Full transcript
Why AI Fear-Mongering Started
0:00There's been a lot of misinformation
0:01about AI.
0:03>> This is Andrew. He co-founded Google
0:05Brain and Corsera. His machine learning
0:07course has reached millions of learners
0:09and he is one of the most influential
0:11voices in AI today.
0:13>> So, a handful of leading AI companies
0:14have been very loud voices of fear
0:16monongering around AI to try to get
0:19regulations passed. This drum beat of
0:21fear-based messaging has skewed [music]
0:23societal perception to be really
0:25negative on AI. People talk to me about
0:28data centers and job loss.
0:30>> Maybe AI could do 30 40% of many jobs.
0:33And what that means is well that 60%
0:35that the human does has become even more
0:38valuable.
0:39>> What about loss of human control over
0:41AI?
0:42>> I think about something else that we
0:44can't control.
0:46I think you're one of the voices in AI
0:49who comes with a huge background in
0:51machine learning and teaching AI and
0:54also you're a positive voice because
0:55this is something that I've been seeing
0:58especially this summer how poor the
1:00society has become especially on social
1:02media when I'm posting about AI and
1:04people talk to me about data centers and
1:07job loss. Why do you think this wave
1:10started recently? What do you think the
1:12causes are? There's been a lot of
1:14misinformation about AI and the root
1:17cause of a lot of this is an unfortunate
1:20attempt that started two three years ago
1:22of I think PR and regret capture. It
1:25turns out that the most one of the most
1:27valuable things in AI right now is the
1:29giant AI models, giant large language
1:31models that some have trained. But if
1:34you spend billions of dollars training a
1:35model is really inconvenient if someone
1:37else trains a model and wants to give it
1:39to anyone in the world to use for free.
1:42So, a handful of leading AI companies, I
1:44think, as you know, have been very loud
1:46voices, fear-mongering around AI to try
1:49to get regulations passed to create an
1:51unfair playing field that favors
1:54incumbents so that we all have to pay a
1:57high toll for use of AI while stying the
2:01other teams, be it researchers or other
2:03companies that want to just give away
2:05open way to open source models that
2:07anyone could use much cheaper.
2:08Unfortunately, fear-mongering works. Um,
2:10when you go and say AI is like nuclear
The "Job Apocalypse" Myth
2:13weapons, which is an analogy that has no
2:15basis in fact, what do they have to even
2:17do with each other? Or when you go
2:19around and cherrypick cases of AI, you
2:22know, making a misstep and making it
2:23much bigger than it is or even spread
2:26misinformation about how AI uses data
2:29centers, uses a lot more water than the
2:32actual reality. This drum beat of
2:34fear-based messaging has skewed societal
2:37perception to be really negative on AI,
2:40which is unfortunate because this is
2:42slowing down American adoption in AI.
2:44This is making America less competitive.
2:47Um, and unless we get the truth about AI
2:50out there, which is that it's fantastic
2:52benefit with some problems, but not
2:54nearly the TV which they're blown up to
2:56be, it will um will hurt individuals.
2:58>> I'm going to read out some of the
3:00problems that people are highlighting.
3:01Job loss and inequality. What do you
3:03think?
3:04>> The job apocalypse or job apocalypse,
3:06this idea that AI will take over 50% of
3:09jobs, people will be out of work, riding
3:11in the streets, that's just not going to
3:13happen. With every wave of technology,
3:15including AI, [gasps]
3:17the skills we need to do great work
3:20shifts. And so AI is changing job
3:22professions. But boy, I wish AI were AI
3:26just doesn't work well enough. I know
3:27that handful of businesses want to hype
3:29up AI to say we have super intelligence
3:32or we have artificial general
3:33intelligence or whatever and can do all
3:35the stuff that humans do. I wish AI work
3:38better. We're just not good enough to
3:39make AI do everything a human does. And
3:41if you look at the analysis of jobs,
3:44economists uh like my friend Eric
3:46Brennoffson at Stanford, Andy McAfee at
3:48MIT, um economists have analyzed many
3:52people's jobs and by break it down into
3:54individual tasks and maybe AI could do
3:57you know 30 40% of many jobs and what
4:00that means is well that 60% that a human
4:03does has become even more valuable
4:05because it's called an economic
4:07complement to the 30 40% that's now
4:09cheaper and So what will happen is
4:13people that use AI, maybe people that
4:16use AI will replace people that don't
4:18use AI, but AI is not in a position for
4:21the vast majority of jobs to replace
4:24people. Of all the different
4:25professions, the one that's most
Advice for New Grads in the AI Era
4:27affected by AI now is software
4:28engineering because AI is actually
4:30fantastic at writing code. And
4:32[clears throat] what we see is that the
4:33number of job openings in software
4:35engineering is up contrary to what you
4:38know the doom fear-mongerers would say
4:41right AI is not actually able to replace
4:43software engineers and all the good
4:45software engineers I know are busier
4:47than ever now the flip side of it is if
4:50someone still write code like is 2022
4:53before chai GPT they're in trouble they
4:55need new skills like don't don't do
4:57stuff that that 30 40% AI can automate
5:00you got to stop doing that let AI do
5:01that but then gain your skills to do the
5:04other 60 70% that AI cannot do.
5:07>> What would your advice be to new
5:09graduates? Cuz I talked to Eric um on
5:11this podcast and uh he was talking about
5:14that there's not really a lot of impact
5:16on the job market except for I think he
5:19mentioned people from 18 to 25 who just
5:21graduated. What would be your advice to
5:23those people who don't have the
5:25expertise maybe to strategize in their
5:27job yet? uh they can only do manual work
5:30that AI can do as well.
5:31>> So one real challenge um uh for fresh
5:34college grads is that the university
5:37system is slow to adapt and so um you
5:42know I love academia. I think we should
5:44all support academia and universities.
5:46And when AI comes and transforms the way
5:49software is written, universities often
5:51take like a year or two for the faculty
5:53to master skills, then create new
5:56courses, get curriculum committee
5:57approval, whatever, get the faculty
5:59senate to vote. It just takes years. And
6:02that speed of change in academia is very
6:05poorly matched to the speed of change in
6:06AI. So sadly, many universities are
6:10still teaching students to be ready for
6:12the jobs of 2022 when we shouldn't even
6:15be teaching them for the jobs of 2026.
6:17We should be teaching them for the jobs
6:18of 2028 and beyond. And what this means
6:22is the job openings are there. Uh tons
6:25of employees I know just can't find
6:26enough skilled, you know, uh people at
6:29any level of seniority. But um it turns
6:32out in my office right now, we have a
6:34lot of interns. There are current
6:35college students, fresh college grad. We
6:37also had one high school intern and
6:39they're amazing and productive. But the
6:40key is they're all very AI native. They
6:42all use AI tools to do the things AI
6:45could do, but then also, you know, lean
6:46in to doing the things that uh humans
6:49can do that AI can't for the for for a
6:51long time. So there's plenty of work for
6:52people to do. But so my advice to fresh
6:55college grads or the people currently in
6:57college is um by all means work hard in
7:00classes. you know, get good grades,
7:02learn from the instructors, but to the
7:04extent that there's still additional
7:06skills that the university has not yet
7:08adapted to teaching, then find other
7:10ways to learn online, be it from Corsera
7:13or Deep Learning.AI or Udemy or other
7:16places where you can gain the more
7:18cutting edge skills, especially AI
7:20skills that um universities have not yet
7:23worked in the curriculara.
7:24>> Quick pause because what Andrew just
7:26said about workflows connects to
7:27something that HubSpot just put out for
7:29free. The thing is the real opportunity
7:32right now is not just in the models
7:33themselves, but in what you build on top
7:36of them. How you turn AI from a chat
7:38window into workflows that actually do
7:41work for you. And the good news is you
7:43don't have to start by building a full
7:44agent. You can start much simpler with
7:47better prompts. HubSpot just released
7:49the advanced chat GBT prompt engineering
7:52playbook. And the idea is very simple.
7:55in 7 days. It helps you move from
7:57getting generic AI answers to building
7:59prompts that give you much more
8:01consistent and useful options because
8:03we've all had this moment. You type in
8:05one vague sentence, get something
8:07mediocre back, and then spend the next
8:1020 minutes fixing it yourself. This
8:12playbook is basically built for that
8:14exact problem, and it walks you through
8:16a single progression. First, you learn
8:18how to structure prompts with things
8:20like role, context, format, and
8:22parameters. Then it gets more advanced.
8:25Few shot examples, chain of thought
8:27reasoning, more precise prompt
8:29structures, and ways to make outputs
8:30more reliable. What I like is that it
8:32doesn't stop at individual prompts. It
8:34also shows you how to build reusable AI
8:36personas, modular prompt components, and
8:39eventually your own signature prompt
8:41engineering system. So instead of
8:43starting from scratch every time, you're
8:45building a repeatable way to work with
8:47AI. Whether you're creating content,
8:49analyzing data, or making business
8:51decisions, the playbook is free. Links
8:53in the description. Thanks to Hopspot
8:55for sponsoring this video. And now back
8:58to our conversation with Andrew.
9:00>> I want to say one other thing. Um it
9:03turns out one if if look at the skill
9:06map changes. One of the most important
9:08changes is um it's so much easier to
9:11build with AI than before. When
9:13something becomes much easier, a lot
9:15more people should do it. And so now,
9:19not only should professional software
9:20engineers build software with AI, it's
9:22becoming much easier for everyone to
9:24build with AI and people that embrace
9:27that and do so will be more productive
9:30and will accomplish more and I think
9:31have more fun than the ones that don't.
9:33And AI lets you build really fast. So
9:36for people that not just software
9:38engineers but you know marketers,
9:40recruiters, uh HR professionals,
9:42operations specialists, I think if they
9:44learn to build with AI, uh they'll
9:47really just do much more whatever their
9:49job row is.
9:50>> How do you by the way measure uh the
9:52increase in productivity uh when you
9:54deploy AI? Do you have like a KPI in
9:57your company?
9:58>> I wish a simple answer. I find that the
10:01business outcome of AI is more a
10:03function of the business than a function
10:05of the AI. For for some it may be um
10:09increase you know uh customer growth and
10:11retention or maybe faster to serve
10:13customers or increase accuracy in some
10:15tasks. So the KPIs tend to be related to
10:17the business rather than the AI. M so
10:19you can't like directly measure just AI
10:21because it's it's an interesting thing
10:22to do because we've been deploying AI
10:24actively in my company and I think for
10:25me as a media company it's probably the
10:27amount of views the output [snorts] uh
10:29it's just interesting how yeah it's just
10:31interesting how different people measure
10:32even revenue like if you're becoming
10:34more effective
10:35>> uh with um how you make money
10:37>> actually same how are you using AI in
10:39your business
10:39>> oh my god I have the so first of all we
10:42have claude for all of us and we have
10:44certain projects for every social media
10:46that we're on so for example for this
10:48podcast. We [snorts] have a project
10:49that's called guests and it knows all
10:52the analytics from previous guests and
10:54it has certain criteria on which we rank
10:56every single person who comes to the
10:57podcast whether he's he or she's cited
11:01whether they have a certain opinion on
11:03AI whether they've been active with AI
11:05in their company or if they're a recent
11:07founder in AI. So it gives them
11:09different weights and it comes up with a
11:11grade based out of 40. 40 meaning tier
11:15one, 30 meaning tier three, etc. And
11:17then we have another one that analyzes
11:20every single podcast and gives me tips
11:21on how to ask questions.
11:23>> Oh wow.
11:24>> Same for Instagram, same for LinkedIn.
11:26It has my tone of voice, personal
11:28dossier, my business strategy. So it
11:30whenever it writes something, it knows
11:32all the facts about me, how I sound.
11:34Every social media is run by a person.
11:36So a person makes a strategic call and
11:38by the way if you can give me feedback
11:40on this if I can improve. So what I'm
11:42working on right now is closing the loop
11:44because sometimes they send me a text.
11:46I'm like oh we need to change this this
11:48and that. But that happens in a chat in
11:50Telegram and we have this feedback. We
11:53we have a bot that scans all of our
11:54chats. But I really want AI to be able
11:58to learn continuously from this feedback
Why AI Is Bad for Learning
12:00to just know my taste better. There's
12:02one thing I see a lot in AI which is um
12:04it turns out for AI as data scientists
12:06or AI brainstorming partner it often
12:09comes up with you know one or two good
12:10ideas two or three mediocre ones and
12:12like you know four atrocious ones and
12:16sometimes you wonder how could my AI
12:18have thought you know like that could
12:19even be a plausible idea and to me this
12:22relates to the job apocalypse point of
12:24view which is that for a long time
12:27humans you me everyone watching this
12:30will have a significant context
12:32advantage over AI, which is that you
12:34know something that's incredibly obvious
12:36to you that you know that was an awful
12:37idea but the AI did not and it turns out
12:40that one of the reasons why AI will not
12:43replace our jobs or whatever of large
12:45business anytime soon is because humans
12:48have a massive context advantage
12:51compared to AI. We know so much that you
12:54know from our years of experience that
12:55we talked to customer we saw the funny
12:57facial expression that told us ah they
12:59don't like this or we talked to business
13:01or you know our manager said hey blah
13:03blah blah I really care about this and
13:05so it turns out that almost all humans
13:07well maybe all humans just know a lot of
13:10stuff that the plumbing does not exist
13:12and I don't think exists for the
13:13foreseeable future for AI to get I know
13:16sometimes people talk about the
13:18importance of human judgment or human
13:20taste and Some people wonder all right
13:23what is taste is this fuzzy thing but to
13:25me the technical thing that underlies
13:27why humans have better judgment and
13:29better taste than AI is this context
13:31advantage and because this is a
13:33long-term advantage like no one's going
13:35to solve this you know in a few years
13:37this is why we just need a lot more
13:39humans with that judgment and taste to
13:41keep on complimenting AI
13:43>> and doesn't this make education even
13:45more important because education gives
13:47us context because it's another another
13:48thing I'm hearing about AI like you
13:50won't need education because all the
13:51information is at your fingertips. You
13:52just ask Chad GPT. But when you say
13:55context and taste, for me, that's years
Inside LearnVector: Andrew's $100M Bet
13:58of acquiring knowledge and learning from
14:00the best and seeing how they perform
14:02versus just asking a chat.
14:04>> I'm going to say something that may be
14:06controversial. I don't know I've said
14:07this publicly, but I think it's true,
14:09which is frankly AI models are terrible
14:12for learning. Um, I know people think
14:17AI is AI is wonderful at getting things
14:20done. use it all the time, love it. But
14:23all the data that's coming out is that
14:25when say college students use AI, we
14:28know this. It's just a study now back up
14:30as well. So we also have numbers. But
14:32the data is very clear. Students score
14:34higher on homeworks when they use AI.
14:37Yay, higher homework scores. But
14:39retention, their long-term performance
14:41is much worse because their AI do the
14:43work for them. more and more studies are
14:44coming out to back this up now that I
14:48think people think oh it turns out you
14:50know I think Wikipedia is a wonderful
14:52tool has tons of facts web search is a
What to Study If AI Scares You
14:55wonderful tool has tons of facts but it
14:57turns out that when you ask AI to do
15:00work for you you're cognitive offloading
15:04to AI which is great because that's how
15:06society moves forward and gets work done
15:08but human retention is much worse it's
15:11just so clear that LMS MS as they are
15:14most commonly used are terrible for
15:16learning. I'm not saying there's no way
15:17to use it in a way that is good for
15:19learning. I think there are ways to use
15:20that good for learning but even for
15:22myself there's so many things on the AI
15:24model over the last you know 6 months or
15:25whatever like I don't know [gasps]
15:27building some project how does this
15:28front end backend component work
15:30whatever give me the answer get the job
15:32done it was fantastic but 6 months later
15:34I don't remember the answer when I need
15:36to redo that front end backend component
15:39I ask AI again so data is really clear
15:42we should stop thinking of AI as helpful
15:45for learning at least the vast majority
15:48of ways that the vast majority majority
15:49of your people are using AI models
15:51today. It's absolutely terrible for
15:52learning.
15:53>> But you're building a company helping
15:54solve that, right? Because the one
15:56onetoone tutoring with AI is that where
15:58you just announced with a 100 million
16:00investment from Corsera.
16:02>> Yes. So I'm excited about leading a new
16:04organization called Learn Vector that is
16:07focused on um building new learning
16:09experiences that is much more onetoone
16:12than one to many. So you know 15 years
16:14ago I I was privileged to participate in
16:17the online courses movement that I think
16:20changed the way a lot of people learn
16:22but that was and still remains largely a
16:25one to many experience where everyone
16:27you know kind of watches the same video
16:28which is actually okay it actually works
16:30well but the technology now exists to
16:32create much more personalized customized
16:35onetoone experiences and so our team is
16:38working hard on that I think we'll have
16:39a lot more to show by early next year
16:42when think about human skill
16:43development. I I feel like because AI
16:45has so heavily impacted software
16:47engineering, um what we see happening in
16:50the job market for software engineering
16:52is a harbinger as a forerunner of what
16:54we'll see in other disciplines as well.
16:56And in software engineering, um people
16:59need to learn new skills, but when they
17:01do, they are thriving and creating more
17:03value and frankly getting raises and
17:05doing even more exciting projects. And
17:07what I've seen the early signs of in
17:09other disciplines as well for example in
17:11software engineering you know most
17:12developers like front end backend
17:14developers have now become full stack
17:16developers because of AI hub you could
17:19take on broader scope I'm seeing early
17:21signs of this in other disciplines as
17:23well where for example someone that in
17:25marketing that did marketing
17:26coordination uh coordinating marketing
17:28campaigns with AI help they can now
17:30become more of a full cycle marketing
17:32take on a broader scope and I'm seeing
17:35you know frankly sources in recruiting
17:37become more full cycle do endto-end
17:39recruiting. So now the good news and bad
17:42news is for people to step up to these
17:43broader roles. You do need to learn AI
17:45skills but also it's not just learning
17:47AI you also need to learn these other
17:49skills uh like how do you do the other
17:50parts of marketing of recruiting or
17:52software engineering or AI engineering.
17:54So I think this actually creates a heavy
17:56need, a big need for people to gain new
17:58skills. But when they do, which is both
18:00AI skills, but also disciplinary skills,
18:03then they can do much more, hopefully
18:05have more fun, work on more exciting
18:08projects, hopefully get paid more as
18:10well. And one reason I kind of worry
18:12about the fear mongering is um I got an
18:14email from someone that was about to
18:16enter college and you know he emailed me
18:18saying hey Andrew taking online courses
18:21but I'm really struggling with what I
18:22should major in college because in four
18:24years won't AI do all this and
18:26everything I learn will be obsolete and
18:28the answer is no of course it won't all
18:30be obsolete but when we keep on pushing
18:32these fear messages uh we make people
18:36wonder if they will even be relevant and
18:38it makes people not lean in to gain
18:41these skills, they'll put them in much
18:43better position. So, I see very clearly
18:45that these fear-mongering messages are
18:48distorting how many people, including,
18:51you know, high school students, college
18:52students, fresh grads, think about the
18:54economy. And frankly, making people give
18:57up is one of the worst things we'll be
18:58doing in this era when people that lean
19:01in will thrive.
19:03>> Andrew has taught over 8 million people
19:05AI. He started teaching machine learning
19:08online back in 2011, years before the
19:11current AI boom. Now, one of the
19:13companies he's building is focused on AI
19:15agents. From the way that it sounds, it
19:17can still feel way too technical. So, I
19:19put together a step-by-step guide to
19:21building your first AI agent with no
19:23coding required. It walks you through
19:25what to automate, how to set it up, and
19:27how to make it actually useful. It is in
19:29my newsletter this week. The newsletter
19:31is called Future Proof. It's free. Link
19:33is in the description. What would you
19:36reply back to that email that somebody
19:39sent you? What would you say is the best
19:40major to study now to thrive in AI era?
19:42Do you think it's like going deep into a
19:45niche or just broader computer science
19:47so that you can acquire AI skills really
19:49fast?
19:50>> You know, I don't know what's the best
19:51major. There are awful lot of great
19:52majors. It's is like um I kind of feel
19:55like what's the best job in the world is
19:57like what's the best major in the world?
19:58>> Oh, something that you love, right?
20:00>> Yeah. My daughter wants to be an
20:01astronaut. I don't know if she can major
20:02in becoming an astronaut. I have to
20:04think about that. When she get older
20:05though, she may change your mind. I see
20:06so many opportunities um across across
20:09so many job roles. It all seems very
20:11exciting to me. But do learn AI, do
20:13learn to build with AI. The other thing
20:15that my team's been working on AI
20:17engineing skills map to try to map out,
20:19you know, the most important skills for
20:20AI engineering. One thing that I felt
20:22intuitively, but I was surprised to see
20:24it show up in the data was that a lot
20:26more job descriptions seem to be saying
20:28they want people that demonstrate a very
20:30high sense of agency. Because it turns
20:32out with AI there a lot more
20:34opportunities for individuals to spot
20:36problems and go build something or do
20:40something to go solve it. So I think
20:42we're really evolving. Well, we've long
20:44been evolving but we're accelerating
20:46positive era where people sit around and
20:48wait for their boss to tell them what to
20:50do.
20:50>> This is what I've been feeling a lot
20:52especially when we started doing remote
20:53work. I want people to be entrepreneurs
20:56within their niche. Like if you're
20:58helping me with LinkedIn, you're an
21:00entrepreneur there. You can hire more
21:01contractors. You can deploy different
21:03tools. You make the strategic decision
21:05whether this topic is good or not. Shall
21:07we proceed with it? I really think and
21:09tell me if you agree with me, we're
21:11moving into that job market where
21:12everyone is kind of independent in their
21:15workplace.
21:15>> I think people will have much more
21:17autonomy and creativity. So I agree with
21:19that. And I'd even go one step further
21:21which is I talked to a lot of people is
21:23know engineers and others in large
21:24companies that tell me that their
21:26manager tells them to stay in their swim
21:28lane. They'll say, "Oh, I have this
21:29creative idea, but the manager says,
21:31"No, I need you to focus on this one
21:33thing, frankly, often because their
21:35manager's career depends on it." But I
21:36feel like the number of opportunities
21:38for people to spot things outside the
21:40swim lane. Um, and then in a responsible
21:43way explore how to get it done, that
21:46feels very exciting to me. And I think
21:47that in the future the businesses that
21:50set up a culture that encourage people
21:53to learn AI build fast responsibly um
21:57talk to customers would drive a lot more
21:59value than the more hierarchical silo
22:02organizations.
22:03>> Yeah, it it starts with hiring the right
22:05people and then nurturing this in your
22:07organization. When you say learn how to
22:09use AI and become proficient with AI,
22:11can you give me some benchmarks like of
22:13a person who's like say a marketer,
22:15knowledge worker, advanced with AI, what
22:17are you looking for when you're
22:19interviewing this person?
22:20>> I'm pretty sure my team's ahead of the
22:21curve. All of my marketers know how to
22:23code. So, as part of how I interview
22:25marketers, we ask them what they've
22:27built and uh if they have not built any
22:30software.
22:31>> If it's a dashboard, is it good or bad?
22:33Like, is it too basic or
22:34>> a dashboard? Again, my team's probably,
22:36you know, somewhat ahead of the curve,
22:38but uh
22:39>> was good to hear like that.
22:40>> All of my marketers have built much
22:41specific things in
22:43>> Oh, I I feel like um I don't know the
22:46other day uh one of our someone on the
22:47marketing team was talking about the
22:48tools that he had built to uh when he's
22:51considering writing an article on
22:53something, it will um crawl the web,
22:55find related work, has a custom desktop
22:57app, actually built a desktop app that
22:59runs on his Mac to um highlight related
23:01articles for him. then you can chat to
23:03the whole system navigate you know the
23:05thing he's writing as well as the
23:07related work and he had a large
23:09dashboard for trolling the internet to
23:11highlight to him exciting things that
23:13are popping up um now even on my team I
23:16think that marketers is ahead of the
23:18curve
23:18>> but that's that's great to hear any
23:20other interesting use cases uh that will
23:23inspire people to build something
23:24similar
23:26>> let's see maybe u uh my finance team
23:29uses AI extensively
23:32So I think uh uh my um one of my CFOs uh
23:37realized that you know her team was
23:39spending hours every week clicking
23:40through documents open this copy paste
23:42this number here and so um she started
23:45building uh automation scripts that runs
23:47on a routine that um automatically opens
23:50files checks what's in there checks for
23:52consistency highlights to her team if
23:54there's something uh if there's
23:56something they need to be paying
Is Your Financial Data Safe With AI?
23:57attention to if a new document has
23:58showed up. So I find that rather than
24:00waiting around for an engineer to do the
24:02work for them, the team's ability to to
24:05kind of a not just build dashboards but
24:08build kind of a data management
24:10infrastructures. They can ingest data,
24:12alert them if something's happening.
24:14>> I think uh my finance and marketing
24:16teams are doing that. Oh my recruiting
24:18team um well we actually have recruiting
24:20engineers which are really professional
24:22engineers that sit in a recruiting team
24:25that are building very sophisticated
24:27tools for recruiting. And this is
24:28actually the other trend. I think
24:29marketers, recruiters, HR professional,
24:31ops people should all learn AI. But the
24:33other thing is when you take an engineer
24:35and embed them in these teams, then that
24:37further accelerates what you can do.
24:38>> We do the same. We we start with
24:40something basic, build it ourselves,
24:41then we hit the wall, an engineer comes
24:43in, we build it further.
24:45>> Frankly, when you look at not just
24:46software engineers, but recruiting
24:47engineers, marketing engineers, HR
24:49engineers, I think there's so much
24:50valuable engineering work that can now
24:52be done. I'm just, you know, not worried
24:55about running out of, [laughter]
24:56frankly, all my friends were so busy. We
24:58think, boy, how could we run out of
25:00engineering jobs?
25:01>> Yeah. Yeah. There are so many cool ideas
25:02you can experiment on. But you touched
25:03up on something that is actually one of
25:05the fears when when we talk about like
25:07financial information, how much you're
25:09giving to AI. So, I gave my perplexity
25:11permission to scan my Fidelity account
25:13so it can track my portfolio, tell me
25:16when to rebalance. It doesn't do
25:17anything on my behalf, but it has
25:19access. Do you think there is any
25:22problem with that?
25:23>> This is complicated. I think AI and
25:25privacy is a complex area. Um, and it
25:29depends a lot on the company that you
25:31are sharing your data with. So, for
25:33example, I trust all the hyperscalers to
25:37really 100%, you know, follow their
25:40terms of service and to do what they
25:41say. my personal opinion not not giving
25:43legal business advice but I'd be shocked
25:44if you know the largest hyperscalers
25:47publish the terms of service with some
25:48privacy notice and if they breach that
25:50because that would be not the culture be
25:52so damaging of the long-term business
25:54model now that's on the largest
25:55hyperscaler side if you look at AI
25:58company's side there's been you know at
26:00least one company that I won't name that
26:03seems to occasionally change the terms
26:05of service and if you're using it you go
26:08to the website so you pop up hey we
26:10changed the terms of service to retain
26:11your data or train your data and if
26:13you're aren't paying attention and click
26:14the wrong button then they suddenly gave
26:17themselves permission to access your
26:19data in a way that I'm not that
26:20comfortable with. I feel like I handle
26:22you know some sensitive information. So
26:24then I tend to be very careful with the
26:27businesses that I just don't feel that
26:30culture and the DNA and frankly the
26:32long-term business model is as tied to
26:35protecting individual user privacy than
26:37the hyperscalers. And um I see
26:40businesses, you know, get this as well.
26:43For example, one of my teams, AI Aspire,
26:45we work with very large corporations,
26:47including banks, with incredibly
26:50sensitive financial data. And as you can
26:53imagine, AI Aspire and our and our
26:56clients do not willy-nilly share, you
26:59know, really sensitive I often material
27:02nonpublic information, right? NPI uh
27:05with Frontier with with Frontier Labs
Can Anyone Actually Control AI?
27:07without really careful thinking about
27:09the guardrails and privacy. So I think
27:11it's complicated.
27:12>> So trusting hypers scale, but also u
27:14another thing that you can do, you can
27:16download an open source model and just
27:17run it on your computer and then it just
27:19stays on your computer, right?
27:21>> Yes. I think yes I it turns out a lot of
27:23banks will actually run um the things in
27:25uh you know a virtual private car or on
27:27prem so they so it never even leaves
27:29their control but I think for
27:31individuals it's true for for the really
27:32sensitive things um uh I sometimes run a
27:36local model and it's been interesting
27:37with the open way models some of the
27:39latest open way models are approaching
27:40frontier capability and that are you
27:43know actually small enough they're
27:45actually really good models now they can
27:47run on it
27:47>> yeah the one from Meta right the recent
27:48one
27:49>> oh yes Metamuse is a good model and I'm
27:50thinking Also the latest version of Quen
27:52is also very good but I think frankly
27:54these models change every other week. So
27:56I think the best practice is to not get
27:59stuck on one but keep on trying new
28:01models.
28:01>> So basically when there is a situation
28:03that you don't trust anyone you run a
28:05local model and this is how you keep
28:06your data safe.
28:08>> I do trust the hyperscalers but
28:10sometimes for you know literally NMPI
28:13material nonpublic information that I
28:15won't even send to that I just can't
28:17even send that to the cloud. So that uh
28:19I'll either do it manually without AI
28:22help or if I really need to use AI then
28:24you know really carefully only use a
28:27local model.
28:28>> Interesting. Okay. This is this is this
28:30is an interesting one. Okay. What about
28:33loss of human control over AI? Because
28:36I've talked to I talked to Yoshua Benja
28:38who is very um negative when it comes to
28:42open free AI without any regulation and
28:46he painted me some very scary pictures
28:49of AI taking over control because we
28:52basically the the whole scenario is we
28:54can't control something that's smarter
28:56than us and if AI gets smarter and
28:58smarter where where do we end up? What
29:00do you think about that? I think about
29:01something else that we can't control
29:03which is um airplanes. No one can build
29:06an airplane that you can fly perfectly.
29:08Winds will buffet it around. And then
29:10candly in the early days of developing
29:12airplanes, some airplanes crash and
29:14people died and it was tragic and awful.
29:17But through the early lessons learned,
29:19we then learned to control airplanes
29:21better and better. So that today, you
29:23know, we can mostly get in an airplane
29:25and not fear too much for our lives. And
29:28it's really like that too of AI. No one
29:30can perfectly control AI because it
29:32generates tokens or outputs that a
29:34little bit random. So we don't really
29:36know what exactly it'll do. But as we
29:38run them and you know there's been a
29:40small number of mishaps which is
29:42unfortunate and some number of mishaps
29:44have done some real damage but the way
29:47we engineer almost any system from an
29:49airplane to electric circus to now AI is
29:53carefully grow their capabilities so
29:57that we can have a controlled
29:59environment in which to measure what's
30:01wrong and then to shape it to make sure
30:03we can control it well enough that it
30:05behaves responsibly and safely and to
30:07this day we can't perfectly control any
30:09airplane and we will never perfectly
30:11control AI either but I think um we are
30:14certainly controlling them well enough
30:16that this loss of control doesn't feel
30:19like science science
30:20>> fiction yeah what about deep fakes
30:24>> deep fakes are a problem well one of the
30:26most disgusting things I've ever seen or
30:28heard of is non-consensual
30:30intimate deep fake imagery
30:33>> I'm really glad that you know US
30:35Congress has been moving Right. Let's
30:37pass laws. Get rid of that. Penalties
30:39for that. I'm just I think there's some
30:40really problematic uses of AI that we
30:43should outlaw, heavily penalize. Let's
Raising Kids in the AI Era
30:45just get rid of that.
30:46>> What do you think about children and
30:48social connection when it comes to AI
30:50with kids using more of AI? Because
30:52we've seen social media how, you know,
30:55there are people who are dumb scrolling
30:57all day and my daughter who is 5 years
30:59old now, whenever I don't have an
31:01answer, he's like, "Ask Chad GPT." And
31:03like, who's that person? I'm like, "I
31:05don't know. Ask Jajiv Viti like she
31:07thinks Jaji knows everything. What would
31:10you say about you know kids future with
31:14AI?
31:15>> First I think kids have a bright future.
31:16It's just such an exciting time to be
31:18child to grow up in this environment
31:19with tools that none of us ever had
31:21before. [gasps] At the same time we've
31:23seen that social media um I think social
31:26media has probably been blamed a bit
31:27more than it deserves. But it does
31:29deserve blame uh has kind of not been
31:32great for kids. I actually worry a lot
31:34about it's a wonderful tool, but AI
31:38damaging learning is something I worry a
31:40lot about. So, it turns out um I have a
31:435-year-old and a seven-year-old. When I
31:45teach them math, they're so young enough
31:47that I can basically, you know, not let
31:49them use a calculator, can say, "How do
31:52you multiply these numbers?" And I don't
31:54give them a calculator and practice that
31:55with them. But as they're a little bit
31:56older, I worry a lot about students
32:00using cognitive offloading to AI in a
32:02way that damages the long-term learning
32:04retention. Um, but then at the same
32:07time, oh, I actually built an app. I did
32:08not like any of the, you know, free
32:10online learning to type types of things.
32:12So, I actually built my own to um have
32:15my daughter learn to type. And I'm
32:17hoping that she's actually getting
32:19pretty decent now for a seven-year-old.
32:20>> Oh, she's Oh, yeah. She actually typed
32:22all the lowercase letters. she's a
32:24little bit fit, you know, not her shift
32:27uppercase letter is a little bit not
32:29quite there. But I think that this um
32:31unlocks, you know, responsible adult
32:34supervised use of online tools and I
32:37think it's really tricky. You know, I
32:40think um adult supervised use of digital
32:43tools seems a great thing for kids, but
32:45too many adults don't have time to
32:46supervise the use of the tools and then
32:48the incentives of [gasps] say social
32:50media, right, to do funny things.
32:53>> Yeah. has to be the right incentive when
32:55it comes to AI. Okay. [snorts] You
32:57mentioned we we talked about the fears.
32:59We talked about how you can improve your
33:02work with AI. Can you name some of the
33:04biggest opportunities in AI in 2026 for
Best AI Opportunities to Build in 2027
33:07people who want to build? for an
33:08individual that wants to build. I don't
33:11think it's one size fits all, but
33:13because the cost of building has
33:16plummeted,
33:17um, [clears throat]
33:18I encourage people to learn AI, build
33:22fast, and talk to customers. I find
33:25myself building things, I don't know,
33:28every week, every weekend because I or
33:31someone on our team, we have some
33:32problem and I have some idea for
33:35building some AI thing. to automate it.
33:39Last weekend, I had really I was using a
33:41frontier model to analyze a lot of our
33:43key business metrics because I didn't
33:45have time to do it myself, but it was
33:46kind of measuring, you know, deandized
33:49key business metrics and I didn't have
33:51time to go find a data scientist to go
33:53work me on it. So, I just did variety of
33:55frontier models being really careful on
33:58their uh data retention policies. I did
34:00not use models with data retention
34:02policies I don't like uh in order to
34:04analyze data. But and then I find that
34:07um what's happen of AI is the cost of
34:10building has plummeted and so the
34:11challenge is shifting to deciding what
34:13to build which I was calling which I've
34:15been calling the product management
34:16bottleneck and so people you know
34:19founders engineers product managers that
34:21can talk to customers get a sense for
34:24the taste of judgment on what to build
34:26and then build with AI and iterate
34:28quickly. I think that's just a ton of
34:30exciting things to do
34:31>> and you've been starting so many
34:32companies. You're like when I looked at
34:34your portfolio, do you think for
34:36beginners when you said you built
34:37something during the weekend, how do you
34:39decide what to focus on or you can
34:41pursue multiple ideas because of AI now
34:43and you can just be, you know, playing
34:45in different companies at the same time.
34:47>> It turns out building a company is still
34:49really, really hard and so there's a lot
34:50to be said for a single threaded
34:52leadership or someone that's fully
34:54focused on just one thing. I find it,
34:56you know, over a weekend I can often
34:58build an Elm wrap, build a simple
34:59application, but I wish it was that easy
35:03to build a large company. Um, I find
35:07that building something meaningful often
35:09takes either real technical depth uh and
35:12or deep customer insight and integration
35:15with customers. And yes, we can now, you
35:18know, use AI to code something in a few
35:20hours, but that's a small piece of the
35:21puzzle. So spending time understanding
35:24the technical complexity and building
35:26the really complex software that takes
35:28us like months you know maybe years or
35:30having that deep custom insight to
35:32decide what to build that also just
35:33takes a lot talking to people reading
35:35facial expressions surveys doing that
35:37over and over until we figure out what
35:38to build. Um and so I think sometimes
35:41there's a lot of value to sampling
35:43widely but then having that focus for an
35:46individual to go really deep in a couple
35:48sectors that that still seems important
35:50for building a business. My last
35:51question, I know it's we don't have much
35:53time, but I wanted to ask you about AGI
35:55just because people use this word so
35:57much and some people say I think Jensen
36:00Hang said we already reached AGI. You
36:02said it's decades away. What's the one
36:05criteria when you're going to say we
36:06reach AGI?
36:08>> So different people say we reach AGI at
36:10different times because of different
When Will We Actually Reach AGI?
36:11definitions of AGI. The definition I'm
36:14most familiar with is AI that could do
36:16any intellectual task that a human can.
36:18But so the human brain can take say five
36:22years to study and do a PhD thesis or or
36:25and so can AI write a PhD thesis or a
36:28human can learn to drive a truck through
36:30a dense rainforest with you know tens of
36:33minutes of practice. So when can AI do
36:35that to drive new environment with tens
36:37of minutes of practice. It feels like
36:38there's a long list of these things that
36:41AI cannot do uh for what feels to me
36:45decades. I hope it's only decades. maybe
36:48you turn out to be longer. So that's why
36:50I think for that definition of AI or
36:51AGI, AGI is still very far away.
36:55>> But um it turns out because of you know
36:57economic incentives, I think open
36:59Microsoft had an agreement that's
37:00actually been renegotiated now. So
37:02that's gone away. But open AI had an
37:04economic incentive to try to declare
37:06reaching AGI earlier. Uh and so it turns
37:10out that if you come up with other
37:11definitions of AI depending on how far
37:14you lower the bar then you could totally
37:16have reached AGI you know already or
37:18even 30 years ago depending on how you
37:20want to define it.
37:21>> Yeah true Andrew thank you so much for
37:23this positive conversation very
37:25applicable. I like when u you watch
37:28something and then you go and you
37:29measure yourself against what people are
37:31doing with AI look at your process and
37:34uh maybe expand it. So thank you so much
37:36for showing what your team is doing and
37:38thank you for your insights. Yeah, I
37:40think given the huge benefits of AI to
37:43come, I hope whoever was watching this
37:44is motivated to really go learn AI,
37:48apply it, um, and and even to go build
37:50some