Full transcript
Intro
0:00if you can Master supply and demand you
0:02will be able to trade with the large
0:03institutions find big risk for all
0:05trades and Bank consistent profits in
0:07this video I'm going to share some vital
0:09points about institutional Supply
0:10demands that most people simply don't
0:13know and it's these critical points that
0:14have now helped countless of our members
0:16get funded and Bank their first ever
0:18profit splits this video explains what
0:20is supply and demand how to read
0:22institutional order flow how to
0:23mechanically draw the zones how to find
0:25high probability institutional zones and
0:27I'm going to drop some serious source
0:29for you here and finally how to enter
0:31and exit for maximum profit but first to
0:34take advantage of the market you must
0:36understand the true reasons as to why
0:38price moves does the price fall from
0:40here to there because there are more
0:42sellers than buyers nope this is wrong
0:44keep watching to find the truth now as
How Markets Move
0:46history has repeatedly shown Traders are
0:49often a very emotionally charged group
0:51when millions of them get together in a
0:53highly emotional money game of fear
0:55greed and uncertainty their combined
0:57Behavior takes on a herd mentality and
0:59we can spot this on our price charts and
1:01make money from it how well you've got
1:04millions of Market participants putting
1:06millions of orders through the market
1:07for a million different reasons all of
1:10this behavior and participation is what
1:12drives the order flow that is put
1:13through the market and that order flow
1:15is what prints price action on our
1:17charts and that price action creates
1:19patterns these patterns repeat
1:21themselves over and over time and time
1:23again and that allows us to make high
1:25probability forecasts of where price may
1:27move in the future because when those
1:29big institutions enter trades they
1:31cannot hide their order flow and we can
1:33spot their footprints in the market if
1:35you know what to look for let me explain
1:37currency exchange rates move up and down
1:39as a result of supply and demand from
1:41Market speculators no trades can take
1:44place unless both the buyer and the
1:46seller agree on a price so this drives
1:48the price of currency pairs where buyers
1:50bring with them demand for the pair
1:52applying that upward pressure on prices
1:53while sellers bring Supply applying
1:56downward pressure on prices the market
1:58runs like a continuous auction
1:59throughout the day with buyers and
2:01sellers competing with each other to get
2:02the best possible price now in a perfect
2:05and free market this would be quite a
2:07smooth and fair process but in the final
2:09financial markets this is often a heavy
2:12manipulated process let me explain
How To Read Orderflow
2:14markets work in two-way auctions both
2:16buy and sell sides of liquid instruments
2:18or have blocks of orders on both the bid
2:20and the offers we can see this
2:22visualized on the order book on the left
2:24hand side you can see all of the bids
2:25from the buyers and this shows how much
2:27volume is demanded at each price level
2:29and then on the right hand side you can
2:31see all of the offers from the sellers
2:32as this is also called the ask price and
2:35this shows how much volume is supplied
2:37at each price level and the more volume
2:39that there is at each price level the
2:40more liquid the market is think of it
2:42like an auction house or Ebay where if
2:45you are the buyer then you are making
2:46bids for it and you either sell it it's
2:48the price you're offering it or the
2:50price you're asking for someone to pay
2:52for it now remember a trade can only
2:54take place if both the buyer and the
2:56seller agree on a price so to execute an
2:58order it must be paired with an opposite
3:01order of equal size for example so sell
3:0310 Lots there must be a buyer willing to
3:05buy them at the ask price and vice versa
3:08this is how the markets move now what
3:10most people don't know is that there are
3:12two types of orders where both buyers
3:14and sellers can be passive or aggressive
3:16passive Traders use limit orders and
3:19they are waiting for price to hit them
3:20so all of these orders that you see on
3:22the bid and the ask they are limit
3:24orders so if they were only passive
3:26orders then the market wouldn't move
3:28because all of those orders are waiting
3:30to be hit so this is where aggressive
3:32orders come into play aggressive buyers
3:34and sellers they are trading at the
3:35current market price and they are not
3:37waiting for the market to come to them
3:39but to do that they have to cross the
3:41spread to buy at the ask price or cross
3:43the spread to sell at the bid price most
3:45execution platforms look like this where
3:47you buy on the right hand side as that
3:49is the current ask price and you must
3:51cross that spread to be an aggressive
3:53buyer and if you want to sell then you
3:55must cross the spread to the left to hit
3:56the bid and it's this interplay between
3:58passive and aggressive orders is what we
4:00call order flow so let's take a look at
Orderflow Example
4:03a very oversimplified example of what
4:05can happen on the order book in a live
4:07market imagine this was the order book
4:09for euro dollar and a large institution
4:11wants to buy 10 000 Lots at Market so
4:14this is an aggressive order they have to
4:16buy 10 000 Lots at the best ask price
4:19but as you can see there are only 103
4:22lots available for sale at that current
4:24ask price so the price will rapidly
4:27shoot up as it instantly absorbs all of
4:29the supply at each level until all 10
4:32000 lots have been filled at 1.1539 due
4:36to that huge imbalance between supply
4:37and demand and now the market is sitting
4:40at what is deemed to be fair value
4:42between buyers and sellers so price has
4:44to keep moving up to search for enough
4:46liquidity to fill the order institutions
4:48cannot hide those huge imbalances that
4:51they cause in the market so if you know
4:53how to spot their footprints on a chart
4:54then you can trade with their order flow
4:56rather than getting smashed against it
4:58so what does this look like on a
5:00Candlestick chart here you can see price
5:01impulsively moving to the upside as
5:04aggressive buyers keep pushing price
5:05higher and higher until they find enough
5:07Supply to fill their demand and price is
5:10then rebalanced likewise here you can
5:12see aggressive sellers liquidating all
5:14of these bids pushing the price lower
5:15and lower until they have consumed
5:17enough demand to fill their supply and
5:20this is how markets move when there is
5:22an overwhelming imbalance between supply
5:23and demand price will keep moving to
5:26search for new liquidity to rebound its
5:28price and this is happening every single
5:30second that the markets are open now
5:32obviously you and me were not quite
5:34trading at the size big enough yet to
5:35move those big liquid markets so how do
5:38we make sure that we are trading on the
5:39right side of that institutional order
Identifying Supply & Demand Zones
5:41flow and that's where supply and demand
5:42zones come into play but how do we
5:44identify these zones when prices moving
5:46sideways in a Range this is where orders
5:48are being accumulated or distributed as
5:51price moves into the bottom half of the
5:53range this is where buyers step in to
5:55buy at discount cheap prices and then as
5:57price moves into the top half of the
5:58range sellers step in to short at
6:01premium expensive prices you want to buy
6:03low and sell high right pretty simple
6:05eventually aggressive buyers will cause
6:07an overwhelming imbalance between Supply
6:09on demand and this is where price will
6:11rapidly break out the range to the
6:13upside to search for more liquidity to
6:15absorb the demand and this is what
6:17creates those demand zones now we don't
6:19trade the initial breakout as this is
6:21where losing Traders fomo into long
6:23positions and they buy the highs instead
6:25we wait for price to return to that zone
6:28and then we look for our entry models to
6:30get long as this is where the wrist
6:31reward will be on our side and we are
6:34buying where the institutions will be
6:35now why does price return to the zone
6:37and then continue from there well at
6:39this level there is not enough demand to
6:42keep pushing price higher so we wait for
6:44price to return to the demand Zone where
6:46there is previous institutional buyers
6:47they will have a vested interest to make
6:50sure that price does not trade any lower
6:51and they keep their initial long
6:53positions in profit and it's also likely
6:56that they did not get filled on all of
6:58their original position so they will
6:59want to get along with their remaining
7:01orders at these discounted prices
7:03because remember they're going to want
7:04to buy as cheaply as possible now there
7:07are some other theories but we won't get
7:09into those in this video and the exact
7:11opposite happens in the creation of
7:12Supply zones where prices in a Range
7:14sellers will then cause an overwhelming
7:16imbalance between supply and demand as
7:18price will rapidly break up to the
7:20downside but again we will wait for
7:22price to pull back to that Supply Zone
7:24to then look for potential shorting
7:26opportunities and it's a four-step
7:28process where we have the range the
7:30initiation the mitigation and the
7:32continuation and it's that continuation
7:34is what we are looking to trade in line
7:37with the institutional order flow this
7:39is the cycle and heartbeat of the market
7:41where order flow will continue in One
7:43Direction until there is an overwhelming
7:45imbalance between supply and demand in
7:47the opposite direction price is
7:49constantly seeking liquidity to
Orderflow Chart example
7:50rebalance price so here you can see
7:52price rapidly initiates out of the range
7:54to the downside creating a supply Zone
7:56it's likely this was backed by
7:58institutional involvement price then
8:00pulls back to mitigate the supply Zone
8:01where we can look to get short to catch
8:03the continuation you can see the sustain
8:05bearish order flow as Supply is clearly
8:07in control but markets are obviously
8:10don't move in One Direction Forever
8:11eventually the market moves low enough
8:13to discount prices where demand then
8:15comes into the market to overpower
8:17Supply then we see the sustained bullish
8:19order flow and institutions will defend
8:22the last levels that they entered at to
8:23keep their running positions in profit
8:25the highest probability trades will
8:27always be in line with autoflow so just
8:29don't bother trying to fight it so how
How To Draw S&D Zones
8:31do we mechanically draw supply and
8:33demand zones in the same way every
8:35single time there are three types of
8:37supply and demand zones the first two
8:39are the ones that I recommend you use
8:40these are range and pivot zones the
8:43names are pretty self-explanatory a
8:45range created zone is where price
8:46clearly initiates out of a range of
8:48candles you draw the Zone from the top
8:50to the bottom of the range a pivot zone
8:52is where there is a pivot in price
8:54caused by only one or two candles you
8:56can draw this from the single candle
8:58that is engulfed or you can include the
9:00second candle too depending on how
9:02refined you want to be for a supply Zone
9:04it's usually a bullish candle where the
9:06next thrust candle closes below its low
9:08this can be called a buy to sell zone
9:11for demand it's usually a bearish candle
9:13where the next thrust candle closes
9:15above its high and this can be called a
9:17cell to buy zone now I'm not personally
9:19that strict on the cell to buy or buy to
9:21sell method because sometimes I will
9:23draw a demand Zone on a Buddhist candle
9:25that's then engulfed by another bullish
9:27candle and vice versa because I'm just
9:29looking for those pivot Points in price
9:30you know where price has sort of paused
9:32and is moving sideways and then price
9:33clearly initiates out the range but for
9:37a demand Zone that thrust candle must
9:39close above the previous candle's high
9:41and for a supply Zone the thrust candle
9:43must close below the previous candles
9:45low for it to be a valid Supply Zone and
9:48you can see how a range Zone can be
9:50refined to a pivot zone or even a
9:51fractal Zone which is just the wick
9:53however more refinement does lead to
9:55increased accuracy giving you that
9:57smaller stop loss which in turn gives
9:59you that higher risk reward but it does
10:01increase the probability of more
10:03mistrates as price might not tag you
10:05into the position once enough orders
10:07have been filled find a consistent
10:09balance that works for you and stick to
10:11it so your Edge can play out in the long
10:13run you know don't be chopping and
10:14changing just because you feel like it I
10:16recommend that you start with always
10:18looking to take the single candle pivot
10:20as this gives the best balance between
10:21risk's reward and also getting entered
10:24into enough positions now remember that
10:26the market is made up of all of those
10:28orders transacting with each other but
10:30we make sense of that complicated order
10:31flow with our Candlestick charts if you
10:34see a range Creator Zone on one time
10:36frame this will be a pivot Zone on a
10:38higher time frame so if you see this
10:40range Creator Zone on let's say the one
10:42hour chart the zone is made up of four
10:44candles but if you go up to the four
10:46hour chart what do you think that zone
10:48is going to look like you guessed it it
10:50will be a single candle four hour pivot
10:53Zone because for one hour candles are
10:56going to make up one for our candle so
10:58when you truly understand the fractal
11:00nature of markets you don't even need to
11:02change time frames to be able to
11:03visualize what price action will look
11:05like on that other time frame so that's
11:07why a lower time frame range will be a
11:09higher time frame pivot Zone and vice
Fractal Refinements
11:11versa here are three types of fractal
11:13supply and demand zones the first is an
11:14inside bar this is when a candle fails
11:17to break the previous candles high and
11:18low and it trades inside of it inside
11:20bars are a range on a lower time frame
11:22the second type of fractal zone is sell
11:25to buy or buy to sell wixoms foreign
11:28when price is bullish and moving to the
11:30upside it looks like there isn't a
11:32demand Zone because price doesn't form a
11:34pullback on that time frame but those
11:35Wicks represent a pullback on a lower
11:37time frame as you can see price moves to
11:39the upside then it pulls back as the
11:41next candle starts to form and then
11:43pushes up again so if you were to look
11:45down on the lower time frame this will
11:47be a lower time frame pivot or range
11:49created demand and the exact opposite
11:51happens for buy to sell Wick zones which
11:53represent lower time frame Supply the
11:55third type of fractal zone is where you
11:57have a very large width and instead of
11:58drawing the big pivot Zone you can
12:00refine it to just the wick of the candle
12:02as this will be a lower time frame pivot
12:04or range zone now as all of those are
12:06fractal refinements they are simply a
12:08way of looking at lower time frame zones
12:10on your time frame so I would actually
12:12recommend that you kind of ignore those
12:14for now and you just concentrate on the
12:16pivot and range zones on that same time
12:18frame that you're looking at because
12:20those will contain the most orders and
12:22therefore should give you those higher
12:24probability moves now obviously not all
How To Find Institutional Zones
12:26Supply demand zones are created equal
12:28there are very specific criteria that
12:31must be met for it to be an
12:33Institutional supply and demand Zone
12:34there are eight key areas for us to
12:36focus on and the first is whether the
12:38Zone led to a break of structure this is
12:40the simplest and most effective filter
12:42that you can use it takes a ton of money
12:44to break structure on a liquid
12:45instrument and the more significant that
12:47the structure it breaks the more
12:49significant The Zone swing structure is
12:51stronger than internal which is stronger
12:53than fractal so zones that cause a break
12:55of spring structure they're going to be
12:57the most likely ones to cause the next
12:58break of Swing structure here you can
13:00see this demand Zone broke the daily
13:02swing high so then when price returns to
13:04Zone there is enough demand within there
13:06to break the neck swing High number two
13:08is if it is a flip zone now the key here
13:11is that you must see that interaction
13:13between supply and demand until one
13:15overpowers the other here you can see
13:16supplier was in control but when price
13:18returns to it Supply tries to make a
13:21lower low but it fails to do its job
13:23because huge demand steps into the
13:25market to overpower it that pattern that
13:27shows us that supply has now flipped to
13:29demand and this is a high probability
13:31area for us to get lots but remember you
13:34must see that interaction first for it
13:36to be valid number three are sweep zones
13:38these are zones where liquidity is swept
13:40and taken as they are created but why is
13:43this important well remember
13:44institutions need opposing liquidity for
13:47them to trade against so that they can
13:49get minimal slippage when they enter and
13:51exit the market so if they're buying
13:52they need a lot of Supply to buy against
13:54there will be a lot of sell orders below
13:57this low and that's generated from
13:59people's stop losses from early buyers
14:00and then breakout traders who are trying
14:02to sell that low but the institutions
14:04know this and they will use that cell
14:06size liquidity behind that low in order
14:08to get long so if you see a sweep Zone
14:10this signals it was created with
14:12institutional involvement number four is
14:14inducement and this is another liquidity
14:16concept that can get very technical but
14:19essentially you just want to see is
14:21there available liquidity in front of
14:23the zone why well same reason as before
14:25institutions are going to need need that
14:27opposing liquidity to enter the market
14:29with minimal slippage here you can see
14:31there is available liquidity behind this
14:33low for institutions to use to buy
14:35against but if there isn't any available
14:36liquidity then very often these zones
14:39are trapped and they will usually fail
14:40here you can see that there is
14:42absolutely no available liquidity in the
14:44leg so this is a very obvious trap as
14:46institutions will not be selling it
14:48number five is the Zone stacked with
14:50another higher time frame Zone the more
14:52you can stack zones across time frames
14:54the more orders there should be in that
14:55area increasing the probability of the
14:58move number six do you have alignment
15:00with the higher time frames because the
15:01more time frames that you have aligned
15:03the higher probability of that trade
15:05here it might look like a high
15:06probability cell to follow the bearish
15:08trend on the M5 but the M15 is bullish
15:11and it's just mitigated the M15 demand
15:13at the strong M15 low so now the M5 is
15:16likely to also switch bullish
15:18understanding multi-time frame analysis
15:20will help you to avoid a ton of losses
15:22as time is power and higher time frame
15:25will usually win number seven is The
15:27Zone well priced generally the highest
15:29probable demand zones will be buying in
15:31discount prices which is in the bottom
15:3350 of the range or selling premium
15:35prices in the top 50 of the range this
15:38also improves your risk rewards because
15:40we want to buy low and sell high right
15:41and last but not least number eight is
15:44the Zone unmiticated it's just a fancy
15:46way of saying is the Zone completely
15:48fresh or has it already been touched
15:49because if you see a Zone with touches
15:52then it's very likely that a lot of the
15:54resting orders within that zone have
15:56already been filled so I try to focus on
15:58zones that are completely fresh as these
16:00usually give the strongest move when
16:02price mitigates them now combining as
16:04many of those confluences together are
16:06going to give you the highest probable
16:07institutional demand zones to trade from
How To Enter
16:09so now you know how to identify high
16:11probability zones how do you actually
16:13trade from them well there are countless
16:15ways but here are three main methods the
16:18first one is just simply setting a limit
16:20order directly on the Zone the second is
16:23to wait for a reversal Candlestick
16:24formation at the Zone but this is best
16:26combined lined with a liquidation too or
16:28finally you can use a lower time frame
16:31break of structure for more confirmation
16:33and increase risk to reward we will
16:35cover entry models in Far More depth in
16:37a later video so make sure you subscribe
16:39so you don't miss that but before you're
How To Exit
16:41even going to enter a trade you should
16:42know exactly how and where you're going
16:44to exit now I could do a whole series on
16:46just train management alone but in my
16:48opinion if you want to get consistently
16:50profitable as soon as possible my
16:52recommendation is to always use the
16:54fixed R method so this is where you
16:56always Target the same amount such as 3r
16:58for example it's a set and forget
17:00approach that helps to keep emotions
17:02very low as you're not chopping and
17:04changing between arbitrary technical
17:05targets at the end of the day trading is
17:07purely a probabilities game and the
17:09fixed our method just helps to put the
17:11numbers in your favor now watch this
17:13next video in the series to see a full
17:15walkthrough of how we trade
17:16institutional zones in depth and if it
17:19isn't live to share make sure you hit
17:20that subscribe button so you don't miss
17:22it