWART: Why?
58:15CORY DOCTOROW: So this is algorithm--
58:16to push their wages down.
58:17That's how Uber got profitable.
58:19For 13 years, they lost $31 billion of the Saudi royal
58:23family's money. $0.41 on every $1.00 they
58:25brought in, they pissed away.
58:26They eventually, like, put all the other cab companies out
58:29of business, induced a lost decade in transit investment,
58:32became the only game in town, started screwing the drivers,
58:34and started raising prices on riders.
58:36And they decoupled riders from drivers.
58:38You remember it used to be if you got surge priced
58:40for the ride you were paying for,
58:42they got surge paid for the ride they delivered.
58:44Now, it's totally decoupled.
58:45JON STEWART: That's decoupled.
58:46CORY DOCTOROW: It's, like, bizarro world Marxism where you
58:49pay according to your ability, and they
58:51work according to their need.
58:52JON STEWART: It's Enshittification.
58:54It goes back to the other book.
58:56It's that Enshittification.
58:58CORY DOCTOROW: That is Enshittification.
59:00So I'm going to make you really angry here.
59:03JON STEWART: Cory, no.
59:05CORY DOCTOROW: Groundwork collaborative
59:06and the Roosevelt Institute.
59:07So Groundwork Collaborative is Lindsay Owens'
59:09outfit, and the Roosevelt Institute
59:11published report on nurses.
59:13So it used to be contract nurses
59:14were hired through like a local body shop, a staffing agency.
59:17JON STEWART: The travel nurses and people like that.
59:18CORY DOCTOROW: Yeah.
59:19JON STEWART: Yeah.
59:20CORY DOCTOROW: Now, it's four national apps
59:22that compete with each other.
59:23They all call themselves Uber for nursing.
59:25So maybe you can see where this is going.
59:26JON STEWART: Oh, boy.
59:27CORY DOCTOROW: They buy credit card data from data brokers.
59:31And the more outstanding credit card debt you have,
59:33the lower the wage you're offered.
59:35JON STEWART: Oh, my fucking god.
59:37CORY DOCTOROW: Because it's a desperation premium, right?
59:42JON STEWART: The company that you're working for looks
59:45to see your level of desperation
59:48so that they can lowball you and--
59:53CORY DOCTOROW: So, Jon, like me, you have
59:55heard of Tennessee Ernie Ford.
59:57You know that there are coal bosses
59:58who would have done this shit if they could have, right?
1:00:00But they weren't going to be able to hire
1:00:02the army of Pinkertons to follow every coal miner around
1:00:05and figure out who was in the most debt,
1:00:06and then get the boiler room full of guys in green eyeshades
1:00:09to mark up the ledgers and change their wages 10 times
1:00:11a minute, right?
1:00:12This is the thing you need AI for.
1:00:15This is what automation gets you on the wage side.
1:00:19And the same thing is happening on the price side
1:00:22where, again, like, it used to be demographers would do
1:00:24this kind of cute Mad Men style thing
1:00:26where they'd be like, well, we got
1:00:27the little old ladies who own seven
1:00:28cats who live in Sheboygan.
1:00:30And we've got this and that.
1:00:31And they would go do focus groups.
1:00:32AI just naively buckets people into groups based
1:00:35on behavioral data, and then automatically
1:00:37runs experiments to see the highest price they will accept.
1:00:39JON STEWART: OK.
1:00:40So hear this out, then.
1:00:42All right, so we've been talking a little bit about,
1:00:44like, well, what is, then, the value of AI?
1:00:46What does it do?
1:00:47Why would it fulfill this promise of investment
1:00:50that is being made?
1:00:51You're almost making the case that AI
1:00:55is a kind of metaverse globalization tool.
1:01:00One of the things that globalization
1:01:02did is it allowed companies to become
1:01:05much more profitable because it allowed them to search--
1:01:11CORY DOCTOROW: Shift the wage bill.
1:01:12Yeah. JON STEWART: Right.
1:01:13Look for the worst conditions, look
1:01:15for the most desperate people, look for who you can exploit.
1:01:20CORY DOCTOROW: The lowest tax rate.
1:01:22JON STEWART: Exactly.
1:01:23And so, in some ways, you're making the case for AI's value.
1:01:30You're diffusing the bubble.
1:01:33But the effect of it is to diffuse the bubble,
1:01:37you have to abuse the worker.
1:01:39CORY DOCTOROW: Sure. I mean, that's the promise.
1:01:41But back to, like, criti-hype.
1:01:43So now, let's talk about the values here.
1:01:45So not the human values-- the costs.
1:01:48The dollar figures.
1:01:49JON STEWART: Yes, yes, yes.
1:01:50CORY DOCTOROW: Pauperize all the cab drivers in the country.
1:01:53Do it again to all the nurses.
1:01:55Do it to all the poor commercial illustrators who
1:01:57are already the poorest people I know-- poor as church mice--
1:02:00and you do not touch the sides of the operating
1:02:03expenditure bills of the AI companies, right?
1:02:06You have to come for, like, very high waged workers.
1:02:10And those are the areas where I think we're going to notice it,
1:02:12although I don't think they won't try.
1:02:14So, look, I have an extremely treatable form of cancer.
1:02:17I don't want to alarm you.
1:02:19And I see oncologists, radiologists, and so on.
1:02:24And so I've been following the stories
1:02:26about radiologists and AI.
1:02:27JON STEWART: Sure.
1:02:28Well, that's the one they always say like you won't even
1:02:30need radiologists anymore.
1:02:31CORY DOCTOROW: Some solid mass tumors, probably the AI
1:02:35can spot some that the human misses, right?
1:02:37I think that's fine.
1:02:39So I've been getting my treatment
1:02:41at the Kaiser Hospital in LA.
1:02:42Despite it being private medicine, I have no complaints.
1:02:45They took really good care of me.
1:02:46Four weeks ago, a radiologist told me I'm cancer free.
1:02:48JON STEWART: Congratulations, young man.
1:02:49CORY DOCTOROW: Very happy about it.
1:02:51Yeah, yeah.
1:02:52JON STEWART: I'm looking forward to your next 50 books.
1:02:54CORY DOCTOROW: Yeah, yeah. There you go.
1:02:55So if, right now-- you know, the Kaiser Hospital on Sunset
1:03:00in LA, I don't know if you know it--
1:03:01next to the big Church of Scientology,
1:03:02because that's how we roll in LA.
1:03:04So if right now there was, like,
1:03:06a salesman for [INAUDIBLE] Sam Altman deking out
1:03:09some Scientologist who wanted to give him a personality
1:03:11test, going up to talk to the CEO of Kaiser
1:03:14and say, look, here's my pitch to you.
1:03:17You've got 10 radiologists on the strength.
1:03:20They cost you $300 grand each.
1:03:21That's $3 million a year in wages.
1:03:23You give me another $1 million dollars on top of that,
1:03:25and I'm going to sell you an algorithm.
1:03:26And it's just going to sit behind them.
1:03:28A couple of days times a day, it's
1:03:29going to tap them on the shoulder
1:03:30and say, take another look at that one.
1:03:32And sometimes you're going to save a life doing that.
1:03:36It's going to cost you an extra $1 million.
1:03:38Plus, you're probably, like, going to go from 100 x-rays
1:03:40a day to 98.
1:03:41So you might have to hire another part time radiologist.
1:03:43As a cancer survivor, that's fine with me.
1:03:46JON STEWART: Yes, sir.
1:03:47CORY DOCTOROW: I think that's great.
1:03:48No one has invested in AI on the thought
1:03:52that someday it would make the things
1:03:53that people do more expensive.
1:03:56JON STEWART: Or need more labor.
1:03:57CORY DOCTOROW: Right.
1:03:58So the sales call right now is salesman
1:03:59rushes past the Scientology trying to give them
1:04:01the personality test up to the CEO's office and says,
1:04:04you got 10 radiologists on the strength.
1:04:06They cost you $3 million a year.
1:04:07You fire nine of them, you save $2.7 million a year.
1:04:10You give $1.35 of that to my boss, Sam Altman.
1:04:13You keep the other half of it for yourself.
1:04:15That one radiologist, he marks the AI's homework.
1:04:19If someone dies because he's doing this at a speed
1:04:22that no human could pay sustained attention to,
1:04:24he is what Dan Davies calls the accountability sync.
1:04:27And we blame him for the person who dies.
1:04:30And I tell this to radiologists,
1:04:31and they're like, OK, but we have labor power.
1:04:33They do.
1:04:34They're in short supply right now.
1:04:36When we use AI, it's on our own terms.
1:04:38But the point of AI is to take away your labor power.
1:04:40JON STEWART: Yes.
1:04:41CORY DOCTOROW: Right?
1:04:42It's to find ways to erode your wages and segment you.
1:04:44JON STEWART: It's that globalization.
1:04:46It's that same-- it's another frontier.
1:04:49It's the vast expanse of the ocean or space
1:04:52that they haven't explored yet.
1:04:53It's taking what they've tried to do in the real world
1:04:58and laying it into the virtual world in that same
1:05:01exploitative manner.
1:05:02But I'll tell you a story--
1:05:04this goes to the flip side of it,
1:05:06and I talked to Daron Acemoglu, who you may know,
1:05:09who's the economist from MIT.
1:05:10CORY DOCTOROW: Yeah.
1:05:11I've been on a panel with him at the American
1:05:13Association for the Advancement of Science.
1:05:14JON STEWART: I'm sure. Wonderful guy.
1:05:15CORY DOCTOROW: Yeah.
1:05:16JON STEWART: Really, really smart.
1:05:17His concern is always when AI begins to marry robotics
1:05:22and how that will come together.
1:05:25But I'll tell you a story--
1:05:26I happen to be a fan of what I like to call
1:05:28the Crunchwrap Supreme.
1:05:30Every now and then, I'll go with a Nachos Bellgrande.
1:05:32If you're a vegetarian, it's a great place to get whatever--
1:05:36diarrhea epidemics say otherwise.
1:05:38CORY DOCTOROW: Be damned. JON STEWART: Be damned.
1:05:40I still go in.
1:05:41But I drove in--
1:05:43I have my local.
1:05:44And they know me.
1:05:45When I hit my order, they know me.
1:05:47I drive up one day, and I hear this-- hello,
1:05:50may I take your order?
1:05:53And I'm like, they're never this happy.
1:05:56It's AI.
1:05:57They've replaced the person at the takeout drive-thru with AI.
1:06:03My order is no beef, but can you put in the refried beans?
1:06:07Well, that blew AI's fucking mind.
1:06:11And to the point where, like, then the person in the thing
1:06:13had to come out and go, like, hey, man, what do you need?
1:06:15I'll get it for you.
1:06:16I pull up.
1:06:18So now all I do is I talk to the AI,
1:06:20and then I pull up to the drive-in window
1:06:22and just talk shit with the person who's at the register
1:06:25about the AI bot.
1:06:26And we talk shit a little bit, and we share anecdotes.
1:06:28CORY DOCTOROW: Yeah.
1:06:29JON STEWART: The point being, people hate it.
1:06:32I hate it.
1:06:34People hate it.
1:06:35It hasn't saved them any labor.
1:06:36And, by the way, if you think replacing the guy making
1:06:40your Crunchwrap Supreme with a robot will be cheaper,
1:06:43you've never tried to service an ice machine.
1:06:46Like, machines are wickedly more expensive
1:06:50than human beings who will work when they're sick
1:06:53and break down.
1:06:54And you're not on the hook for any of it.
1:06:58So they think they're getting the high level people.
1:06:59They can't even get the lower income.
1:07:02CORY DOCTOROW: Totally.
1:07:03And going back to the '90s-- going back to the late
1:07:05'90s, early 2000s, the dotcom era-- you go, you pull out,
1:07:08like, the Harvard Business Review, you pull out, like,
1:07:11the business press of the day, Wall Street Journal,
1:07:13full of these op-eds wringing their hands and going,
1:07:15what are the CEOs going to do when all these young
1:07:17workers who insist on using the web show up in the workplace?
1:07:21You go pull those same periodicals off the shelf
1:07:23today, and they're like, CEOs are
1:07:26firing workers because they're refusing to use AI.
1:07:29JON STEWART: Wow. CORY DOCTOROW: Right?
1:07:30And saying, if you don't use AI,
1:07:31we're going to fire you, right?
1:07:33So I think back to, like, automation driven by labor
1:07:36is in service of quality.
1:07:37Automation driven by capital is in service to throughput.
1:07:39And when capital has a monopoly or cartel,
1:07:42they can lower quality.
1:07:43JON STEWART: Right.
1:07:44CORY DOCTOROW: This is we don't care.
1:07:45We don't have to.
1:07:46We're the burrito company is what you're going through
1:07:49at your local drive-thru.
1:07:50JON STEWART: So, Cory, how do you--
1:07:52you said something earlier that I think really
1:07:54struck me, which is it is no mystery
1:07:58how to diffuse this bomb.
1:08:01There really isn't.
1:08:02The last 40 or 50 years economically,
1:08:05we have valued capital to the expense of labor.
1:08:09And it is that imbalance that has driven,
1:08:13I think, a lot of the turbulence
1:08:15in our political scene, in our social scene,
1:08:18in all of those things.
1:08:19Rebalancing that is not revolutionary.
1:08:24CORY DOCTOROW: No.
1:08:25JON STEWART: It's incremental.
1:08:26It's what if we just taxed capital gains at the same level
1:08:31as salary gains?
1:08:32If you work and earn $100,000, shouldn't that be taxed
1:08:36the same way if you bought an investment and it
1:08:39just threw off $100,000?
1:08:41Why is that different?
1:08:42CORY DOCTOROW: Yeah.
1:08:43Yeah.
1:08:44Look, there's a joke from Eastern Canada.
1:08:48[JON LAUGHING]
1:08:49The punch--
1:08:51JON STEWART: People in Winnipeg won't know what
1:08:53the hell you're talking about.
1:08:54CORY DOCTOROW: They won't.
1:08:55No, I'm talking about Newfoundland.
1:08:56But the problem is, if you say there's
1:08:57a joke from Newfoundland, people
1:08:58think you're going to tell a Newfie joke,
1:08:59which is like an Irish joke. It's not a Newfie joke.
1:09:01It's a joke told by people from Newfoundland.
1:09:03JON STEWART: Got it.
1:09:04CORY DOCTOROW: There's a joke from Newfoundland
1:09:05whose punchline is, if you wanted to get there,
1:09:07I wouldn't start from here.
1:09:08[JON LAUGHING]
1:09:09Right?
1:09:11And, look, when America had more unionized workers,
1:09:16when it had more fair electoral districts,
1:09:19when it had people who had more disposable time because they
1:09:23had a better split with capital in terms of the disposition
1:09:27of the surplus generated by their labor,
1:09:29it would have been easier to do this.
1:09:31But, again, like, we are starting from a place that's
1:09:34still better from the place our forebears
1:09:36started from back when the labor movement was
1:09:40starting in America.
1:09:41Now, Donald Trump thinks that you get rid
1:09:43of the National Labor Relations Board,
1:09:44and you end labor activism.
1:09:46He's like the Grinch that Stole Christmas.
1:09:48He thinks that you steal the tinsel,
1:09:49and Christmas goes away.
1:09:51Like, the reason you have tinsel
1:09:53is that Christmas is in the hearts of the Whos
1:09:54down in Whoville.
1:09:55The reason we have the labor law
1:09:57is because workers struck and formed unions
1:10:00when they were wildly illegal.
1:10:01They risked beatings, and murder, and lynchings.
1:10:04They created so much pain for capital,
1:10:07the capital sued for labor peace.
1:10:09And Donald Trump's big mistake here
1:10:10is he thinks that when you fire the referee, the game ends.
1:10:13And we all know when you fire the referee, all bets are off.
1:10:16There's no rules.
1:10:18For a guy who claims to be a wrestling guy,
1:10:20he seems to, like, not really understand this.
1:10:22JON STEWART: Well, that's because he's
1:10:23all hat, no cattle.
1:10:24I mean, Donald Trump is, as they say, he's all trailer,
1:10:28no movie.
1:10:29And that's why we find ourselves in these situations.
1:10:31His attention span does not allow him.
1:10:34He's the announcement guy.
1:10:36It's liberation day.
1:10:37I'm going to destroy Iran.
1:10:39And then when things don't come to pass,
1:10:41but it's been two weeks, he's like, OK,
1:10:44what's my next episode of The Apprentice?
1:10:46He just wants to move on to that next level.
1:10:49But what strikes me more here-- and I
1:10:52don't know if you have an insight into this
1:10:54or what your feelings are--
1:10:56is that it's less about Donald Trump's inability to understand
1:11:01it and more about the opposition party's inability
1:11:05to harness this energy in a manner that
1:11:09is accessible and reachable for voters thirsty
1:11:16for this kind of rebalancing.
1:11:18CORY DOCTOROW: So, look, on this call,
1:11:21I have mentioned my affiliation with the FF.
1:11:22And we're a 501(c)3, so I can't endorse a party.
1:11:26But what I can say is that the people who
1:11:28oppose Donald Trump's agenda in both parties
1:11:31have completely failed to speak to the things that people need
1:11:36and that people want and to show
1:11:39them that there is the possibility of an alternative.
1:11:43So one of the things I've been trying
1:11:44to work into this conversation here
1:11:47is how we ended up in this situation just in respect
1:11:50to privacy.
1:11:51So, like, you have these companies--
1:11:52they're screwing nurses.
1:11:54They're, like, fueling data theft, and identity theft,
1:11:57and so on.
1:11:58When I testified at the Consumer Finance Protection
1:12:00Bureau in the last couple of days of the Biden admin
1:12:03when they were banning data brokers, which Trump unbanned,
1:12:06and the speaker before me was a speaker from the American
1:12:08Association of Retired People, who wanted the committee
1:12:11to know that the ad broker industry would sell you
1:12:14ad targeting to people with dementia,
1:12:16and then the person after me was from the Pentagon, who
1:12:19wanted them to know that you can buy,
1:12:22as an ad targeting group, military personnel on base who
1:12:25have gambling problems.
1:12:26JON STEWART: Oh, Jesus Christ.
1:12:27CORY DOCTOROW: So, like, this-- so
1:12:29how do we end up in this horrible place with privacy?
1:12:32Well, here it is.
1:12:33The last time Congress passed a federal consumer
1:12:35privacy law was in 1988.
1:12:37And that was a law that makes it
1:12:39illegal for video store clerks to disclose
1:12:41your VHS rental history.
1:12:42[JON LAUGHING]
1:12:45Right?
1:12:46And every other form of privacy invasion is legal in
1:12:49America, right?
1:12:51They spy on you because they can.
1:12:53JON STEWART: Because that's where the money is, Cory.
1:12:55We talked about it earlier.
1:12:56CORY DOCTOROW: Oh, but the money's there because they can.
1:12:58JON STEWART: Yes.
1:12:59CORY DOCTOROW: If every time you spied on someone--
1:13:01look, if Visa could 10% of the time just keep the money
1:13:04and not give it to the merchant,
1:13:06and they were the only game in town, they would.
1:13:08Just like your dog licks its balls because it can.
1:13:11and no one makes them stop.
1:13:12Like, it takes an act of will to not connect the fact
1:13:16that we don't have a new privacy law
1:13:18to the harms of surveillance.
1:13:20JON STEWART: Right.
1:13:21CORY DOCTOROW: In the same way that, like, we're like,
1:13:23how do we get all these monopolies?
1:13:24Well, we had these economists who, 40 years ago, told
1:13:26us monopolies were efficient and told us to not
1:13:28enforce anti-monopoly law.
1:13:30And now, we have monopolies.
1:13:31And they're like, what do you mean it's my fault?
1:13:34I did tell you not to put down the rat poison.
1:13:36And rats are eating your face off.
1:13:37But, like, it's the time of the rat, dude.
1:13:40JON STEWART: But I think because they're extorting
1:13:41our economy-- what they're doing is they're saying,
1:13:44if you take this away from us, it implodes.
1:13:48And suddenly, your economy is hollow.
1:13:50They've extorted us.
1:13:52And as far as the difference in privacy, look,
1:13:54Daniel Ellsberg reveals that the Vietnam War is a lie.
1:13:58And he's attacked by Nixon, but he's hailed as a hero.
1:14:04And the tide turns against the Vietnam War.
1:14:07Edward Snowden does the same thing
1:14:09about the NSA having a mass surveillance program,
1:14:12and what do we do?
1:14:13We go, oh, I'm sorry, you got to get the fuck out of here.
1:14:15Like, we've changed in our relationship
1:14:19to that in a huge way-- and not to the better, for sure.
1:14:24CORY DOCTOROW: But no one wants to be--
1:14:26even so, even if there's some apathy,
1:14:27no one wants to be spied on.
1:14:28You remember Apple turned on a little tick box
1:14:31in iOS, the operating system for phones and tablets.
1:14:33JON STEWART: That's right.
1:14:34CORY DOCTOROW: You ticked it and Facebook can spy on you.
1:14:3696% of iOS users tick that box.
1:14:38And you'd assume, like, the other 4%
1:14:40were either drunk or Facebook employees or drunk employees--
1:14:42JON STEWART: Just didn't see it.
1:14:43CORY DOCTOROW: --which makes sense.
1:14:44If I worked at Facebook, I would be drunk all the time.
Solutions, Resistance & Reclaiming the Tech Ecosystem
1:14:46But, like, no one wants this.
1:14:49And here's the kicker-- the same time Apple did this,
1:14:53they turned on surveillance in iOS
1:14:54to power their own ad brokerage with no tick box
1:14:58to opt out of it.
1:14:59And when they got caught doing it, they lied about it, right?
1:15:02JON STEWART: Wow.
1:15:03CORY DOCTOROW: Like, people don't want surveillance.
1:15:06No one goes into the cell phone store
1:15:08and says, now, which of these phones
1:15:09is going to spy on me the most?
1:15:11They might be indifferent to it,
1:15:13but no one is out there going, oh, I love being spied on.
1:15:17And when they get ripped off at the grocery store,
1:15:19or they get racially discriminated
1:15:23against in hiring, or in lending,
1:15:27or someone makes deepfake porn of them,
1:15:29these are all downstream of, like, no new privacy
1:15:31laws since 1988.
1:15:33These are all the same thing.
1:15:35They're just, like, different epiphenomena
1:15:37of the same root cause, which is we let them spy on us.
1:15:41And we don't punish them.
1:15:43And so it's profitable to do it.
1:15:44It doesn't have to be profitable to do it.
1:15:46Like, the fines from spying on you
1:15:48could be more than the benefit.
1:15:51JON STEWART: And that brings us around to the conversation.
1:15:55And I thank you so much your time.
1:15:56And it's been so interesting.
1:15:57CORY DOCTOROW: Pshaw.
1:15:59JON STEWART: Inevitability-- one
1:16:01of the things you talk about a lot this is not inevitable.
1:16:06And we are centaurs.
1:16:08And we have agency.
1:16:10We are master, not blaster.
1:16:12But that has to be exercised.
1:16:14And it's exercised not just through Democratic power,
1:16:17but through legislative power and through people power.
1:16:21These are the types of things that there is not-- there's
1:16:25a learned helplessness that goes along
1:16:27with systems that seem too complex and too
1:16:30large to have any impact.
1:16:32It's not a true story.
1:16:34And the story that you've written in this new book,
1:16:37Reverse Centaur's Guide to Life After AI, is a story of agency.
1:16:42And I really appreciate it.
1:16:44CORY DOCTOROW: Well, thank you.
1:16:45JON STEWART: And appreciate you, Cory Doctorow.
1:16:47CORY DOCTOROW: Oh, well, Jon, this
1:16:49has been an absolute delight.
1:16:52I feel like I've known you for a million years
1:16:54because I have this parasocial relationship with you.
1:16:56[JON LAUGHING]
1:16:57JON STEWART: I'm not that interesting, unfortunately.
1:16:59Sit around feeding chipmunks.
1:17:00CORY DOCTOROW: You have really given me some of the real hope
1:17:04in the dark on many's the day.
1:17:07And I really appreciate what you do.
1:17:10And it has been just an honor and a pleasure to be on.
1:17:13And I will say, to people who are feeling discouraged, look,
1:17:17they keep telling you to vote with your wallet.
1:17:19And the reason they want you to vote
1:17:20with your wallet is their wallets are thicker than yours.
1:17:23Shopping isn't politics, right?
1:17:25Like, a boycott-- like, Montgomery bus boycott was not
1:17:29people waking up for 380 consecutive days and going,
1:17:31I guess I'm walking to work today.
1:17:33It was a movement.
1:17:34It's not agonizing in the grocery aisle
1:17:36about whether to buy this product or that product,
1:17:38or whether you use Twitter or Bluesky.
1:17:40It's a movement.
1:17:42And if all you do is try and change politics with shopping
1:17:46and nothing happens, you're going
1:17:47to look over at your friends who shop differently from you.
1:17:49You're going to go, like, oh, it's your fault.
1:17:51And the people you need to be in community
1:17:53with and in solidarity with, you're going
1:17:54to end up being angry at them.
1:17:56Join a local group.
1:17:58Local politics-- like, we never thought
1:18:00local politics were important.
1:18:01There's one thing Moms for Liberty taught us,
1:18:03it's that the stupidest people you know
1:18:05can join the most unimportant, unregarded local offices
1:18:08and make huge material differences to people's lives.
1:18:10JON STEWART: That's right.
1:18:11CORY DOCTOROW: Local politics are like,
1:18:13do you get a data center?
1:18:14Is there a flock camera?
1:18:15Do chuds round up your neighbors
1:18:16and shoot them in the face, right?
1:18:20And get involved in national politics
1:18:24and get involved with civil society groups.
1:18:26So EFF.org, the group I've worked for for 25 years,
1:18:29the best and most important digital
1:18:31rights group in the country, but also the whole--
1:18:35I won't say panoply again-- the whole basket
1:18:38of other civil society groups.
1:18:39JON STEWART: Non-chuds.
1:18:40Get involved with the non-chuds aspects.
1:18:43The panoply of non-chuds.
1:18:46CORY DOCTOROW: And join your union or organize a union.
1:18:48JON STEWART: Yeah.
1:18:49CORY DOCTOROW: And that's how we get shut of it.
1:18:51And if you wanted to get there, I wouldn't start from here.
1:18:53But, you know, our ancestors in the not so distant past face
1:18:56challenges worse than the ones we're going through now.
1:18:59They did it.
1:19:00They weren't smarter or better than us.
1:19:01We can do it too.
1:19:02JON STEWART: Cory Doctorow, words of wisdom,
1:19:04words of encouragement.
1:19:05And thank you so much.
1:19:07And thanks for being here.
1:19:08Cory Doctorow, Enshittification, The Reverse
1:19:10Centaur's Guide to Life After AI,
1:19:12and a million other books that are all wonderful.
1:19:15Thank you for being with us. CORY DOCTOROW: Thank you, Jon.
1:19:17I really appreciate it.
1:19:18[MUSIC PLAYING]
Breaking Down the Discussion
1:19:21JON STEWART: I love a dude whose mind works faster than I
1:19:25can even-- like, it's one of those guys--
1:19:27his mind is working, and I feel a little bit like,
1:19:30am I in low oxygen?
1:19:31Why isn't my-- why can't my brain do that?
1:19:35GILLIAN SPEAR: Yeah, that-- he was running ahead of everybody
1:19:38on that one, for sure. JON STEWART: Right?
1:19:39GILLIAN SPEAR: Yes.
1:19:40JON STEWART: He was leading the Peloton.
1:19:42And we were all like, let's catch
1:19:44that guy in the yellow jacket.
1:19:45Let's get up there-- the yellow jersey.
1:19:48And go through.
1:19:49But I also love that--
1:19:52and this is not, obviously, for his fiction,
1:19:54but in his nonfiction--
1:19:56he really does write like he thinks.
1:20:00GILLIAN SPEAR: Yes. Yeah.
1:20:01He writes like he talks too.
1:20:02I mean, he's a great writer. JON STEWART: Yes.
1:20:03GILLIAN SPEAR: Yeah.
1:20:04BRITTANY MEHMEDOVIC: Yeah.
1:20:06JON STEWART: And not everybody is
1:20:08able to connect to that force as easily and as naturally.
1:20:14And he seems to be able to do that in a really prolific way.
1:20:18GILLIAN SPEAR: I know.
1:20:19That's what makes him so enjoyable to read.
1:20:21It's like, I don't-- like, maybe that comes
1:20:22from his blogging experience.
1:20:24And that's maybe why he's so prolific too.
1:20:26JON STEWART: Right.
1:20:27GILLIAN SPEAR: It's conversational but in a way
1:20:31where it's, like, you know the smartest conversation somebody
1:20:33could just be having.
1:20:35JON STEWART: Conversational and constructed,
1:20:36but also quotable in a way--
1:20:39I mean, honestly, vast panoply of chuds?
1:20:42Come on. [LAUGHTER]
1:20:43GILLIAN SPEAR: That was off the top of the dome?
1:20:44What? JON STEWART: Come on.
1:20:46You can't just throw that in there
1:20:47and walk away like it's nothing.
1:20:50No.
1:20:51Fucking, that was great.
1:20:54And interesting in it, I think, changed my view of what
1:21:02the realities and what the dangers are of it
1:21:05and, in some ways, made me more hopeful.
1:21:09Like, I left the conversation feeling like, oh, no,
1:21:13systemic agency could have real efficacy on--
1:21:20this is not inevitable.
1:21:22GILLIAN SPEAR: Yes.
1:21:23And it feels like the solutions to our problems
1:21:26are solutions we're aware of.
1:21:29There are things that we are familiar with,
1:21:31but we've been avoiding regardless.
1:21:34It's like the way we've been talking about protecting labor
1:21:36against AI is, like, UBI and, like,
1:21:39creating dividends from these companies.
1:21:41But it's really just stronger labor protections.
1:21:43And it's something that we know is possible.
1:21:48But we just haven't been doing it.
1:21:50JON STEWART: Yeah. It's possible.
1:21:51And it was done with Pinkerton boys,
1:21:54with bully sticks beating the shit
1:21:55out of people in the streets.
1:21:57And it can be done again.
1:21:58But I also thought, cognizant of
1:22:03how that ball has been dropped by opposition parties and how
1:22:06and it's been difficult to articulate it.
1:22:08And then you can see like, oh, that's why the DSA stuff is
1:22:11gaining such urgency, because it's a language
1:22:13people are thirsty to hear.
1:22:14GILLIAN SPEAR: I know.
1:22:15I was thinking that during the conversation.
1:22:17I was like, there was a lot of class
1:22:19consciousness in the book.
1:22:20And it's like, if they were mad at us
1:22:22about communism last week, like--
1:22:24BRITTANY MEHMEDOVIC: Oh, boy.
1:22:26JON STEWART: Yes, they were.
1:22:27All the right wing blogs went crazy.
1:22:29Look at Stewart nodding his head.
1:22:33BRITTANY MEHMEDOVIC: How dare he?
1:22:34JON STEWART: Like Lenin did with Marx.
1:22:37[LAUGHTER]
1:22:38Such fucking ridiculousness.
1:22:40Brittany, what do the kids want to know?
Audience Questions
1:22:43BRITTANY MEHMEDOVIC: Jon, there's
1:22:44107 days until the midterms.
1:22:46JON STEWART: Oh, god. Math.
1:22:47All right.
1:22:48BRITTANY MEHMEDOVIC: Dems still don't have any plan.
1:22:50JON STEWART: 107.
1:22:52I think there's less when that question came in.
1:22:54BRITTANY MEHMEDOVIC: Why does that number sound so familiar?
1:22:57JON STEWART: Oh.
1:22:59107?
1:23:00BRITTANY MEHMEDOVIC: 107 days.
1:23:01JON STEWART: Wait, am I missing something here?
1:23:03GILLIAN SPEAR: There was a book.
1:23:04BRITTANY MEHMEDOVIC: Title of a book, I think.
1:23:06JON STEWART: Oh, shit.
1:23:07Was her book 107?
1:23:10107 Days.
1:23:11Oh, for fuck's sake.
1:23:12First of all, the listeners of this program
1:23:16are far more in tuned and brilliant than I could ever be.
1:23:21And they bring a question like that, so perfectly framed,
1:23:25and I completely whiff on the significance of it.
1:23:27So apologies to the people who framed that so beautifully.
1:23:34I think they don't have leadership.
1:23:36And, from what I understand from the New York Times,
1:23:38they also have no money--
1:23:40the DNC being slightly different.
1:23:43But when you're in a position for a wave election,
1:23:47and the article that comes out is the guy in charge
1:23:50of the logistics of it is throwing phones at people
1:23:53and is broke, that feels like the story
1:23:56of how I ended up on skid row.
1:24:02This feels like such a strange--
1:24:05GILLIAN SPEAR: Doesn't feel great.
1:24:06Doesn't feel great.
1:24:08BRITTANY MEHMEDOVIC: Hope, baby.
1:24:09JON STEWART: The Democrats feel like, we
1:24:11have a great opportunity here.
1:24:13And then they just go around the meeting asking for ideas
1:24:16of how to fuck it up.
1:24:18BRITTANY MEHMEDOVIC: And then throw phones.
1:24:20GILLIAN SPEAR: There are no bad ideas.
1:24:21There are no bad ideas.
1:24:22JON STEWART: There are only bad ideas.
1:24:23No good ideas.
1:24:24I don't want to hear how we could save this thing.
1:24:27I want to understand how we could
1:24:29snatch defeat from, clearly, the jaws of victory.
1:24:36And the problem with is it seems so easily rectifiable.
1:24:40But it is when you don't know the difference between Chuck
1:24:45Schumer and Mamdani, and you don't
1:24:47know how to square that circle, and you don't have anybody
1:24:51who can unify that message?
1:24:54How the fuck they haven't come up
1:24:55with their own Contract for America--
1:24:57or even if it's a gimmick--
1:25:00to centralize the general complaints of a public thirsty
1:25:06for some actionable ideas and leadership
1:25:09is malpractice bordering on criminal.
1:25:13BRITTANY MEHMEDOVIC: But the infighting
1:25:15has been astonishing.
1:25:17My Twitter feed of just people still
1:25:20so completely mad at Mamdani--
1:25:22even Dems responding to last week's episode.
1:25:26JON STEWART: What are they mad at?
1:25:27What are the Democrats mad at?
1:25:29And also, why is he engendering anger?
1:25:33Other than, yeah, he's on the third rail
1:25:35of Israel-Palestine-- but, talking to him,
1:25:39how did that not diffuse when he's like, so what you do
1:25:43is you take the budget and you defer it to '32 instead of '26.
1:25:48And then what we do is we fix the potholes.
1:25:50There was nothing in there that was in any way
1:25:57a call of revolution.
1:25:59It was let's run this city with top of mind
1:26:04the people who help us run this city,
1:26:07meaning the essential workers and the middle class.
1:26:09BRITTANY MEHMEDOVIC: Yeah.
1:26:10I think it's this weird thing that people
1:26:11just want to be right.
1:26:13And they want to be the person or group to, like,
1:26:16crack the code for the plan forward without putting
1:26:18any actual plan forward.
1:26:20So, like, there's people just trying to have a following,
1:26:24essentially, that I'm seeing versus
1:26:27actually putting sustainable, followable things forward.
1:26:30JON STEWART: So it's almost like the caricature
1:26:33that they're reacting to is incentivized
1:26:36by the social media that they're reacting to it on.
1:26:39And it just creates this wild cycle
1:26:42of a battle royale over a straw man
1:26:49and a caricature that didn't really
1:26:51exist in the first place.
1:26:52Gillian is positing this.
1:26:54I want to get her thought.
1:26:55There's something spinning in the mind.
1:26:57GILLIAN SPEAR: I was thinking about what Britney said, just
1:26:59about, like, it's almost like there hasn't been
1:27:01a need for a ton of introspection
1:27:03because Donald Trump has been so terrible and, like, so
1:27:07unpopular that we haven't had to, like,
1:27:10really have a reckoning with why our policies
1:27:12are also very unpopular.
1:27:14And there's a lot of people that are
1:27:20entrenched in these positions.
1:27:22And, central to their livelihood, central
1:27:25to their relevance, central to their health care,
1:27:28their having a staff that weights on them
1:27:31at the ripe age of, like, 85 or whatever
1:27:34is maintaining the status quo.
1:27:36So these things really are a threat
1:27:38to them and their position.
1:27:41JON STEWART: And they haven't had to face that reckoning.
1:27:43They haven't had to look in the mirror
1:27:45because the car crash in front of them
1:27:48is so distracting that there hasn't had to be--
1:27:51I think that's definitely right.
1:27:53And, by the way, the infighting is necessary and should happen.
1:27:58It should be out fighting. GILLIAN SPEAR: Yeah.
1:28:00JON STEWART: We should be watching it
1:28:01so that there is a robust discussion about what
1:28:04the direction of this is.
1:28:05And, within that discussion, leadership of that party
1:28:08should emerge. That's all.
1:28:09GILLIAN SPEAR: Yeah.
1:28:10I mean, this was happening with Biden where everyone was,
1:28:13like, so mad that people were drawing attention to what we
1:28:15could all see with our eyes.
1:28:17It's like we all have to get on the same page.
1:28:19JON STEWART: That's right. Fuck that.
1:28:21GILLIAN SPEAR: There's a time and a place for the same page.
1:28:23JON STEWART: You know what you want to do?
1:28:24You want to have a battle of ideas and let steel temper--
1:28:29or iron sharpen iron.
1:28:31BRITTANY MEHMEDOVIC: Yeah.
1:28:33JON STEWART: And you make your ideas better.
1:28:35And that's the free market of ideas.
1:28:37GILLIAN SPEAR: Especially in fucking primaries.
1:28:38It's like people are so mad in certain primaries
1:28:42that you have people coming from different points of view--
1:28:43JON STEWART: Wild.
1:28:44GILLIAN SPEAR: Like, we're supposed
1:28:46to have an ideological, like, pure primary?
1:28:51JON STEWART: We have to have same running against same.
1:28:54Otherwise, you're just like--
1:28:55GILLIAN SPEAR: Well, no, you have same with blonde hair.
1:28:57You have same with brown hair.
1:28:59You have same old and same young, you know?
1:29:01JON STEWART: Right.
1:29:02Yeah.
1:29:03It's nonsense, dude.
1:29:05But hopefully it's moving us in a better direction.
1:29:09I'm not even going to dive that deep into this
1:29:11because I'm on a optimism high.
1:29:14I'm on optimism high.
1:29:15BRITTANY MEHMEDOVIC: All right. JON STEWART: And I'm not--
1:29:16Brittany, what else we got?
1:29:18BRITTANY MEHMEDOVIC: Love that for you.
1:29:19JON STEWART: What else we got?
1:29:21I'm thinking about the panoply of non-chuds.
1:29:23Go ahead.
1:29:25BRITTANY MEHMEDOVIC: Jon, why do you think Gutfeld
1:29:27didn't get a cabinet position?
1:29:30JON STEWART: Because he has one.
1:29:32Fox News is part of the administration.
1:29:34GILLIAN SPEAR: Deep.
1:29:35JON STEWART: Yeah.
1:29:37It's the Department of Marketing.
1:29:39It's the Department of Communications and Marketing.
1:29:42It's an adjunct to the administration.
1:29:46So when you work there, you are in the administration.
1:29:51You are in a cabinet position-- or you're in a cabinet position
1:29:53when they're out of power, working in the opposition.
1:29:57But they are part of the framework
1:30:01that works hand in hand--
1:30:02and the way you know it is they all talk to--
1:30:05I mean, they all have his phone number.
1:30:08They all have all that-- like, the interesting thing about it
1:30:12is everybody always accused us of, like,
1:30:14working with the Democratic Party or working with--
1:30:18like, we never talk to those people.
1:30:21And if we do, those conversations
1:30:23were generally pretty aggressive and not so pleasant.
1:30:27What you're being accused of is always the thing
1:30:31that they're themselves doing.
1:30:33And so they're already part of the party apparatus--
1:30:37and a valuable one, by the way.
1:30:38And they do it well.
1:30:41BRITTANY MEHMEDOVIC: Execution. Yeah.
1:30:42JON STEWART: Yeah.
1:30:43I mean, when you can do it from a couch.
1:30:45GILLIAN SPEAR: I know. In New York City, too.
1:30:47Like, you don't have to go down to DC.
1:30:49JON STEWART: Right.
1:30:50And you don't have to sit in those meetings
1:30:52where you have to laugh at his shitty jokes.
1:30:54GILLIAN SPEAR: Oh, my god.
1:30:55JON STEWART: We showed that last night.
1:30:57We showed-- like, the reason why he bombed so bad
1:31:00is he's used to working bringer rooms.
1:31:03When you're a young comic, you have to do these bringer shows
1:31:05where, like, you have to bring your friends,
1:31:06and, like, you get to do stand-up, and they're all like,
1:31:08"oh, my god!"
1:31:09[FAKE LAUGHING]
1:31:10And then when you go out into the real world of stand up
1:31:13and the first performance and you're like, oh, hey,
1:31:16what's going on here?
1:31:18That's what happens.
1:31:20But he's working rooms where the bar for comedy
1:31:24is, was that a joke, boss?
1:31:27GILLIAN SPEAR: Yeah.
1:31:28BRITTANY MEHMEDOVIC: I'm dying to know,
1:31:29A, who wrote the speech.
1:31:30Like, did they bring in roast writers?
1:31:32GILLIAN SPEAR: He's dying to know who wrote it, too.
1:31:34Who wrote that?
1:31:35JON STEWART: Can I say something,
1:31:36though, in defense of the writers of Donald Trump's--
1:31:40so they had very serviceable premises.
1:31:44Oh, we're going to do another UFC Fight Night.
1:31:46Here are the battles.
1:31:48Chris Christie against cake, AOC against foreign policy,
1:31:53you know?
1:31:54BRITTANY MEHMEDOVIC: Yeah.
1:31:55JON STEWART: Those jokes, I will guarantee you,
1:31:58were written professionally and concisely.
1:32:02And he went in and Trumped them up.
1:32:05GILLIAN SPEAR: He weaved.
1:32:07JON STEWART: He weaved.
1:32:08He went in, and he went, Chris Christie--
1:32:10the worst. He's the worst.
1:32:12Sloppy Chris Christie.
1:32:14And immediately, you're like, wait,
1:32:15what are we talking about?
1:32:16He is the one-- and then he would go, who wrote this?
1:32:20They did well.
1:32:21Who fucked it up?
1:32:24BRITTANY MEHMEDOVIC: The performer.
1:32:25JON STEWART: That's right.
1:32:26Old Bumbles McGee on stage, weaving around
1:32:30and talking about all kinds of other shit until nobody even
1:32:33had any idea.
1:32:35He introduced the premise and went 4.5 minutes
1:32:39before getting back to the payoff on the premise,
1:32:43and then complained that the joke wasn't written right.
1:32:48BRITTANY MEHMEDOVIC: Yeah.
1:32:49JON STEWART: Wow.
1:32:50Wow.
1:32:52BRITTANY MEHMEDOVIC: It's never him.
1:32:53GILLIAN SPEAR: It was a tough watch.
1:32:54JON STEWART: Oh.
1:32:57It was a beautiful watch.
1:32:58BRITTANY MEHMEDOVIC: Satisfying, I actually think.
1:33:00JON STEWART: For a comic, no one
1:33:01is ever happier than a comic watching another comic eat shit
1:33:06on stage.
1:33:07GILLIAN SPEAR: I couldn't handle it.
1:33:09If I was in that room, I would have been laughing because
1:33:11of how uncomfortable I was.
1:33:12I would have been like, I'll give him the laugh.
1:33:14JON STEWART: That's how we all--
1:33:15like, I love watching people bomb,
1:33:18especially when they love to bomb.
1:33:20Like, when you're a comic, you have to love the bomb.
1:33:23The bomb is, like--
1:33:24it's like a snow day.
1:33:25It doesn't happen all that often, but it's so fun.
1:33:28And you get to do shit you wouldn't normally get to do.
1:33:30And you can always tell when somebody is really bombing
1:33:32and other comics are there, because no one's
1:33:34laughing except for three weirdos in the back who
1:33:38are doing this.
1:33:39[LOUD OBNOXIOUS LAUGHTER]
1:33:44That's how you knew the writers for Trump's roast
1:33:47were not actually in the room, because it was quiet.
1:33:51If they were in the room, they'd
1:33:52have been back there going
1:33:54[LOUD OBNOXIOUS LAUGHTER]
1:33:56Oh, I love watching you eat it!
1:33:58BRITTANY MEHMEDOVIC: Oh, my god.
1:34:00JON STEWART: It was great.
1:34:02BRITTANY MEHMEDOVIC: Last one.
1:34:04Jon, in your opinion--
1:34:06who is more pathetic, Punch or Jimothy?
1:34:09JON STEWART: Oh, Punch.
1:34:12I don't even think that's controversial.
1:34:13Is that a--
1:34:14Jimothy is-- look, Punch is not pathetic.
1:34:20Punch is a beautiful soul searching for love--
1:34:24and, by the way, has been more accepted now.
1:34:27Has learned to temper whatever Punch was pulling.
1:34:32Look, the wisdom of the tribe-- we cannot replace our wisdom
1:34:35for the wisdom of the tribe.
1:34:37And the wisdom of the tribe shaped Punch's behavior
1:34:40to such an extent that the tribe-- all right,
1:34:43the hazing period is over.
1:34:45You are no longer a pledge.
1:34:47Welcome, brother.
1:34:48Now, you can lose the stuffed animal for comfort,
1:34:54and you can wife it now.
1:34:55You can join in with us and just use it for whatever--
1:34:59GILLIAN SPEAR: Purposes you find.
1:35:01BRITTANY MEHMEDOVIC: Yeah.
1:35:02JON STEWART: Jimothy-- sorry, I'm gonna [INAUDIBLE]
1:35:07[LAUGHTER]
1:35:08Jimothy is an angel on Earth who
1:35:13is Tiny Tim, who was respected and embraced by his family,
1:35:19by the community at large.
1:35:20They recognized the brilliance of a raccoon that could also--
1:35:28GILLIAN SPEAR: Has a spinal issue.
1:35:30JON STEWART: --be an Ottoman.
1:35:31Like, you're not quite sure what Jimothy is.
1:35:33Is that a piece of furniture with a raccoon head?
1:35:36Or is that-- what are we dealing with, this hybrid?
1:35:41But there was something special about Jimothy.
1:35:45Was Jimothy born in a manger?
1:35:47I'm not going to go that far.
1:35:48[LAUGHTER]
1:35:49GILLIAN SPEAR: A Jimothy, born in Bethlehem.
1:35:51JON STEWART: Was he visited by three wise chipmunks
1:35:55who brought him--
1:35:57I'm just saying there was a recognition from the get-go
1:36:03that Jimothy had to be nurtured,
1:36:06and adored, and respected.
1:36:10And this is not to diminish Punch, who has, to his credit,
1:36:14found his way back--
1:36:16BRITTANY MEHMEDOVIC: Sure.
1:36:17JON STEWART: --from whatever the shit he was pulling before.
1:36:20GILLIAN SPEAR: Abandonment.
1:36:22JON STEWART: Settle down.
1:36:23[LAUGHTER]
1:36:25Settle down.
1:36:26BRITTANY MEHMEDOVIC: The things that we
1:36:27talk about on this podcast.
1:36:32JON STEWART: All I'm saying is there
1:36:36needn't be a cure for Jimothy, because Jimothy is the cure.
1:36:40GILLIAN SPEAR: Beautiful.
1:36:42BRITTANY MEHMEDOVIC: That's perfect.
1:36:43JON STEWART: Thank you.
1:36:47I've actually written a song about it,
1:36:48and it goes a little something like this.
1:36:51Oh, Jim--
1:36:54GILLIAN SPEAR: I was going to--
1:36:55I was wondering how long you could go.
1:36:56JON STEWART: Brought from the Angels.
1:37:01Yeah.
1:37:02The only problem we have with Jimothy
1:37:03is, obviously, rhyming his name in the rap
1:37:08songs and odes that should praise him to the hosannas.
1:37:12That's really the only problem that we have.
1:37:14BRITTANY MEHMEDOVIC: Sure.
1:37:15JON STEWART: It's been harder for him to embed
1:37:17himself in popular culture.
1:37:18GILLIAN SPEAR: Yeah.
1:37:20I bet he's doing it in spite of that, you know?
1:37:22That's why he's such an inspiration.
1:37:24JON STEWART: Gillian, thank you.
1:37:27You're exactly right.
1:37:29He's everything.
1:37:32[LAUGHTER]
1:37:34GILLIAN SPEAR: This is how religions start.
1:37:35Yep.
1:37:36JON STEWART: As they should.
1:37:37This is how they should start.
1:37:40Well, that's all we have.
1:37:42That's all the time.
1:37:43Brittany, how can they keep--
1:37:46you know, people are just going to stop asking questions.
1:37:49They're just going to go, I didn't-- what am I doing?
1:37:51I'm in my car. I'm going to work.
1:37:53I don't need to listen to this nonsense.
1:37:57BRITTANY MEHMEDOVIC: They can ask us at Twitter.
1:37:59We are WeeklyShowPod.
1:38:00Instagram, Threads, TikTok, Bluesky, we
1:38:02are WeeklyShowPodcast.
1:38:04You can like, subscribe, and comment
1:38:06on our YouTube channel, The Weekly Show with Jon Stewart.
1:38:09JON STEWART: Ah, the perfect episode for a lovely late
1:38:11July morning.
1:38:12Producer Brittany Mehmedovic, Producer Gillian Spear,
1:38:14Video Editor and Engineer Rob Vitola, Audio Editor
1:38:17and Engineer Nicole Boysen, and our executive producers
1:38:19Chris McShane and Caity Gray.
1:38:21Once again, thank you guys very much.
1:38:23Very enjoyable.
1:38:24We'll talk to you next week.
1:38:27The Weekly Show with Jon Stewart
1:38:28is a Comedy Central podcast.
1:38:30It's produced by Paramount Audio and Busboy productions.
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