Full transcript
Intro
0:00Over the past 8 years of full-time
0:01trading, I've tried a ton of different
0:03strategies, and it took me three full
0:04years to boil down a process to actually
0:06become consistently profitable. Looking
0:08forward to now, in a single trading
0:10session, I can set myself up for $3 to
0:12$5,000 profits multiple times per day,
0:14allowing me to have 20 to $30,000 profit
0:17months like I just documented in the
0:18last month. This isn't done by having an
0:20overly complicated strategy or trying to
0:22trade a million different things. This
0:23is done by having one simple strategy,
0:25following a model, and focusing on the
0:27right things. So, in this video, I'm
0:29going to take everything that I've
0:30learned over the past eight years of my
0:31trading that allows me to execute on the
0:33simple strategy that you'll be able to
0:34learn and use to start making money.
0:36Then, I'm going to show you real
0:37examples of trades using these
0:39strategies that I'm going to show you in
0:40this video so that you'll have a
0:41profitable strategy that you can
0:42understand, practice that you can start
0:44using to make consistent profits. So,
Basics Of Trading
0:46this is going to be a course on the
0:48exact steps that we need to take to
0:49actually be able to set yourself up to
0:50have a repeatable process you can follow
0:52each day to have these money-making
0:54opportunities. And it's not as
0:55complicated as you think. All right. All
0:57right. And the first important thing to
0:58do is understand the basics of trading
1:00and have a solid foundation before we're
1:02diving into all of these things. It is a
1:03complicated world. There's a lot of
1:05nuances in the trading space. So, we're
1:07going to be covering the basics first
1:08and then we're going to get into more
1:09advanced topics in this strategy that
1:11we've been able to develop over the past
1:13couple years. Okay. So, first thing that
1:14you want to focus on is trying to find
1:16high probability conditions in the
1:18market. This is going to start making
1:19more sense in a second, but what it's
1:21important to focus on is we're not
1:22trying to force trades. We're not trying
1:24to enter at any point in the market. We
1:26need to find high probability conditions
1:28that are going to set us up in a
1:29position to be able to have really good
1:31opportunities. Okay. The second most
1:33important thing to focus on when it
1:34comes to the basics of trading is having
1:36a process to be able to contain your
1:38risk and allow the winners to run. So,
1:41one of the biggest things that will hold
1:42you back is not being disciplined enough
1:44to be able to cut your losses small and
1:46also having the discipline to be able to
1:47let your winners that are moving in your
1:49direction making you money continue to
1:51run in that direction. Often times
1:52you'll hear people say, "If there's
1:53profit on the table, take it." And
1:55another common thing is just holding
1:56positions so that you don't have to
1:58actually take a loss. These are things
1:59that are hardwired into our brain as
2:01humans that we need to learn to flip in
2:02trading. So really focusing on
2:03containing risk is one of the biggest
2:05things that's going to make or break
2:06your trading career. The third thing
2:08that's extremely important to focus on
2:09is to have a solid system and not force
2:12trying to find trade opportunities. If
2:14you set daily goals for yourself, as
2:16many traders do, you'll try to force
2:17finding these opportunities and fall
2:19into a trap that's called confirmation
2:20bias, where you're going to try to
2:22convince yourself that there's
2:23opportunities that aren't there. if
2:24you're hungry to make money. So, we have
2:26to focus on this exact strategy
2:28systematically and let the trades come
2:30to us. Okay. And then the fourth thing
2:31is finding actual pairs with good
2:34liquidity and good volume that's going
2:36to give us an opportunity to be able to
2:38smoothly get in and out of the market.
Critical Concepts
2:40So, let's dive a little bit deeper into
2:41these critical concepts of day trading
2:43so that we approach this properly.
2:45Right? So, what is a high probability
2:47condition? Okay. often times the
2:48conditions in the market are not
2:50necessarily optimal to try to take a
2:52position. When price is sort of chopping
2:54around aimlessly and isn't either an
2:55extreme high or an extreme low. If we're
2:57forcing trades and we're not being
2:59patient, this can be an area where
3:00there's a lot of confusion and a lot of
3:02forced trades and not in areas where
3:03we're likely to have big moves either up
3:05or down, which is going to present
3:07opportunity for us. All right? And this
3:08ties directly into being able to contain
3:10our risk and allow winners to run. When
3:12we're taking trades in the market, we
3:14actually want to play into volatility,
3:16which means big moves up or down in the
3:18market, which is going to allow us
3:19individual trade opportunities. There's
3:21not really going to be many
3:22opportunities in this sideways chop area
3:24to have expansive upside and contained
3:27downside because it's mostly just
3:29consolidation in chop. If we look at
3:30this for an example, if we're able to
3:32identify key points such as these, we
3:34can position ourselves so that we're
3:36risking a contained amount in an area
3:38where we're likely to get a reversal in
3:40a large move up to allow a big reward
3:43but a small contained risk. And this
3:45plays largely into actually having a
3:47proper strategy to put us in positions
3:49and to be able to identify these key
3:51areas where we could expect big moves to
3:53come out of it. And one of the most
3:54important ways to not enter the market
3:56during these bad periods and only
3:58selecting these high probability times
4:00is to have a system that we trust and
4:02once again not trying to force these
4:04individual trades. Okay. Oftent times I
4:06would get into sessions and I see this a
4:08lot of times with other traders too and
4:09I would start thinking about okay I got
4:11to try to find an opportunity or what if
4:12this happens or I think this is going to
4:14happen so I'm going to change my
4:15behavior. This is a very important thing
4:17to remember with trading. This is
4:18something that I quoted from a
4:20institutional level trader. All of the
4:22thinking was done in the back testing.
4:24Okay? So when the system was being
4:25developed, that's when you were
4:26thinking. Now we need to go and focus on
4:29following the rules rather than trying
4:31to be creative in the session. The more
4:33times you're coming up with ideas on the
4:35fly, the more changes you'll have in
4:36your strategy and the more we can't
4:38predict the end result because we're
4:40modifying all of the things that we
4:41tested that we know to be true and
4:43profitable. So we're not going to be
4:44thinking during sessions. We're just
4:46going to be focusing on executing and
4:48following the rules that we already have
4:50and know work. And with all of these
4:51elements considered, we have to focus on
4:53pairs that are going to allow us to get
4:55in and out of the market, and it's going
4:57to give us something called good price
4:58action. Now, price action is any
5:00movement that we're seeing on a chart.
5:02So, when we see charts like this where
5:03we have weird candles, spiky,
5:05unpredictable price action, this is not
5:08going to be something that we want to
5:09get involved trading because we're not
5:10going to be able to get into the market.
5:12We're not going to be able to easily
5:13anticipate where the price is likely to
5:15move or not. It's going to be almost
5:16impossible to trade these, especially as
5:18we start increasing with more size.
5:20Conversely, if we look at good price
5:22action, right, notice how all of these
5:23candles are very, very even. There's no
5:25crazy wicks. Everything is predictable
5:27and moving nice and smooth. This is
5:29going to allow us to do good analysis,
5:31be able to actually get in and out of
5:33the market, and have predictable,
5:34reliable price action that we can start
5:36building these models out on and getting
5:37key areas to react the way that we want.
5:40So, having good liquidity and good price
5:42action is going to be a critical part.
5:43And I'm going to show you some of the
5:44pairs that I use, but also just how to
5:46generally look for this on the chart,
5:48okay? and considering all of this
5:49information to make sure that we're
Golden Foundation
5:51starting off on the right foot. I want
5:52to show you the golden foundation model
5:54that I use in my trading that's going to
5:56set me up in these really really good
5:57high probability areas where we're
5:59cutting out 80 to 90% of the bad ideas
6:02just by following this one thing. So the
6:04first thing that I'm looking at in
6:05general that you can start applying is
6:07using an indicator which I'm going to
6:08show you a few options where we can see
6:10whether the market is considered
6:12overvalued or generally undervalued.
6:14This isn't something that we're going to
6:16make full trading decisions on. A lot of
6:18people when they get into trading,
6:19they're just like, "Oh, if I sold here
6:20and bought here, I'll be able to make
6:22infinite amounts of money." That's not
6:23how it works. You can see we were
6:24considered undervalued here and price
6:26continued moving down. We can't use this
6:28by itself, but we can use it in
6:30conjunction with other things to be able
6:32to start off in a good foundation. It's
6:33starting off in areas where there's
6:35indications of being overvalued or
6:37undervalued, okay? Can be the first step
6:39of generally getting the right idea of
6:42where to go with our trade idea. Okay.
6:43The second thing in this golden
6:45foundational model is something called
6:47an oversight or underside retest. And
6:49this is probably one of the most
6:51important anomalies in trading that I've
6:53been able to figure out and that I
6:54follow and apply to basically every
6:56strategy that I use. Okay, these ones
6:58and other trading models. How this works
7:00is as we're seeing a chart making its
7:02move, there's going to be these key
7:03areas where price continues to bounce
7:05off of. That's what's considered a low
7:07part of a trend. Okay? And what often
7:09times will happen is you'll get contact
7:11here, contact here, contact here. Then
7:13eventually price is strong enough to be
7:15able to break out of that what's called
7:17resistance. Breaks up above it. And
7:19basically what this is saying to the
7:20market is there was not enough demand to
7:22break out of this level. Now there's
7:24enough demand to be able to push through
7:25that area. And often times what will
7:27happen is price will eventually come
7:29down retest the opposite side and that
7:31will be the last exact point before an
7:33absolute explosion in the market, an
7:36explosion in price that used in
7:37conjunction with the trading model is
7:39going to put you in amazing
7:41opportunities to have some massive
7:43upside. Okay? And I'm obviously going to
7:44show you some examples of me being able
7:46to execute this on real time. But being
7:48able to leverage these overside
7:49underside retests and starting off in
7:52over or undervalued areas in the market
7:54is going to once again cut out 80 or 90%
7:58of the general noise of trying to just
7:59jump into the market in trading
8:01whatever. These examples can be found
8:02basically everywhere all over charts. So
8:04let's look at some examples in real life
8:06now so that you can understand this
8:07concept. So once again we're seeing
8:09price reacting off of this level
8:11reacting. Notice how we're getting
8:12closer and closer reaction points and we
8:14finally get a big push down which is now
8:17breaking that key level which is
8:18creating this really really amazing area
8:20right up here. Price comes up tests that
8:23key level. Look at how sharply it
8:25responded before making a further move
8:27to the downside. Okay, let's look at
8:29another situation. Okay, so we have
8:31contact price pushes up above that level
8:34responds on the over side of it. It
8:35responds off of that level again and
8:37that's where price starts to get
8:39momentum and make a massive move to the
8:40upside. So, let's look at another
8:42situation. We have a low. We have a low.
8:44Price bounces off of that again. Once
8:46again, coming in closer and closer
8:47contact with it. Finally has a break
8:49underneath it. Notice this really
8:51important area. Price comes up now on
8:53the opposite side of that area and then
8:55continues to make its way down. Okay?
8:56And so, something that's really
8:57important to note is when price tends to
8:59break down or break out from trends like
9:02these, these big moves tend to leave
9:03behind something called a fair value
9:05gap. Okay? And so, what a fair value gap
9:07is is take one, two, three candles. the
9:10first candle's wick and the third
9:11candle's wick don't have an overlap
9:13which leaves this key area which
9:15oftentimes price will come back into
9:17have a response off of this area and
9:19then have a continuation or a response
9:21behind it. We're going to see these all
9:22over our chart and these are key areas
9:24that we want to focus on in our trading.
9:25Okay, so considering this golden
9:27foundational model even this area right
9:29here is generally an optimal area for us
9:32to expect a reversal and we can start
9:33adding extra evidence of that. So, like
9:35I was showing you overvalued or
9:37undervalued periods. This is an RSI,
9:40which you can just type in RSI on
9:41Trading View. And notice as price was
9:43coming back up to test that opposite
9:45side, we were also in an overvalued
9:47area. And then lo and behold, price
9:49comes back down and continues trading
9:50down before making a low point over here
9:52and then having a move up higher. Okay,
9:54so once again, we can't use tools like
9:56these completely independently, but
9:57really focusing on these key areas and
10:00these key scenarios is going to cut out
10:0280 to 90% of the noise and keep us
10:05focused. But in order to get that last
10:0610 to 20%, we need to have our specific
10:09trading models. Okay, so this is where
10:10it gets a little bit more complicated
10:12into the next level. I'm going to go
10:13over some profitable day trading models
10:15that I've been able to set up
10:17considering these elements, but using
10:18more advanced market mechanics. And
10:20we're going to take a look and I'm going
10:21to explain thoroughly how each one of
10:23these works. Okay, so the first is going
10:25to be something called a continuation
10:27model, which is basically finding a
10:28trend that's already moving up and
10:30trying to enter in that trend and play a
10:32continuation. And then there's model
10:33two, which is going to be a reversal
10:35model, which is going to be geared
10:36towards finding a trend that's moving
10:38up, timing a key area where we're
10:40anticipating a reversal, and trading it
10:42either down or up, and playing into
10:44these big swings in either direction.
10:46All right, so let's get into the first
10:47model, which is going to be our
10:48continuation model. So once again, we're
10:50playing into a trend that's already
10:52moving. So, first thing that I'm going
10:53to do is wait for the New York session
10:55to open. This is that gray line here.
10:57This is where trading activity starts to
10:59increase on the New York session, which
11:01is going to open up volatility and
11:02opportunity. First thing that I'm going
11:04to do is identify an area where we have
11:05a trend in the opposite direction of
11:07what we're trying to trade. In this
11:09case, we're trying to trade up. So, we
11:10want to find kind of a downward trend or
11:12an area where price is bouncing off of
11:14it. Next thing I'm going to do is wait
11:15for a significant fair value gap
11:17producing candle to break out of that
11:19trend level, create a local high, and
11:21then have a sell-off. The next thing
11:23that I'm looking at is I want to see
11:24price react off of the oversight here,
11:27as well as the fair value gap that's
11:29produced. You can see high here, low
11:30here. It's small, but it's right at that
11:32same level. And I want to see a key
11:33candle respond off of that area and have
11:36a push upwards as we can see right here.
11:38So entry would be at that first candle
11:40to have a response off of the trend and
11:42the fair value gap. And then what we're
11:43trying to do is trade in the direction
11:45of the trend and walk our stop loss up
11:47so we can sort of ride in the direction
11:49of this trend. Okay. So once again we
11:50have trend direction generally moving
11:53up. We have highs highs responding off
11:55of this key level. Okay. We get a candle
11:57that pushes over this key level
11:59producing a fair value gap. We have
12:00price push come down retest that trend
12:03level and that fair value gap and have a
12:05responsive candle off of that level.
12:07Okay. This is where I would start
12:08building a position. Okay. So I can
12:09click on my entry. I can click my take
12:11profit. Click on my stop loss. Say I
12:13wanted to risk $100. Also, if you want
12:15this onchart indicator that shows you
12:17all of your quantities, you can go in
12:18the description, follow me on Instagram,
12:20DM me the word tools. I'll send over a
12:22whole suite as well as this onchart
12:24indicator, which I love and I use every
12:26day when I'm trading. Okay, so now we
12:27have our quantity that we know we want
12:29to enter in on. So, I can enter in with
12:30that specific amount. Then, the market
12:32starts to move in our direction. So, I'm
12:34basically going to trail these fair
12:35value gaps. So, stop would be here now.
12:37Okay, fair value gaps here. So stop loss
12:40is going on this candle below the fair
12:41value gap. Fair value gap's now up here.
12:43Fair value gap's now up here. So now
12:45we've effectively locked in 10 times the
12:47amount we're risking. We're up $1,200.
12:50Fair value gaps now here. We move our
12:52stop loss up to here. Okay. And that's
12:53where we would end up getting stopped
12:55out. Okay. So you can see even risking
12:57$100 because of finding a specific model
12:59like this. Of course we're not going to
13:00get crazy moves up like this every
13:02single time. But we only need a few of
13:04these to be right to be able to make
13:05$1,200 risking 100. and we can be wrong
13:08say seven or eight different times after
13:10that. Say we're risking $100 and we lose
13:12$800. If we get one of these, we're
13:14still up $400 in total. And that's the
13:17concept of trading is keeping those
13:19risks small, allowing the open-endedness
13:21of your trade models to really come to
13:23fruition and allowing the upside to
Reversal Model
13:24basically be infinite. All right, so now
13:26let's take a look at the reversal model.
13:27And this is going to be really similar
13:28to the strategy that we were just
13:30looking at, but sort of in the opposite
13:32direction. So what we're looking for
13:33here is for a trending price action to
13:35make its way up. We once again have
13:37price action pushing underneath a
13:39critical level, leaving behind a fair
13:41value gap that intersects with the
13:42underside of this current trend.
13:44Actually, fair value gap should be drawn
13:46right here, but it's okay. Then, we're
13:47waiting for price to come up into the
13:49intersection point of this fair value
13:51gap and the underside retest that we
13:53know tends to create these flips in
13:55price action off of the trend. And we're
13:56looking to get in anticipating that the
13:58price will end up reversing down, moving
14:00in our direction, allowing us to build
14:02out a position and trade in that
14:03direction. Okay, so let's look at how
14:04this trade would unfold on a real chart.
14:06So we have the trend level developing.
14:08You can see it's about 8 a.m. right now.
14:09So the New York Stock Exchange is just
14:11about to open. We have this trend level
14:13is broken from a candle that leaves
14:15behind a fair value gap. So we have our
14:16fair value gap in there. Price continues
14:18to push down, then starts to come up to
14:20retest. So this is where I would start
14:21building my position. So this time I'm
14:23going to be targeting the midpoint of
14:25this fair value gap as my entry. So I'm
14:27going to click there. I'm going to put
14:28my takeprofit somewhere down here.
14:30That's going to be set a little bit
14:31later. Then I'm going to be finding the
14:32fair value gap producing candle and I'm
14:34just going to go a little bit above that
14:36candle to set my stop loss. So once
14:38again risking $100. And once we get to
14:40that midpoint, we enter our position and
14:42notice how price consolidates right at
14:44that midpoint and then flips back
14:46around. Okay. And this model is going to
14:47be a little bit different because the
14:48next area that we're paying attention to
14:49is this low before our swing high. So
14:52price continues to move. Once we get a
14:54candle close below this swing low,
14:56that's where we're going to take our
14:58stop loss and we're going to move our
14:59stop loss to our entry. So now we have a
15:01zero risk trade and we're going to set
15:03our takerit to 1:4. So we're going to
15:05have 1 to4 set right there. And once
15:07that's achieved, we're going to walk our
15:09stop loss down to trail the last fair
15:11value gap producing candle. In this
15:13situation, we have a swing structure
15:14here. So I'd probably be moving my stop
15:15loss down. But you can do any sort of
15:17risk reduction trend following process
15:19after this. So price does make its way
15:21up and tag that level which locks in a 1
15:23to3. So a plus $300 win. Had this have
15:26continued to sell off, we could have
15:28had, you know, $1,000 plus dollars
15:29risking $100. Okay? So, once again,
15:32finding these critical levels by having
15:33a model, getting that extra 10 to 20% to
15:36be able to put ourselves in positions
15:37where we're risking $100 or in my case,
15:40$500 to try to make three, four, $5,000
Live Trade Examples
15:43with these setups, okay? And I know a
15:44lot of times on YouTube, everything
15:46looks great in theory and people can do
15:48it in hindsight. But what about trading
15:49it in reality? Really doing this. I'm
15:51going to show you just from my last
15:52trading session some of the trades that
15:54I took using these concepts and actually
15:56a few more proprietary concepts that I
15:58take into consideration that we talk
15:59about on the private side of our trading
16:00team. But I'm going to show you what my
16:02thought process was taking these trades
16:03in real time. So you can see we had a
16:05broken trend level here. Heavy
16:06resistance fair value gap produced. So
16:09risking $500. I set up my position.
16:11Notice how the price came into that
16:12level. Now I'm in on a position. We get
16:14our instantaneous reaction off of that
16:17level. And then we break below that
16:18point. So I reduce my risk to break
16:20even. set my takerit to 1 to4. That 1:4
16:23is tagged. I'm up $1,700, risking $500.
16:26Then we get a continuation of a push. I
16:28actually set my takerit as a placeholder
16:30and never moved it. So, I accidentally
16:32got out for $2,600. Obviously, I'm not
16:35going to complain about that, but
16:36normally I would be trend following this
16:37a lot further down. You can see $2,600.
16:40Risking $500 is about 5.5xing my money
16:43that I'm risking. Okay, so let's take a
16:45look at another trade example. So, we
16:46have our trend broken here. Contact
16:49point, contact point, fair value gap
16:51producing candle. Entered at the fair
16:53value gap, reacted off of our trend
16:55level. We almost actually got stopped
16:56out on this trade. Price starts to push
16:58back into my key area. Okay, we get a
17:01break and a close underneath that low.
17:02So, I reduce my risk to break even. I'm
17:04up 2,000. Okay, price continuing to push
17:07down. I set my stop loss over these
17:09consolidated highs. Then, I get out for
17:11about $1,500 in profit. Okay, you can
17:13see even risking $500 on those trades, I
17:15was able to make over $4,000 in profit.
17:18Now, if you watch my live trade videos,
17:19you'll see I actually miss a lot of the
17:21entries and lose quite a bit of the
17:23trades. But when I'm losing, I'm
17:24containing that risk down to $500, $600
17:27and letting the wins turn open-ended.
17:28Okay? And what I'm showing you is just
17:30the tip of the iceberg of what I'm
17:31considering when I'm entering into these
17:33strategies. And these are the exact
17:34strategies and concepts that the private
17:36side of our trading team focus on to be
17:38able to deploy on their own trading. You
17:39can see one of our private team members,
17:41Craig, told us to hold runners, which is
17:43what I've been focusing on myself as
17:44well. You can see he held this. He said
17:45it would have been $120 R trade. I don't
17:48know how that's possible, but still
17:5018.8R. So risking $100 would be $1,800
17:54for him. Okay, we got Isaac showing off
17:56his funded trader certificate. He said,
17:57"From the Nev Trade course, I finally
17:59passed a top step. Winning the trading
18:00combine using the smog strategy, which
18:02is the more detailed, more advanced
18:04version of what I just showed you right
18:06now." So big shout out to you, Isaac.
18:07That's a big accomplishment. You can see
18:09Jimmy 4xing his account in 20 days using
18:11this framework. Dstone getting 21
18:14riskreward trades. Okay, so just to show
18:15you these aren't things that are
18:17happening in theory. This is really how
18:18you identify key opportunities and key
18:20areas to be able to turn your trading
18:22into a profitable business. If you want
18:23to learn more about getting started
18:24trading, you can check this playlist
18:26out. Don't forget to subscribe to the
18:27channel, like this video, and share it
18:29if you found it helpful. And until next
18:30time, I'll see you all in the next
18:32video.